Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election
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Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 5 May 2005 to the election on 6 May 2010.
Graphical summaries
Immediately following the previous general election, the Labour Party held a double-digit lead in opinion polls. However, in the latter part of 2005, this lead was eroded somewhat. By December, the Conservative Party showed its first small leads in opinion polls following the controversial 90 days detention proposals and the election of David Cameron as Conservative leader.[1]
In early 2006, opinion polls were increasingly mixed with small leads given alternately to Labour and Conservative. From the 2006 local elections in May, in which Labour suffered significant losses, the Conservatives took a small single-digit lead in opinion polls. This was the first consistent lead of the opinion polls that the Conservatives had enjoyed for 14 years.
Labour regained the lead in June 2007, following the resignation of Tony Blair as prime minister after 10 years and the selection of Gordon Brown as his successor. Brown resisted calls from his party to hold a general election, despite opinion polls suggesting that Labour was capable of being re-elected at this stage.
The Conservatives took the lead once again in November 2007. This grew wider in spring 2008, particularly in response to the onset of the great recession along with the increased unemployment that resulted from it. After a brief narrowing between Labour and the Conservatives in late 2008, the latter's lead widened again following the emergence of the MPs' expenses scandal in 2009. Though Labour slightly recovered in the latter half of 2009, the Conservatives maintained their lead through to election day. In the campaign period, the Liberal Democrats enjoyed a significant and unprecedented surge following the first televised debate of the party leaders, in which their leader Nick Clegg was widely seen as the strongest performer.
Guide to tables
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.
National poll results
Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. As mentioned prior, most of the polling companies listed are members of the BPC; however, BPIX is not a BPC member and does not publish detailed methodology and findings.
2010
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | SNP | Grn | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 29.7% | 36.9% | 23.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 7.2 | |
| 5 May | Ipsos MORI[2] | Evening Standard | 1,216 | 29% | 36% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 7 |
| 4–5 May | YouGov[3] | The Sun | 6,483 | 28% | 35% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 4–5 May | Harris Interactive[4] | Daily Mail | 4,014 | 29% | 35% | 27% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 6 |
| 4–5 May | Populus[5] | The Times | 2,505 | 28% | 37% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 9 |
| 4–5 May | Angus Reid Public Opinion[6] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,283 | 24% | 36% | 29% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
7 |
| 4–5 May | Opinium[7] | Daily Express | 1,383 | 27% | 35% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 8 |
| 4–5 May | ComRes[8] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,025 | 28% | 37% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on <1% |
9 |
| 3–4 May | ICM[9] | The Guardian | 1,527 | 28% | 36% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 8 |
| 3–4 May | YouGov[10] | The Sun | 1,461 | 30% | 35% | 24% | 5% | 2%[a] | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5 |
| 29 Apr – 4 May | TNS-BMRB[11] | N/A | 1,864 | 27% | 33% | 29% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 28 Apr – 4 May | Harris Interactive[12] | The Metro | 786 | 26% | 36% | 28% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 8 |
| 2–3 May | ComRes[13] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,024 | 29% | 37% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 8 |
| 2–3 May | YouGov[14] | The Sun | 1,455 | 28% | 35% | 28% | 3% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 30 Apr – 3 May | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,870 | 28% | 33% | 27% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 5 |
| 1–2 May | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,475 | 28% | 34% | 29% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 5 |
| 1–2 May | ComRes[15] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,024 | 29% | 37% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 8 |
| 30 Apr – 2 May | ICM[16] | The Guardian | 1,026 | 28% | 33% | 28% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
5 |
| 30 Apr – 1 May | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Times | 1,483 | 27% | 35% | 28% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 7 |
| 30 Apr – 1 May | ComRes[17] | Sunday Mirror/The Independent | 1,019 | 28% | 38% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 10 |
| 30 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,412 | 28% | 34% | 28% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 6 |
| 30 Apr | ICM[18] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,019 | 29% | 36% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% | 7 |
| 29–30 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[19] | Sunday Express | 1,874 | 23% | 35% | 29% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 28–29 Apr | YouGov[20] | The Sun | 1,623 | 27% | 34% | 28% | 4% | 2%[a] | 1% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov[21] | The Sun | 1,530 | 27% | 34% | 31% | 3% | 2%[a] | 1% | 1% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
3 |
| 26–27 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,598 | 29% | 33% | 28% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 4 |
| 26–27 Apr | ComRes[22] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,006 | 29% | 36% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 7 |
| 26–27 Apr | Populus[23] | The Times | 1,510 | 27% | 36% | 28% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on <1% |
8 |
| 21–27 Apr | TNS-BMRB[24] | N/A | 2,078 | 27% | 34% | 30% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 25–26 Apr | YouGov[25] | The Sun | 1,491 | 28% | 33% | 29% | 3% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 25–26 Apr | ComRes[26] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,005 | 29% | 33% | 29% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 23–26 Apr | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,942 | 25% | 34% | 28% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 6 |
| 23–26 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[27] | The Economist | 2,433 | 23% | 33% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4%
PC on 1% Other on 3% |
3 |
| 20–26 Apr | Harris Interactive[28] | The Metro | 1,678 | 25% | 32% | 30% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 2 |
| 24–25 Apr | YouGov[29] | The Sun | 1,466 | 28% | 34% | 30% | 3% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 24–25 Apr | ComRes[30] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,003 | 28% | 32% | 31% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 1 |
| 23–25 Apr | ICM[31] | The Guardian | 1,031 | 28% | 33% | 30% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on 1% |
3 |
| 23–24 Apr | YouGov[32] | The Sunday Times | 1,412 | 27% | 35% | 28% | 4% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 23–24 Apr | ComRes[33] | Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday | 1,006 | 28% | 34% | 29% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
5 |
| 23 Apr | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,020 | 26% | 35% | 31% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 4 |
| 23 Apr | Ipsos MORI[34] | News of the World | 1,245 | 30% | 36% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 6 |
| 22–23 Apr | YouGov[35] | The Sun | 1,381 | 29% | 34% | 29% | 3% | 2%[a] | 1% | 1% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 21–22 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,576 | 29% | 34% | 28% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 5 |
| 20–21 Apr | YouGov[36] | The Sun | 1,545 | 27% | 33% | 31% | 3% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 9% | 2 |
| 19–20 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,595 | 26% | 31% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 3 |
| 19–20 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[37] | PoliticalBetting.com | 1,953 | 23% | 32% | 33% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on 0% |
1 |
| 19–20 Apr | ComRes[38] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,015 | 25% | 35% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 5%
PC on <1% Other on 5% |
8 |
| 19–20 Apr | Populus[permanent dead link] | The Times | 1,501 | 28% | 32% | 31% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 1 |
| 18–20 Apr | Ipsos MORI[39] | Evening Standard | 1,253 | 28% | 32% | 32% | – | – | – | – | 8% | Tie |
| 14–20 Apr | TNS-BMRB[40] | N/A | 1,953 | 29% | 34% | 30% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on <1% |
4 |
| 18–19 Apr | ComRes[41] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,012 | 26% | 35% | 26% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 7%
PC on <1% Other on 7% |
9 |
| 18–19 Apr | YouGov[42] | The Sun | 1,509 | 27% | 33% | 31% | 2% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
2 |
| 16–19 Apr | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,957 | 26% | 32% | 29% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 3 |
| 16–19 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[43] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 24% | 32% | 32% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
Tie |
| 14–19 Apr | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 1,792 | 26% | 31% | 30% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 1 |
| 17–18 Apr | ComRes[44] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,003 | 28% | 32% | 28% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8%
PC on <1% Other on 8% |
4 |
| 17–18 Apr | YouGov[45] | The Sun | 1,433 | 26% | 32% | 33% | 3% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
1 |
| 16–18 Apr | ICM[46] | The Guardian | 1,024 | 28% | 33% | 30% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3%
PC on 2% Other on 1% |
3 |
| 16–17 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Times | 1,490 | 30% | 33% | 29% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 3 |
| 16–17 Apr | ComRes[47] | Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday | 1,006 | 27% | 31% | 29% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 9%
PC on 1% Other on 8% |
2 |
| 15–16 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,290 | 28% | 33% | 30% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 3 |
| 15 Apr | ComRes[48] | ITV News | 4,032 | 28% | 35% | 24% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 7 |
| 14–15 Apr | ICM[49] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,033 | 29% | 34% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 14–15 Apr | YouGov[50] | The Sun | 1,490 | 31% | 37% | 22% | 4% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 13–14 Apr | YouGov[51] | The Sun | 1,578 | 32% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
9 |
| 12–13 Apr | ComRes[52] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,001 | 29% | 35% | 21% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 8%
PC on <1% Other on 8% |
6 |
| 12–13 Apr | YouGov[53] | The Sun | 1,583 | 31% | 39% | 20% | 4% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
8 |
| 8–13 Apr | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 1,523 | 27% | 36% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 9 |
| 7–13 Apr | TNS-BMRB[permanent dead link] | N/A | 1,916 | 33% | 36% | 22% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 3 |
| 12 Apr | Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign | |||||||||||
| 12 Apr | Populus[54] | The Times | 1,525 | 33% | 36% | 21% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% PC on <1% Other on 1% |
3 |
| 11–12 Apr | ComRes[55] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,002 | 31% | 36% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 5 |
| 11–12 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[56] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,006 | 28% | 38% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% PC on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 11–12 Apr | YouGov[57] | The Sun | 1,493 | 33% | 39% | 20% | 2% | 3%[a] | 1% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
