2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state. New York lost two congressional seats following the 2010 United States census; the two existing districts that were eliminated were District 9, held by Republican Rep. Bob Turner,[1] and District 22, held by retiring Democratic Rep. Maurice Hinchey.[2]
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November 6, 2012
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All 27 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party primary elections occurred on June 26, 2012,[3] with the general election coinciding with the national elections on November 6, 2012.
On Election Day, 21 Democrats and six Republicans prevailed.[4] The Democratic Party regained two seats previously held by Republicans, while the Republican Party regained one seat previously held by a Democrat.[5]
Redistricting
Each caucus in the New York State Legislature submitted their proposed 27-district maps to an appointed special master on February 29, 2012.[6] On March 6, the special master Judge Roanne L. Mann released her own proposed map, and slightly revised them again on March 12.[7][8] On March 19, the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York imposed the special master's maps, with minor modifications.[9][10]
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2012[11] | |||||
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| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 4,127,348 | 58.00% | 21 | - | |
| Republican | 2,252,253 | 31.65% | 6 | -2 | |
| Green | 41,672 | 0.59% | 0 | - | |
| Conservative | 23,414 | 0.33% | 0 | - | |
| Socialist Workers | 5,533 | 0.08% | 0 | - | |
| Libertarian | 2,986 | 0.04% | 0 | - | |
| Others | 663,130 | 9.32% | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 7,116,336 | 100.00% | 27 | -2 | |
District 1
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Incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop, who had represented the district since 2002, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2010. The district had a PVI of Even.
Democratic primary
Bishop kicked off his re-election campaign in April 2011.[12]
In March 2011, Bishop was included in a list of potentially vulnerable Democrats by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, having only won by 593 votes in 2010.[13]
Candidates
Nominee
- Tim Bishop, incumbent U.S. representative
Bishop also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Randy Altschuler, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010[14]
Withdrawn
- George Demos, former Securities and Exchange Commission prosecutor and candidate for this seat in 2010[15]
- Jason Sterling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Randy Altschuler | 7,394 | 86.4 | |
| Republican | George Demos | 1,166 | 13.6 | |
| Total votes | 8,560 | 100.0 | ||
Altschuler also had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Disqualified
- Rick Witt
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Bishop (D) |
Randy Altschuler (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin (R-Altschuler)[27] | October 14–15, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| McLaughlin (R-Prosperity First)[28] | October 10–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Siena College[29] | September 5–10, 2012 | 624 | ± 3.9% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Global Strategy (D-Bishop)[30] | August 26–28, 2012 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| Pulse Opinion Research (R-Altschuler)[31] | July 29, 2012 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC)/SEIU)[32] | July 17–18, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 56% | 32% | 12% |
| Global Strategy (D-Bishop)[33] | March 20–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Tilt D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
On election day, Bishop prevailed by a 52.2%-47.8% margin.[4]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Bishop | 135,118 | 48.5 | |
| Working Families | Tim Bishop | 11,061 | 4.0 | |
| Total | Tim Bishop (incumbent) | 146,179 | 52.5 | |
| Republican | Randy Altschuler | 107,226 | 38.5 | |
| Conservative | Randy Altschuler | 20,125 | 7.2 | |
| Independence | Randy Altschuler | 4,953 | 1.8 | |
| Total | Randy Altschuler | 132,304 | 47.5 | |
| Total votes | 278,483 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
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Republican incumbent Peter King, who was redistricted from the 3rd district, said in May 2011 that the Nassau County Republican Party had encouraged him to run for president. King also said, however, that he was focused "entirely on getting re-elected to Congress."[42]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Peter King, incumbent U.S. Representative
Disqualified
- Paul Mourino
King had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vivianne Falcone, teacher
Declined
- Kathleen Rice, Nassau County district attorney and candidate for attorney general in 2010[43]
Falcone also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[44]
- National Right to Life Committee[45]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[26]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
King won re-election by a margin of more than 15%.[4]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Peter King | 116,363 | 47.9 | |
| Conservative | Peter King | 19,515 | 8.0 | |
| Independence | Peter King | 6,431 | 2.7 | |
| Total | Peter King (incumbent) | 142,309 | 58.6 | |
| Democratic | Vivianne Falcone | 93,932 | 38.7 | |
| Working Families | Vivianne Falcone | 6,613 | 2.7 | |
| Total | Vivianne Falcone | 100,545 | 41.4 | |
