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Opinion polling for the 2013 Australian federal election

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This article collates results of opinion polls that were conducted in relation to voting intentions of the Australian public in the lead-up to the 2013 Australian federal election.[1]

Polling firms

Galaxy Research, Newspoll, and Nielsen Australia conduct telephone polls of federal voting intentions. Essential Research reports a rolling average of its two most recent polls, which are conducted each weekend using online surveys.[citation needed]

Through late February 2013, Roy Morgan Research released separate polls conducted by face-to-face interviews and telephone polling. Face-to-face polling was conducted each weekend, though the data published was usually an average of two weeks' polling. Telephone polls were conducted sporadically. Since the end of February 2013, Morgan has released a "multi-mode" poll, consisting of face-to-face, online, and SMS polling.[2]

All of the firms report two-party-preferred vote estimates calculated according to the flow of preferences at the last election. Roy Morgan additionally reports two-party preferred estimates calculated according to respondents' reported preferences (which is usually reported as the head line number in Roy Morgan publications). To ensure comparability between the results reported by different firms, the tables and charts below report only two-party-preferred vote estimates calculated according to the first method.[citation needed]

The polls reported here typically have sample sizes in excess of 1,000, with margins of error of approximately three per cent.[citation needed]

Since the 2010 election, voters were regularly polled as to which party they would vote for were an election held on the day of the survey: Labor (ALP), the Coalition, the Greens, or some other candidate. Each firm reports its calculation of the two-party preferred vote (TPP) based on the flow of preferences at the previous election.

Sources for Galaxy, Essential, and Nielsen are provided for each poll; Newspoll[3] and Morgan[4] maintain databases of their polling.

Graphical summary

Voting intention

More information Date, Firm ...
Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP ALP GRN PUP KAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
7 Sep 2013 2013 election 45.5% 33.4% 8.6% 5.5% 1.0% 1.4% 4.5% 46.5% 53.5%
7 Sep 2013 Morgan (exit poll 2)[5] N/a 42% 33.5% 11% 5% N/a N/a 8% 48% 52%
7 Sep 2013 Morgan (exit poll 1)[5] N/a 42% 34.5% 11% 5% N/a N/a 7.5% 48% 52%
4 – 6 Sep 2013 Morgan[1] 4,937 44% 31.5% 10.5% 6.5% 1% N/a 6.5% 46.5% 53.5%
5 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[1] 3,512 43.5% 33.7% 10.2% 7.0% 1.1% N/a 4.6% 47% 53%
5 Sep 2013 Lonergan[1] 862 42% 34% 14% N/a N/a N/a 10% 49.2% 50.8%
4 – 5 Sep 2013 Nielsen[1] 1,431 46% 33% 11% 4% 1% 2% 2% 46% 54%
3 – 5 Sep 2013 Newspoll[1] 2,511 46% 33% 9% N/a N/a N/a 12% 46% 54%
2 – 4 Sep 2013 Galaxy[1] 1,503 45% 35% 9% 5% N/a N/a 6% 47% 53%
1 – 4 Sep 2013 Essential[1][6] 1,035 43% 35% 10% N/a N/a N/a 10% 48% 52%
30 Aug – 2 Sep 2013 AMR[1] 1,101 44% 34% 10% N/a N/a N/a 12% 47% 53%
Close

Sub-national polling

Queensland

More information Date, Firm ...
Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN PUP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
7 Sep 2013 2013 election 45.7% 29.8% 6.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.4% 3.2% 57.0% 43.0%
7 Sep 2013 Morgan (exit poll)[5][7] N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.5% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
Close