6 |
| 9–12 Apr | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,825 | 31% | 39% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 8 |
| 10–11 Apr | ComRes[58] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,004 | 30% | 37% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 7 |
| 10–11 Apr | YouGov[59] | The Sun | 1,455 | 31% | 37% | 20% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 9–11 Apr | ICM[60] | The Guardian | 1,024 | 31% | 37% | 20% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
6 |
| 9–10 Apr | YouGov[61] | The Sunday Times | 1,431 | 32% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 2%[a] | 1% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
8 |
| 9–10 Apr | ComRes[62] | Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday | 1,001 | 32% | 39% | 16% | 2% | – | 3% | 1% | 7% | 7 |
| 8–9 Apr | YouGov[permanent dead link] | The Sun | 1,527 | 30% | 40% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 10 |
| 7–8 Apr | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | Daily Mail | 1,012 | 27% | 37% | 22% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 10 |
| 7–8 Apr | YouGov[63] | The Sun | 1,626 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 3%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 7 Apr | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,032 | 30% | 38% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 8 |
| 6–7 Apr | YouGov[64] | The Sun | 1,484 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 3% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 6–7 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[65] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,193 | 26% | 37% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
11 |
| 6 Apr | Populus[66] | The Times | 1,507 | 32% | 39% | 21% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 5–6 Apr | YouGov[67] | The Sun | 1,456 | 32% | 40% | 17% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
8 |
| 31 Mar – 6 Apr | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 2,080 | 28% | 37% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 9 |
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov[68] | The Sun | 1,620 | 31% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
10 |
| 2–5 Apr | Opinium[69] | Daily Express | 1,903 | 29% | 39% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1%
PC on 0% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 1–3 Apr | ICM[70] | The Guardian | 1,001 | 33% | 37% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 1–2 Apr | YouGov[71] | The Sunday Times | 1,503 | 29% | 39% | 20% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion[72] | Sunday Express | 1,991 | 27% | 38% | 20% | 5% | – | 3% | 4% | 3% | 11 |
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr | YouGov[73] | The Sun | 1,552 | 31% | 39% | 19% | 5% | 2%[a] | 2% | 1% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
8 |
| 30–31 Mar | ICM[74] | The Guardian | 1,003 | 29% | 38% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1%
PC on <0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 30–31 Mar | YouGov[75] | The Sun | 1,615 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 30–31 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion[76] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,013 | 28% | 37% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1%
PC on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 29–30 Mar | YouGov[77] | The Sun | 1,681 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 24–30 Mar | TNS-BMRB[78] | N/A | 1,819 | 33% | 38% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 5 |
| 28–29 Mar | YouGov[79] | The Sun | 1,614 | 32% | 39% | 18% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 26–29 Mar | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,780 | 28% | 38% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 10 |
| 23–29 Mar | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 1,133 | 27% | 37% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 10 |
| 26–28 Mar | ComRes[80] | The Independent | 1,001 | 30% | 37% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
7 |
| 25–26 Mar | YouGov[81] | The Sunday Times | 1,533 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 24–25 Mar | ICM[82] | News of the World | 1,003 | 31% | 39% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
8 |
| 24–25 Mar | YouGov[83] | The Sun | 1,483 | 33% | 37% | 18% | 3% | 3%[a] | 1% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 23–24 Mar | YouGov[84] | The Sun | 1,554 | 34% | 36% | 17% | 5% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
2 |
| 22–23 Mar | YouGov[85] | The Sun | 1,756 | 33% | 37% | 18% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 21–22 Mar | YouGov[86] | The Sun | 1,560 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 19–22 Mar | Ipsos MORI | Daily Mirror | 1,503 | 30% | 35% | 21% | 6% | 2%[a] | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5 |
| 19–22 Mar | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,975 | 30% | 37% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 7 |
| 17–22 Mar | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 2,117 | 28% | 35% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 7 |
| 18–19 Mar | YouGov[87] | The Sunday Times | 1,547 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 5% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 17–18 Mar | ICM[88] | News of the World | 1,002 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3%
PC on 2% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 17–18 Mar | YouGov[89] | The Sun | 1,671 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 4% | 3%[a] | 1% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 16–17 Mar | YouGov[90] | The Sun | 1,676 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | 2%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 15–16 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion[91] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,003 | 26% | 39% | 21% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 15–16 Mar | YouGov[92] | The Sun | 1,460 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 3% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 10–16 Mar | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 1,934 | 28% | 36% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 8 |
| 14–15 Mar | YouGov[93] | The Sun | 1,466 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 3% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
5 |
| 12–15 Mar | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,951 | 28% | 39% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 11 |
| 12–14 Mar | ICM[94] | The Guardian | 1,002 | 31% | 40% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 11–12 Mar | YouGov[95] | The Sunday Times | 1,507 | 33% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 10–11 Mar | ICM[96] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 31% | 38% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 10–11 Mar | YouGov[97] | The Sun | 1,434 | 34% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
3 |
| 9–10 Mar | YouGov[98] | The Sun | 1,473 | 32% | 37% | 17% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 4% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 9–10 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion[99] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,003 | 26% | 39% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 8–9 Mar | YouGov[100] | The Sun | 1,524 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
4 |
| 7–8 Mar | YouGov[101] | The Sun | 1,747 | 34% | 39% | 16% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 5–8 Mar | Opinium[permanent dead link] | Daily Express | 1,960 | 30% | 37% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 7 |
| 3–8 Mar | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 1,498 | 29% | 37% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 8 |
| 4–5 Mar | YouGov[102] | The Sunday Times | 1,558 | 33% | 38% | 17% | 3% | 4%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 3–4 Mar | ICM[103] | News of the World | 1,005 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 3–4 Mar | YouGov[104] | The Sun | 1,640 | 32% | 38% | 17% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 2–3 Mar | YouGov[105] | The Sun | 1,661 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 25 Feb – 3 Mar | TNS-BMRB[106] | N/A | 1,973 | 31% | 39% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
8 |
| 1–2 Mar | YouGov[107] | The Sun | 1,479 | 33% | 38% | 16% | 4% | 3%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 28 Feb – 1 Mar | YouGov[108] | The Sun | 1,505 | 32% | 39% | 17% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 26–28 Feb | ComRes[109] | The Independent | 1,005 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 25–26 Feb | YouGov[110] | The Sunday Times | 1,436 | 35% | 37% | 17% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
2 |
| 24–25 Feb | YouGov[111] | The Sun | 1,472 | 33% | 39% | 16% | 5% | 2%[a] | 3% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 23–24 Feb | YouGov[112] | The Sun | 1,473 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 3% | 3%[a] | 1% | 2% | 10% | 6 |
| 18–24 Feb | TNS-BMRB[113] | N/A | 1,954 | 32% | 36% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 4 |
| 22–23 Feb | YouGov[114] | The Sun | 1,469 | 32% | 38% | 17% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov[115] | The Sun | 1,578 | 33% | 39% | 17% | 3% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 19–22 Feb | Ipsos MORI[116] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,533 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 2% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5 |
| 16–22 Feb | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 918 | 30% | 39% | 22% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 9 |
| 19–21 Feb | ICM[117] | The Guardian | 1,004 | 30% | 37% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
7 |
| 18–19 Feb | YouGov[118] | The Sunday Times | 1,472 | 33% | 39% | 17% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 16–19 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion[119] | PoliticalBetting.com | 4,004 | 26% | 38% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2%
PC 1% Other 1% |
12 |
| 17–18 Feb | YouGov[120] | The Sun | 1,558 | 32% | 39% | 18% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
7 |
| 17–18 Feb | ComRes[121] | Theos | 1,085 | 30% | 38% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
8 |
| 16–17 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion[122] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,002 | 26% | 40% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
14 |
| 16–17 Feb | YouGov[123] | The Sun | 2,145 | 30% | 39% | 18% | 5% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 10–11 Feb | ComRes[124] | The Independent | 1,009 | 29% | 40% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
11 |
| 9–10 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion[125] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,002 | 25% | 38% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 5–7 Feb | Populus[126] | The Times | 1,502 | 30% | 40% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 3–4 Feb | ICM[127] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,001 | 30% | 39% | 20% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 29–31 Jan | ComRes[128] | The Independent | 1,001 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 29–30 Jan | BPIX[129][b] | Mail on Sunday | 1,524 | 30% | 39% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 9 |
| 28–29 Jan | YouGov[130] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,054 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 3% | 3%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 26–28 Jan | YouGov[131] | The People | 2,044 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 3% | 4%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 26–28 Jan | Ipsos MORI[132] | Daily Mirror | 1,001 | 32% | 40% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 8 |
| 26–27 Jan | Angus Reid Public Opinion[133] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 24% | 40% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 22–24 Jan | ICM[134] | The Guardian | 1,000 | 29% | 40% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
11 |
| 20–21 Jan | ComRes[135] | Sunday Mirror | 1,004 | 29% | 38% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 9 |
