2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

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The 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota. Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator John Thune, who was the Senate Minority Whip, was first elected in 2004, defeating Democratic incumbent Tom Daschle, the then-Senate Minority Leader. He ran for reelection to a fourth term.[1] The Democratic nominee was 26-year Navy, Air Force JAG Corps veteran, and former college professor Brian Bengs. Thune was ultimately reelected, becoming the first Senator from South Dakota to be elected to a fourth term since Karl Mundt in 1966, and only the second to do so after Mundt.[2]

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 
 
Nominee John Thune Brian Bengs
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 242,316 91,007
Percentage 69.63% 26.15%

County results
Thune:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bengs:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

John Thune
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Thune
Republican

Close

Republican primary

On December 23, 2020, then-President Donald Trump said Thune would face a primary challenger after Thune refused to support a challenge of the 2020 Electoral College results, tweeting:[3] "Republicans in the Senate so quickly forget. Right now they would be down 8 seats without my backing them in the last Election. RINO John Thune, 'Mitch's boy', should just let it play out. South Dakota doesn't like weakness. He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!" South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem stated she would not challenge Thune for the seat.[4] On January 1, 2021, Trump tweeted that Noem should challenge Thune in a primary, despite Noem previously saying she would not do so, instead running for re-election as Governor in 2022.[5]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Patrick Schubert, software executive[8]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mark
Mowry
John
Thune
Bruce
Whalen
Undecided
South Dakota State University[14] May 2–15, 2022 – (LV) ± 3.0% 4% 46% 10% 41%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson
Kristi
Noem
John
Thune
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R)[15][A] January 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 30% 47% 23%
49% 40% 10%
Close

Results

Results by county
  Thune
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 85,613 72.24%
Republican Bruce Whalen 24,071 20.31%
Republican Mark Mowry 8,827 7.45%
Total votes 118,511 100.0%
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tamara Lesnar, small business owner[21]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[23] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[25] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[26] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[27] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[28] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[29] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[30] Safe R September 7, 2022
Close

Post-primary endorsements

Brian Bengs (D)

Organizations

U.S. Senators

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Thune (R)
Brian
Bengs (D)
Tamara
Lesnar (L)
Undecided
South Dakota State University[42] September 28 – October 10, 2022 565 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 28% 20%
Lake Research Partners (D)[43] September 6–11, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 33% 8% 11%
Moore Information Group (R)[44] March 14–19, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 59% 24% 6% 11%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota[45]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 242,316 69.63% −2.20%
Democratic Brian Bengs 91,007 26.15% −2.02%
Libertarian Tamara Lesnar 14,697 4.22% N/A
Total votes 348,020 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

