Opinion polling for the 2009 Israeli legislative election
Collection of opinion polls regarding the 2009 Israeli legislative election
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This article provides a collection of opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2009 Israeli legislative election.
Notes
- Israeli law requires a 2% threshold (yielding a minimum of two seats) for a party to be seated in the Knesset. Therefore, surveys that poll only one seat for a party reveal limited support that would not actually result in their seating.
- Where contradictions in sources are found, the table lists the result from the original source, where available, or the majority of other sources. These are noted and referenced below.
- The three main Arab parties (United Arab List-Ta'al, Hadash, and Balad) are grouped together when no source reveals how they were polled separately. On December 22, 2008, the Israeli Elections Committee delivered a court order mandating that media list these parties by name.[1]
- In December 2008, the National Union was reconstituted as a separate party from The Jewish Home. Prior to then, surveys polled these groups collectively.
Polling
| Date | Media | Pollster | Kadima | Labor | Shas | Likud | Yisrael Beiteinu | UAL -Ta'al |
Hadash | Balad | Jewish Home | National Union | Gil | UTJ | Meretz | Greens | Other | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2009 | Final Results | 28 | 13 | 11 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | 5 | 3 | — | |||
| Feb 6, 2009 | Channel 1 | Midgam Research | 23 | 16 | 10 | 28 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [2] | |
| Feb 6, 2009 | Channel 10 | Dialog | 25 | 14 | 9 | 27 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | [3][4] | |
| Feb 6, 2009 | Haaretz | Dialog | 25 | 14 | 9 | 27 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | [5][6][7][8][9] | |
| Feb 6, 2009 | The Jerusalem Post | Smith | 23 | 15-16 | 10 | 26 | 17-18 | 3-4 | 4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [5][9][10] | |
| Feb 6, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 23 | 17 | 10 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [5][9][11][12] | |
| Feb 6, 2009 | Yedioth Ahronoth | Dahaf | 23 | 16 | 10 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | [5][9][13][14][15] | |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 25 | 14 | 10 | 26 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [9][16][17][18][19] | |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Globes | Geocartography | 22-23 | 15-16 | 10 | 26 | 20-21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [5][9][18][20][21][22][23] | |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Israel Hayom | Gal Hadash (New Wave) | 24 | 16 | 9 | 30 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [18][24][25][26] | |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Shvakim Panorama | 21 | 16 | 11 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | [5][9][18][24][27][28] | |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Makor Rishon | Maagar Mochot | 24 | 13 | 10 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | Meimad 1 | [9][18] | ||
| Feb 4, 2009 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | Ale Yarok 1 | [29] |
| Feb 4, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 23 | 17 | 10 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [5][18][24][30][31][32][33] | |
| Feb 3, 2009 | Maagar Mochot | 23 | 12-13 | 10-11 | 30-31 | 17-18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | [24][32][34] | ||||
| Feb 3, 2009 | Globes | Geocartography | 21 | 17 | 11 | 24-25 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8-9 | 0 | [18][20][24][32][35][36][37] | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | Channel 1 | Midgam Research | 23 | 17 | 10 | 28 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | [5][38][39][40] | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 24 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [20][38][41][42] | |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 23 | 17 | 10 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [5][43][44][45] | |
| Jan 29, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 23 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | [46][47] | |
| Jan 29, 2009 | Globes | Geocartography | 23 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | [45][48][49] | |
| Jan 29, 2009 | Haaretz/Channel 10 | Dialog | 25 | 14 | 10 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [5][20][45][50][51][52][53] | |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Shvakim Panorama | 20 | 16 | 11 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | [45][54] | |
| Jan 27, 2009 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 22 | 13 | 10 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [34][45][55][56] | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 22 | 15 | 11 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | [20][57][58] | |
| Jan 25, 2009 | Channel 1 | Midgam Research | 22 | 17 | 10 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [20][59] | |
| Jan 23, 2009 | Channel 1's Friday Diary | Shvakim Panorama | 20 | 17 | 11 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | [60][61] | |
