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Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election

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Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 5 May 2005 to the election on 6 May 2010.

Graphical summaries

Immediately following the previous general election, the Labour Party held a double-digit lead in opinion polls. However, in the latter part of 2005, this lead was eroded somewhat. By December, the Conservative Party showed its first small leads in opinion polls following the controversial 90 days detention proposals and the election of David Cameron as Conservative leader.[1]

In early 2006, opinion polls were increasingly mixed with small leads given alternately to Labour and Conservative. From the 2006 local elections in May, in which Labour suffered significant losses, the Conservatives took a small single-digit lead in opinion polls. This was the first consistent lead of the opinion polls that the Conservatives had enjoyed for 14 years.

Labour regained the lead in June 2007, following the resignation of Tony Blair as prime minister after 10 years and the selection of Gordon Brown as his successor. Brown resisted calls from his party to hold a general election, despite opinion polls suggesting that Labour was capable of being re-elected at this stage.

The Conservatives took the lead once again in November 2007. This grew wider in spring 2008, particularly in response to the onset of the great recession along with the increased unemployment that resulted from it. After a brief narrowing between Labour and the Conservatives in late 2008, the latter's lead widened again following the emergence of the MPs' expenses scandal in 2009. Though Labour slightly recovered in the latter half of 2009, the Conservatives maintained their lead through to election day. In the campaign period, the Liberal Democrats enjoyed a significant and unprecedented surge following the first televised debate of the party leaders, in which their leader Nick Clegg was widely seen as the strongest performer.

Guide to tables

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.

National poll results

Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. As mentioned prior, most of the polling companies listed are members of the BPC; however, BPIX is not a BPC member and does not publish detailed methodology and findings.

2010

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD UKIP SNP Grn BNP Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election29.7%36.9%23.6% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0% 2.0%1.7%7.2
5 May Ipsos MORI[2] Evening Standard1,21629%36%27% 3% 2% 1% 1%2%7
4–5 May YouGov[3] The Sun6,48328%35%28% 3% 1% 1% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
7
4–5 May Harris Interactive[4] Daily Mail4,01429%35%27% 7%6
4–5 May Populus[5] The Times2,50528%37%27% 2% 2% 1% 2%2%9
4–5 May Angus Reid Public Opinion[6] PoliticalBetting.com2,28324%36%29% 4% 2% 1% 2%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
7
4–5 May Opinium[7] Daily Express1,38327%35%26% 12%8
4–5 May ComRes[8] ITV News/The Independent 1,02528%37%28% 3% 1% 1% 1%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on <1%
9
3–4 May ICM[9] The Guardian1,52728%36%26% 10%8
3–4 May YouGov[10] The Sun1,46130%35%24% 5% 2%[a] 2% 1%1%5
29 Apr – 4 May TNS-BMRB[11] N/A1,86427%33%29% 3% 2% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
4
28 Apr – 4 May Harris Interactive[12] The Metro78626%36%28% 10%8
2–3 May ComRes[13] ITV News/The Independent 1,02429%37%26% 8%8
2–3 May YouGov[14] The Sun1,45528%35%28% 3% 2%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
30 Apr – 3 May Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,87028%33%27% 12%5
1–2 May YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,47528%34%29% 9%5
1–2 May ComRes[15] ITV News/The Independent 1,02429%37%26% 8%8
30 Apr – 2 May ICM[16] The Guardian1,02628%33%28% 4% 3% 2% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
5
30 Apr – 1 May YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sunday Times1,48327%35%28% 10%7
30 Apr – 1 May ComRes[17] Sunday Mirror/The Independent 1,01928%38%25% 9%10
30 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,41228%34%28% 10%6
30 Apr ICM[18] The Sunday Telegraph1,01929%36%27% 3% 2% 1% 1%7
29–30 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[19] Sunday Express1,87423%35%29% 5% 1% 1% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
6
28–29 Apr YouGov[20] The Sun1,62327%34%28% 4% 2%[a] 1% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
27–28 Apr YouGov[21] The Sun1,53027%34%31% 3% 2%[a] 1% 1%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
3
26–27 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,59829%33%28% 10%4
26–27 Apr ComRes[22] ITV News/The Independent 1,00629%36%26% 9%7
26–27 Apr Populus[23] The Times1,51027%36%28% 3% 2% 2% 1%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on <1%
8
21–27 Apr TNS-BMRB[24] N/A2,07827%34%30% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
4
25–26 Apr YouGov[25] The Sun1,49128%33%29% 3% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
25–26 Apr ComRes[26] ITV News/The Independent 1,00529%33%29% 3% 1% 2% 1%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on 1%
4
23–26 Apr Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,94225%34%28% 13%6
23–26 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[27] The Economist2,43323%33%30% 5% 1% 2% 2%
4%
PC on 1%
Other on 3%
3
20–26 Apr Harris Interactive[28] The Metro1,67825%32%30% 13%2
24–25 Apr YouGov[29] The Sun1,46628%34%30% 3% 2%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
24–25 Apr ComRes[30] ITV News/The Independent 1,00328%32%31% 9% 1
23–25 Apr ICM[31] The Guardian1,03128%33%30% 2% 3% 1% 2%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on 1%
3
23–24 Apr YouGov[32] The Sunday Times1,41227%35%28% 4% 2%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
23–24 Apr ComRes[33] Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday 1,00628%34%29% 3% 2% 1% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
5
23 Apr ICM[permanent dead link] The Sunday Telegraph1,02026%35%31% 8%4
23 Apr Ipsos MORI[34] News of the World1,24530%36%23% 11%6
22–23 Apr YouGov[35] The Sun1,38129%34%29% 3% 2%[a] 1% 1%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
21–22 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,57629%34%28% 9%5
20–21 Apr YouGov[36] The Sun1,54527%33%31% 3% 2%[a] 1% 2%9%2
19–20 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,59526%31%34% 9%3
19–20 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[37] PoliticalBetting.com1,95323%32%33% 4% 2% 2% 3%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on 0%
1
19–20 Apr ComRes[38] ITV News/The Independent 1,01525%35%27% 2% 3% 1% 2%
5%
PC on <1%
Other on 5%
8
19–20 Apr Populus[permanent dead link] The Times1,50128%32%31% 9%1
18–20 Apr Ipsos MORI[39] Evening Standard1,25328% 32% 32% 8%Tie
14–20 Apr TNS-BMRB[40] N/A1,95329%34%30% 2% 2% 1% 1%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on <1%
4
18–19 Apr ComRes[41] ITV News/The Independent 1,01226%35%26% 1% 2% 1% 2%
7%
PC on <1%
Other on 7%
9
18–19 Apr YouGov[42] The Sun1,50927%33%31% 2% 2%[a] 1% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
2
16–19 Apr Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,95726%32%29% 13%3
16–19 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[43] PoliticalBetting.com2,00424%32% 32% 4% 2% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
14–19 Apr Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro1,79226%31%30% 13%1
17–18 Apr ComRes[44] ITV News/The Independent 1,00328%32%28% 1% 1% 1% 1%
8%
PC on <1%
Other on 8%
4
17–18 Apr YouGov[45] The Sun1,43326%32%33% 3% 2%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
1
16–18 Apr ICM[46] The Guardian1,02428%33%30% 2% 2% 1% 1%
3%
PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
16–17 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sunday Times1,49030%33%29% 8%3
16–17 Apr ComRes[47] Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday 1,00627%31%29% 1% 1% <1% 1%
9%
PC on 1%
Other on 8%
2
15–16 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,29028%33%30% 9%3
15 Apr The first ever televised Prime Ministerial debate is held
15 Apr ComRes[48] ITV News4,03228%35%24% 13% 7
14–15 Apr ICM[49] The Sunday Telegraph1,03329%34%27% 3% 2% 2% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
5
14–15 Apr YouGov[50] The Sun1,49031%37%22% 4% 2%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
13–14 Apr YouGov[51] The Sun1,57832%41%18% 4% 2%[a] 1% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
9
12–13 Apr ComRes[52] ITV News/The Independent 1,00129%35%21% 2% 1% 2% 1%
8%
PC on <1%
Other on 8%
6
12–13 Apr YouGov[53] The Sun1,58331%39%20% 4% 2%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
8
8–13 Apr Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro1,52327%36%23% 14%9
7–13 Apr TNS-BMRB[permanent dead link] N/A1,91633%36%22% 9%3
12 Apr Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
12 Apr Populus[54] The Times1,52533%36%21% 3% 1% 2% 3%
1%

PC on <1%
Other on 1%
3
11–12 Apr ComRes[55] ITV News/The Independent 1,00231%36%19% 14%5
11–12 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[56] PoliticalBetting.com2,00628%38%22% 5% 2% 2% 3%
2%

