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2027 New South Wales state election

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A state general election is scheduled to be held on 13 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly will be up for election, along with 21 of the 42 seats in the Legislative Council. The election will be conducted by the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC).

Quick facts All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly47 seats needed for a majority 21 of 42 seats in the Legislative Council, Leader ...
2027 New South Wales state election
← 2023
13 March 2027
2031 →
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly
47 seats needed for a majority
21 of 42 seats in the Legislative Council
Opinion polls
 
Leader Chris Minns Kellie Sloane No leader
Party Labor Liberal/National coalition Greens
Leader since 4 June 2021 21 November 2025 N/A
Leader's seat Kogarah Vaucluse N/A
Last election 45 seats 36 seats 3 seats
Current seats 46 35 3
Seats needed Increase 1 Increase 12 Increase 44
Incumbent Premier

Chris Minns
Labor


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The incumbent Labor minority government, led by Premier Chris Minns, is expected to seek to win a second four-year term in office. They will be challenged by the Liberal–National Coalition, led by Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane. The Greens, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, other minor parties and several independents will also contest the election.

New South Wales has compulsory voting, with optional preferential, instant runoff voting in single-member seats for the lower house (Legislative Assembly), and single transferable voting with an optional system of preferences that voters can mark in the proportionally represented upper house (Legislative Council).

Background

At the previous state election held in 2023, the Labor Party (ALP), led by Chris Minns, won the election after spending 12 years in opposition. The election saw Labor win 45 seats as opposed to the Coalition's 36 seats on election day, allowing Labor to form a minority government. The Greens retained their three seats, while the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers lost all three of their seats as a result of their MPs resigning from the party to become independents in the 2019–2023 parliament, as well as two independents who gained seats.[1]

In the Legislative Council (the upper house), 21 of the 42 seats were up for election. Both the Coalition and Labor won 15 seats each, however after the election of Ben Franklin as President of the Legislative Council, the Coalition's effective total vote on the floor on the council was reduced to 14.[2] The Greens won four seats in the Legislative Council.[3] One Nation won three seats, which is its largest representation in New South Wales and currently its largest in any Australian state or territory parliament.[3] Meanwhile, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party retained its two seats,[3] the Animal Justice Party lost one of its two seats[3] and two parties (the Legalise Cannabis Party and the Libertarian Party, which was registered as the Liberal Democrats in 2023) won their first ever seats in the New South Wales Parliament.[3]

During the 2023–2027 term of parliament, the government announced plans to rezone and activate Woollahra station, which is part of the T4 eastern suburbs line but was never completed due to local opposition in an effort to solve housing supply issues[4] and announced major housing policies (such as transit-oriented development, the creation of a three-person panel named the Housing Delivery Authority to expedite approvals and banned no-fault evictions for renters as well as capping rent increases to once per year),[5][6][7] and increased teachers' wages to attract more people to the profession.[8] They have also acted upon a pledge at the previous election to abolish the land tax introduced by former premier Dominic Perrottet.[9] The government have also set in train processes to create new national parks based upon previous election pledges, those being in Georges River for Koalas and one in the North Coast to create a "Great Koala National Park".[10][11]

The Coalition opposition have proposed building new metro lines.[12]

Since the 2023 state election, there have been six by-elections: in Northern Tablelands,[13] Pittwater,[14] Epping,[14] Hornsby,[15] Port Macquarie[16] and Kiama.[17] As a result of these by-elections, Labor's share of seats increased by one to 46, one short of a majority and the Liberal seat count was reduced by one to 35.

In November 2025, Speakman resigned as leader of the Liberal party and was replaced by shadow health minister Kellie Sloane.[18]

Date

The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in March,[19] though the Governor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier.

Additionally, section 24B, paragraph four of the Constitution Act 1902 states that "The Legislative Assembly may be dissolved within 2 months before the Assembly is due to expire if the general election would otherwise be required to be held during the same period as a Commonwealth election, during a holiday period or at any other inconvenient time."[20] Since 27 March 2027 is Holy Saturday, the government has announced that an election will be held on 13 March.[21] Two months before this date is 27 January 2027; however, since all Australian elections must by law take place on a Saturday, the earliest possible date for the 2027 New South Wales state election (other than by early dissolution) is Saturday 30 January 2027.

