2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determine Mississippi's four members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on June 1, 2010, and primary runoff elections on June 22.[1]

Quick facts All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 1 3
Seats won 3 1
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2
Popular vote 423,579 350,695
Percentage 53.71% 44.47%
Swing Increase 12.02% Decrease 13.39%

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Of the four elections, the 1st district was rated as competitive by Sabato's Crystal Ball,[2] and the 1st and 4th districts were rated as competitive by The Cook Political Report,[3] CQ Politics[4] and The Rothenberg Political Report.[5]

The Republican Party flipped the 1st and 4th districts, defeating incumbent Democrats Travis Childers and Gene Taylor, respectively. Two incumbents were re-elected; Democrat Bennie Thompson of the 2nd district and Republican Gregg Harper of the 3rd district.[6] In total, three Republicans and one Democrat were elected, marking the first time since 1996 that the Republican Party won a majority of Mississippi's congressional districts, and only the second time since Reconstruction.[7] A total of 788,549 votes were cast, of which 423,579 (54 percent) were for Republican candidates, 350,695 (44 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 6,560 (1 percent) were for an independent candidate, 4,292 (1 percent) were for Reform Party candidates, 2,188 (0.3 percent) were for Libertarian Party candidates and 1,235 (0.2 percent) were for a Constitution Party candidate.[8]

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi by district:[9]

More information District, Republican ...
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1121,07455.26%89,38840.80%8,6313.94%219,093100%Republican gain
District 264,49937.64%105,32761.47%1,5300.89%171,356100%Democratic hold
District 3132,39367.99%60,73731.19%1,5860.82%194,716100%Republican hold
District 4105,61351.93%95,24346.83%2,5281.24%203,384100%Republican gain
Total423,57953.72%350,69544.47%14,2751.81%788,549100%
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District 1

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2010 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election

 2008
2012 
 
Nominee Alan Nunnelee Travis Childers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 121,074 89,388
Percentage 55.3% 40.8%

County results
Nunnelee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Morris:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Travis Childers
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alan Nunnelee
Republican

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In 2010 the 1st district included Horn Lake, Olive Branch, Southaven and Tupelo.[10] The district's population was 69 percent white and 27 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 77 percent were high school graduates and 17 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,944.[11] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[10]

Democrat Travis Childers, who was elected in a 2008 special election, was the incumbent. Childers was re-elected in the regularly-scheduled 2008 election with 55 percent of the vote.[10] In May 2009 Childers denied planning to switch parties and seek re-election as a Republican, describing himself as a "Southern Democrat".[12] In 2010 the Republican nominee was Alan Nunnelee, a member of the Mississippi State Senate.[13] A. G. Baddley, an electrician;[14] Les Green, a teacher;[15] Rick "Rico" Hoskins; and Wally Pang, a retired restaurateur,[16] ran as independent candidates. Gail Giaramita, a nurse, ran as the Constitution Party nominee.[17] Harold Taylor, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Mississippi, ran as the Libertarian Party nominee.[18] Barbara Dale Washer, a teacher, ran as the Reform Party nominee.[19]

Angela McGlowan, a Fox News political analyst;[20] and Henry Ross, a former mayor of Eupora,[21] also ran for the Republican nomination. Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven who ran unsuccessfully in both 2008 elections, said in March 2009 that he would not run again in 2010.[22] Merle Flowers, a member of the Mississippi Senate, met with the National Republican Congressional Committee in June 2009, but ultimately decided not to run.[23]

Childers raised $1,817,037 and spent $1,796,376. Nunnelee raised $1,739,384 and spent $1,617,120. Green raised $40,296 and spent the same amount. Pang raised no money and spent $6,900. Giaramita raised $12,730 and spent $12,913.[24]

In a poll of 303 likely voters, conducted in June 2010 by the Tarrance Group for Nunnelee's campaign, 50 percent of respondents supported Nunnelee while 42 percent favored Childers and 8 percent were undecided.[25] In an Anzalone-Liszt poll of 400 likely voters, conducted in August and September 2010, Childers led with 46 percent to Nunnelee's 41 percent.[26] Republican internal polls of 300 likely voters by Tarrance, conducted in September and October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 48 percent to 41 percent and by 51 percent to 40 percent respectively.[27] A poll of 603 likely voters, conducted by Penn Schoen Berland in October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 44 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided.[28]

FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Nunnelee an 82 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 52 percent of the vote to Childers's 45 percent.[27] On election day Nunnelee was elected with 55 percent of the vote to Childers's 41 percent.[29] Nunnelee was re-elected in 2012[30] and 2014.[31] Childers unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014.[32]

