2018 United States Senate election in Missouri
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections, including Missouri's quadrennial State Auditor election.
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November 6, 2018
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| Turnout | 58.2%  [1] | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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   Hawley: 40–50%
50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McCaskill: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill ran for re-election to a third term. McCaskill easily won her party's nomination, defeating several minor candidates in the primary, while Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley comfortably won the Republican primary.[2]
The candidate filing deadline was March 27, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 7, 2018.[3] Pollsters predicted a tight race; however, Hawley defeated McCaskill on election day by 5.8%, taking 51.4% of the vote to McCaskill's 45.6%, a somewhat larger margin than expected. This resulted in Republicans holding both Senate seats in Missouri for the first time since McCaskill took office in 2007. Hawley was also the youngest incumbent senator at that time, and continued to be until the inauguration of Jon Ossoff in 2021.[4] Despite her loss, McCaskill outperformed Hillary Clinton's performance in the state in the 2016 presidential race. This is the last U.S. Senate race in Missouri where the incumbent was defeated.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Claire McCaskill, incumbent U.S. Senator[5][6]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Claire McCaskill
- U.S. executive branch officials
- U.S. senators
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. senator (NV)[10]
- Dick Durbin, U.S. senator (IL) and Senate Minority Whip[11]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (CA)[12]
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. senator (NH)[13]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (MA)[14]
- State officials
- Jason Kander, former Missouri Secretary of State, founder of Let America Vote and host of Majority 54[15]
Results
McCaskill
- 80–90%
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Claire McCaskill (incumbent) | 501,872 | 82.60% | |
| Democratic | Carla Wright | 41,126 | 6.77% | |
| Democratic | John Hogan | 15,984 | 2.63% | |
| Democratic | David Faust | 15,958 | 2.63% | |
| Democratic | Angelica Earl | 15,500 | 2.55% | |
| Democratic | Travis Gonzalez | 9,480 | 1.56% | |
| Democratic | Leonard Steinman | 7,657 | 1.26% | |
| Total votes | 607,577 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Josh Hawley, Missouri Attorney General[17]
Eliminated in primary
- Brian Hagg[8]
- Bradley Krembs[8]
- Tony Monetti, retired bomber pilot and assistant dean of aviation at University of Central Missouri[18]
- Kristi Nichols, activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2016[8]
- Ken Patterson, candidate for St. Louis County Executive in 2010[8]
- Austin Petersen, businessman and Libertarian candidate for presidential nomination in 2016[19][20]
- Peter Pfeifer[8]
- Fred Ryman, Constitution nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016[8]
- Christina Smith[8]
- Courtland Sykes, veteran and former congressional aide[21]
Withdrew
Declined
- Paul Curtman, state representative[23][24]
- Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri[25][26][27]
- Marsha Haefner, state representative[28]
- Vicky Hartzler, U.S. representative[29]
- Aaron Hedlund, economics professor[30]
- Ed Martin, former chairman of the Missouri Republican Party, nominee for MO-03 in 2010 and nominee for attorney general in 2012[27]
- Todd Richardson, Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives[31]
- Eric Schmitt, state treasurer[32]
- Ann Wagner, U.S. representative and former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg[33]
- David Wasinger, attorney[34][35]
Endorsements
Josh Hawley
- U.S. executive branch officials
- John Ashcroft, former United States Attorney General and former senator from Missouri[36]
- George W. Bush, 43rd president of the United States[37][38][39]
- Mike Pence, vice president of the United States[40]
- U.S. senators
- Kit Bond, former senator from Missouri[36]
- John Danforth, former senator from Missouri and United States Ambassador to the United Nations[40]
- Mitch McConnell, senator from Kentucky and Senate Majority Leader[41]
- Jim Talent, former senator from Missouri[36]
- U.S. representatives
- Billy Long, U.S. representative (MO-7)
- Jason Smith, U.S. representative (MO-08)[42]
- State officials
- Mike Parson, governor of Missouri[43]
- Eric Schmitt, treasurer of Missouri[44]
Cabinet-level officials
- Steve Bannon, former White House Chief Strategist and executive chair of Breitbart News[45]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth[46]
- Missouri Right to Life[47]
Austin Petersen
Debates
| Host network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hawley |
Austin Petersen |
Courtland Sykes |
Tony Monetti |
Peter Pfeifer |
Kirsti Nichols | |||
| America First Missouri | May 11, 2018 | [52] | Absent | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Josh Hawley |
Austin Petersen |