| Total votes | 242,854 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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 County results Israel: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic incumbent Steve Israel ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Israel, incumbent U.S. representative
Israel also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party and the Independence Party.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephen LaBate, U.S. Army reservist and financial planning advisor
Disqualified
- Robert Previdi, teacher
The Conservative Party also endorsed LaBate.[46]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael McDermott
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Iraq Veterans for Congress[47]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "On the Radar" Program[24]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Israel | 146,271 | 53.5 | |
| Working Families | Steve Israel | 6,506 | 2.4 | |
| Independence | Steve Israel | 5,103 | 1.9 | |
| Total | Steve Israel (incumbent) | 157,880 | 57.8 | |
| Republican | Stephen LaBate | 98,614 | 36.1 | |
| Conservative | Stephen LaBate | 14,589 | 5.4 | |
| Total | Stephen LaBate | 113,203 | 41.5 | |
| Libertarian | Michael McDermott | 1,644 | 0.6 | |
| Constitution | Anthony Tolda | 367 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 273,094 | 100 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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Incumbent Democrat Carolyn McCarthy, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 53.7% of the vote in 2010. The district had a PVI of D+4.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carolyn McCarthy, incumbent U.S. representative
The Independence Party and Working Families Party endorsed McCarthy.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Fran Becker, Nassau County Legislator and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Frank Scaturro, lawyer, historian and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
On June 26, 2012, Nassau County legislator Fran Becker defeated Frank Scaturro in a primary election for the Republican nomination, while Scaturro defeated Becker in the Conservative Party primary as a write-in candidate.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Fran Becker | 6,357 | 55.1 | |
| Republican | Frank Scaturro | 5,175 | 44.9 | |
| Total votes | 11,532 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Frank Scaturro | 253 | 56.6 | |
| Conservative | Fran Becker | 194 | 43.4 | |
| Total votes | 447 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carolyn McCarthy | 152,590 | 57.5 | |
| Working Families | Carolyn McCarthy | 7,472 | 2.8 | |
| Independence | Carolyn McCarthy | 3,893 | 1.5 | |
| Total | Carolyn McCarthy (incumbent) | 163,955 | 61.8 | |
| Republican | Fran Becker | 84,982 | 32.0 | |
| Tax Revolt | Fran Becker | 711 | 0.3 | |
| Total | Fran Becker | 85,693 | 32.3 | |
| Conservative | Frank Scaturro | 15,603 | 5.9 | |
| Total votes | 265,251 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
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Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks, who had represented the district since 1998, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 87.8% of the vote in 2010. The district had a PVI of D+33.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gregory Meeks, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Alan Jennings, former New York City Council member
- Joseph Marthone, small-business owner
- Michael Scala, rapper
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gregory Meeks (incumbent) | 9,920 | 66.5 | |
| Democratic | Alan Jennings | 1,972 | 13.2 | |
| Democratic | Michael Scala | 1,694 | 11.4 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Marthone | 1,327 | 8.9 | |
| Total votes | 14,913 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan Jennings, former New York City Council member
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Catherine Wark
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gregory Meeks (incumbent) | 167,836 | 89.7 | |
| Republican | Alan Jennings | 17,875 | 9.6 | |
| Libertarian | Catherine Wark | 1,345 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 187,056 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
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The 6th district was an open seat, consisting mostly of territory from the former 5th and 9th districts. Neither of the two incumbents in those districts, Democrat Gary Ackerman from the 5th and Republican Bob Turner from the 9th, sought re-election. Ackerman retired,[49] while Turner, who represented 51% the voters of the new seat, dropped out of the race in March 2012 to run against incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand in the Senate election.[50]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Halloran, New York City Council member
Withdrawn
- Bob Turner, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Grace Meng, state assembly member
Eliminated in primary
- Elizabeth Crowley, New York City Council member
- Rory Lancman, state assembly member[51][52]
- Robert Mittman, doctor
Declined
- Gary Ackerman, incumbent U.S. representative[49]
- David Weprin, state assembly member and nominee for this seat in 2011[53]
Endorsements
Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Meng | 14,825 | 53.0 | |
| Democratic | Rory Lancman | 7,089 | 25.3 | |
| Democratic | Elizabeth Crowley | 4,606 | 16.5 | |
| Democratic | Robert Mittman | 1,462 | 5.2 | |
| Total votes | 27,982 | 100.0 | ||
The Working Families Party endorsed Lancman.
