2024 North Dakota Senate election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2024 North Dakota Senate election took place on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections.[1] Senators serve four-year terms. Elections are staggered such that half the senate districts have elections every two years (even-numbered seats are up on presidential election years.)
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
November 5, 2024
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25 of 47 seats in the North Dakota Senate (even-numbered districts plus two special elections in the 9th and 15th districts). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Democratic–NPL gain 
Republican: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In the 2022 North Dakota elections, a ballot measure created term limits of eight years in the North Dakota Senate, which was put into effect starting January 2023.[2] However, no candidate up for election will be affected by the term limits.[3]
In January of 2024, Federal District Court Judge Peter Welte required North Dakota to substantially alter Legislative District 9 in response to a lawsuit by the Turtle Mountain Band of Chippewa Indians and the Spirit Lake Tribe. The tribes alleged that the House of Representatives districts established by the North Dakota legislature violated the voting rights act by preventing members of the Spirit Lake Tribe from electing a candidate of their choice to the legislature. The court-ordered new District 9, which the Turtle Mountain and Spirit Lake tribes had proposed, includes both the Turtle Mountain and Spirit Lake reservations. [4]
Summary
| Party | Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 68th Leg. |
Up | Won | After 69th Leg. |
+/– | |||||
| Republican | 24 | 134,438 | 75.33 | 43 | 23 | 22 | 42 |  1 | |
| Democratic–NPL | 15 | 40,532 | 22.71 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |  1 | |
| Independents | 1 | 1,533 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Write-in | 1,974 | 1.11 | — | ||||||
| Total | 178,477 | 100% | 47 | 25 | 47 |  | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | October 23, 2024 |
Partisan Background
In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump won the most votes in 41 of North Dakota's State Senate districts and Democrat Joe Biden won 6. Out of the 24 districts with elections in 2024, Donald Trump won the most votes in 20 districts and Joe Biden won the most votes in 4. There are 2 Biden-won districts which Republicans represented going into the 2024 North Dakota Senate election: District 9 ( Biden + 21%) and Fargo-based District 46 ( Biden + 0.2%).
Retirements
Democrats
- District 44: Merrill Piepkorn is retiring to run for Governor.[7]
Republicans
- District 2: David Rust is retiring.[8]
- District 4: Jordan Kannianen is retiring.[8]
- District 6: Shawn Vedaa is retiring.[9]
- District 36: Jay Elkin is retiring.[10]
- District 40: Karen Krebsbach is retiring.[11]
- District 42: Curt Kreun is retiring.[12]
- District 46: Jim Roers is retiring.[13]
District Races
| District | Incumbent | Party | First elected |
Result | General election | Primary election candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | David Rust | Republican | 2014 | Republican hold. |
|
|
| 4 | Jordan Kannianen | Republican | 2016 | Republican hold. |
| |
| 6 | Shawn Vedaa | Republican | 2016 | Republican hold. |
|
|
| 8 | Jeffery Magrum | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 9[a] | Kent Weston
(redistricted) |
Republican | 2022 | Incumbent defeated. Democratic–NPL gain. |
|
|
| 10 | Ryan Braunberger | Democratic-NPL | 2022 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 12 | Cole Conley | Republican | 2020 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 14 | Jerry Klein | Republican | 1996 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 15[a] | Judy Estenson
(redistricted) |
Republican | 2022 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 16 | David Clemens | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 18 | Scott Meyer | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 20 | Randy Lemm | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 22 | Mark Weber | Republican | 2020 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 24 | Michael Wobbema | Republican | 2020 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 26 | Dale Patten | Republican | 2018 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 28 | Robert Erbele | Republican | 2000 | Incumbeng re-elected. |
|
|
| 30 | Diane Larson | Republican | 2020 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 32 | Dick Dever | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 34 | Justin Gerhardt | Republican | (appointed) | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 36 | Jay Elkin | Republican | 2018 | Republican hold. |
| |
| 38 | David Hogue | Republican | 2008 | Incumbent re-elected. |
|
|
| 40 | Karen Krebsbach | Republican | 1988 | Republican hold. |
| |
| 42 | Curt Kreun | Republican | 2016 | Republican hold. |
|
|
| 44 | Merrill Piepkorn | Democratic–NPL | 2016 | Democratic–NPL hold. |