| 14–15 Jan | YouGov[136] | The Sunday Times | 2,033 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 3% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 13–14 Jan | ComRes[137] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,005 | 29% | 42% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 13 |
| 9–10 Jan | Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,010 | 24% | 40% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 16 |
| 8–10 Jan | Populus[138] | The Times | 1,509 | 28% | 41% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 13 |
| 6–10 Jan | ICM[139] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 30% | 40% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 6–7 Jan | YouGov[140] | The Sun | 2,832 | 30% | 42% | 16% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
12 |
| 5–6 Jan | YouGov[141] | The Sun | 4,167 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
2009
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | SNP | Grn | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29–30 Dec | YouGov[142] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,848 | 30% | 40% | 17% | 3% | 2%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 19–20 Dec | ComRes[143] | The Independent | 1,006 | 29% | 38% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
9 |
| 16–18 Dec | Angus Reid Strategies[144] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,010 | 24% | 40% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 15–17 Dec | YouGov[145] | The People | 2,052 | 28% | 40% | 18% | 5% | 2%[a] | 3% | 4% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
12 |
| 11–13 Dec | ICM[146] | The Guardian | 1,009 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
9 |
| 11–13 Dec | Ipsos MORI[147] | The Observer | 1,017 | 26% | 43% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
17 |
| 10–11 Dec | YouGov[148] | The Sunday Times | 2,044 | 31% | 40% | 16% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 9–10 Dec | ComRes[149][dead link] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,001 | 24% | 41% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 17 |
| 8–10 Dec | Angus Reid Strategies[150] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,002 | 23% | 40% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
17 |
| 4–6 Dec | Populus[151] | The Times | 1,505 | 30% | 38% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on <1% |
8 |
| 3–4 Dec | YouGov[152] | The Sunday Times | 2,095 | 27% | 40% | 18% | 5% | 3%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 2–3 Dec | ICM[153] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,001 | 29% | 40% | 19% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
11 |
| 27–29 Nov | ComRes[154] | The Independent | 1,003 | 27% | 37% | 20% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
10 |
| 24–26 Nov | YouGov[155] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,004 | 29% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 20–23 Nov | Angus Reid Strategies[156] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 22% | 39% | 21% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
17 |
| 13–15 Nov | Ipsos MORI[157] | The Observer | 1,006 | 31% | 37% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
6 |
| 13–15 Nov | ICM[158] | The Guardian | 1,010 | 29% | 42% | 19% | 2% | 4% | 2% | – | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
13 |
| 12–13 Nov | YouGov[159] | The Sunday Times | 2,026 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 3%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
14 |
| 11–12 Nov | ComRes[160] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,007 | 25% | 39% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 19% | 14 |
| 6–8 Nov | Populus[161] | The Times | 1,504 | 29% | 39% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 4–6 Nov | Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,000 | 24% | 38% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 14 |
| 4–5 Nov | YouGov[162] | Channel 4 News | 1,021 | 27% | 41% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 14 |
| 28–29 Oct | ICM[163] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 25% | 42% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
17 |
| 27–29 Oct | YouGov[164] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,024 | 28% | 41% | 16% | 4% | 3%[a] | 3% | 4% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 23–25 Oct | ComRes[165] | The Independent | 1,004 | 27% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 13 |
| 22–23 Oct | YouGov[166] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,314 | 27% | 40% | 19% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 16–18 Oct | ICM[167] | The Guardian | 1,002 | 27% | 44% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 2% | – | 5%
PC on 1% Other on 4% |
17 |
| 16–18 Oct | Ipsos MORI[168] | N/A | 996 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
17 |
| 15–16 Oct | Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,077 | 23% | 40% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 17 |
| 15–16 Oct | YouGov[169] | The Sunday Times | 2,025 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
11 |
| 14–15 Oct | ComRes[170] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,008 | 28% | 40% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3%
PC on 2% Other on 1% |
12 |
| 9–11 Oct | Populus[171] | The Times | 1,509 | 30% | 40% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 8–9 Oct | YouGov[172] | The Sun | 2,161 | 28% | 42% | 18% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 0%
Rsp on 0% Other on 0% |
14 |
| 8–9 Oct | YouGov[173] | Sky News | 1,064 | 27% | 44% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 17 |
| 7–9 Oct | ICM[174] | News of the World | 1,008 | 26% | 45% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 2% | – | 2%
PC on <1% Other on 3% |
19 |
| 7–8 Oct | YouGov[175] | Sky News | 1,074 | 31% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 9 |
| 6–7 Oct | YouGov[176] | Sky News | 1,039 | 29% | 43% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 14 |
| 5–6 Oct | YouGov[177] | Sky News | 1,223 | 28% | 41% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 13 |
| 4–5 Oct | YouGov[178] | Sky News | 1,102 | 27% | 40% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 13 |
| 3 Oct | YouGov | The People | 2,027 | 28% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 12 |
| 1–2 Oct | YouGov[179] | Sky News | 1,053 | 29% | 41% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 12 |
| 30 Sep – 1 Oct | ComRes[180] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,022 | 28% | 40% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 12 |
| 30 Sep – 1 Oct | YouGov[181] | Sky News | 1,085 | 26% | 40% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 14 |
| 29–30 Sep | YouGov[182] | Sky News | 1,078 | 30% | 37% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 7 |
| 28–29 Sep | YouGov[183] | Sky News | 1,024 | 29% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 11 |
| 27–28 Sep | YouGov[184] | Sky News | 1,051 | 29% | 39% | 20% | 4% | 3%[a] | 2% | 2% | 2%
Rsp on 0% Other on 2% |
10 |
| 25–27 Sep | Ipsos MORI[185] | N/A | 1,003 | 24% | 36% | 25% | 4% | 3%[a] | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11 |
| 25–27 Sep | ComRes[186] | The Independent | 1,003 | 23% | 38% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 15 |
| 24–25 Sep | YouGov[187] | Sky News | 1,059 | 24% | 40% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 16 |
| 23–24 Sep | YouGov[188] | Sky News | 1,057 | 25% | 38% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 13 |
| 23–24 Sep | ICM[189] | News of the World | 1,003 | 26% | 40% | 23% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | <1%
PC on <1% |
14 |
| 22–24 Sep | YouGov[190] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,026 | 26% | 39% | 20% | 4% | 4%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 22–23 Sep | YouGov[191] | Sky News | 1,036 | 28% | 38% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 10 |
| 21–22 Sep | YouGov[192] | Sky News | 1,062 | 27% | 39% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 12 |
| 20–21 Sep | YouGov[193] | Sky News | 1,081 | 30% | 39% | 17% | 4% | 3%[a] | 4% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
9 |
| 18–20 Sep | ICM[194] | The Guardian | 1,001 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
17 |
| 11–13 Sep | Populus[195] | The Times | 1,506 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
14 |
| 10–11 Sep | YouGov[196] | The Sunday Times | 2,009 | 27% | 41% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 14 |
| 4–6 Sep | ComRes[197] | The Independent | 1,005 | 24% | 40% | 21% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1%
PC on <1% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 4–6 Sep | YouGov[198] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,573 | 27% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 13 |
| 27–28 Aug | YouGov[199] | The Sun | 1,996 | 28% | 42% | 17% | 5% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
14 |
| 25–27 Aug | YouGov[200] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,199 | 26% | 42% | 18% | 5% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 21–23 Aug | Ipsos MORI[201] | N/A | 1,013 | 26% | 43% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2%
PC on <1% Other on 2% |
17 |
| 21–23 Aug | ICM[202] | The Guardian | 1,004 | 25% | 41% | 19% | 3% | 5%[a] | 3% | 3% | 1% | 16 |
| 19–20 Aug | ComRes[203] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,013 | 24% | 41% | 18% | 5% | 3%[a] | 4% | 3% | 1% | 17 |
| 13–14 Aug | YouGov[204] | The Sunday Times | 2,007 | 28% | 42% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 14 |
| 12–13 Aug | ICM[205] | Sunday Mirror | 1,005 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2%
PC on 2% |
17 |
| 28–30 Jul | YouGov[206] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,334 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 6% | 3%[a] | 3% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
14 |
| 24–26 Jul | ComRes[link removed] | The Independent | 1,008 | 24% | 42% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 18 |
| 21–23 Jul | YouGov[207] | The People | 2,218 | 25% | 40% | 20% | 5% | 3%[a] | 3% | 4% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
15 |
| 17–19 Jul | Ipsos MORI[208] | N/A | 1,012 | 24% | 40% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
16 |
| 17–19 Jul | Populus[209] | The Times | 1,504 | 26% | 38% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 1%
PC on 1% |
12 |
| 16–17 Jul | YouGov[210] | The Sunday Times | 1,956 | 25% | 42% | 18% | 6% | 3%[a] | 4% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
17 |
| 15–16 Jul | ComRes[link removed] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 23% | 38% | 22% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 15 |
| 10–11 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 27% | 41% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
14 |
| 1–3 Jul | YouGov | Fabian Society | 2,001 | 26% | 39% | 19% | 6% | 3%[a] | 4% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 26–28 Jun | ComRes | The Independent | 1,007 | 25% | 36% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
11 |
| 24–26 Jun | YouGov | The People | 2,017 | 24% | 40% | 17% | 6% | 3%[a] | 3% | 4% | 2%
Rsp on 0% Other on 2% |
16 |
| 23–25 Jun | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,233 | 25% | 38% | 18% | 7% | 3%[a] | 4% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 19–21 Jun | Ipsos MORI[211] | N/A | 1,004 | 21% | 38% | 19% | 8% | 3%[a] | 5% | 5% | 2% | 17 |
| 17–18 Jun | ComRes | The Independent on Sunday | 1,012 | 22% | 39% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 17 |
| 10–17 Jun | Harris Interactive[permanent dead link] | The Metro | 2,081 | 20% | 35% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 29% | 15 |
| 12–14 Jun | Ipsos MORI[212] | UNISON | 1,252 | 25% | 39% | 19% | 6% | 3%[a] | 4% | 2% | 2% | 14 |
| 12–14 Jun | ICM[213] | The Guardian | 1,006 | 27% | 39% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
12 |
| 11–12 Jun | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,902 | 24% | 40% | 18% | 8% | 4%[a] | 4% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 9–10 Jun | Populus | The Times | 1,001 | 24% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4%
PC on 2% Other on 2% |
12 |
| 5–7 Jun | ComRes | The Independent | 1,001 | 22% | 38% | 20% | – | – | – | 20% | 16 | |
| 2–3 Jun | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 4,014 | 21% | 37% | 19% | 8% | 4%[a] | 5% | 4% | 3%
Rsp on 0% Other on 3% |
16 |
| 29–31 May | ComRes | The Independent | 1,005 | 22% | 30% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 10%
