53rd Newfoundland and Labrador general election
Canadian provincial election
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The 53rd Newfoundland and Labrador general election will take place on or before October 14, 2029 to elect members to the 52nd General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.
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On or before October 14, 2029
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All 40 seats in the Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly 21 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Current party standings
| Party | Seats | |
|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | 20 | |
| Liberal | 15 | |
| New Democratic | 2 | |
| Independent | 3 | |
Timeline
- October 14, 2025: Tony Wakeham's Progressive Conservatives win a majority government with 21 seats in 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election.[4][5]
- October 29, 2025: The Cabinet was named and sworn in at the Government House.[6][7][8]
- August 20, 2026: Premier Wakeham completed a major cabinet shuffle.[9]
- September 14, 2026: Special session of the House of Assembly to debate the 2026 Churchill Falls Memorandum of Understanding.[10]
- September 14, 2026: Lake Melville MHA Keith Russell leaves the PC caucus to sit as an Independent MHA.[11]
- September 26, 2026: NL NDP delegates vote against a leadership convention at their policy convention, with leader Jim Dinn receiving 89% support.[12]
Changes in MHAs/seats held between elections
| Seat | Before | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
| Lake Melville | September 14, 2026 | Keith Russell | █ PC | Resignation from PC caucus[11] | █ Independent | ||
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Link | PC | Liberal | NDP | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narrative Research | Sep 16–28, 2026 | [p 1] | 30% | 42% | 25% | 3% | N/A | 238 | Online | 12% |
| Narrative Research | Jun 10–17, 2026 | [p 2][p 3] | 38% | 37% | 25% | 1% | N/A | 237 | Online | 1% |
| Angus Reid | Nov 26–Dec 1, 2025 | [p 4] | 43% | 44% | 12% | 1% | ±7% | 179 | Online | 1% |
Notes
- On October 19, 2021, Alison Coffin resigned as leader of the NDP. The same day, Dinn would become interim leader.[1] On March 28, 2023, Dinn was officially instated as the permanent leader of the NDP.[2]