Data table

More information Date, Firm ...
House of Representatives
(lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP* Labor Green Other Labor L/NP
4–6 Sep 2013 Morgan (multi) 45% 31.5% 9.5% 14% 44.5% 54.5%
5 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[8] 43.5% 33.7% 10.2% 12.7% 47% 53 %
4–5 Sep 2013 Nielsen[9] 46% 33% 11% 10% 46% 54%
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 46% 33% 9% 12% 46% 54%
4 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[10] 43.6% 32.7% 10.0% 13.7% 47% 53 %
2–4 Sep 2013 Galaxy[11] 45% 35% 9% 11% 47% 53%
1–4 Sep 2013 Essential[e 1] 43% 35% 10% 12% 48% 52%
3 Sept 2013 ReachTEL[12] 44.2% 35.3% 9.7% 10.7% 48% 52%
30 Aug–1 Sep 2013 Morgan (multi) 43% 34% 11% 12% 48% 52%
30 Aug–1 Sep 2013 Newspoll 46% 33% 10% 11% 46% 54%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2013 Essential[e 2] 44% 35% 11% 10% 48% 52%
28–29 Aug 2013 Galaxy[13] 46% 35% 10% 9% 47% 53%
28–29 Aug 2013 Morgan (multi) 44% 30.5% 12% 13.5% 46% 54%
26 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[14] 46.5% 35.7% 10.1% 7.7% 47% 53%
21–25 Aug 2013 Essential[e 3] 43% 38% 11% 9% 50% 50%
23–25 Aug 2013 Newspoll 47% 37% 9% 7% 47% 53%
23–25 Aug 2013 Morgan (multi) 45% 34.5% 11% 9.5% 47.5% 52.5%
18–22 Aug 2013 Nielsen[15] 47% 35% 10% 7% 47% 53%
16–18 Aug 2013 Newspoll 47% 34% 9% 10% 46% 54%
16–18 Aug 2013 Morgan (multi) 44.5% 36.5% 9.5% 9.5% 48% 52%
16–18 Aug 2013 AMR[16] 41% 38% 10% 11% 50% 50%
14–18 Aug 2013 Essential[e 4] 44% 40% 8% 8% 50% 50%
14–15 Aug 2013 Galaxy[17] 45% 36% 10% 9% 48% 52%
12–13 Aug 2013 Morgan (phone)[18] 52% 31% 9% 8% 43% 57%
9–12 Aug 2013 Essential[e 5] 43% 39% 8% 10% 49% 51%
9–11 Aug 2013 Newspoll 46% 35% 11% 8% 48% 52%
9–11 Aug 2013 Morgan (multi) 44% 36.5% 10.5% 9% 48.5% 51.5%
10 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[19] 46.9% 36.9% 8.9% 7.4% 47% 53%
7–9 Aug 2013 Galaxy[20] 45% 38% 10% 7% 49% 51%
6–8 Aug 2013 Nielsen[21] 46% 37% 10% 8% 48% 52%
4 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[22] 45.7% 37.5% 8.2% 8.6% 48% 52%
2–4 Aug 2013 Morgan (multi) 43% 38% 9.5% 9.5% 49.5% 50.5%
2–4 Aug 2013 Newspoll 44% 37% 9% 10% 48% 52%
1–4 Aug 2013 Essential[e 6] 43% 38% 9% 10% 49% 51%
26–28 Jul 2013 Morgan (multi) 41.5% 38.5% 10.5% 9.5% 50.5% 49.5%
25–28 Jul 2013 Essential[e 7] 44% 39% 9% 8% 49% 51%
23–25 Jul 2013 Galaxy[23] 44% 40% 9% 7% 50% 50%
18–22 Jul 2013 Essential[e 8] 45% 39% 7% 9% 49% 51%
19–21 Jul 2013 Morgan (multi) 41% 41.5% 9% 8.5% 52% 48%
19–21 Jul 2013 Newspoll 45% 37% 10% 8% 48% 52%
18 Jul 2013 ReachTEL[22] 45.4% 39.3% 8.3% 7.0% 49% 51%
12–14 Jul 2013 Morgan (multi) 41% 42% 7% 10% 51.5% 48.5%
11–14 Jul 2013 Essential[e 9] 46% 39% 7% 8% 48% 52%
11–13 Jul 2013 Nielsen[24] 44% 39% 9% 8% 50% 50%
5–8 Jul 2013 AMR[16] 43% 42% 7% 8% 51% 49%
5–7 Jul 2013 Newspoll 42% 38% 9% 11% 50% 50%
5–7 Jul 2013 Morgan (multi) 39.5% 41.5% 8.5% 10.5% 52.5% 47.5%
4–7 Jul 2013 Essential[e 10] 46% 38% 8% 7% 48% 52%
28–30 Jun 2013 Newspoll 43% 35% 11% 11% 49% 51%
28–30 Jun 2013 Morgan (multi) 40.5% 39.5% 8.5% 11.5% 51% 49%
27–30 Jun 2013 Essential[e 11] 46% 36% 9% 9% 47% 53%
27–28 Jun 2013 Galaxy[25] 44% 38% 10% 8% 49% 51%
27 Jun 2013 ReachTEL[22] 45.1% 38.3% 8.7% 7.8% 48% 52%
26 June 2013 Kevin Rudd is elected Prime Minister in Labor leadership spill
21–23 Jun 2013 Newspoll 48% 29% 9% 14% 43% 57%
21–23 Jun 2013 Morgan (multi) 47% 30.5% 9% 13.5% 43.5% 56.5%
20–23 Jun 2013 Essential[e 12] 47% 34% 8% 11% 45% 55%
14–16 Jun 2013 Morgan (multi) 44.5% 33% 9% 13.5% 45.5% 54.5%
13–16 Jun 2013 Essential[e 13] 47% 35% 8% 9% 46% 54%
13–15 Jun 2013 Nielsen[26] 47% 29% 11% 12% 43% 57%
11–13 Jun 2013 Galaxy[27] 47% 32% 11% 10% 45% 55%
7–10 Jun 2013 Morgan (multi) 46% 31% 9.5% 13.5% 44% 56%
6–10 Jun 2013 Essential[e 14] 47% 36% 8% 9% 46% 54%
31 May–2 Jun 2013 Newspoll 49% 30% 9% 12% 42% 58%
31 May–2 Jun 2013 Morgan (multi) 45.5% 31.5% 9.5% 13.5% 44.5% 55.5%
30 May–2 Jun 2013 Essential[e 15] 48% 35% 8% 9% 45% 55%
