2018 Illinois gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2018 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Illinois. Republican Governor Bruce Rauner ran for reelection to a second term in office, but was defeated by Democratic nominee JB Pritzker. This is the most recent Illinois gubernatorial contest in which an incumbent was defeated and the last time the governorship of Illinois changed partisan control.

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2018 Illinois gubernatorial election
← 2014
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2022 →
Turnout56.15% Increase 7.67 pp
 
Nominee JB Pritzker Bruce Rauner
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Juliana Stratton Evelyn Sanguinetti
Popular vote 2,479,746 1,765,751
Percentage 54.53% 38.83%
Pritzker:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Rauner:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
McCann:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%
Tie:            No votes
Governor before election

Bruce Rauner
Republican

 Elected Governor

JB Pritzker
Democratic

Close

Rauner oversaw a historic budget crisis as governor that severely affected his popularity.[1] His approval rating declined to just 36% in 2017, and he was widely viewed as the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the country.[2][3] Rauner struggled to galvanize conservatives after making several policy concessions to Democrats and was nearly ousted in the Republican primary by state senator Jeanne Ives.[4] By October 2018, The Cook Political Report assessed that "there is no path to victory for Rauner."[5]

Pritzker ultimately defeated Rauner by nearly 16 points, the largest gubernatorial victory in Illinois since Jim Edgar's 1994 reelection. Rauner's loss was the widest margin of defeat for any incumbent governor since Ernie Fletcher of Kentucky was ousted in 2007. This was one of seven governorships Democrats flipped during the 2018 cycle. Rauner's 38.8% of the vote was the worst performance for an incumbent Illinois governor since 1912; he also received the lowest percentage of the vote for a Republican since 1912. With Pritzker winning by a margin of 15.7%, this was the biggest gubernatorial margin of victory for a Democrat since 1932. He was the first Democrat to carry DuPage County since 1932, Kane and Kendall counties since 1852, and DeKalb County since 1972.

Background

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for federal congressional races and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2018 Illinois elections. Primary elections were held on March 20.

See also: 2018 Illinois elections § Turnout

For the primary election, turnout was 25.76%, with 2,046,710 votes cast.[6][7] For the general election, turnout was 56.15%, with 4,547,657 votes cast.[8][7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Jeanne Ives
Illinois legislators

Local officials

Individuals
Local Republican parties
  • Chicago Republican Party[27]
  • Fremont Township Republican Organization[28]
  • Lake County Republican Assembly[29]
  • Rock Island County Republican Party[30]
  • Wauconda Township Republican Club[29]
  • Wheatland Township Republican Organization[31]
  • Wheeling Township Republican Organization[32]
Organizations
Newspapers and magazines
Declined to endorse in primary
Individuals

Campaign

A November 2017 Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll found that 83% of Republican voters had never heard of Ives.[39] Ives' campaign's fourth-quarter fundraising totals were around $500,000.[40] On February 28, 2018, Ives' campaign released a new book entitled The Governor You Don't Know: The Other Side of Bruce Rauner, authored by Chicago GOP chairman and Ives campaign chairman Chris Cleveland, with a foreword by conservative State Representative Tom Morrison.[41]

Rauner and Ives held their first and only scheduled forum on January 29, before the Chicago Tribune editorial board."[42] Rauner largely ignored his opponent and focused on attacking Speaker Mike Madigan, comparing him to his likely Democratic challenger, J. B. Pritzker. Ives, on the other hand, attacked Rauner for being an ineffective governor and alienating social conservatives.[43] Shortly after the debate, conservative Lake Forest businessman Richard Uihlein donated $500,000 to Ives' campaign.[44]

Rauner and Ives were invited by the University of Illinois Springfield to debate a second time; Rauner declined the invitation.[45]