Republican primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Mississippi's 1st congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alan Nunnelee 20,236 51.82
Republican Henry Ross 12,894 33.02
Republican Angela McGlowan 5,924 15.17
Total votes 39,144 100.00
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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[35] Tilt R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[37] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[38] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[39] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[39] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010
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General election results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2010 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election[40]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alan Nunnelee 121,074 55.26
Democratic Travis Childers (incumbent) 89,388 40.80
Independent Wally Pang 2,180 1.00
Independent Les Green 2,020 0.92
Independent A. G. Baddley 1,882 0.86
Constitution Gail Giaramita 1,235 0.56
Independent Rick "Rico" Hoskins 478 0.22
Libertarian Harold M. Taylor 447 0.20
Reform Barbara Dale Washer 389 0.18
Total votes 219,093 100.00
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By county

More information County, Travis Childers Democratic ...
County[40] Travis Childers
Democratic
Alan Nunnelee
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Alcorn 2,843 33.15% 5,507 64.21% 226 2.64% 2,664 31.06% 8,576
Benton 1,484 58.38% 1,004 39.50% 54 2.12% -480 -18.88% 2,542
Calhoun 1,858 40.68% 2,522 55.22% 187 4.09% 664 14.54% 4,567
Chickasaw 3,181 54.73% 2,466 42.43% 165 2.84% -715 -12.30% 5,812
Choctaw 1,082 34.54% 1,926 61.47% 125 3.99% 844 26.94% 3,133
Clay 4,656 59.28% 3,079 39.20% 119 1.52% -1,577 -20.08% 7,854
DeSoto 10,450 28.82% 23,489 64.77% 2,326 6.41% 13,039 35.95% 36,265
Grenada 2,997 42.56% 3,927 55.77% 117 1.66% 930 13.21% 7,041
Itawamba 2,061 32.70% 3,985 63.23% 256 4.06% 1,924 30.53% 6,302
Lafayette 4,559 39.77% 6,611 57.67% 293 2.56% 2,052 17.90% 11,463
Lee 8,740 37.46% 14,157 60.68% 435 1.86% 5,417 23.22% 23,332
Lowndes 8,890 47.04% 9,660 51.11% 350 1.85% 770 4.07% 18,900
Marshall 5,981 60.63% 3,661 37.11% 222 2.25% -2,320 -23.52% 9,864
Monroe 5,040 46.04% 5,709 52.15% 198 1.81% 669 6.11% 10,947
Panola 6,083 48.66% 4,461 35.69% 1,957 15.65% -1,622 -12.97% 12,501
Pontotoc 2,475 30.57% 5,391 66.59% 230 2.84% 2,916 36.02% 8,096
Prentiss 4,669 58.36% 3,166 39.57% 166 2.07% -1,503 -18.79% 8,001
Tate 2,910 39.16% 4,154 55.89% 368 4.95% 1,244 16.74% 7,432
Tippah 2,358 38.12% 3,671 59.35% 156 2.52% 1,313 21.23% 6,185
Tishomingo 1,897 35.43% 3,292 61.49% 165 3.08% 1,395 26.06% 5,354
Union 2,381 32.45% 4,791 65.29% 166 2.26% 2,410 32.84% 7,338
Webster (part) 828 24.88% 2,381 71.54% 119 3.58% 1,553 46.66% 3,328
Winston (part) 13 27.08% 35 72.92% 0 0.00% 22 45.83% 48
Yalobusha 1,952 46.34% 2,029 48.17% 231 5.48% 77 1.83% 4,212
Totals89,38840.80%121,07455.26%8,6313.94%31,68614.46%219,093
Close
  • "Travis Childers campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.
  • "Gail Giaramita campaign website". Archived from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.
  • "Les Green campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.
  • "Angela McGlowan campaign website". Archived from the original on February 9, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.
  • "Alan Nunnelee campaign website". Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.
  • "Henry Ross campaign website". Archived from the original on July 4, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.