24–26 May 2013 Morgan (multi) 45.5% 33.5% 9.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
23–26 May 2013 Essential[e 16] 48% 34% 8% 10% 45% 55%
17–19 May 2013 Newspoll 46% 31% 9% 14% 44% 56%
17–19 May 2013 Morgan (multi) 45.5% 32% 10% 12.5% 45% 55%
16–19 May 2013 Essential[e 17] 48% 35% 8% 9% 45% 55%
16–18 May 2013 Nielsen[28] 44% 32% 11% 13% 46% 54%
15–16 May 2013 Galaxy[29] 46% 34% 10% 10% 46% 54%
10–12 May 2013 Morgan (multi) 46.5% 32% 9.5% 12% 44% 56%
9–12 May 2013 Essential[e 18] 48% 34% 9% 10% 45% 55%
3–5 May 2013 Newspoll 47% 31% 10% 12% 44% 56%
3–5 May 2013 Morgan (multi) 46% 32% 8.5% 13.5% 44% 56%
2–5 May 2013 Essential[e 19] 48% 33% 9% 10% 44% 56%
2 May 2013 ReachTEL[22] 48.5% 29.3% 10.2% 11.9% 42% 58%
26–28 Apr 2013 Morgan (multi) 48% 30.5% 11% 10.5% 43.5% 56.5%
25–28 Apr 2013 Essential[e 20] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
18–22 Apr 2013 Morgan (multi) 44% 32.5% 10.5% 13% 46% 54%
18–22 Apr 2013 Essential[e 21] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
19–21 Apr 2013 Newspoll 46% 32% 10% 12% 45% 55%
11–14 Apr 2013 Morgan (multi) 47.5% 32% 10.5% 10% 44% 56%
11–14 Apr 2013 Essential[e 22] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
11–13 Apr 2013 Nielsen[30] 49% 29% 12% 11% 43% 57%
9–11 Apr 2013 Galaxy[31] 47% 33% 12% 8% 46% 54%
2 May 2013 ReachTEL[22] 49.8% 31.3% 10.2% 8.8% 43% 57%
5–7 Apr 2013 Newspoll 48% 32% 11% 9% 45% 55%
4–7 Apr 2013 Morgan (multi) 46.5% 31% 10% 12.5% 44% 56%
4–7 Apr 2013 Essential[e 23] 49% 32% 9% 9% 44% 56%
29 Mar–1 Apr 2013 Morgan (multi) 49% 30% 11% 10% 42.5% 57.5%
28 Mar–1 Apr 2013 Essential[e 24] 49% 31% 11% 9% 44% 56%
22–24 Mar 2013 Newspoll 50% 30% 10% 10% 42% 58%
21–24 Mar 2013 Essential[e 25] 47% 33% 11% 9% 46% 54%
22–23 Mar 2013 Galaxy[32] 47% 32% 12% 9% 45% 55%
21–24 Mar 2013 Morgan (multi) 46.5% 30.5% 10.5% 12.5% 44% 56%
22–25 Mar 2013 AMR[16] 49% 33% 9% 9% 44% 56%
14–17 Mar 2013 Essential[e 26] 47% 35% 9% 8% 46% 54%
14–17 Mar 2013 Morgan (multi) 46% 33% 11% 10.5% 46% 54%
14–16 Mar 2013 Nielsen[33] 47% 31% 10% 12% 44% 56%
7–10 Mar 2013 Essential[e 27] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
7–10 Mar 2013 Morgan (multi) 47% 31.5% 11% 10.5% 44.5% 55.5%
8–10 Mar 2013 Newspoll 44% 34% 11% 11% 48% 52%
5–7 Mar 2013 Galaxy[34] 48% 32% 11% 9% 45% 55%
28 Feb–3 Mar 2013 Essential[e 28] 49% 32% 10% 8% 44% 56%
28 Feb–3 Mar 2013 Morgan (multi) 45% 33% 10.5% 11.5% 46% 54%
21–24 Feb 2013 Essential[e 29] 49% 32% 10% 8% 44% 56%
16–17/23–24 Feb 2013 Morgan (face) 44% 33.5% 10% 12.5% 46.5% 53.5%
22–24 Feb 2013 Newspoll 47% 31% 11% 11% 45% 55%
14–17 Feb 2013 Essential[e 30] 47% 35% 10% 8% 46% 54%
14–16 Feb 2013 Nielsen[33] 47% 30% 11% 12% 44% 56%
7–10 Feb 2013 Essential[e 31] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
9–10 Feb 2013 Morgan (face) 45% 33.5% 9% 12.5% 45.5% 54.5%
1–4 Feb 2013 Essential[e 32] 48% 34% 10% 8% 46% 54%
2–3 Feb 2013 Morgan (face) 42.5% 38.5% 8.5% 10.5% 48.5% 51.5%
1–3 Feb 2013 Newspoll 48% 32% 9% 11% 44% 56%
1–3 Feb 2013 Galaxy[34] 48% 35% 10% 7% 46% 54%
23–28 Jan 2013 Essential[e 33] 48% 35% 10% 7% 46% 54%
19–20/26–27 Jan 2013 Morgan (face) 39% 36% 12% 13% 49.5% 50.5%
16–20 Jan 2013 Essential[e 34] 48% 36% 9% 8% 46% 54%
9–13 Jan 2013 Essential[e 35] 48% 36% 8% 8% 46% 54%
11–13 Jan 2013 Newspoll 44% 38% 9% 9% 49% 51%
5–6/12–13 Jan 2013 Morgan (face) 41.5% 36.5% 10.5% 11.5% 49% 51%
12–16 Dec 2012 Essential[e 36] 48% 36% 8% 8% 45% 55%
8–9/15–16 Dec 2012 Morgan (face) 37.5% 40% 12% 10.5% 53.5% 46.5%
13–15 Dec 2012 Nielsen[33] 43% 35% 10% 12% 48% 52%
5–9 Dec 2012 Essential[e 37] 48% 36% 8% 8% 46% 54%
7–9 Dec 2012 Newspoll 46% 32% 11% 11% 46% 54%
28 Nov–2 Dec 2012 Essential[e 38] 47% 37% 9% 7% 47% 53%
24–25 Nov/1–2 Dec 2012 Morgan (face) 40.5% 36% 10.5% 13% 49.5% 50.5%
29–30 Nov 2012 Galaxy[34] 48% 34% 11% 7% 46% 54%
27–29 Nov 2012 Morgan (phone) 44.5% 36.5% 8.5% 10.5% 47.5% 52.5%
23–25 Nov 2012 Newspoll 43% 36% 11% 10% 49% 51%
21–25 Nov 2012 Essential[e 39] 47% 36% 10% 8% 47% 53%
