2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Connecticut. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[1] Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Murphy won re-election to a third term with 58.58% of the vote in a rematch with his 2018 opponent Matthew Corey. This was the first election in Murphy's senatorial career where he did not carry Windham County, as well as the first time Windham voted Republican in Connecticut's Class 1 Senate seat since 1988.[a]
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November 5, 2024
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Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Corey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Murphy, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Endorsements
Chris Murphy
U.S representatives
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[3]
Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[4]
- Giffords[3]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[5]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[6]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[7]
- J Street PAC[8]
- League of Conservation Voters[9]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[10]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[11]
- Population Connection Action Fund[12]
- Sierra Club[13]
Political parties
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Chris Murphy (D) | $13,279,807 | $8,327,715 | $9,736,809 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Murphy (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | N/a | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Gerry Smith, first selectman[b] of Beacon Falls[17]
Endorsements
Matthew Corey
Organizations
- Connecticut Republican Assembly[18]
Gerry Smith
Political Parties
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Matthew Corey (R) | $30,770[c] | $19,926 | $28,212 |
| Robert Hyde (R) | $743 | $696 | $47 |
| Gerry Smith (R) | $61,506 | $55,895 | $5,611 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Results
Corey—80–90%
Corey—70–80%
Corey—60–70%
Corey—50–60%
Tied
Smith—50–60%
Smith—60–70%
Smith—70–80%
Smith—80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matthew Corey | 19,228 | 54.74% | |
| Republican | Gerry Smith | 15,900 | 45.26% | |
| Total votes | 35,128 | 100.00% | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Declared
- Justin Paglino, co-chair of the Connecticut Green Party and nominee for Connecticut's 3rd congressional district in 2020 and 2022[20]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[25] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[26] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[27] | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[28] | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[29] | Solid D | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
Results
|
Murphy
50–60%
60–70% |
Corey
40–50%
50–60% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Murphy | 953,646 | 55.83 |  0.97 | |
| Working Families | Chris Murphy | 47,049 | 2.75 |  0.02 | |
| Total | Chris Murphy (incumbent) | 1,000,695 | 58.58 | 0.95 | |
| Republican | Matthew Corey | 678,256 | 39.70 | 0.35 | |
| Cheaper Gas Groceries | Robert F. Hyde | 14,879 | 0.87 | N/A | |
| Green | Justin Paglino | 14,422 | 0.84 | 0.36 | |
| Write-in | 7 | 0.00 |  | ||
| Total votes | 1,708,259 | 100.00 | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County | Chris Murphy
Democratic |
Matthew Corey
Republican |
Various candidates
Other parties |
Total votes cast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 265,597 | 60.3% | 168,556 | 38.27% | 6,273 | 1.42% | 440,426 |
| Hartford | 259,568 | 62.19% | 150,084 | 35.96% | 7,744 | 1.85% | 417,396 |
| Litchfield | 49,766 | 48.0% | 52,285 | 50.43% | 1,633 | 1.57% | 103,684 |
| Middlesex | 54,503 | 57.21% | 39,156 | 41.1% | 1,603 | 1.68% | 95,262 |
| New Haven | 224,025 | 58.25% | 153,763 | 39.98% | 6,828 | 1.77% | 384,616 |
| New London | 77,429 | 58.24% | 52,861 | 39.76% | 2,655 | 2.0% | 132,945 |
| Tolland | 43,691 | 54.94% | 34,433 | 43.3% | 1,404 | 1.76% | 79,528 |
| Windham | 26,116 | 48.01% | 27,118 | 49.85% | 1,168 | 1.15% | 54,402 |
| Total | 1,000,695 | 58.58% | 678,256 | 39.7% | 29,308 | 1.71% | 1,708,259 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Murphy won all five congressional districts.[32]
| District | Murphy | Corey | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 62.4% | 35.7% | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 55.5% | 42.7% | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 59.4% | 38.7% | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 61.5% | 37.1% | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 54.5% | 43.9% | Jahana Hayes |
Notes
- Windham County also voted against the Democratic nominee in Connecticut's Class 3 seat in 2022, and voted against the Democratic nominee in 2006, where it was won by Joe Lieberman, the then-incumbent Democratic Senator who ran a third-party campaign under the Connecticut for Lieberman party banner.
- Mayor
- $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Corey
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Partisan clients