District 2

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2010 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election

 2008
2012 
 
Nominee Bennie Thompson Bill Marcy
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 105,327 64,499
Percentage 61.47% 37.64%

Thompson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Marcy:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

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Mississippi's 2nd congressional district in 2010

In 2010 the 2nd district included Clinton, Greenville and parts of Jackson.[41] The district's population was 66 percent black and 32 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 75 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $30,578.[42] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 66 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 33 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[41]

Democrat Bennie Thompson, who took office in 1993, was the incumbent. Thompson was re-elected in 2008 with 69 percent of the vote.[41] In 2010 the Republican nominee was Bill Marcy, a former police officer.[43] George Bailey and Richard Cook, a teacher, also ran in the Republican primary.[44] Ashley Norwood ran as the Reform Party nominee.[43]

Thompson raised $1,808,681 and spent $1,343,456. Marcy raised $47,933 and spent $40,847.[45] In a poll of 442 registered voters and likely voters, conducted by JMC Enterprises in September 2010, 35 percent of respondents intended to vote for Thompson while 34 percent intended to vote for Marcy and 31 percent were undecided.[46] A JMC poll of 441 registered voters and likely voters conducted in October 2010 found Thompson leading with 42 percent to Marcy's 41 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.[47] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Thompson a 99 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 57 percent of the vote to Marcy's 40 percent.[48]

On election day Thompson was re-elected with 61 percent of the vote to Marcy's 38 percent.[49] Thompson was re-elected in 2012[50] and 2014.[31] Marcy ran again in the 2nd district in 2012 and sought the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate in 2014.[51]

Republican primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Cook 2,232 34.77
Republican Bill Marcy 2,231 34.75
Republican George Bailey 1,957 30.48
Total votes 6,420 100.00
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Republican primary runoff results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary runoff, June 22, 2010[52]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Marcy 3,126 58.36
Republican Richard Cook 2,230 41.64
Total votes 5,356 100.00
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[35] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[37] Likely D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[38] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[39] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[39] Safe D November 1, 2010
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General election results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2010 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 105,327 61.47
Republican Bill Marcy 64,499 37.64
Reform Ashley Norwood 1,530 0.89
Total votes 171,356 100.00
Close

By county

More information County, Bennie Thompson Democratic ...
County[53] Bennie Thompson
Democratic
Bill Marcy
Republican
Ashley Norwood
Reform
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Attala 1,989 37.79% 3,210 60.99% 64 1.22% -1,221 -23.20% 5,263
Bolivar 5,745 62.88% 3,298 36.09% 94 1.03% 2,447 26.78% 9,137
Carroll 1,150 30.83% 2,534 67.94% 46 1.23% -1,384 -37.10% 3,730
Claiborne 2,629 84.83% 449 14.49% 21 0.68% 2,180 70.35% 3,099
Coahoma 3,535 63.31% 1,988 35.60% 61 1.09% 1,547 27.70% 5,584
Copiah 3,928 47.82% 4,206 51.21% 80 0.97% -278 -3.38% 8,214
Hinds (part) 40,015 71.01% 15,926 28.26% 413 0.73% 24,089 42.75% 56,354
Holmes 4,419 80.03% 1,068 19.34% 35 0.63% 3,351 60.68% 5,522
Humphreys 2,045 66.90% 977 31.96% 35 1.14% 1,068 34.94% 3,057
Issaquena 266 52.99% 225 44.82% 11 2.19% 41 8.17% 502
Jefferson 2,145 86.74% 312 12.62% 16 0.65% 1,833 74.12% 2,473
Leake (part) 1,542 50.91% 1,450 47.87% 37 1.22% 92 3.04% 3,029
Leflore 4,590 61.35% 2,850 38.09% 42 0.56% 1,740 23.26% 7,482
Madison (part) 5,842 58.51% 4,090 40.97% 52 0.52% 1,752 17.55% 9,984
Montgomery 1,443 43.61% 1,824 55.12% 42 1.27% -381 -11.51% 3,309
Quitman 1,496 65.99% 714 31.50% 57 2.51% 782 34.49% 2,267
Sharkey 1,050 65.02% 555 34.37% 10 0.62% 495 30.65% 1,615
Sunflower 3,500 63.29% 1,977 35.75% 53 0.96% 1,523 27.54% 5,530
Tallahatchie 2,202 57.05% 1,577 40.85% 81 2.10% 625 16.19% 3,860
Tunica 1,416 73.67% 469 24.40% 37 1.93% 947 49.27% 1,922
Warren 5,173 40.77% 7,402 58.34% 113 0.89% -2,229 -17.57% 12,688
Washington 6,215 60.59% 3,965 38.66% 77 0.75% 2,250 21.94% 10,257
Yazoo 2,992 46.19% 3,433 52.99% 53 0.82% -441 -6.81% 6,478
Totals105,32761.47%64,49937.64%1,5300.89%40,82823.83%171,356
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District 3

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2010 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election

 2008
2012 
 
Nominee Gregg Harper Joel Gill
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 132,393 60,737
Percentage 67.99% 31.19%

Harper:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Gill:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Gregg Harper
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Gregg Harper
Republican

Close
Mississippi's 3rd congressional district in 2010
Gregg Harper, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 3rd district