Ives released an ad titled "Thank You, Bruce Rauner" on February 3, 2018, in an attempt to challenge her opponent's commitment to conservative values. Her ad featured actors outfitted to portray a transgender woman, an anti-fascist protester wearing a hood and a bandana over his face, a member of the Chicago Teachers Union and a Women's March activist. After Ives' ad made its rounds on the internet, advocacy groups, some Republicans and Democrats lashed out against Ives, calling her video bigoted and offensive.[46][47] The ad increased Ives's profile and name recognition.[48] Three Chicago-area newspaper editorial boards came out against the ad: the Chicago Tribune said "The portrayals are demeaning;"[49] the Daily Herald said that Ives should take down the ad, which "attacks people of Illinois, not opponent",[50] and the Chicago Sun-Times wrote, "Jeanne Ives goes for the bully vote with her TV ad."[51]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bruce
Rauner		 Jeanne
Ives		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Ives)[52] March 14, 2018 787 ± 3.5% 42% 35% 23%
Southern Illinois University[53] February 19–25, 2018 259 ± 6.0% 51% 31% 18%
We Ask America[54] January 14–16, 2018 1,026 ± 3.1% 65% 21% 15%
We Ask America[55] October 25–29, 2017 1,064 ± 3.0% 64% 19% 16%
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[56] October 12, 2017 495 ± 4.5% 59% 14% 28%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Brady		 Jeanne
Ives		 Kyle
McCarter		 Dan
Proft		 Bruce
Rauner		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[57] October 2, 2017 545 ± 4.3% 9% 5% 2% 8% 22% 54%
Close

Results

Despite a 14% decrease in Republican primary votes cast, Rauner increased his overall vote total by 9% compared to the 2014 primary. In 2018, he managed to capture a narrow majority of the votes, with 51.5%, in his victory over conservative Ives. By comparison, in 2014 Rauner only received 40.2% of the primary vote in his narrow win victory over Kirk Dillard, Bill Brady, and Dan Rutherford.

In 2018, Rauner did well in central Illinois compared to the Republican primary four years earlier, when he managed 30% in the downstate region and finished 2nd to Kirk Dillard. In 2018, he carried the region with 52%.

However, the result was still considered surprisingly close, and indicated widespread dissatisfaction with Rauner's governorship among more conservative Republicans.[58]

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Rauner—60–70%
  •   Rauner—50–60%
  •   Tie
  •   Ives—50–60%
  •   Ives—60–70%
    [59]
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Rauner (incumbent) 372,124 51.53%
Republican Jeanne Ives 350,038 48.47%
Total votes 744,248 100.00%
Close

Democratic primary

Democratic candidates listed on a blank ballot

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Running mate: Jonathan W. Todd, social worker[65]
  • Tio Hardiman, former director of CeaseFire and candidate for governor in 2014[66]
  • Running mate: Ra Joy, nonprofit executive[70]
  • Running mate: Dennis Cole

Removed from ballot

  • Terry Getz, corrections officer (filed on November 29, 2017, but did so without a running mate or submitting any signatures)[72]

Withdrew

  • Running mate: Alex Hirsch, political operative
  • Running mate: Tyrone Coleman, mayor of Cairo

Declined

Endorsements

Daniel Biss
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officeholders
State senators
State representatives
Chicago aldermen
Other local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers
Withdrawn endorsements
Chris Kennedy
U.S. cabinet and cabinet-level officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officeholders
Individuals
Organizations
  • Iroquois County Democratic Central Committee[181]
  • Southern Illinois Democratic County Chairmen's Association[182]
Newspapers
Declined to endorse for the primary
U.S. representatives
Organizations
  • Madison County Democratic Party[188]

Forums

The Illinois LGBTQ Forum: The Democratic Candidates for Governor[189] was held on December 6, 2017, and organized by Affinity Community Services, the Association of Latinos/as Motivating Action (ALMA), the Equality Illinois Institute, and Pride Action Tank. Candidates who attended included Daniel Biss, Tio Hardiman, Ameya Pawar, J. B. Pritzker, and Chris Kennedy.

