2030 Hamburg state election
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2030
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All 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament 61 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next election to the state parliament of Hamburg is scheduled for 2030.
Electoral system
In the 2025 election, the SPD once again secured first place by a large margin but lost almost six percentage points. The CDU rose to second place with 19.8 percent, while the Greens fell to third place, losing almost six percentage points, just like the SPD. The Left Party won 11.2 percent, surpassing its previously best result ever, which it won in the previous election. The AfD reached 7.5%, gaining about two percentage points from the previous election, which was still however significantly lower than its results in the federal election in Hamburg and the pre-election polling results for the party.
The FDP, which narrowly missed the 5%-threshold in 2020, lost more than half of its votes, falling to 2.3 percent. Volt and the BSW both failed to reach the 5%-threshold, with 3.2% and 1.8% respectively.
Since 2008 Hamburg elections have been held using an open-list system of proportional representation. The Sainte-Laguë method is used to distributed seats. Each voter has ten votes: Five votes can be cast for local constituency candidates and five for candidates on each party's state list.[1] The state is divided into 17 constituencies of 3-5 seats. 71 representatives are elected in these based on the result of the constituency vote. A further 50 seats are elected as state list seat, based on the number of state list votes received by each party, distributed in such a way that the distribution of all 121 is proportional to the state list vote. Only parties receiving more than 5% of the state list votes are eligible to receive state list seats; there is no legal threshold for constituency seats.[1]
If a party receiving less than 5% of the vote wins one or more constituency seats, the size of the legislature is increased beyond 121 members. A further seat is added if necessary, to ensure that the total number of members is odd.[1]
