2024 Ligurian regional election

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27–28 October 2024

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All 31 seats to the Regional Council of Liguria

	Majority party	Minority party

Leader	Marco Bucci	Andrea Orlando
Party	Independent	Democratic Party
Alliance	Centre-right	Centre-left
Seats won	18	13
Seat change	1	1
Popular vote	291,093	282,669
Percentage	48.8%	47.4%
Swing	7.3%	8.5%

President before election

Giovanni Toti
Us Moderates

Elected President

Marco Bucci
Independent

Politics of Liguria


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The 2024 Ligurian regional election is taking place in Liguria, Italy on 27–28 October 2024.^[1] The snap election was called after the resignation of incumbent president, Giovanni Toti, following an investigation into corruption, particularly regarding favors to local businessmen in Genoa in exchange for financial support in local elections in 2021 and 2022.^[2]^[3]

Bucci won the electoral competition by outperforming his opponent in Ventimiglia, Sanremo, Rapallo among other centers where his coalition reached 50 and 60% of the votes, while Orlando performed strongly in Genova, despite Bucci being the city mayor there, and his home town of La Spezia, while also winning in Savona as well.

The race brought significant attention as it was considered a test for the national government but also for the center-right coalition in the region.

The Regional Council of Liguria is composed of 30 members, plus the president elect. The president elect is the candidate winning a plurality of votes at the election. Within the council, 24 seats are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation. The remaining 6 councillors are assigned as a majority bonus if the winning candidate has less than 18 seats, otherwise they are distributed among the losing coalitions.^[4]

A single list must get at least 3% of the votes in a province in order to access the proportional distribution of seats, unless the list is connected to a coalition with more than 5% of the vote.^[4]

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate
Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		%	Seats	Candidate
	Centre-right coalition		Bucci for President Liguria Wins (incl. NM)^[5]	22.6	7	Marco Bucci
			League	17.1	6
			Brothers of Italy	10.9	3
			Forza Italia	5.3	1
			Union of the Centre	0.7	0
			Popular Alternative	N/a	N/a
			Ligurian Pride	N/a	N/a
	Centre-left coalition		Democratic Party	19.9	6	Andrea Orlando
			Five Star Movement	7.8	2
			Greens and Left Alliance (incl. SI, EV, Pos)	3.9	1
			Civic Reformist Pact (incl. A, PRI, PER, MRE)	N/a	N/a
			Head-on Ligurians (incl. PSI)	N/a	N/a
			Andrea Orlando List	N/a	N/a
	For the Alternative (incl. PRC, PCI, PaP)			N/a	N/a	Nicola Rollando
	Northern People’s Party			N/a	N/a	Maria Antonietta Cella
	United for the Constitution			N/a	N/a	Nicola Morra
	Workers' Communist Party			N/a	N/a	Marco Ferrando
	Sovereign Popular Democracy			N/a	N/a	Francesco Toscano
	Independence!			N/a	N/a	Alessandro Rosson
	Force of the People			N/a	N/a	Davide Felice

Opinion polls

Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size	Centre-right	Orlando	Others	Lead

Sep 2024	Tecnè	–	46.0	54.0^[a]	–	8.0
47.0^[b]	53.0	–	6.0
48.0^[c]	52.0	–	4.0
45.0^[d]	55.0	–	10.0
45.0^[e]	55.0	–	10.0
47.0^[f]	53.0	–	6.0
45.0^[g]	55.0	–	10.0
5–7 Aug 2024	Euromedia^[h]	–	51.3^[i]	48.7	–	2.6
52.3^[j]	47.7	–	4.6
50.4^[k]	49.6	–	0.8
52.1^[l]	47.9	–	4.2
50.9^[m]	49.1	–	1.8

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	Centre-right	Centre-left	UpC	Others	Lead
FdI	FI	Lega	VL	NM	LP	Oth.	PD	M5S	AOP	AVS	IV	PCR	+E	LaTA

24 Sep–3 Oct 2024	BiDiMedia	1,000	20.2	5.7	8.0	10.4	2.2	1.0	25.9	7.0	4.0	7.1	N/a	2.2	N/a	1.0	1.8	3.5	5.7
Sep 2024	Tecnè	–	25.0	9.0	6.0	N/a	4.0	N/a	1.0	27.0	8.0	8.0	5.0	2.0	2.0	1.0	N/a	1.0	1.0	2.0