PC on 1%
Other on 1%
10
11–12 Apr YouGov[57] The Sun1,49333%39%20% 2% 3%[a] 1% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
6
9–12 Apr Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,82531%39%17% 13%8
10–11 Apr ComRes[58] ITV News/The Independent 1,00430%37%20% 13%7
10–11 Apr YouGov[59] The Sun1,45531%37%20% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
9–11 Apr ICM[60] The Guardian1,02431%37%20% 3% 3% 2% 2%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
6
9–10 Apr YouGov[61] The Sunday Times1,43132%40%18% 4% 2%[a] 1% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
8
9–10 Apr ComRes[62] Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday 1,00132%39%16% 2% 3% 1%7%7
8–9 Apr YouGov[permanent dead link] The Sun1,52730%40%20% 10%10
7–8 Apr Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] Daily Mail1,01227%37%22% 14%10
7–8 Apr YouGov[63] The Sun1,62631%40%18% 4% 3%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
7 Apr ICM[permanent dead link] The Sunday Telegraph1,03230%38%21% 10%8
6–7 Apr YouGov[64] The Sun1,48432%37%19% 3% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
6–7 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[65] PoliticalBetting.com2,19326%37%22% 5% 2% 2% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
11
6 Apr Populus[66] The Times1,50732%39%21% 3% 2% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
7
5–6 Apr YouGov[67] The Sun1,45632%40%17% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
8
31 Mar – 6 Apr Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro2,08028%37%20% 15%9
4–5 Apr YouGov[68] The Sun1,62031%41%18% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
10
2–5 Apr Opinium[69] Daily Express1,90329%39%17% 6% 2% 3% 2%
1%
PC on 0%
Other on 1%
10
1–3 Apr ICM[70] The Guardian1,00133%37%21% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
4
1–2 Apr YouGov[71] The Sunday Times1,50329%39%20% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
10
31 Mar – 1 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion[72] Sunday Express1,99127%38%20% 5% 3% 4% 3% 11
31 Mar – 1 Apr YouGov[73] The Sun1,55231%39%19% 5% 2%[a] 2% 1%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
8
30–31 Mar ICM[74] The Guardian1,00329%38%23% 3% 3% 1% 1%
1%
PC on <0%
Other on 1%
9
30–31 Mar YouGov[75] The Sun1,61532%38%19% 4% 2%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
30–31 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion[76] PoliticalBetting.com2,01328%37%22% 5% 2% 2% 3%
1%
PC on 0%
Other on 1%
9
29–30 Mar YouGov[77] The Sun1,68131%38%19% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
24–30 Mar TNS-BMRB[78] N/A1,81933%38%19% 10%5
28–29 Mar YouGov[79] The Sun1,61432%39%18% 4% 2%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
26–29 Mar Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,78028%38%18% 16%10
23–29 Mar Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro1,13327%37%19% 17%10
26–28 Mar ComRes[80] The Independent1,00130%37%20% 3% 2% 4% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
7
25–26 Mar YouGov[81] The Sunday Times1,53332%37%19% 4% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
24–25 Mar ICM[82] News of the World1,00331%39%19% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
8
24–25 Mar YouGov[83] The Sun1,48333%37%18% 3% 3%[a] 1% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
23–24 Mar YouGov[84] The Sun1,55434%36%17% 5% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
2
22–23 Mar YouGov[85] The Sun1,75633%37%18% 4% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
21–22 Mar YouGov[86] The Sun1,56032%36%20% 3% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
19–22 Mar Ipsos MORI Daily Mirror1,50330%35%21% 6% 2%[a] 3% 2% 1% 5
19–22 Mar Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,97530%37%15% 18% 7
17–22 Mar Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro2,11728%35%17% 20% 7
18–19 Mar YouGov[87] The Sunday Times1,54731%38%19% 5% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
17–18 Mar ICM[88] News of the World1,00232%38%19% 2% 2% 2% 1%
3%
PC on 2%
Other on 1%
6
17–18 Mar YouGov[89] The Sun1,67132%36%20% 4% 3%[a] 1% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
16–17 Mar YouGov[90] The Sun1,67632%36%20% 3% 2%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
15–16 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion[91] PoliticalBetting.com2,00326%39%21% 5% 2% 2% 4%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
13
15–16 Mar YouGov[92] The Sun1,46032%37%19% 3% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
10–16 Mar Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro1,93428%36%18% 18% 8
14–15 Mar YouGov[93] The Sun1,46632%37%21% 3% 2%[a] 2% 3%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
5
12–15 Mar Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,95128%39%16% 17% 11
12–14 Mar ICM[94] The Guardian1,00231%40%20% 2% 2% 2% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
9
11–12 Mar YouGov[95] The Sunday Times1,50733%37%17% 5% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
10–11 Mar ICM[96] The Sunday Telegraph1,00731%38%21% 2% 3% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
7
10–11 Mar YouGov[97] The Sun1,43434%37%17% 5% 2%[a] 2% 3%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
3
9–10 Mar YouGov[98] The Sun1,47332%37%17% 4% 3%[a] 2% 4%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
9–10 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion[99] PoliticalBetting.com2,00326%39%18% 6% 3% 3% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
13
8–9 Mar YouGov[100] The Sun1,52432%36%20% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
7–8 Mar YouGov[101] The Sun1,74734%39%16% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
5–8 Mar Opinium[permanent dead link] Daily Express1,96030%37%16% 16% 7
3–8 Mar Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro1,49829%37%18% 16% 8
4–5 Mar YouGov[102] The Sunday Times1,55833%38%17% 3% 4%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
3–4 Mar ICM[103] News of the World1,00531%40%18% 3% 2% 3% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
9
3–4 Mar YouGov[104] The Sun1,64032%38%17% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
2–3 Mar YouGov[105] The Sun1,66132%38%19% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
25 Feb – 3 Mar TNS-BMRB[106] N/A1,97331%39%19% 2% 3% 3% 3%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
8
1–2 Mar YouGov[107] The Sun1,47933%38%16% 4% 3%[a] 3% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
28 Feb – 1 Mar YouGov[108] The Sun1,50532%39%17% 4% 2%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
26–28 Feb ComRes[109] The Independent1,00532%37%19% 2% 3% 3% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
5
25–26 Feb YouGov[110] The Sunday Times1,43635%37%17% 4% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
2
24–25 Feb YouGov[111] The Sun1,47233%39%16% 5% 2%[a] 3% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
23–24 Feb YouGov[112] The Sun1,47332%38%19% 3% 3%[a] 1% 2% 10% 6
18–24 Feb TNS-BMRB[113] N/A1,95432%36%21% 12% 4
22–23 Feb YouGov[114] The Sun1,46932%38%17% 4% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
21–22 Feb YouGov[115] The Sun1,57833%39%17% 3% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
19–22 Feb Ipsos MORI[116] The Daily Telegraph1,53332%37%19% 2% 3%[a] 2% 2% 1% 5
16–22 Feb Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro91830%39%22% 9% 9
19–21 Feb ICM[117] The Guardian1,00430%37%20% 3% 4% 3% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
7
18–19 Feb YouGov[118] The Sunday Times1,47233%39%17% 4% 2%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
16–19 Feb Angus Reid Public Opinion[119] PoliticalBetting.com4,00426%38%19% 6% 2% 3% 4%
2%
PC 1%
Other 1%
12
17–18 Feb YouGov[120] The Sun1,55832%39%18% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
7
17–18 Feb ComRes[121] Theos1,08530%38%20% 2% 3% 3% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
8
16–17 Feb Angus Reid Public Opinion[122] PoliticalBetting.com2,00226%40%18% 6% 2% 2% 4%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
14
16–17 Feb YouGov[123] The Sun2,14530%39%18% 5% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
10–11 Feb ComRes[124] The Independent1,00929%40%21% 2% 3% 3% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
11
9–10 Feb Angus Reid Public Opinion[125] PoliticalBetting.com2,00225%38%20% 6% 2% 3% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
13
5–7 Feb Populus[126] The Times1,50230%40%20% 2% 2% 4% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
10
3–4 Feb ICM[127] The Sunday Telegraph1,00130%39%20% 1% 3% 2% 3%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on 1%
9
29–31 Jan ComRes[128] The Independent1,00131%38%19% 4% 2% 3% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
7
29–30 Jan BPIX[129][b] Mail on Sunday1,52430%39%18% 13% 9
28–29 Jan YouGov[130] The Daily Telegraph2,05431%38%19% 3% 3%[a] 3% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
26–28 Jan YouGov[131] The People2,04431%40%18% 3% 4%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
26–28 Jan Ipsos MORI[132] Daily Mirror1,00132%40%16% 12% 8
26–27 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion[133] PoliticalBetting.com2,00424%40%19% 5% 2% 3% 4%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
16
22–24 Jan ICM[134] The Guardian1,00029%40%21% 2% 3% 3% 1%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
11
20–21 Jan ComRes[135] Sunday Mirror1,00429%38%19% 14% 9
14–15 Jan YouGov[136] The Sunday Times2,03331%40%18% 3% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
13–14 Jan ComRes[137] The Independent on Sunday1,00529%42%19% 10% 13
9–10 Jan Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link] PoliticalBetting.com2,01024%40%20% 17% 16
8–10 Jan Populus[138] The Times1,50928%41%19% 12%13
6–10 Jan ICM[139] The Sunday Telegraph1,00330%40%18% 3% 3% 3% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
10
6–7 Jan YouGov[140] The Sun2,83230%42%16% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
12
5–6 Jan YouGov[141] The Sun4,16731%40%17% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
Close