PC on 1% Other on 9% |
8 |
| 29–31 May | Ipsos MORI[214] | N/A | 1,001 | 18% | 40% | 18% | 7% | – | 6% | 4% | 7% | 22 |
| 27–29 May | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 5,016 | 22% | 39% | 18% | 7% | 3%[a] | 4% | 5% | 2%
Rsp on 0% Other on 2% |
17 |
| 27–28 May | ICM | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,013 | 22% | 40% | 25% | 4% | 2% | 3% | – | 4%
PC on 1% Other on 3% |
15 |
| 27–28 May | Populus[215] | The Times | 1,001 | 21% | 41% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
20 |
| 19–20 May | Populus[216] | ITV News | 1,000 | 27% | 39% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
12 |
| 15–17 May | ICM[217] | The Guardian | 1,002 | 28% | 39% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | <1%
PC on <1% |
11 |
| 14–16 May | YouGov[218] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,235 | 23% | 39% | 19% | 6% | 4%[a] | 4% | 4% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 13–14 May | ComRes[219] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 21% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 19 |
| 13–14 May | YouGov[220] | The Sun | 1,814 | 22% | 41% | 19% | 6% | 4%[a] | 3% | 4% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
19 |
| 8–10 May | Populus[221] | The Times | 1,504 | 26% | 39% | 22% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 8–9 May | BPIX[222] | Mail on Sunday | Unknown[222] | 23% | 45% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 22 |
| 7–8 May | YouGov[223] | The Sunday Times | 2,209 | 27% | 43% | 18% | 3% | 3%[a] | 2% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
16 |
| 24–26 Apr | ComRes[224] | The Independent | 1,003 | 26% | 45% | 17% | <1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4%
PC on 1% Other on 3% |
19 |
| 23–24 Apr | YouGov[225] | Sunday People | 1,855 | 27% | 45% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 18 |
| 22–23 Apr | YouGov[226] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,896 | 27% | 45% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 18 |
| 17–19 Apr | Ipsos MORI[227] | N/A | 1,011 | 28% | 41% | 22% | 1% | 3%[a] | 2% | 1% | 2% | 13 |
| 17–19 Apr | ICM[228] | The Guardian | 1,005 | 30% | 40% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 3% | – | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
10 |
| 15–16 Apr | Marketing Sciences[229] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 26% | 43% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 17 |
| 3–5 Apr | Populus[230] | The Times | 1,512 | 30% | 43% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
13 |
| 3–4 Apr | YouGov[231] | The Sunday Times | 2,125 | 34% | 41% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 7 |
| 27–29 Mar | ComRes[232] | The Independent | 1,002 | 28% | 40% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 12 |
| 25–26 Mar | ICM[233] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 31% | 44% | 18% | 1% | 3% | 1% | – | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
13 |
| 24–26 Mar | YouGov[234] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,104 | 31% | 41% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 10 |
| 18–19 Mar | ComRes[235] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,002 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3%
PC on <1% Other on 3% |
11 |
| 13–15 Mar | ICM[236] | The Guardian | 1,004 | 30% | 42% | 20% | <1% | 3% | 3% | – | 8% | 12 |
| 13–15 Mar | Ipsos MORI[237] | N/A | 1,007 | 32% | 42% | 14% | 1% | 4%[a] | 3% | – | 4% | 10 |
| 12–13 Mar | YouGov[238] | The Sunday Times | 1,840 | 31% | 41% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 10 |
| 6–8 Mar | Populus[239] | The Times | 1,504 | 30% | 42% | 19% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
12 |
| 27 Feb – 1 Mar | ComRes[240] | The Independent | 1,006 | 28% | 44% | 17% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4%
PC on 1% Other on 3% |
16 |
| 24–26 Feb | YouGov[241] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,063 | 31% | 41% | 15% | 2% | 4%[a] | 2% | 4% | 2%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 20–22 Feb | ICM[242] | The Guardian | 1,004 | 30% | 42% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 1% | – | 5%
PC on 2% Other on 3% |
12 |
| 13–15 Feb | Ipsos MORI[243] | N/A | 1,001 | 28% | 48% | 17% | 1% | 2%[a] | 1% | – | 3% | 20 |
| 12–13 Feb | YouGov[244] | The Sunday Times | 1,711 | 32% | 44% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 12 |
| 11–12 Feb | ComRes[245] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,002 | 25% | 41% | 22% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 16 |
| 6–8 Feb | Populus[246] | The Times | 1,504 | 28% | 42% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
14 |
| 4–5 Feb | ICM[247] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 28% | 40% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | 4%
PC on 2% Other on 2% |
12 |
| 27–29 Jan | YouGov[248] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,338 | 32% | 43% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 11 |
| 23–25 Jan | ICM[249] | The Guardian | 1,003 | 32% | 44% | 16% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
12 |
| 21–22 Jan | ComRes[250] | The Independent | 1,012 | 28% | 43% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 15 |
| 16–18 Jan | Ipsos MORI[251] | N/A | 1,005 | 30% | 44% | 17% | 1% | 4%[a] | 2% | – | 2% | 14 |
| 15–16 Jan | YouGov[252] | The Sunday Times | 2,077 | 32% | 45% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13 |
| 14–15 Jan | ComRes[253] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,009 | 32% | 41% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 9 |
| 9–11 Jan | Populus[254] | The Times | 1,500 | 33% | 43% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 7–8 Jan | YouGov[255] | The Sun | 1,835 | 34% | 41% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 7 |
2008
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | SNP | Grn | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–21 Dec | ComRes[256] | The Independent | 1,000 | 34% | 39% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 5 |
| 16–18 Dec | YouGov[257] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,241 | 35% | 42% | 14% | 1% | 4%[a] | 2% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 12–14 Dec | Ipsos MORI[258] | N/A | 1,000 | 35% | 39% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 4 |
| 12–14 Dec | ICM[259] | The Guardian | 1,003 | 33% | 38% | 19% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | 3%
PC on 2% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 11–12 Dec | YouGov[260] | The Sunday Times | 2,098 | 35% | 41% | 15% | 2% | 4%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% |
6 |
| 10–11 Dec | ComRes[261] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,003 | 36% | 37% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 1 |
| 10–11 Dec | Ipsos MORI[262] | N/A | 1,007 | 36% | 41% | 11% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 5 |
| 5–7 Dec | Populus[263] | The Times | 1,505 | 35% | 39% | 17% | 1% | 3%[a] | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4 |
| 28–30 Nov | ComRes[264] | The Independent | 1,005 | 36% | 37% | 17% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% | 1 |
| 27–28 Nov | Ipsos MORI[265] | The Observer | 1,017 | 32% | 43% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 11 |
| 25–26 Nov | ICM[266] | The Guardian | 1,027 | 30% | 45% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15 |
| 24–25 Nov | YouGov[267] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,556 | 36% | 40% | 14% | 2% | 4%[a] | 1% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% | 4 |
| 19–20 Nov | ICM[268] | Sunday Mirror | 1,010 | 31% | 42% | 19% | 1% | 3% | 1% | – | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% | 11 |
| 14–16 Nov | Ipsos MORI[269] | N/A | 1,002 | 37% | 40% | 12% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 3 |
| 13–14 Nov | YouGov[270] | The Sunday Times | 2,080 | 36% | 41% | 14% | 2% | 3%[a] | 1% | 3% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% | 5 |
| 12–13 Nov | ComRes[271] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 32% | 43% | 12% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 11 |
| 7–9 Nov | Populus[272] | The Times | 1,503 | 35% | 41% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% | 6 |
| 5–6 Nov | ICM[273] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,005 | 30% | 43% | 18% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% | 13 |
| 2 Nov | BPIX[222] [citation needed] | N/A | ? | 31% | 45% | 13% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 14 |
| 27–29 Oct | YouGov[274] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,271 | 33% | 42% | 15% | 2% | 4%[a] | 1% | 2% | 1%
Rsp on 0% Other on 1% | 9 |
| 24–26 Oct | ComRes[275] | The Independent | 1,001 | 31% | 39% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 8 |
| 17–19 Oct | Ipsos MORI[276] | N/A | 1,004 | 30% | 45% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 15 |
| 17–19 Oct | ICM[277] | The Guardian | 1,007 | 30% | 42% | 21% | <1% | 3% | 1% | – | 2% | 12 |
| 16–18 Oct | BPIX[222] [citation needed] | N/A | 2,046 | 30% | 46% | 13% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 16 |
| 15–17 Oct | YouGov[278] | The Daily Mirror | 2,029 | 34% | 42% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 8 |
| 15–16 Oct | ComRes[citation needed] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,005 | 31% | 40% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 9 |
| 9–10 Oct | YouGov[279] | The Sunday Times | 1,941 | 33% | 43% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 10 |
| 3–5 Oct | Populus[280] | The Times | 1,503 | 30% | 45% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% | 15 |
| 1–3 Oct | YouGov[281] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,048 | 31% | 45% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14 |
| 26–28 Sep | ComRes[282] | The Independent | 1,017 | 29% | 41% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 12 |
| 24–26 Sep | BPIX[222] | N/A | 2,020 | 31% | 43% | 17% | 9% | 12 | ||||
| 24–25 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,012 | 32% | 41% | 18% | 9% | 9 | ||||
| 23–24 Sep | YouGov | The Sun | 1,536 | 31% | 41% | 16% | 12% | 10 | ||||
| 17–18 Sep | ComRes | The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 27% | 39% | 21% | 12% | 12 | ||||
| 17–19 Sep | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,227 | 24% | 44% | 20% | 12% | 20 | ||||
| 12–14 Sep | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,017 | 24% | 52% | 12% | 12% | 28 | ||||
| 10–12 Sep | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 2,161 | 27% | 46% | 16% | 11% | 19 | ||||
| 3–4 Sep | ComRes[link removed] | The Independent | 1,013 | 25% | 44% | 17% | 14% | 19 | ||||
| 29–31 Aug | Populus | The Times | 1,506 | 27% | 43% | 18% | 12% | 16 | ||||
| 26–27 Aug | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,267 | 26% | 45% | 16% | 13% | 19 | ||||
| 20–21 Aug | ComRes[link removed] | The Independent | 1,014 | 25% | 46% | 16% | 13% | 21 | ||||
| 15–17 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,002 | 29% | 44% | 19% | 8% | 15 | ||||
| 15–17 Aug | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,005 | 24% | 48% | 16% | 12% | 24 | ||||
| 14–15 Aug | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,745 | 25% | 45% | 18% | 12% | 20 | ||||
| 6–8 Aug | YouGov | News of the World | 2,031 | 26% | 46% | 17% | 11% | 20 | ||||
| 31 Jul – 2 Aug | BPIX[222] | N/A | 1,333 | 24% | 47% | 16% | 13% | 23 | ||||
| 30 Jul – 1 Aug | ICM | Sunday Express | 1,001 | 29% | 45% | 16% | 10% | 16 | ||||
| 29–31 Jul | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,949 | 25% | 47% | 16% | 12% | 22 | ||||
| 25–27 Jul | Populus | The Times | 1,002 | 27% | 43% | 18% | 12% | 16 | ||||
| 23–25 Jul | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,120 | 26% | 45% | 17% | 12% | 19 | ||||
| 23–24 Jul | ComRes[link removed] | The Independent | 1,021 | 24% | 46% | 18% | 12% | 22 | ||||
| 18–20 Jul | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,016 | 27% | 47% | 15% | 11% | 20 | ||||
| 18–20 Jul | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Guardian | 1,007 | 28% | 43% | 19% | 10% | 15 | ||||
| 16–17 Jul | ComRes | The Independent on Sunday | 1,016 | 24% | 45% | 16% | 15% | 21 | ||||
| 10–11 Jul | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,832 | 25% | 47% | 16% | 12% | 22 | ||||
| 10 Jul | Haltemprice and Howden by-election (Con hold) | |||||||||||
| 4–6 Jul | Populus | The Times | 1,507 | 28% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 13 | ||||
