2022 Florida Attorney General election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 Florida attorney general election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Florida attorney general. Incumbent Republican attorney general Ashley Moody was reelected for a second term, defeating Democratic challenger Aramis Ayala by a 21-point margin in a landslide victory.[1][2] Moody received the most raw votes and the highest percentage of the vote of any state-wide candidate in the 2022 Florida elections.
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November 8, 2022
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   Moody: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ayala: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Ashley Moody, incumbent Florida attorney general[3]
Endorsements
Ashley Moody
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[4]
Statewide officials
Sheriffs
- Chad Chronister, sheriff of Hillsborough County[6]
- Dennis Lemma, sheriff of Seminole County[7]
- Bobby McCallum, sheriff of Levy County[6]
- James Potter, sheriff of DeSoto County[6]
- 60 sheriffs[8] (post primary)
Organizations
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Aramis Ayala, former state attorney for the Ninth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida (2017–2021)[11]
- Jim Lewis, lawyer[12]
- Daniel Uhlfelder, attorney[13]
Declined
- Fentrice Driskell, state representative[14] (endorsed Ayala)
- Andrew Warren, former state attorney for the Thirteenth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida[15]
Endorsements
Aramis Ayala
State legislators
- Christopher Benjamin, state representative[16]
- Randolph Bracy, state senator[16]
- Kamia Brown, state representative[16]
- Kevin Chambliss, state representative[16]
- Tracie Davis, state representative[16]
- Fentrice Driskell, state representative[16]
- Jervonte Edmonds, state representative[16]
- Audrey Gibson, state senator and former minority leader of the Florida Senate[16]
- Dianne Hart, state representative[16]
- Patricia Hawkins-Williams, state representative[16]
- Yvonne Hayes Hinson, state representative[16]
- Shevrin Jones, state senator[16]
- Dotie Joseph, state representative[16]
- Travaris McCurdy, state representative[16]
- Rosalind Osgood, state senator[16]
- Bobby Powell, state senator[16]
- Michele Rayner, state representative[16]
- Felicia Robinson, state representative[16]
- Sean Shaw, former state representative and nominee for attorney general in 2018[17]
- Geraldine Thompson, state representative[16]
- Marie Woodson, state representative[16]
Labor unions
Organizations
Daniel Uhlfelder
U.S. representatives
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative from Florida's 5th congressional district[24]
State legislators
- Jason Pizzo, state senator[25]
Newspapers
Polling
Results
Ayala
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Uhlfelder
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Lewis
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Aramis Ayala | 637,856 | 44.95% | |
| Democratic | Daniel Uhlfelder | 399,620 | 28.16% | |
| Democratic | Jim Lewis | 381,575 | 26.89% | |
| Total votes | 1,419,051 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Safe R | September 14, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[34] | Safe R | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Moody (R) |
Aramis Ayala (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[35] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 35% | 3%[b] | 13% |
| University of North Florida[36] | October 17–24, 2022 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 36% | 1%[c] | 13% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[37] | September 26–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 37% | – | 13% |
