2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 8, 2022, to determine the nine representatives of the state of Arizona. The elections coincided with the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, the U.S. Senate, and various other state and local elections. Despite losing the concurrent Senate and governor elections, the Republicans flipped both the 2nd and 6th congressional districts, making this the first time that the party controlled six seats in Arizona since 2004. Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2.
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November 8, 2022
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All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Republican | 9 | 1,324,961 | 56.14 | 6 |  |
66.67 | |
| Democratic | 9 | 1,016,009 | 43.05 | 3 | |
33.33 | |
| Independent | 1 | 18,851 | 0.80 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Write-in | 6 | 257 | 0.01 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Total | 25 | 2,360,078 | 100.0 | 9 | |
100.0 | |
By district
Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 182,336 | 50.44% | 179,141 | 49.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 361,477 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 174,169 | 53.86% | 149,151 | 46.12% | 76 | 0.02% | 323,396 | 100.00% | Republican gain |
| District 3 | 32,475 | 23.02% | 108,599 | 76.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 141,074 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 116,521 | 43.89% | 148,941 | 56.10% | 36 | 0.01% | 265,498 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 182,464 | 56.74% | 120,243 | 37.39% | 18,883 | 5.87% | 321,590 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 177,201 | 50.73% | 171,969 | 49.24% | 113 | 0.03% | 349,283 | 100.00% | Republican gain |
| District 7 | 69,444 | 35.46% | 126,418 | 64.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 195,862 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 197,555 | 96.50% | 7,158 | 3.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 204,713 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 9 | 192,796 | 97.77% | 4,389 | 2.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 197,185 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,324,961 | 56.14% | 1,016,009 | 43.05% | 19,108 | 0.81% | 2,360,078 | 100.00% | |
District 1
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 .svg) Schweikert: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hodge: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected in Arizona's 6th congressional district with 52.2% of the vote in 2020.[1] The district contains much of the northeast suburbs of Phoenix. It is similar in composition and structure to the old 6th district, though it is more competitive and slightly larger; in addition, the district now contains central Phoenix and most of the downtown area. Schweikert narrowly defeated Democrat Jevin Hodge in what proved to be the year's closest House race in the state.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative for 6th district[2][3]
Eliminated in primary
- Josh Barnett, nominee for the 7th district in 2020[4]
- Elijah Norton, businessman[5]
Failed to qualify
- Mavrick Moser, conservative activist[6]
Declined
- Christina Smith[7]
Endorsements
David Schweikert
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 52,067 | 43.6 | |
| Republican | Elijah Norton | 39,435 | 33.0 | |
| Republican | Josh Barnett | 27,999 | 23.4 | |
| Total votes | 119,501 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jevin Hodge, Vice Chair of the Arizona Democratic Party and candidate for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors in 2020[10]
Eliminated in primary
- Adam Metzendorf, former director of membership experience for the Phoenix Suns, the Phoenix Mercury, and the Arizona Rattlers[11][3]
Withdrew
- Ginger Sykes Torres, environmental consultant and community activist[12]
Failed to qualify
Endorsements
Jevin Hodge
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Jevin Hodge | Adam Metzendorf | |||||
| 1 | May 4, 2022 | KAET The Arizona Republic |
Stacey Barchenger Ted Simons |
[21] | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jevin Hodge | 46,144 | 61.9 | |
| Democratic | Adam Metzendorf | 28,267 | 37.9 | |
| Democratic | Delina DiSanto (write-in) | 175 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 74,586 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Lean R | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Lean R | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Likely R | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Solid R | November 2, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Lean R | October 16, 2022 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 182,336 | 50.44% | |
| Democratic | Jevin Hodge | 179,141 | 49.56% | |
| Total votes | 361,477 | 100.00% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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O'Halleran: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Crane: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Tie: 40–50% No votes: | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Tom O'Halleran, who was re-elected in Arizona's 1st congressional district with 51.6% of the vote in 2020.[33] Redistricting made the seat considerably more Republican.[b] O'Halleran ran for re-election and lost to Republican businessman Eli Crane.[35][36]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom O'Halleran, incumbent U.S. representative and Co-Chair of the Blue Dog Coalition[37]
Withdrawn
- Judy Stahl, candidate for Arizona's 1st legislative district in 2020[38][39] (endorsed O'Halleran)
Endorsements
Tom O'Halleran
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[40]
- Equality Arizona[18]
- Feminist Majority PAC[41]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[42]
- League of Conservation Voters[43]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[44]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[45]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Renew America Movement[47]
