2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota
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The 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Dakota. Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeating Democratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election with more than 66% of the vote. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed.[1]
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November 5, 2024
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  Cramer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Christiansen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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This marked the first time since 1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat. Cramer more than tripled his margin from 2018 and won 10 counties he lost in 2018.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kevin Cramer, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present)[2]
Endorsements
Kevin Cramer
Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[3]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kevin Cramer (R) | $5,423,493 | $2,328,177 | $3,290,838 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[8] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Cramer (incumbent) | 82,692 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 82,692 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic-NPL primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Katrina Christiansen, University of Jamestown engineering professor and nominee for North Dakota’s other U.S. Senate seat in 2022[9]
Endorsements
Katrina Christiansen
- Statewide officials
- Roger Johnson, former North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (1996–2009)[10]
- Sarah Vogel, former North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (1989–1997)[10]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL) | $1,154,175 | $957,217 | $200,218 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[8] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Katrina Christiansen | 19,690 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 19,690 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Filed paperwork
- Kristin Hedger, manufacturing executive and Democratic nominee for North Dakota Secretary of State in 2006[15]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[17] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] | Safe R | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[21] | Solid R | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[22] | Solid R | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[23] | Safe R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[24] | Solid R | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kevin Cramer (R) |
Katrina Christiansen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[25][A] | September 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 29% | – | 20% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[26][B] | September 23–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 2%[b] | 9% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[27][C] | September 22–24, 2024 | 521 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 31% | – | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[28][B] | June 28 – August 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 38% | – | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[29][D] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 65% | 28% | – | 6% |
| Emerson College[30] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 19% | 9% | 28% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Cramer (incumbent) | 241,569 | 66.31% | +11.20% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Katrina Christiansen | 121,602 | 33.38% | −10.89% | |
| Write-in | 1,156 | 0.32% | -0.31% | ||
| Total votes | 364,327 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[31] | Kevin Cramer Republican |
Katrina Christiansen Democratic–NPL |
Write-in Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 933 | 77.94% | 259 | 21.64% | 5 | 0.42% | 674 | 56.31% | 1,197 |
| Barnes | 3,403 | 63.97% | 1,901 | 35.73% | 16 | 0.30% | 1,502 | 28.23% | 5,320 |
| Benson | 1,071 | 55.01% | 873 | 44.84% | 3 | 0.15% | 198 | 10.17% | 1,947 |
| Billings | 529 | 81.38% | 117 | 18.00% | 4 | 0.62% | 412 | 63.38% | 650 |