| Siena College[38] | September 18–25, 2022 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 34% | 2%[d] | 22% |
Hypothetical polling
Ashley Moody vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Moody (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[39][A] | September 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 42% | 18% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ashley Moody (incumbent) | 4,651,279 | 60.59% | +8.48% | |
| Democratic | Aramis Ayala | 3,025,943 | 39.41% | −6.69% | |
| Total votes | 7,677,222 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By congressional district
Moody won 22 of 28 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[41]
| District | Moody | Ayala | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 74% | 26% | Matt Gaetz |
| 2nd | 64% | 36% | Neal Dunn |
| 3rd | 65% | 35% | Kat Cammack |
| 4th | 62% | 38% | Aaron Bean |
| 5th | 67% | 33% | John Rutherford |
| 6th | 70% | 30% | Michael Waltz |
| 7th | 62% | 38% | Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress) |
| Cory Mills (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 65% | 35% | Bill Posey |
| 9th | 51% | 49% | Darren Soto |
| 10th | 43% | 57% | Val Demings (117th Congress) |
| Maxwell Frost (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 65% | 35% | Daniel Webster |
| 12th | 72% | 28% | Gus Bilirakis |
| 13th | 60% | 40% | Anna Paulina Luna |
| 14th | 49% | 51% | Kathy Castor |
| 15th | 61% | 39% | Laurel Lee |
| 16th | 63% | 37% | Vern Buchanan |
| 17th | 66% | 34% | Greg Steube |
| 18th | 71% | 29% | Scott Franklin |
| 19th | 70% | 30% | Byron Donalds |
| 20th | 30% | 70% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
| 21st | 63% | 37% | Brian Mast |
| 22nd | 49% | 51% | Lois Frankel |
| 23rd | 50.2% | 49.8% | Jared Moskowitz |
| 24th | 31% | 69% | Frederica Wilson |
| 25th | 47% | 53% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| 26th | 69% | 31% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
| 27th | 57% | 43% | María Elvira Salazar |
| 28th | 63% | 37% | Carlos A. Giménez |
By county
| County | Ashley Moody
Republican |
Aramis Ayala
Democratic |
Margin | Total votes cast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Alachua | 40,899 | 43.07% | 54,051 | 56.93% | -13,152 | -13.86% | 94,950 |
| Baker | 9,523 | 89.81% | 1,081 | 10.19% | 8,442 | 79.62% | 10,604 |
| Bay | 52,728 | 79.03% | 13,991 | 20.97% | 38,737 | 49.96% | 66,719 |
| Bradford | 8,329 | 82.31% | 1,790 | 17.69% | 6,539 | 64.62% | 10,119 |
| Brevard | 175,358 | 66.34% | 88,987 | 33.66% | 86,371 | 32.68% | 264,345 |
| Broward | 245,705 | 41.66% | 344,127 | 58.34% | -98,422 | -16.68% | 589,832 |
| Calhoun | 4,179 | 86.50% | 652 | 13.50% | 3,527 | 73.00% | 4,831 |
| Charlotte | 65,053 | 71.22% | 26,285 | 28.78% | 38,768 | 42.44% | 91,338 |
| Citrus | 57,574 | 76.60% | 17,584 | 23.40% | 39,990 | 53.20% | 75,158 |
| Clay | 68,074 | 76.11% | 21,369 | 23.89% | 46,705 | 52.22% | 89,443 |
| Collier | 116,420 | 72.22% | 44,781 | 27.78% | 71,639 | 44.44% | 161,201 |
| Columbia | 18,762 | 79.95% | 4,706 | 20.05% | 14,056 | 59.90% | 23,468 |
| DeSoto | 6,574 | 76.62% | 2,006 | 23.38% | 4,568 | 53.24% | 8,580 |
| Dixie | 5,375 | 87.80% | 747 | 12.20% | 4,628 | 75.60% | 6,122 |
| Duval | 186,628 | 57.19% | 139,677 | 42.81% | 46,951 | 14.38% | 326,305 |
| Escambia | 75,597 | 65.83% | 39,243 | 34.17% | 36,354 | 31.66% | 114,840 |
| Flagler | 39,689 | 68.30% | 18,418 | 31.70% | 21,271 | 36.60% | 58,107 |
| Franklin | 4,010 | 74.52% | 1,371 | 25.48% | 2,639 | 49.04% | 5,381 |
| Gadsden | 7,202 | 41.63% | 10,099 | 58.37% | -2,897 | -16.74% | 17,301 |
| Gilchrist | 6,812 | 87.33% | 988 | 12.67% | 5,824 | 74.66% | 7,800 |