2009

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD UKIP SNP Grn BNP Others Lead
29–30 Dec YouGov[142] The Daily Telegraph1,84830%40%17% 3% 2%[a] 3% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
10
19–20 Dec ComRes[143] The Independent1,00629%38%19% 4% 3% 3% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
9
16–18 Dec Angus Reid Strategies[144] PoliticalBetting.com2,01024%40%20% 6% 1% 3% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
16
15–17 Dec YouGov[145] The People2,05228%40%18% 5% 2%[a] 3% 4%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
12
11–13 Dec ICM[146] The Guardian1,00931%40%18% 3% 2% 2% 3%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
9
11–13 Dec Ipsos MORI[147] The Observer1,01726%43%20% 4% 2% 3% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
17
10–11 Dec YouGov[148] The Sunday Times2,04431%40%16% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
9–10 Dec ComRes[149][dead link] The Independent on Sunday1,00124%41%21% 14% 17
8–10 Dec Angus Reid Strategies[150] PoliticalBetting.com2,00223%40%19% 7% 3% 3% 4%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
17
4–6 Dec Populus[151] The Times1,50530%38%20% 4% 3% 3% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on <1%
8
3–4 Dec YouGov[152] The Sunday Times2,09527%40%18% 5% 3%[a] 3% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
13
2–3 Dec ICM[153] The Sunday Telegraph1,00129%40%19% 3% 3% 3% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
11
27–29 Nov ComRes[154] The Independent1,00327%37%20% 6% 3% 4% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
10
24–26 Nov YouGov[155] The Daily Telegraph2,00429%39%19% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
10
20–23 Nov Angus Reid Strategies[156] PoliticalBetting.com2,00422%39%21% 6% 2% 3% 5%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
17
13–15 Nov Ipsos MORI[157] The Observer1,00631%37%17% 3% 2% 3% 2%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
6
13–15 Nov ICM[158] The Guardian1,01029%42%19% 2% 4% 2%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
13
12–13 Nov YouGov[159] The Sunday Times2,02627%41%18% 4% 3%[a] 3% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
14
12 Nov Glasgow North East by-election (Lab gain from Spk)[c]
11–12 Nov ComRes[160] The Independent on Sunday1,00725%39%17% 19% 14
6–8 Nov Populus[161] The Times1,50429%39%18% 4% 2% 4% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
10
4–6 Nov Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link] PoliticalBetting.com2,00024%38%20% 17% 14
4–5 Nov YouGov[162] Channel 4 News1,02127%41%17% 16% 14
28–29 Oct ICM[163] The Sunday Telegraph1,00725%42%21% 2% 3% 4% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
17
27–29 Oct YouGov[164] The Daily Telegraph2,02428%41%16% 4% 3%[a] 3% 4%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
13
23–25 Oct ComRes[165] The Independent1,00427%40%18% 15% 13
22–23 Oct YouGov[166] The Daily Telegraph1,31427%40%19% 4% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
13
16–18 Oct ICM[167] The Guardian1,00227%44%18% 3% 2% 2%
5%
PC on 1%
Other on 4%
17
16–18 Oct Ipsos MORI[168] N/A99626%43%19% 2% 3% 2% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
17
15–16 Oct Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link] PoliticalBetting.com2,07723%40%20% 15% 17
15–16 Oct YouGov[169] The Sunday Times2,02530%41%17% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
11
14–15 Oct ComRes[170] The Independent on Sunday1,00828%40%19% 2% 1% 5% 1%
3%
PC on 2%
Other on 1%
12
9–11 Oct Populus[171] The Times1,50930%40%18% 2% 2% 4% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
10
8–9 Oct YouGov[172] The Sun2,16128%42%18% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
0%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 0%
14
8–9 Oct YouGov[173] Sky News1,06427%44%17% 12% 17
7–9 Oct ICM[174] News of the World1,00826%45%18% 3% 2% 2%
2%
PC on <1%
Other on 3%
19
7–8 Oct YouGov[175] Sky News1,07431%40%18% 11% 9
6–7 Oct YouGov[176] Sky News1,03929%43%17% 11% 14
5–6 Oct YouGov[177] Sky News1,22328%41%18% 13% 13
4–5 Oct YouGov[178] Sky News1,10227%40%20% 13% 13
3 Oct YouGov The People2,02728%40%18% 14% 12
1–2 Oct YouGov[179] Sky News1,05329%41%17% 13% 12
30 Sep – 1 Oct ComRes[180] The Independent on Sunday1,02228%40%19% 13% 12
30 Sep – 1 Oct YouGov[181] Sky News1,08526%40%20% 15% 14
29–30 Sep YouGov[182] Sky News1,07830%37%21% 12% 7
28–29 Sep YouGov[183] Sky News1,02429%40%18% 13% 11
27–28 Sep YouGov[184] Sky News1,05129%39%20% 4% 3%[a] 2% 2%
2%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 2%
10
25–27 Sep Ipsos MORI[185] N/A1,00324%36%25% 4% 3%[a] 3% 1%4% 11
25–27 Sep ComRes[186] The Independent1,00323%38%23% 16% 15
24–25 Sep YouGov[187] Sky News1,05924%40%21% 14% 16
23–24 Sep YouGov[188] Sky News1,05725%38%23% 14% 13
23–24 Sep ICM[189] News of the World1,00326%40%23% 2% 3% 3% 3%
<1%
PC on <1%
14
22–24 Sep YouGov[190] The Daily Telegraph2,02626%39%20% 4% 4%[a] 3% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
13
22–23 Sep YouGov[191] Sky News1,03628%38%19% 15% 10
21–22 Sep YouGov[192] Sky News1,06227%39%20% 13% 12
20–21 Sep YouGov[193] Sky News1,08130%39%17% 4% 3%[a] 4% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
18–20 Sep ICM[194] The Guardian1,00126%43%19% 4% 2% 3% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
17
11–13 Sep Populus[195] The Times1,50627%41%18% 2% 3% 4% 3%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
14
10–11 Sep YouGov[196] The Sunday Times2,00927%41%17% 15% 14
4–6 Sep ComRes[197] The Independent1,00524%40%21% 4% 2% 6% 2%
1%
PC on <1%
Other on 1%
16
4–6 Sep YouGov[198] The Daily Telegraph1,57327%40%18% 15% 13
27–28 Aug YouGov[199] The Sun1,99628%42%17% 5% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
14
25–27 Aug YouGov[200] The Daily Telegraph2,19926%42%18% 5% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
16
21–23 Aug Ipsos MORI[201] N/A1,01326%43%17% 4% 2% 4% 1%
2%
PC on <1%
Other on 2%
17
21–23 Aug ICM[202] The Guardian1,00425%41%19% 3% 5%[a] 3% 3%1% 16
19–20 Aug ComRes[203] The Independent on Sunday1,01324%41%18% 5% 3%[a] 4% 3%1% 17
13–14 Aug YouGov[204] The Sunday Times2,00728%42%18% 13% 14
12–13 Aug ICM[205] Sunday Mirror1,00526%43%19% 3% 3% 2% 1%
2%
PC on 2%
17
28–30 Jul YouGov[206] The Daily Telegraph2,33427%41%18% 6% 3%[a] 3% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
14
24–26 Jul ComRes[link removed] The Independent1,00824%42%18% 16% 18
23 Jul Norwich North by-election (Con gain from Lab)
21–23 Jul YouGov[207] The People2,21825%40%20% 5% 3%[a] 3% 4%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
15
17–19 Jul Ipsos MORI[208] N/A1,01224%40%18% 5% 2% 5% 3%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
16
17–19 Jul Populus[209] The Times1,50426%38%20% 5% 3% 5% 3%
1%
PC on 1%
12
16–17 Jul YouGov[210] The Sunday Times1,95625%42%18% 6% 3%[a] 4% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
17
15–16 Jul ComRes[link removed] The Independent on Sunday1,01023%38%22% 16% 15
10–11 Jul ICM The Guardian1,00027%41%20% 3% 2% 4% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
14
1–3 Jul YouGov Fabian Society2,00126%39%19% 6% 3%[a] 4% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
13
26–28 Jun ComRes The Independent1,00725%36%19% 6% 4% 7% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
11
24–26 Jun YouGov The People2,01724%40%17% 6% 3%[a] 3% 4%
2%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 2%
16
23–25 Jun YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,23325%38%18% 7% 3%[a] 4% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
13
19–21 Jun Ipsos MORI[211] N/A1,00421%38%19% 8% 3%[a] 5% 5%2% 17
17–18 Jun ComRes The Independent on Sunday1,01222%39%18% 21% 17
10–17 Jun Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] The Metro2,08120%35%16% 29% 15
12–14 Jun Ipsos MORI[212] UNISON1,25225%39%19% 6% 3%[a] 4% 2%2% 14
12–14 Jun ICM[213] The Guardian1,00627%39%18% 6% 3% 4% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
12
11–12 Jun YouGov The Sunday Times1,90224%40%18% 8% 4%[a] 4% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
16
9–10 Jun Populus The Times1,00124%36%19% 7% 2% 5% 2%
4%
PC on 2%
Other on 2%
12
5–7 Jun ComRes The Independent1,00122%38%20% 20% 16
4 Jun Local elections in England; European Parliament election
2–3 Jun YouGov The Daily Telegraph4,01421%37%19% 8% 4%[a] 5% 4%
3%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 3%
16
29–31 May ComRes The Independent1,00522%30%18% 7% 2% 8% 3%
10%
PC on 1%
Other on 9%
8
29–31 May Ipsos MORI[214] N/A1,00118%40%18% 7% 6% 4%7% 22
27–29 May YouGov The Daily Telegraph5,01622%39%18% 7% 3%[a] 4% 5%
2%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 2%
17
27–28 May ICM The Sunday Telegraph1,01322%40%25% 4% 2% 3%
4%
PC on 1%
Other on 3%
15
27–28 May Populus[215] The Times1,00121%41%15% 8% 3% 5% 4%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
20
19–20 May Populus[216] ITV News1,00027%39%17% 6% 4% 2% 4%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
12
15–17 May ICM[217] The Guardian1,00228%39%20% 5% 3% 3% 4%
<1%
PC on <1%
11
14–16 May YouGov[218] The Daily Telegraph2,23523%39%19% 6% 4%[a] 4% 4%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
16
13–14 May ComRes[219] The Independent on Sunday1,01021%40%18% 21% 19
13–14 May YouGov[220] The Sun1,81422%41%19% 6% 4%[a] 3% 4%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
19
8–10 May Populus[221] The Times1,50426%39%22% 3% 3% 2% 3%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
13
8–9 May BPIX[222] Mail on SundayUnknown[222]23%45%17% 15% 22
7–8 May YouGov[223] The Sunday Times2,20927%43%18% 3% 3%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
16
24–26 Apr ComRes[224] The Independent1,00326%45%17% <1% 3% 2% 2%
4%
PC on 1%
Other on 3%
19
23–24 Apr YouGov[225] Sunday People1,85527%45%17% 12% 18
22–23 Apr YouGov[226] The Daily Telegraph1,89627%45%18% 10% 18
17–19 Apr Ipsos MORI[227] N/A1,01128%41%22% 1% 3%[a] 2% 1%2% 13
17–19 Apr ICM[228] The Guardian1,00530%40%19% 2% 3% 3%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
10
15–16 Apr Marketing Sciences[229] The Sunday Telegraph1,00726%43%21% 10% 17
3–5 Apr Populus[230] The Times1,51230%43%18% 2% 3% 1% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
13
3–4 Apr YouGov[231] The Sunday Times2,12534%41%16% 10% 7
27–29 Mar ComRes[232] The Independent1,00228%40%18% 14% 12
25–26 Mar ICM[233] The Sunday Telegraph1,00331%44%18% 1% 3% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
13
24–26 Mar YouGov[234] The Daily Telegraph2,10431%41%17% 11% 10
18–19 Mar ComRes[235] The Independent on Sunday1,00230%41%17% 2% 3% 3% 1%
3%
PC on <1%
Other on 3%
11
13–15 Mar ICM[236] The Guardian1,00430%42%20% <1% 3% 3% 8% 12
13–15 Mar Ipsos MORI[237] N/A1,00732%42%14% 1% 4%[a] 3% 4% 10
12–13 Mar YouGov[238] The Sunday Times1,84031%41%17% 11% 10
6–8 Mar Populus[239] The Times1,50430%42%19% 1% 4% 3% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
12
27 Feb – 1 Mar ComRes[240] The Independent1,00628%44%17% 1% 3% 2% 2%
4%
PC on 1%
Other on 3%
16
24–26 Feb YouGov[241] The Daily Telegraph2,06331%41%15% 2% 4%[a] 2% 4%
2%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
10
20–22 Feb ICM[242] The Guardian1,00430%42%18% 2% 3% 1%
5%
PC on 2%
Other on 3%
12
13–15 Feb Ipsos MORI[243] N/A1,00128%48%17% 1% 2%[a] 1% 3% 20
12–13 Feb YouGov[244] The Sunday Times1,71132%44%14% 10% 12
11–12 Feb ComRes[245] The Independent on Sunday1,00225%41%22% 12% 16
6–8 Feb Populus[246] The Times1,50428%42%18% 2% 4% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
14
4–5 Feb ICM[247] The Sunday Telegraph1,01028%40%22% 1% 3% 2%
4%
PC on 2%
Other on 2%
12
27–29 Jan YouGov[248] The Daily Telegraph2,33832%43%16% 10% 11
23–25 Jan ICM[249] The Guardian1,00332%44%16% 1% 3% 2%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
12
21–22 Jan ComRes[250] The Independent1,01228%43%16% 13% 15
16–18 Jan Ipsos MORI[251] N/A1,00530%44%17% 1% 4%[a] 2% 2% 14
15–16 Jan YouGov[252] The Sunday Times2,07732%45%14% 9% 13
14–15 Jan ComRes[253] The Independent on Sunday1,00932%41%15% 12% 9
9–11 Jan Populus[254] The Times1,50033%43%15% 1% 3% 3% 2%
1%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
10
7–8 Jan YouGov[255] The Sun1,83534%41%15% 10% 7
Close