| Bottineau | 2,511 | 73.44% | 895 | 26.18% | 13 | 0.38% | 1,616 | 47.27% | 3,419 |
| Bowman | 1,349 | 83.53% | 263 | 16.28% | 3 | 0.19% | 1,086 | 67.24% | 1,615 |
| Burke | 868 | 82.59% | 175 | 16.65% | 8 | 0.76% | 693 | 65.94% | 1,051 |
| Burleigh | 35,755 | 69.15% | 15,714 | 30.39% | 240 | 0.46% | 20,041 | 38.76% | 51,709 |
| Cass | 48,637 | 53.95% | 41,321 | 45.83% | 199 | 0.22% | 7,316 | 8.11% | 90,157 |
| Cavalier | 1,421 | 71.44% | 562 | 28.26% | 6 | 0.30% | 859 | 43.19% | 1,989 |
| Dickey | 1,722 | 70.86% | 706 | 29.05% | 2 | 0.08% | 1,016 | 41.81% | 2,430 |
| Divide | 887 | 73.92% | 309 | 25.75% | 4 | 0.33% | 578 | 48.17% | 1,200 |
| Dunn | 1,805 | 81.75% | 395 | 17.89% | 8 | 0.36% | 1,410 | 63.86% | 2,208 |
| Eddy | 832 | 68.42% | 380 | 31.25% | 4 | 0.33% | 452 | 37.17% | 1,216 |
| Emmons | 1,534 | 80.69% | 355 | 18.67% | 12 | 0.63% | 1,179 | 62.02% | 1,901 |
| Foster | 1,279 | 75.68% | 408 | 24.14% | 3 | 0.18% | 871 | 51.54% | 1,690 |
| Golden Valley | 822 | 83.88% | 156 | 15.92% | 2 | 0.20% | 666 | 67.96% | 980 |
| Grand Forks | 18,509 | 59.71% | 12,418 | 40.06% | 71 | 0.23% | 6,091 | 19.65% | 30,998 |
| Grant | 1,035 | 79.31% | 267 | 20.46% | 3 | 0.23% | 768 | 58.85% | 1,305 |
| Griggs | 936 | 72.73% | 347 | 26.96% | 4 | 0.31% | 589 | 45.77% | 1,287 |
| Hettinger | 1,057 | 82.32% | 225 | 17.52% | 2 | 0.16% | 832 | 64.80% | 1,284 |
| Kidder | 1,056 | 76.86% | 316 | 23.00% | 2 | 0.15% | 740 | 53.86% | 1,374 |
| LaMoure | 1,536 | 72.35% | 581 | 27.37% | 6 | 0.28% | 955 | 44.98% | 2,123 |
| Logan | 833 | 81.35% | 185 | 18.07% | 6 | 0.59% | 648 | 63.28% | 1,024 |
| McHenry | 2,068 | 75.83% | 649 | 23.80% | 10 | 0.37% | 1,419 | 52.04% | 2,727 |
| McIntosh | 1,060 | 76.26% | 324 | 23.31% | 6 | 0.43% | 736 | 52.95% | 1,390 |
| McKenzie | 4,523 | 83.07% | 900 | 16.53% | 22 | 0.40% | 3,623 | 66.54% | 5,445 |
| McLean | 3,981 | 74.11% | 1,370 | 25.50% | 21 | 0.39% | 2,611 | 48.60% | 5,372 |
| Mercer | 3,414 | 76.63% | 1,010 | 22.67% | 31 | 0.70% | 2,404 | 53.96% | 4,455 |
| Morton | 12,263 | 73.13% | 4,431 | 26.42% | 75 | 0.45% | 7,832 | 46.71% | 16,769 |
| Mountrail | 2,824 | 69.87% | 1,208 | 29.89% | 10 | 0.25% | 1,616 | 39.98% | 4,042 |
| Nelson | 1,091 | 62.31% | 657 | 37.52% | 3 | 0.17% | 434 | 24.79% | 1,751 |
| Oliver | 846 | 79.14% | 217 | 20.30% | 6 | 0.56% | 629 | 58.84% | 1,069 |
| Pembina | 2,264 | 72.87% | 840 | 27.04% | 3 | 0.10% | 1,424 | 45.83% | 3,107 |
| Pierce | 1,445 | 73.42% | 515 | 26.17% | 8 | 0.41% | 930 | 47.26% | 1,968 |
| Ramsey | 3,568 | 68.42% | 1,640 | 31.45% | 7 | 0.13% | 1,928 | 36.97% | 5,215 |
| Ransom | 1,596 | 60.62% | 1,033 | 39.23% | 4 | 0.15% | 563 | 21.38% | 2,633 |
| Renville | 970 | 80.50% | 234 | 19.42% | 1 | 0.08% | 736 | 61.08% | 1,205 |
| Richland | 5,321 | 64.83% | 2,877 | 35.05% | 10 | 0.12% | 2,444 | 29.78% | 8,208 |
| Rolette | 1,486 | 36.93% | 2,534 | 62.97% | 4 | 0.10% | -1,048 | -26.04% | 4,024 |
| Sargent | 1,235 | 60.75% | 797 | 39.20% | 1 | 0.05% | 438 | 21.54% | 2,033 |
| Sheridan | 581 | 77.57% | 162 | 21.63% | 6 | 0.80% | 419 | 55.94% | 749 |
| Sioux | 281 | 29.64% | 665 | 70.15% | 2 | 0.21% | -384 | -40.51% | 948 |
| Slope | 335 | 86.12% | 52 | 13.37% | 2 | 0.51% | 283 | 72.75% | 389 |
| Stark | 12,074 | 81.34% | 2,716 | 18.30% | 53 | 0.36% | 9,358 | 63.05% | 14,843 |
| Steele | 585 | 57.86% | 422 | 41.74% | 4 | 0.40% | 163 | 16.12% | 1,011 |
| Stutsman | 6,771 | 68.00% | 3,171 | 31.84% | 16 | 0.16% | 3,600 | 36.15% | 9,958 |
| Towner | 757 | 67.95% | 355 | 31.87% | 2 | 0.18% | 402 | 36.09% | 1,114 |
| Traill | 2,612 | 63.49% | 1,489 | 36.19% | 13 | 0.32% | 1,123 | 27.30% | 4,114 |
| Walsh | 3,124 | 69.53% | 1,355 | 30.16% | 14 | 0.31% | 1,769 | 39.37% | 4,493 |
| Ward | 20,328 | 72.05% | 7,772 | 27.55% | 113 | 0.40% | 12,556 | 44.50% | 28,213 |
| Wells | 1,690 | 75.45% | 537 | 23.97% | 13 | 0.58% | 1,153 | 51.47% | 2,240 |
| Williams | 12,156 | 82.31% | 2,542 | 17.21% | 70 | 0.47% | 9,614 | 65.10% | 14,768 |
| Totals | 241,569 | 66.31% | 121,602 | 33.38% | 1,156 | 0.32% | 119,967 | 32.93% | 364,327 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cass (largest city: Fargo)
- Barnes (largest city: Valley City)
- Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
- Nelson (largest city: Lakota)
- Richland (largest city: Wahpeton)
- Traill (largest city: Mayville)
- Benson (largest CDP: Fort Totten)
- Ransom (largest city: Lisbon)
- Sargent (largest city: Gwinner)
- Steele (largest city: Finley)
Notes
Partisan clients