| 25–26 Jun | ComRes | The Independent | 1,007 | 25% | 46% | 18% | 11% | 21 | ||||
| 23–25 Jun | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,163 | 28% | 46% | 15% | 11% | 18 | ||||
| 20–22 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 25% | 45% | 20% | 10% | 20 | ||||
| 18–20 Jun | BPIX[222] | N/A | 2,385 | 26% | 49% | 14% | 11% | 23 | ||||
| 13–15 Jun | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,012 | 28% | 45% | 16% | 11% | 17 | ||||
| 11–12 Jun | ComRes | The Independent on Sunday | 1,012 | 26% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 18 | ||||
| 12–13 Jun | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,769 | 25% | 47% | 18% | 10% | 22 | ||||
| 6–8 Jun | Populus | The Times | 1,508 | 25% | 45% | 20% | 10% | 20 | ||||
| 4–5 Jun | ICM | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,023 | 26% | 42% | 21% | 11% | 16 | ||||
| 30 May – 1 Jun | ComRes | The Independent | 1,006 | 30% | 44% | 16% | 10% | 14 | ||||
| 27–29 May | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,241 | 23% | 47% | 18% | 12% | 24 | ||||
| 16–18 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,008 | 27% | 41% | 22% | 10% | 14 | ||||
| 15–16 May | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,854 | 25% | 45% | 18% | 12% | 20 | ||||
| 14–15 May | ComRes[link removed] | The Independent on Sunday | 1,004 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 17 | ||||
| 7–8 May | YouGov | The Sun | 1,571 | 23% | 49% | 17% | 11% | 26 | ||||
| 2–4 May | Populus | The Times | 1,509 | 29% | 40% | 19% | 11% | 11 | ||||
| 25–27 Apr | ComRes[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,005 | 26% | 40% | 20% | 14% | 14 | ||||
| 23–24 Apr | ICM | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 29% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 10 | ||||
| 21–23 Apr | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,073 | 26% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 18 | ||||
| 17–22 Apr | Ipsos-MORI | The Observer | 1,059 | 31% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 9 | ||||
| 18–20 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | N/A | 1,000 | 34% | 39% | 19% | 8% | 5 | ||||
| 16–17 Apr | Populus | Sunday Mirror | 1,006 | 30% | 40% | 19% | 11% | 10 | ||||
| 10–11 Apr | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,755 | 28% | 44% | 17% | 11% | 16 | ||||
| 8–10 Apr | Populus | The Times | 1,502 | 33% | 39% | 17% | 6% | 6 | ||||
| 2–3 Apr | ICM | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 32% | 43% | 18% | 7% | 11 | ||||
| 28–30 Mar | ComRes | The Independent | 1,004 | 31% | 38% | 17% | 14% | 7 | ||||
| 25–27 Mar | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,926 | 29% | 43% | 17% | 11% | 14 | ||||
| 13–18 Mar | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,983 | 35% | 40% | 18% | 7% | 5 | ||||
| 14–16 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,003 | 29% | 42% | 21% | 8% | 13 | ||||
| 13–14 Mar | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 2,311 | 27% | 43% | 16% | 13% | 16 | ||||
| 12–13 Mar | ICM[permanent dead link] | News of the World | 1,002 | 31% | 40% | 20% | 9% | 9 | ||||
| 7–9 Mar | Populus | The Times | 1,502 | 34% | 37% | 19% | 10% | 3 | ||||
| 25–27 Feb | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,011 | 33% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 7 | ||||
| 21–26 Feb | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 2,063 | 37% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2 | ||||
| 22–24 Feb | ComRes | The Independent | 1,010 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 12% | 11 | ||||
| 18–20 Feb | YouGov/The Economist | The Economist | 2,118 | 34% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 6 | ||||
| 15–17 Feb | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Guardian | 1,003 | 34% | 37% | 21% | 8% | 3 | ||||
| 14–15 Feb | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 2,469 | 32% | 41% | 16% | 11% | 9 | ||||
| 1–3 Feb | Populus | The Times | 1,504 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 12% | 9 | ||||
| 30–31 Jan | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,012 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5 | ||||
| 25–27 Jan | ComRes | The Independent | 1,003 | 30% | 38% | 17% | 15% | 8 | ||||
| 21–23 Jan | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,992 | 33% | 41% | 16% | 10% | 8 | ||||
| 17–22 Jan | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 2,045 | 38% | 37% | 16% | 9% | 1 | ||||
| 18–20 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,009 | 35% | 37% | 20% | 8% | 2 | ||||
| 10–11 Jan | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 2,139 | 33% | 43% | 14% | 11% | 10 | ||||
| 9–10 Jan | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,011 | 33% | 40% | 18% | 9% | 7 | ||||
| 9–10 Jan | Ipsos MORI | The Sun | 1,006 | 32% | 42% | 15% | 11% | 10 | ||||
| 4–6 Jan | Populus | The Times | 1,509 | 33% | 37% | 19% | 11% | 4 | ||||
2007
| Date(s) Conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–19 Dec | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Guardian | 1,034 | 34% | 39% | 18% | 9% | 5 |
| 17–19 Dec | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,060 | 31% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 12 |
| 14–16 Dec | ComRes[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,004 | 30% | 41% | 16% | 12% | 11 |
| 13–14 Dec | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,481 | 32% | 45% | 14% | 10% | 13 |
| 7–9 Dec | Populus | The Times | 1,506 | 32% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 8 |
| 29 Nov – 7 Dec | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,859 | 35% | 42% | 14% | 9% | 7 |
| 28–29 Nov | ICM[permanent dead link] | News of the World | 1,011 | 30% | 41% | 19% | 10% | 11 |
| 26–29 Nov | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 4,004 | 32% | 43% | 14% | 11% | 11 |
| 23–27 Nov | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,933 | 32% | 41% | 17% | 10% | 9 |
| 23–25 Nov | ComRes[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,009 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 15% | 13 |
| 21–22 Nov | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Guardian | 1,005 | 31% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 6 |
| 21–22 Nov | YouGov | Channel 4 News | 1,600 | 32% | 41% | 14% | 13% | 9 |
| 14–16 Nov | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,983 | 35% | 41% | 13% | 11% | 6 |
| 8–10 Nov | ICM[permanent dead link] | Sunday Express | 1,001 | 35% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 8 |
| 2–4 Nov | Populus | The Times | 1,503 | 37% | 36% | 16% | 11% | 1 |
| 31 Oct – 1 Nov | Ipsos MORI | The Sun | 1,013 | 35% | 40% | 13% | 12% | 5 |
| 26–28 Oct | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Guardian | 1,011 | 35% | 40% | 18% | 7% | 5 |
| 26–28 Oct | ComRes[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,002 | 33% | 42% | 15% | 10% | 8 |
| 22–24 Oct | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,105 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 3 |
| 18–23 Oct | Ipsos MORI | The Observer | 1,987 | 41% | 40% | 13% | 6% | 1 |
| 15 Oct | Menzies Campbell resigns as leader of the Liberal Democrats | |||||||
| 10–11 Oct | ICM[permanent dead link] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 36% | 43% | 14% | 8% | 7 |
| 10 Oct | Ipsos MORI | The Sun | 1,007 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 3 |
| 5–6 Oct | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,757 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 3 |
| 5–7 Oct | Populus | The Times | 1,008 | 40% | 38% | 12% | 10% | 2 |
| 3–4 Oct | YouGov | Channel 4 News | 1,741 | 40% | 36% | 13% | 11% | 4 |
| 3–4 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 38% | 38% | 16% | 8% | Tie | |
| 2–3 Oct | Populus | The Times | 1,000 | 39% | 36% | 15% | 10% | 3 |
| 26–28 Sep | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,165 | 43% | 32% | 15% | 10% | 11 |
| 27–28 Sep | Ipsos MORI | The Observer | 1,000 | 41% | 34% | 16% | 9% | 7 |
| 26–27 Sep | Populus | The Times | 1,002 | 41% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 10 |
| 20–26 Sep | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,964 | 44% | 31% | 15% | 10% | 13 |
| 24–25 Sep | YouGov | Channel 4 News | 1,341 | 44% | 33% | 13% | 11% | 11 |
| 20–22 Sep | Ipsos MORI | The Sun | 1,009 | 42% | 34% | 14% | 10% | 8 |
| 19–21 Sep | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,085 | 39% | 33% | 16% | 12% | 6 |
| 19–20 Sep | ICM | Sunday Mirror | 1,029 | 39% | 33% | 19% | 9% | 6 |
| 13–16 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 40% | 32% | 20% | 8% | 8 |
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,942 | 39% | 34% | 15% | 12% | 5 |
| 11–12 Sep | ComRes[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,005 | 37% | 34% | 15% | 14% | 3 |
| 31 Aug – 2 Sep | Populus | The Times | 1,506 | 37% | 36% | 18% | 9% | 1 |
| 29–31 Aug | YouGov | GMTV | 2,154 | 38% | 35% | 15% | 12% | 3 |
| 29–30 Aug | ComRes[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,016 | 35% | 36% | 14% | 14% | 1 |
| 23–29 Aug | Ipsos MORI | The Sun | 1,941 | 41% | 36% | 16% | 7% | 5 |
| 25–28 Aug | Populus | Conservative Party | 530 | 37% | 36% | 16% | 10% | 1 |
| 24–28 Aug | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,266 | 41% | 33% | 14% | 12% | 8 |
| 22–23 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,016 | 39% | 34% | 18% | 9% | 5 |
| 9–10 Aug | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,966 | 42% | 32% | 14% | 12% | 10 |
| 8–10 Aug | ICM | Sunday Mirror | 1,007 | 39% | 33% | 18% | 10% | 6 |
| 8–9 Aug | Ipsos MORI | The Sun | 531 | 38% | 33% | 15% | 14% | 5 |
| 27–29 Jul | Populus | The Times | 1,511 | 39% | 33% | 15% | 13% | 6 |
| 27–29 Jul | Communicate[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,006 | 37% | 34% | 16% | 14% | 3 |
| 23–25 Jul | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,877 | 41% | 32% | 16% | 11% | 9 |
| 20–22 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 38% | 32% | 20% | 10% | 6 |
| 19–20 Jul | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,664 | 40% | 33% | 15% | 12% | 7 |
| 19 Jul | Ealing Southall by-election and Sedgefield by-election (both Lab holds) | |||||||
| 12–17 Jul | Ipsos MORI | The Observer | 1,919 | 41% | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6 |
| 4–5 Jul | ICM | Sunday Mirror | 1,006 | 37% | 35% | 17% | 10% | 2 |
| 1 Jul | Populus | The Times | 1,504 | 37% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 3 |
| 28–29 Jun | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,886 | 38% | 35% | 15% | 12% | 3 |
| 27–28 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 39% | 35% | 18% | 8% | 4 |
| 22–24 Jun | Communicate[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,005 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 13% | 5 |
| 14–20 Jun | Ipsos MORI | The Observer | 1,970 | 39% | 36% | 15% | 10% | 3 |
| 14–15 Jun | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,753 | 35% | 37% | 14% | 14% | 2 |
| 1–3 Jun | Populus | N/A | 1,503 | 33% | 36% | 17% | 14% | 3 |
| 30–31 May | ICM | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,014 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5 |
| 25–28 May | Communicate[permanent dead link] | The Independent | 1,003 | 31% | 35% | 19% | 15% | 4 |
| 21–23 May | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,050 | 33% | 39% | 15% | 13% | 6 |
| 18–20 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,003 | 32% | 34% | 21% | 12% | 2 |
| 11–13 May | Populus | The Times | 1,504 | 33% | 37% | 17% | 13% | 4 |
| 10–11 May | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,962 | 34% | 38% | 15% | 14% | 4 |
| 10 May | Tony Blair announces his pending resignation as leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister | |||||||
| 23–25 Apr | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,019 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 14% | 5 |
| 19–25 Apr | Ipsos MORI | The Observer | 1,163 | 31% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 7 |
| 20–22 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 30% | 37% | 21% | 12% | 7 |
| 13–15 Apr | Populus | The Times | 1,503 | 29% | 37% | 20% | 14% | 8 |
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 2,218 | 31% | 39% | 16% | 14% | 8 |
| 26–28 Mar | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,042 | 32% | 39% | 17% | 13% | 7 |
| 23–25 Mar | Communicate[permanent dead link] | N/A | 1,002 | 31% | 35% | 20% | 14% | 4 |
| 21–22 Mar | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,752 | 31% | 39% | 16% | 14% | 8 |
