2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election
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The 2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Connecticut, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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November 4, 2014
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| Turnout | 55.60%[1] ( 1.85%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Malloy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Foley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Governor Dannel Malloy won re-election to a second term in office. Connecticut, unlike most states, holds separate primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor, with the winners then running together on the same ticket.
Malloy and incumbent Lieutenant Governor Nancy Wyman were renominated unopposed. The Republicans nominated former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland and nominee for governor in 2010 Thomas C. Foley and Groton Town Councilor Heather Somers, making the contest a rematch of the 2010 election. Independent candidate Joe Visconti, a former West Hartford Town Councilor and the Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 was running with Chester Harris, a former Republican Haddam School Board Member. Visconti suspended his campaign on November 2 and endorsed Foley. However, due to the suspension coming only two days before the election, Visconti's name remained on the ballot. Former State Representative Jonathan Pelto (D-Mansfield)[2] explored a third-party candidacy through a petition drive but was disqualified due to an inadequate number of signatures.[3]
Democratic primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
- Dannel Malloy, incumbent Governor[4]
Withdrew
- Lee Whitnum, writer, candidate for Connecticut's 4th congressional district in 2008 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012[5]
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Nancy Wyman, incumbent Lieutenant Governor
Results
Malloy and Wyman ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, so no primaries were held.
Republican primary
Governor
2010 nominee Thomas C. Foley won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 57.1% of the vote.[6] Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton and State Senate Minority Leader John McKinney took 22.3% and 17.72%, respectively, meeting the 15% vote threshold and thus also qualified for the primary ballot.[7] Shelton Mayor Mark Lauretti and former West Hartford Town Councilor Joe Visconti failed to get 15% of the vote at the convention, so neither automatically qualified for the ballot. Visconti began collecting signatures to petition his way onto the ballot. He needed the signatures of 8,190 registered Republican voters by June 10 in order to qualify and he started collecting signatures when primary petitions became available at the end of April.[8] Lauretti began to collect signatures a few days after the convention, but withdrew those petitions on May 22 to instead try to petition onto the ballot for lieutenant governor.[9]
On June 6, Visconti announced that he was short of the required number of signatures, and with the filing deadline only 4 days away, was withdrawing from the race to run as an Independent instead.[10] Boughton suspended his campaign on June 18, primarily because he did not think Lauretti, his unofficial running mate, would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing.[11] He called for "party unity behind the endorsed Republican candidate, Tom Foley."[12]
Candidates
Declared
- Thomas C. Foley, former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland and nominee for governor in 2010[6][13][14]
- John P. McKinney, Minority Leader of the Connecticut Senate[6][15]
Withdrew
- Toni Boucher, state senator[16][17]
- Mark Boughton, Mayor of Danbury and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010[6][12][18]
- Martha Dean, nominee for Connecticut Attorney General in 2002 and 2010[19][20]
- Mark Lauretti, Mayor of Shelton (ran for Lieutenant Governor)[6][9][21]
- Joe Visconti, former West Hartford Town Councilor and nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 (running as unaffiliated)[6][10][22]
Declined
- Lawrence F. Cafero, Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives[23]
- Michael Fedele, former lieutenant governor and candidate for governor in 2010 (running for Mayor of Stamford)[24][25]
- Pauline R. Kezer, former Secretary of the State of Connecticut[16]
- Linda McMahon, businesswoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012[26]
- Chris Shays, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[24]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Toni Boucher |
Mark Boughton |
Lawrence F. Cafero |
Martha Dean |
Thomas C. Foley |
Mark Lauretti |
John P. McKinney |
Joe Visconti |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac[27] | May 1–6, 2014 | 443 | ±4.7% | — | 9% | — | 5% | 39% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 30% |
| Quinnipiac[28] | Feb. 26–March 2, 2014 | 477 | ±4.5% | 2% | 11% | — | — | 36% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 37% |
