Cyclone Vaianu (2026)

On 3 April, the Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS) reported that Tropical Disturbance 11F had developed about 735 km (455 mi) to the north-northeast of Port Vila, Vanuatu.^[1] At this stage, atmospheric convection was displaced to the southeast of the low-level circulation centre, while multiple mesovortices were identifiable on satellite imagery.^[1][2] The system itself was located within a marginal environment for further development, with low vertical wind shear and warm sea-surface temperatures, while dry air and stronger vertical wind shear were present to its south-southwest.^[1][2]

Over the next day, the disturbance's low-level circulation centre slowly consolidated and atmospheric convection developed over the eastern part of the circulation as it gradually moved southwards along the subtropical ridge of high pressure.^[3][4] As a result, the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert, which meant that there was a high probability of tropical cyclogenesis over the next day.^[4] Later that night, the FMS upgraded 11F to a tropical depression.^[5]

On 5 April at 03:00 UTC, the JTWC designated 11F as Tropical Cyclone 31P with 1-minute sustained winds of 40 kt (75 km/h).^[6] Later that evening, the FMS upgraded 11F to a Category 1 cyclone on the Australian scale, giving the name Vaianu.^[7] On 5 April at 18:00 UTC, the FMS upgraded Vaianu to a Category 2 cyclone with 10-minute sustained winds of 55 kt (100 km/h) and a pressure of 975 mb (28.79 inHg).^[8] On 6 April at 07:40 UTC, the FMS further upgraded Vaianu to a severe tropical cyclone, the first in the basin since Cyclone Mal in November 2023.^[9] On 7 April at 00:00 UTC, the JTWC upgraded Vaianu to a Category 3 on the SSHWS with 1-minute sustained winds of 100 kt (185 km/h).^[10] which was the first major cyclone (JTWC) in the basin since Cyclone Lola in 2023.

After achieving peak intensity, increasing wind shear, dry air, and cooler sea surface temperatures have contributed to weakening the storm. The JTWC downgraded Vaianu to a Category 1 on the SSHWS by 8 April at 06:00 UTC.^[11] The Tonga Meteorological Service had issued strong wind, heavy rain, and gale warnings for Tongatapu and ʻEua due to Cyclone Vaianu.^[12] On 9 April at 09:00 UTC, the JTWC issued a final warning for Cyclone Vaianu, citing that the storm is in an unfavourable environment with high wind shear of 30 kt (55 km/h). Vaianu had 1-minute sustained winds of 55 kt (100 km/h) and a hybrid structure matching a subtropical storm with a partially exposed center and little central convection.^[13] On 11 April at 03:00 UTC, New Zealand MetService noted Vaianu had made landfall in Rotorua with the JTWC noting Vaianu as a subtropical storm during this time with 1-minute sustained winds of 35 kt (65 km/h).^[14][15] On April 12th, the system dissipated after exiting New Zealand.

On the night of 11 April, Cyclone Vaianu made landfall in the Northland Region. The region escaped serious damage because the storm moved farther east than initially predicted. During that period, the Whangarei CBD experienced over 130mm of rainfall over a 24-hour period while Cape Reinga recorded winds of 110 km/h. A buoy in the Bay of Islands reported waves reaching 10.8 metres on Saturday afternoon. Fifty families in the Northland Region chose to evacuate to maraes and emergency shelters prior to the cyclone's arrival.^[24] That same day, the Hastings District Council asked residents to evacuate flood-prone areas including Waimārama, Ocean Beach, Te Awanga and Haumoana.^[25] In total, about 500 homes in Cape Coast and the central Hawke's Bay were asked to evacuate by 5pm on 11 April.^[26]

On 12 April, the cyclone moved eastwards through the Bay of Plenty towards Hawke's Bay. It caused strong winds and waves, and significant power outages in Northland, Tauranga, the Coromandel Peninsula and the Auckland Region.The entire North Island was placed under various rain and wind watches and warnings.^[27][28] The Auckland Transport Operations Centre also advised Auckland residents to delay all unnecessary travel on 12 April due to the cyclone making landfall. Auckland's ferry services were also cancelled as a precautionary safety measure.^[29]

Despite initial forecasts, Cyclone Vaianu did not cause inundation at high tide at 1pm on 12 April. The cyclone led to the closure of two highways in the Hawke's Bay region by 4:30 pm including State Highway 2 between Wairoa and Gisborne and State Highway 50 Breakwater Road between Hardinge Road and Coote Rd. Cyclone Vaianu also caused fallen trees and road closures through the Hawke's Bay region. The Hastings District Council advised the 500 residents of the Cape Coast and central Hawke's Bay not to return to their homes for the night. A Civil Defence Centre was established at a church in Waipawa while several marae in Poukawa, Waipawa and Pōrangahau served as community hubs for evacuated residents. By 2pm, Air New Zealand had cancelled over 90 turboprop services in the Hawke's Bay region including Tauranga, Rotorua, Gisborne and Napier. According to the lines company Unison, 583 customers lost power in Napier and Hastings, 137 in the Central Hawke's Bay, and 128 homes in Te Onepu, Te Hauke and Poukawa due to storm damage.^[26]

By the evening of 12 April, Cyclone Vaianu had caused significant damage in the coastal Whakatane District, with residents of 270 properties ordered to evacuate. Fire and Emergency New Zealand confirmed it had responded to 100 calls relating to wind damage and surface flooding. MetService reported that the cyclone would work its way down the North Island before exiting at Hawke's Bay on the evening of 12 April.^[30] During its journey, Cyclone Vaianu caused extensive power cuts, surface flooding and road closures throughout the east coast of the North Island. The Coromandel peninsula recorded 220 mm of rain while Māhia reported of wind gusts of 126 km/h.^[31]

By the morning of 13 April, Cyclone Vaianu had left mainland New Zealand and head southeast towards the Chatham Islands. Tauranga and the Hawke's Bay lifted their states of emergency. While all weather watches and warnings in the Bay of Plenty were lifted by 13 April, MetService issued a heavy rain watch for northern Taranaki, Waitomo, Taumarunui, and the area west of Lake Taupō. As of noon on 13 April, 3,000 homes in the central North Island had no power due to storm damage.^[31] By the night of 13 April, states of emergency had been lifted in Northland, Waikato, Coromandel Peninsula, Western Bay of Plenty and Gisborne; with only Whakatāne remaining under a state of emergency. At the time, 2,000 homes remained without power including 1,500 homes between Pikowai and Toatoa in the Eastern Bay of Plenty.^[32]

After a disaster assessment conducted by the Ministry of Agriculture in Fiji, it was determined that Vaianu caused US$1.5 million in damages, and had damaged nearly 14,000 agricultural households across the country.^[33]

• Weather of 2026
• Tropical cyclones in 2026