2024 United States presidential election in New York
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York had 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]
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November 5, 2024
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Prior to the election, New York was considered to be a state Harris would win or a safe blue state. Although it remained comfortably Democratic, New York was the state that had the biggest Republican swing out of any state in the nation in the 2024 election, with Trump greatly improving his performance by winning 43.31% of the state's vote, compared to 36.75% in the 2016 election and 37.74% in 2020. New York followed a trend of blue states, such as Massachusetts, New Jersey, Illinois and California voting more Republican than in 2020.[2][3]
Harris had the smallest Democratic margin in New York City (NYC) of any Democratic nominee since 1988, with Trump becoming the first Republican to win at least 30% of the vote in NYC since 1988. Turnout in New York state was also down by approximately 7.5% compared to 2020, which likely contributed to reduced Democratic margins in many parts of the state. The Bronx and Queens swung toward Trump by more than 20 percentage points from 2020; these were among the largest county swings toward Trump outside of South Texas and Imperial County, California. Nonetheless, Harris still won the state by a decisive margin of 12.6 percentage points.
Polling had indicated a potentially closer race in New York in 2024 than in 2016 or 2020, but Democrats still consistently led by margins well outside the margin of error.[4][5] Nonetheless, Trump's performance in New York was the strongest of any Republican presidential candidate since Vice President George H. W. Bush lost by just 4.1 points in the 1988 election, having decreased the Democratic margin of victory by 10.57 percentage points compared to 2020.[6]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 2, alongside primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 288,090 | 80.71 | 268 |
| Marianne Williamson | 15,567 | 4.36 | 0 |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 11,302 | 3.17 | 0 |
| Blank ballots | 41,092 | 11.51 | — |
| Void ballots | 904 | 0.25 | — |
| Total | 356,955 | 100% | 268 |
Primary polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Different Candidate |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[8] | Sep 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
| Siena College[9] | Aug 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Siena College[10] | Jun 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
| Siena College[11] | May 7–11, 2023 | 810 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
| Siena College[12] | Mar 19–22, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 51% | 7% |
Republican primary
The New York Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the Connecticut primary.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 132,698 | 81.2% | 91 | 91 | |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 21,145 | 12.9% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 6,679 | 4.1% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,667 | 1.0% | |||
| Blank or void ballots | 1,311 | 0.8% | |||
| Total: | 163,500 | 100.0% | 91 | 91 | |
General election
Only two candidates appeared on the ballot in New York: Kamala Harris (under the Democratic and Working Families Party tickets) and Donald Trump (under the Republican and New York Conservative Party tickets).[14] Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not appear on the ballot in New York[15] after Judge Christina Ryba of the 3rd New York Judicial District[16] ruled that he falsely listed his place of residence as Katonah, New York but actually lived in Los Angeles.[17]
The state authorized votes for 12 write-in candidates:[18]
- Shiva Ayyadurai
- Claudia De la Cruz, nominee of the Party for Socialism and Liberation
- Chris Garrity
- Garry Hubbard
- Andre Ramon McNeil Sr
- Andrew O'Donnell, nominee of the King Kong Party[19]
- Chase Oliver, nominee of the Libertarian Party
- Future Madam Potus
- Raymond Anthony Scollin, former Franklin County Republican Committee chairman[20]
- Peter Sonski, nominee of the American Solidarity Party
- Jill Stein, nominee of the Green Party
- Cornel West
These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[21]
| Kamala Harris and Tim Walz Democratic Party Working Families Party |