Whitney Young High School hosted the first student-run gubernatorial debate in the United States on October 4, 2017. All seven then-current candidates attended, meaning Daniel Biss, Bob Daiber, Tio Hardiman, Chris Kennedy, Alex Paterakis, Ameya Pawar, and JB Pritzker.[190]

The Illinois chapter of progressive advocacy organization Our Revolution sponsored a forum at the Chicago Teachers Union headquarters on October 8, 2017. Candidates voiced similar opinions on single-payer health care, gun control, and the minimum wage, but differed on a hypothetical state deal with Amazon and relationships with powerful Illinois Speaker Mike Madigan.[191]

The Democratic candidates held their first televised debate on January 23.[192] All six candidates met again a week later on January 30. The debate was not televised but was uploaded to WSIL-TV's YouTube channel.[193]

Another debate was held on February 21, which was hosted by the University of Illinois Springfield.[45] Chris Kennedy did not attend due to a back injury, although all five other candidates participated.[194] Another major debate took place on March 1. It involved issues such as gun control, Blagojevich's tapes, sexual harassment, and relatability.[195] Another debate took place the next day in Springfield. The topics involved Madigan, sexual harassment, among other issues. The spotlight remained on the top contenders: Chris Kennedy, JB Pritzker, and Daniel Biss.[196]

Pritzker was criticized for refusing to commit to attend the only live-television debate planned outside the Chicago media market, prompting the debate's cancellation.[197] Biss and Kennedy gathered petition signatures to encourage the debate's continuation, and Biss commented that "JB is borrowing a page from the billionaire playbook, avoiding debates and shunning reporters who ask tough questions."[198] Another debate took place on March 14, revolving around topics including Pritzker's newly reported offshore holdings, Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan, and education. Kennedy and Biss both attacked Pritzker on the offshore businesses, Kennedy "saying it's like a job interview, and Pritzker lying to get the job", and Biss saying "Pritzker did that to avoid taxes".[199]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Daniel
Biss		 Chris
Kennedy		 JB
Pritzker		 Other Undecided
Victory Research[200] March 13–16, 2018 1,204 ± 2.8% 22% 26% 32% – 16%
We Ask America[201] March 7–9, 2018 1,029 ± 3.1% 15% 16% 35% 1%[a] 31%
Southern Illinois University[53] February 19–25, 2018 472 ± 4.5% 21% 17% 31% 6%[b] 25%
Global Strategy Group (D-Pritzker)[202] February 9–13, 2018 802 ± 3.5% 21% 23% 37% – –
ALG Research (D-Biss)[203] February 6–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 24% 24% 32% 4%[c] 16%
Victory Research[204] February 6–7, 2018 1,209 ± 2.8% 24% 17% 27% 5%[d] 28%
Global Strategy Group (D-Pritzker)[205] February 1, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 22% 16% 41% – 21%
32% – 52% – 16%
We Ask America[206] January 29–30, 2018 811 ± 3.4% 17% 12% 30% 3%[c] 38%
We Ask America[207] October 17–18, 2017 1,154 ± 3% 6% 15% 39% 2%[e] 36%
ALG Research (D-Biss)[203] July 2017 – – 5% 23% 30% 2%[f] 35%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Kennedy)[208] June 26–29, 2017 602 ± 4% – 44% 38% – 18%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-Summers)[209] March 2–6, 2017 500 ± 4.4% – 44% 11% 7%[g] 34%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Dick
Durbin		 Pat
Quinn		 Chris
Kennedy		 Undecided
We Ask America[210] July 27, 2016 1,128 ± 3.0% 49% 10% 5% 18%
Close

Results

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Pritzker—70–80%
  •   Pritzker—60–70%
  •   Pritzker—50–60%
  •   Pritzker—40–50%
  •   Pritzker—30–40%
  •   Biss—40–50%
  •   Kennedy—30–40%
  •   Kennedy—40–50%
    [59]

Pritzker won 98 of Illinois's counties. Kennedy and Biss both won two counties each.