- Sierra Club[20]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) | 71,391 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 71,391 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Eli Crane, businessman and former U.S. Navy SEAL[48]
Eliminated in primary
- Walter Blackman, state representative from the 6th district[49]
- Mark DeLuzio, business consultant
- Steven Krystofiak, farmer
- John Moore, mayor of Williams and candidate for 1st district in 2020[50]
- Ron Watkins, far-right QAnon conspiracy theorist and former administrator of 8chan[51]
- Andy Yates, small business owner[37]
Did not file
- Myron Lizer, Vice President of the Navajo Nation[52]
Endorsements
Eli Crane
U.S. executive branch officials
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||||
| Blackman | Crane | DeLuzio | Krystofiak | Moore | Watkins | Yates | |||||
| 1[54] | April 27, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons | [55] | P | A | A | A | A | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Walter Blackman |
Eli Crane |
Mark DeLuzio |
Steven Krystofiak |
John Moore |
Ron Watkins |
Andy Yates |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group (R)[56][B] | July 13, 2022 | 250 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 3% | 48% |
| co/efficient (R)[57][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 62% |
Results
Crane
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Blackman
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Tie
- 20-30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eli Crane | 38,681 | 35.8 | |
| Republican | Walter Blackman | 26,399 | 24.4 | |
| Republican | Mark DeLuzio | 18,515 | 17.1 | |
| Republican | Andy Yates | 7,467 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | John Moore | 7,327 | 6.8 | |
| Republican | Steven Krystofiak | 5,905 | 5.5 | |
| Republican | Ron Watkins | 3,810 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 108,104 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Lean R (flip) | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Lean R (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Likely R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Lean R (flip) | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Likely R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eli Crane | 174,169 | 53.86% | |||
| Democratic | Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) | 149,151 | 46.12% | |||
| Independent | Chris Sarappo (write-in) | 76 | 0.02% | |||
| Total votes | 323,396 | 100.00% | ||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||||
District 3
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Gallego: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% No votes: | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected in Arizona's 7th congressional district with 76.7% of the vote in 2020.[59] The new 3rd district closely resembles the old 7th district. Gallego ran for and won re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. representative[60]
Endorsements
Ruben Gallego
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ruben Gallego (incumbent) | 47,972 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 47,972 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jeff Zink, former adjunct professor at Grand Canyon University[63]
Failed to qualify
- Nina Becker[64]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Zink | 13,894 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 13,894 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid D | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe D | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Safe D | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid D | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Safe D | October 16, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ruben Gallego (incumbent) | 108,599 | 77.0 | |
| Republican | Jeff Zink | 32,475 | 23.0 | |
| Total votes | 141,074 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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Stanton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cooper: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected in Arizona's 9th congressional district with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.[65] Whereas the 9th district contained downtown Phoenix, the new 4th district is more rural and is highly competitive. Stanton successfully ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. representative[66]
Endorsements
Greg Stanton
Local officials
- John Giles, mayor of Mesa (Republican)[67]
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[40]
- Equality Arizona[18]
- Feminist Majority PAC[41]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[42]
- League of Conservation Voters[43]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[62]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[45]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Sierra Club[20]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 61,319 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 61,319 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
The Republican primary had six qualified candidates. David Giles, a perennial candidate, Tanya Contreras Wheelas, a former staffer of Arizona senator Martha McSally, and Alex Stovall, a U.S. Army veteran, were the first to announce. In December 2021, secretly recorded conversations with Stovall dismissing his constituents and "flip-flopping" on statements he had made throughout his campaign were released.[68] Jerone Davison, a former Oakland Raiders running back and longtime pastor in Maricopa County, launched an exploratory campaign in November 2021. Also running were U.S. Navy veteran Rene Lopez, co-founder of Cece's Hope Center, which helps protect young women from sex trafficking, two-term Chandler City Councilman Rene Lopez, and largely self-funded businessman Kelly Cooper.
