List of predicted asteroid impacts on Earth
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance, which are cataloged by the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS).[1]
As of December 2024[update], all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 10 m (33 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.
| Asteroid designation | Date & time (UTC) of discovery Discoverer | Estimated size | Abs. mag. | Date & time (UTC) of impact Warning time | Location of impact | Airburst altitude Energy | Method of impact detection | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 TC3 | 2008-10-06 06:39 Mt. Lemmon Survey | 3.8–4.4 m (12–14 ft) | 30.72 | 2008-10-07 02:45 20:05 | 20.9 N, 31.8 E Nubian Desert in Sudan | 50.0 km (31.1 mi) 1 kt | visual, weather satellite, meteorite recovery | JPL · MPC · [2] |
| 2014 AA | 2014-01-01 06:18 Mt. Lemmon Survey | 2–4 m (6.6–13.1 ft) | 30.95 | 2014-01-02 03:04 20:46 | 13.1 N, 44.2 W Central Atlantic Ocean | 40.0 km (24.9 mi) ? | infrasound | JPL · MPC · [3] |
| 2018 LA | 2018-06-02 08:14 Mt. Lemmon Survey | 2–5 m (6.6–16.4 ft) | 30.55 | 2018-06-02 16:44 08:29 | 21.3 S, 23.3 E Botswana/South Africa border | 27.8 km (17.3 mi) 0.3–0.5 kt | visual, infrasound, meteorite recovery | JPL · MPC · [4][5][6] |
| 2019 MO | 2019-06-22 09:49 ATLAS-MLO | 4–9 m (13–30 ft) | 29.12 | 2019-06-22 21:25 11:36 | 14.9 N, 66.2 W Caribbean Sea near Puerto Rico | 25.0 km (15.5 mi) 6 kt | visual, infrasound, weather satellite & radar | JPL · MPC · [7] |
| 2022 EB5 | 2022-03-11 19:24 GINOP-KHK | 1.4–3.2 m (4.6–10.5 ft) | 31.33 | 2022-03-11 21:22 01:58 | 70.0 N, 9.1 W Jan Mayen, northern Atlantic Ocean | 33.3 km (20.7 mi) 4 kt | visual, infrasound | JPL · MPC · [8][9] |
| 2022 WJ1 | 2022-11-19 04:53 Mt. Lemmon Survey | 0.4–0.6 m (1.3–2.0 ft) | 33.58 | 2022-11-19 08:26 03:33 | 43.0 N, 81.7 W Ontario, Canada | 95.5 km (59.3 mi) ? | visual, radar | JPL · MPC · [10][11] |
| 2023 CX1 | 2023-02-12 20:18 GINOP-KHK | 0.8–1.7 m (2.6–5.6 ft) | 32.72 | 2023-02-13 02:59 06:41 | 49.8 N, 0.4 E Northwestern France | 50.0 km (31.1 mi) ? | visual, meteorite recovery | JPL · MPC · [12][13] |
| 2024 BX1 | 2024-01-20 21:48 GINOP-KHK | <0.5 m (1.6 ft) | 32.71 | 2024-01-21 00:32 02:44 | 52.6 N, 12.6 E Berlin, Germany | 21.3 km (13.2 mi) ? | visual, meteorite recovery | JPL · MPC · [14][15] |
| 2024 RW1 | 2024-09-04 05:43 Mt. Lemmon Survey | 1–2.5 m (3.3–8.2 ft) | 32.20 | 2024-09-04 16:39 10:55 | 18.0 N, 122.9 E Pacific Ocean near Luzon, Philippines | 25.0 km (15.5 mi) 0.2 kt | visual | JPL · MPC · [16][17] |
| 2024 UQ | 2024-10-22 09:08 ATLAS-HKO | 0.8–1.6 m (2.6–5.2 ft) | 32.66 | 2024-10-22 10:54 01:46 | 30.0 N, 136.0 W Eastern Pacific | 38.2 km (23.7 mi) 0.15 kt | weather satellite | JPL · MPC · [18][19] |
| 2024 XA1 | 2024-12-03 05:55 Kitt Peak-Bok | 0.7–1.5 m (2.3–4.9 ft) | 32.95 | 2024-12-03 16:14 10:19 | 60.9 N, 119.5 E Eastern Siberia | 50.0 km (31.1 mi) ? | visual | JPL · MPC · [20][21] |