2024 São Paulo municipal election
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The 2024 São Paulo municipal election took place on 6 October 2024, with a runoff held on 27 October. Voters elected a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), ran for reelection.[1]
6 October 2024 (first round)
27 October 2024 (second round) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 72.66% (first round) 68.46% (second round) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Mayoral election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Candidates
Candidates in runoff
| Party | Mayoral candidate | Vice mayoral candidate[a] | Coalition | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB 15) |
Ricardo Nunes Mayor of São Paulo (since 2021) Vice Mayor of São Paulo (2021) Councillor (2013–2021) |
Ricardo de Mello Araújo (PL) Retired military police officer |
Safe Path to São Paulo
| |||
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL 50) |
Guilherme Boulos Federal Deputy (since 2023) |
Marta Suplicy (PT) Senator (2011–2019) Mayor of São Paulo (2001–2005) |
Love for São Paulo
| |||
Candidates failing to make runoff
| Party | Mayoral candidate | Vice mayoral candidate[a] | Coalition | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU 16) |
Altino Prazeres Metro train operator, former president of the São Paulo Metro Workers Union |
Silvana Garcia Leader of housing rights movement |
N/a | |||
Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB 28) |
Pablo Marçal Businessman and coaching digital influencer |
Antônia de Jesus Military police officer |
N/a | |||
Workers' Cause Party (PCO 29) |
João Caproni Pimenta Columnist for the party news site |
Francisco Muniz Musician |
N/a | |||
New Party (NOVO 30) |
Marina Helena Economist, former director of the Special Secretariat of Privatizations of the Ministry of Economics |
Reynaldo Priell Neto Military police officer |
N/a | |||
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB 40) |
Tabata Amaral Federal Deputy (since 2019) |
Lúcia França
First Lady of State of São Paulo (2018) |
N/a | |||
Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB 45) |
Datena TV news presenter |
José Aníbal Senator (2016–2017; 2021–2022) |
Always Forward Federation | |||
Popular Unity (UP 80) |
Ricardo Senese Metro transport operator, director at the National Federation of Metro Workers |
Julia Soares
National Coordinator of the Women's Movement Olga Benário |
N/a | |||
Withdrawn candidates
- Ricardo Salles (PL) - Former Minister of the Environment and Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2023.[2][3]
- Padre Kelmon (DC) - Candidate for president in the 2022 Brazilian general election. He had announced his potential candidacy as a member of the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD), but the party decided to support Nunes' bid for reelection. After this, he joined the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) and announced his candidacy as a member of this party; however, his candidacy was replaced by the candidacy of the businessman Pablo Marçal.[4] Eventually he gave up his political intentions and started supporting the potential candidacy of the businessman Dr. Fernando Fantauzzi (DC).[5]
- Abraham Weintraub (PMB) - Former Minister of Education; World Bank Group Executive Director from the 15th district (2020–2022); candidate for federal deputy from São Paulo in 2022.[6]
- Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) - Anti-corruption activist, MBL leader, and federal deputy from São Paulo since 2019.[7]
- Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) - Businessman and potential candidate for mayor in the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election.[8]
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) - Former municipal secretary of Sports, Leisure and Recreation of São Paulo (2006–2012).[9]
Outgoing Municipal Chamber
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
| Affiliation | Members | +/– | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elected[10] | Current[11] | |||
| MDB | 3 | 11 | ||
| PT | 8 | 9 | ||
| UNIÃO | didn't exist | 7 | ||
| PL | 2 | 6 | ||
| PSD | 3 | 6 | ||
| PSOL | 6 | 5 | ||
| Republicanos | 4 | 3 | ||
| PP | 1 | 2 | ||
| PSB | 2 | 2 | ||
| PODE | 3 | 2 | ||
| PV | 1 | 1 | ||
| NOVO | 2 | 1 | ||
| PSL | 1 | extinct party[b] | ||
| PTB | 1 | extinct party[c] | ||
| PSC | 1 | extinct party[d] | ||
| Patriota | 3 | extinct party[c] | ||
| DEM | 6 | extinct party[b] | ||
| PSDB | 8 | 0 | ||
| Total | 55 | |||
Debates
Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).
| No. | Date, time, and location | Hosts | Moderators | Participants[e] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Present A Absent I Invited N Not invited Out Out of the election E Expelled |
MDB | PSOL | PSDB | PSB | PRTB | NOVO | |||
| Nunes | Boulos | Datena | Amaral | Marçal | Helena | ||||
| 1.1 | 8 August 2024, 22:15 Morumbi, São Paulo |
Bandeirantes | Eduardo Oinegue[17] | P | P | P | P | P | N |
| 1.2 | 14 August 2024, 10:00 FAAP, São Paulo |
Estadão, Terra | Roseann Kennedy | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 1.3 | 19 August 2024, 11:00 ESPM, São Paulo |
Veja | Marcela Rahal | A | A | A | P | P | P |
| 1.4 | 1 September 2024, 18:00 Bela Vista, São Paulo |
TV Gazeta, MyNews | Denise Campos de Toledo | P | P | P | P | P | N |
| 1.5 | 5 September 2024, 22:00 Jardim Paulista, São Paulo |
Jovem Pan | Cancelled | ||||||
| 1.6 | 15 September 2024, 21:00 Teatro B32, São Paulo |
TV Cultura | Leão Serva | P | P | E | P | P | P |
| 1.7 | 17 September 2024, 09:30 Osasco |
RedeTV!, UOL | Amanda Klein | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 1.8 | 20 September 2024, 11:15 Osasco |
SBT | César Filho | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 1.9 | 23 September 2024, 19:00 São Paulo |
Flow Podcast | Carlos Tramontina | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 1.10 | 28 September 2024, Osasco | Record São Paulo | Eduardo Ribeiro | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 1.11 | 30 September 2024, 10:00 | Folha de S. Paulo, UOL | Fabiola Cidral | P | P | N | P | P | N |
| 1.12 | 3 October 2024 Itaim Bibi, São Paulo |
Rede Globo | César Tralli | P | P | P | P | P | N |
| 2.1 | 14 October 2024, 22:15 Morumbi, São Paulo |
Bandeirantes | Eduardo Oinegue | P | P | Out | |||
| 2.2 | 17 October 2024, 09:30 Osasco |
UOL, RedeTV! | Amanda Klein | A | P | Out | |||
| 2.3 | 19 October 2024, 21:00 Barra Funda, São Paulo |
RecordTV | Eduardo Ribeiro | I | I | Out | |||
