2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also held on the same date while state elections were held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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25 February 2023
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| Registered | 2,501,081 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The 2023 Nigerian Presidential election in Edo state was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide presidential election organized by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). Edo state is located in the South-South geopolitical zone of Nigeria, has historically been politically competitive, with strong support for both the All Progressive Congress (APC) and the People Democratic Party (PDP) in previous election.
In the 2019 presidential election, the APC won the state, reflecting the party's influence at the federal level at the time. However, the political environment ahead of the 2023 election saw shifting alliances and growing public engagement, particularly among youth voters. The emergence of the Labour Party candidate Peter Obi as a prominent third party contender altered the traditional two-party dynamics in many states including Edo. INEC reported that over 2.5 million voters were registered from Edo State for the 2023 election, with hundreds of thousands accredited to vote on election day.[2]
Polling
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
|
 |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 3% | 64% | 5% | 5% | – | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 15% | 56% | 0% | 5% | – | 4% | 5% | 2% |
| Nextier (Edo crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 2.6% | 76.9% | – | 9.0% | 1.3% | 10.3% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Edo crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 3% | 61% | – | 10% | 2% | 23% | – | – |
Projections
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][3] | Likely Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][4] | |||
| Tinubu: | 25.14% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 31.46% | ||
| Abubakar: | 25.14% | ||
| Others: | 18.25% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][5] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][6] | Obi | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][7] | |||
| Tinubu: | 15% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 35% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 35% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
| The Nation[f][8][9] | Battleground | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
Results
According to official results released by the Independent Electoral Commission (INEC), Labour Party candidate Peter Obi won the presidential election in Edo State with 331,163 votes.[10] The APC candidate Bola Tinubu received 144,471 votes, while Atiku Abubakar of the PDP secured 89,585 votes. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) received 2,743 votes [11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | 112,581 | 22.47% | |
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | 293,962 | 58.70% | |
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | 2,765 | 0.55% | |
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | 81,311 | 16.23% | |
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Edo Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Edo North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Edo South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
The results of the election by federal constituency.[12]
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu
(APC) |
% | Atiku Abubakar (PDP) | % | Peter Obi
(LP) |
% | Rabiu Kwankwanso
(NNPC) |
% | Others votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akoko-Edo Federal Constituency | 19,456 | 49.5 | 10,513 | 26.80 | 8,471 | 21.5 | 183 | 0.47 | 611 | 1.56 | 39,234 |
| Egor/Ikpoba-Okha Federal Constituency | 13,244 | 10.6 | 12, 659 | 10.2 | 93,902 | 75.76 | 722 | 0.58 | 3,416 | 2.76 | 123,943 |
| Esan Central/Esan West/Igueben Federal Constituency | 10,294 | 18.0 | 9,852 | 17.2 | 35,434 | 61.97 | 325 | 0.57 | 1,274 | 2.23 | 57,179 |
| Esan North East/Esan South East Federal Constituency | 4,435 | 11.3 | 3,536 | 9.03 | 30,306 | 77.38 | 206 | 0.53 | 682 | 1.74 | 39,165 |
| Etsako East/Etsako West/Etsako Central Federal Constituency | 25,951 | 47.9 | 17,631 | 32.57 | 9,242 | 17.07 | 314 | 0.58 | 993 | 1.83 | 54,131 |
| Oredo Federal Constituency | 6,259 | 8.77 | 3,923 | 5.49 | 58,929 | 82.54 | 377 | 0.53 | 1,908 | 2.67 | 71,396 |
| Orhionmwon/Uhunmwonde Federal Constituency | 9,830 | 25.08 | 7,207 | 18.39 | 21,084 | 53.79 | 215 | 0.55 | 863 | 2.20 | 39199 |
| Ovia North East/Ovia South West Federal Constituency | 12,802 | 24.40 | 8.082 | 15.40 | 30,026 | 57.22 | 270 | 0.51 | 1,292 | 2.46 | 52,472 |
| Owan East/Owan West Federal Constituency | 10,310 | 40.66 | 7,908 | 31.19 | 6,568 | 25.9 | 153 | 0.66 | 415 | 1.64 | 25,354 |
Totals (Edo State)
Totals (Edo State)
| Candidate | Vote | % |
|---|---|---|
| Peter Obi (LP) | 293,962 | 58.70 |
| Bola Tinubu (APC) | 112,581 | 22.47 |
| Atiku Abubakar (PDP) | 81,311 | 16.23 |
| Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) | 2,765 | 0.55 |
| Others | 11,454 | 2.29 |
| Total Valid Votes | 501,973 | 100 |
By local government area
The results of the election by local government area.[13]
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu
APC |
Atiku Abubakar
PDP |
Peter Obi
LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPC |
Others | Total valid votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akoko Edo | 19456 | 10513 | 8471 | 183 | 611 | 39,234 | |
| Egor | 8877 | 6728 | 30263 | 186 | 742 | 46,796 | |
| Esan Central | 4,458 | 3,692 | 10,192 | 91 | 329 | 18,762 | |
| Esan North-East | 2,589 | 2,091 | 18,973 | 146 | 438 | 24,237 | |
| Esan South-East | 1,846 | 1,445 | 11,333 | 60 | 244 | 14,928 | |
| Esan West | 3,417 | 2,630 | 18,793 | 170 | 721 | 25,731 | |
| Etsako Central | 6,035 | 3,450 | 2,791 | 66 | 180 | 12,522 | |
| Etsako East | 6,465 | 4,040 | 2,468 | 74 | 222 | 13,269 | |
| Etsako West | 13,451 | 10,141 | 3,983 | 174 | 591 | 28,340 | |
| Igueben | 2,419 | 3,530 | 6,449 | 64 | 224 | 12,686 | |
| Ikpoba Okha | 4,367 | 5,931 | 63,639 | 536 | 2,674 | 77,147 | |
| Oredo | 6,259 | 3,923 | 58,929 | 377 | 1,908 | 71,396 | |
| Orihionmwon | 6,527 | 4,668 | 9,049 | 121 | 542 | 20,907 | |
| Ovia North-East | 5,110 | 3,660 | 21,624 | 170 | 504 | 30,768 | |
| Ovia South-West | 7,692 | 4,722 | 8,402 | 100 | 788 | 21,704 | |
| Owan East | 5,324 | 4,207 | 3,610 | 82 | 211 | 13,434 | |
| Owan West | 4,986 | 3,701 | 2,958 | 71 | 204 | 11,920 | |
| Uhunmwonde | 3,303 | 2,539 | 12,035 | 94 | 321 | 18,292 |
See also
Notes
- Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- Comprising the local government areas of Esan Central, Esan North-East, Esan South-East, Esan West, and Igueben.
- Comprising the local government areas of Akoko Edo, Etsako Central, Etsako East, Etsako West, Owan East, and Owan West.
- Comprising the local government areas of Egor, Ikpoba Okha, Oredo, Orhionmwon, Ovia North-East, Ovia South-West, and Uhunmwonde.