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic JB Pritzker 597,756 45.13%
Democratic Daniel Biss 353,625 26.70%
Democratic Chris Kennedy 322,730 24.37%
Democratic Tio Hardiman 21,075 1.59%
Democratic Bob Daiber 15,009 1.13%
Democratic Robert Marshall 14,353 1.08%
Total votes 1,324,548 100.00%
Close

Third parties and independents

In order to qualify as an established party in Illinois, a candidate for said party must earn at least 5% of the vote in a statewide election. This last occurred in 2006, when Rich Whitney won 10% of the vote, allowing the Illinois Green Party to achieve such status. Established party status comes with benefits. For example, candidates of an established party needs only 5,000 voter signatures on its petitions to gain ballot access. For non-established parties this number is approximately 25,000.[211][212]

For the 2018 election, non-established parties did not need to run a full slate in order to qualify for ballot access.[213]

Conservative

Sam McCann, a longtime intraparty opponent of Bruce Rauner, resigned from the Republican Caucus to run for governor as a member of the newly created Conservative Party.[214]

Candidates

Libertarian

Kash Jackson was the Libertarian nominee. Libertarian nominees for governor, other statewide offices, and the General Assembly were chosen by the Libertarian Party of Illinois at a state convention on March 3, 2018, in Bloomington, Illinois.[215] Jackson appeared on the ballot.[216]

Candidates

Endorsements

Kash Jackson
Individuals

Unsuccessful

  • Matthew C. Scaro, entrepreneur and Libertarian activist[217]
  • Jon Stewart, retired professional wrestler, Republican candidate for the state house in 1998 and Republican candidate for IL-05 in 2009[217][223]

Independents

Removed from ballot

Withdrew

  • William J. Kelly, radio host and perennial candidate (subsequently ran on Constitution Party ticket, then withdrew)[13][14]
    • Running mate: Brian Leggero, candidate for mayor of Rockford in 2017[15]

Constitution

Nominee

William J. Kelly was nominated for governor and Chad Koppie, a member of the Kane County Regional Board of School Trustees, was nominated for lieutenant governor on the gubernatorial ticket of the Illinois Constitution Party. However, on June 5, 2018, Kelly dropped out and endorsed the third party campaign of Sam McCann.[229][230][231]

Withdrew

Green Party

The Green Party ran a slate of statewide candidates in 2006 and 2010, but failed to be placed on the ballot in 2014[233][234] and declined to run any statewide candidates in 2018.[235]

General election

Bruce Rauner had been rated as one of, if not the most, vulnerable governor running for re-election in 2018 by Politico and the National Journal.[236][237] Following his surprisingly narrow primary win, Rauner offered former state senator Karen McConnaughay, attorney general nominee Erika Harold, Chicago Cubs co-owner and Republican National Committee Finance Chair Todd Ricketts and Illinois Republican Party Committeeman Richard Porter the chance to replace him on the ticket, with the promise that he would continue to fully fund the campaign using his personal wealth.[238] Rauner consistently trailed Pritzker in the polls by large margins, and the race was rated as a likely Democratic win by all major election prognosticators.

Endorsements

Bruce Rauner (R)
U.S. governors
Illinois state senators
Illinois state representatives
County officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
JB Pritzker (D)
Former U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. cabinet and cabinet-level officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Mike Barone, chair of the Jackson County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Brenda Britton, chair of the Richland County Democratic Party[276][287]
  • Karamo Brown, television personality and activist[288]
  • Dennis Fisher, chair of the Shelby County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Paul "Snow" Herkert, chair of the Calhoun County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Gary Johnson, chair of the Jasper County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Phillip Matthews, chair of the Alexander County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Jack Mazzotti, chair of the Christian County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Shirley McCombs, chair of the Menard County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Jimmy Naville, chair of the Greene County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Keith Niewohner, chair of the Adams County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • John Penn, chair of the McLean County Democratic Party[276][277]
  • Dan Sidwell, chair of the Bond County Democratic Party[276][277]
Organizations
Newspapers
Kash Jackson (L)
U.S. governors
State representatives
Organizations
Individuals
Withdrawn endorsements
  • David Williams III, 2019 Independent candidate for Chicago's 48th ward and political activist[312][313]