Donald Trump and JD Vance Republican Party Conservative Party |
|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul Jay Jacobs Eric Adams Mohammed Akber Alam Stuart Appelbaum Byron Brown Mario Cliento Michelle Crentsil Antonio Delgado Thomas DiNapoli Hazel Dukes Thomas J. Garry Vanessa Gibson George Gresham Carl Heastie Letitia James Gary LaBarbera Carolyn Maloney Luis Miranda Crystal Peoples-Stokes Christine Quinn Katherine Sheehan Anastasia Somoza Andrea Stewart-Cousins Gerard J. Sweeney Sandra Ung Latrice Walker Randi Weingarten |
Edward F. Cox William Barclay Bruce Blakeman Joe Borelli Karl Brabenec John Burnett Joe Cairo Andrea Catsimatidis Benjamin Federman Jesse Garcia Mark Heberling Michael Kracker Michael McCormack Steven McLaughlin Tim McNulty Anthony Nunziato Rob Ortt Patrick Reilly Michael Rendino Jennifer Rich Sylvia Rowan Christopher Tague Trish Turner Joseph Whalen Lee Zeldin Ralph Lorigo Donald Mazzullo Michael Torres |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[22] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[25] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[26] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[27] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[28] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[29] | Solid D | August 23, 2024 |
| RCP[30] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[31] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[32] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 57% | 41% | 2% |
| ActiVote[33] | October 7–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 59% | 41% | – |
| Siena College[34] | October 13–17, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 39% | 3% |
| ActiVote[35] | September 4–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 39% | – |
| Emerson College[36][A] | September 23–25, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 40% | 6%[b] |
| Siena College[37] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 42% | 3% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| ActiVote[38] | August 1–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Siena College[39] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[40][B] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[37] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 40% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[34] | October 13–17, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 37% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6%[c] |
| Siena College[39] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoCal Strategies (R)[40][B] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| Siena College[41] | June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Emerson College[42][C] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| 55%[d] | 45% | – | ||||
| Siena College[43] | May 13–15, 2024 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[44] | May 2–3, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 17% |
| John Zogby Strategies[45][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Siena College[46] | April 15–17, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
| Siena College[47] | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Siena College[48] | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College[49] | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Siena College[50] | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College[51] | September 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 31% | 17% |
| Siena College[9] | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
| Siena College[10] | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 28% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA[52][E] | November 3–6, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Emerson College[53][C] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA[54][F] | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,018 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| Emerson College[55] | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[56][E] | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[47] | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 7% |
| Siena College[48] | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
| Siena College[49] | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 37% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 11% |