14–18 Nov 2012 Essential[e 40] 46% 36% 10% 9% 47% 53%
10–11/17–18 Nov 2012 Morgan (face) 38.5% 36.5% 11.5% 13.5% 49% 51%
15–17 Nov 2012 Nielsen[33] 45% 34% 12% 10% 47% 53%
9–11 Nov 2012 Newspoll 43% 36% 10% 11% 49% 51%
7–11 Nov 2012 Essential[e 41] 45% 37% 9% 8% 48% 52%
2–6 Nov 2012 Essential[e 42] 46% 37% 9% 8% 47% 53%
2–4 Nov 2012 Galaxy[35] 47% 35% 11% 7% 47% 53%
27–28 Oct/3–4 Nov 2012 Morgan (face) 43% 35.5% 10% 11.5% 48% 52%
26–28 Oct 2012 Newspoll 41% 36% 10% 13% 50% 50%
25–28 Oct 2012 Essential[e 43] 48% 36% 9% 7% 46% 54%
13–14/20–21 Oct 2012 Morgan (face) 38.5% 37.5% 12.5% 11.5% 42.5% 57.5%
17–21 Oct 2012 Essential[e 44] 47% 36% 9% 7% 47% 53%
18–20 Oct 2012 Nielsen[36] 43% 34% 11% 12% 48% 52%
10–14 Oct 2012 Essential[e 45] 47% 36% 9% 8% 47% 53%
5–7 Oct 2012 Newspoll 45% 33% 10% 12% 46% 54%
3–7 Oct 2012 Essential[e 46] 47% 37% 9% 7% 47% 53%
29–30 Sep/6–7 Oct 2012 Morgan (face) 43% 37% 10.5% 9.5% 49% 51%
26–30 Sep 2012 Essential[e 47] 47% 36% 9% 7% 47% 53%
22–23 Sep 2012 Morgan (face) 41.5% 37.5% 10% 11% 50% 50%
19–23 Sep 2012 Essential[e 48] 48% 35% 9% 9% 45% 55%
17–20 Sep 2012 Morgan (phone) 47% 39.5% 8% 5.5% 47.5% 52.5%
14–16 Sep 2012 Newspoll 41% 36% 12% 11% 50% 50%
12–16 Sep 2012 Essential[e 49] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
8–9/15–16 Sep 2012 Morgan (face) 40.5% 35% 12% 12.5% 49.5% 50.5%
13–15 Sep 2012 Nielsen[36] 45% 34% 10% 11% 47% 53%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2012 Essential[e 50] 48% 34% 9% 9% 45% 55%
31 Aug–2 Sep 2012 Newspoll 46% 33% 8% 13% 45% 55%
1–2 Sep 2012 Morgan (face) 41.5% 34.5% 11.5% 12.5% 48.5% 51.5%
22–26 Aug 2012 Essential[e 51] 49% 32% 10% 9% 44% 56%
23–25 Aug 2012 Nielsen[36] 45% 32% 11% 13% 46% 54%
15–19 Aug 2012 Essential[e 52] 49% 32% 10% 9% 43% 57%
17–19 Aug 2012 Newspoll 45% 35% 11% 9% 47% 53%
11–12/18–19 Aug 2012 Morgan (face) 44% 34.5% 10% 11.5% 47% 53%
8–12 Aug 2012 Essential[e 53] 49% 32% 10% 8% 44% 56%
3–5 Aug 2012 Newspoll 45% 33% 10% 12% 46% 54%
1–5 Aug 2012 Essential[e 54] 49% 33% 10% 8% 44% 56%
28–29 Jul/4–5 Aug 2012 Morgan (face) 43.5% 32% 11.5% 13% 46.5% 53.5%
25–29 Jul 2012 Essential[e 55] 49% 33% 10% 8% 45% 55%
26–28 Jul 2012 Nielsen[36] 47% 30% 12% 11% 44% 56%
20–22 Jul 2012 Newspoll 46% 28% 11% 15% 44% 56%
18–22 Jul 2012 Essential[e 56] 49% 33% 10% 9% 44% 56%
14–15/21–22 Jul 2012 Morgan (face) 43% 31.5% 12% 13.5% 46% 54%
11–15 Jul 2012 Essential[e 57] 49% 31% 10% 9% 43% 57%
6–8 Jul 2012 Newspoll 48% 31% 11% 10% 44% 56%
4–8 Jul 2012 Essential[e 58] 49% 31% 11% 9% 44% 56%
30 Jun–1/7–8 Jul 2012 Morgan (face) 43% 29.5% 14.5% 13% 46% 54%
27 Jun–1 Jul 2012 Essential[e 59] 49% 32% 10% 9% 44% 56%
22–24 Jun 2012 Newspoll 46% 30% 12% 12% 45% 55%
20–24 Jun 2012 Essential[e 60] 49% 33% 10% 8% 44% 56%
16–17/23–24 Jun 2012 Morgan (face) 43% 29.5% 14.5% 13% 46% 54%
13–17 Jun 2012 Essential[e 61] 49% 33% 10% 8% 44% 56%
15–17 Jun 2012 Galaxy[35] 49% 31% 12% 8% 44% 56%
6–11 Jun 2012 Essential[e 62] 49% 32% 10% 9% 44% 56%
9–10 Jun 2012 Morgan (face) 42.5% 33% 12.5% 12% 48% 52%
7–10 Jun 2012 Newspoll 44% 31% 14% 11% 46% 54%
2–3 Jun 2012 Morgan (face) 45% 32.5% 10.5% 12% 44.5% 55.5%
31 May–2 Jun 2012 Nielsen[37] 48% 26% 14% 12% 43% 57%
30 May–3 Jun 2012 Essential[e 63] 50% 33% 10% 7% 44% 56%
26–27 May 2012 Morgan (face) 49% 27.5% 13% 10.5% 42% 58%
23–27 May 2012 Essential[e 64] 50% 33% 10% 7% 43% 57%
25–27 May 2012 Newspoll 46% 32% 12% 10% 46% 54%
16–20 May 2012 Essential[e 65] 49% 33% 10% 8% 44% 56%
19–20 May 2012 Morgan (face) 45.5% 32% 10.5% 12% 45% 55%
12–13 May 2012 Morgan (face) 46% 30.5% 12% 11.5% 44.5% 55.5%
11–13 May 2012 Newspoll 45% 30% 12% 13% 45% 55%
9–13 May 2012 Essential[e 66] 50% 30% 11% 9% 43% 57%
9–10 May 2012 Nielsen[37] 49% 28% 12% 12% 42% 58%
9–10 May 2012 Morgan (phone) 50.5% 29% 10% 10.5% 42% 58%
5–6 May 2012 Morgan (face) 45.5% 29.5% 12% 13% 44.5% 55.5%
2–6 May 2012 Essential[e 67] 50% 29% 11% 9% 42% 58%
27–29 Apr 2012 Newspoll 51% 27% 11% 11% 41% 59%
27–29 Apr 2012 Galaxy[35] 49% 30% 13% 8% 44% 56%