| 16–18 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,011 | 31% | 41% | 18% | 10% | 10 |
| 15–16 Mar | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,897 | 32% | 38% | 16% | 14% | 6 |
| 9–15 Mar | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,983 | 33% | 41% | 17% | 9% | 8 |
| 2–4 Mar | Populus | The Times | 1,509 | 30% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 8 |
| 23–25 Feb | Communicate[permanent dead link] | N/A | 1,001 | 29% | 40% | 17% | 14% | 11 |
| 19–21 Feb | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,292 | 32% | 37% | 17% | 14% | 5 |
| 16–18 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 31% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 9 |
| 8–9 Feb | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 2,019 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 14% | 5 |
| 2–4 Feb | Populus | The Times | 1,509 | 33% | 36% | 19% | 12% | 3 |
| 19–29 Jan | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 949 | 35% | 39% | 19% | 7% | 4 |
| 26–28 Jan | Communicate[permanent dead link] | N/A | 1,008 | 29% | 34% | 21% | 16% | 5 |
| 22–24 Jan | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,245 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 7 |
| 19–21 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,004 | 31% | 37% | 23% | 9% | 6 |
| 5–7 Jan | Populus | The Times | 1,507 | 32% | 39% | 18% | 11% | 7 |
2006
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | SNP | Grn | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–22 Dec | YouGov[283] | The Sunday Times | 1,918 | 32% | 37% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 5 |
| 18–20 Dec | YouGov[284] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,874 | 33% | 37% | 17% | 3% | 4%[a] | 1% | 4% | 4 | |
| 19–20 Dec | ComRes[285] | The Independent | 1,009 | 37% | 36% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 14% | 1 |
| 15–17 Dec | ICM[286] | The Guardian | 1,006 | 32% | 40% | 18% | 1% | 2% | 3% | – | 2% | 8 |
| 7–12 Dec | Ipsos MORI[287] | N/A | 1,938 | 36% | 37% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 1 |
| 8–10 Dec | Populus[288] | The Times | 1,513 | 33% | 34% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1 | |
| 28–30 Nov | YouGov[289] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,979 | 32% | 37% | 16% | 3% | 4%[a] | 3% | 3% | 5 | |
| 29–30 Nov | ICM[290] | News of the World | 1,006 | 31% | 39% | 20% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | 4%
PC: 1% Other: 3% |
8 |
| 24–26 Nov | ComRes[285] | The Independent | 1,004 | 36% | 34% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 2 |
| 17–19 Nov | ICM[291] | The Guardian | 1,000 | 32% | 37% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | 3%
PC: <1% Other: 3% |
5 |
| 9–14 Nov | Ipsos MORI[229] | The Observer | 1,115 | 33% | 35% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 2 |
| 3–5 Nov | Populus[292] | The Times | 1,510 | 33% | 36% | 20% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3 | |
| 24–26 Oct | YouGov[293] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,722 | 32% | 39% | 16% | 4% | 2%[a] | 2% | 3% | 7 | |
| 20–22 Oct | ComRes[294] | Independent on Sunday | 977 | 32% | 38% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 6 |
| 20–22 Oct | ICM[295] | The Guardian | 1,019 | 29% | 39% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 1% | – | 3%
PC: 1% Other: 2% | 10 |
| 12–16 Oct | Ipsos MORI[296] | Financial Times | 1,113 | 37% | 35% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 2 |
| 6–8 Oct | Populus[297] | The Times | 1,515 | 35% | 36% | 18% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1 | |
| 4–5 Oct | ICM[298] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,005 | 32% | 38% | 20% | 1% | 2% | 3% | – | 4%
PC: 1% Other: 3% | 6 |
| 28–30 Sep | ICM[299] | Sunday Mirror | 1,029 | 35% | 36% | 19% | 3% | 2% | 2% | – | 5%
PC: 1% Other: 4% | 1 |
| 27–29 Sep | YouGov[300] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,849 | 36% | 36% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 12% | Tie |
| 21–22 Sep | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,546 | 33% | 37% | 18% | 12% | 4 | ||||
| 19–22 Sep | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,733 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 7 | ||||
| 19–20 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,066 | 32% | 36% | 22% | 10% | 4 | ||||
| 13–14 Sep | ICM | Sunday Mirror | 1,003 | 33% | 37% | 21% | 8% | 4 | ||||
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov | The Sun | 1,519 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 7 | ||||
| 6–7 Sep | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,504 | 32% | 40% | 17% | 11% | 8 | ||||
| 31 Aug – 6 Sep | Ipsos MORI | The Sunday Times | 1,186 | 36% | 35% | 19% | 10% | 1 | ||||
| 1–3 Sep | Populus | The Times | 1,504 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 13% | 4 | ||||
| 22–24 Aug | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,757 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 7 | ||||
| 18–20 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,007 | 31% | 40% | 22% | 8% | 9 | ||||
| 24–26 Jul | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,633 | 33% | 38% | 18% | 11% | 5 | ||||
| 20–24 Jul | Ipsos MORI | Financial Times | 1,897 | 32% | 36% | 24% | 8% | 4 | ||||
| 21–23 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,001 | 35% | 39% | 17% | 9% | 4 | ||||
| 7–9 Jul | Populus | The Times | 1,512 | 34% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 2 | ||||
| 29 Jun | Blaenau Gwent by-election (BGPV gain from Ind) and Bromley & Chislehurst by-election (Con hold) | |||||||||||
| 28–29 Jun | ICM | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 35% | 36% | 18% | 11% | 1 | ||||
| 26–28 Jun | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 1,962 | 33% | 39% | 18% | 10% | 6 | ||||
| 20–26 Jun | Ipsos MORI | N/A | 1,931 | 33% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 3 | ||||
| 21–23 Jun | YouGov | The Daily Telegraph | 2,009 | 32% | 39% | 17% | 12% | 7 | ||||
| 16–18 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 9% | 5 | ||||
| 8–12 Jun | Ipsos MORI | The Observer | 1,975 | 34% | 41% | 18% | 7% | 7 | ||||
| 2–4 Jun | Populus[301] | The Times | 1,505 | 34% | 37% | 18% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3 | |
| 25–30 May | Ipsos MORI[302] | The Sun | 1,984 | 31% | 41% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 10 |
| 23–25 May | YouGov[303] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,102 | 32% | 38% | 16% | 4% | 3%[a] | 3% | 4% | 6 | |
| 19–21 May | ICM[304] | The Guardian | 1,001 | 34% | 38% | 20% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1%
PC: <1% Other: <1% | 4 |
| 8–9 May | YouGov[305] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,910 | 31% | 37% | 17% | 3% | 2%[a] | 3% | 6% | 6 | |
| 5–7 May | Populus[306] | The Times | 1,516 | 30% | 38% | 20% | <1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 8 | |
| 4 May | Local elections in England | |||||||||||
| 27 Apr – 2 May | Ipsos MORI[307] | Financial Times | 1,078 | 32% | 36% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 4 |
| 28–29 Apr[d] | BPIX[285] | Mail on Sunday | – | 32% | 35% | 19% | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 3 |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov[308] | The Sunday Times | 1,930 | 32% | 35% | 18% | 3% | 2%[a] | 3% | 6% | 3 | |
| 21–23 Apr | ICM[309] | The Guardian | 1,006 | 32% | 34% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1%
PC: <1% Other: 1% | 2 |
| 20–22 Apr | Ipsos MORI[310] | The Sun | 1,006 | 30% | 30% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 15% | Tie |
| 18–20 Apr | YouGov[311] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,075 | 35% | 33% | 17% | 3% | 2%[a] | 2% | 7% | 1%
Rsp: 0% Other: 1% |
2 |
| 6–8 Apr[e] | BPIX[285] | Mail on Sunday | – | 36% | 37% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 1 |
| 5–6 Apr | ICM[312] | Channel 4 | 1,009 | 35% | 35% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 9% | Tie |
| 31 Mar – 2 Apr | Populus[313] | The Times | 1,503 | 36% | 34% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2 | |
| 27–29 Mar | YouGov[314] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,873 | 36% | 36% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 10% | Tie |
| 16–21 Mar | Ipsos MORI[315] | N/A | 1,155 | 39% | 34% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 5 |
| 16–18 Mar | ICM[316] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 37% | 33% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | 2%
PC: 1% Other: 1% |
4 |
| 16–17 Mar | YouGov[317] | The Sunday Times | 1,811 | 35% | 38% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 3 |
| 10–12 Mar | ICM[318] | The Guardian | 1,006 | 37% | 34% | 21% | 1% | 2% | 2% | – | 3%
PC: 1% Other: 2% |
3 |
| 3–5 Mar | Populus[319] | The Times | 1,509 | 35% | 35% | 20% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
| 3–4 Mar | BPIX[285] | Mail on Sunday | – | 37% | 39% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 2 |
| 2 Mar | Menzies Campbell is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats | |||||||||||
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov[320] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,019 | 36% | 38% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 2 |
| 16–20 Feb | Ipsos MORI[321] | The Sun | 1,143 | 38% | 35% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 3 |
| 17–19 Feb | ICM[322] | The Guardian | 1,002 | 34% | 37% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | 3%
PC: 1% Other: 2% |
3 |
| 9–10 Feb | YouGov[323] | The Sunday Times | 1,617 | 39% | 37% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 2 |
| 9 Feb | Dunfermline and West Fife by-election (LD gain from Lab) | |||||||||||
| 3–5 Feb | Populus[324] | The Times | 1,508 | 36% | 37% | 18% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1 | |
| 26–28 Jan | ICM[325] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,041 | 36% | 37% | 19% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 3%
PC: 2% Other: 1% |
1 |
| 24–26 Jan | YouGov[326] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,096 | 40% | 39% | 13% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 1 |
| 19–23 Jan | Ipsos MORI[327] | Financial Times | 1,163 | 38% | 40% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 2 |
| 20–22 Jan | ICM[328] | The Guardian | 1,009 | 36% | 37% | 19% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 3%
PC: 2% Other: 1% |
1 |
| 12–17 Jan | Ipsos MORI[329] | The Sun | 541 | 39% | 39% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 7% | Tie |
| 11–12 Jan | ICM[330] | News of the World | 1,015 | 35% | 39% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 4 |
| 6–8 Jan | Populus[331] | The Times | 1,509 | 39% | 36% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3 | |
| 7 Jan | Charles Kennedy resigns as leader of the Liberal Democrats | |||||||||||
| 5–7 Jan | BPIX[285] | Mail on Sunday | – | 38% | 38% | 16% | – | – | – | – | 8% | Tie |
2005
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | SNP | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–18 Dec | ICM[332] | The Guardian | 1,004 | 36% | 37% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
1 |
| 13–15 Dec | YouGov[333] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,071 | 36% | 38% | 18% | – | – | – | 8% | 2 |
| 9–12 Dec | Ipsos MORI[334] | The Observer | 1,000 | 31% | 40% | 20% | – | – | – | 9% | 9 |
| 9–11 Dec | Populus[335] | The Times | 1,521 | 38% | 35% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3 | |
| 8–9 Dec | BPIX[285] | Mail on Sunday | – | 38% | 37% | 17% | – | – | – | 8% | 1 |
| 7–8 Dec | ICM[336] | The Guardian | 1,003 | 35% | 37% | 21% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
2 |
| 6–8 Dec | YouGov[337] | The Sunday Times | 2,089 | 36% | 37% | 18% | – | – | – | 8% | 1 |
| 6 Dec | David Cameron is elected leader of the Conservative Party | ||||||||||
| 5–6 Dec | YouGov[338] | Sky News | 1,612 | 36% | 36% | 18% | – | – | – | 10% | Tie |
| 22–24 Nov | YouGov[339] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,616 | 37% | 35% | 20% | – | – | – | 8% | 2 |
| 17–22 Nov | Ipsos MORI[340] | N/A | 1,089 | 42% | 32% | 19% | – | – | – | 7% | 10 |
| 18–20 Nov | ICM[341] | The Guardian | 1,013 | 38% | 33% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3%
PC on 2% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 4–6 Nov | Populus[342] | The Times | 1,512 | 40% | 32% | 19% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 8 | |
| 2–3 Nov | ICM[343] | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 39% | 33% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2%