| Siena College[50] | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[42][C] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[45][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[45][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 45% | 39% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 4,341,375 | 52.54% | 3.84% | ||
| Working Families | 277,820 | 3.36% | 1.12% | ||
| Total | 4,619,195 | 55.91% | 4.96% | ||
| Republican | 3,257,166 | 39.42% |  5.12% | ||
| Conservative | 321,733 | 3.89% | 0.45% | ||
| Total | 3,578,899 | 43.31% | 5.57% | ||
| Write-in | 64,401 | 0.78% | 0.74% | ||
| Total votes | 8,262,495 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Complete list of votes for all registered write-in candidates[58] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Green | Jill Stein | 46,698 | 0.57% | 0.19% | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la Cruz | 6,327 | 0.08% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Chase Oliver | 5,338 | 0.06% | 0.74% | |
| Independent | Cornel West | 4,152 | 0.05% | N/A | |
| American Solidarity | Peter Sonski | 1,544 | 0.02% | N/A | |
| Independent | Shiva Ayyadurai | 134 | >0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Chris Garrity | 108 | >0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Raymond Anthony Scollin | 51 | >0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Andrew O'Donnell | 20 | >0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Future Madam Potus | 18 | >0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Garry Hubbard | 6 | >0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Andre Ramon McNeil Sr | 5 | >0.00% | N/A | |
New York City results
| 2024 presidential election in New York City[59] | Manhattan | The Bronx | Brooklyn | Queens | Staten Island | Total | |||
| Democratic- Working Families |
Kamala Harris | 533,782 | 261,670 | 601,265 | 437,282 | 69,345 | 1,903,344 | 68.10% | |
| 80.80% | 71.88% | 70.43% | 61.08% | 34.58% | |||||
| Republican- Conservative |
Donald Trump | 113,921 | 98,174 | 233,964 | 264,628 | 128,151 | 838,838 | 30.01% | |
| 17.24% | 26.97% | 27.40% | 36.96% | 63.90% | |||||
| Write-in | Write-in | 12,930 | 4,217 | 18,215 | 14,054 | 3,062 | 52,778 | 1.89% | |
| 1.96% | 1.15% | 2.17% | 1.96% | 1.52% | |||||
| Total | 660,633 | 364,061 | 853,744 | 715,964 | 200,558 | 2,794,960 | 100.00% | ||
By New York City Council district
Harris won 43 of 51 New York City Council districts, including one held by a Republican, while Trump won eight districts, including three held by Democrats.[60]
By county
| County[61] | Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Albany | 92,589 | 61.86% | 54,560 | 36.45% | 2,528 | 1.69% | 38,029 | 25.41% | 149,677 |
| Allegany | 5,483 | 28.08% | 13,826 | 70.80% | 220 | 1.12% | -8,343 | -42.72% | 19,529 |
| Bronx | 261,670 | 71.88% | 98,174 | 26.97% | 4,217 | 1.15% | 163,496 | 44.91% | 364,061 |
| Broome | 45,142 | 49.59% | 44,763 | 49.17% | 1,129 | 1.24% | 379 | 0.42% | 91,034 |
| Cattaraugus | 11,424 | 33.49% | 22,586 | 66.22% | 97 | 0.29% | -11,162 | -32.73% | 34,107 |
| Cayuga | 15,772 | 43.19% | 20,482 | 56.09% | 263 | 0.72% | -4,710 | -12.90% | 36,517 |
| Chautauqua | 22,085 | 38.71% | 34,528 | 60.53% | 433 | 0.76% | -12,443 | -21.82% | 57,046 |
| Chemung | 15,572 | 41.46% | 21,861 | 58.20% | 127 | 0.34% | -6,289 | -16.74% | 37,560 |
| Chenango | 8,177 | 36.09% | 14,294 | 63.09% | 184 | 0.82% | -6,117 | -27.00% | 22,655 |
| Clinton | 17,478 | 48.80% | 18,247 | 50.95% | 92 | 0.25% | -769 | -2.15% | 35,817 |
| Columbia | 20,396 | 56.82% | 15,168 | 42.25% | 333 | 0.93% | 5,228 | 14.57% | 35,897 |
| Cortland | 10,290 | 46.64% | 11,706 | 53.06% | 67 | 0.30% | -1,416 | -6.42% | 22,063 |
| Delaware | 9,237 | 39.71% | 13,789 | 59.28% | 234 | 1.01% | -4,552 | -19.57% | 23,260 |
| Dutchess | 79,994 | 52.14% | 71,778 | 46.79% | 1,641 | 1.07% | 8,216 | 5.35% | 153,413 |
| Erie | 248,651 | 54.08% | 204,774 | 44.54% | 6,364 | 1.38% | 43,877 | 9.54% | 459,789 |
| Essex | 9,629 | 50.06% | 9,533 | 49.56% | 74 | 0.38% | 96 | 0.50% | 19,236 |
| Franklin | 8,821 | 45.33% | 10,569 | 54.32% | 68 | 0.35% | -1,748 | -8.99% | 19,458 |
| Fulton | 7,666 | 31.87% | 16,237 | 67.51% | 150 | 0.62% | -8,571 | -35.64% | 24,053 |
| Genesee | 9,367 | 32.93% | 18,997 | 66.79% | 80 | 0.28% | -9,630 | -33.86% | 28,444 |
| Greene | 10,436 | 41.02% | 14,702 | 57.79% | 302 | 1.19% | -4,266 | -16.77% | 25,440 |
| Hamilton | 1,211 | 35.21% | 2,223 | 64.64% | 5 | 0.15% | -1,012 | -29.43% | 3,439 |