In 2010 the 3rd district included Meridian, Pearl and parts of Jackson.[54] The district's population was 62 percent white and 34 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 23 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,777.[55] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 39 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[54]

Republican Gregg Harper, who was first elected in 2008, was the incumbent. In 2008 Harper received 63 percent of the vote.[54] In 2010 the Democratic nominee was Joel Gill, the mayor of Pickens.[56] James D. Jackson, a sociology professor; and Shawn O'Hara, a frequent candidate for office, also sought the Democratic nomination.[57] O'Hara's sister, Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill, also ran as the Reform Party nominee.[58]

Harper raised $715,014 and spent $688,959.[59] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Harper a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 70 percent of the vote to Gill's 28 percent.[60] On election day Harper was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Gill's 31 percent.[61] Gill unsuccessfully ran for Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner in 2011, and died in a car accident in October 2012.[62] Harper was again re-elected in 2012[63] and 2014.[31]

Democratic primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary, June 1, 2010[64]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joel Gill 3,805 52.33
Democratic James D. Jackson 2,138 29.40
Democratic Shawn O'Hara 1,328 18.26
Total votes 7,271 100.00
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[35] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[37] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[38] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[39] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[39] Safe R November 1, 2010
Close

General election results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2010 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election[65]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gregg Harper (incumbent) 132,393 67.99
Democratic Joel Gill 60,737 31.19
Reform Tracella Lou O’Hara Hill 1,586 0.81
Total votes 194,716 100.00
Close

By county

More information County, Gregg Harper Republican ...
County[65] Gregg Harper
Republican
Joel Gill
Democratic
Tracella Lou O’Hara Hill
Reform
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adams 3,710 47.17% 4,114 52.31% 41 0.52% -404 -5.14% 7,865
Amite 2,451 61.21% 1,529 38.19% 24 0.60% 922 23.03% 4,004
Covington 3,801 65.09% 1,980 33.90% 59 1.01% 1,821 31.18% 5,840
Franklin 1,493 65.51% 770 33.79% 16 0.70% 723 31.72% 2,279
Hinds (part) 7,261 69.38% 3,165 30.24% 40 0.38% 4,096 39.14% 10,466
Jasper (part) 945 48.96% 969 50.21% 16 0.83% -24 -1.24% 1,930
Jefferson Davis 1,964 44.57% 2,412 54.73% 31 0.70% -448 -10.17% 4,407
Jones (part) 503 62.64% 287 35.74% 13 1.62% 216 26.90% 803
Kemper 1,168 43.02% 1,531 56.39% 16 0.59% -363 -13.37% 2,715
Lauderdale 10,750 66.17% 5,424 33.38% 73 0.45% 5,326 32.78% 16,247
Lawrence 2,696 66.52% 1,322 32.62% 35 0.86% 1,374 33.90% 4,053
Leake (part) 1,681 67.43% 799 32.05% 13 0.52% 882 35.38% 2,493
Lincoln 5,872 70.99% 2,367 28.61% 33 0.40% 3,505 42.37% 8,272
Madison (part) 14,083 77.97% 3,880 21.48% 100 0.55% 10,203 56.49% 18,063
Marion (part) 2,390 75.54% 749 23.67% 25 0.79% 1,641 51.86% 3,164
Neshoba 4,424 75.75% 1,373 23.51% 43 0.74% 3,051 52.24% 5,840
Newton 3,903 70.85% 1,569 28.48% 37 0.67% 2,334 42.37% 5,509
Noxubee 1,026 29.78% 2,394 69.49% 25 0.73% -1,368 -39.71% 3,445
Oktibbeha 6,023 56.36% 4,581 42.87% 83 0.78% 1,442 13.49% 10,687
Pike 5,059 58.23% 3,542 40.77% 87 1.00% 1,517 17.46% 8,688
Rankin 31,297 85.00% 4,974 13.51% 549 1.49% 26,323 71.49% 36,820
Scott 3,665 62.28% 2,187 37.16% 33 0.56% 1,478 25.11% 5,885
Simpson 4,740 67.67% 2,225 31.76% 40 0.57% 2,515 35.90% 7,005
Smith 4,094 77.61% 1,138 21.57% 43 0.82% 2,956 56.04% 5,275
Walthall 3,124 61.00% 1,921 37.51% 76 1.48% 1,203 23.49% 5,121
Webster (part) 182 75.21% 57 23.55% 3 1.24% 125 51.65% 242
Wilkinson 821 38.84% 1,285 60.79% 8 0.38% -464 -21.95% 2,114
Winston (part) 3,267 59.57% 2,193 39.99% 24 0.44% 1,074 19.58% 5,484
Totals132,39367.99%60,73731.19%1,5860.81%71,65636.80%194,716
Close