| |
| 46 | Jim Roers | Republican | 2016 | Republican hold. |
|
|
Primary election results source:
General election results source:[14]
Close races
Detailed results
District 2 • District 4 • District 6 • District 8 • District 10 • District 12 • District 14 • District 16 • District 18 • District 20 • District 22 • District 24 • District 26 • District 28 • District 30 • District 32 • District 34 • District 36 • District 38 • District 40 • District 42 • District 44 • District 46
Primary election results source:
General election results source:
District 2
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Enget | 6,615 | 84.86% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Rosemary Tanberg | 1,154 | 14.8% | |
| Total votes | 7,795 | 100% | ||
District 4
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chuck Walen | 5,599 | 96.57% | |
| Total votes | 5,798 | 100% | ||
District 6
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Thomas | 7,331 | 82.1% | |
| Independent | Robert Tolar | 1,533 | 17.17% | |
| Total votes | 8,929 | 100% | ||
District 8
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeffery Magrum | 8,907 | 97.66% | |
| Total votes | 9,120 | 100% | ||
District 9
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Judy Estenson | 2,134 | 38.56% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Richard Marcellais | 3,395 | 61.35% | |
| Total votes | 5,534 | 100% | ||
District 10
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | George Roughead | 2,955 | 49.00% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Ryan Braunberger | 3,064 | 50.81% | |
| Total votes | 6,030 | 100% | ||
District 12
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cole Conley | 4,417 | 66.79% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Olivia Schloegel | 2,183 | 33.01% | |
| Total votes | 6,613 | 100% | ||
District 14
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Klein | 6,813 | 78.70% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Mark Nelson | 1,784 | 20.61% | |
| Total votes | 8,657 | 100% | ||
District 15
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kent Weston | 6,777 | 98.49% | |
| Total votes | 6,881 | 100% | ||
District 16
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Clemens | 4,898 | 61.55% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Heather Tyulyandin | 3,044 | 38.25% | |
| Total votes | 7,958 | 100% | ||
District 18
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Meyer | 3,492 | 53.95% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Kyle Thorson | 2,971 | 45.90% | |
| Total votes | 6,473 | 100% | ||
District 20
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Randy Lemm | 6,151 | 70.92% | |
| Democratic–NPL | John Pederson | 2,505 | 28.88% | |
| Total votes | 8,673 | 100% | ||
District 22
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark F. Weber | 8,547 | 97.57% | |
| Total votes | 8,760 | 100% | ||
District 24
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michael Wobbema | 5,047 | 64.86% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Knut Gjovik | 2,722 | 34.98% | |
| Total votes | 7,781 | 100% | ||
District 26
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dale Patten | 6,168 | 98.91% | |
| Total votes | 6,236 | 100% | ||
District 28
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Robert Erbele | 6,528 | 74.49% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Richard F. Schlosser | 2,217 | 25.30% | |
| Total votes | 8,764 | 100% | ||
District 30
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Diane Larson | 5,454 | 73.49% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Matthew Zimny | 1,921 | 25.89% | |
| Total votes | 7,421 | 100% | ||
District 32
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dick Dever | 6,141 | 96.62% | |
| Total votes | 6,356 | 100% | ||
District 34
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Justin Gerhardt | 5,918 | 73.64% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Joshua Johnson | 2,101 | 26.14% | |
| Total votes | 8,036 | 100% | ||
District 36
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Desiree Van Oosting | 6,314 | 99.12% | |
| Total votes | 6,370 | 100% | ||
District 38
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Hogue | 6,183 | 97.83% | |
| Total votes | 6,320 | 100% | ||
District 40
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jose L. Castaneda | 4,057 | 97.31% | |
| Total votes | 4,169 | 100% | ||
District 42
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Claire Cory | 2,890 | 60.57% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Rodney John Gigstad | 1,867 | 39.13% | |
| Total votes | 4,771 | 100% | ||
District 44
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Joshua Boschee | 5,362 | 94.58% | |
| Total votes | 5,669 | 100% | ||
District 46
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michelle Powers | 5,102 | 54.49% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Jess Arneson | 4,242 | 45.31% | |
| Total votes | 9,363 | 100% | ||
Notes
- Election for an unexpired 2-year term.