| Herkimer | 9,110 | 31.57% | 19,557 | 67.77% | 190 | 0.66% | -10,447 | -36.20% | 28,857 |
| Jefferson | 16,326 | 38.11% | 26,417 | 61.66% | 100 | 0.23% | -10,091 | -23.55% | 42,843 |
| Kings | 601,265 | 70.43% | 233,964 | 27.40% | 18,515 | 2.17% | 367,301 | 43.03% | 853,744 |
| Lewis | 3,600 | 27.62% | 9,353 | 71.77% | 79 | 0.61% | -5,753 | -44.15% | 13,032 |
| Livingston | 12,148 | 39.14% | 18,780 | 60.51% | 107 | 0.35% | -6,632 | -21.37% | 31,035 |
| Madison | 14,629 | 43.00% | 19,025 | 55.92% | 365 | 1.08% | -4,396 | -12.92% | 34,019 |
| Monroe | 214,757 | 58.90% | 145,940 | 40.03% | 3,893 | 1.07% | 68,817 | 18.87% | 364,590 |
| Montgomery | 7,356 | 35.40% | 13,286 | 63.93% | 140 | 0.67% | -5,930 | -28.53% | 20,782 |
| Nassau | 338,424 | 47.29% | 368,117 | 51.44% | 9,124 | 1.27% | -29,693 | -4.15% | 715,665 |
| New York | 533,782 | 80.80% | 113,921 | 17.24% | 12,930 | 1.96% | 419,861 | 63.56% | 660,633 |
| Niagara | 43,438 | 42.21% | 58,678 | 57.01% | 802 | 0.78% | -15,240 | -14.80% | 102,918 |
| Oneida | 39,415 | 39.10% | 60,687 | 60.20% | 712 | 0.70% | -21,272 | -21.10% | 100,814 |
| Onondaga | 133,155 | 57.91% | 93,916 | 40.84% | 2,871 | 1.25% | 39,239 | 17.07% | 229,942 |
| Ontario | 29,520 | 48.91% | 30,221 | 50.07% | 611 | 1.02% | -701 | -1.16% | 60,352 |
| Orange | 80,253 | 45.69% | 94,936 | 54.05% | 471 | 0.26% | -14,683 | -8.36% | 175,660 |
| Orleans | 5,366 | 29.69% | 12,659 | 70.05% | 46 | 0.26% | -7,293 | -40.36% | 18,071 |
| Oswego | 20,483 | 37.82% | 33,548 | 61.94% | 132 | 0.24% | -13,065 | -24.12% | 54,163 |
| Otsego | 13,031 | 45.58% | 15,256 | 53.36% | 305 | 1.06% | -2,225 | -7.78% | 28,592 |
| Putnam | 23,956 | 42.77% | 31,553 | 56.33% | 505 | 0.90% | -7,597 | -13.56% | 56,014 |
| Queens | 437,282 | 61.08% | 264,628 | 36.96% | 14,054 | 1.96% | 172,654 | 24.12% | 715,964 |
| Rensselaer | 39,668 | 50.12% | 38,601 | 48.78% | 882 | 1.11% | 1,067 | 1.35% | 79,151 |
| Richmond | 69,345 | 34.58% | 128,151 | 63.90% | 3,062 | 1.52% | -58,806 | -29.32% | 200,558 |
| Rockland | 65,880 | 43.68% | 83,543 | 55.39% | 1,402 | 0.93% | -17,663 | -11.71% | 150,825 |
| St. Lawrence | 18,010 | 40.78% | 25,919 | 58.68% | 239 | 0.54% | -7,909 | -17.90% | 44,168 |
| Saratoga | 66,321 | 50.70% | 63,940 | 48.88% | 551 | 0.42% | 2,381 | 1.82% | 130,812 |
| Schenectady | 39,733 | 54.75% | 31,975 | 44.06% | 864 | 1.19% | 7,758 | 10.69% | 72,572 |
| Schoharie | 5,547 | 34.43% | 10,423 | 64.69% | 142 | 0.88% | -4,876 | -30.26% | 16,112 |
| Schuyler | 3,736 | 39.19% | 5,717 | 59.98% | 79 | 0.83% | -1,981 | -20.79% | 9,532 |
| Seneca | 6,610 | 43.76% | 8,379 | 55.47% | 116 | 0.77% | -1,769 | -11.71% | 15,105 |
| Steuben | 15,413 | 33.82% | 29,777 | 65.34% | 385 | 0.84% | -14,364 | -31.52% | 45,575 |
| Suffolk | 341,812 | 44.81% | 417,549 | 54.74% | 3,488 | 0.45% | -75,737 | -9.93% | 762,849 |
| Sullivan | 14,549 | 41.50% | 20,386 | 58.14% | 127 | 0.36% | -5,837 | -16.64% | 35,062 |
| Tioga | 9,437 | 38.43% | 15,038 | 61.23% | 84 | 0.34% | -5,601 | -22.80% | 24,559 |
| Tompkins | 34,631 | 73.84% | 11,354 | 24.21% | 917 | 1.95% | 23,277 | 49.63% | 46,902 |
| Ulster | 57,974 | 58.46% | 39,743 | 40.07% | 1,455 | 1.47% | 18,231 | 18.39% | 99,172 |
| Warren | 17,099 | 47.40% | 18,606 | 51.58% | 370 | 1.02% | -1,507 | -4.18% | 36,075 |
| Washington | 11,224 | 39.09% | 17,268 | 60.13% | 224 | 0.78% | -6,044 | -21.04% | 28,716 |
| Wayne | 17,056 | 38.18% | 27,286 | 61.09% | 326 | 0.73% | -10,230 | -22.91% | 44,668 |
| Westchester | 287,434 | 62.78% | 167,795 | 36.65% | 2,609 | 0.57% | 119,639 | 26.13% | 457,838 |
| Wyoming | 4,929 | 25.72% | 14,112 | 73.63% | 125 | 0.65% | -9,183 | -47.91% | 19,166 |
| Yates | 4,401 | 41.48% | 6,098 | 57.48% | 110 | 1.04% | -1,697 | -16.00% | 10,609 |
| Totals | 4,619,195 | 55.65% | 3,578,899 | 43.12% | 102,117 | 1.23% | 1,040,296 | 12.53% | 8,300,211 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Harris won 19 of 26 congressional districts, while Trump won seven. Each candidate won a district held by the other party.[62]
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 44% | 54% | Nick LaLota |
| 2nd | 43% | 56% | Andrew Garbarino |
| 3rd | 47% | 51% | Tom Suozzi |
| 4th | 50% | 49% | Laura Gillen |
| 5th | 70% | 28% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 52% | 46% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 72% | 26% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 71% | 27% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 69% | 29% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 79% | 19% | Dan Goldman |