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Evergreen Chou[55]
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Meng | 107,507 | 65.5 | |
| Working Families | Grace Meng | 3,994 | 2.4 | |
| Total | Grace Meng | 111,501 | 67.9 | |
| Republican | Dan Halloran | 45,993 | 28.0 | |
| Conservative | Dan Halloran | 4,853 | 3.0 | |
| Total | Dan Halloran | 50,846 | 31.0 | |
| Green | Evergreen Chou | 1,913 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 164,260 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 7
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Incumbent Nydia Velazquez, who was redistricted from the 12th district, ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
New York City Councilman Erik Martin Dilan, the son of current New York State Senator Martin Malave Dilan, challenged Velazquez in the primary with the backing of Brooklyn Democratic Party chair Vito Lopez; the Dilan family and Velazquez supporters had been engaged in a political feud for several years.[57][58]
Candidates
Nominee
- Nydia Velazquez, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Erik Martin Dilan, New York City Council member[59]
- George Martinez, member of the Occupy Wall Street movement
- Dan O'Connor, economist[60]
Endorsements
Newspapers
Primary results
|
Velazquez 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100% |
Dilan 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90% |
O'Connor 60–70% |
Martinez 90–100% |
Other 20–30% tie
40–50% tie
50% tie
No votes
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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| Democratic | Nydia Velazquez (incumbent) | 17,208 | 57.9 | |
| Democratic | Erik Dilan | 10,408 | 35.0 | |
| Democratic | Daniel O'Connor | 1,351 | 4.6 | |
| Democratic | George Martinez | 745 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 29,712 | 100.0 | ||
Conservative primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Murray
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nydia Velázquez | 134,802 | 88.8 | |
| Working Families | Nydia Velázquez | 9,128 | 6.0 | |
| Total | Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) | 143,930 | 94.8 | |
| Conservative | James Murray | 7,971 | 5.2 | |
| Total votes | 151,901 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
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Incumbent Democrat Edolphus Towns, who was redistricted from the 10th district and was first elected in 1982, announced in April 2012 that he would abandon his plans for re-election.[61]
Democratic primary
Towns's son Darryl, a former member of the New York State Assembly, was formerly considered the "next in line" for the seat; however, in 2011 he accepted a position in the administration of Governor Andrew Cuomo.[62]
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Charles Barron, New York City Council member and candidate for the 10th district in 2006[64][67]
Declined
- Letitia James, New York City Council member[65]
- Kevin Powell, activist, former star of The Real World: New York and candidate for the 10th district in 2008 & 2010[68][69]
- Darryl Towns, former state assembly member and son of Edolphus Towns
- Edolphus Towns, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hakeem Jeffries | 28,271 | 71.8 | |
| Democratic | Charles Barron | 11,130 | 28.2 | |
| Total votes | 39,401 | 100.0 | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Colin Beavan, subject of the book and film No Impact Man[70]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan Bellone
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program[71]
- Sierra Club[23]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hakeem Jeffries | 178,688 | 87.5 | |
| Working Families | Hakeem Jeffries | 5,351 | 2.6 | |
| Total | Hakeem Jeffries | 184,039 | 90.1 | |
| Republican | Alan Bellone | 15,841 | 7.8 | |
| Conservative | Alan Bellone | 1,809 | 0.9 | |
| Total | Alan Bellone | 17,650 | 8.7 | |
| Green | Colin Beavan | 2,441 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 204,130 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
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Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was redistricted from the 11th district and had represented that district since 2007, sought re-election in her new district.
Democratic primary
Sylvia Kinard, an attorney and the ex-wife of Bill Thompson (a current/former Democratic nominee for mayor of New York City), challenged Clarke.[72]
Candidates
Nominee
- Yvette Clarke, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Sylvia Kinard, attorney
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvette Clarke | 15,069 | 88.3 | |
| Democratic | Sylvia Kinard | 1,993 | 11.7 | |
| Total votes | 17,062 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Cavanaugh
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvette Clarke | 178,168 | 83.5 | |
| Working Families | Yvette Clarke | 7,973 | 3.7 | |
| Total | Yvette Clarke (incumbent) | 186,141 | 87.2 | |
| Republican | Daniel Cavanaugh | 20,899 | 9.8 | |
| Conservative | Daniel Cavanaugh | 3,265 | 1.5 | |
| Total | Daniel Cavanaugh | 24,164 | 11.3 | |
| Green | Vivia Morgan | 2,991 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 213,296 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 10
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The new 10th district is located in New York City and includes the Upper West Side of Manhattan, the west side of Lower Manhattan, including Greenwich Village and the Financial District, and parts of Brooklyn, including Borough Park. Incumbent Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who had represented the 8th district since 1993 and the 17th district from 1992 to 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2010 with 76% of the vote, and the district had a PVI of D+24.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jerrold Nadler, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Chan, economics professor at New York University
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerrold Nadler | 156,619 | 76.3 | |
| Working Families | Jerrold Nadler | 9,124 | 4.4 | |
| Total | Jerrold Nadler (incumbent) | 165,743 | 80.7 | |
| Republican | Michael Chan | 35,538 | 17.3 | |
| Conservative | Michael Chan | 3,875 | 1.9 | |
| Total | Michael Chan | 39,413 | 19.2 | |
| Total votes | 205,156 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 11
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 County results Grimm: 50–60% Murphy: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Michael Grimm, who was redistricted from the 13th district and was first elected in 2010, sought re-election.[73]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Grimm, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Vito Fossella, former U.S. representative[74]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Murphy, former aide to New York City Public Advocate Bill de Blasio[75]
Withdrawn
- Alex Borgognone, restaurateur[76][77]
Declined
- Mike Cusick, state assembly member[78]
- Robert Diamond, investment banker[79]
- John Gangemi, former New York City Council member[80]
- Vincent J. Gentile, New York City Council member[81]
- Michael McMahon, former U.S. representative[82]
- Debi Rose, New York City Council member[83]
- Diane Savino, state senator[78]
- Stephen Yodice, telecommunications executive[84]
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Henry "Hank" Bardel
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[71]
- National Organization for Women[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michael Grimm (R) |
Mark Murphy (D) |
Henry Bardel (G) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[87] | October 27–28, 2012 | 627 | ± 3.9% | 52% | 34% | 5% | 9% |
