2026 United States Senate election in Kansas
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2026 United States Senate election in Kansas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Republican incumbent Roger Marshall is seeking a second term.[1] He is being challenged by Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton.
.jpg)
 | |||||||||||
November 3, 2026
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
_(cropped).jpg)
In the August 4 primary elections, Marshall won the Republican nomination against minimal opposition. Hamilton won the Democratic nomination with 34.9% of the vote over a field of candidates that included former Kansas USDA Rural Development director Christy Davis and Army veteran Noah Taylor.
Democrats have not won a Senate election in Kansas since 1932.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Roger Marshall, incumbent U.S. senator (2021–present)[1]
Eliminated in primary
- Pond Naramore[2]
Endorsements
Roger Marshall
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[3]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Roger Marshall (R) | $5,528,510 | $957,210 | $4,781,258 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[6] | |||
Results
Marshall
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 266,135 | 79.9 | |
| Republican | Pond Naramore | 66,919 | 20.1 | |
| Total votes | 333,054 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Adam Hamilton, pastor[7] (initially formed exploratory committee as an independent)[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Damon Anderson, business owner[9]
- Christy Davis, former Kansas director for USDA Rural Development and candidate for Kansas's 1st congressional district in 2020[10]
- Jason Hart, former federal prosecutor[11][9]
- Kevin Latz, pediatric orthopedic surgeon[9]
- Erik Murray, commercial real estate developer[12]
- Anne Parelkar, attorney[13]
- Patrick Schmidt, state senator from the 19th district (2025–present) and nominee for Kansas's 2nd congressional district in 2022[14]
- Mike Soetaert, art gallery owner and perennial candidate[13][9]
- Sandy Spidel Neumann, former financial services executive[15]
- Noah Taylor, counterintelligence specialist[16]
Declined
- Cindy Holscher, state senator from the 8th district (2021–present)[17] (running for governor)[18]
- Laura Kelly, governor of Kansas (2019–present)[19]
- Sharice Davids, U.S. representative from Kansas's 3rd congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[20]
Endorsements
Adam Hamilton
- Executive branch officials
- Kathleen Sebelius, former secretary of health and human services (2009–2014) and former governor of Kansas (2003–2009)[21]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Christy Davis (D) | $80,478 | $38,100 | $85,910 |
| Adam Hamilton (D) | $3,678,710 | $1,081,012 | $2,597,697 |
| Jason Hart (D) | $51,127 | $32,910 | $18,216 |
| Kevin Latz (D) | $37,759 | $8,696 | $54,385 |
| Erik Murray (D) | $209,762 | $199,781 | $9,980 |
| Lois Parelkar (D) | $32,140 | $28,839 | $3,301 |
| Patrick Schmidt (D) | $244,347 | $219,434 | $24,912 |
| Sandy Spidel Neumann (D) | $309,765 | $234,887 | $74,877 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[6] | |||
Polling
Results
Hamilton
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Davis
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 80–90%
Taylor
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Murray
- 30–40%
Schmidt
- 20–30%
Tie
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Hamilton | 76,105 | 34.9 | |
| Democratic | Christy Davis | 30,996 | 14.2 | |
| Democratic | Noah Taylor | 29,398 | 13.5 | |
| Democratic | Anne Parelkar | 16,340 | 7.5 | |
| Democratic | Erik Murray | 14,669 | 6.7 | |
| Democratic | Patrick Schmidt | 13,073 | 6.0 | |
| Democratic | Sandy Spidel Neumann | 12,377 | 5.7 | |
| Democratic | Jason Hart | 11,844 | 5.4 | |
| Democratic | Damon Anderson | 5,744 | 2.6 | |
| Democratic | Kevin Latz | 4,004 | 1.8 | |
| Democratic | Michael Soetaert | 3,608 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 218,158 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[24] | Likely R | August 4th, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ[25] | Likely R | July 14, 2026 |
| The Economist[26][d] | Lean R | May 19, 2026 |
| FiftyPlusOne[27] | Likely R | August 3, 2026 |
| Fox News[28] | Likely R | August 18, 2026 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | April 23, 2026 |
| Race To The WH[30] | Likely R | August 9, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[31] | Likely R | May 19, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Likely R | August 4, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin[33] | Likely R | August 11, 2026 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Roger Marshall (R) |
Adam Hamilton (D) |
Other/ Undecided[e] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[34] | through August 8, 2026 | August 12, 2026 | 47.5% | 43.2% | 9.3% | Marshall +4.3% |
| Silver Bulletin[33] | through August 8, 2026 | August 12, 2026 | 48.5% | 44.3% | 7.2% | Marshall +4.2% |
| Average | 48.0% | 43.8% | 8.2% | Marshall +4.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Roger Marshall (R) |
Adam Hamilton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[35][C] | August 7–8, 2026 | 569 (LV) | — | 46% | 45% | — |
| GBAO (D)[36][D] | July 8–13, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Tavern Research (D)[37] | January 26–28, 2026 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 46% | — |
Hypothetical polling
Roger Marshall vs. Noah Taylor
Roger Marshall vs. Patrick Schmidt
Roger Marshall vs. Adam Hamilton (running as an independent)
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Erik Murray with 2%; Jason Hart, Kevin Latz, Sandy Neumann, Anne Parelkar and Mike Soetaert with 1%; Damon Anderson with 0%
- Erik Murray with 2%, Sandy Neumann with 1%, Anne Parelkar with 3%
- The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients