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Opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish general election

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In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 10th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The dates of when the survey fieldwork was done are used, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 20 November 2011 to 20 December 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

2015
Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

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2014
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2013
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2012
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2011
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Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
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Victory preference

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

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Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

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Sub-national polling

Leadership polling

Preferred coalition

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Notes

  1. Within Podemos.
  2. Does not include non-resident citizens.

References

Related Articles

Timelines

Top Qs

Fact Checks