Debates

More information Dates, Location ...
Dates Location Pritzker Rauner McCann Jackson Link
September 20, 2018 Chicago, Illinois Participant Participant Participant Participant Full debate – C-SPAN
October 3, 2018 Chicago, Illinois Participant Participant Not invited Not invited 4 parts – ABC 7 Chicago
October 11, 2018 Quincy, Illinois Participant Participant Not invited Not invited Full debate – C-SPAN
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[314] Likely D (flip) October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[315] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[316] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[317] Likely D (flip) November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[318] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[319] Likely D (flip) November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[320] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Fox News[321][h] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Politico[322] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Governing[323] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Close
Notes
  1. [a]
    Bob Daiber with 1%; Tio Hardiman and Robert Marshall with <1%
  2. [b]
    Tio Hardiman with 2%; Bob Daiber, Robert Marshall, Terry Getz, and other with 1%
  3. [c]
    Tio Hardiman with 2%; Bob Daiber and Robert Marshall with 1%
  4. [d]
    Tio Hardiman and Bob Daiber with 2%; Robert Marshall with 1%
  5. [e]
    Bob Daiber and Tio Hardiman with 1%
  6. [f]
    Tio Hardiman and Robert Marshall with 1%; Bob Daiber with 0%
  7. [g]
    Kurt Summers with 7%
  8. [h]
    The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 30, [update], Candidate (party) ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
JB Pritzker (D) $128,252,532.95 $88,571,672.99 $39,680,860.96
Bruce Rauner (R) $78,725,390.39 $45,101,897.60 $33,623,492.79
Sam McCann (C) $1,497,885.08 $649,634.08 $848,251.00
Kash Jackson (L) $10,783.00 $1,985.32 $8,797.68
Source: Federal Election Commission[324][failed verification]
Close

Polling

%support0102030405010/2/20175/24/20188/14/20189/29/2018Bruce RaunerJ. B. PritzkerKash JacksonSam McCannOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the 2018 Illinois gubern...
View source data.
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bruce
Rauner (R)		 J. B.
Pritzker (D)		 Kash
Jackson (L)		 Sam
McCann (C)		 Other Undecided
Victory Research[325] November 1–3, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 33% 49% 5% 8% – 6%
Ipsos[326] September 27 – October 5, 2018 968 ± 4.0% 30% 50% 3% 6% 2% 8%
Victory Research[327] September 27 – October 2, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 32% 47% 6% 7% – 8%
Southern Illinois University[328] September 24–29, 2018 715 ± 3.7% 27% 49% 4% 4% – 17%
ALG Research (D-Forward Illinois)[329] September 21–25, 2018 1,007 ± 3.1% 32% 48% 3% 4% – –
Research America Inc.[330] September 5–13, 2018 1,024 ± 3.1% 27% 44% 4% 6% 0% 14%
Marist College[331] August 12–16, 2018 734 ± 4.4% 30% 46% 6% 4% 2% 13%
University of Illinois Springfield[332] July 3 – August 15, 2018 717 ± 3.7% 23% 35% – – 15% 23%
Victory Research[333] August 12–14, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 30% 41% 2% 9% – 18%
Baselice & Associates (C-McCann)[334] July 25–29, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 29% 42% 6% 11% 1% 10%
Illinois Public Opinion (D)[335] July 12, 2018 423 ± 5.0% 26% 39% 1% 10% – 23%
Victory Research[336] June 26–28, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 30% 45% 2% 5% – 18%
We Ask America[337] June 9–11, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 27% 36% – – 26% 11%
Victory Research[338] May 22–24, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 32% 47% – – – –
Victory Research[339] April 18–21, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 31% 49% – – – 19%
Ogden & Fry[340] March 23, 2018 667 ± 3.9% 28% 46% – – – 26%
Southern Illinois University[53] February 19–25, 2018 1,001 ± 3.0% 35% 50% – – – 15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Biss)[341] February 5–6, 2018 600 ± 3.3% 35% 48% – – – 17%
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 30% 47% – – – 23%
Close
Hypothetical polling