| 2.4 | 21 October 2024, 10:00 | UOL, Folha de S. Paulo | Fabiola Cidral | I | I | Out | |||
| 2.5 | 25 October 2024, 22:00 Itaim Bibi, São Paulo |
Rede Globo | Cesar Tralli | I | I | Out | |||
Incidents
On 15 September 2024, Pablo Marçal was hospitalised after being assaulted by fellow mayoral candidate Datena with a metal chair during a televised debate on TV Cultura. This followed Marçal and Datena arguing over allegations of sexual misconduct involving the latter. Datena later said that he "had lost his head" after hearing Marçal refer to the allegations against him.[18] On 17 September, Marçal and Ricardo Nunes had a heavy argument live during the debate on RedeTV!, leading the mediator Amanda Klein to warn the two candidates and interrupt the event for a few minutes. The action was praised by other journalists.[19] On 23 September, during the Flow Podcast debate, Marçal was expelled for breaking the rules of the event by insulting Nunes and arguing with the mediator Carlos Tramontina in the closing remarks. Soon after the incident, Nunes' campaign marketing expert, Duda Lima, was punched in the face by one of Marçal's advisors after asking permission to pass while the latter was filming the candidate's expulsion.[20]
Opinion polls
First round
2024
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Marçal PRTB |
Amaral PSB |
M. Helena NOVO |
Pimenta PCO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | 6 October | Valid Votes | 29.49 | 29.08 | 1.84 | 28.15 | 9.91 | 1.38 | 0.02 | 0.14 | – | 0.41 |
| Total Votes | 26.59 | 26.22 | 1.66 | 25.38 | 8.94 | 1.24 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 9.82 | 0.37 | ||
| Quaest | 4–5 October | 2,400 | 24% | 25% | 3% | 23% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 4–5 October | 2,052 | 24% | 27% | 4% | 24% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | 29 Sep–4 Oct | 2,500 | 18.8% | 29.9% | 2.6% | 27.8% | 9.7% | 2% | 0% | 0.7% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Real Time Big Data | 2–3 October | 1,000 | 24% | 26% | 3% | 27% | 12% | 3% | 0% | – | 5% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 1–3 October | 1,806 | 24% | 26% | 4% | 24% | 11% | 2% | 0% | – | 9% | 2% |
| Instituto Veritá | 28 Sep–2 Oct | 3,020 | 20.4% | 26.2% | 3.2% | 34.1% | 7.8% | 3% | 0.1% | 0.8%[f] | 4.4% | 7.9% |
| Real Time Big Data | 30 Sep–1 Oct | 1,500 | 25% | 26% | 3% | 25% | 11% | 3% | 0% | – | 7% | 1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 30 Sep–1 Oct | 1,000 | 26.9% | 20.1% | 3.8% | 26.8% | 9.4% | 2% | 0.4% | 1.5%[g] | 9.8% | 0.1% |
| Vox Brasil | 29 Sep–1 Oct | 1,500 | 27.2% | 24.3% | 5.2% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5%[h] | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Ideia | 27 Sep–1 Oct | 1,200 | 26% | 25% | 4% | 22% | 8% | 5% | 0.1% | 0.4%[i] | 10% | 1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 27–30 September | 1,500 | 27% | 25% | 6% | 22.5% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.6%[j] | 8.1% | 2% |
| Quaest | 27–29 September | 1,800 | 24% | 23% | 6% | 21% | 11% | 2% | 0% | – | 14% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September | 2,190 | 22.9% | 29.4% | 3.2% | 25.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.1% | 0.4%[k] | 2.5% | 4% |
| Real Time Big Data | 27–28 September | 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 5% | 23% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 3%[l] | 8% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 24–26 September | 1,610 | 27% | 25% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 0% | – | 9% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 September | 1,500 | 28% | 24.9% | 7.1% | 20.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.9%[m] | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Instituto Veritá | 22–26 September | 3,020 | 20.1% | 23.3% | 5.3% | 31.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 1.7%[n] | 7.9% | 8.5% |
| Quaest | 21–23 September | 1,200 | 25% | 23% | 6% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 0% | – | 16% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September | 2,218 | 20.9% | 28.3% | 6.9% | 20.9% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 0.2%[o] | 8% | 7.4% |
| Real Time Big Data | 20–21 September | 1,500 | 27% | 24% | 5% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 3%[p] | 11% | 3% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–19 September | 1,500 | 26.8% | 23.7% | 7% | 21% | 8.3% | 1.9% | – | 0.2%[q] | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 16–18 September | 1,000 | 28% | 25.5% | 5.7% | 19.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.4%[r] | 13.6% | 2.5% |
| Datafolha | 17–19 September | 1,204 | 27% | 26% | 6% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 1%[s] | 9% | 1% |
| Quaest | 15–17 September | 1,200 | 24% | 23% | 10% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 0% | – | 14% | 1% |
| Vox | 14–16 September | 1,500 | 27.6% | 22.9% | 6.2% | 19.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.5%[t] | 12.5% | 4.7% |
| Instituto Veritá | 11–15 September | 3,020 | 18.1% | 26% | 5.4% | 32.1% | 5.5% | 3% | 0.2% | 1.2%[u] | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Real Time Big Data | 13–14 September | 1,500 | 24% | 22% | 6% | 22% | 9% | 3% | – | 1%[v] | 13% | 2% |
| Datafolha | 10–12 September | 1,204 | 27% | 25% | 6% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 9–12 September | 1,500 | 25.1% | 24.7% | 7.1% | 21% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8%[w] | 11% | 0.4% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 9–11 September | 1,000 | 26.4% | 22% | 5.8% | 22.8% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 1.2%[x] | 13% | 3.6% |
| Quaest | 8–10 September | 1,200 | 24% | 21% | 8% | 23% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 1%[y] | 13% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September | 2,200 | 20.1% | 28% | 7.2% | 24.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 0% | 0.7%[z] | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Datafolha | 3–5 September | 1,204 | 22% | 23% | 7% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 2%[aa] | 12% | 1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 2–5 September | 1,500 | 23.8% | 23.9% | 8.4% | 21.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 1.2%[ab] | 11.2% | 0.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September | 1,000 | 23.9% | 20.6% | 8.9% | 26.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 1.4%[ac] | 9.9% | 2.3% |