| Jan 23, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 24 | 16 | 9 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | [5][62][63][64] | |
| Jan 23, 2009 | Yedioth Ahronoth | Dahaf | 25 | 17[65] | 10 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | [5][20][64][66] | |
| Jan 22, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 24 | 15 | 10 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [67][68] | |
| Jan 22, 2009 | Globes | Geocartography | 21 | 15 | 9 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [64][69][70] | |
| Jan 22, 2009 | Israel Hayom | Gal Hadash (New Wave) | 25 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [64][71][72] | |
| Jan 20, 2009 | Channel 1 | Geocartography | 21 | 15 | 9 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | [73] | |
| Jan 20, 2009 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 22 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | Meimad 1, Ale Yarok 1 | [34][56][64][74] |
| Jan 19, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | [75][76] | |
| Jan 18, 2009 | Channel 2 | Maagar Mochot | 23 | 15 | 12 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | [5][34][56][77][78] | |
| Jan 18, 2009 | Channel 10 | Dialog | 26 | 14 | 10 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | [5][20][79] | |
| Jan 16, 2009 | Haaretz | Dialog | 25 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | [80][81][82] | |
| Jan 16, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 26 | 17 | 9 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | [80][83][84] | |
| Jan 15, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 27 | 15 | 8 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | [85][86] | |
| Jan 15, 2009 | Globes | Geocartography | 22 | 16 | 10 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | [87][88] | |
| Jan 14, 2009 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Shvakim Panorama | 21 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | [20][80][89][90][91] | |
| Jan 13, 2009 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [34][56][78][92] | |
| Jan 12, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 28 | 13 | 8 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | [20][93][94] | |
| Jan 9, 2009 | Channel 1's Friday Diary | Shvakim Panorama | 22 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | [95] | |||
| Jan 9, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 27 | 17 | 9 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | [5][96] | |||
| Jan 8, 2009 | Knesset Channel | Panels | 27 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | [97][98] | |
| Jan 8, 2009 | Israel Hayom | Gal Hadash (New Wave) | 27 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | [20][99][100] | |
| Jan 7, 2009 | Channel 10 | Dialog | 27 | 16 | 11 | 31 | 10 | 3[101] | 3[101] | 0[101] | 2[102] | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | [103][104] | |
| Jan 7, 2009 | Radius Radio 100FM | Geocartography | 27 | 12 | 7 | 33 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | [105] | |||
| Jan 6, 2009 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 25 | 17 | 10 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [34][56][78][106] | |||
| Jan 5, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 28 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | [20][107][108] | |
| Jan 2, 2009 | The Jerusalem Post | Smith | 29 | 15 | 10 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | [20][109] | |||
| Jan 2, 2009 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 28 | 16 | 11 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | [5][96][110][111] | |||
| Jan 1, 2009 | Channel 2 | Panels | 27 | 14 | 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | [112][113] | |||
| Jan 1, 2009 | Globes | Geocartography | 22 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | [114][115][116] | |||
| Jan 1, 2009 | Haaretz | Dialog | 27 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 11 | 4[117] | 4[117] | 2[117] | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | [5][20][116][118][119][120] | |
| Dec 30, 2008 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 25 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | [34][56][78] | |||
| Dec 29, 2008 | Channel 2 | Panels | 29 | 14 | 8 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | [121][122] | |||
| Dec 28, 2008 | Haaretz/Channel 10 | Dialog[123] | 28 | 16 | 10 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | [20][34][56][78][124][125] | ||
| Dec 26, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 30 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | [126][127][128] | ||||
| Dec 25, 2008 | Channel 2 | Panels | 27 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | Hatikva 3 | [129][130] | |
| Dec 25, 2008 | Haaretz | Dialog | 26 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | [5][128][131][132] | ||
| Dec 25, 2008 | Yedioth Ahronoth | Dahaf | 26 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | [128][133] | ||||
| Dec 24, 2008 | Channel 1 | Midgam Research | 25 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | [128] | ||||