25–29 Apr 2012 Essential[e 68] 50% 31% 11% 9% 43% 57%
21–22 Apr 2012 Morgan (face) 47.5% 30% 12% 10.5% 44% 56%
18–22 Apr 2012 Essential[e 69] 49% 31% 11% 9% 44% 56%
17–19 Apr 2012 Morgan (phone) 47.5% 30% 11.5% 11.5% 44% 56%
13–15 Apr 2012 Newspoll 48% 29% 12% 11% 44% 56%
11–15 Apr 2012 Essential[e 70] 48% 31% 11% 9% 44% 56%
7–8/14–15 Apr 2012 Morgan (face) 46.5% 31% 12.5% 10% 45% 55%
4–9 Apr 2012 Essential[e 71] 50% 31% 11% 9% 43% 57%
31 Mar–1 Apr 2012 Morgan (face) 45.5% 32% 13% 10.5% 46.5% 53.5%
28 Mar–1 Apr 2012 Essential[e 72] 48% 33% 11% 8% 45% 55%
29–31 Mar 2012 Nielsen[37] 47% 27% 13% 12% 43% 57%
21–25 Mar 2012 Essential[e 73] 47% 34% 10% 9% 46% 54%
24–25 Mar 2012 Morgan (face) 45% 36.5% 12.5% 6% 48.5% 51.5%
23–25 Mar 2012 Newspoll 47% 28% 11% 14% 43% 57%
14–18 Mar 2012 Essential[e 74] 48% 32% 11% 9% 46% 54%
10–11/17–18 Mar 2012 Morgan (face) 45.5% 37% 10.5% 7% 48% 52%
9–11 Mar 2012 Newspoll 43% 31% 12% 14% 47% 53%
7–11 Mar 2012 Essential[e 75] 49% 31% 10% 9% 43% 57%
3–4 Mar 2012 Morgan (face) 43.5% 39% 10% 7.5% 50% 50%
29 Feb–4 Mar 2012 Essential[e 76] 49% 32% 10% 9% 44% 56%
25–26 Feb 2012 Morgan (face) 42.5% 37.5% 11% 9% 50% 50%
23–26 Feb 2012 Newspoll 45% 35% 11% 9% 47% 53%
22–26 Feb 2012 Essential[e 77] 49% 32% 11% 8% 44% 56%
23–24 Feb 2012 Galaxy[38] 47% 34% 12% 7% 46% 54%
22–23 Feb 2012 Nielsen[37] 44% 34% 12% 11% 47% 53%
15–19 Feb 2012 Essential[e 78] 48% 33% 11% 9% 45% 55%
11–12/18–19 Feb 2012 Morgan (face) 41.5% 37% 14.5% 7% 51.5% 48.5%
10–12 Feb 2012 Newspoll 46% 32% 11% 11% 45% 55%
8–10 Feb 2012 Essential[e 79] 47% 34% 10% 9% 46% 54%
7–8 Feb 2012 Morgan (phone) 41.5% 37% 14.5% 7% 44.5% 55.5%
4–5 Feb 2012 Morgan (face) 45.5% 38.5% 9.5% 6.5% 48.5% 51.5%
1–5 Feb 2012 Essential[e 80] 47% 33% 11% 9% 46% 54%
2–4 Feb 2012 Nielsen[39] 45% 33% 13% 9% 47% 53%
28–29 Jan 2012 Morgan (face) 41.5% 39.5% 9.5% 6.5% 51% 49%
27–29 Jan 2012 Newspoll 45% 30% 12% 13% 46% 54%
25–29 Jan 2012 Essential[e 81] 47% 34% 10% 8% 46% 54%
27–28 Jan 2012 Galaxy[38] 48% 34% 12% 6% 46% 54%
18–22 Jan 2012 Essential[e 82] 48% 35% 10% 7% 46% 54%
14–15/21–22 Jan 2012 Morgan (face) 42.5% 38.5% 12% 7% 51% 49%
17–18 Jan 2012 Morgan (phone) 46.5% 35.5% 9% 9% 46.5% 53.5%
11–15 Jan 2012 Essential[e 83] 48% 35% 9% 8% 46% 54%
7–8 Jan 2012 Morgan (face) 45% 37% 10.5% 7.5% 48.5% 51.5%
14–18 Dec 2011 Essential[e 84] 47% 35% 9% 8% 46% 54%
10–11/17–18 Dec 2011 Morgan (face) 43% 36.5% 13% 7.5% 50% 50%
7–11 Dec 2011 Essential[e 85] 48% 34% 10% 9% 45% 55%
8–10 Dec 2011 Nielsen[39] 49% 29% 11% 11% 43% 57%
2–4 Dec 2011 Newspoll 44% 31% 13% 12% 46% 54%
30 Nov–4 Dec 2011 Essential[e 86] 47% 34% 10% 9% 46% 54%
26–27 Nov/3–4 Dec 2011 Morgan (face) 43% 36.5% 13% 7.5% 47% 53%
23–27 Nov 2011 Essential[e 87] 47% 34% 11% 8% 46% 54%
19–20 Nov 2011 Morgan (face) 45.5% 36.5% 12% 6% 48.5% 51.5%
18–20 Nov 2011 Newspoll 48% 30% 10% 12% 43% 57%
16–20 Nov 2011 Essential[e 88] 48% 34% 10% 7% 45% 55%
9–13 Nov 2011 Essential[e 89] 47% 35% 10% 8% 46% 54%
5–6/12–13 Nov 2011 Morgan (face) 47% 34.5% 11.5% 7% 46.5% 53.5%
10–12 Nov 2011 Nielsen[40] 45% 30% 14% 12% 45% 55%
3–6 Nov 2011 Newspoll 44% 32% 12% 12% 47% 53%
2–6 Nov 2011 Essential[e 90] 46% 35% 9% 9% 46% 54%
2–3 Nov 2011 Morgan (phone) 45% 34% 12.5% 8.5% 47.5% 52.5%
26–30 Oct 2011 Essential[e 91] 47% 34% 10% 9% 45% 55%
29–30 Oct 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 34% 13.5% 6% 47% 53%
25–26 Oct 2011 Morgan (phone) 47% 31% 12.5% 9.6% 45% 55%
22–23 Oct 2011 Morgan (face) 49.5% 35% 10.5% 5% 45.5% 54.5%
21–23 Oct 2011 Newspoll 45% 29% 15% 11% 46% 54%
19–23 Oct 2011 Essential[e 92] 48% 32% 11% 8% 45% 55%
15–16 Oct 2011 Morgan (face) 44% 36.5% 10% 9.5% 48.5% 51.5%
14–16 Oct 2011 Galaxy[38] 51% 29% 12% 8% 42% 58%
12–16 Oct 2011 Essential[e 93] 48% 33% 11% 8% 45% 55%
13–15 Oct 2011 Nielsen[40] 48% 30% 12% 10% 43% 57%
8–9 Oct 2011 Morgan (face) 43.5% 38.5% 11% 7% 50% 50%
7–9 Oct 2011 Newspoll 49% 29% 12% 10% 43% 57%
4–9 Oct 2011 Essential[e 94] 48% 33% 10% 9% 45% 55%