Courtland Sykes |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[53] | April 26–29, 2018 | 283 | ± 6.0% | 37% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 45% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Josh Hawley |
David Steelman |
Ann Wagner |
David Wasinger |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group[54] | April 28–29, 2017 | 915 | ± 3.1% | 30% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 47% |
| 37% | – | 16% | – | 47% |
Results
Hawley
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
- 40–50%
Monetti
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Josh Hawley | 389,878 | 58.64% | |
| Republican | Tony Monetti | 64,834 | 9.75% | |
| Republican | Austin Petersen | 54,916 | 8.26% | |
| Republican | Kristi Nichols | 49,640 | 7.47% | |
| Republican | Christina Smith | 35,024 | 5.27% | |
| Republican | Ken Patterson | 19,579 | 2.95% | |
| Republican | Peter Pfeifer | 16,594 | 2.50% | |
| Republican | Courtland Sykes | 13,870 | 2.09% | |
| Republican | Fred Ryman | 8,781 | 1.32% | |
| Republican | Brian Hagg | 6,871 | 1.03% | |
| Republican | Bradley Krembs | 4,902 | 0.74% | |
| Total votes | 664,889 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Japheth Campbell, entrepreneur[55]
Withdrew
Declined
- Alicia Dearn, attorney and candidate for vice president of the United States in 2016[57]
- Austin Petersen, Libertarian candidate for president of the United States in 2016 (running as a Republican)[58]
Results
Campbell
- 100%
No votes
- No votes
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Japheth Campbell | 5,380 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 5,380 | 100.00% | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Jo Crain
Eliminated in primary
- Jerome Bauer
Results
Crain
- 100%
- 80–90%
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
Crain/Bauer tie
- 50%
Bauer
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 100%
No votes
- No votes
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Craig O'Dear, attorney[59]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[60] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[61] | Tilt R (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[62] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| CNN[63] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[64] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[65] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[66] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[67] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2018
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Claire McCaskill (D) | $35,361,401 | $33,594,412 | $1,789,381 |
| Josh Hawley (R) | $10,221,143 | $7,376,209 | $2,844,933 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[68] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Josh Hawley (R) |
Japheth Campbell (L) |
Craig O'Dear (I) |
Jo Crain (G) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX[69] | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX[70] | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[71] | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 1,791 | ± 2.3% | 44% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% | 3% |
| Emerson College[72] | November 1–3, 2018 | 732 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 3% | 3% |
| HarrisX[73] | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[74] | November 1–2, 2018 | 1,424 | ± 2.6% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| HarrisX[75] | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | – | – | – | – | – |
| NBC News/Marist[76] | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 LV | ± 5.2% | 47% | 44% | 3% | – | 2% | <1% | 4% |
| 50% | 47% | – | – | – | <1% | 3% | ||||
| 920 RV | ± 4.1% | 46% | 43% | 3% | – | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| 50% | 46% | – | – | – | 1% | 4% | ||||
| HarrisX[77] | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX[78] | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX[79] | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 46% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fox News[80] | October 27–30, 2018 | 741 LV | ± 3.5% | 43% | 43% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
| 45% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% | 8% | ||||
| 851 RV | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 10% | ||
| 43% | 44% | – | – | – | 3% | 9% | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[81] | October 26–27, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% | 3% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[82] | October 24–25, 2018 | 1,376 | ± 2.6% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[83] | October 17–18, 2018 | 1,215 | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R-Hawley)[84] | October 16–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | – | – | – | 4% | 5% |
| The Polling Company (R-Citizens United)[85] | October 11–13, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – | 0% | 3% |
| Ipsos[86] | September 27 – October 7, 2018 | 1,111 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
| 1st Tuesday Campaigns[87] | October 5–6, 2018 | 1,052 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 11% |
| Fox News[88] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 683 LV | ± 3.5% | 43% | 43% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| 46% | 46% | – | – | – | 3% | 5% | ||||