Candidates
Nominee
- Kelly Cooper, restaurant owner and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[69]
Eliminated in primary
- Jerone Davison, former running back for the Las Vegas Raiders and pastor[70][71]
- Dave Giles, businessman, candidate for 9th district in 2018, and nominee in 2016 and 2020[72]
- Rene Lopez, Chandler city councilor, co-founder of Cece's Hope Center, and U.S. Navy veteran[73]
- Tanya Contreras Wheeless, former staffer for U.S. Senator Martha McSally[74]
Withdrew
Endorsements
Tanya Wheeless
Organizations
Kelly Cooper
U.S. executive branch officials
Organizations
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Lopez | Davison | Wheeless | Giles | Cooper | |||||
| 1[54] | May 9, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons | [82] | P | P | A | P | A |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Cooper | 20,281 | 28.4 | |
| Republican | Tanya Contreras Wheeless | 18,166 | 25.4 | |
| Republican | Dave Giles | 13,348 | 18.7 | |
| Republican | Rene Lopez | 10,149 | 14.2 | |
| Republican | Jerone Davison | 9,502 | 13.3 | |
| Total votes | 71,446 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Likely D | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Likely D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean D | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Lean D | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Tossup | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Likely D | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Likely D | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Likely D | October 16, 2022 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 148,941 | 56.1 | |
| Republican | Kelly Cooper | 116,521 | 43.9 | |
| Independent | Stephan Jones (write-in) | 36 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 265,498 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
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  Biggs: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Ramos: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 58.9% of the vote in 2020.[84] The new 5th district is slightly smaller than its predecessor, but is still not competitive. Biggs ran for re-election.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Andy Biggs, incumbent U.S. representative[85]
Endorsements
Andy Biggs
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 98,114 | 99.5 | |
| Write-in | 456 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 98,570 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Javier Ramos, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2020
Failed to qualify
- Ben Larivee, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[87]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Javier Ramos | 50,647 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 50,647 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Declared
- Clint Smith, attorney[88]
Endorsements
Clint Smith
Organizations
- Forward Party[89]
- Renew America Movement[90]
General election
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Biggs | Ramos | Smith | ||||||
| 1[91] | September 21, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons | [92] | A | P | P | |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid R | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid R | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Solid R | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid R | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Solid R | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Solid R | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Safe R | October 16, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 182,464 | 56.7 | |
| Democratic | Javier Ramos | 120,243 | 37.4 | |
| Independent | Clint Smith | 18,851 | 5.9 | |
| Democratic | Debra Jo Borden (write-in) | 32 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 321,590 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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  Ciscomani: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Engel: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who was re-elected in Arizona's 2nd congressional district with 55.1% of the vote in 2020.[93] She did not run for re-election.[94] The new 6th district covers the Southeast corner of the state, with many heavily Democratic parts being absorbed into the 7th district.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kirsten Engel, former state senator and former state representative from the 10th district[95]
Eliminated in primary
- Avery Anderson, engineer
- Daniel Hernández Jr., state representative from the 2nd district[96][97]
Failed to qualify
- Marcos Urrea, legal assistant to Immigration Equality[98]
Withdrew
- Randy Friese, state representative from the 9th district[99]
Declined
- Ann Kirkpatrick, incumbent U.S. representative[94]
Fundraising
Friese led early fundraising, followed by Engel, followed by Hernández.[100]
Endorsements
Kirsten Engel
U.S. representatives
- Ron Barber, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 2nd congressional district[101]
- Raúl Grijalva, U.S. representative from Arizona's 3rd congressional district[102]
- Ann Kirkpatrick, U.S. representative from Arizona's 2nd congressional district[101]
