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Next French legislative election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in France by 2029 to elect all 577 members of the 18th National Assembly of the Fifth French Republic.[1] Given the 2024–2025 French political crisis, a dissolution of the National Assembly for a snap election is possible before the presidential election.[2][3][needs update]
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No later than June 2029
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All 577 seats in the National Assembly 289 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The 2024 elections resulted in a hung parliament and four minority governments led by Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu, all being appointed by Emmanuel Macron. Both Barnier and Bayrou's governments collapsed as a result of confidence votes. Lecornu initially resigned 14 hours after presenting his first government, before being reappointed by Macron four days later. The absence of a stable majority means the government constantly lives under the threat of a vote of no confidence as well as losing parliamentary votes, leading to speculations of snap elections taking place well ahead of 2029.[4][5][6]
Electoral system
The 577 members of the National Assembly, known as deputies, are elected for five years by a two-round system in single-member constituencies. A candidate who receives an absolute majority of valid votes and a vote total greater than 25% of the registered electorate is elected in the first round. If no candidate reaches this threshold, a runoff election is held between the top two candidates plus any other candidate who received a vote total greater than 12.5% of registered voters. The candidate who receives the most votes in the second round is elected.[7]
Opinion polls
| Polling firm | Date | Sample size | EXG | NFP | DVG | ECO | ENS | DVC | LR | DVD | DLF | RN and allies | REC | Others | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFI | LE | PCF | PS | UDR | RN | ||||||||||||||
| N/a | 10 Oct 2025 | Second Lecornu government formed | |||||||||||||||||
| Ifop[8] | 7–8 Oct 2025 | 1,386 | 1% | 24% | 4% | – | 14% | – | 12% | 3% | 1% | 35% | 4% | 2% | 11% | ||||
| 1% | 8% | 19% | 3% | – | 13% | – | 11% | 2.5% | 1% | 36% | 3.5% | 2% | 19% | ||||||
| 1% | 10% | 17% | 3% | – | 13% | – | 11% | 2% | 1% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 19% | ||||||
| OpinionWay[9] | 6–7 Oct 2025 | 1,012 | 2% | 24% | – | – | 16% | – | 13% | – | – | 34% | 5% | 6% | 10% | ||||
| 2% | 13% | 13% | – | – | 15% | – | 13% | – | – | 33% | 5% | 6% | 18% | ||||||
| 2% | 9% | 18% | – | – | 14% | – | 12% | – | – | 33% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||||||
| N/a | 5–6 Oct 2025 | First Lecornu government dissolved | |||||||||||||||||
| N/a | 8–9 Sep 2025 | Bayrou government dissolved; First Lecornu government formed | |||||||||||||||||
| Ifop[10] | 5–8 Sep 2025 | 1,089 | 1.5% | 24% | 5% | – | 14% | – | 12% | 2.5% | 2% | 34% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 10% | ||||
| 1% | 9% | 19% | 3% | – | 14% | – | 12% | 2% | 2% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 14% | ||||||
| Cluster17[11] | 5–7 Sep 2025 | 1,133 | 1% | 25% | 5.5% | – | 14% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 1.5% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ||||
| 1% | 11% | 16% | 3% | – | 13% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 1.5% | 29% | 4.5% | 5% | 13% | ||||||
| 1% | 14% | 14% | 3% | – | 12.5% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 1.5% | 29% | 4% | 5% | 15% | ||||||
| Harris[12] | 4–5 Sep 2025 | 2,017 | 1% | 26% | 6% | – | 16% | – | 10% | – | – | 33% | 5% | 3% | 7% | ||||
| 1% | 10% | 19% | 4% | – | 16% | – | 10% | – | – | 33% | 5% | 3% | 14% | ||||||
| Ifop[13] | 29 Aug–1 Sep 2025 | 1,369 | 1% | 25% | 5% | – | 15% | – | 13% | 2% | 1.5% | 33% | 4% | 0.5% | 8% | ||||
| 1% | 11% | 15% | 4% | – | 15% | – | 13% | 3% | 1.5% | 32% | 3.5% | 1% | 17% | ||||||
| Elabe[14] | 28–29 Aug 2025 | 1,563 | 2% | 23.5% | 6.5% | – | 14% | – | 10.5% | 2.5% | – | 31.5% | 5% | 4.5% | 8.0% | ||||
| 1.5% | 10% | 16.5% | 5% | – | 13.5% | – | 10.5% | 3% | – | 31% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 14.5% | ||||||
| Elabe[15] | 3–5 Jun 2025 | 1,496 | 2% | 21% | 6.5% | – | 15.5% | – | 10% | 3.5% | – | 32.5% | 3% | 6% | 11.5% | ||||
| 1.5% | 10% | 16% | 3.5% | – | 15.5% | – | 10.5% | 3% | – | 33% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 17% | ||||||
| Ifop[16] | 3–4 Jun 2025 | 1,385 | 0.5% | 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | 11% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 35% | 2% | 1.5% | 14% | |||
| 1% | 11% | 13% | 4% | – | 18% | – | 11% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 35% | 2% | 1.5% | 17% | |||||
| 0.5% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 3% | – | 16% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 34% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 18% | |||
| Ifop[17] | 5–6 Feb 2025 | 1,377 | 1% | 14% | 13% | 2% | – | 15% | – | 13% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 35% | 3% | 1% | 21% | ||
| 1.5% | 8% | 19% | 2.5% | – | 15% | – | 12% | 1% | 1% | 0.5% | 35% | 3% | 1.5% | 16% | |||||
| N/a | 4–13 Dec 2024 | Barnier government dissolved; Bayrou government formed | |||||||||||||||||
| N/a | 5 Sep 2024 | Beginning of French political crisis: Attal government dissolved; Barnier government formed | |||||||||||||||||
| 2024 Election Results[18] | 30 Jun 2024 | N/a | 1.14% | 28.21% | 1.57% | 0.57% | 21.28% | 1.22% | 6.57% | 3.60% | 0.28% | 3.96% | 29.26% | 0.75% | 1.60% | 1.05% | |||