| Siena College[88] | September 19–23, 2012 | 621 | ± 3.9% | 48% | 38% | 6% | 8% |
| Global Strategy (D-Murphy)[89] | June 22–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 32% | — | 21% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Lean R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Grimm won re-election by a margin of 52.8% to 46.2%.[4]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michael Grimm | 91,030 | 46.1 | |
| Conservative | Michael Grimm | 12,088 | 6.1 | |
| Total | Michael Grimm (incumbent) | 103,118 | 52.2 | |
| Democratic | Mark Murphy | 87,720 | 44.4 | |
| Working Families | Mark Murphy | 4,710 | 2.4 | |
| Total | Mark Murphy | 92,430 | 46.8 | |
| Green | Henry Bardel | 1,939 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 197,487 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
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 County results Maloney: 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Carolyn Maloney, who was redistricted from the 14th district, ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carolyn Maloney, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Reshma Saujani, lawyer, civil servant, nonprofit founder and candidate for this seat in 2010[90]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christopher Wight, investor
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carolyn Maloney | 185,757 | 77.0 | |
| Working Families | Carolyn Maloney | 8,613 | 3.6 | |
| Total | Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) | 194,370 | 80.6 | |
| Republican | Christopher Wight | 42,110 | 17.5 | |
| Independence | Christopher Wight | 2,474 | 1.0 | |
| Conservative | Christopher Wight | 2,257 | 0.9 | |
| Total | Christopher Wight | 46,841 | 19.4 | |
| Total votes | 241,211 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
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Incumbent Democrat Charles B. Rangel, who was redistricted from the 15th district and was censured by the House of Representatives after being found guilty of ethics violations, filed to run for re-election in February 2011.[91]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charles B. Rangel, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Adriano Espaillat, state senator[92]
- Joyce Johnson, New York City government employee[93]
- Craig Schley, community activist
- Clyde Williams, former adviser to Bill Clinton and former political director of the Democratic National Committee[94]
Withdrawn
- Vincent Morgan, former member of Rangel's congressional staff and candidate for this seat in 2010[93]
Declined
- Adam Clayton Powell IV, former state assembly member and candidate for this seat in 1994 & 2010[93]
- Robert J. Rodriguez, state assembly member[92]
- Keith Wright, state assembly member[93][92]
Endorsements
Newspapers
Primary results
On the night of the June 26 primary, it seemed as though the incumbent Rangel had defeated his closest challenger, State Senator Espaillat, by a 45%-40% margin; Rangel celebrated victory, and Espaillat conceded defeat.[95] However, as the counting continued, that margin narrowed considerably. A number of precincts were very late in reporting, and Espaillat went to court, claiming irregularities in that his supporters had been improperly turned away from polling locations.[95][96] On Saturday, July 7, 2012, Rangel received the primary victory by a margin of 990 votes. The New York City Board of Elections released the results that Rangel had received 18,940 votes, and Espaillat had received 17,950.[96] On July 9, 2012, Espaillat conceded the election to Rangel.[96]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Rangel (incumbent) | 19,187 | 44.4 | |
| Democratic | Adriano Espaillat | 18,101 | 41.9 | |
| Democratic | Clyde Williams | 4,266 | 9.9 | |
| Democratic | Joyce Johnson | 1,018 | 2.4 | |
| Democratic | Craig Schley | 598 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 43,170 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Craig Schley, community activist
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Rangel | 170,690 | 88.6 | |
| Working Families | Charlie Rangel | 4,326 | 2.2 | |
| Total | Charlie Rangel (incumbent) | 175,016 | 90.8 | |
| Republican | Craig Schley | 12,147 | 6.3 | |
| Socialist | Deborah Liatos | 5,548 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 192,711 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 14
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The redrawn 14th district runs from Newtown Creek in Sunnyside and over LaGuardia Airport and over the three Long Island Sound bridges to the Pelham, Westchester, border. Incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley, who had been redistricted from the 7th district, ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Crowley, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- William Gibbons
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Crowley | 116,117 | 80.0 | |
| Working Families | Joe Crowley | 4,644 | 3.2 | |
| Total | Joe Crowley (incumbent) | 120,761 | 83.2 | |
| Republican | William Gibbons | 19,191 | 13.2 | |
| Conservative | William Gibbons | 2,564 | 1.8 | |
| Total | William Gibbons | 21,755 | 15.0 | |
| Green | Anthony Gronowicz | 2,570 | 1.8 | |
| Total votes | 145,086 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 15
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José E. Serrano, incumbent representative for the 16th district, ran for an 11th term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- José E. Serrano, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank Della Valle
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | José Serrano | 150,243 | 95.7 | |
| Working Families | José Serrano | 2,418 | 1.5 | |
| Total | José Serrano (incumbent) | 152,661 | 97.2 | |
| Republican | Frank Della Valle | 3,487 | 2.2 | |
| Conservative | Frank Della Valle | 940 | 0.6 | |
| Total | Frank Della Valle | 4,427 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 157,088 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 16
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Eliot Engel, incumbent representative for the 17th district, ran for a 12th term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Eliot Engel, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Aniello Grimaldi
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eliot Engel (incumbent) | 12,856 | 87.3 | |
| Democratic | Aniello Grimaldi | 1,864 | 12.7 | |
| Total votes | 14,720 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joseph McLaughlin
Declined
- Mark Rosen, Army reservist and candidate for this seat in 2010[98]
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eliot Engel | 173,886 | 73.5 | |
| Working Families | Eliot Engel | 5,676 | 2.4 | |
| Total | Eliot Engel (incumbent) | 179,562 | 75.9 | |
| Republican | Joseph McLaughlin | 53,935 | 22.8 | |
| Green | Joseph Diaferia | 2,974 | 1.3 | |
| Total votes | 236,471 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 17
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Incumbent Democrat Nita Lowey, who was redistricted from the 18th district, ran for re-election.[99]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nita Lowey, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former President Bill Clinton and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton[100]
Republican primary
Mark Rosen, who had run against Lowey in 2010, but was forced to drop out of the race after being deployed to Afghanistan, was expected to seek the Republican nomination.[101] Rosen retired from the Army, eliminating the threat of redeployment during election cycle, but was redistricted out of the district and choose not to run against Lowey a second time.
