Do-calculus
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Do-calculus is a set of mathematical rules devised by Judea Pearl in 1995 to determine whether causal effects can be identified from observational data under specific assumptions encoded in a causal graph. It provides a systematic method for transforming expressions involving the do-operator (representing interventions) into expressions involving only observable probabilities, enabling the identification of causal relationships.
Causal queries involving interventions (e.g., ) are considered identifiable if they can be expressed using observational data alone, independent of unmeasured parameters. The do-calculus achieves this by leveraging graphical criteria from directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to remove do-operators through algebraic manipulations.[1]
The three rules of Do-calculus
The rules[2] apply to a causal graph and assume the Markov condition holds:
Rule 1: Insertion/deletion of observations
This rule allows the removal of irrelevant observations () if they are d-separated from given and in the graph where incoming edges to are removed.
Rule 2: Action/observation exchange
This rule permits replacing an intervention () with an observation () if and are d-separated in the graph where outgoing edges from and incoming edges to are removed.
Rule 3: Insertion/deletion of interventions
This rule removes irrelevant interventions () if and are d-separated in a graph modified to block paths through .
Applications
Do-calculus can be applied to various domains within causal inference such as mediation analysis in decomposing direct and indirect effects.[3][4] It can be used for meta-synthesis to combine the results from heterogeneous studies.[3][5]