| Real Time Big Data | 31 August–2 September | 1,500 | 20% | 20% | 8% | 21% | 9% | 3% | – | 1% | 18% | 1% |
| 30 August | Beginning of the period of electoral propaganda on radio and television.[21] | |||||||||||
| Quaest | 25–27 August | 1,200 | 19% | 22% | 12% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 2%[ad] | 15% | 3% |
| Gerp | 23–26 August | 1,250 | 19% | 22% | 8% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 0% | –[ae] | 18% | 2% |
| Instituto Veritá | 22–26 August | 3,020 | 14.2% | 21.6% | 6.3% | 30.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 2.4%[af] | 15.1% | 9.3% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 20–24 August | 1,000 | 17.9% | 23.3% | 9.6% | 25.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0% | 0.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% |
| FESPSP | 20–22 August | 1,500 | 21,6% | 23.1% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.1% | 1.2%[ag] | 13.9% | 1.5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August | 1,500 | 24.1% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.8%[ah] | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Datafolha | 20–21 August | 1,204 | 19% | 23% | 10% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1%[ai] | 12% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August | 1,803 | 21.8% | 28.5% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0% | 0.5%[aj] | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Datafolha | 6–8 August | 1,092 | 23% | 22% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1%[ak] | 14% | 1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August | 1,500 | 25.1% | 23.2% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.2%[al] | 11.9% | 1.9% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August | 2,037 | 24.9% | 32.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% | N/a | 0.7%[am] | 6.2% | 7.8% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August | 1,000 | 26.7% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3%[an] | 16.3% | 6.8% |
| 27.2% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | N/a | N/a | 14.2% | 7.9% | |||
| 30.4% | 23.5% | N/a | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | N/a | N/a | 17.6% | 6.9% | |||
| 5 August | The deadline for holding party conventions. After this date, parties must officially announce their candidates.[22] | |||||||||||
| 1 August | Kim Kataguiri officially withdraws from the race, stating that his candidacy was sabotaged by the Brazil Union. He announced at the same press conference his support for Ricardo Nunes' candidacy.[7][23] | |||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Marçal PRTB |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Quaest | 25–28 July | 1,002 | 20% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2%[ao] | 17% | 1% |
| 21% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 4% | N/a | 16% | 2% | |||
| 24% | 22% | N/a | 15% | 8% | 3% | 5% | N/a | 23% | 2% | |||
| 26% | 23% | N/a | 15% | 8% | N/a | 6% | N/a | 22% | 3% | |||
| 33% | 24% | N/a | N/a | 9% | N/a | 8% | N/a | 26% | 9% | |||
| 20 July | At the PSOL party convention, with the presence of President Lula, the "Love for São Paulo" ticket alliance and the candidates for mayor and vice mayor are confirmed – Guilherme Boulos and Marta Suplicy.[24] | |||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Amaral PSB |
Marçal PRTB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| FESPSP | 16–18 July | 1,500 | 22% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 2% | N/a | 19% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July | 1,500 | 26.9% | 24.7% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.7%[ap] | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| 27.7% | 24.8% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 11.5% | N/a | 3.7% | 1.9%[aq] | 11.9% | 2.9% | |||
| 31.9% | 27.5% | N/a | 7.7% | 12.2% | N/a | 4.4% | 2.4%[ar] | 13.8% | 4.4% | |||
| Datafolha | 2–4 July | 1,092 | 24% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 4%[as] | 13% | 1% |
| 26% | 25% | N/a | 9% | 12% | N/a | 7% | 5%[at] | 16% | 1% | |||
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June | 1,500 | 28% | 29% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0%[au] | 10% | 1% |
| 29% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 14% | N/a | 1% | 10% | Tie | ||||
| Futura/100% Cidades | 24–25 June | 1,000 | 20.4% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 3% | 1%[av] | 16.4% | 3.8% |
| 24.6% | 24.8% | N/a | 8.5% | 14.1% | N/a | 3.5% | N/a | 24.5% | 0.2% | |||
| 25.2% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 8.1% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26.5% | 2.5% | |||
| 24.5% | 24.4% | N/a | 10% | 12.3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 28.8% | 0.1% | |||
| Quaest | 22–25 June | 1,002 | 22% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 2%[aw] | 15% | 1% |
| 25% | 23% | 19% | 8% | N/a | 5% | 4% | N/a | 16% | 2% | |||
| 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 11% | N/a | 5% | N/a | 13% | 1% | |||
| 28% | 24% | N/a | 10% | 13% | N/a | 6% | N/a | 19% | 4% | |||
| 30% | 25% | N/a | 10% | N/a | 5% | 8% | N/a | 22% | 5% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June | 1,500 | 28.5% | 25.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.2%[ax] | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| 31.1% | 27% | N/a | 11.2% | 11.9% | N/a | 3.9% | 1.7%[ay] | 13.4% | 4.1% | |||
| Instituto Veritá[link removed] | 15–19 June | 1,202 | 16.9% | 28.9% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 14% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3%[az] | 13.3% | 12% |
| Instituto Gerp | 13–17 June | 1,000 | 21% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 0%[ba] | 30% | 1% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June | 2,220 | 23.4% | 35.7% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2% | 2.9% | 12.3% | |
| 32.4% | 37.5% | N/a | 11.8% | N/a | 8.2% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | ||||
| Datafolha | 27–28 May | 1,092 | 23% | 24% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4%[bb] | 18% | 1% |
| 26% | 24% | N/a | 9% | 9% | N/a | 6% | 5%[bc] | 21% | 2% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May | 1,500 | 28.1% | 24.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.8%[bd] | 14% | 3.9% |
| 28.2% | 24.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | N/a | 14% | 4% | |||
| 33.1% | 26.9% | N/a | 11.5% | 6.9% | N/a | 4.1% | N/a | 16.7% | 6.2% | |||