PC on <1% Other on 2% |
6 |
| 2 Nov[f] | BPIX[285] | Mail on Sunday | – | 37% | 35% | 20% | – | – | – | 8% | 2 |
| 25–27 Oct | YouGov[344] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,947 | 40% | 32% | 19% | – | – | – | 9% | 8 |
| 20–25 Oct | Ipsos MORI[345] | N/A | 1,904 | 40% | 34% | 21% | – | – | – | 5% | 6 |
| 19–20 Oct | ICM[346] | The Guardian | 1,007 | 36% | 33% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on 1% Other on 1% |
3 |
| 15 Oct | BPIX[285] | N/A | – | 41% | 33% | 18% | – | – | – | 8% | 8 |
| 7–9 Oct | Populus[347] | The Times | 1,509 | 40% | 30% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 10 | |
| 5–6 Oct | ICM[348] | News of the World | 1,015 | 38% | 32% | 22% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
5 |
| 29 Sep | Livingston by-election (Lab hold) | ||||||||||
| 27–29 Sep | YouGov[349] | The Daily Telegraph | 2,183 | 40% | 32% | 20% | – | – | – | 9% | 8 |
| 22–26 Sep | MORI[350] | N/A | 1,132 | 39% | 29% | 25% | – | – | – | 7% | 10 |
| 16–17 Sep | ICM[351] | The Guardian | 1,013 | 40% | 31% | 21% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4%
PC on 1% Other on 3% |
9 |
| 8–9 Sep | YouGov[352] | The Sunday Times | 1,856 | 37% | 32% | 21% | – | – | – | 10% | 5 |
| 2–4 Sep | Populus[353] | The Times | 1,506 | 37% | 35% | 20% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2 | |
| 19–24 Aug | YouGov[354] | The Daily Telegraph | – | 40% | 33% | 20% | – | – | – | 7% | 7 |
| 11–15 Aug | MORI[355] | N/A | 1,191 | 39% | 31% | 24% | – | – | – | 6% | 8 |
| 12–14 Aug | ICM[356] | The Guardian | 1,006 | 38% | 31% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3%
PC on 2% Other on 1% |
7 |
| 26–28 Jul | YouGov[357] | The Daily Telegraph | – | 40% | 31% | 21% | – | – | – | 8% | 9 |
| 22–24 Jul | Populus[358] | The Times | 1,506 | 40% | 28% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 12 | |
| 14–18 Jul | MORI[359] | The Observer | 1,227 | 41% | 28% | 25% | – | – | – | 6% | 13 |
| 15–17 Jul | ICM[360] | The Guardian | 1,005 | 39% | 31% | 23% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3%
PC on 1% Other on 2% |
8 |
| 14 Jul | Cheadle by-election (LD hold) | ||||||||||
| 28–30 Jun | YouGov[361] | The Daily Telegraph | 3,717 | 38% | 33% | 20% | – | – | – | 9% | 5 |
| 16–20 Jun | MORI[285] | Social Research Institute | 1,227 | 42% | 29% | 21% | – | – | – | 8% | 13 |
| 17–19 Jun | ICM[362] | The Guardian | 1,005 | 38% | 31% | 23% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2%
PC on <1% Other on 2% |
7 |
| 24–26 May | YouGov[363] | The Daily Telegraph | – | 38% | 31% | 23% | – | – | – | 8% | 7 |
| 19–23 May | MORI[364] | First Tuesday | – | 40% | 27% | 26% | – | – | – | 7% | 13 |
| 19–23 May | MORI[365] | Financial Times | 1,274 | 37% | 30% | 26% | – | – | – | 7% | 7 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 36.2% | 33.2% | 22.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.0 | |
Seat projections
326 seats were required for a majority in the House of Commons.
| Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 258 | 306 | 57 | 29 | Hung (Con −20) | |
| 5 May 2010 | Ipsos MORI[366][g] | Evening Standard | 1,216 | 261 | 277 | 79 | 15[h] | Hung (Con −49) |
| 4–5 May 2010 | ComRes[8] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,025 | 233 | 299 | 87 | 13[i] | Hung (Con −27) |
| 29 Apr – 4 May 2010 | TNS-BMRB[11] | N/A | 1,864 | 204 | 292 | 114 | 22[j] | Hung (Con −34) |
| 28 Apr – 4 May 2010 | Harris Interactive[12] | The Metro | 786 | 250 | 290 | 78 | 14[k] | Hung (Con −36) |
| 2–3 May 2010 | ComRes[13] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,024 | 251 | 294 | 74 | 13[l] | Hung (Con −32) |
| 1–2 May 2010 | ComRes[15] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,024 | 251 | 294 | 74 | 13[m] | Hung (Con −32) |
| 30 Apr – 1 May 2010 | ComRes[17] | Sunday Mirror/The Independent | 1,019 | 236 | 315 | 69 | 12[n] | Hung (Con −11) |
| 26–27 Apr 2010 | ComRes[22] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,006 | 259 | 282 | 77 | 14[o] | Hung (Con −44) |
| 25–26 Apr 2010 | ComRes[26] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,024 | 277 | 248 | 93 | 14[p] | Hung (Lab −49) |
| 20–26 Apr 2010 | Harris Interactive[28] | The Metro | 1,678 | 246 | 259 | 113 | 14[q] | Hung (Con −67) |
| 24–25 Apr 2010 | ComRes[30] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,003 | 268 | 238 | 112 | 14[r] | Hung (Lab −58) |
| 23–24 Apr 2010 | ComRes[33] | Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday | 1,006 | 254 | 271 | 93 | 14[s] | Hung (Con −55) |
| 19–20 Apr 2010 | Angus Reid Public Opinion[37] | PoliticalBetting.com | 1,953 | 160 | 270 | 186 | 16[t] | Hung (Con −56) |
| 19–20 Apr 2010 | ComRes[38] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,015 | 226 | 301 | 91 | 14[u] | Hung (Con −25) |
| 18–19 Apr 2010 | ComRes[41] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,012 | 233 | 299 | 86 | 14[v] | Hung (Con −27) |
| 16–19 Apr 2010 | Angus Reid Public Opinion[43] | PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 193 | 271 | 153 | 15[w] | Hung (Con −55) |
| 17–18 Apr 2010 | ComRes[44] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,003 | 279 | 245 | 94 | 14[x] | Hung (Lab −47) |
| 12–13 Apr 2010 | ComRes[52] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,001 | 270 | 286 | 61 | 15[y] | Hung (Con −40) |
| 11–12 Apr 2010 | ComRes[55] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,002 | 283 | 281 | 53 | 15[z] | Hung (Lab −43) |
| 10–11 Apr 2010 | ComRes[58] | ITV News/The Independent | 1,004 | 266 | 295 | 57 | 14[aa] | Hung (Con −31) |
| 26–28 Feb 2010 | ComRes[109] | The Independent | 1,005 | 294 | 277 | 46 | 33 | Hung (Lab −32) |
| 26–28 Jan 2010 | Ipsos MORI[132] | Daily Mirror | 1,001 | 268 | 317 | 31 | 16[ab] | Hung (Con −9) |
| 11–21 Sep 2009 | YouGov[367] | PoliticsHome | 33,610 | 199 | 360 | 55 | 36 | Con 70 |
| 22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 | YouGov[368] | PoliticsHome | 34,634 | 160 | 398 | 44 | 48 | Con 146 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election[ac] | – | 355 | 198 | 62 | 31 | Lab 66 | |
Exit poll
An exit poll, collected by Ipsos MORI and GfK NOP for the BBC, ITN and Sky News, was published at 22:00 at the end of voting. Data was gathered from 130 polling stations across the country.[369]
| Parties | Seats | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 307 | ||
| Labour Party | 255 | ||
| Liberal Democrats | 59 | ||
| Others[ad] | 29 | ||
| Hung Parliament (Conservatives 19 seats short of majority) | |||
Initial reaction to the exit poll by various commentators was of surprise at the apparent poor prospects for the Liberal Democrats[370] because it was odds with many opinion polls undertaken in the previous weeks. However, the actual results showed that the exit poll was a good predictor.
A later BBC forecast (05:36 BST) predicted the Conservatives on 306, 20 short of an overall majority, Labour on 262, and Liberal Democrats on 55.[371]
Sub-national poll results
Scotland
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | LD | SNP | Con | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 42.0% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 2.5% | 22.1 | |
| 3 May 2010 | YouGov[372] | The Scotsman | 1,507 | 37% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 3% | 15 |
| 21–27 Apr 2010 | TNS-BMRB[372] | Scottish Mail on Sunday | 1,029 | 44% | 16% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 21 |
| 23–26 Apr 2010 | Populus[372] | The Times | 1,000 | 37% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 4% | 13 |
| 14–17 Apr 2010 | Ipsos MORI[372] | STV | 1,005 | 36% | 20% | 26% | 14% | 4% | 10 |
| 24–26 Mar 2010 | YouGov[373] | Scottish Mail on Sunday | 1,008 | 37% | 14% | 24% | 18% | 7% | 13 |
| 3–10 Mar 2010 | YouGov[373] | The Scottish Sun | 720 | 39% | 12% | 26% | 18% | 5% | 13 |
| 24 Feb – 3 Mar 2010 | YouGov[373] | The Scottish Sun | 821 | 39% | 14% | 24% | 18% | 5% | 15 |
| 24–26 Feb 2010 | YouGov[373] | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 35% | 15% | 24% | 20% | 6% | 11 |
| 24–26 Feb 2010 | YouGov[373] | Scottish Mail on Sunday | 1,002 | 38% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 6% | 17 |
| 17–24 Feb 2010 | YouGov[373] | The Scottish Sun | 667 | 42% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 5% | 22 |
| 18–21 Feb 2010 | Ipsos MORI[373] | – | 1,006 | 34% | 12% | 32% | 17% | 5% | 2 |
| 15–17 Feb 2010 | YouGov[373] | The Scottish Sun | 562 | 37% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 6% | 16 |
| 19–23 Nov 2009 | Ipsos MORI[373] | – | 1,009 | 32% | 12% | 34% | 15% | 7% | 2 |
| 18–20 Nov 2009 | YouGov[373] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,141 | 39% | 12% | 24% | 18% | 7% | 15 |
| 28 Oct – 3 Nov 2009 | TNS-BMRB[373] | Herald | 983 | 39% | 12% | 25% | 18% | 6% | 14 |
| 20–31 Aug 2009 | Ipsos MORI[374] | Holyrood Magazine | 1,000 | 27% | 14% | 33% | 18% | 6 | |
| 26–28 Aug 2009 | YouGov[373] | Mail on Sunday | 1,183 | 30% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 6% | 4 |
| 24–26 Aug 2009 | YouGov[373] | Daily Mail | 1,078 | 33% | 16% | 25% | 19% | 7% | 8 |
| 2–4 Jun 2009 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,048 | 28% | 16% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3 |
| 22–28 Apr 2009 | TNS System 3[373] | – | 986 | 36% | 9% | 19% | 32% | 4% | 4 |
| 12–13 Mar 2009 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,380 | 37% | 11% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 10 |
| 29–30 Jan 2009 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,498 | 37% | 12% | 27% | 20% | 4% | 10 |
| 22–24 Oct 2008 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,266 | 38% | 11% | 29% | 20% | 2% | 9 |
| 3–5 Sep 2008 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,355 | 32% | 13% | 34% | 17% | 4% | 2 |
| 8–10 Jul 2008 | YouGov[373] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,131 | 29% | 14% | 33% | 20% | 4% | 4 |
| 26–29 Apr 2008 | TNS System 3[373] | – | 1,086 | 39% | 10% | 31% | 17% | 3% | 8 |
| 24–28 Apr 2008 | YouGov[373] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,175 | 34% | 14% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 4 |
| 2–4 Apr 2008 | YouGov[373] | The Sun | 1,070 | 35% | 12% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 4 |
| 3–8 Jan 2008 | YouGov[373] | Daily Express | 1,343 | 36% | 12% | 30% | 18% | 4% | 6 |
| 15–17 Aug 2007 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,118 | 40% | 11% | 31% | 14% | 4% | 9 |
| 10–12 Jan 2007 | YouGov[373] | Sunday Times | 1,005 | 35% | 15% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 7 |
| 4–8 Jan 2007 | YouGov[373] | Channel 4 | 1,061 | 34% | 15% | 27% | 19% | 5% | 7 |
| 17–22 Nov 2006 | YouGov[373] | The Daily Telegraph | 1,016 | 36% | 16% | 25% | 18% | 5% | 11 |
| 1 Apr – 30 Jun 2006 | Ipsos MORI[375] | – | 520 | 36% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 6% | 12 |
| 1 Jan – 31 Mar 2006 | Ipsos MORI[375] | – | 526 | 44% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 4% | 25 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 39.5% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 16.9 | |
Wales
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | LD | PC | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 36.2% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 10.1 | |
| 1–3 May 2010 | YouGov[376] | ITV Wales | Unknown | 35% | 27% | 23% | 10% | 5% | 8 |
| Late Apr 2010 | R&MP[377] | Western Mail | Unknown | 37.5% | 23.5% | 21% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 14 |
| 16–19 Apr 2010 | YouGov[377] | ITV Wales | 1,070 | 33% | 23% | 29% | 9% | 6% | 4 |
| Mar 2010 | NAW[377] | ITV Wales | Unknown | 39% | 27% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 12 |
| Mar 2010 | YouGov[377] | ITV Wales | Unknown | 37% | 29% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 8 |
| Jan 2010 | YouGov[377] | ITV Wales | Unknown | 35% | 32% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 3 |
| Nov 2009 | YouGov[377] | ITV Wales | Unknown | 34% | 31% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 3 |
| 21–23 Oct 2009 | YouGov[376] | University of Aberystwyth | 1,078 | 34% | 31% | 12% | 15% | 7% | 3 |
| Jul 2009 | YouGov[376] | IWP-WGC | Unknown | 28% | 33% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 5 |
| Mar 2009 | Beaufort[376] | Plaid Cymru | Unknown | 41% | 22% | 13% | 17% | 7% | 19 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 42.7% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 16.9 | |
Marginal constituencies
YouGov conducted polls on select series of marginal constituencies for PoliticsHome's Electoral Index.