- Annie Kuster, U.S. representative from New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district[103]
Local officials
- Regina Romero, mayor of Tucson[104]
- Jonathan Rothschild, former mayor of Tucson[105]
Organizations
Randy Friese (withdrawn)
Organizations
Daniel Hernandez
U.S. representatives
- David Cicilline, U.S. representative from Rhode Island's 1st congressional district[112]
- Adriano Espaillat, U.S. representative from New York's 13th congressional district[113]
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. representative from Arizona's 7th congressional district[114]
- Mark Takano, U.S. representative from California's 41st congressional district[112]
- Norma Torres, U.S. representative from California's 35th congressional district[113]
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. representative from New York's 15th congressional district[115]
State legislators
- Alma Hernandez, state representative from the 3rd district (Hernandez's sister)[115]
Individuals
- Luis A. Miranda Jr., political strategist, philanthropist, and advocacy consultant[113]
- Chuck Rocha, Democratic Party strategist and former union organizer[116]
Labor unions
Organizations
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Anderson | Engel | Hernández | |||||
| 1[122] | May 18, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons & Mary Jo Pitzl | [123] | A | P | P |
Polling
Results
Engel
- 50–60%
Hernández Jr.
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 54,060 | 59.1 | |
| Democratic | Daniel Hernandez Jr. | 31,815 | 34.8 | |
| Democratic | Avery Anderson | 5,639 | 6.2 | |
| Total votes | 91,514 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Juan Ciscomani, senior advisor to Governor Doug Ducey and vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission[125]
Eliminated in primary
- Lucretia Free, founder and publisher of the Vail Voice[126]
- Brandon Martin, U.S. Army veteran, candidate for Arizona's 2nd congressional district in 2018 and nominee in 2020[127]
- Young Mayberry, teacher and farmer
- Kathleen Winn, former local television reporter
Withdrew
- Douglas Lowell, surgeon[128]
- Marissa Mitchell[129]
- Kelly Townsend, state senator from the 16th district[130][131]
Endorsements
Juan Ciscomani
U.S. representatives
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative for California's 23rd congressional district and House Minority Leader[132]
Organizations
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Winn | Free | Martin | Mayberry | Ciscomani | |||||
| 1[122] | May 16, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons & Mary Jo Pitzl | [135] | P | P | P | P | A |
Results
Ciscomani
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Juan Ciscomani | 49,559 | 47.1 | |
| Republican | Brandon Martin | 21,987 | 20.9 | |
| Republican | Kathleen Winn | 19,635 | 18.7 | |
| Republican | Young Mayberry | 8,942 | 8.5 | |
| Republican | Lucretia Free | 5,029 | 4.8 | |
| Republican | Jordan Flayer (write-in) | 32 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 105,184 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Lean R (flip) | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Tilt R (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Lean R (flip) | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Likely R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Likely R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Lean R (flip) | October 16, 2022 |
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Ciscomani | Engel | |||||||
| 1[136] | September 22, 2022 | Casa Grande Valley Newspapers Inc. | Donovan Kramer | [137] | P | A | ||
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Juan Ciscomani | 177,201 | 50.73% | |||
| Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 171,969 | 49.23% | |||
| Democratic | Avery Alexander Thornton (write-in) | 71 | 0.02% | |||
| Independent | Frank Bertone (write-in) | 42 | 0.01% | |||
| Total votes | 349,283 | 100.00% | ||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||||
District 7
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Grijalva: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pozzolo: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who was re-elected in Arizona's 3rd congressional district with 63.9% of the vote in 2020.[139] The district is very similar to its predecessor, but it covers more of the Mexico–United States border. Redistricting made the district less competitive. Grijalva ran for re-election and the Republican nominee, naturalized citizen and Uruguayan immigrant Luis Pozzolo, competed against him.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative[140]
Endorsements
Raúl Grijalva
Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[41]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[42]
- Justice Democrats[141]
- League of Conservation Voters[43]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[45]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Progressive Democrats of America[142]
- Sierra Club[20]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 62,547 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 62,547 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Nina Becker, business consultant
Withdrew
- Joshua Pembleton, former Green Beret[144]