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May | 1,670 | 20.5% | 37.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5%[be] | 2.3% | 16.7% |
| 32.6% | 37.2% | N/a | 11.1% | N/a | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.2%[bf] | 5% | 4.6% | |||
| 24 May | The Brazilian Labour Renewal Party confirms the candidacy of Pablo Marçal.[25] | |||||||||||
| 15 May | The Brazilian Social Democracy Party confirms the candidacy of José Luiz Datena.[26] | |||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Amaral PSB |
Marçal PRTB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May | 1,000 | 27.1% | 26.1% | N/a | 9.7% | N/a | 5.1% | 4.9% | N/a | 26.9% | 1% |
| 23% | 22.6% | 15.2% | 8.6% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 0.7%[bg] | 19.8% | 0.4% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May | 1,200 | 27.3% | 25.7% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 4% | 3.6% | 0.3%[bh] | 13.5% | 1.6% |
| 35.2% | 29.8% | N/a | 10.6% | N/a | N/a | 5.7% | 1.7%[bi] | 17.2% | 5.4% | |||
| AtlasIntel | 18–22 April | 1,629 | 33.7% | 35.6% | N/a | 14.7% | N/a | 9.4% | 3.5% | N/a | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Instituto Badra | 11–13 April | 1,500 | 26% | 17% | N/a | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 9% |
| 30% | 20% | N/a | 16% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33% | 10% | |||
| 30%[bj] | 21%[bk] | N/a | 17%[bl] | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | 9% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March | 1,350 | 32% | 30.1% | N/a | 9.6% | N/a | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1%[bm] | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| 34.3% | 30.6% | N/a | 10.5% | N/a | N/a | 6.3% | 1.3%[bn] | 17% | 3.7% | |||
| Datafolha | 7–8 March | 1,090 | 29% | 30% | N/a | 8% | N/a | 4% | 7% | 2%[bo] | 20% | 1% |
| 30% | 29% | N/a | 9% | N/a | N/a | 7% | 1%[bp] | 23% | 1% | |||
| 33% | 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 8% | 2%[bq] | 24% | Tie | |||
| RealTime Big Data | 1–2 March | 2,000 | 29% | 34% | N/a | 10% | N/a | 6% | 1% | 1%[br] | 19% | 5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February | 1,502 | 32% | 33% | N/a | 9.7% | N/a | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7%[bs] | 16.1% | 1% |
| 34.7% | 33.4% | N/a | 10.5% | N/a | N/a | 3.8% | N/a | 17.6% | 1.3% | |||
2023
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December | 1,600 | 18% | 29.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 18.4%[bt] | 22.1% | 11.5% |
| 23.1% | 37.9% | 8% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 23.5%[bu] | N/a | 14.8% | |||
| ABC Dados | 18 December | 1,061 | 16% | 29% | 8% | 10% | N/a | 12%[bv] | 25% | 13% |
| Instituto Veritá | 14–16 December | 1,003 | 5.5% | 18.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 34.5%[bw] | 34.4% | 13.2% |
| 10.2% | 24.2% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 16.3%[bx] | 49.3% | 7.9%[by] | |||
| Futura Inteligência | 11–13 December | 1,015 | 21% | 25.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 9.4%[bz] | 27.8% | 4.6% |
| 21% | 24.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | N/a | 16.1%[ca] | 27.6% | 3.6% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 6–9 December | 1,046 | 25.4% | 31.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 8.9%[cb] | 17.3% | 5.7% |
| 29.1% | 32.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | N/a | 19% | 3.3% | |||
| Badra | 2–4 October | 2,500 | 21% | 29% | 7% | 5% | N/a | 3%[cc] | 35% | 8% |
| 20% | 28% | N/a | 4% | N/a | 12%[cd] | 36% | 8% | |||
| 25% | 30% | 9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | 5% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 21–24 September | 1,066 | 29% | 35.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | N/a | 2.8%[ce] | 20.3% | 6.1% |
| 20 September | The party Solidariedade announces support to Nunes' reelection.[27] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Poit NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Datafolha | 29–30 August | 1,092 | 24% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | N/a | 23% | 8% |
| 5 August | Workers' Party (PT) announces support to Boulos' candidacy.[28] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
E. Bolsonaro PL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Instituto Gerp | 10–17 July | 800 | 6% | 26% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 4%[cf] | 39% | 8% |
| 28 June | José Luiz Datena withdraws from the race.[29] | |||||||||
| 5 June | Ricardo Salles withdraws from the race.[30] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PDT |
Salles PL |
Amaral PSB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 30 Apr–4 May | 1,208 | 17.8% | 31.5% | N/a | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.4%[cg] | 27.3% | 13.7% |
| 13.6%[ch] | 39.2%[ci] | N/a | 20.4%[cj] | 7.7%[ck] | 5%[cl] | N/a | 18.8% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 February | 1,012 | 7.9% | 26.3% | 24.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 13.4%[cm] | 19.4% | 2% |
| 8.6% | 32% | N/a | N/a | 5.1% | 33.6%[cn] | 20.7% | 12.1% | |||
| 11.1% | 32.9% | N/a | 7.5% | 5.2% | 17.4%[co] | 25.9% | 21.8% | |||
| 15% | 36.7% | N/a | 10.1% | N/a | 8.4%[cp] | 29.8% | 11.7% | |||
Second round
Guilherme Boulos and Ricardo Nunes
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datafolha | 8–9 October | 1,204 | 55% | 33% | 12% | 22% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 7–9 October | 1,200 | 52.8% | 39% | 8.2% | 13.8% |
| Fespsp | 7–9 October | 1,500 | 51.4% | 35.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% |
| First round - 6 October | ||||||
| Quaest | 4–5 October | 2,400 | 51% | 33% | 16% | 18% |
| Datafolha | 4–5 October | 2,052 | 52% | 37% | 11% | 15% |
| AtlasIntel | 29 Sep–4 Oct | 2,500 | 46% | 37% | 18% | 9% |
| Real Time Big Data | 2–3 October 2024 | 1,000 | 48% | 36% | 16% | 12% |
| Datafolha | 1–3 October 2024 | 1,806 | 52% | 37% | 11% | 15% |
| Real Time Big Data | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,500 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 53.9% | 27% | 19.1% | 26.9% |
| Ideia | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,200 | 54% | 33% | 13% | 21% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 27–30 September 2024 | 1,500 | 51.5% | 33.6% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| Quaest | 27–29 September 2024 | 1,800 | 49% | 33% | 18% | 16% |
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September 2024 | 2,190 | 48% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