2008

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD UKIP SNP Grn BNP Others Lead
19–21 Dec ComRes[256] The Independent1,00034%39%16% 11%5
16–18 Dec YouGov[257] The Daily Telegraph2,24135%42%14% 1% 4%[a] 2% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
7
12–14 Dec Ipsos MORI[258] N/A1,00035%39%15% 11%4
12–14 Dec ICM[259] The Guardian1,00333%38%19% 1% 3% 3%
3%
PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
11–12 Dec YouGov[260] The Sunday Times2,09835%41%15% 2% 4%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
6
10–11 Dec ComRes[261] The Independent on Sunday1,00336%37%14% 12%1
10–11 Dec Ipsos MORI[262] N/A1,00736%41%11% 12%5
5–7 Dec Populus[263] The Times1,50535%39%17% 1% 3%[a] 1% 1%3%4
28–30 Nov ComRes[264] The Independent1,00536%37%17% 1% 3% 2% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
1
27–28 Nov Ipsos MORI[265] The Observer1,01732%43%15% 10%11
25–26 Nov ICM[266] The Guardian1,02730%45%18% 7%15
24–25 Nov YouGov[267] The Daily Telegraph1,55636%40%14% 2% 4%[a] 1% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
4
19–20 Nov ICM[268] Sunday Mirror1,01031%42%19% 1% 3% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
11
14–16 Nov Ipsos MORI[269] N/A1,00237%40%12% 11%3
13–14 Nov YouGov[270] The Sunday Times2,08036%41%14% 2% 3%[a] 1% 3%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
5
12–13 Nov ComRes[271] The Independent on Sunday1,01032%43%12% 13%11
7–9 Nov Populus[272] The Times1,50335%41%16% 1% 2% 2% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
6
5–6 Nov ICM[273] The Sunday Telegraph1,00530%43%18% 1% 3% 3%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
13
6 Nov Glenrothes by-election (Lab hold)
2 Nov BPIX[222] [citation needed] N/A?31%45%13% 11%14
27–29 Oct YouGov[274] The Daily Telegraph2,27133%42%15% 2% 4%[a] 1% 2%
1%
Rsp on 0%
Other on 1%
9
24–26 Oct ComRes[275] The Independent1,00131%39%16% 14%8
17–19 Oct Ipsos MORI[276] N/A1,00430%45%14% 11%15
17–19 Oct ICM[277] The Guardian1,00730%42%21% <1% 3% 1% 2%12
16–18 Oct BPIX[222] [citation needed] N/A2,04630%46%13% 11%16
15–17 Oct YouGov[278] The Daily Mirror2,02934%42%14% 10%8
15–16 Oct ComRes[citation needed] The Independent on Sunday1,00531%40%16% 14%9
9–10 Oct YouGov[279] The Sunday Times1,94133%43%14% 10%10
3–5 Oct Populus[280] The Times1,50330%45%15% 1% 4% 2% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
15
1–3 Oct YouGov[281] The Daily Telegraph2,04831%45%15% 9%14
26–28 Sep ComRes[282] The Independent1,01729%41%18% 12%12
24–26 Sep BPIX[222] N/A2,02031%43%17% 9%12
24–25 Sep ICM The Guardian1,01232%41%18% 9%9
23–24 Sep YouGov The Sun1,53631%41%16% 12%10
17–18 Sep ComRes The Independent on Sunday1,01027%39%21% 12%12
17–19 Sep YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,22724%44%20% 12%20
12–14 Sep Ipsos MORI N/A1,01724%52%12% 12%28
10–12 Sep YouGov The Sunday Times2,16127%46%16% 11%19
3–4 Sep ComRes[link removed] The Independent1,01325%44%17% 14%19
29–31 Aug Populus The Times1,50627%43%18% 12%16
26–27 Aug YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,26726%45%16% 13%19
20–21 Aug ComRes[link removed] The Independent1,01425%46%16% 13%21
15–17 Aug ICM The Guardian1,00229%44%19% 8%15
15–17 Aug Ipsos MORI N/A1,00524%48%16% 12%24
14–15 Aug YouGov The Sunday Times1,74525%45%18% 12%20
6–8 Aug YouGov News of the World2,03126%46%17% 11%20
31 Jul – 2 Aug BPIX[222] N/A1,33324%47%16% 13%23
30 Jul – 1 Aug ICM Sunday Express1,00129%45%16% 10%16
29–31 Jul YouGov The Daily Telegraph1,94925%47%16% 12%22
25–27 Jul Populus The Times1,00227%43%18% 12%16
23–25 Jul YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,12026%45%17% 12%19
23–24 Jul ComRes[link removed] The Independent1,02124%46%18% 12%22
24 Jul Glasgow East by-election (SNP gain from Lab)
18–20 Jul Ipsos MORI N/A1,01627%47%15% 11%20
18–20 Jul ICM[permanent dead link] The Guardian1,00728%43%19% 10%15
16–17 Jul ComRes The Independent on Sunday1,01624%45%16% 15%21
10–11 Jul YouGov The Sunday Times1,83225%47%16% 12%22
10 Jul Haltemprice and Howden by-election (Con hold)
4–6 Jul Populus The Times1,50728%41%19% 12%13
25–26 Jun ComRes The Independent1,00725%46%18% 11%21
23–25 Jun YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,16328%46%15% 11%18
26 Jun Henley by-election (Con hold)
20–22 Jun ICM The Guardian1,00025%45%20% 10%20
18–20 Jun BPIX[222] N/A2,38526%49%14% 11%23
13–15 Jun Ipsos MORI N/A1,01228%45%16% 11%17
11–12 Jun ComRes The Independent on Sunday1,01226%44%17% 13%18
12–13 Jun YouGov The Sunday Times1,76925%47%18% 10%22
6–8 Jun Populus The Times1,50825%45%20% 10%20
4–5 Jun ICM The Sunday Telegraph1,02326%42%21% 11%16
30 May – 1 Jun ComRes The Independent1,00630%44%16% 10%14
27–29 May YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,24123%47%18% 12%24
22 May Crewe and Nantwich by-election (Con gain from Lab)
16–18 May ICM The Guardian1,00827%41%22% 10%14
15–16 May YouGov The Sunday Times1,85425%45%18% 12%20
14–15 May ComRes[link removed] The Independent on Sunday1,00426%43%19% 12%17
7–8 May YouGov The Sun1,57123%49%17% 11%26
2–4 May Populus The Times1,50929%40%19% 11%11
1 May Local elections in England and Wales
25–27 Apr ComRes[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00526%40%20% 14%14
23–24 Apr ICM The Sunday Telegraph1,01029%39%20% 12%10
21–23 Apr YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,07326%44%17% 13%18
17–22 Apr Ipsos-MORI The Observer1,05931%40%19% 10%9
18–20 Apr ICM/The Guardian N/A1,00034%39%19% 8%5
16–17 Apr Populus Sunday Mirror1,00630%40%19% 11%10
10–11 Apr YouGov The Sunday Times1,75528%44%17% 11%16
8–10 Apr Populus The Times1,50233%39%17% 6%6
2–3 Apr ICM The Sunday Telegraph1,01032%43%18% 7%11
28–30 Mar ComRes The Independent1,00431%38%17% 14%7
25–27 Mar YouGov The Daily Telegraph1,92629%43%17% 11%14
13–18 Mar Ipsos MORI N/A1,98335%40%18% 7%5
14–16 Mar ICM The Guardian1,00329%42%21% 8%13
13–14 Mar YouGov The Sunday Times2,31127%43%16% 13%16
12–13 Mar ICM[permanent dead link] News of the World1,00231%40%20% 9%9
7–9 Mar Populus The Times1,50234%37%19% 10%3
25–27 Feb YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,01133%40%16% 11%7
21–26 Feb Ipsos MORI N/A2,06337%39%16% 8%2
22–24 Feb ComRes The Independent1,01030%41%17% 12%11
18–20 Feb YouGov/The Economist The Economist2,11834%40%16% 11%6
15–17 Feb ICM[permanent dead link] The Guardian1,00334%37%21% 8%3
14–15 Feb YouGov The Sunday Times2,46932%41%16% 11%9
1–3 Feb Populus The Times1,50431%40%17% 12%9
30–31 Jan ICM[permanent dead link] The Sunday Telegraph1,01232%37%21% 10%5
25–27 Jan ComRes The Independent1,00330%38%17% 15%8
21–23 Jan YouGov The Daily Telegraph1,99233%41%16% 10%8
17–22 Jan Ipsos MORI N/A2,04538%37%16% 9%1
18–20 Jan ICM The Guardian1,00935%37%20% 8%2
10–11 Jan YouGov The Sunday Times2,13933%43%14% 11%10
9–10 Jan ICM[permanent dead link] The Sunday Telegraph1,01133%40%18% 9%7
9–10 Jan Ipsos MORI The Sun1,00632%42%15% 11%10
4–6 Jan Populus The Times1,50933%37%19% 11%4
Close