| 805 RV | ± 3.5% | 41% | 41% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 9% | ||
| 44% | 44% | – | – | – | 3% | 8% | ||||
| McLaughlin (R-Missouri Rising Action)[89] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Vox Populi Polling[90] | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 869 | ± 3.3% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS[91] | September 25–29, 2018 | 756 LV | ± 4.3% | 47% | 44% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| 906 RV | ± 3.9% | 43% | 42% | 4% | – | 2% | 0% | 6% | ||
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[92] | September 26–27, 2018 | 1,555 | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | – | 6% |
| YouGov[93] | September 10–14, 2018 | 917 | – | 45% | 45% | – | – | – | 4% | 6% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[94] | September 11–13, 2018 | 1,724 | ± 2.4% | 44% | 47% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| Fox News[95] | September 8–11, 2018 | 675 LV | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| 45% | 45% | – | – | – | 3% | 7% | ||||
| 808 RV | ± 3.5% | 41% | 39% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 11% | ||
| 42% | 43% | – | – | – | 3% | 10% | ||||
| NBC News/Marist[96] | August 25–28, 2018 | 568 LV | ± 4.8% | 44% | 40% | 5% | – | 3% | <1% | 8% |
| 47% | 47% | – | – | – | 1% | 5% | ||||
| 774 RV | ± 4.2% | 43% | 39% | 6% | – | 3% | <1% | 8% | ||
| 46% | 47% | – | – | – | 1% | 5% | ||||
| WPA Intelligence (R-Club For Growth)[97] | August 12–14, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 48% | – | – | – | 3% | 8% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[98] | August 8–9, 2018 | 1,785 | ± 2.3% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – | 6% |
| WPA Intelligence (R-Club For Growth)[97] | July 10–12, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | – | – | – | 4% | 11% |
| The Missouri Times/Remington (R)[99] | July 7–8, 2018 | 1,034 | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | – | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[100] | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 1,038 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – | 4% |
| McLaughlin (R-Missouri Rising Action)[89] | June 2018 | – | – | 46% | 42% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D-SMP)[101] | June 11–13, 2018 | 804 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 41% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing (R-Petersen)[102] | May 16, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 7% |
| Missouri Scout/TJP Strategies (D)[103] | May 9–10, 2018 | 898 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| Emerson College[53] | April 26–29, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 45% | – | – | – | – | 11% |
| Missouri Scout/TJP Strategies (D)[104] | April 19–20, 2018 | 1,542 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R-Hawley)[105] | April 16–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | – | 7% |
| Global Strategy Group (D-SMP)[101] | April 9–12, 2018 | – | – | 46% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[106] | April 4–6, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 11% |
| Gravis Marketing[107] | March 5–7, 2018 | 931 | ± 3.2% | 42% | 40% | – | – | – | – | 18% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[108] | February 12 – March 5, 2018 | 1,938 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 52% | – | – | – | – | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-TMI)[109] | January 8–9, 2018 | 965 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 11% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[110] | January 3–4, 2018 | 1,122 | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | – | 6% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[111] | October 11–12, 2017 | 965 | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | – | 7% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[112] | August 16–18, 2017 | 922 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 5% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[113] | July 10–11, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 46% | – | – | – | – | 12% |
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[114] | July 7–8, 2017 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
with Austin Petersen
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Austin Petersen (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (R-Petersen)[102] | May 16, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 56% | 4% |
with generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[113] | July 10–11, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 54% | 8% |
with Vicky Hartzler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Vicky Hartzler (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[114] | July 7–8, 2017 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
with Blaine Luetkemeyer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[114] | July 7–8, 2017 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
with Todd Richardson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Todd Richardson (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[114] | July 7–8, 2017 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
with Eric Schmitt