| Real Time Big Data | 27–28 September 2024 | 1,500 | 49% | 34% | 17% | 15% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 September 2024 | 1,500 | 51.6% | 32.7% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| Quaest | 21–23 September 2024 | 1,200 | 49% | 32% | 19% | 17% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September 2024 | 2,218 | 39.5% | 41.7% | 18.8% | 2.2% |
| Real Time Big Data | 20–21 September 2024 | 1,500 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–19 September 2024 | 1,500 | 50.1% | 32.1% | 17.8% | 18% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 16–18 September 2024 | 1,000 | 49% | 30.9% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| Datafolha | 17–19 September 2024 | 1,204 | 52% | 37% | 11% | 15% |
| Quaest | 15–17 September 2024 | 1,200 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 11% |
| Real Time Big Data | 13–14 September 2024 | 1,500 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 13% |
| Datafolha | 10–12 September 2024 | 1,204 | 53% | 38% | 9% | 15% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 9–12 September 2024 | 1,500 | 51.1% | 33.6% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 9–11 September 2024 | 1,000 | 52.6% | 26.8% | 20.6% | 25.8% |
| Quaest | 8–10 September 2024 | 1,200 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September 2024 | 2,200 | 45.7% | 38.5% | 15.8% | 7.2% |
| Datafolha | 3–5 September 2024 | 1,204 | 49% | 37% | 14% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 2–5 September 2024 | 1,500 | 49.7% | 33.6% | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September 2024 | 1,000 | 54.1% | 27.8% | 18.1% | 26.3% |
| Real Time Big Data | 31 August–2 September 2024 | 1,500 | 45% | 35% | 20% | 10% |
| Quaest | 25–27 August 2024 | 1,200 | 46% | 33% | 21% | 13% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 20–24 August 2024 | 1,000 | 46.7% | 30.9% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| FESPSP | 20–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 41.9% | 36.2% | 21.9% | 5.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 50.7% | 34.2% | 15.1% | 16.5% |
| Datafolha | 20–21 August 2024 | 1,204 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 40.9% | 36.8% | 22.4% | 4.1% |
| Datafolha | 6–8 August 2024 | 1,092 | 49% | 36% | 15% | 13% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August 2024 | 1,500 | 50.1% | 35.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 42% | 42.4% | 15.6% | 0.4% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 50.2% | 32.3% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 13% |
| FESPSP | 16–18 July 2024 | 1,500 | 43% | 36% | 21% | 7% |
| 16–18 July 2024[cq] | 36% | 46% | 18% | 10% | ||
| 16–18 July 2024[cr] | 38% | 46% | 16% | 8% | ||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July 2024 | 1,500 | 50.5% | 35% | 14.5% | 15.5% |
| Datafolha | 2–4 July 2024 | 1,092 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% |
| Quaest | 22–25 June 2024 | 1,002 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 49% | 33.9% | 17% | 15.1% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,500 | 48.1% | 35.9% | 16% | 12.2% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 46% | 43.5% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,000 | 44.4% | 33.9% | 21.6% | 10.5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 46.8% | 37.6% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Atlas/Intel | 18–22 April 2024 | 1,629 | 44.8% | 44.3% | 10.9% | 0.5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 46% | 39.1% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| RealTime Big Data | 1–2 March 2024 | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 43.3% | 39.6% | 17.1% | 3.7% |
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 37.2% | 33.8% | 29% | 3.4% |
| Instituto Veritá | 14–16 December 2023 | 1,003 | 24.4% | 27.6% | 47.9% | 3.2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 6–9 December 2023 | 1,046 | 41.3% | 39.8% | 19% | 1.5% |
Guilherme Boulos and Pablo Marçal
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Marçal PRTB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Time Big Data | 2–3 October 2024 | 1,000 | 41% | 40% | 19% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 1–3 October 2024 | 1,806 | 48% | 36% | 16% | 12% |
| Real Time Big Data | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 40.2% | 42.4% | 17.4% | 2.2% |
| Ideia | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,200 | 45% | 35% | 21% | 10% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 27–30 September 2024 | 1,500 | 45.1% | 39.1% | 15.8% | 6% |
| Quaest | 27–29 September 2024 | 1,800 | 41% | 36% | 23% | 5% |
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September 2024 | 2,190 | 48% | 40% | 12% | 8% |
| Real Time Big Data | 27–28 September 2024 | 1,500 | 41% | 38% | 21% | 3% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 September 2024 | 1,500 | 43.7% | 36.6% | 19.7% | 7.1% |
| Quaest | 21–23 September 2024 | 1,200 | 41% | 36% | 23% | 5% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September 2024 | 2,218 | 44.4% | 38.5% | 17.1% | 5.9% |
| Real Time Big Data | 20–21 September 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–19 September 2024 | 1,500 | 43.6% | 37.9% | 18.5% | 5.7% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 16–18 September 2024 | 1,000 | 40.8% | 36.3% | 22.9% | 4.5% |
| Datafolha | 17–19 September 2024 | 1,204 | 50% | 36% | 14% | 14% |
| Quaest | 15–17 September 2024 | 1,200 | 42% | 36% | 22% | 6% |
| Real Time Big Data | 13–14 September 2024 | 1,500 | 39% | 38% | 23% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 10–12 September 2024 | 1,204 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 9–12 September 2024 | 1,500 | 43.3% | 37.2% | 19.5% | 6.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 9–11 September 2024 | 1,000 | 40.3% | 37.5% | 22% | 2.8% |
| Quaest | 8–10 September 2024 | 1,200 | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September 2024 | 2,200 | 44.1% | 43.2% | 12.7% | 0.9% |
| Datafolha | 3–5 September 2024 | 1,204 | 45% | 39% | 15% | 6% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 2–5 September 2024 | 1,500 | 43.1% | 37.9% | 19.0% | 5.2% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September 2024 | 1,000 | 37.7% | 43.4% | 18.9% | 5.7% |
| Real Time Big Data | 31 August–2 September 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 37% | 23% | 3% |
| Quaest | 25–27 August 2024 | 1,200 | 38% | 38% | 24% | Tie |