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jim Russell, computer programmer, conservative Christian activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Declined
- Mark Rosen, Army reservist and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Carvin | 4,225 | 64.7 | |
| Republican | Jim Russell | 2,307 | 35.3 | |
| Total votes | 6,532 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Frank Morganthaler, former NYFD lieutenant and private investigator, challenged Nita Lowey and ran on an independent line, We the People.[103]
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "On the Radar" Program[24]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nita Lowey | 161,624 | 60.7 | |
| Working Families | Nita Lowey | 9,793 | 3.7 | |
| Total | Nita Lowey (incumbent) | 171,417 | 64.4 | |
| Republican | Joe Carvin | 91,899 | 34.5 | |
| We The People | Francis Morganthaler | 2,771 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 266,087 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 18
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Republican Nan Hayworth, who was redistricted from the 19th district and had represented that district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[99]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nan Hayworth, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sean Patrick Maloney, lawyer and former staffer for Bill Clinton
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Alexander, mayor of Wappingers Falls[105]
- Richard Becker, cardiologist[105]
- Duane Jackson, street vendor[106]
- Tom Wilson, mayor of Tuxedo Park[107]
Withdrawn
- Anne Jacobs Moultrie, registered nurse and vice president of Local 1199[106]
Declined
- Sean Eldridge, LGBT activist
- John Hall, former U.S. representative[108]
- Mike Kaplowitz, member of the Westchester County Board of Legislators
- Margo Miller, former chair of Democrats Abroad[109]
Endorsements
U.S. executive branch officials
Labor unions
Primary results
Maloney won the Democratic primary with 48% of the vote on June 26, 2012.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sean Patrick Maloney | 7,493 | 48.3 | |
| Democratic | Richard H. Becker | 5,036 | 32.4 | |
| Democratic | Matthew C. Alexander | 1,857 | 12.0 | |
| Democratic | Duane Jackson | 780 | 5.0 | |
| Democratic | Thomas Wilson | 356 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 15,522 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[19]
- New York State United Teachers[20]
- Service Employees International Union
Organizations
- Democracy for America[113]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[71]
Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nan Hayworth (R) |
Sean Maloney (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[114] | October 16–17, 2012 | 615 | ± 4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Global Strategy (D-Maloney)[115] | October 4–7, 2012 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-NY AFl-CIO)[116] | September 19–20, 2012 | 602 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
| Siena College[117] | September 12–16, 2012 | 628 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Tarrance (R-Hayworth)[118] | August 26–28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-House Majority PAC)/SEIU)[119] | July 25–29, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Tilt R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
On election day, Maloney won by a narrow margin,[4] becoming New York's first openly LGBQ+ member of Congress.[120]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sean Patrick Maloney | 132,456 | 47.8 | |
| Working Families | Sean Patrick Maloney | 11,389 | 4.1 | |
| Total | Sean Patrick Maloney | 143,845 | 51.9 | |
| Republican | Nan Hayworth | 113,386 | 41.0 | |
| Conservative | Nan Hayworth | 19,663 | 7.1 | |
| Total | Nan Hayworth (incumbent) | 133,049 | 48.1 | |
| Total votes | 276,894 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 19
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 County results Gibson: 50–60% 60–70% Schreibman: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Chris Gibson, who was redistricted from the 20th district and had represented that district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was elected with 53.19% of the vote in 2010. The district had a PVI of Even.
