2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.[1]
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November 8, 2022
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   Van Hollen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Chaffee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee.[2]
Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen.[3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Van Hollen, incumbent U.S. senator[2][4]
Eliminated in primary
- Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner[5]
Endorsements
Chris Van Hollen
Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3[6]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 67[7]
- American Federation of Teachers Maryland[8]
- Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO[9]
- National Education Association[10]
- Service Employees International Union Local 500[11]
- UNITE HERE Local 25[12]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400[13]
Organizations
- Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC[14]
- Brady PAC[15]
- Chesapeake Climate Action Network[16]
- Council for a Livable World[17]
- End Citizens United[18]
- Feminist Majority PAC[19]
- Giffords[20]
- Human Rights Campaign[21]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[22]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[23]
- JStreetPAC[24]
- Let America Vote[18]
- Maryland Realtors Political Action Committee[25]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[26]
- National Organization for Women PAC[27]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[28]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[29]
- Population Connection Action Fund[30]
- Progressive Turnout Project[31]
- Sierra Club[32]
Results
Van Hollen
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) | 535,014 | 80.81% | |
| Democratic | Michelle Laurence Smith | 127,089 | 19.19% | |
| Total votes | 662,103 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- George Davis, engineer[34]
- Nnabu Eze, IT contractor and perennial candidate[b][36][34]
- Lorie Friend, nurse[34][35]
- Reba Hawkins, business owner and candidate for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2020[34]
- Jon McGreevey, a.k.a. Ryan Dark White, adult bookstore employee and believer in the QAnon conspiracy theory[37][38][39]
- Joseph Perez, IT project manager[34][35]
- Todd Puglisi, grocery store clerk[34]
- James Tarantin, entrepreneur[40]
- John Thormann, contractual consultant[34]
Declined
- Andy Harris, U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)[41]
- Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015–2023)[42]
Endorsements
Chris Chaffee
Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Eze, Hawkins, and Perez)[43]
Nnabu Eze
Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Hawkins, and Perez)[43]
Lorie Friend
State legislators
- Wendell R. Beitzel, state delegate for District 1A (2007–2023)[44]
- George C. Edwards, state senator for the 1st District (2007–2023)[44]
- Mike McKay, state delegate for District 1C (2015–2023)[44]
Reba Hawkins
Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Eze, and Perez)[43]
Joseph Perez
Organizations
- Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Hawkins, and Eze)[43]
James Tarantin
State legislators
- Trent Kittleman, state delegate for district 9A (2015–2023)[45]
Results
Chaffee
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Friend
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
Thormann
- 10–20%
Tarantin
- 20–30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Chaffee | 50,514 | 20.78% | |
| Republican | Lorie Friend | 35,714 | 14.69% | |
| Republican | John Thormann | 33,290 | 13.69% | |
| Republican | Joseph Perez | 26,359 | 10.84% | |
| Republican | George Davis | 21,095 | 8.68% | |
| Republican | James Tarantin | 20,514 | 8.44% | |
| Republican | Reba Hawkins | 18,057 | 7.43% | |
| Republican | Jon McGreevey | 14,128 | 5.81% | |
| Republican | Todd Puglisi | 13,550 | 5.57% | |
| Republican | Nnabu Eze | 9,917 | 4.08% | |
| Total votes | 243,138 | 100.0% | ||
Other candidates
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[46] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[47] | Solid D | July 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] | Safe D | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[49] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[50] | Safe D | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[51] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[52] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[53] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[54] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Post-primary endorsements
Chris Van Hollen (D)
Executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025), 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), and former U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[55]
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Chris Van Hollen (D) |
Chris Chaffee (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goucher College[62] | September 8–12, 2022 | 748 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 56% | 33% | 2%[d] | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Chris Van Hollen (D) |
Larry Hogan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[63][A] | November 29 – December 1, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 49% | – | 14% |
| Change Research (D)[64] | September 29 – October 1, 2020 | 650 (V) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
| University of Maryland/Washington Post[65] | October 9–14, 2019 | 819 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 50% | 3%[e] | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) | 1,316,897 | 65.77% | +4.88% | |
| Republican | Chris Chaffee | 682,293 | 34.07% | −1.60% | |
| Write-in | 3,146 | 0.16% | +0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 2,002,336 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
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By congressional district
Van Hollen won seven of eight congressional districts.[67]
| District | Van Hollen | Chaffee | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 42.7% | 57.2% | Andy Harris |
| 2nd | 60.8% | 39.1% | Dutch Ruppersberger |
| 3rd | 62.3% | 37.5% | John Sarbanes |
| 4th | 91.0% | 8.9% | Anthony Brown (117th Congress) |
| Glenn Ivey (118th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 67.1% | 32.8% | Steny Hoyer |
| 6th | 54.4% | 45.5% | David Trone |
| 7th | 83.4% | 16.4% | Kweisi Mfume |
| 8th | 81.9% | 17.9% | Jamie Raskin |
Notes
- Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Maryland's 4th congressional district in 2020; Green nominee for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2016
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 2%
- "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%
Partisan clients
- This poll was paid for by the Senate Leadership Fund
See also
- Elections in Maryland
- 2022 United States elections
- 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election
- 2022 Maryland Attorney General election
- 2022 Maryland Senate elections
- 2022 Maryland Comptroller election
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland
- 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2022 Maryland House of Delegates election