27 Sep–2 Oct 2011 Essential[e 95] 48% 33% 11% 9% 45% 55%
24–25 Sep/1–2 Oct 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 35.5% 10% 8% 46.5% 53.5%
20–25 Sep 2011 Essential[e 96] 49% 32% 12% 8% 44% 56%
16–18 Sep 2011 Newspoll 48% 26% 13% 13% 42% 58%
13–18 Sep 2011 Essential[e 97] 49% 32% 10% 9% 44% 56%
10–11/17–18 Sep 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 35.5% 10% 8% 44.5% 55.5%
7–11 Sep 2011 Essential[e 98] 49% 32% 10% 10% 44% 56%
8–10 Sep 2011 Nielsen[40] 48% 27% 13% 12% 42% 58%
2–4 Sep 2011 Newspoll 50% 27% 12% 11% 41% 59%
31 Aug–4 Sep 2011 Essential[e 99] 49% 30% 11% 10% 43% 57%
27–28 Aug/3–4 Sep 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 32.5% 12.5% 8.5% 45.5% 54.5%
24–28 Aug 2011 Essential[e 100] 49% 32% 10% 8% 44% 56%
19–21 Aug 2011 Newspoll 47% 27% 14% 12% 43% 57%
17–21 Aug 2011 Essential[e 101] 50% 32% 10% 8% 44% 56%
13–14/20–21 Aug 2011 Morgan (face) 49.5% 32.5% 11% 7% 44.5% 55.5%
10–14 Aug 2011 Essential[e 102] 50% 31% 10% 9% 43% 57%
11–13 Aug 2011 Nielsen[40] 48% 28% 12% 11% 42% 58%
9–10 Aug 2011 Morgan (phone) 49% 29.5% 12% 9.5% 45.5% 54.5%
5–7 Aug 2011 Newspoll 50% 30% 10% 10% 43% 57%
3–7 Aug 2011 Essential[e 103] 50% 31% 10% 9% 43% 57%
30–31 Jul/6–7 Aug 2011 Morgan (face) 47.5% 34.5% 12% 6% 46.5% 53.5%
c. 3 Aug 2011 Galaxy[41] 48% 31% 13% 8% 44% 56%
27–31 Jul 2011 Essential[e 104] 49% 31% 11% 9% 44% 56%
22–24 Jul 2011 Newspoll 47% 29% 13% 11% 44% 56%
20–24 Jul 2011 Essential[e 105] 48% 32% 11% 9% 45% 55%
16–17/23–24 Jul 2011 Morgan (face) 47% 34.5% 12% 6.5% 47% 53%
13–17 Jul 2011 Essential[e 106] 49% 31% 11% 9% 44% 56%
14–16 Jul 2011 Nielsen[40] 51% 26% 11% 15% 39% 61%
13–14 Jul 2011 Morgan (phone) 52.5% 27.5% 10.5% 9.5% 40% 60%
9–10 Jul 2011 Morgan (face) 48% 33.5% 11.5% 7% 45.5% 54.5%
8–10 Jul 2011 Newspoll 49% 27% 12% 12% 42% 58%
6–10 Jul 2011 Essential[e 107] 50% 30% 11% 9% 43% 57%
29 Jun–3 Jul 2011 Essential[e 108] 49% 32% 11% 9% 44% 56%
25–26 Jun/1–2 Jul 2011 Morgan (face) 49% 31.5% 11.5% 8% 43.5% 56.5%
24–26 Jun 2011 Newspoll 46% 30% 11% 13% 45% 55%
22–26 Jun 2011 Essential[e 109] 48% 32% 11% 9% 45% 55%
11–12/18–19 Jun 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 35% 11.5% 7% 46.5% 53.5%
15–19 Jun 2011 Essential[e 110] 47% 32% 12% 9% 45% 55%
14–16 Jun 2011 Nielsen[40] 49% 27% 12% 12% 41% 59%
8–13 Jun 2011 Essential[e 111] 46% 34% 12% 8% 46% 54%
10–12 Jun 2011 Newspoll 46% 31% 11% 12% 45% 55%
4–5 Jun 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 33.5% 12% 8% 46% 54%
1–5 Jun 2011 Essential[e 112] 46% 34% 12% 8% 47% 53%
31 May–2 Jun 2011 Morgan (phone) 50% 30% 9.5% 10.5% 42% 58%
25–29 May 2011 Essential[e 113] 47% 34% 12% 8% 46% 54%
27–29 May 2011 Newspoll 44% 34% 14% 8% 48% 52%
21–22/28–29 May 2011 Morgan (face) 45.5% 36% 12% 6.5% 48.5% 51.5%
18–22 May 2011 Essential[e 114] 46% 34% 12% 8% 47% 53%
14–15 May 2011 Morgan (face) 44.5% 36% 13% 6.5% 48.5% 51.5%
13–15 May 2011 Newspoll 46% 33% 10% 11% 46% 54%
11–15 May 2011 Essential[e 115] 46% 36% 11% 7% 48% 52%
12–14 May 2011 Nielsen[40] 47% 31% 10% 13% 44% 56%
7–8 May 2011 Morgan (face) 48% 34% 11% 7% 45.5% 54.5%
4–8 May 2011 Essential[e 116] 47% 35% 10% 8% 46% 54%
3–4 May 2011 Morgan (phone) 46% 34% 11% 9% 46.5% 53.5%
29 Apr–1 May 2011 Newspoll 44% 33% 12% 11% 47% 53%
28 Apr–1 May 2011 Essential[e 117] 47% 35% 9% 9% 46% 54%
23–24/30 Apr–1 May 2011 Morgan (face) 46% 37% 10.5% 6.5% 48% 52%
20–26 Apr 2011 Essential[e 118] 47% 35% 10% 8% 46% 54%
13–17 Apr 2011 Essential[e 119] 47% 35% 11% 8% 46% 54%
9–10/16–17 Apr 2011 Morgan (face) 46% 35% 11.5% 7.5% 47% 53%
14–16 Apr 2011 Nielsen[40] 47% 31% 12% 11% 44% 56%
6–10 Apr 2011 Essential[e 120] 46% 35% 11% 8% 47% 53%
2–3 Apr 2011 Morgan (face) 48% 36.5% 9.5% 6% 46.5% 53.5%
1–3 Apr 2011 Newspoll 45% 32% 12% 12% 45% 55%
30 Mar–3 Apr 2011 Essential[e 121] 46% 36% 10% 8% 47% 53%
26–27 Mar 2011 Morgan (face) 47% 35.5% 11.5% 6% 47% 53%
23–27 Mar 2011 Essential[e 122] 46% 37% 10% 7% 48% 52%