With redistricting settled, the new 19th district went from being a Republican-leaning district to being a swing district.[121] Because of the dissolution of Maurice Hinchey's district, much of that district, including all of Ulster and Sullivan counties, was dissolved into this new district.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Gibson, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Julian Schreibman, former federal prosecutor and Ulster County Democratic Party chair
Eliminated in primary
- Joel Tyner, member of the Dutchess County legislature[122][123]
Declined
- Mike Hein, Ulster County executive[124][125]
- Maurice Hinchey, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
U.S. representatives
- Maurice Hinchey, U.S. representative from New York's 22nd congressional district (1993–present)[126]
Primary results
Schreibman prevailed in the Democratic primary.[127]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Julian Schreibman | 6,653 | 58.8 | |
| Democratic | Joel Tyner | 4,657 | 41.2 | |
| Total votes | 11,310 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Maurice Hinchey, U.S. representative from New York's 22nd congressional district (1993–present)
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[71]
- Sierra Club[23]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Chris Gibson | Julian Schriebman | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 18, 2012 | Times Union WMHT-TV |
Matt Ryan | [128] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Gibson (R) |
Julian Schreibman (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[129] | October 27–28, 2012 | 649 | ± 3.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson)[130] | October 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 39% | % |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson)[131] | October 9–10, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
| Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[132] | October 5–7, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| OnMessage (R-NRCC)[133] | September 30–October 1, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 39% | 16% |
| Siena College[134] | September 17–18, 2012 | 635 | ± 3.9% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson)[135] | July 25–26, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 36% | 10% |
| Global Strategy (D-Schreibman)[136] | July 18–22, 2012 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 32% | 24% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Gibson | 123,066 | 43.3 | |
| Conservative | Chris Gibson | 17,629 | 6.2 | |
| Independence | Chris Gibson | 9,550 | 3.3 | |
| Total | Chris Gibson (incumbent) | 150,245 | 52.8 | |
| Democratic | Julian Schreibman | 120,959 | 42.5 | |
| Working Families | Julian Schreibman | 13,336 | 4.7 | |
| Total | Julian Schreibman | 134,295 | 47.2 | |
| Total votes | 284,540 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 20
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Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko ran for re-election in his heavily Democratic, mostly unchanged, district that was formerly numbered as the 21st.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paul Tonko, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Dieterich[46]
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Tonko | 181,093 | 60.9 | |
| Working Families | Paul Tonko | 12,017 | 4.0 | |
| Independence | Paul Tonko | 10,291 | 3.5 | |
| Total | Paul Tonko (incumbent) | 203,401 | 68.4 | |
| Republican | Robert Dieterich | 79,102 | 26.6 | |
| Conservative | Robert Dieterich | 14,676 | 5.0 | |
| Total | Robert Dieterich | 93,778 | 31.6 | |
| Total votes | 297,179 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 21
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 County results Owens: 50–60% 60–70% Doheny: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Bill Owens, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 47.5% of the vote in 2010. The district had a PVI of R+2 in the renumbered 21st district. He faced a rematch against Matt Doheny, and was re-elected to a third term by 4,985 votes.[137]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Owens, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Matt Doheny, a businessman who had come within 2,000 votes of beating Owens in 2010, faced Kellie Greene, an Oswego County native and theologian who most recently lived in Arizona, in the primary.
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Kellie Greene, Oswego County native and theologian[140]
Withdrawn
- Tim Stampfler, corrections officer[141]
Declined
- Kelly Eustis, executive director of One Nation PAC[142]
- Jeff Stabins, eccentric politician (who until recently lived in Hernando County, Florida, before relocating to Sacketts Harbor, New York)[143]
Primary results
Doheny defeated Greene in the Republican primary.[144] Hassig dropped out of the race on November 3, endorsing Owens, but remained on the ballot.[145]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matthew A. Doheny | 9,331 | 70.8 | |
| Republican | Kellie A. Greene | 3,847 | 29.2 | |
| Total votes | 13,178 | 100.0 | ||
Doheny secured the Independence Party line[146] and the Conservative Party lines, the latter of which he did not have in 2010.[147]
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donald Hassig, anti-cancer activist[148]
Hassig appeared on the Green line despite the party's disavowal of him over his stance on immigration.[149]
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[24]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[26]
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Owens (D) |
Matthew Doheny (R) |
Donald Hassig (G) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[151] | October 29–30, 2012 | 629 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 43% | 4% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny)[152] | October 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
| Global Strategy (D-Owens)[153] | October 21–23, 2012 | 403 | ± 4.3% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny)/NRCC)[154] | October 1–2, 2012 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 40% | — | 15% |
| Global Strategy (D-Owens)[155] | September 30–October 2, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
| Siena College[156] | September 4–6, 2012 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 36% | 6% | 8% |
| Anzalone Liszt (D-DCCC)[157] | July 29–31, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 38% | 4% | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Tilt D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bill Owens | 117,856 | 46.7 | |
| Working Families | Bill Owens | 8,775 | 3.5 | |
| Total | Bill Owens (incumbent) | 126,631 | 50.2 | |
| Republican | Matt Doheny | 104,368 | 41.3 | |
| Conservative | Matt Doheny | 12,877 | 5.1 | |
| Independence | Matt Doheny | 4,401 | 1.8 | |
| Total | Matt Doheny | 121,646 | 48.2 | |
| Green | Donald Hassig | 4,174 | 1.6 | |
| Total votes | 252,556 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 22
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Republican Richard Hanna, who was redistricted from the 24th district having represented that district since 2011, ran for re-election.