| Dec 24, 2008 | Channel 2 | Maagar Mochot | 25 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 | [20] | ||
| Dec 24, 2008 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Shvakim Panorama | 23 | 14 | 12 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | [91][128][134][135] | ||||
| Dec 24, 2008 | Radius Radio 100FM | Geocartography | 23 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | [128][136] | ||||
| Dec 23, 2008 | Channel 1 | Geocartography | 26 | 9-10 | 8-9 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0-2 | [137][138][139] | ||
| Dec 23, 2008 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 25 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | [34][56][78][128][140] | ||||
| Dec 22, 2008 | Channel 2 | Panels | 29 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | Hatikva 3 | [141][142] | |||
| Dec 19, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 30 | 12 | 9 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | [5][20][143][144][145] | ||
| Dec 18, 2008 | Channel 2 | Panels | 30 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | [146][147] | ||||
| Dec 16, 2008 | Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" | Maagar Mochot | 25 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 | [148][149] | ||||
| Dec 15, 2008 | Channel 2 | Panels | 27 | 13 | 11 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | [150][151] | ||||
| Dec 11, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 28 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | [5][145][152][153][154] | ||||
| Dec 10, 2008 | Haaretz | Dialog | 27 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3[155] | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | [5][20][154][156][157][158] | ||
| Dec 10, 2008 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Shvakim Panorama | 20-21 | 14-15 | 12 | 34-35 | 11 | 9-10 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | [154][159][160][161] | ||||
| Dec 10, 2008 | Yedioth Ahronoth | Dahaf | 24 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | [5][154][162] | ||||
| Dec 4, 2008 | Knesset Channel | Panels | 27 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | [163] | ||||
| Dec 1, 2008 | Channel 2 | Panels | 25 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | [164][165] | ||||
| Dec 1, 2008 | Israel Hayom | Gal Hadash (New Wave) | 26 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | [5][166][167] | ||||
| Nov 27, 2008 | Knesset Channel | Panels | 26 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | [168] | ||||
| Nov 25, 2008 | Channel 1 | Geocartography | 25 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | [5][139][169][170][171] | ||||
| Nov 20, 2008 | Haaretz | Dialog | 28 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | [5][158][172][173][174][175] | ||
| Nov 20, 2008 | Yedioth Ahronoth | Dahaf | 26 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | [5][174][175][176][177] | ||||
| Nov 19, 2008 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Maagar Mochot | 23 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | [149][174][175][178][179] | ||||
| Nov 13, 2008 | Israel Hayom | Gal Hadash (New Wave) | 28 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | [180][181][182] | ||||
| Oct 31, 2008 | The Jerusalem Post | Smith | 27 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | [5][183][184] | ||||
| Oct 30, 2008 | Haaretz | Dialog | 31 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | [5][183][185][186] | ||
| Oct 30, 2008 | Israel Hayom | Gal Hadash (New Wave) | 30 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | [182][183][187] | ||||
| Oct 29, 2008 | Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) | Shvakim Panorama | 22-23 | 16-17 | 11-12 | 25-26 | 10-11 | 9-10 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 2-3 | [161][183][188][189][190] | ||||
| Oct 28, 2008 | Channel 1 | Geocartography | 32 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 9 | 10 | [5] | |||||||||
| Oct 27, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 31 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | [5][191][192] | ||||
| Oct 27, 2008 | Yedioth Ahronoth[193] | Dahaf | 29 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | [5][20][191][194][195][196] | ||
| Sep 11, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 25 | 14 | 9 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | Social Justice 2 | [197] | |||
| Aug 29, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 23 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | Social Justice 4 | [197] | |||
| Aug 1, 2008 | Haaretz | Dialog | 26 | 14 | 11 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | Social Justice 2 | [5][198] | |||
| Aug 1, 2008 | Maariv | TNS Teleseker | 20 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | Social Justice 5 | [5][197][198] | |||
| Aug 1, 2008 | Yedioth Ahronoth | Dahaf | 29 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | Social Justice 2 | [5][198] | |||
| Mar 28, 2006 | Current Composition | 29 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | |||
| Date | Media | Pollster | Kadima | Labor | Shas | Likud | Yisrael Beiteinu | UAL -Ta'al |
Hadash | Balad | Jewish Home | National Union | Gil | UTJ | Meretz | Greens | Other | Sources |