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[114] | July 7–8, 2017 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
with Jason Smith
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Claire McCaskill (D) |
Jason Smith (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Scout/Remington (R)[114] | June 7–8, 2017 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Results
Senator McCaskill conceded a few hours after the polls closed on election day. Despite performing strongly in the St. Louis suburbs, she ran well behind her 2012 vote in Southeast Missouri, especially in the Lead Belt and the Missouri Bootheel. She also ran poorly in the northern part of the state.[115]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Josh Hawley | 1,254,927 | 51.38% | +12.27 | |
| Democratic | Claire McCaskill (incumbent) | 1,112,935 | 45.57% | −9.24 | |
| Independent | Craig O'Dear | 34,398 | 1.41% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Japheth Campbell | 27,316 | 1.12% | −4.95 | |
| Green | Jo Crain | 12,706 | 0.52% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 7 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 2,442,289 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Audrain (largest city: Mexico)
- Bates (largest city: Butler)
- Chariton (largest city: Salisbury)
- Clark (largest city: Kahoka)
- Clinton (largest city: Cameron)
- Daviess (largest city: Gallatin)
- Dunklin (largest city: Kennett)
- Franklin (largest city: Washington)
- Gentry (largest city: Albany)
- Grundy (largest city: Trenton)
- Henry (largest city: Clinton)
- Hickory (largest city: Hermitage)
- Howard (largest city: Fayette)
- Iron (largest city: Ironton)
- Knox (largest city: Edina)
- Lafayette (largest city: Odessa)
- Lewis (largest city: Canton)
- Linn (largest city: Brookfield)
- Livingston (largest city: Chillicothe)
- Madison (largest city: Fredericktown)
- Nodaway (largest city: Maryville)
- Pike (largest city: Bowling Green)
- Reynolds (largest city: Ellington)
- Schuyler (largest city: Lancaster)
- Scotland (largest city: Memphis)
- Scott (largest city: Sikeston)
- Shannon (largest city: Winona)
- St. Francois (largest city: Farmington)
- Sullivan (largest city: Milan)
- Wayne (largest city: Piedmont)
- Worth (largest city: Grant City)
- Buchanan (largest city: St. Joseph)
- Jefferson (largest city: Arnold)
- Mississippi (largest city: Charleston)
- New Madrid (largest city: New Madrid)
- Pemiscot (largest city: Caruthersville)
- Platte (largest city: Kansas City)
- Ray (largest city: Richmond)
- Saline (largest city: Marshall)
- Washington (largest city: Potosi)
- Sainte Genevieve (largest city: Ste. Genevieve)
- St. Charles (largest city: O'Fallon)
- Pettis (largest city: Sedalia)
- Pulaski (largest city: Fort Leonard Wood)
- Adair (largest city: Kirksville)
- Andrew (largest city: Savannah)
- Cass (largest city: Harrisonville)
- Greene (largest city: Springfield)
- Johnson (largest city: Warrensburg)
By congressional district
Hawley won five of eight congressional districts, with the remaining three going to McCaskill, including one that elected a Republican.[117]
| District | McCaskill | Hawley | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 82% | 16% | Lacy Clay |
| 2nd | 50% | 48% | Ann Wagner |
| 3rd | 38% | 59% | Blaine Luetkemeyer |
| 4th | 36% | 60% | Vicky Hartzler |
| 5th | 61% | 36% | Emanuel Cleaver |
| 6th | 39% | 58% | Sam Graves |
| 7th | 31% | 65% | Billy Long |
| 8th | 28% | 69% | Jason Smith |
Voter demographics
| Demographic subgroup | McCaskill | Hawley | % of voters | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 42 | 57 | 49 | |
| Women | 51 | 47 | 51 | |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 55 | 42 | 6 | |
| 25–29 years old | 57 | 42 | 7 | |
| 30–39 years old | 52 | 45 | 15 | |
| 40–49 years old | 44 | 54 | 16 | |
| 50–64 years old | 43 | 56 | 31 | |
| 65 and older | 45 | 54 | 25 | |
| Race | ||||
| White | 42 | 57 | 84 | |
| Black | 91 | 8 | 8 | |
| Latino | 53 | 44 | 4 | |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 37 | 62 | 41 | |
| White women | 46 | 52 | 43 | |
| Black men | 91 | 7 | 4 | |
| Black women | 90 | 9 | 5 | |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 34 | 64 | 22 | |
| Some college education | 48 | 51 | 27 | |
| Associate degree | 46 | 53 | 14 | |
| Bachelor's degree | 51 | 48 | 22 | |
| Advanced degree | 58 | 41 | 15 | |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 93 | 6 | 31 | |
| Republicans | 7 | 92 | 37 | |
| Independents | 46 | 51 | 32 | |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 90 | 9 | 23 | |
| Moderates | 60 | 37 | 38 | |
| Conservatives | 8 | 91 | 39 | |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 43 | 55 | 63 | |
| Unmarried | 57 | 41 | 37 | |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 39 | 61 | 34 | |
| Married women | 49 | 49 | 28 | |
| Unmarried men | 47 | 50 | 11 | |
| Unmarried women | 64 | 33 | 21 | |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 59 | 38 | 13 | |
| No | 44 | 56 | 87 | |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Immigration | 13 | 86 | 20 | |
| Healthcare | 71 | 27 | 47 | |
| Gun policy | 52 | 47 | 8 | |
| Economy | 33 | 65 | 23 | |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 67 | 32 | 35 | |
| Suburban | 42 | 57 | 37 | |
| Rural | 27 | 71 | 28 | |
| Source: CNN[118] | ||||