Pre-election pendulum

More information Extended content ...
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Registered parties

Main article: List of political parties in Australia

Twenty parties are registered with the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC).[22] Bold text indicates parliamentary parties.

Candidates

Legislative Assembly

More information Candidate, Party ...
Candidate Party Electorate Incumbent Ref
Sri Affandi   Family First Vaucluse   Kellie Sloane [23]
Jasmine Al-Rawi   NSW Socialists Auburn   Lynda Voltz [24]
Andrew Amos   Family First Ryde   Jordan Lane [23]
Izabella Antoniou   Greens Summer Hill   Jo Haylen [25]
Elaina Anzellotti   Labor Oatley   Mark Coure [26]
Alana Bartlett   Family First Wollongong   Paul Scully [23]
Kate Beaumont   Liberal Maroubra   Michael Daley [27]
Joshua Beer   Libertarian Pittwater   Jacqui Scruby [28]
Shovan Bhattarai   NSW Socialists Newtown   Jenny Leong [29]
Kalvin Biag   Liberal Prospect   Hugh McDermott [30]
Conroy Blood   Greens Canterbury   Sophie Cotsis [25]
David Calder   Libertarian Port Stephens   Kate Washington [28]
Ryan Chapman   NSW Socialists Wollongong   Paul Scully [24]
Steve Christou   Libertarian Granville   Julia Finn [28]
Rob Cribb   Libertarian Epping   Monica Tudehope [28]
Gushiv D'Arcy   Family First Ballina   Tamara Smith [23]
Kate Doherty   NSW Socialists Wallsend   Sonia Hornery [24]
Simon Earle   Labor Miranda   Eleni Petinos [31]
Sally Edwards   Libertarian Barwon   Roy Butler [28]
Antony Emmanuel   Family First Penrith   Karen McKeown [23]
Rachel Evans   Socialist Alliance Heffron   Ron Hoenig [32]
Kim Farnham   Family First Charlestown   Jodie Harrison [23]
Philip Finau   Family First Mount Druitt   Edmond Atalla [23]
Mareeta Grundy   National Monaro   Steve Whan [33]
Peter Ham   Family First Coffs Harbour   Gurmesh Singh [23]
Gregory Harris   Libertarian Goulburn   Wendy Tuckerman [28]
Tan Hibbert   Libertarian Newtown   Jenny Leong [28]
Gareth Houghton   Libertarian Bathurst   Paul Toole [28]
Lyndal Howison   Labor Ryde   Jordan Lane [34]
Paul Johns   Greens Maitland   Jenny Aitchison [25]
Lisa Kiss   Family First Campbelltown   Greg Warren [23]
Wendy Lindsay   Liberal East Hills   Kylie Wilkinson [35]
Mike Luo   Libertarian Auburn   Lynda Voltz [28]
Carolyn Martin   Liberal Coogee   Marjorie O'Neill [36]
Andrew McLachlan   Family First Parramatta   Donna Davis [23]
Sean Mcleod   Libertarian Wakehurst   Michael Regan [28]
Isaac Nellist   Socialist Alliance Balmain   Kobi Shetty [32]
Emma Norton   NSW Socialists Summer Hill   Jo Haylen [29]
Steve O'Brien   Socialist Alliance Newcastle   Tim Crakanthorp [32]
Adam Osman   Libertarian Liverpool   Charishma Kaliyanda [28]
Vanessa Pollak   Libertarian Penrith   Karen McKeown [28]
Jayden Rivera   Greens Campbelltown   Greg Warren [25]
Geoffrey Robertson   Libertarian Wallsend   Sonia Hornery [28]
Luke Robinson   Greens Lismore   Janelle Saffin [25]
Rebecca Scriven   Family First Auburn   Lynda Voltz [23]
Dave Smith   Libertarian Summer Hill   Jo Haylen [28]
Pieter Swan   Family First Prospect   Hugh McDermott [23]
James Szczepanski   Libertarian Cessnock   Clayton Barr [28]
Nathan Thomason   Libertarian Manly   James Griffin [28]
Alma Torlakovic   NSW Socialists Granville   Julia Finn [24]
Brenton Williams   Libertarian Lismore   Janelle Saffin [28]
Mick Willing   Liberal Camden   Sally Quinell [37]
Isaac Yakoubi   Family First Oatley   Mark Coure [23]
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Legislative Council