2007

More information Date(s) Conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
Conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD Others Lead
18–19 Dec ICM[permanent dead link] The Guardian1,03434%39%18%9%5
17–19 Dec YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,06031%43%16%11%12
18 Dec Nick Clegg is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
14–16 Dec ComRes[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00430%41%16%12%11
13–14 Dec YouGov The Sunday Times1,48132%45%14%10%13
7–9 Dec Populus The Times1,50632%40%16%11%8
29 Nov – 7 Dec Ipsos MORI N/A1,85935%42%14%9%7
28–29 Nov ICM[permanent dead link] News of the World1,01130%41%19%10%11
26–29 Nov YouGov The Daily Telegraph4,00432%43%14%11%11
23–27 Nov Ipsos MORI N/A1,93332%41%17%10%9
23–25 Nov ComRes[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00927%41%18%15%13
21–22 Nov ICM[permanent dead link] The Guardian1,00531%37%21%10%6
21–22 Nov YouGov Channel 4 News1,60032%41%14%13%9
14–16 Nov YouGov The Sunday Times1,98335%41%13%11%6
8–10 Nov ICM[permanent dead link] Sunday Express1,00135%43%15%7%8
2–4 Nov Populus The Times1,50337%36%16%11%1
31 Oct – 1 Nov Ipsos MORI The Sun1,01335%40%13%12%5
26–28 Oct ICM[permanent dead link] The Guardian1,01135%40%18%7%5
26–28 Oct ComRes[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00233%42%15%10%8
22–24 Oct YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,10538%41%11%10%3
18–23 Oct Ipsos MORI The Observer1,98741%40%13%6%1
15 Oct Menzies Campbell resigns as leader of the Liberal Democrats
10–11 Oct ICM[permanent dead link] The Sunday Telegraph1,01036%43%14%8%7
10 Oct Ipsos MORI The Sun1,00738%41%11%10%3
5–6 Oct YouGov The Sunday Times1,75738%41%11%10%3
5–7 Oct Populus The Times1,00840%38%12%10%2
3–4 Oct YouGov Channel 4 News1,74140%36%13%11%4
3–4 Oct ICM The Guardian 38% 38% 16%8%Tie
2–3 Oct Populus The Times1,00039%36%15%10%3
26–28 Sep YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,16543%32%15%10%11
27–28 Sep Ipsos MORI The Observer1,00041%34%16%9%7
26–27 Sep Populus The Times1,00241%31%17%10%10
20–26 Sep Ipsos MORI N/A1,96444%31%15%10%13
24–25 Sep YouGov Channel 4 News1,34144%33%13%11%11
20–22 Sep Ipsos MORI The Sun1,00942%34%14%10%8
19–21 Sep YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,08539%33%16%12%6
19–20 Sep ICM Sunday Mirror1,02939%33%19%9%6
13–16 Sep ICM The Guardian1,00540%32%20%8%8
13–14 Sep YouGov The Sunday Times1,94239%34%15%12%5
11–12 Sep ComRes[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00537%34%15%14%3
31 Aug – 2 Sep Populus The Times1,50637%36%18%9%1
29–31 Aug YouGov GMTV2,15438%35%15%12%3
29–30 Aug ComRes[permanent dead link] The Independent1,01635%36%14%14%1
23–29 Aug Ipsos MORI The Sun1,94141%36%16%7%5
25–28 Aug Populus Conservative Party53037%36%16%10%1
24–28 Aug YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,26641%33%14%12%8
22–23 Aug ICM The Guardian1,01639%34%18%9%5
9–10 Aug YouGov The Sunday Times1,96642%32%14%12%10
8–10 Aug ICM Sunday Mirror1,00739%33%18%10%6
8–9 Aug Ipsos MORI The Sun53138%33%15%14%5
27–29 Jul Populus The Times1,51139%33%15%13%6
27–29 Jul Communicate[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00637%34%16%14%3
23–25 Jul YouGov The Daily Telegraph1,87741%32%16%11%9
20–22 Jul ICM The Guardian1,00538%32%20%10%6
19–20 Jul YouGov The Sunday Times1,66440%33%15%12%7
19 Jul Ealing Southall by-election and Sedgefield by-election (both Lab holds)
12–17 Jul Ipsos MORI The Observer1,91941%35%15%9%6
4–5 Jul ICM Sunday Mirror1,00637%35%17%10%2
1 Jul Populus The Times1,50437%34%18%11%3
28–29 Jun YouGov The Daily Telegraph1,88638%35%15%12%3
27–28 Jun ICM The Guardian1,00539%35%18%8%4
24–27 Jun Gordon Brown is elected leader of the Labour Party and subsequently becomes Prime Minister
22–24 Jun Communicate[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00532%37%18%13%5
14–20 Jun Ipsos MORI The Observer1,97039%36%15%10%3
14–15 Jun YouGov The Sunday Times1,75335%37%14%14%2
1–3 Jun Populus N/A1,50333%36%17%14%3
30–31 May ICM The Sunday Telegraph1,01432%37%21%10%5
25–28 May Communicate[permanent dead link] The Independent1,00331%35%19%15%4
21–23 May YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,05033%39%15%13%6
18–20 May ICM The Guardian1,00332%34%21%12%2
11–13 May Populus The Times1,50433%37%17%13%4
10–11 May YouGov The Sunday Times1,96234%38%15%14%4
10 May Tony Blair announces his pending resignation as leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister
3 May Local elections in England and Scotland; Scottish Parliament election; National Assembly for Wales election
23–25 Apr YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,01932%37%18%14%5
19–25 Apr Ipsos MORI The Observer1,16331%38%20%11%7
20–22 Apr ICM The Guardian1,00530%37%21%12%7
13–15 Apr Populus The Times1,50329%37%20%14%8
4–5 Apr YouGov The Sunday Times2,21831%39%16%14%8
26–28 Mar YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,04232%39%17%13%7
23–25 Mar Communicate[permanent dead link] N/A1,00231%35%20%14%4
21–22 Mar YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,75231%39%16%14%8
16–18 Mar ICM The Guardian1,01131%41%18%10%10
15–16 Mar YouGov The Sunday Times1,89732%38%16%14%6
9–15 Mar Ipsos MORI N/A1,98333%41%17%9%8
2–4 Mar Populus The Times1,50930%38%18%14%8
23–25 Feb Communicate[permanent dead link] N/A1,00129%40%17%14%11
19–21 Feb YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,29232%37%17%14%5
16–18 Feb ICM The Guardian1,00031%40%19%10%9
8–9 Feb YouGov The Sunday Times2,01932%37%18%14%5
2–4 Feb Populus The Times1,50933%36%19%12%3
19–29 Jan Ipsos MORI N/A94935%39%19%7%4
26–28 Jan Communicate[permanent dead link] N/A1,00829%34%21%16%5
22–24 Jan YouGov The Daily Telegraph2,24531%38%18%13%7
19–21 Jan ICM The Guardian1,00431%37%23%9%6
5–7 Jan Populus The Times1,50732%39%18%11%7
Close