with Jeanne Ives and J. B. Pritzker

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jeanne
Ives (R)		 J. B.
Pritzker (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 20% 40% 40%
Close

with Bruce Rauner and Chris Kennedy

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bruce
Rauner (R)		 Chris
Kennedy (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 28% 41% 31%
Close

with Bruce Rauner and Daniel Biss

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bruce
Rauner (R)		 Daniel
Biss (D)		 Undecided
Paul Simon Institute[343] February 19–25, 2018 1,001 ± 3.0% 34% 48% 18%
Public Policy Polling (D-Biss)[341] February 5–6, 2018 600 ± 3.3% 30% 47% 23%
Close

with Bruce Rauner and generic Democrat

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bruce
Rauner (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Normington Petts (D-DGA)[344] July 18–20, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 37% 49% 14%
Anzalone Liszt Grove (D)[345] February 15–20, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 32% 47% 21%
Normington Petts (D-DGA)[344] January 3–5, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 35% 45% 20%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kyle
McCarter (R)		 J. B.
Pritzker (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 22% 42% 36%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kyle
McCarter (R)		 Chris
Kennedy (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 21% 42% 37%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Dan
Proft (R)		 J. B.
Pritzker (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 25% 42% 33%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Dan
Proft (R)		 Chris
Kennedy (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 23% 43% 34%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Brady (R)		 J. B.
Pritzker (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 26% 42% 32%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Brady (R)		 Chris
Kennedy (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 25% 42% 33%
Close

with Jeanne Ives and Chris Kennedy

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jeanne
Ives (R)		 Chris
Kennedy (D)		 Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC)[342] October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 19% 38% 43%
Close

with Bruce Rauner and Dick Durbin

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bruce
Rauner (R)		 Dick
Durbin (D)		 Undecided
We Ask America[346] July 26, 2016 824 ± 3.5% 35% 44% 22%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2018 Illinois gubernatorial election[347]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic JB Pritzker 2,479,746 54.53% +8.18%
Republican Bruce Rauner (incumbent) 1,765,751 38.83% −11.44%
Conservative Sam McCann 192,527 4.23% N/A
Libertarian Kash Jackson 109,518 2.40% −0.95%
Write-in 115 0.01% -0.02%
Total votes 4,547,657 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican
Close

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Pritzker won 13 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining five going to Rauner. Each candidate won two districts that elected representatives of the other party.[348]

More information District, Rauner ...
District Rauner Pritzker Representative
1st 22% 74% Bobby Rush
2nd 19% 77% Robin Kelly
3rd 39% 56% Dan Lipinski
4th 15% 81% Chuy García
5th 29% 67% Mike Quigley
6th 50% 45% Sean Casten
7th 14% 83% Danny Davis
8th 40% 54% Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th 31% 65% Jan Schakowsky
10th 40% 55% Brad Schneider
11th 38% 56% Bill Foster
12th 45.6% 46.1% Mike Bost
13th 42% 46% Rodney Davis
14th 51% 43% Lauren Underwood
15th 60% 29% John Shimkus
16th 50% 39% Adam Kinzinger
17th 44% 47% Cheri Bustos
18th 55% 33% Darin LaHood
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