| Glades | 3,041 | 80.39% | 742 | 19.61% | 2,299 | 60.78% | 3,783 |
| Gulf | 5,145 | 80.59% | 1,239 | 19.41% | 3,906 | 61.18% | 6,384 |
| Hamilton | 3,170 | 74.41% | 1,090 | 25.59% | 2,080 | 48.82% | 4,260 |
| Hardee | 4,591 | 83.70% | 894 | 16.30% | 3,697 | 67.40% | 5,485 |
| Hendry | 6,038 | 74.10% | 2,110 | 25.90% | 3,928 | 48.20% | 8,148 |
| Hernando | 57,154 | 71.82% | 22,422 | 28.18% | 34,732 | 43.64% | 79,576 |
| Highlands | 29,906 | 75.76% | 9,570 | 24.24% | 20,336 | 51.52% | 39,476 |
| Hillsborough | 268,026 | 55.91% | 211,378 | 44.09% | 56,648 | 11.82% | 479,404 |
| Holmes | 6,209 | 92.04% | 537 | 7.96% | 5,672 | 84.08% | 6,746 |
| Indian River | 52,607 | 68.96% | 23,678 | 31.04% | 28,929 | 37.92% | 76,285 |
| Jackson | 12,456 | 76.77% | 3,769 | 23.23% | 8,687 | 53.54% | 16,225 |
| Jefferson | 4,459 | 63.03% | 2,615 | 36.97% | 1,844 | 26.06% | 7,074 |
| Lafayette | 2,618 | 90.56% | 273 | 9.44% | 2,345 | 81.02% | 2,891 |
| Lake | 109,246 | 69.01% | 49,055 | 30.99% | 60,191 | 38.02% | 158,301 |
| Lee | 187,177 | 69.17% | 83,426 | 30.83% | 103,751 | 38.34% | 270,603 |
| Leon | 52,498 | 45.12% | 63,860 | 54.88% | -11,362 | -9.76% | 116,358 |
| Levy | 14,079 | 79.03% | 3,735 | 20.97% | 10,344 | 58.06% | 17,814 |
| Liberty | 2,231 | 86.01% | 363 | 13.99% | 1,868 | 72.02% | 2,594 |
| Madison | 4,783 | 68.80% | 2,169 | 31.20% | 2,614 | 37.60% | 6,952 |
| Manatee | 113,464 | 66.67% | 56,730 | 33.33% | 56,734 | 33.34% | 170,194 |
| Marion | 109,859 | 71.09% | 44,673 | 28.91% | 65,186 | 42.18% | 154,532 |
| Martin | 54,012 | 70.49% | 22,614 | 29.51% | 31,398 | 40.98% | 76,626 |
| Miami-Dade | 381,306 | 54.59% | 317,204 | 45.41% | 64,102 | 9.18% | 698,510 |
| Monroe | 20,428 | 61.04% | 13,037 | 38.96% | 7,391 | 22.08% | 33,465 |
| Nassau | 37,044 | 78.37% | 10,225 | 21.63% | 26,819 | 56.74% | 47,269 |
| Okaloosa | 61,888 | 77.14% | 18,338 | 22.86% | 48,550 | 54.28% | 80,226 |
| Okeechobee | 8,704 | 81.13% | 2,025 | 18.87% | 6,679 | 62.26% | 10,729 |
| Orange | 191,792 | 47.75% | 209,882 | 52.25% | -18,090 | -4.50% | 401,674 |
| Osceola | 54,536 | 53.58% | 47,256 | 46.42% | 7,280 | 7.16% | 101,792 |
| Palm Beach | 278,339 | 51.76% | 259,365 | 48.24% | 18,974 | 3.52% | 537,704 |
| Pasco | 151,504 | 67.97% | 71,391 | 32.03% | 80,113 | 35.94% | 222,895 |
| Pinellas | 237,207 | 56.70% | 181,179 | 43.30% | 56,028 | 13.40% | 418,386 |
| Polk | 150,607 | 66.28% | 76,618 | 33.72% | 73,989 | 32.56% | 227,225 |
| Putnam | 20,389 | 77.37% | 5,964 | 22.63% | 14,425 | 54.74% | 26,353 |
| St. Johns | 101,281 | 70.88% | 41,611 | 29.12% | 59,670 | 41.76% | 142,892 |
| St. Lucie | 72,532 | 60.05% | 48,257 | 39.95% | 24,275 | 20.10% | 120,789 |
| Santa Rosa | 60,230 | 80.20% | 14,867 | 19.80% | 45,363 | 60.40% | 75,097 |
| Sarasota | 135,762 | 62.67% | 80,853 | 37.33% | 54,909 | 25.34% | 216,615 |
| Seminole | 104,330 | 57.79% | 76,192 | 42.21% | 28,138 | 15.58% | 180,522 |
| Sumter | 66,690 | 75.35% | 21,814 | 24.65% | 44,876 | 50.70% | 88,504 |
| Suwannee | 13,677 | 84.04% | 2,598 | 15.96% | 11,079 | 68.08% | 16,275 |
| Taylor | 6,353 | 83.69% | 1,238 | 16.31% | 5,115 | 67.38% | 7,591 |
| Union | 3,987 | 88.31% | 528 | 11.69% | 3,459 | 76.62% | 4,515 |
| Volusia | 147,726 | 66.13% | 75,668 | 33.87% | 72,058 | 32.26% | 223,394 |
| Wakulla | 11,236 | 75.35% | 3,676 | 24.65% | 7,560 | 50.70% | 14,912 |
| Walton | 28,663 | 82.71% | 5,992 | 17.29% | 22,671 | 65.42% | 34,655 |
| Washington | 7,808 | 86.01% | 1,270 | 13.99% | 6,538 | 72.02% | 9,078 |
| Totals | 4,651,279 | 60.59% | 3,025,943 | 39.41% | 1,625,336 | 21.18% | 7,677,222 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Miami-Dade (largest city: Miami)
- Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee)
- Palm Beach (largest city: West Palm Beach)