2006

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD UKIP SNP Grn BNP Others Lead
20–22 DecYouGov[283] The Sunday Times1,91832%37%15% 15%5
18–20 DecYouGov[284] The Daily Telegraph1,87433%37%17% 3% 4%[a] 1% 4%
1%
Rsp: 0%
Ver: 0%
Other: 1%
4
19–20 DecComRes[285] The Independent1,00937%36%14% 14%1
15–17 DecICM[286] The Guardian1,00632%40%18% 1% 2% 3% 2% 8
7–12 DecIpsos MORI[287] N/A1,93836%37%18% 9%1
8–10 DecPopulus[288] The Times1,51333%34%19% 2% 3% 4% 2%
4%
PC: 1%
NL: <1%
Rsp: <1%
SA: <1%
Other: 3%
1
28–30 NovYouGov[289] The Daily Telegraph1,97932%37%16% 3% 4%[a] 3% 3%
2%
Rsp: 1%
Ver: 0%
Other: 1%
5
29–30 NovICM[290] News of the World1,00631%39%20% 1% 3% 2%
4%
PC: 1%
Other: 3%
8
24–26 NovComRes[285] The Independent1,00436%34%17% 12%2
17–19 NovICM[291] The Guardian1,00032%37%22% 1% 3% 2%
3%
PC: <1%
Other: 3%
5
9–14 NovIpsos MORI[229] The Observer1,11533%35%20% 12%2
3–5 NovPopulus[292] The Times1,51033%36%20% 1% 2% 3% 2%
3%
PC: 1%
NL: <1%
Rsp: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: 0%
Other: 2%
3
24–26 OctYouGov[293] The Daily Telegraph1,72232%39%16% 4% 2%[a] 2% 3%
1%
Rsp: 0%
Ver: 0%
Other: 1%
7
20–22 OctComRes[294] Independent on Sunday97732%38%14% 16%6
20–22 OctICM[295] The Guardian1,01929%39%22% 2% 2% 1%
3%
PC: 1%
Other: 2%
10
12–16 OctIpsos MORI[296] Financial Times1,11337%35%18% 10%2
6–8 OctPopulus[297] The Times1,51535%36%18% 1% 2% 4% 1%
2%
PC: 1%
NL: <1%
Rsp: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Other: 1%
1
4–5 OctICM[298] The Sunday Telegraph1,00532%38%20% 1% 2% 3%
4%
PC: 1%
Other: 3%
6
28–30 SepICM[299] Sunday Mirror1,02935%36%19% 3% 2% 2%
5%
PC: 1%
Other: 4%
1
27–29 SepYouGov[300] The Daily Telegraph 1,849 36% 36% 16% 12%Tie
21–22 SepYouGov The Sunday Times1,54633%37%18% 12%4
19–22 SepYouGov The Daily Telegraph1,73331%38%18% 13%7
19–20 SepICM The Guardian1,06632%36%22% 10%4
13–14 SepICM Sunday Mirror1,00333%37%21% 8%4
13–14 SepYouGov The Sun1,51931%38%18% 14%7
6–7 SepYouGov The Daily Telegraph1,50432%40%17% 11%8
31 Aug – 6 SepIpsos MORI The Sunday Times1,18636%35%19% 10%1
1–3 SepPopulus The Times1,50432%36%20% 13%4
22–24 AugYouGov The Daily Telegraph1,75731%38%18% 13%7
18–20 AugICM The Guardian1,00731%40%22% 8%9
24–26 JulYouGov The Daily Telegraph1,63333%38%18% 11%5
20–24 JulIpsos MORI Financial Times1,89732%36%24% 8%4
21–23 JulICM The Guardian1,00135%39%17% 9%4
7–9 JulPopulus The Times1,51234%36%19% 11%2
29 Jun Blaenau Gwent by-election (BGPV gain from Ind) and Bromley & Chislehurst by-election (Con hold)
28–29 JunICM The Sunday Telegraph1,00335%36%18% 11%1
26–28 JunYouGov The Daily Telegraph1,96233%39%18% 10%6
20–26 JunIpsos MORI N/A1,93133%36%21% 10%3
21–23 JunYouGov The Daily Telegraph2,00932%39%17% 12%7
16–18 JunICM The Guardian1,00532%37%21% 9%5
8–12 JunIpsos MORI The Observer1,97534%41%18% 7%7
2–4 JunPopulus[301] The Times1,50534%37%18% 1% 2% 4% 2%
2%
PC: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Rsp: <1%
Other: 2%
3
25–30 MayIpsos MORI[302] The Sun1,98431%41%18% 10%10
23–25 MayYouGov[303] The Daily Telegraph2,10232%38%16% 4% 3%[a] 3% 4%
0%
Rsp: 0%
Ver: 0%
Other: 0%
6
19–21 MayICM[304] The Guardian1,00134%38%20% 1% 3% 3% 1%
<1%
PC: <1%
Other: <1%
4
8–9 MayYouGov[305] The Daily Telegraph1,91031%37%17% 3% 2%[a] 3% 6%
1%
Rsp: 0%
Ver: 0%
Other: 1%
6
5–7 MayPopulus[306] The Times1,51630%38%20% <1% 3% 3% 3%
3%
PC: 1%
SSP: <1%
Rsp: <1%
NL: 0%
Other: 2%
8
4 May Local elections in England
27 Apr – 2 MayIpsos MORI[307] Financial Times1,07832%36%21% 11%4
28–29 Apr[d] BPIX[285] Mail on Sunday 32% 35% 19% 5% 9% 3
27–28 AprYouGov[308] The Sunday Times1,93032%35%18% 3% 2%[a] 3% 6%
1%
Rsp: 0%
Ver: 0%
Other: 1%
3
21–23 AprICM[309] The Guardian1,00632%34%24% 1% 4% 2% 2%
1%
PC: <1%
Other: 1%
2
20–22 AprIpsos MORI[310] The Sun1,006 30% 30% 25% 15%Tie
18–20 AprYouGov[311] The Daily Telegraph2,07535%33%17% 3% 2%[a] 2% 7%
1%
Rsp: 0%
Other: 1%
2
6–8 Apr[e] BPIX[285] Mail on Sunday 36% 37% 17% 10% 1
5–6 Apr ICM[312] Channel 4 1,009 35% 35% 21% 9% Tie
31 Mar – 2 AprPopulus[313] The Times1,50336%34%21% 1% 3% 3% 1%
2%
PC: 1%
SSP: <1%
NL: <1%
Rsp: 0%
Other: 1%
2
27–29 MarYouGov[314] The Daily Telegraph1,873 36% 36% 18% 10%Tie
16–21 MarIpsos MORI[315] N/A1,15539%34%19% 8%5
16–18 MarICM[316] The Sunday Telegraph1,00337%33%21% 1% 3% 3%
2%
PC: 1%
Other: 1%
4
16–17 MarYouGov[317] The Sunday Times1,81135%38%19% 8%3
10–12 MarICM[318] The Guardian1,00637%34%21% 1% 2% 2%
3%
PC: 1%
Other: 2%
3
3–5 MarPopulus[319] The Times1,509 35% 35% 20% 1% 2% 2% 1%
4%
PC: 1%
Ver: 1%
Rsp: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Other: 2%
Tie
3–4 Mar BPIX[285] Mail on Sunday 37% 39% 16% 8% 2
2 Mar Menzies Campbell is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
21–22 FebYouGov[320] The Daily Telegraph2,01936%38%18% 9%2
16–20 FebIpsos MORI[321] The Sun1,14338%35%20% 7%3
17–19 FebICM[322] The Guardian1,00234%37%21% 1% 3% 2%
3%
PC: 1%
Other: 2%
3
9–10 FebYouGov[323] The Sunday Times1,61739%37%15% 10%2
9 Feb Dunfermline and West Fife by-election (LD gain from Lab)
3–5 FebPopulus[324] The Times1,50836%37%18% 1% 3% 2% 1%
3%
PC: 1%
Rsp: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Ver: <1%
NL: 0%
Other: 1%
1
26–28 Jan ICM[325] The Sunday Telegraph 1,041 36% 37% 19% 3% 1%
3%
PC: 2%
Other: 1%
1
24–26 JanYouGov[326] The Daily Telegraph2,09640%39%13% 9%1
19–23 JanIpsos MORI[327] Financial Times1,16338%40%17% 5%2
20–22 JanICM[328] The Guardian1,00936%37%19% 3% 1%
3%
PC: 2%
Other: 1%
1
12–17 JanIpsos MORI[329] The Sun541 39% 39% 15% 7%Tie
11–12 Jan ICM[330] News of the World 1,015 35% 39% 20% 5% 4
6–8 JanPopulus[331] The Times1,50939%36%16% 1% 2% 2% 1%
3%
PC: 1%
Rsp: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Ver: <1%
Other: 1%
3
7 Jan Charles Kennedy resigns as leader of the Liberal Democrats
5–7 Jan BPIX[285] Mail on Sunday 38% 38% 16% 8% Tie
Close

2005

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD UKIP SNP Grn Others Lead
15–18 DecICM[332] The Guardian1,00436%37%21% 1% 3% 1%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
1
13–15 DecYouGov[333] The Daily Telegraph2,07136%38%18% 8%2
9–12 DecIpsos MORI[334] The Observer1,00031%40%20% 9%9
9–11 DecPopulus[335] The Times1,52138%35%19% 1% 1% 1%
4%
BNP: 1%
PC: <1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Rsp: <1%
Other: 2%
3
8–9 Dec BPIX[285] Mail on Sunday 38% 37% 17% 8% 1
7–8 DecICM[336] The Guardian1,00335%37%21% <1% 2% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
2
6–8 DecYouGov[337] The Sunday Times2,08936%37%18% 8%1
6 Dec David Cameron is elected leader of the Conservative Party
5–6 DecYouGov[338] Sky News1,612 36% 36% 18% 10%Tie
22–24 NovYouGov[339] The Daily Telegraph2,61637%35%20% 8%2
17–22 NovIpsos MORI[340] N/A1,08942%32%19% 7%10
18–20 NovICM[341] The Guardian1,01338%33%19% 1% 2% 3%
3%
PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
4–6 NovPopulus[342] The Times1,51240%32%19% <1% 2% 2%
4%
BNP: 1%
PC: 1%
SA: <1%
SSP: <1%
Rsp: 0%
Other: 2%
8
2–3 NovICM[343] The Sunday Telegraph1,01039%33%21% 1% 3% 1%
2%
PC on <1%
Other on 2%
6
2 Nov[f] BPIX[285] Mail on Sunday 37% 35% 20% 8% 2
25–27 OctYouGov[344] The Daily Telegraph1,94740%32%19% 9%8
20–25 OctIpsos MORI[345] N/A1,90440%34%21% 5% 6
19–20 OctICM[346] The Guardian1,00736%33%22% 1% 3% 2%
2%
PC on 1%
Other on 1%
3
15 Oct BPIX[285] N/A 41% 33% 18% 8% 8
7–9 OctPopulus[347] The Times1,50940%30%21% 1% 3% 2%
4%
PC: 1%
BNP: 1%
SSP: <1%
Rsp: 0%
Other: 2%
10
5–6 OctICM[348] News of the World1,01538%32%22% 1% 2% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
5
29 Sep Livingston by-election (Lab hold)
27–29 SepYouGov[349] The Daily Telegraph2,18340%32%20% 9% 8
22–26 SepMORI[350] N/A1,13239%29%25% 7%10
16–17 SepICM[351] The Guardian1,01340%31%21% 1% 2% 2%
4%
PC on 1%
Other on 3%
9
8–9 SepYouGov[352] The Sunday Times1,85637%32%21% 10%5
2–4 SepPopulus[353] The Times1,50637%35%20% 1% 2% 2%
3%
PC: 1%
BNP: <1%
SSP: <1%
Rsp: <1%
Other: 1%
2
19–24 AugYouGov[354] The Daily Telegraph40%33%20% 7%7
11–15 AugMORI[355] N/A1,19139%31%24% 6%8
12–14 AugICM[356] The Guardian1,00638%31%22% 1% 3% 2%
3%
PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
26–28 JulYouGov[357] The Daily Telegraph40%31%21% 8% 9
22–24 JulPopulus[358] The Times1,50640%28%22% 2% 2% 2%
4%
PC on 2%
BNP: 1%
Other on 1%
12
14–18 JulMORI[359] The Observer1,22741%28%25% 6% 13
15–17 JulICM[360] The Guardian1,00539%31%23% 1% 3% 1%
3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
8
14 Jul Cheadle by-election (LD hold)
28–30 JunYouGov[361] The Daily Telegraph3,71738%33%20% 9%5
16–20 JunMORI[285] Social Research Institute1,22742%29%21% 8%13
17–19 JunICM[362] The Guardian1,00538%31%23% 1% 3% 2%
2%
PC on <1%
Other on 2%
7
24–26 MayYouGov[363] The Daily Telegraph38%31%23% 8%7
19–23 May MORI[364] First Tuesday 40% 27% 26% 7% 13
19–23 MayMORI[365] Financial Times1,27437%30%26% 7%7
5 May 20052005 general election36.2%33.2%22.7% 2.3% 1.6% 1.0%3.0%3.0
Close