More information Candidate, Party ...
Candidate Party Ref
Peter Boyle   Socialist Alliance [32]
Karyn Brown   Socialist Alliance [32]
Olivia Carney   Socialist Alliance [32]
Andrew Chuter   Socialist Alliance [32]
Paula Corvalan   Socialist Alliance [32]
Rohan Fraser   Socialist Alliance [32]
Pip Hinman   Socialist Alliance [32]
Joshua Kirsh   Josh for NSW [38]
Gabrielle McCutcheon   Socialist Alliance [32]
Jim McIlroy   Socialist Alliance [32]
Mark Morey   Labor [39]
Ben Radford   Socialist Alliance [32]
Philippa Ryan   Socialist Alliance [32]
Lyle Shelton   Family First [23]
Arlo Valmai   Socialist Alliance [32]
James Wyner   Socialist Alliance [32]
Coral Wynter   Socialist Alliance [32]
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Retiring members

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Primary vote opinion polls with LOESS smoothening (as of 12 July 2026)

Two-party preferred

Two-party preferred opinion polls with LOESS smoothening (as of 12 July 2026)

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
12 July 2026 Resolve[42][43][h] Sydney Morning Herald 1,100 N/a 29% 23% 11% 25% 8% 4% 55.6% 44.4% N/a
15–18 June 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[44][45][46][h] N/a 1,038 ±3.6% 32% 20% 13% 27% N/a 8% 59.7% 40.3% N/a
56.2% N/a 43.8%
N/a N/a N/a
20 May 2026 Resolve[47][48][h] N/a 1,000 N/a 32% 26% 10% 22% 6% 4% 55% 45% N/a
9–14 Mar 2026 Resolve[49][50][h] Sydney Morning Herald 1,100 N/a 29% 25% 10% 23% 8% 5% 52.8% 47.2% N/a
24 Feb–4 Mar 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[51] N/a 1,032 ±3.6% 34% 23% 15% 21% N/a 7% 61% 39% N/a
16–19 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[52] N/a 2,108 N/a 25% 19% 12.5% 30% 2.5% 11% 54% 46% N/a
52.5% N/a 47.5%
N/a 50.5% 49.5%
17 Jan 2026 Resolve[53][54][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,145 N/a 37% 27% 10% N/a 11% 15% 60% 40% N/a
14 Dec 2025 Spectre Strategy[55] N/a N/a N/a 34% 26% 11% 16% N/a 13% 56% 44% N/a
24 Nov–8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[56] Daily Telegraph 1,293 N/a 38% 30% 10% 4% N/a 18% 57% 43% N/a
21 Nov 2025 Kellie Sloane becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
9 Nov 2025 Resolve[57][58][h] Sydney Morning Herald 1,145 N/a 37% 28% 10% N/a 15% 11% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
17–22 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[59][60] N/a 1,016 ±4.0% 37% 30% 13% N/a N/a 20% 59% 41% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[61][62][h] Sydney Morning Herald N/a N/a 38% 28% 10% N/a 11% 12% 59% 41% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[63][64][h] Sydney Morning Herald 1,054 N/a 38% 32% 13% N/a 8% 10% 57% 43% N/a
June 2025 Redbridge/Accent[56] Australian Financial Review N/a N/a 43% 32% N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
Mar–14 Apr 2025 Resolve[65][66][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,123 N/a 33% 36% 11% N/a 14% 6% 51% 49% N/a
18–23 Feb 2025 Resolve[67][68][h] Sydney Morning Herald N/a N/a 29% 38% 14% N/a 11% 8% 49% 51% N/a
8 Dec 2024 Resolve[67] Sydney Morning Herald N/a N/a 33% 37% 11% N/a 13% 7% N/a N/a N/a
6–20 Nov 2024 RedBridge/Accent[69][70] Australian Financial Review 1,088 ±3.4% 37% 41% 9% N/a 13% N/a 50.5% 49.5% N/a
Sep–Oct 2024 Resolve[71][72][h] Sydney Morning Herald 1,111 N/a 32% 37% 11% N/a 14% 6% 50% 50% N/a
6–29 Aug 2024 Wolf & Smith[73][74] N/a N/a ±2.2% 32% 38% 12% N/a 14% 4% 50% 50% N/a
11 Aug 2024 Resolve[75][76][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,000 N/a 30% 38% 12% N/a 14% 6% 49% 51% N/a
16 Jun 2024 Resolve[77][78][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,000 N/a 32% 35% 11% N/a 15% 7% 52% 48% N/a
Feb–May 2024 RedBridge/Accent[79] Daily Telegraph 1,376 N/a 35% 40% 11% N/a N/a 14% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
21 Mar–21 Apr 2024 Resolve[80][j] N/a 1,000 N/a 33% 36% 12% N/a 14% 5% 52% 48% N/a
25 Feb 2024 Resolve[81][82][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,035 N/a 34% 38% 12% N/a 12% 5% 51.5% 48.5% N/a
11 Nov 2023 Resolve[83][84][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,100 N/a 36% 32% 13% N/a 12% 7% 57% 43% N/a
10 Sep 2023 Resolve[85][86][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,019 N/a 38% 36% 9% N/a 13% 4% 54% 46% N/a
16 Jul 2023 Resolve[87][88][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,012 N/a 41% 32% 10% N/a 11% 5% 58% 42% N/a
14 May 2023 Resolve[89][90][i] Sydney Morning Herald 1,102 N/a 44% 31% 9% N/a 10% 5% 60% 40% N/a
25 Mar 2023 2023 election 37.0% 35.4% 9.7% 1.8% 8.8% 9.2% 54.3% 45.7% N/a
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By language