| 11th | 37% | 61% | Nicole Malliotakis |
| 12th | 81% | 17% | Jerry Nadler |
| 13th | 79% | 20% | Adriano Espaillat |
| 14th | 65% | 33% | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
| 15th | 74% | 25% | Ritchie Torres |
| 16th | 66% | 33% | |
| George Latimer | |||
| 17th | 50% | 49% | Mike Lawler |
| 18th | 51% | 48% | Pat Ryan |
| 19th | 50% | 49% | |
| Josh Riley | |||
| 20th | 56% | 42% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 39% | 60% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 54% | 46% | |
| John Mannion | |||
| 23rd | 39% | 60% | Nick Langworthy |
| 24th | 38% | 61% | Claudia Tenney |
| 25th | 59% | 40% | Joseph Morelle |
| 26th | 59% | 40% | Tim Kennedy |
Analysis
A heavily populated Middle Atlantic state, New York is considered a blue state, not having voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1984. New York continued that trend in 2024, but Democrats saw a huge underperformance compared to past elections. Harris had the worst performance in New York City since 1988, winning the city by just 68-30%, with Trump the first Republican to win over 30% of the vote in the city since George H. W. Bush in 1988. (By comparison, Harris won Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania 79-20%.)
All counties in the state except for Hamilton, Yates, and Tompkins swung toward the Republicans in 2024. Trump became the first Republican to ever win the White House without winning Essex or Saratoga counties. If the five boroughs of New York City are excluded, Trump won the state with 2,740,061 votes to Harris's 2,715,851 votes, or 48.6% to 48.2%, thereby making him the first Republican to do so since 1988. Trump was the first Republican to carry Clinton County since 1992, Nassau County since 1988, and Rockland County since 2004. Tompkins County (home to Cornell University) voted to the left of every county in the state except for Manhattan, itself home to Columbia University. College counties voted to the left of the most populated and least White urban counties.
Trump also made major gains in all five New York City boroughs, with particularly dramatic shifts in the Bronx and Queens, both of which moved over 20 points towards the Republicans compared to 2020. In Queens (28% Hispanic and 27% Asian), Trump secured 37% of the vote, the highest share for a Republican presidential candidate since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Meanwhile, in The Bronx (56% Hispanic), he received 27% of the vote, the strongest Republican showing in the borough since Ronald Reagan in 1984. His performance in Brooklyn (19% Hispanic and 14% Asian) was also impressive, as he won 27% of the vote, the highest for a Republican presidential candidate in the borough since 1988. Similarly, in Manhattan (24% Hispanic and 13% Asian), Trump received 17%, the strongest Republican performance there in a presidential election since 1988. These shifts were driven in part by increased support among Hispanic and Asian communities. Even traditionally Republican Staten Island gave Trump 64% of the vote, the highest for a Republican since 1984.[63]
Trump significantly improved his support among Hispanic voters, particularly in New York. According to Fox News voter analysis, Trump won 36% of the Latino vote in the state, a major increase from the 25% he received in 2020.[64] This shift marked one of the most notable improvements for a Republican candidate among Hispanic voters in New York in recent history. This trend was not unique to New York; similar gains were observed nationwide, as Trump made inroads with Latino communities across various states, including Florida, Texas, and even traditionally Democratic strongholds like California.[65]
Trump continued to make large gains in the state's Asian communities as well. On the Assembly District level, Trump flipped seven districts within New York City, four of which have large Asian populations.[66] Areas including southern Brooklyn and northeastern Queens, which have large concentrations of Chinese-Americans had among the largest swings to Donald Trump in the city. New York’s 6th congressional district, which is 45% Asian and represented by Grace Meng, was only won by Harris by 6%.[67] This pattern was repeated across heavily Asian communities across the country.[68] Voters cited crime and the homelessness crisis in the city as primary motivators in changing their traditionally Democratic vote for Trump.
See also
Notes
Partisan clients