Seat projections

326 seats were required for a majority in the House of Commons.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Majority
6 May 2010 2010 general election 258 306 57 29 Hung
(Con −20)
5 May 2010 Ipsos MORI[366][g] Evening Standard 1,216 261 277 79 15[h] Hung
(Con −49)
4–5 May 2010 ComRes[8] ITV News/The Independent 1,025 233 299 87 13[i] Hung
(Con −27)
29 Apr – 4 May 2010 TNS-BMRB[11] N/A 1,864 204 292 114 22[j] Hung
(Con −34)
28 Apr – 4 May 2010 Harris Interactive[12] The Metro 786 250 290 78 14[k] Hung
(Con −36)
2–3 May 2010 ComRes[13] ITV News/The Independent 1,024 251 294 74 13[l] Hung
(Con −32)
1–2 May 2010 ComRes[15] ITV News/The Independent 1,024 251 294 74 13[m] Hung
(Con −32)
30 Apr – 1 May 2010 ComRes[17] Sunday Mirror/The Independent 1,019 236 315 69 12[n] Hung
(Con −11)
26–27 Apr 2010 ComRes[22] ITV News/The Independent 1,006 259 282 77 14[o] Hung
(Con −44)
25–26 Apr 2010 ComRes[26] ITV News/The Independent 1,024 277 248 93 14[p] Hung
(Lab −49)
20–26 Apr 2010 Harris Interactive[28] The Metro 1,678 246 259 113 14[q] Hung
(Con −67)
24–25 Apr 2010 ComRes[30] ITV News/The Independent 1,003 268 238 112 14[r] Hung
(Lab −58)
23–24 Apr 2010 ComRes[33] Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday 1,006 254 271 93 14[s] Hung
(Con −55)
19–20 Apr 2010 Angus Reid Public Opinion[37] PoliticalBetting.com 1,953 160 270 186 16[t] Hung
(Con −56)
19–20 Apr 2010 ComRes[38] ITV News/The Independent 1,015 226 301 91 14[u] Hung
(Con −25)
18–19 Apr 2010 ComRes[41] ITV News/The Independent 1,012 233 299 86 14[v] Hung
(Con −27)
16–19 Apr 2010 Angus Reid Public Opinion[43] PoliticalBetting.com 2,004 193 271 153 15[w] Hung
(Con −55)
17–18 Apr 2010 ComRes[44] ITV News/The Independent 1,003 279 245 94 14[x] Hung
(Lab −47)
12–13 Apr 2010 ComRes[52] ITV News/The Independent 1,001 270 286 61 15[y] Hung
(Con −40)
11–12 Apr 2010 ComRes[55] ITV News/The Independent 1,002 283 281 53 15[z] Hung
(Lab −43)
10–11 Apr 2010 ComRes[58] ITV News/The Independent 1,004 266 295 57 14[aa] Hung
(Con −31)
26–28 Feb 2010 ComRes[109] The Independent 1,005 294 277 46 33 Hung
(Lab −32)
26–28 Jan 2010 Ipsos MORI[132] Daily Mirror 1,001 268 317 31 16[ab] Hung
(Con −9)
11–21 Sep 2009 YouGov[367] PoliticsHome 33,610 199 360 55 36 Con 70
22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 YouGov[368] PoliticsHome 34,634 160 398 44 48 Con 146
5 May 2005 2005 general election[ac] 355 198 62 31 Lab 66
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Exit poll

An exit poll, collected by Ipsos MORI and GfK NOP for the BBC, ITN and Sky News, was published at 22:00 at the end of voting. Data was gathered from 130 polling stations across the country.[369]

More information Parties, Seats ...
Parties Seats Change
Conservative Party 307 Increase 97
Labour Party 255 Decrease 94
Liberal Democrats 59 Decrease 3
Others[ad] 29 Steady
Hung Parliament
(Conservatives 19 seats short of majority)
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Initial reaction to the exit poll by various commentators was of surprise at the apparent poor prospects for the Liberal Democrats[370] because it was odds with many opinion polls undertaken in the previous weeks. However, the actual results showed that the exit poll was a good predictor.

A later BBC forecast (05:36 BST) predicted the Conservatives on 306, 20 short of an overall majority, Labour on 262, and Liberal Democrats on 55.[371]

Sub-national poll results

Scotland

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab LD SNP Con Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 42.0% 18.9% 19.9% 16.7% 2.5% 22.1
3 May 2010 YouGov[372] The Scotsman 1,507 37% 22% 21% 17% 3% 15
21–27 Apr 2010 TNS-BMRB[372] Scottish Mail on Sunday 1,029 44% 16% 23% 13% 4% 21
23–26 Apr 2010 Populus[372] The Times 1,000 37% 24% 19% 16% 4% 13
14–17 Apr 2010 Ipsos MORI[372] STV 1,005 36% 20% 26% 14% 4% 10
24–26 Mar 2010 YouGov[373] Scottish Mail on Sunday 1,008 37% 14% 24% 18% 7% 13
3–10 Mar 2010 YouGov[373] The Scottish Sun 720 39% 12% 26% 18% 5% 13
24 Feb – 3 Mar 2010 YouGov[373] The Scottish Sun 821 39% 14% 24% 18% 5% 15
24–26 Feb 2010 YouGov[373] The Scotsman 1,002 35% 15% 24% 20% 6% 11
24–26 Feb 2010 YouGov[373] Scottish Mail on Sunday 1,002 38% 15% 21% 20% 6% 17
17–24 Feb 2010 YouGov[373] The Scottish Sun 667 42% 14% 20% 19% 5% 22
18–21 Feb 2010 Ipsos MORI[373] 1,006 34% 12% 32% 17% 5% 2
15–17 Feb 2010 YouGov[373] The Scottish Sun 562 37% 15% 21% 21% 6% 16
19–23 Nov 2009 Ipsos MORI[373] 1,009 32% 12% 34% 15% 7% 2
18–20 Nov 2009 YouGov[373] The Daily Telegraph 1,141 39% 12% 24% 18% 7% 15
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2009 TNS-BMRB[373] Herald 983 39% 12% 25% 18% 6% 14
20–31 Aug 2009 Ipsos MORI[374] Holyrood Magazine 1,000 27% 14% 33% 18%
9%
SGr: 4%
BNP: 1%
UKIP: 1%
SSP: 1%
Ind: <0.5%
Others: <0.5%
6
26–28 Aug 2009 YouGov[373] Mail on Sunday 1,183 30% 18% 26% 20% 6% 4
24–26 Aug 2009 YouGov[373] Daily Mail 1,078 33% 16% 25% 19% 7% 8
2–4 Jun 2009 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,048 28% 16% 31% 17% 8% 3
22–28 Apr 2009 TNS System 3[373] 986 36% 9% 19% 32% 4% 4
12–13 Mar 2009 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,380 37% 11% 27% 20% 5% 10
29–30 Jan 2009 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,498 37% 12% 27% 20% 4% 10
22–24 Oct 2008 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,266 38% 11% 29% 20% 2% 9
3–5 Sep 2008 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,355 32% 13% 34% 17% 4% 2
8–10 Jul 2008 YouGov[373] The Daily Telegraph 1,131 29% 14% 33% 20% 4% 4
26–29 Apr 2008 TNS System 3[373] 1,086 39% 10% 31% 17% 3% 8
24–28 Apr 2008 YouGov[373] The Daily Telegraph 1,175 34% 14% 30% 17% 5% 4
2–4 Apr 2008 YouGov[373] The Sun 1,070 35% 12% 31% 17% 5% 4
3–8 Jan 2008 YouGov[373] Daily Express 1,343 36% 12% 30% 18% 4% 6
15–17 Aug 2007 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,118 40% 11% 31% 14% 4% 9
10–12 Jan 2007 YouGov[373] Sunday Times 1,005 35% 15% 28% 16% 6% 7
4–8 Jan 2007 YouGov[373] Channel 4 1,061 34% 15% 27% 19% 5% 7
17–22 Nov 2006 YouGov[373] The Daily Telegraph 1,016 36% 16% 25% 18% 5% 11
1 Apr – 30 Jun 2006 Ipsos MORI[375] 520 36% 17% 24% 17% 6% 12
1 Jan – 31 Mar 2006 Ipsos MORI[375] 526 44% 17% 16% 19% 4% 25
5 May 2005 2005 general election 39.5% 22.6% 17.7% 15.8% 4.4% 16.9
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Wales

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD PC Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 36.2% 26.1% 20.1% 11.3% 6.3% 10.1
1–3 May 2010 YouGov[376] ITV Wales Unknown 35% 27% 23% 10% 5% 8
Late Apr 2010 R&MP[377] Western Mail Unknown 37.5% 23.5% 21% 10.8% 7.2% 14
16–19 Apr 2010 YouGov[377] ITV Wales 1,070 33% 23% 29% 9% 6% 4
Mar 2010 NAW[377] ITV Wales Unknown 39% 27% 13% 13% 9% 12
Mar 2010 YouGov[377] ITV Wales Unknown 37% 29% 12% 14% 7% 8
Jan 2010 YouGov[377] ITV Wales Unknown 35% 32% 13% 13% 7% 3
Nov 2009 YouGov[377] ITV Wales Unknown 34% 31% 14% 14% 7% 3
21–23 Oct 2009 YouGov[376] University of Aberystwyth 1,078 34% 31% 12% 15% 7% 3
Jul 2009 YouGov[376] IWP-WGC Unknown 28% 33% 14% 14% 11% 5
Mar 2009 Beaufort[376] Plaid Cymru Unknown 41% 22% 13% 17% 7% 19
5 May 2005 2005 general election 42.7% 21.4% 18.4% 12.6% 4.9% 16.9
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Marginal constituencies

YouGov conducted polls on select series of marginal constituencies for PoliticsHome's Electoral Index.