| Futura 100% Cidades | 20–24 August 2024 | 1,000 | 39.4% | 39.3% | 21.3% | 0.1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 42.9% | 38.3% | 18.8% | 4.6% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 38.4% | 35.4% | 26.2% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 44.1% | 35.2% | 20.7% | 8.9% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 40.1% | 30.7% | 29.2% | 9.4% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July 2024 | 1,500 | 44.8% | 33.7% | 21.5% | 11.1% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 45.5% | 29.3% | 25.1% | 16.2% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
Guilherme Boulos and Tabata Amaral
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September 2024 | 2,190 | 37% | 35% | 28% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September 2024 | 2,218 | 31.5% | 33.2% | 35.3% | 1.7% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September 2024 | 2,200 | 33.8% | 33.8% | 32.4% | Tie |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8% | 33.1% | 34.1% | 0.3% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 29.8% | 29.1% | 41.1% | 0.7% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 37.7% | 27.4% | 34.9% | 10.3% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 33.9% | 31.7% | 34.4% | 2.2% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 44% | 16% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 34% | 26% | 6% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 40% | 34% | 26% | 6% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,500 | 41.7% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 9.5% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 37.7% | 25.5% | 36.8% | 12.2% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,000 | 35.4% | 32% | 32.6% | 3.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 43.6% | 33.9% | 22.5% | 9.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 43.3% | 34.3% | 22.4% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 43.4% | 30.4% | 26.1% | 13% |
Guilherme Boulos and José Luiz Datena
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaest | 25–27 August 2024 | 1,200 | 34% | 40% | 26% | 6% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 35.6% | 27.5% | 36.9% | 8.1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August 2024 | 1,500 | 39% | 43% | 18% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 39.9% | 29.5% | 30.7% | 10.4% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 36.5% | 35.5% | 28% | 1% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Quaest | 22–25 June 2024 | 1,002 | 35% | 43% | 22% | 8% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 44% | 27% | 28% | 17% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 41.5% | 27.9% | 30.6% | 13.6% |
Ricardo Nunes and Pablo Marçal
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Marçal PRTB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Time Big Data | 2–3 October 2024 | 1,000 | 43% | 35% | 22% | 8% |
| Datafolha | 1–3 October 2024 | 1,806 | 56% | 28% | 16% | 28% |
| Real Time Big Data | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,500 | 44% | 34% | 22% | 10% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 51.7% | 31.2% | 17.1% | 20.5% |
| Ideia | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2024 | 1,200 | 55% | 27% | 18% | 28% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 27–30 September 2024 | 1,500 | 53.9% | 28.5% | 17.6% | 25.4% |
| Quaest | 27–29 September 2024 | 1,800 | 53% | 26% | 21% | 27% |
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September 2024 | 2,190 | 46% | 30% | 24% | 16% |
| Real Time Big Data | 27–28 September 2024 | 1,500 | 45% | 33% | 22% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 September 2024 | 1,500 | 54.7% | 25.8% | 19.5% | 28.9% |
| Quaest | 21–23 September 2024 | 1,200 | 52% | 25% | 23% | 27% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September 2024 | 2,218 | 47.5% | 28% | 24.5% | 19.5% |
| Real Time Big Data | 20–21 September 2024 | 1,500 | 44% | 32% | 24% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–19 September 2024 | 1,500 | 52.3% | 27.4% | 20.3% | 24.9% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 16–18 September 2024 | 1,000 | 57.1% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 31.4% |
| Datafolha | 17–19 September 2024 | 1,204 | 60% | 25% | 15% | 35% |
| Quaest | 15–17 September 2024 | 1,200 | 47% | 27% | 26% | 20% |
| Real Time Big Data | 13–14 September 2024 | 1,500 | 42% | 32% | 26% | 10% |
| Datafolha | 10–12 September 2024 | 1,204 | 59% | 27% | 14% | 32% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 9–12 September 2024 | 1,500 | 51.4% | 27.3% | 21.3% | 24.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 9–11 September 2024 | 1,000 | 49.3% | 28.9% | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| Quaest | 8–10 September 2024 | 1,200 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September 2024 | 2,200 | 48.2% | 29.2% | 22.6% | 19% |
| Datafolha | 3–5 September 2024 | 1,204 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 22% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 2–5 September 2024 | 1,500 | 50.1% | 27.7% | 22.2% | 22.4% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September 2024 | 1,000 | 50.7% | 29.9% | 19.4% | 20.8% |
| Real Time Big Data | 31 August–2 September 2024 | 1,500 | 39% | 33% | 28% | 6% |
| Quaest | 25–27 August 2024 | 1,200 | 47% | 26% | 27% | 21% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 20–24 August 2024 | 1,000 | 45.3% | 29.9% | 24.8% | 15.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 52.1% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 26.4% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 46% | 22% | 32% | 24% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 15% |
Ricardo Nunes and Tabata Amaral