22–24 Mar 2011 Morgan (phone) 47% 34.5% 10% 8.5% 46% 54%
19–20 Mar 2011 Morgan (face) 40% 39.5% 12.5% 8% 52.5% 47.5%
18–20 Mar 2011 Newspoll 40% 36% 12% 12% 51% 49%
16–20 Mar 2011 Essential[e 123] 46% 36% 10% 8% 47% 53%
16–17 Mar 2011 Morgan (phone) 42.5% 35.5% 12% 10% 49% 51%
12–13 Mar 2011 Morgan (face) 44.5% 38% 11.5% 6% 49.5% 50.5%
9–13 Mar 2011 Essential[e 124] 47% 35% 10% 8% 46% 54%
10–12 Mar 2011 Nielsen[40] 45% 33% 12% 10% 46% 54%
8–10 Mar 2011 Morgan (phone) 47.5% 31.5% 10% 11% 44% 56%
5–6 Mar 2011 Morgan (face) 46.5% 37% 9.5% 7% 48% 52%
4–6 Mar 2011 Newspoll 45% 30% 15% 10% 46% 54%
2–6 Mar 2011 Essential[e 125] 47% 36% 10% 7% 47% 53%
26–27 Feb 2011 Morgan (face) 41% 41% 11.5% 6.5% 53.5% 46.5%
22–27 Feb 2011 Essential[e 126] 45% 37% 10% 7% 48% 52%
21–23 Feb 2011 Morgan (phone) 45.5% 36% 9.5% 9% 47% 53%
18–20 Feb 2011 Newspoll 41% 36% 13% 10% 50% 50%
15–20 Feb 2011 Essential[e 127] 43% 39% 11% 7% 49% 51%
12–13/19–20 Feb 2011 Morgan (face) 43% 39.5% 11.5% 6% 51% 49%
8–13 Feb 2011 Essential[e 128] 44% 40% 10% 6% 50% 50%
10–12 Feb 2011 Nielsen[40] 46% 32% 12% 9% 46% 54%
4–6 Feb 2011 Newspoll 44% 32% 14% 10% 48% 52%
1–6 Feb 2011 Essential[e 129] 46% 38% 10% 7% 49% 51%
29–30 Jan/5–6 Feb 2011 Morgan (face) 43% 39% 12.5% 5.5% 51.5% 48.5%
1–3 Feb 2011 Morgan (phone) 42.5% 35% 12% 10.5% 49% 51%
25–30 Jan 2011 Essential[e 130] 45% 37% 11% 7% 49% 51%
18–23 Jan 2011 Essential[e 131] 45% 37% 11% 7% 49% 51%
15–16/22–23 Jan 2011 Morgan (face) 41.5% 40.5% 11.5% 6.5% 52.5% 47.5%
11–16 Jan 2011 Essential[e 132] 46% 38% 10% 6% 48% 52%
8–9 Jan 2011 Morgan (face) 44% 38.5% 13% 4.5% 50.5% 49.5%
14–19 Dec 2010 Essential[e 133] 46% 38% 10% 7% 48% 52%
11–12 Dec 2010 Morgan (face) 43% 38% 13.5% 5.5% 50% 50%
8–12 Dec 2010 Morgan (phone) 46% 31% 13.5% 9.5% 45.5% 54.5%
7–12 Dec 2010 Essential[e 134] 46% 38% 10% 7% 48% 52%
4–5 Dec 2010 Morgan (face) 40.5% 40.5% 13.5% 5.5% 53% 47%
3–5 Dec 2010 Newspoll 41% 34% 14% 11% 50% 50%
30 Nov–5 Dec 2010 Essential[e 135] 45% 38% 11% 6% 49% 51%
23–28 Nov 2010 Essential[e 136] 44% 38% 11% 7% 49% 51%
20–21/27–28 Nov 2010 Morgan (face) 42% 40.5% 12% 5.5% 52.5% 47.5%
19–21 Nov 2010 Newspoll 39% 36% 14% 11% 52% 48%
16–21 Nov 2010 Essential[e 137] 45% 38% 10% 8% 49% 51%
18–20 Nov 2010 Nielsen[42] 43% 35% 13% 8% 49% 51%
9–14 Nov 2010 Essential[e 138] 45% 39% 10% 7% 49% 51%
6–7/13–14 Nov 2010 Morgan (face) 40% 41% 12% 7% 54% 46%
5–7 Nov 2010 Newspoll 43% 34% 13% 10% 48% 52%
2–7 Nov 2010 Essential[e 139] 46% 39% 8% 7% 49% 51%
26–31 Oct 2010 Essential[e 140] 44% 41% 8% 7% 50% 50%
23–24/30–31 Oct 2010 Morgan (face) 40.5% 43% 10.5% 6% 54% 46%
22–24 Oct 2010 Newspoll 43% 33% 14% 10% 48% 52%
19–24 Oct 2010 Essential[e 141] 44% 41% 8% 7% 50% 50%
21–23 Oct 2010 Nielsen[42] 43% 34% 14% 8% 49% 51%
12–17 Oct 2010 Essential[e 142] 44% 40% 9% 7% 50% 50%
9–10/16–17 Oct 2010 Morgan (face) 40.5% 43% 10.5% 6% 54% 46%
8–10 Oct 2010 Newspoll 42% 35% 14% 9% 50% 50%
5–10 Oct 2010 Essential[e 143] 44% 41% 8% 7% 50% 50%
2–3 Oct 2010 Morgan (face) 38.5% 44% 12% 5.5% 55.5% 44.5%
30 Sep–1 Oct 2010 Essential[e 144] 44% 42% 8% 8% 51% 49%
21–26 Sep 2010 Essential[e 145] 43% 42% 9% 6% 51% 49%
18–19 Sep 2010 Morgan (face) 41% 40.5% 13% 5.5% 53.5% 46.5%
14–19 Sep 2010 Essential[e 146] 45% 40% 9% 6% 50% 50%
15–16 Sep 2010 Morgan (phone) 42.5% 35.5% 15% 7% 50.5% 49.5%
10–12 Sep 2010 Newspoll 41% 34% 14% 11% 50% 50%
7–12 Sep 2010 Essential[e 147] 44% 39% 10% 6% 50% 50%
31 Aug–5 Sep 2010 Essential[e 148] 43% 39% 11% 8% 51% 49%
28–29 Aug/4–5 Sep 2010 Morgan (face) 39.5% 40.5% 15% 5% 54.5% 45.5%
24–29 Aug 2010 Essential[e 149] 44% 38% 11% 7% 50% 50%
25–26 Aug 2010 Morgan (phone) 40% 36% 13% 11% 51% 49%
2010 election 43.3% 38.0% 11.8% 7.0% 50.1% 49.9%
c. 21 Aug 2010 Nielsen[43] 41.5% 39% 12% 7.5% 52% 48%
17–19 Aug 2010 Newspoll 43.4% 36.2% 13.9% 6.5% 50.2% 49.8%
13–19 Aug 2010 Essential[e 150] 43% 38% 12% 7% 51% 49%
*Liberal–National Coalition
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Better Prime Minister and approval