Republican primary
Hanna defeated Michael Kicinski, who was backed by Carl Paladino, Doug Hoffman and other Tea Party activists, in the Republican primary.[158][159]
Candidates
Nominee
- Richard Hanna, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Kicinski, Tea Party activist and electronics engineer
Withdrawn
- Tom Engel
- George Phillips
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard L. Hanna (incumbent) | 10,627 | 71.1 | |
| Republican | Michael Kicinski | 4,314 | 28.9 | |
| Total votes | 14,941 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Lamb, district representative for outgoing representative Maurice Hinchey[160][161]
Declined
- Maurice Hinchey, incumbent U.S. representative
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program[71]
- Sierra Club[23]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard Hanna | 145,042 | 55.8 | |
| Independence | Richard Hanna | 12,899 | 5.0 | |
| Total | Richard Hanna (incumbent) | 157,941 | 60.8 | |
| Democratic | Dan Lamb | 102,080 | 39.2 | |
| Total votes | 260,021 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 23
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 County results Reed: 50–60% 60–70% Shinagawa: 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Tom Reed, who was redistricted from the 29th district having represented that district since 2010, ran for re-election. He was elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2010. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Republican primary
Reed was initially noncommittal regarding re-election, stating in July 2011 that "Re-election is the farthest thing from my mind;"[162] he officially announced for re-election on April 30, 2012.[163]
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Reed, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nate Shinagawa, Tompkins County legislator[164]
Eliminated in primary
- Leslie Danks Burke, attorney
- Melissa K. Dobson, corporate lawyer
Declined
- Matthew Zeller, former CIA analyst, Afghanistan war veteran and nominee for this seat in 2010[165] (endorsed Shinagawa)
Endorsements
Individuals
- Matthew Zeller, former CIA analyst, Afghanistan war veteran and nominee for this seat in 2010[166]
Primary results
Nate Shinagawa won the Democratic primary election over Leslie Danks Burke (also an Ithaca resident) and Melissa Dobson on June 26, 2012.[167]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nate Shinagawa | 6,162 | 53.9 | |
| Democratic | Leslie Danks Burke | 4,246 | 37.1 | |
| Democratic | Melissa K. Dobson | 1,033 | 9.0 | |
| Total votes | 11,441 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[44]
- National Right to Life Committee[45]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[25]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[26]
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program[71]
- Sierra Club[23]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Reed | 117,641 | 44.3 | |
| Conservative | Tom Reed | 14,273 | 5.4 | |
| Independence | Tom Reed | 5,755 | 2.2 | |
| Total | Tom Reed (incumbent) | 137,669 | 51.9 | |
| Democratic | Nate Shinagawa | 114,590 | 43.2 | |
| Working Families | Nate Shinagawa | 12,945 | 4.9 | |
| Total | Nate Shinagawa | 127,535 | 48.1 | |
| Total votes | 265,204 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 24
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 County results Maffei: 40–50% 50–60% Buerkle: 40–50% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The new 24th district included all of Cayuga, Onondaga and Wayne counties, and the western part of Oswego County. Incumbent Republican Ann Marie Buerkle, who had represented the 25th district since 2011, sought re-election in the redrawn 24th district.[168] The district had a PVI of D+3.
Republican primary
On February 6, Robert Paul Spencer announced he would run in the Republican primary against Buerkle, citing his opposition to Buerkle's vote in favor of the National Defense Authorization Act, which Spencer believed to be unconstitutional.[169] However, he did not appear on the primary ballot.
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann Marie Buerkle, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrawn
- Robert Spencer
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Maffei, former U.S. representative[170]
Withdrawn
- Brianne Murphy, attorney[171]
Declined
- Tom Buckel, member of the Onondaga County legislature[171][172]
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ursula Rozum, public-transportation advocate[173]
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[44]
- Eagle Forum[48]
- Maggie's List[112]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[85]
- National Right to Life Committee[45]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[25]
- Susan B. Anthony List[174]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[26]
Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[19]
- New York State United Teachers[20]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[71]
- National Organization for Women[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
Newspapers
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Green |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Ann Marie Buerkle | Dan Maffei | Ursula Rozum | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 24, 2012 | CNY Central WCNY-TV |
Susan Arbetter Matt Mulcahy |
[175] | P | P | P |
| 2 | Nov. 2, 2012 | WSYR-TV | Dan Cummings | [176] | P | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ann Marie Buerkle (R) |
Dan Maffei (D) |
Ursula Rozum (G) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[177] | October 31–November 2, 2012 | 670 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Friends of Democracy)[178] | October 15–17, 2012 | 425 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 46% | 6% | 4% |
| Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[179] | September 23–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38% | 46% | 7% | 9% |
| Siena College[180] | September 5–10, 2012 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 43% | 7% | 7% |
| Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[181] | August 26–28, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 48% | 4% | 6% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-House Majority PAC)/SEIU)[182] | July 16–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-League of Conservation Voters)[183] | July 10–11, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