District 4

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2010 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election

 2008
2012 
 
Nominee Steven Palazzo Gene Taylor
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 105,613 95,243
Percentage 51.9% 46.8%

County results
Palazzo:      50–60%      60–70%
Taylor:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Gene Taylor
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Close

In 2010 the 4th district included Gulfport and Hattiesburg.[66] The district's population was 71 percent white and 23 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $41,245.[67] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 67 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 32 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[66]

Democrat Gene Taylor, who took office in 1989, was the incumbent. Taylor was re-elected in 2008 with 75 percent of the vote.[66] In 2010 Taylor's opponent in the general election was Steven Palazzo, a member of the Mississippi House of Representatives.[68] Joe Tegerdine, a businessman, also sought the Republican nomination.[69] Tim Hampton, the Libertarian Party nominee, and Anna Jewel Revies, the nominee of the Reform Party, also ran.[70]

Taylor raised $855,983 and spent $968,943. Palazzo raised $1,079,453 and spent $1,026,476.[71] Tegerdine raised $74,586 and spent $74,500.[72]

In a poll by the Tarrance Group, conducted for Palazzo's campaign in September 2010, 45 percent of respondents supported Taylor while 41 percent favored Palazzo.[73] In October 2010 Taylor said his own internal polling showed him leading Palazzo by eight percentage points.[74] Another poll by Tarrance for Palazzo's campaign, conducted later in October 2010 with a sample size of 300 likely voters, Palazzo led with 43 percent to Taylor's 41 percent, while 3 percent supported other candidates and 12 percent were undecided.[75]

On election day Palazzo was elected with 52 percent of the vote to Taylor's 47 percent.[76] Palazzo was re-elected in 2012[77] and 2014.[31] In 2014 Taylor unsuccessfully challenged Palazzo in the Republican primary in the 4th district.[78]

Republican primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steven Palazzo 15,556 57.15
Republican Joe Tegerdine 11,663 42.85
Total votes 27,219 100.00
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[35] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Lean D November 1, 2010
RCP[37] Tossup November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[38] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[39] Tossup November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[39] Tossup November 1, 2010
Close

General election results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2010 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election[79]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steven Palazzo 105,613 51.93
Democratic Gene Taylor (incumbent) 95,243 46.83
Libertarian Tim Hampton 1,741 0.86
Reform Anna Jewel Revies 787 0.39
Total votes 203,384 100.00
Close

By county

More information County, Gene Taylor Democratic ...
County[79] Gene Taylor
Democratic
Steven Palazzo
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Clarke 1,823 36.44% 3,107 62.10% 73 1.46% 1,284 25.66% 5,003
Forrest 9,467 49.65% 9,250 48.51% 350 1.84% -217 -1.14% 19,067
George 3,161 40.80% 4,507 58.18% 79 1.02% 1,346 17.37% 7,747
Greene 1,474 42.38% 1,975 56.79% 29 0.83% 501 14.40% 3,478
Hancock 6,487 54.58% 5,266 44.31% 132 1.11% -1,221 -10.27% 11,885
Harrison 24,845 57.53% 17,917 41.49% 421 0.97% -6,928 -16.04% 43,183
Jackson 18,463 50.72% 17,588 48.32% 350 0.96% -875 -2.40% 36,401
Jasper (part) 2,141 57.49% 1,538 41.30% 45 1.21% -603 -16.19% 3,724
Jones (part) 7,513 38.31% 11,834 60.35% 263 1.34% 4,321 22.03% 19,610
Lamar 5,546 32.07% 11,484 66.40% 265 1.53% 5,938 34.33% 17,295
Marion (part) 2,051 41.73% 2,790 56.77% 74 1.51% 739 15.04% 4,915
Pearl River 4,678 30.20% 10,570 68.24% 242 1.56% 5,892 38.04% 15,490
Perry 1,698 46.73% 1,874 51.57% 62 1.71% 176 4.84% 3,634
Stone 2,661 52.94% 2,302 45.80% 63 1.25% -359 -7.14% 5,026
Wayne 3,235 46.71% 3,611 52.14% 80 1.16% 376 5.43% 6,926
Totals95,24346.83%105,61351.93%2,5281.24%10,3705.10%203,384
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Further reading

  • Lansford, Tom (2011). "Mississippi District 4 Race (Palazzo v. Taylor): A Conservative Democrat Loses to a More Conservative Republican". In Foreman, Sean D.; Dewhirst, Robert (eds.). The Roads to Congress 2010. Lanham, Maryland: Lexington Books. pp. 55–66.

See also

References

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