2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran was first elected in 2010, winning the seat vacated by Sam Brownback, and ran for re-election to a third term in office.[1] Democrat Mark Holland, the former mayor of Kansas City, was Moran's opponent in the general election.[2][3]
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November 8, 2022
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   Moran: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Holland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Graham: >90% Tie: 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Moran ultimately won the election,[4] but his 60% share of the vote represented another decline from his first victory in 2010, and he lost Johnson County, a major suburban county that had been recently trending left in elections, for the first time in his career. Even so, he still won re-election by an overwhelming margin, despite incumbent Democratic governor Laura Kelly winning re-election on the same ballot. This was the first election since 2002 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election, and the first election since 1968 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas for the Class 3 Senate seat was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jerry Moran, incumbent U.S. senator[1][5]
Eliminated in primary
- Joan Farr, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Oklahoma in 2014 and 2020[6]
Declined
- Mike Pompeo, former U.S. secretary of state, former director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and former U.S. representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district (endorsed Moran)[7]
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017–2021)[8]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th secretary of state of the United States (2018–2021), 6th director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018)[7]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[9]
Organizations
Results
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Moran (incumbent) | 383,332 | 80.5 | |
| Republican | Joan Farr | 93,016 | 19.5 | |
| Total votes | 476,348 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Holland, United Methodist pastor and former mayor of Kansas City[12][13]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Andra, farmer[14]
- Paul Buskirk, educator[15][16]
- Robert Klingenberg, salesman and truck driver[14]
- Michael Soetaert, former Republican candidate for Kansas's 1st congressional district in 2020[2]
- Patrick Wiesner, bankruptcy attorney, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2014 and nominee in 2016[15]
Results
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 70–80%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 20–30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Holland | 101,429 | 38.1 | |
| Democratic | Paul Buskirk | 53,750 | 20.2 | |
| Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 47,034 | 17.6 | |
| Democratic | Mike Andra | 33,464 | 12.6 | |
| Democratic | Robert Klingenberg | 21,413 | 8.0 | |
| Democratic | Michael Soetaert | 9,464 | 3.6 | |
| Total votes | 266,554 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian convention
Candidates
Nominee
- David Graham, attorney[17]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[19] | Solid R | January 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe R | November 3, 2021 |
| Politico[21] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[22] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[23] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[24] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[25] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[26] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Post-primary endorsements
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[27]
- Campaign for Working Families[27]
- Kansans for Life[27]
- Kansas Farm Bureau[28]
- Kansas Livestock Association[29]
- National Defense PAC[27]
- National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund[30][31]
- National Right to Life Committee[27]
Organizations
Newspapers
Polling
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jerry Moran (R) |
Mark Holland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[36] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 33% | 5%[b] | 8% |
| Emerson College[37] | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 33% | 4%[c] | 18% |
| Echelon Insights[38][A] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 54% | 35% | – | 11% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[39][B] | August 8–10, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 58% | 37% | – | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Moran (incumbent) | 602,976 | 60.00% | −2.18% | |
| Democratic | Mark Holland | 372,214 | 37.04% | +4.80% | |
| Libertarian | David Graham | 29,766 | 2.96% | −2.62% | |
| Total votes | 1,004,956 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Johnson (largest city: Overland Park)
By congressional district
Moran won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[41]
| District | Moran | Holland | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 68% | 29% | Tracey Mann |
| 2nd | 61% | 35% | Jake LaTurner |
| 3rd | 50% | 47% | Sharice Davids |
| 4th | 64% | 33% | Ron Estes |
See also
- Elections in Kansas
- Political party strength in Kansas
- Kansas Democratic Party
- Kansas Republican Party
- Government of Kansas
- 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
- 2022 Kansas House of Representatives election
- 2022 Kansas elections
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 United States elections