| McLaughlin (R-Buerkle)[184] | April 16–17, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 38% | — | 20% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Tilt D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Maffei | 133,908 | 45.7 | |
| Working Families | Dan Maffei | 9,136 | 3.1 | |
| Total | Dan Maffei | 143,044 | 48.8 | |
| Republican | Ann Marie Buerkle | 105,584 | 36.1 | |
| Conservative | Ann Marie Buerkle | 16,481 | 5.6 | |
| Independence | Ann Marie Buerkle | 4,989 | 1.7 | |
| Total | Ann Marie Buerkle (incumbent) | 127,054 | 43.4 | |
| Green | Ursula Rozum | 22,670 | 7.8 | |
| Total votes | 292,768 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 25
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Incumbent Democrat Louise Slaughter, who was redistricted from the 28th district and had represented the Rochester metropolitan area since 1987, ran for re-election.[185]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Louise Slaughter, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maggie Brooks, Monroe County executive[186]
Withdrawn
- Andrew Decker
Declined
- Mark Assini, Gates supervisor[187]
- Fred Smerlas, former Buffalo Bills defensive tackle[188]
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[19]
- New York State United Teachers[20]
Organizations
- Democracy for America[113]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[21]
- EMILY's List[56]
- National Organization for Women[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
Newspapers
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Louise Slaughter (D) |
Maggie Brooks (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[189] | October 29–30, 2012 | 624 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| GBA Strategies (D-DCCC)[190] | October 17–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
| Siena College[191] | October 7–11, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 6% |
| Siena College[192] | September 24–26, 2012 | 634 | ± 3.9% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Likely D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Louise Slaugher | 168,761 | 53.9 | |
| Working Families | Louise Slaughter | 11,049 | 3.5 | |
| Total | Louise Slaughter (incumbent) | 179,810 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Maggie Brooks | 109,292 | 34.9 | |
| Conservative | Maggie Brooks | 18,543 | 5.9 | |
| Independence | Maggie Brooks | 5,554 | 1.8 | |
| Total | Maggie Brooks | 133,389 | 42.6 | |
| Total votes | 313,199 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 26
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Incumbent Democrat Brian Higgins, who was redistricted from the 27th district, sought re-election.
Democratic primary
Although his district was expected to become more friendly to Democrats in redistricting, the defeat of Higgins' protege, Chris Fahey, to Republican-backed Democrat Michael P. Kearns in a New York State Assembly race led to the perception that Higgins might have been more vulnerable than previously believed.[193]
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Higgins, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Madigan, businessman[194]
Declined
- Carl Paladino, developer, political activist and nominee for governor in 2010
- Thurman Thomas, former Buffalo Bills running back
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Higgins | 195,234 | 68.7 | |
| Working Families | Brian Higgins | 17,354 | 6.1 | |
| Total | Brian Higgins (incumbent) | 212,588 | 74.8 | |
| Republican | Michael Madigan | 57,368 | 20.2 | |
| Conservative | Michael Madigan | 10,243 | 3.6 | |
| Independence | Michael Madigan | 4,055 | 1.4 | |
| Total | Michael Madigan | 71,666 | 25.2 | |
| Total votes | 284,254 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 27
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 County results Collins: 50–60% Hochul: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul sought election to her first full term.[195] Hochul's district was renumbered the 27th during the redistricting process and was redrawn in a manner that caused it to be more heavily Republican.[196] Hochul was endorsed by the NRA Political Victory Fund.[197][198] She lost to Republican Chris Collins, 51% to 49%.[198]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Hochul, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Collins, former Erie County executive[199]
Eliminated in primary
- David Bellavia, author, Iraq war soldier and candidate for this seat in 2011[200][201]
Declined
- Patrick Gallivan, state senator and former Erie County sheriff[202]
- Brian Kolb, state assembly minority leader[203]
- Dennis Vacco, former New York attorney general[204]
- Barry Weinstein, town supervisor of Amherst[205]
Endorsements
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Collins | 11,677 | 59.9 | |
| Republican | David Bellavia | 7,830 | 40.1 | |
| Total votes | 19,507 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[19]
- New York State United Teachers[20]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[21]
- EMILY's List[56]
- National Organization for Women[22]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[197][25]
- Sierra Club[23]
Newspapers
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[24]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[26]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Kathy Hochul | Chris Collins | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 24, 2012 | YNN | Liz Benjamin Casey Bortnick |
[206] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Hochul (D) |
Chris Collins (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[207] | October 31–November 1, 2012 | 636 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Siena College[208] | October 1–4, 2012 | 633 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Siena College[209] | August 12–14, 2012 | 628 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| National Research (R-American Action Network)[210] | August 8–9, 2012 | 400 | ± ?% | 34% | 47% | 19% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[35] | Tilt R (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[36] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[38] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[39] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[40] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Collins | 137,250 | 43.2 | |
| Conservative | Chris Collins | 23,970 | 7.6 | |
| Total | Chris Collins | 161,220 | 50.8 | |
| Democratic | Kathy Hochul | 140,008 | 44.1 | |
| Working Families | Kathy Hochul | 16,211 | 5.1 | |
| Total | Kathy Hochul (incumbent) | 156,219 | 49.2 | |
| Total votes | 317,439 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||