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September 2024 | 2,190 | 42% | 44% | 14% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September 2024 | 2,218 | 35.2% | 46.8% | 18% | 11.6% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September 2024 | 2,200 | 40.4% | 42% | 17.6% | 1.6% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September 2024 | 1,000 | 55% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 29.6% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 0.3% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 38.3% | 43.4% | 18.3% | 5.1% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 47% | 26% | 27% | 21% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 43% | 42% | 15% | 1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 48.3% | 30.5% | 21.1% | 17.8% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 42% | 37% | 20% | 5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,500 | 49.5% | 30% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 42.4% | 38.3% | 19.3% | 4.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,000 | 43.9% | 30% | 26.1% | 13.9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 49.6% | 30.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| Atlas/Intel | 18–22 April 2024 | 1,629 | 42.6% | 44.3% | 13.1% | 1.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 48.4% | 30% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 48.3% | 28.8% | 22.9% | 19.5% |
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 36.5% | 26.3% | 37.1% | 10.2% |
Ricardo Nunes and José Luiz Datena
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Datena PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–4 September 2024 | 1,000 | 57.7% | 21.7% | 20.6% | 36% |
| Quaest | 25–27 August 2024 | 1,200 | 45% | 31% | 24% | 14% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 52.5% | 32.1% | 15.3% | 20.4% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 40.8% | 28.7% | 30.5% | 12.1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August 2024 | 1,500 | 47.2% | 35% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 38.7% | 28.9% | 32.4% | 9.8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July 2024 | 1,500 | 47.7% | 29.3% | 23% | 18.4% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 7% |
| Quaest | 22–25 June 2024 | 1,002 | 43% | 34% | 23% | 9% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 43% | 30% | 27% | 13% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 45.4% | 21.4% | 33.2% | 24% |
Tabata Amaral and José Luiz Datena
Pablo Marçal and José Luiz Datena
Pablo Marçal and Tabata Amaral
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Marçal PRTB |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 24–29 September 2024 | 2,190 | 38% | 56% | 6% | 18% |
| AtlasIntel | 17–22 September 2024 | 2,218 | 36.9% | 48.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
| AtlasIntel | 5–10 September 2024 | 2,200 | 43.4% | 49.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
Results
Mayor
| Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Ricardo Nunes (incumbent) | Ricardo de Mello Araújo (PL) | Brazilian Democratic Movement | 1,801,139 | 29.49 | 3,393,110 | 59.35 | |
| Guilherme Boulos | Marta Suplicy (PT) | Socialism and Liberty Party | 1,776,127 | 29.08 | 2,323,901 | 40.65 | |
| Pablo Marçal | Antônia de Jesus | Brazilian Labour Renewal Party | 1,719,274 | 28.15 | |||
| Tabata Amaral | Lúcia França | Brazilian Socialist Party | 605,552 | 9.91 | |||
| Datena | José Aníbal | Brazilian Social Democracy Party | 112,344 | 1.84 | |||
| Marina Helena | Reynaldo Priell Neto | New Party | 84,212 | 1.38 | |||
| Ricardo Senese | Julia Sousa | Popular Unity | 5,593 | 0.09 | |||
| Altino Prazeres | Silvana Garcia | United Socialist Workers' Party | 3,017 | 0.05 | |||
| João Pimenta | Francisco Muniz | Workers' Cause Party | 960 | 0.02 | |||
| Total | 6,108,218 | 100.00 | 5,717,011 | 100.00 | |||
| Valid votes | 6,108,218 | 90.18 | 5,717,011 | 89.58 | |||
| Invalid votes | 423,635 | 6.25 | 430,756 | 6.75 | |||
| Blank votes | 241,734 | 3.57 | 234,317 | 3.67 | |||
| Total votes | 6,773,587 | 100.00 | 6,382,084 | 100.00 | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 9,322,444 | 72.66 | 9,322,444 | 68.46 | |||
| MDB hold | |||||||
Municipal Chamber
Members elected
| Candidate | Party | % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pavanato | PL | 2.78 | 161,386 | |
| Ana Carolina Oliveira | PODE | 2.24 | 129,563 | |
| Murilo Lima | PP | 1.96 | 113,820 | |
| Israel Nantes | PP | 1.94 | 112,484 | |
| Amanda Paschoal | PSOL | 1.87 | 108,654 | |
| Rubinho Nunes | UNIÃO | 1.75 | 101,549 | |
| Luna Zarattini | PT | 1.74 | 100,921 | |
| Luana Alves | PSOL | 1.44 | 83,262 | |
| Sandra Tadeu | PL | 1.29 | 74,511 | |
| Sandra Alves | UNIÃO | 1.28 | 74,192 | |
| Silvio Leite | UNIÃO | 1.10 | 63,988 | |
| Isac Félix | PL | 1.07 | 62,275 | |
| Zoe Martinez | PL | 1.04 | 60,272 | |
| Rodrigo Goulart | PSD | 1.04 | 58,715 | |
| Danilo Cortez | PODE | 1.01 | 58,676 | |
| Gabriel Abreu | PODE | 1.01 | 58,581 | |
| Edir Sales | PSD | 1.00 | 58,190 | |
| Alessandro Guedes | PT | 1.00 | 58,183 | |
| Celso Giannazi | PSOL | 1.00 | 57,789 | |
| Cris Monteiro | NOVO | 0.98 | 56,904 | |
| Silvio Pereira | UNIÃO | 0.92 | 53,453 | |
| Thammy Miranda | PSD | 0.87 | 50,234 | |
| Nabil Bonduki | PT | 0.85 | 49,540 | |
| Janaina Paschoal | PP | 0.84 | 48,893 | |
| Fabio Riva | MDB | 0.77 | 44,627 | |
| Marcos Palumbo | PP | 0.75 | 43,455 | |
| Rute Costa | PL | 0.74 | 43,090 | |
| Sidney Cruz | MDB | 0.74 | 42,988 | |
| George Hato | MDB | 0.74 | 42,837 | |
| Sansão Pereira | Republicanos | 0.73 | 42,229 | |
| André Santos | Republicanos | 0.71 | 41,379 | |
| Hélio Rodrigues | PT | 0.70 | 40,753 | |
| Amanda Vettorazzo | UNIÃO | 0.69 | 40,144 | |
| Marcelo Messias | MDB | 0.69 | 40,079 | |
| Marina Bragante | REDE | 0.68 | 39,147 | |
| Xexéu Tripoli | PV | 0.67 | 39,039 | |
| Simone Ganem | PODE | 0.66 | 38,540 | |
| Sandra Santana | MDB | 0.66 | 38,326 | |
| João Jorge | MDB | 0.63 | 36,296 | |
| Ely Teruel | MDB | 0.61 | 35,622 | |
| Toninho Vespoli | PSOL | 0.60 | 34,735 | |
| Sílvia Ferraro | PSOL | 0.60 | 34,537 | |
| Sonaira Fernandes | PL | 0.59 | 33,957 | |
| Milton Ferreira | PODE | 0.58 | 33,493 | |
| João Ananias | PT | 0.57 | 33,225 | |
| Kenji Palumbo | PODE | 0.56 | 32,495 | |
| Ricardo Teixeira | UNIÃO | 0.54 | 31,566 | |
| Jair Tatto | PT | 0.53 | 30,905 | |
| Eliseu Gabriel | PSB | 0.53 | 30,706 | |
| Dheison Silva | PT | 0.53 | 30,575 | |
| Senival Moura | PT | 0.53 | 30,480 | |
| Renata Falzoni | PSB | 0.52 | 30,206 | |
| Keit Lima | PSOL | 0.48 | 27,769 | |
| Adrilles Jorge | UNIÃO | 0.43 | 25,038 | |
| Gilberto Nascimento | PL | 0.38 | 22,306 | |
Notes
- Same party as the mayoral candidate, unless mentioned in parentheses
- Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% and Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.1%
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1.5%; Ricardo Senese (UP) did not score.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2% each; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.1%
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.2%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each.