Only English spoken at home

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
15–18 June 2026 DemosAU/Premier National N/a N/a 29% 20% 11% 31% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
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Other language spoken at home

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
15–18 June 2026 DemosAU/Premier National N/a N/a 43% 20% 19% 12% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
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Legislative Council

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP LCA LBT SFF AJP FFP OTH
15–18 June 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[45] N/a 1,038 ±3.8% 30% 20% 13% 27% 1% N/a N/a 1% 1% 8%[k]
24 Feb–4 Mar 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[51] N/a 1,032 ±3.6% 29% 21% 13% 21% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 8%[l]
17–22 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[59][60] N/a 1,016 ±4.0% 30% 21% 13% 15% 3% 2% 1% 3% 5% 7%[m]
25 Mar 2023 2023 election 36.6% 29.8% 9.1% 5.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.1% 2.2% 1.3% 4.8%
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Preferred premier

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Better Premier
Minns Sloane Don't know Net
12 July 2026 Resolve[42] Sydney Morning Herald 36% 16% 48% 20%
21 May 2026 Resolve[47] N/a 38% 18% 44% 20%
9–14 Mar 2026 Resolve[49] Sydney Morning Herald 38% 17% 45% 21%
24 Feb–4 Mar 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[51] N/a 48% 24% 28% 24%
16–19 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[52] N/a 60.5% 31.5% 8%[n] 29%
17 Jan 2026 Resolve[53] Sydney Morning Herald 40% 18% 42% 22%
14 Dec 2025 Spectre Strategy[55] N/a 41% 26% 33%[o] 15%
21 Nov 2025 Kellie Sloane becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
Date Polling firm Client
Minns Speakman Don't know Net
9 Nov 2025 Resolve[57] Sydney Morning Herald 31% 19% 50% 12%
17–22 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[59][60] N/a 44% 25% 31% 19%
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[61] Sydney Morning Herald 37% 16% 47% 21%
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[63] Sydney Morning Herald 35% 16% 49% 19%
Mar–22 Apr 2025 Resolve[65] Sydney Morning Herald 40% 15% 45% 25%
24–26 Mar 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[93] N/a 42% 24% 34% 18%
23 Feb 2025 Resolve[67] Sydney Morning Herald 35% 14% 51% 21%
6 Oct 2024 Resolve[71] Sydney Morning Herald 37% 14% 49% 23%
11 Aug 2024 Resolve[75] Sydney Morning Herald 38% 13% 49% 25%
16 Jun 2024 Resolve[77] Sydney Morning Herald 38% 13% 49% 25%
21 Apr 2024 Resolve[80] N/a 37% 16% 47% 19%
25 Feb 2024 Resolve[81] Sydney Morning Herald 35% 16% 51% 19%
5 Nov 2023 Resolve[83] Sydney Morning Herald 35% 13% 52% 22%
10 Sep 2023 Resolve[85] Sydney Morning Herald 41% 14% 45% 27%
16 Jul 2023 Resolve[87] Sydney Morning Herald 39% 12% 49% 27%
14 May 2023 Resolve[89] Sydney Morning Herald 42% 12% 46% 30%
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Leader satisfaction