"Inner London"

The constituencies polled were Battersea, Bethnal Green and Bow, Hammersmith, Poplar and Limehouse, Tooting and Westminster North.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 41.5% 33.6% 15.1%
9.8%
Rsp: 5.7%
Other: 4.1%
8.0
11–21 Sep 2009 YouGov[367] PoliticsHome Unknown 36% 37% 18% 9% 1
22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 YouGov[368] PoliticsHome Unknown 34% 41% 17% 7% 7
5 May 2005 2005 general election 40% 29% 16% 15% 11
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"Outer London"

The constituencies polled were Brentford and Isleworth, Croydon Central, Dagenham and Rainham, Ealing Central and Acton, Ealing North, Eltham, Enfield North, Feltham and Heston, Finchley and Golders Green, Harrow East, Harrow West, Hendon and Bromley and Chislehurst.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 36.9% 41.3% 14.8% 7.0% 4.4
11–21 Sep 2009 YouGov[367] PoliticsHome Unknown 32% 42% 16% 10% 10
22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 YouGov[368] PoliticsHome Unknown 30% 46% 16% 7% 16
5 May 2005 2005 general election 42% 36% 17% 5% 6
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"London Commuter Belt"

The constituencies polled were Bedford, Castle Point, Chatham and Aylesford, Crawley, Dartford, Gillingham and Rainham, Gravesham, Harrow, Hemel Hempstead, Kettering, Luton North, Luton South, Milton Keynes North, Milton Keynes South, Northampton North, Northampton South, Reading West, Rochester and Strood, Sittingbourne and Sheppey, Slough, South Basildon and East Thurrock, Stevenage and Thurrock.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 30.7% 50.3% 16.8% 2.2% 19.6
11–21 Sep 2009 YouGov[367] PoliticsHome Unknown 26% 46% 15% 12% 20
22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 YouGov[368] PoliticsHome Unknown 27% 52% 14% 8% 25
5 May 2005 2005 general election 42% 38% 15% 5% 4
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Seaside towns

The constituencies polled were Blackpool North and Cleveleys, Blackpool South, Brighton Kemptown, Brighton Pavilion, Cleethorpes, Dorset South, Great Yarmouth, Hastings and Rye, Hove, Morecambe and Lunesdale and Thanet South.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 34.8% 42.2% 16.6% 6.4% 7.4
11–21 Sep 2009 YouGov[367] PoliticsHome Unknown 32% 36% 14% 19% 4
22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 YouGov[368] PoliticsHome Unknown 30% 44% 14% 11% 14
5 May 2005 2005 general election 43% 34% 15% 8% 9
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"Labour's southern bastions"

The constituencies polled were Bristol East, Bristol North West, Dover, Exeter, Gloucester, Ipswich, Kingswood, Norwich North, Plymouth Moor View, Plymouth Sutton and Devonport, Portsmouth North, North East Somerset, Southampton Itchen, Southampton Test, Stroud, Swindon North, Swindon South and Waveney.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 32.9% 38.7% 22.4% 6.0% 5.8
11–21 Sep 2009 YouGov[367] PoliticsHome Unknown 29% 39% 19% 12% 10
22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 YouGov[368] PoliticsHome Unknown 29% 44% 19% 8% 15
5 May 2005 2005 general election 43% 33% 18% 6% 10
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Individual constituency poll results

Blaenau Gwent

Blaenau Gwent maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Law
(Ind)
Lab LD PC Con BGPV Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 52.4% 10.1% 4.1% 7.0% 19.9% 6.4% 32.5
29 Jun 2006 2006 by-election 37.0% 5.4% 6.5% 3.7% 46.7% 1.2% 9.7
1 Jun 2006 NOP[378] ? 47% 6% 6% 5% 35% 12
5 May 2005 2005 general election 58.2% 32.3% 4.3% 2.4% 2.4% 0.5% 25.9
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Brighton Pavilion

Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Brighton Pavilion were changed. The Green Party candidate was its leader, Caroline Lucas.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con Grn LD UKIP Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 28.9% 23.7% 31.3% 13.8% 1.8% 1.4% 2.4
16–21 Dec 2009 ICM[379] Green Party of England and Wales[380] 533 25% 27% 35% 11% 2% 8
5 May 2005 2005 general election 35.4% 23.9% 21.9% 16.5% 1.2% 1.1% 11.5
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Crewe and Nantwich

Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Crewe and Nantwich were changed.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 34.0% 45.8% 15.0% 5.1% 11.8
22 May 2008 2008 by-election 30.6% 49.5% 14.6% 5.5% 18.9
15–18 May 2008 ComRes[285] The Independent ? 35% 48% 12% 13
May 2008 ICM[285] News of the World ? 37% 45% 14% 8
7–8 May 2008 ICM[285] Mail on Sunday ? 39% 43% 16% 4
5 May 2005 2005 general election 48.8% 32.6% 18.6% 16.2
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Glasgow East

Glasgow East maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab SNP LD Con SSP Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 61.6% 24.7% 5.0% 4.5% 1.4% 2.7% 36.9
24 Jul 2008 2008 by-election 41.7% 43.1% 3.5% 6.3% 2.1% 3.4% 1.4
14–17 Jul 2008 Progressive Scottish Opinion[285] ? 52% 35% 7% 3% 17
10–11 Jul 2008 ICM[285] Sunday Telegraph ? 47% 33% 9% 7% 4% 14
5 May 2005 2005 general election 60.7% 17.0% 11.8% 6.9% 3.5% 43.7
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Glasgow North East

Glasgow North East maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Spk SNP SLP SSP BNP Lab Con LD Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 14.1% 0.5% 0.9% 2.7% 68.3% 5.3% 7.7% 0.6% 54.2
12 Nov 2009 2009 by-election 20.0% 0.2% 0.7% 4.9% 59.4% 5.2% 2.3% 7.3% 39.4
31 May 2009 Scottish Opinion[285] Sunday Times ? 33% 51% 6% 3% 7% 18
5 May 2005 2005 general election 53.3% 17.7% 14.2% 4.9% 3.2% 6.7% 35.6
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Glenrothes

Glenrothes maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab SNP LD Con Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 62.3% 21.7% 7.7% 7.2% 1.0% 40.6
6 Nov 2008 2008 by-election 55.1% 36.5% 2.6% 3.8% 1.9% 18.6
17 Sep 2008 ICM[381] Mail on Sunday ? 43% 43% 8% 5% 1% Tie
5 May 2005 2005 general election 51.9% 23.4% 12.7% 7.1% 5.0% 28.5
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Norwich North

Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Norwich North were changed.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Grn UKIP Others Lead
6 May 2010 2010 general election 31.4% 40.6% 18.3% 2.9% 4.4% 2.4% 9.2
23 Jul 2009 2009 by-election 18.2% 39.5% 14.0% 9.7% 11.8% 6.8% 21.3
19–21 Jun 2009 ICM[381] University of East Anglia ? 30% 34% 15% 14% 7% 4
5 May 2005 2005 general election 44.9% 33.2% 16.2% 2.7% 2.4% 0.7% 11.7
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Other polling

Public sector workers

Ipsos MORI conducted a poll for UNISON sampling public sector workers only.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Con Lab LD Grn SNP / PC UKIP BNP Others Lead
12–14 Jun 2009 Ipsos MORI[212] UNISON 494 32% 29% 19% 8% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3
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Hypothetical scenarios

Alternative Labour Party leaders

ComRes produced a poll for The Independent to gauge how people would vote under a different Labour leader than Gordon Brown.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Hypothetical Labour leader Lab Con LD Others Lead
5–7 Jun 2009 ComRes[382] The Independent 1,001 Alan Johnson 26% 36% 19% 19% 10
Jack Straw 25% 36% 19% 20% 11
David Miliband 25% 37% 19% 19% 12
Jon Cruddas 22% 37% 21% 21% 15
Ed Balls 23% 38% 20% 19% 15
Harriet Harman 22% 38% 20% 20% 16
James Purnell 21% 38% 21% 20% 17
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With Gordon Brown as Labour leader

It was widely expected that Tony Blair would step down as leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister at some point during this parliament and be succeeded by Gordon Brown.[323] Before this eventually happened in June 2007, some polling companies conducted hypothetical polls with the condition of Brown as Labour leader.

More information Dates conducted, Pollster ...
Dates conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Con LD Others Lead
24–27 Jun 2007 Gordon Brown is elected leader of the Labour Party and subsequently becomes Prime Minister
16–17 Mar 2006 YouGov[317] The Sunday Times 1,811 37% 39% 17% 8% 2
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See also

References

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