By county

More information County, John Thune Republican ...
County[45] John Thune
Republican
Brian Bengs
Democratic
Tamara Lesnar
Libertarian
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Aurora 978 80.56% 170 14.00% 66 5.44% 808 66.56% 1,214
Beadle 4,441 76.08% 1,214 20.80% 182 3.12% 3,227 55.29% 5,837
Bennett 684 67.06% 295 28.92% 41 4.02% 389 38.14% 1,020
Bon Homme 2,010 78.70% 453 17.74% 91 3.56% 1,557 60.96% 2,554
Brookings 7,990 64.69% 3,816 30.90% 545 4.41% 4,174 33.79% 12,351
Brown 9,577 68.80% 3,893 27.96% 451 3.24% 5,684 40.83% 13,921
Brule 1,573 74.98% 428 20.40% 97 4.62% 1,145 54.58% 2,098
Buffalo 173 44.36% 202 51.79% 15 3.85% -29 -7.44% 390
Butte 3,269 78.62% 597 14.36% 292 7.02% 2,672 64.26% 4,158
Campbell 571 86.12% 66 9.95% 26 3.92% 505 76.17% 663
Charles Mix 2,323 75.20% 666 21.56% 100 3.24% 1,657 53.64% 3,089
Clark 1,307 82.05% 230 14.44% 56 3.52% 1,077 67.61% 1,593
Clay 2,522 53.51% 2,042 43.33% 149 3.16% 480 10.18% 4,713
Codington 8,279 75.24% 2,265 20.58% 460 4.18% 6,014 54.65% 11,004
Corson 534 57.73% 334 36.11% 57 6.16% 200 21.62% 925
Custer 3,756 74.52% 1,017 20.18% 267 5.30% 2,739 54.35% 5,040
Davison 5,420 75.17% 1,524 21.14% 266 3.69% 3,896 54.04% 7,210
Day 1,796 71.44% 602 23.95% 116 4.61% 1,194 47.49% 2,514
Deuel 1,548 77.95% 346 17.42% 92 4.63% 1,202 60.52% 1,986
Dewey 770 49.36% 720 46.15% 70 4.49% 50 3.21% 1,560
Douglas 1,308 89.16% 117 7.98% 42 2.86% 1,191 81.19% 1,467
Edmunds 1,385 82.10% 253 15.00% 49 2.90% 1,132 67.10% 1,687
Fall River 2,754 75.64% 665 18.26% 222 6.10% 2,089 57.37% 3,641
Faulk 780 82.37% 120 12.67% 47 4.96% 660 69.69% 947
Grant 2,492 77.92% 601 18.79% 105 3.28% 1,891 59.13% 3,198
Gregory 1,663 82.16% 279 13.78% 82 4.05% 1,384 68.38% 2,024
Haakon 864 89.07% 56 5.77% 50 5.15% 808 83.30% 970
Hamlin 2,214 81.91% 366 13.54% 123 4.55% 1,848 68.37% 2,703
Hand 1,242 82.25% 198 13.11% 70 4.64% 1,044 69.14% 1,510
Hanson 1,323 81.22% 254 15.59% 52 3.19% 1,069 65.62% 1,629
Harding 605 90.57% 22 3.29% 41 6.14% 564 84.43% 668
Hughes 5,467 73.37% 1,683 22.59% 301 4.04% 3,784 50.79% 7,451
Hutchinson 2,619 83.35% 417 13.27% 106 3.37% 2,202 70.08% 3,142
Hyde 484 83.45% 78 13.45% 18 3.10% 406 70.00% 580
Jackson 617 68.63% 215 23.92% 67 7.45% 402 44.72% 899
Jerauld 676 78.24% 154 17.82% 34 3.94% 522 60.42% 864
Jones 383 82.37% 46 9.89% 36 7.74% 337 72.47% 465
Kingsbury 2,000 79.05% 441 17.43% 89 3.52% 1,559 61.62% 2,530
Lake 3,615 73.51% 1,139 23.16% 164 3.33% 2,476 50.35% 4,918
Lawrence 8,439 69.48% 3,061 25.20% 646 5.32% 5,378 44.28% 12,146
Lincoln 19,703 70.42% 7,365 26.32% 912 3.26% 12,338 44.10% 27,980
Lyman 944 72.67% 290 22.32% 65 5.00% 654 50.35% 1,299
Marshall 1,272 67.70% 545 29.00% 62 3.30% 727 38.69% 1,879
McCook 2,033 80.26% 408 16.11% 92 3.63% 1,625 64.15% 2,533
McPherson 954 86.57% 108 9.80% 40 3.63% 846 76.77% 1,102
Meade 8,934 75.90% 2,134 18.13% 702 5.96% 6,800 57.77% 11,770
Mellette 415 66.51% 165 26.44% 44 7.05% 250 40.06% 624
Miner 813 80.98% 161 16.04% 30 2.99% 652 64.94% 1,004
Minnehaha 46,551 62.78% 24,772 33.41% 2,821 3.80% 21,779 29.37% 74,144
Moody 1,839 69.61% 694 26.27% 109 4.13% 1,145 43.34% 2,642
Oglala Lakota 422 17.30% 1,889 77.42% 129 5.29% -1,467 -60.12% 2,440
Pennington 30,398 67.32% 12,441 27.55% 2,314 5.12% 17,957 39.77% 45,153
Perkins 1,141 83.35% 133 9.72% 95 6.94% 1,008 73.63% 1,369
Potter 937 85.73% 123 11.25% 33 3.02% 814 74.47% 1,093
Roberts 2,384 67.52% 1,000 28.32% 147 4.16% 1,384 39.20% 3,531
Sanborn 821 81.94% 154 15.37% 27 2.69% 667 66.57% 1,002
Spink 2,027 76.09% 546 20.50% 91 3.42% 1,481 55.59% 2,664
Stanley 1,138 78.65% 245 16.93% 64 4.42% 893 61.71% 1,447
Sully 622 79.44% 114 14.56% 47 6.00% 508 64.88% 783
Todd 502 26.27% 1,308 68.45% 101 5.29% -806 -42.18% 1,911
Tripp 1,861 83.19% 263 11.76% 113 5.05% 1,598 71.43% 2,237
Turner 3,078 79.99% 602 15.64% 168 4.37% 2,476 64.35% 3,848
Union 4,991 74.30% 1,497 22.29% 229 3.41% 3,494 52.02% 6,717
Walworth 1,645 80.72% 301 14.77% 92 4.51% 1,344 65.95% 2,038
Yankton 6,051 68.35% 2,462 27.81% 340 3.84% 3,589 40.54% 8,853
Ziebach 389 57.37% 242 35.69% 47 6.93% 147 21.68% 678
Totals242,31669.63%91,00726.15%14,6974.22%151,30943.48%348,020
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by the American Potential Fund

References

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