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Minns Sloane
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net
16–19 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[52] N/a 56% 41% 3% +15% 46% 45% 9% +1%
21 Nov 2025 Kellie Sloane becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
Date Polling firm Client Minns Speakman
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Net
Feb–May 2024 RedBridge/Accent[79] N/a 40% 20% 40% +20% 19% 21% 60% -2%
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See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    Jordan Lane won the seat by just 54 votes in the two-party-preferred contest against Labor candidate Lyndal Howison. Labor saw an 8.9% swing towards them on two-party-preferences, which was the exact margin that the Liberals won Ryde with in 2019 with Victor Dominello.
  2. [b]
    This number reflects the result at the 2023 New South Wales state election rather than the 2024 Pittwater state by-election, which Labor did not contest, for consistency.
  3. [c]
    This number reflects the result at the 2023 New South Wales state election rather than the 2024 Epping state by-election, which Labor did not contest, for consistency.
  4. [d]
    This number reflects the result at the 2023 New South Wales state election rather than the 2024 Hornsby state by-election, for consistency.
  5. [e]
    The margin shown is the Liberal vs Labor margin at the 2023 election. At this election, two Coalition candidates contested the seat of Port Macquarie, both of which made the two-party-preferred contest. The Liberal vs National margin is 10.8%. Both parties also contested the 2025 Port Macquarie state by-election and Labor did not. It is very rare for the Coalition to run two candidates in New South Wales and it is thus unlikely that this phenomenon will reoccur in 2027.
  6. [f]
    This number reflects the result at the 2023 New South Wales state election rather than the 2024 Northern Tablelands state by-election, which Labor did not contest, for consistency.
  7. [g]
    This number reflects the result at the 2023 New South Wales state election rather than the 2025 Kiama state by-election for consistency.
  8. [h]
    Two-party preferred result estimated by Kevin Bonham.
  9. [i]
    Two-party-preferred result estimated by William Bowe of The Poll Bludger.
  10. [j]
    Includes two-party preferred result estimate.
  11. [k]
    1% for the Citizens Party, 1% for Rod Roberts (independent), 1% for Tania Mihailuk (independent), 1% for Taylor Martin (independent), 1% for the HEART Party, 1% for the Australian Christians and 1% for The Small Business Party.[91]
  12. [l]
    2% for the Citizens Party, 1% for the HEART Party, 1% for the Public Education, 1% for Socialist Alliance, 1% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Australian Christians, 1% for The Small Business Party, 0% for Josh for NSW, 0% for NSW Soc, 0% for Rod Roberts (independent), 0% for Tania Mihailuk (independent), 0% for Taylor Martin (independent) and 0% for The Rural Party.[92]
  13. [m]
    1% for the HEART Party, 1% for the Public Education, 1% for Rod Roberts (independent), 1% for Socialist Alliance, 1% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for Tania Mihailuk (independent) and 1% for The Small Business Party.[59]
  14. [n]
    Don't know or nominated someone else.
  15. [o]
    Includes 19% for "Neither".

References

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