- Daniel Wood, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and nominee for 3rd district in 2020[145]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Luis Pozzolo | 20,413 | 69.0 | |
| Republican | Nina Becker | 9,064 | 30.6 | |
| Republican | David Reetz (write-in) | 103 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 29,580 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid D | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe D | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Safe D | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid D | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Safe D | October 16, 2022 |
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Grijalva | Pozzolo | |||||||
| 1[146] | September 26, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons | [147] | P | P | ||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 126,418 | 64.5 | |
| Republican | Luis Pozzolo | 69,444 | 35.5 | |
| Total votes | 195,862 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Lesko: 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected with 59.6% of the vote in 2020.[148] The new 8th district is slightly northeast of its predecessor, covering the northwest Phoenix suburbs. Lesko ran for re-election unopposed.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative[149]
Endorsements
Debbie Lesko
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Debbie Lesko (incumbent) | 100,629 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 100,629 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Failed to qualify
- James Holmes[152]
General election
Write-in candidates
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid R | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid R | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Solid R | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid R | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Solid R | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Solid R | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Safe R | October 16, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Debbie Lesko (incumbent) | 197,555 | 96.5 | |
| Democratic | Jeremy Spreitzer (write-in) | 5,145 | 2.5 | |
| Democratic | Alixandria Guzman (write-in) | 2,013 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 204,713 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Gosar: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The incumbent was Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected in Arizona's 4th congressional district with 69.7% of the vote in 2020.[156] The new 9th district is still not competitive, but it is somewhat more so than the old 4th district; much of the old 4th district was drawn into the new 2nd district. Gosar won re-election unopposed.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative[157]
Eliminated in primary
- Sandra Dowling, former Maricopa County School Superintendent and candidate for 8th district in 2018
- Randy Kutz, corporate trainer and realtor
- Adam Morgan, West Point graduate and former U.S. Army Ranger[158]
Failed to qualify
- Brandon DeHart[159]
Endorsements
Paul Gosar
U.S. executive branch officials
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| Sandra Dowling | Paul Gosar | Randy Kutz | Adam Morgan | |||||
| 1 | Jun. 2, 2022 | KAET The Arizona Republic |
Stacy Barchenger Ted Simons |
[161] | P | A | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 67,340 | 65.9 | |
| Republican | Randy Kutz | 13,387 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Adam Morgan | 12,508 | 12.2 | |
| Republican | Sandra Dowling | 8,851 | 8.7 | |
| Republican | Jack Harper (write-in) | 76 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 102,162 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
- Matthew Daniel[164]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Lucier (write-in) | 1,319 | 72.7 | |
| Democratic | Gene Scharer (write-in) | 496 | 27.3 | |
| Total votes | 1,815 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Write-in candidates
- Richard Grayson, writer, performance artist and perennial candidate[153][154][155]
- Thomas Tzitzura[153][154][155]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe R | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Safe R | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Safe R | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[29] | Safe R | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Safe R | October 16, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 192,796 | 97.8 | |
| Democratic | Richard Grayson (write-in) | 3,531 | 1.8 | |
| Democratic | Thomas Tzitzura (write-in) | 858 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 197,185 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - According to FiveThirtyEight, it now has a partisan lean of R+15, compared to its previous R+6.[34]
Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by Hodge's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Crane's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Blackman's campaign
- Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Crane's campaign committee
- This poll was sponsored by Hernández's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Engel's campaign