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2% each.
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1%
- Bebeto Haddad (DC), Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.4%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.2%
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1.2%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2%
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each.
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.1% each.
- Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% and Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC)
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2%, Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.1%
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.9%, Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.2% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each.
- The sum of the candidates Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Bebeto Haddad (DC), João Pimenta (PCO) and Ricardo Senese (UP) reached 1%.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.2%.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.7%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC)
- Ricardo Senese (UP)
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.9%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.1%.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 2%.
- The other candidates did not even score 1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1.7%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.3%.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each.
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1%.
- Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2%.
- Voting intentions for Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1%; candidates Ricardo Senese (UP) and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) did not even reach less than 1% each.
- Voting intentions for Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.5%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.4% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3%.
- Voting intentions for Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.7%.
- Voting intentions for Kim Kataguiri with 1.1%; candidates Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres had 0.1% each.
- Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1% each
- João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.9%; Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% each and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.2%
- João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.9%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% each
- João Pimenta (PCO) with 1.1%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.6%; Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.4% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3%
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Pimenta (PCO) with 1% each
- João Pimenta (PCO) with 2%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Pimenta (PCO) did not reach 1%
- Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.6%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% and João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.1%.
- João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
- João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.4%; Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.2%
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.5% each; João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.4% and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), 0.3%
- Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 1.1%; João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.8%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1%
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU); Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) with 1% each
- João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) with 3%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 1% each one
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.5%; João Caproni Pimenta (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each
- With Sonaira Fernandes (Republicanos) as his running mate.
- With Marta Suplicy (PT) as his running mate.
- With José Luiz Datena (PSDB) as her running mate.
- Padre Kelmon (DC)
- Padre Kelmon (DC)
- Ricardo Salles (PL) with 17.6% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.8%
- Ricardo Salles (PL) with 22.5% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 1%
- Ricardo Salles (PL)
- Marcos Pontes (PL), 15.8%; Marta Suplicy (PT), 14.0% Pablo Marçal (independent), 2.8%; Marco Vinholi (PSDB), 1.9%
- Ricardo Salles (PL), 16.3%
- Against Ricardo Salles (PL)
- Ricardo Salles (PL)
- Marcos Pontes (PL) with 13% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
- Ricardo Salles (PL) with 8.3% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.6%
- Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- Márcio França (PSB) with 9% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3%
- Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 3% and Fernando Holiday (PL) with 1%.
- Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- If endorsed by Planning Minister Simone Tebet (MDB)
- If endorsed by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
- If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL)
- If endorsed by Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB)
- Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5%, if endorsed by Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema (NOVO)
- Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.5%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1.6%
- Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 19.1%, Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.9%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.1%
- Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 10.3%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 4.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.6%
- Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 5.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
- Possible second round scenarios in which voters are informed that Marta Suplicy (PT) is Boulos' running mate and that Ricardo Mello (PL) is Nunes' running mate.
- Possible second round scenarios in which voters are informed of President Lula's (PT) support for Boulos' candidacy and former President Bolsonaro's (PL) support for Nunes' candidacy.