| Quinnipiac[29] | June 12–17, 2013 | 283 | ±5.8% | — | 8% | 4% | — | 36% | — | 11% | — | 1% | 41% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thomas C. Foley | 44,144 | 55.58 | |
| Republican | John P. McKinney | 35,282 | 44.42 | |
| Total votes | 79,426 | 100.00 | ||
Lieutenant governor
Although separate primary elections are held for governor and lieutenant governor, candidates for each office often join together to form unofficial "tickets". Heather Bond Somers had originally been running on such a "ticket" with Mark Boughton,[31] but she withdrew from the arrangement.[32][33] Boughton later announced Mark Lauretti as his new running mate.[34] This arrangement came to an end when Boughton withdrew, primarily because he did not think Lauretti would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing.[11] David M. Walker teamed up with John P. McKinney.[35] Bacchiochi did not join any "ticket".[36]
Bacchiochi won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 50.9% of the vote. Somers took 31.5% and Walker got 17.4%, meaning they both also qualified for the primary ballot.[32] Lauretti attempted to petition his way onto the ballot; he was unsuccessful, filing only 6,723 of the required 8,190 signatures.[37]
Candidates
Declared
- Penny Bacchiochi, state representative
- Heather Bond Somers, Groton Town Councilor and former Mayor of Groton
- David M. Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States
Withdrew
Results
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Heather Bond Somers | 26,980 | 34.46 | |
| Republican | Penny Bacchiochi | 26,311 | 33.06 | |
| Republican | David M. Walker | 25,014 | 31.94 | |
| Total votes | 78,305 | 100.00 | ||
Independents
Candidates
Withdrew
- Joe Visconti, former West Hartford Town Councilor and Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008[10][38]
Disqualified
- Jonathan Pelto, Democratic former state representative[40][41][42][43]
- Running mate: Ebony Murphy-Root, teacher
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, August 27, 2014 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 2, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[46] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[47] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Fundraising
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Thomas C. Foley (R) |
Joe Visconti (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[50] | October 28 – November 2, 2014 | 926 | ± 3.2% | 43% | 42% | 8% | 1% | 6% |
| 47% | 44% | — | 1% | 7% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[51] | October 30 – November 1, 2014 | 931 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 41% | 6% | — | 8% |
| 47% | 44% | — | — | 8% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[52] | October 29–30, 2014 | 977 | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | — | 2% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University[53] | October 22–27, 2014 | 838 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 6% |
| 44% | 46% | — | 1% | 8% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[54] | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,267 | ± 4% | 40% | 40% | 3% | 0% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University[55] | October 14–20, 2014 | 1,010 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 9% | 1% | 6% |
| 45% | 45% | — | 2% | 8% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[52] | October 14–16, 2014 | 980 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 50% | — | 2% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University[56] | October 1–6, 2014 | 1,085 | ± 3% | 43% | 43% | 9% | — | 5% |
| 46% | 46% | — | 1% | 7% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[57] | October 2–5, 2014 | 861 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 35% | 9% | — | 14% |
| 45% | 39% | — | — | 16% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[54] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,284 | ± 3% | 41% | 41% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[58] | September 3–8, 2014 | 1,304 | ± 2.7% | 40% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 6% |
| 43% | 49% | — | 1% | 7% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[59] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,808 | ± 3% | 42% | 41% | — | 3% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports[52] | August 18–19, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 38% | 45% | — | 7% | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing[60] | August 4–7, 2014 | 440 | ± 5% | 38% | 46% | — | — | 16% |
| Anzalone Liszt Grove[61] | July 28–29, 2014 | 900 | ± ? | 46% | 46% | — | — | 8% |
| Vox Populi Polling[62] | July 27–28, 2014 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 35% | 34% | — | 3%[63] | 27% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[64] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,177 | ± ? | 41% | 48% | — | 4% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[65] | May 1–6, 2014 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 43% | 43% | — | 1% | 12% |