Results

27–28 October 2024 Ligurian regional election results
Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats
Results by party Results by coalition
	Marco Bucci	291,093	48.77	1		Brothers of Italy	84,816	15.08	5
						Bucci for President Liguria Wins	53,208	9.46	3
						League	47,652	8.47	3
						Forza Italia	44,849	7.98	3
						Ligurian Pride	32,061	5.70	3
						Union of the Centre	7,294	1.30	–
						Popular Alternative	1,929	0.34	–
					Total		271,809	48.34	17
	Andrea Orlando	282,669	47.36	1		Democratic Party	160,063	28.47	8
						Greens and Left Alliance	34,716	6.17	2
						Andrea Orlando List	29,808	5.30	1
						Five Star Movement	25,659	4.56	1
						Civic Reformist Pact	9,813	1.75	–
						Head-on Ligurians	9,127	1.62	–
					Total		269,186	47.87	12
	Nicola Morra	5,223	0.88	–		United for the Constitution	4,922	0.88	–
	Nicola Rollando	5,079	0.85	–		For the Alternative	4,920	0.87	–
	Francesco Toscano	5,071	0.85	–		Sovereign Popular Democracy	4,709	0.84	–
	Marco Ferrando	2,099	0.35	–		Workers' Communist Party	1,813	0.32	–
	Maria Antonietta Cella	2,076	0.35	–		Northern People’s Party	1,674	0.30	–
	Davide Felice	1,855	0.31	–		Force of the People	1,696	0.30	–
	Alessandro Rosson	1,668	0.28	–		Independence!	1,570	0.28	–

Total candidates		596,833	100.00	2	Total parties		562,299	100.00	29
Blank and invalid votes		15,915	2.58
Registered voters/turnout		1,341,693	45.97
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Election in Liguria

Popular vote

PD			28.47%
FdI			15.08%
Bucci			9.46%
Lega			8.47%
FI			7.98%
AVS			6.17%
OL			5.70%
Orlando			5.30%
M5S			4.56%
PCR			1.75%
LaTA			1.62%
UDC			1.30%
Others			4.14%

President

Bucci			48.77%
Orlando			47.36%
Others			3.87%

Results by province and capital city

Whilst the province of Imperia voted for Bucci by 24 points, in all the other provinces the end result came within five points: Bucci won the province of Savona by 3 points, whilst Orlando won by 2 points in the metropolitan City of Genoa and by 4 points in the province of La Spezia.^[6]

In the major cities, despite being the incumbent mayor of Genoa, Bucci lost in his hometown to Orlando by 8 points but won Sanremo by 25.5 points and Imperia by 9 points; whilst Savona voted for Orlando by 20 points and La Spezia by 5 points. Overall, Orlando's strongest areas were the three largest cities of the region (Genoa, La Spezia, Savona) and their surrounding municipalities, whilst Bucci was the strongest west of Savona and in the Tigullio area east of Genova.^[6]^[7] Orlando's strength in Savona can be attributed to opposition to a regasification plant in nearby Vado Ligure that former president Toti had proposed to build in a protected sea area.^[8]^[9]

Province	Andrea Orlando	Marco Bucci	Others
Province			Others
Genoa	168,556 49.13%	161,463 47.06%	13,086 3.61%
La Spezia	42,918 50.31%	39,360 46.14%	3,023 3.55%
Savona	47,564 46.38%	50,678 49.41%	4,315 4.21%
Imperia	23,633 35.88%	39,588 60.10%	2,648 4.02%

City	Andrea Orlando	Marco Bucci	Others
City			Others
Genoa	121,821 52.27%	103,219 44.29%	8,007 3.44%
La Spezia	17,610 51.11%	15,770 45.77%	1,073 3.12%
Savona	12,932 57.96%	8,373 37.53%	1,006 4.51%
Imperia	6,279 43.29%	7,623 52.55%	604 4.16%

2024 Ligurian regional election

Parties and candidates

Opinion polls

Candidates

Parties

Results

Results by province and capital city

See also

References

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