Since the 2010 election, Newspoll and Nielsen have regularly polled voters as to whom they believe would be the best prime minister and on their satisfaction with the performance of the prime minister, Kevin Rudd (and previously Julia Gillard), and of the leader of the opposition, Tony Abbott.

Sources for Nielsen are provided for each poll; Newspoll maintains a database of its polling.[3]

More information Date, Firm ...
Better Prime Minister and satisfaction polling^
Date Firm Better PM Rudd Abbott
Rudd Abbott Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
4–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 43% 45% 33% 58% 44% 50%
4–5 Aug 2013 Nielsen[9] 47% 46% 43% 52% 46% 51%
5 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[8] 47.1% 52.9% not asked
4 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[10] 45.9% 54.1% not asked
3 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[12] 47.1% 52.9% not asked
30 Aug–1 Sep 2013 Newspoll 41% 43% 32% 58% 41% 51%
26 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[14] 46.4% 53.6% not asked
23–25 Aug 2013 Newspoll 44% 40% 36% 52% 42% 49%
18–22 Aug 2013 Nielsen[15] 48% 45% 43% 51% 44% 52%
16–18 Aug 2013 Newspoll 43% 41% 35% 54% 41% 51%
9–11 Aug 2013 Newspoll 46% 37% 39% 48% 38% 52%
10 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[19] 46.8% 53.2% not asked
6–8 Aug 2013 Nielsen[21] 50% 42% 48% 47% 45% 52%
2–4 Aug 2013 Newspoll 47% 33% 38% 47% 34% 56%
4 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[22] 49.1% 50.9% not asked
19–21 Jul 2013 Newspoll 50% 34% 42% 41% 35% 56%
18 Jul 2013 ReachTEL[22] 52.4% 47.6% not asked
11–13 Jul 2013 Nielsen[24] 55% 41% 51% 43% 35% 56%
5–7 Jul 2013 Newspoll 53% 31% 43% 36% 41% 56%
28–30 Jun 2013 Newspoll 49% 35% 36% 36% 35% 56%
27 Jun 2013 ReachTEL[22] 51.6% 48.4% not asked
Gillard Abbott Gillard Abbott
21–23 Jun 2013 Newspoll 33% 45% 28% 62% 36% 53%
13–15 Jun 2013 Nielsen[26] 41% 50% 36% 61% 44% 53%
31 May–2 Jun 2013 Newspoll 35% 43% 28% 62% 37% 53%
17–19 May 2013 Newspoll 39% 40% 31% 59% 37% 54%
16–18 May 2013 Nielsen[28] 46% 46% 40% 56% 42% 54%
3–5 May 2013 Newspoll 37% 42% 29% 61% 36% 51%
3 May 2013 ReachTEL[22] 40.6% 59.4% not asked
19–21 Apr 2013 Newspoll 35% 40% 30% 60% 36% 53%
11–14 Apr 2013 Nielsen[30] 42% 50% 37% 59% 43% 53%
4 Aug 2013 ReachTEL[22] 43.6% 56.5% not asked
4–7 Apr 2013 Newspoll 37% 40% 28% 62% 35% 54%
22–24 Mar 2013 Newspoll 35% 43% 26% 65% 39% 50%
14–16 Mar 2013 Nielsen[33] 43% 49% 38% 58% 43% 53%
8–10 Mar 2013 Newspoll 42% 38% 32% 57% 36% 55%
22–24 Feb 2013 Newspoll 36% 40% 30% 58% 33% 55%
14–16 Feb 2013 Nielsen[33] 45% 49% 40% 56% 42% 55%
1–3 Feb 2013 Newspoll 41% 39% 36% 52% 33% 56%
11–13 Jan 2013 Newspoll 45% 33% 38% 49% 29% 58%
13–15 Dec 2012 Nielsen[33] 50% 40% 46% 50% 34% 63%
7–9 Dec 2012 Newspoll 43% 34% 36% 52% 28% 59%
23–25 Nov 2012 Newspoll 46% 33% 37% 52% 30% 61%
15–17 Nov 2012 Nielsen[33] 51% 42% 47% 48% 36% 60%
9–11 Nov 2012 Newspoll 46% 32% 37% 52% 27% 63%
26–28 Oct 2012 Newspoll 45% 34% 35% 51% 30% 58%
18–20 Oct 2012 Nielsen[36] 50% 40% 47% 48% 37% 60%
5–7 Oct 2012 Newspoll 43% 33% 36% 50% 33% 55%
14–16 Sep 2012 Newspoll 46% 32% 36% 52% 30% 60%
13–15 Sep 2012 Nielsen[36] 47% 44% 42% 53% 36% 59%
2–4 Sep 2012 Newspoll 39% 38% 31% 57% 31% 59%
23–25 Aug 2012 Nielsen[36] 46% 45% 39% 57% 39% 57%
17–19 Aug 2012 Newspoll 38% 38% 27% 60% 34% 54%
3–5 Aug 2012 Newspoll 36% 38% 29% 59% 32% 56%
26–28 Jul 2012 Nielsen[36] 43% 48% 37% 58% 39% 56%
20–22 Jul 2012 Newspoll 36% 40% 29% 62% 30% 61%
6–8 Jul 2012 Newspoll 36% 39% 27% 61% 32% 57%
22–24 Jun 2012 Newspoll 39% 38% 30% 59% 31% 58%
7–10 Jun 2012 Newspoll 42% 38% 32% 58% 32% 59%
31 May–2 Jun 2012 Nielsen[37] 44% 46% 36% 60% 39% 57%
25–27 May 2012 Newspoll 40% 37% 30% 60% 31% 60%
11–13 May 2012 Newspoll 36% 40% 27% 63% 34% 56%
9–10 May 2012 Nielsen[37] 42% 50% 35% 60% 44% 52%
27–29 Apr 2012 Newspoll 36% 41% 28% 63% 33% 55%
13–15 Apr 2012 Newspoll 39% 41% 28% 62% 35% 54%
29–31 Mar 2012 Nielsen[37] 45% 48% 36% 59% 39% 56%
23–25 Mar 2012 Newspoll 40% 37% 31% 58% 32% 58%
9–11 Mar 2012 Newspoll 39% 37% 28% 62% 32% 58%
24–26 Feb 2012 Newspoll 36% 38% 26% 64% 31% 57%
22–23 Feb 2012 Nielsen[37] 46% 47% 36% 60% 41% 56%
10–12 Feb 2012 Newspoll 37% 40% 32% 57% 36% 52%
2–4 Feb 2012 Nielsen[39] 48% 46% 40% 55% 41% 54%
27–29 Jan 2012 Newspoll 40% 37% 33% 55% 32% 55%
8–10 Dec 2011 Nielsen[39] 42% 46% 35% 58% 41% 53%
2–4 Dec 2011 Newspoll 43% 36% 36% 56% 33% 57%
18–20 Nov 2011 Newspoll 40% 35% 34% 55% 34% 55%
10–12 Nov 2011 Nielsen[40] 45% 45% 39% 57% 41% 54%
4–6 Nov 2011 Newspoll 39% 40% 30% 60% 34% 57%
21–23 Oct 2011 Newspoll 36% 39% 31% 61% 34% 55%
13–15 Oct 2011 Nielsen[40] 44% 48% 33% 62% 41% 54%
7–9 Oct 2011 Newspoll 35% 40% 28% 60% 36% 53%
16–18 Sep 2011 Newspoll 35% 40% 27% 61% 34% 54%
8–10 Sep 2011 Nielsen[40] 40% 48% 32% 62% 43% 52%
2–4 Sep 2011 Newspoll 34% 43% 23% 68% 39% 52%
19–21 Aug 2011 Newspoll 38% 39% 29% 61% 36% 55%
11–13 Aug 2011 Nielsen[40] 44% 47% 38% 57% 43% 52%
5–7 Aug 2011 Newspoll 39% 40% 33% 58% 39% 52%
22–24 Jul 2011 Newspoll 40% 41% 32% 59% 39% 52%
14–16 Jul 2011 Nielsen[40] 40% 51% 34% 62% 47% 48%
8–10 Jul 2011 Newspoll 38% 43% 30% 59% 42% 49%
24–26 Jun 2011 Newspoll 39% 40% 28% 62% 39% 52%
14–16 Jun 2011 Nielsen[40] 46% 46% 37% 59% 46% 50%
10–12 Jun 2011 Newspoll 41% 38% 30% 55% 35% 52%
27–29 May 2011 Newspoll 44% 37% 35% 54% 37% 53%
13–15 May 2011 Newspoll 42% 38% 34% 55% 38% 51%
12–14 May 2011 Nielsen[40] 47% 44% 43% 52% 45% 50%
29 Apr–1 May 2011 Newspoll 45% 36% 38% 49% 42% 48%
14–16 Apr 2011 Nielsen[40] 50% 42% 45% 50% 42% 51%
1–3 Apr 2011 Newspoll 46% 37% 39% 49% 36% 53%
18–20 Mar 2011 Newspoll 50% 31% 40% 47% 33% 54%
10–12 Mar 2011 Nielsen[40] 51% 42% 47% 47% 43% 52%
4–6 Mar 2011 Newspoll 45% 36% 39% 51% 39% 51%
18–20 Feb 2011 Newspoll 53% 31% 50% 39% 38% 49%
10–12 Feb 2011 Nielsen[40] 51% 41% 52% 43% 46% 49%
4–6 Feb 2011 Newspoll 48% 35% 45% 42% 42% 44%
3–5 Dec 2010 Newspoll 52% 32% 45% 38% 42% 43%
19–21 Nov 2010 Newspoll 54% 31% 46% 37% 42% 45%
18–20 Nov 2010 Nielsen[42] 53% 40% 54% 39% 47% 48%
5–7 Nov 2010 Newspoll 49% 34% 41% 41% 44% 42%
22–24 Oct 2010 Newspoll 53% 32% 44% 37% 41% 46%
21–23 Oct 2010 Nielsen[42] 53% 39% 54% 39% 45% 50%
8–10 Oct 2010 Newspoll 52% 31% 48% 33% 39% 47%
10–12 Sep 2010 Newspoll 50% 34% 44% 36% 48% 38%
2010 election – – – – – – –
17–19 Aug 2010 Newspoll 50% 37% 44% 43% 42% 50%
^ Remainder were uncommitted.
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