| Quinnipiac University[66] | February 26 – March 2, 2014 | 1,878 | ± 2.3% | 42% | 42% | — | 1% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[67] | June 12–17, 2013 | 1,154 | ± 2.9% | 40% | 43% | — | 1% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Toni Boucher (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[66] | February 26 – March 2, 2014 | 1,878 | ± 2.3% | 45% | 34% | 2% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Mark Boughton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[65] | May 1–6, 2014 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 44% | 39% | 1% | 16% |
| Quinnipiac University[66] | February 26 – March 2, 2014 | 1,878 | ± 2.3% | 44% | 35% | 2% | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University[67] | June 12–17, 2013 | 1,154 | ± 2.9% | 43% | 36% | 1% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Lawrence F. Cafero (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[67] | June 12–17, 2013 | 1,154 | ± 2.9% | 44% | 37% | 2% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Martha Dean (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[65] | May 1–6, 2014 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 46% | 37% | 1% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Mark Lauretti (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[65] | May 1–6, 2014 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 45% | 37% | 1% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University[66] | February 26 – March 2, 2014 | 1,878 | ± 2.3% | 44% | 34% | 2% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
John P. McKinney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[68] | August 4–7, 2014 | 440 | ± 5% | 38% | 45% | — | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University[65] | May 1–6, 2014 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 44% | 40% | 1% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[66] | February 26 – March 2, 2014 | 1,878 | ± 2.3% | 43% | 37% | 1% | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University[67] | June 12–17, 2013 | 1,154 | ± 2.9% | 44% | 37% | 1% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[69] | November 1–2, 2012 | 1,220 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 37% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dannel Malloy (D) |
Joe Visconti (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[65] | May 1–6, 2014 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 46% | 36% | 1% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University[66] | February 26 – March 2, 2014 | 1,878 | ± 2.3% | 45% | 34% | 2% | 19% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dannel Malloy | 529,552 | 48.46% | +1.25% | |
| Working Families | Dannel Malloy | 24,762 | 2.27% | −0.03% | |
| Total | Dannel Malloy (incumbent) | 554,314 | 50.73% | +1.22% | |
| Republican | Thomas C. Foley | 503,998 | 46.12% | −2.83% | |
| Independent Party | Thomas C. Foley | 22,297 | 2.04% | N/A | |
| Total | Thomas C. Foley | 526,295 | 48.16% | −0.79% | |
| Independent | Joe Visconti | 11,456 | 1.05% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 708 | 0.06% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,092,773 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County | Dannel Malloy
Democratic |
Thomas Foley
Republican |
Various candidates
Other parties |
Total votes cast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 128,714 | 49.72% | 128,629 | 49.69% | 1,530 | 0.59% | 258,873 |
| Hartford | 148,096 | 53.51% | 125,722 | 45.43% | 2,947 | 1.06% | 276,765 |
| Litchfield | 27,282 | 39.40% | 40,992 | 59.20% | 974 | 1.41% | 69,248 |
| Middlesex | 31,478 | 49.45% | 31,342 | 49.24% | 833 | 1.31% | 63,653 |
| New Haven | 135,973 | 53.37% | 116,068 | 45.56% | 2,713 | 1.06% | 254,754 |
| New London | 42,983 | 51.30% | 39,666 | 47.34% | 1,132 | 1.35% | 83,781 |
| Tolland | 23,887 | 45.99% | 27,315 | 52.59% | 738 | 1.42% | 66,450 |
| Windham | 15,901 | 48.11% | 16,561 | 50.11% | 589 | 1.78% | 33,051 |
| Total | 554,314 | 50.73% | 526,295 | 48.16% | 12,164 | 1.11% | 1,092,773 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Fairfield (largest town: Bridgeport)
- Middlesex (largest town: Middletown)
- New London (largest town: Norwich)
By congressional district
Despite his win, and managing to flip back three counties, Malloy only won two of the five congressional districts, while Foley won the other three, all of which were held by Democrats. This result exactly replicated the previous election for governor in 2010 by congressional district between Malloy and Foley.[71]
| District | Dannel Malloy Democratic |
Thomas Foley Republican |
Various candidates Independent |
Total votes cast | Representative | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | |||
| 1st | 122,097 | 54.33% | 100,031 | 44.51% | 2,610 | 1.16% | 224,738 | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 111,560 | 47.96% | 117,788 | 50.64% | 3,246 | 1.40% | 232,594 | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 120,938 | 56.17% | 92,107 | 42.79% | 2,244 | 1.04% | 215,289 | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 100,667 | 49.60% | 100,711 | 49.62% | 1,586 | 0.78% | 202,964 | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 99,052 | 45.60% | 115,658 | 53.26% | 2,478 | 1.14% | 217,188 | Elizabeth Esty |
| Totals | 554,314 | 50.73% | 526,295 | 48.16% | 12,164 | 1.11% | 1,092,773 | |