"Inner London"
The constituencies polled were Battersea, Bethnal Green and Bow, Hammersmith, Poplar and Limehouse, Tooting and Westminster North.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 41.5% | 33.6% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
8.0 | |
| 11–21 Sep 2009 | YouGov[367] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 36% | 37% | 18% | 9% | 1 |
| 22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 | YouGov[368] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 34% | 41% | 17% | 7% | 7 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 40% | 29% | 16% | 15% | 11 | |
"Outer London"
The constituencies polled were Brentford and Isleworth, Croydon Central, Dagenham and Rainham, Ealing Central and Acton, Ealing North, Eltham, Enfield North, Feltham and Heston, Finchley and Golders Green, Harrow East, Harrow West, Hendon and Bromley and Chislehurst.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 36.9% | 41.3% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 4.4 | |
| 11–21 Sep 2009 | YouGov[367] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 32% | 42% | 16% | 10% | 10 |
| 22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 | YouGov[368] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 30% | 46% | 16% | 7% | 16 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 42% | 36% | 17% | 5% | 6 | |
"London Commuter Belt"
The constituencies polled were Bedford, Castle Point, Chatham and Aylesford, Crawley, Dartford, Gillingham and Rainham, Gravesham, Harrow, Hemel Hempstead, Kettering, Luton North, Luton South, Milton Keynes North, Milton Keynes South, Northampton North, Northampton South, Reading West, Rochester and Strood, Sittingbourne and Sheppey, Slough, South Basildon and East Thurrock, Stevenage and Thurrock.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 30.7% | 50.3% | 16.8% | 2.2% | 19.6 | |
| 11–21 Sep 2009 | YouGov[367] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 26% | 46% | 15% | 12% | 20 |
| 22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 | YouGov[368] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 27% | 52% | 14% | 8% | 25 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 42% | 38% | 15% | 5% | 4 | |
Seaside towns
The constituencies polled were Blackpool North and Cleveleys, Blackpool South, Brighton Kemptown, Brighton Pavilion, Cleethorpes, Dorset South, Great Yarmouth, Hastings and Rye, Hove, Morecambe and Lunesdale and Thanet South.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 34.8% | 42.2% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 7.4 | |
| 11–21 Sep 2009 | YouGov[367] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 32% | 36% | 14% | 19% | 4 |
| 22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 | YouGov[368] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 30% | 44% | 14% | 11% | 14 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 43% | 34% | 15% | 8% | 9 | |
"Labour's southern bastions"
The constituencies polled were Bristol East, Bristol North West, Dover, Exeter, Gloucester, Ipswich, Kingswood, Norwich North, Plymouth Moor View, Plymouth Sutton and Devonport, Portsmouth North, North East Somerset, Southampton Itchen, Southampton Test, Stroud, Swindon North, Swindon South and Waveney.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 32.9% | 38.7% | 22.4% | 6.0% | 5.8 | |
| 11–21 Sep 2009 | YouGov[367] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 29% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 10 |
| 22 Jul – 4 Aug 2008 | YouGov[368] | PoliticsHome | Unknown | 29% | 44% | 19% | 8% | 15 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 43% | 33% | 18% | 6% | 10 | |
Individual constituency poll results
Blaenau Gwent
Blaenau Gwent maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Law (Ind) |
Lab | LD | PC | Con | BGPV | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | – | 52.4% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 19.9% | 6.4% | 32.5 | |
| 29 Jun 2006 | 2006 by-election | – | – | 37.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 46.7% | 1.2% | 9.7 | |
| 1 Jun 2006 | NOP[378] | – | ? | – | 47% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 35% | – | 12 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 58.2% | 32.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | – | 0.5% | 25.9 | |
Brighton Pavilion
Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Brighton Pavilion were changed. The Green Party candidate was its leader, Caroline Lucas.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Grn | LD | UKIP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 28.9% | 23.7% | 31.3% | 13.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4 | |
| 16–21 Dec 2009 | ICM[379] | Green Party of England and Wales[380] | 533 | 25% | 27% | 35% | 11% | – | 2% | 8 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 35.4% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 11.5 | |
Crewe and Nantwich
Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Crewe and Nantwich were changed.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 34.0% | 45.8% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 11.8 | |
| 22 May 2008 | 2008 by-election | – | 30.6% | 49.5% | 14.6% | 5.5% | 18.9 | |
| 15–18 May 2008 | ComRes[285] | The Independent | ? | 35% | 48% | 12% | – | 13 |
| May 2008 | ICM[285] | News of the World | ? | 37% | 45% | 14% | – | 8 |
| 7–8 May 2008 | ICM[285] | Mail on Sunday | ? | 39% | 43% | 16% | – | 4 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 48.8% | 32.6% | 18.6% | – | 16.2 | |
Glasgow East
Glasgow East maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | SNP | LD | Con | SSP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 61.6% | 24.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 36.9 | |
| 24 Jul 2008 | 2008 by-election | – | 41.7% | 43.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.4 | |
| 14–17 Jul 2008 | Progressive Scottish Opinion[285] | – | ? | 52% | 35% | 7% | 3% | – | – | 17 |
| 10–11 Jul 2008 | ICM[285] | Sunday Telegraph | ? | 47% | 33% | 9% | 7% | – | 4% | 14 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 60.7% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | – | 43.7 | |
Glasgow North East
Glasgow North East maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Spk | SNP | SLP | SSP | BNP | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | – | 14.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 68.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 0.6% | 54.2 | |
| 12 Nov 2009 | 2009 by-election | – | – | 20.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 4.9% | 59.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 7.3% | 39.4 | |
| 31 May 2009 | Scottish Opinion[285] | Sunday Times | ? | – | 33% | – | – | – | 51% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 18 |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 53.3% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | – | – | – | 6.7% | 35.6 | |
Glenrothes
Glenrothes maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | SNP | LD | Con | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 62.3% | 21.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 40.6 | |
| 6 Nov 2008 | 2008 by-election | – | 55.1% | 36.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 18.6 | |
| 17 Sep 2008 | ICM[381] | Mail on Sunday | ? | 43% | 43% | 8% | 5% | 1% | Tie |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 51.9% | 23.4% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 28.5 | |
Norwich North
Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Norwich North were changed.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Grn | UKIP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2010 | 2010 general election | – | 31.4% | 40.6% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 9.2 | |
| 23 Jul 2009 | 2009 by-election | – | 18.2% | 39.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 21.3 | |
| 19–21 Jun 2009 | ICM[381] | University of East Anglia | ? | 30% | 34% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 4 | |
| 5 May 2005 | 2005 general election | – | 44.9% | 33.2% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 11.7 | |
Other polling
Hypothetical scenarios
Alternative Labour Party leaders
ComRes produced a poll for The Independent to gauge how people would vote under a different Labour leader than Gordon Brown.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Hypothetical Labour leader | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–7 Jun 2009 | ComRes[382] | The Independent | 1,001 | Alan Johnson | 26% | 36% | 19% | 19% | 10 |
| Jack Straw | 25% | 36% | 19% | 20% | 11 | ||||
| David Miliband | 25% | 37% | 19% | 19% | 12 | ||||
| Jon Cruddas | 22% | 37% | 21% | 21% | 15 | ||||
| Ed Balls | 23% | 38% | 20% | 19% | 15 | ||||
| Harriet Harman | 22% | 38% | 20% | 20% | 16 | ||||
| James Purnell | 21% | 38% | 21% | 20% | 17 |
With Gordon Brown as Labour leader
It was widely expected that Tony Blair would step down as leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister at some point during this parliament and be succeeded by Gordon Brown.[323] Before this eventually happened in June 2007, some polling companies conducted hypothetical polls with the condition of Brown as Labour leader.
| Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24–27 Jun 2007 | Gordon Brown is elected leader of the Labour Party and subsequently becomes Prime Minister | |||||||
| 16–17 Mar 2006 | YouGov[317] | The Sunday Times | 1,811 | 37% | 39% | 17% | 8% | 2 |