Opinion polling for the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election
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In the run up to the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Smer-SD | SIEŤ | KDH | Most–Híd | OĽaNO | SNS | SMK-MKP | SaS | NOVA | SDKÚ-DS | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb-14 Feb | MVK[1] | 1,136 | 32.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | w.OĽaNO | 1.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% |
| 6 Feb-14 Feb | Polis[2] | 1,670 | 38.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 1.3% | 9.0% | 28.0% |
| 6 Feb-14 Feb | Focus[3] | 1,005 | 34.6% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.0% | 8.9% | 20.6% |
| 31 Jan-7 Feb | Focus[4] | 1,000 | 34.1% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.8% | 20.4% |
| 22-31 Jan | Focus[5] | 1,009 | 36.3% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.2% | 23.3% |
| 22-28 Jan | MVK[6] | 1,148 | 32.1% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | w.OĽaNO | 1.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% |
| 11-14 Jan | AKO[7] | 1,000 | 40.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | — | 6.2% | w.OĽaNO | — | 18.4% | 33.9% |
| 28 Dec-8 Jan | MVK[8] | 1,089 | 34.5% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | w.OĽaNO | 2.0% | 10.1% | 19.8% |
| 2016 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 Nov-1 Dec | AKO[9] | 1,000 | 42.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | — | 6.2% | w.OĽaNO | — | 9.6% | 31.8% |
| 14-21 Nov | MVK[10] | 1,270 | 36.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 6.4% | 21.1% |
| 8–14 Nov | Polis[11] | 1,305 | 40.1% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 4.6% | 27.5% |
| 3-11 Nov | Focus | 1,034 | 39.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 3.0% | 8.5% | 28.1% |
| 14 Oct-11 Nov | Median | 1,217 | 40.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | w.OĽaNO | 3.2% | 7.7% | 31.1% |
| 29 Oct–4 Nov | AKO[12] | 1,000 | 41.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | w.OĽaNO | 3.9% | 7.0% | 31.1% |
| 6-14 Oct | Focus | 1,032 | 39.1% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 8.9% | 26.5% |
| 26 Sep–2 Oct | MVK[13] | 1,085 | 40.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.7% | 29.2% |
| 1-9 Sep | Focus | 1,031 | 37.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | w.OĽaNO | 2.2% | 9.5% | 26.3% |
| 20 Jul–16 Aug | Median | 1,031 | 39.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | w.OĽaNO | 3.5% | 8.6% | 30.6% |
| 28 Jul–4 Aug | Focus | 1,017 | 34.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | w.OĽaNO | 2.2% | 10.6% | 22.7% |
| 22–29 Jul | Median | 1,031 | 38.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | w.OĽaNO | 3.7% | 7.9% | 28.2% |
| 12–18 Jul | Polis Slovakia[14] | 1,463 | 35.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.8% | 8.3% | 22.9% |
| 8–14 Jun | Polis Slovakia[15] | 1,469 | 34.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 7.5% | 23.0% |
| 2–10 Jun | Focus | 1,018 | 35.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 8.6% | 24.4% |
| 5–13 May | Focus | 1,067 | 33.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 9.1% | 22.5% |
| 4–11 May | Polis Slovakia[16] | 1,402 | 35.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 7.7% | 24.5% |
| 11–18 Apr | Polis Slovakia[17] | 1,417 | 34.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.9% | 24.2% |
| 31 Mar–8 Apr | Focus | 1,027 | 37.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 26.5% |
| 20–27 Mar | eCall Slovakia[18] | 1,266 | 35.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 23% |
| 17–23 Mar | Polis Slovakia[19] | 1 448 | 37.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 8.5% | 28.4% |
| 3–10 Mar | MVK[20][21] | 1,106 | 38.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 27.3% |
| 9–18 Feb | Polis Slovakia[22] | 1,472 | 36.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 26.7% |
| 27 Jan–3 Feb | Focus | 1,010 | 35.5% | 11% | 10.9% | 7% | 6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 24.5% |
| 12–18 Jan | Polis Slovakia[23] | 1,410 | 37.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 26.1% |
| 2015 | ||||||||||||||
| 1–7 Dec | Polis Slovakia[24] | 1,463 | 38.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 26.4% |
| 1–7 Nov | MVK[25] | 1,125 | 38.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 26.6% |
| 4 Aug | Focus | 1,051 | 36.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 26.2% |
| 31 Jul | Polis Slovakia[26] | 1,128 | 35.8% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 19.4% |
| 1 Jul | Polis Slovakia[27] | 1,322 | 35.3% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 18.1% |
| 23 Jun | Focus | 1,025 | 32.2% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 16.4% |
| 2 Jun | Polis Slovakia[28] | 1,603 | 36.4% | Did not exist | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 21.0% |
| 24 May | European elections | 576,437 | 24.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% | |
| 20 May | Focus | 1,037 | 34.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 24.5% | 24.7% | |
| 19 May | Median | 998 | 42.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 31.7% | |
| 6 May | Polis Slovakia[29] | 1,250 | 38.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 17.3% | 30.4% | |
| 22–28 Mar | Polis Slovakia[30] | 1,521 | 41.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 32.3% | |
| 1–5 Mar | Polis Slovakia[31] | 1,521 | 39.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | - | - | 6.5% | - | 8.9% | 21.6% | 30.1% | |
| 27 Jan–5 Feb | Focus | 1,051 | 38.1% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 25.4% | |
| 15–21 Jan | MVK[32] | 1,106 | 38.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 28.6% | |
| 2014 | ||||||||||||||
| 2013 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 Mar 2012 | 2012 elections | 2,553,726 | 44.4% | Did not exist | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | Did not exist | 6.1% | 10.0% | 35.6% |
Notes
References
- ↑ "PRIESKUM: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SaS by sa tam nedostala". 18 February 2016.
- ↑ "Predvolebný prieskum posiela do parlamentu sedem strán: Veľký presun síl na pravici". 15 February 2016.
- ↑ "Posledný prieskum Focusu: Smer nestúpa, potreboval by partnera".
- ↑ "Prieskum Focusu: Smer mierne klesá, stúpa SNS, SaS je v parlamente". 10 February 2016.
- ↑ "SLOVAKIA, January 2016. Focus poll". Archived from the original on February 12, 2016.
- ↑ "Prieskum MVK: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SNS na treťom mieste".
- ↑ "PRIESKUM: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo sedem strán, KDH by prešlo tesne". Teraz.sk. 15 January 2016. Retrieved 2016-01-16.
- ↑ "Voľby by vyhral Smer, nemohol by však vládnuť sám". dennikn.sk. 13 January 2016. Retrieved 2016-01-13.
- ↑ "Smer by získal polovicu kresiel v parlamente". Webnoviny.sk. 2 December 2015. Retrieved 2015-12-02.
- ↑ "Prieskum: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo päť strán, voľby by vyhral Smer". 30 November 2015.
- ↑ "Popularity of Smer and SNS up, Polis poll shows". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-11-24. Retrieved 2015-11-25.
- ↑ "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer so ziskom 41 percent". Pravda.sk (in Slovak). 2015-11-05. Retrieved 2015-11-05.
- ↑ "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer, OĽaNO-NOVA mimo parlamentu". Pravda.sk (in Slovak). 2015-10-09. Retrieved 2015-10-13.
- ↑ "PRIESKUM: Voľby by vyhral Smer, kto by sa ešte dostal do parlamentu?". pluska.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-08-14.
- ↑ "Oproti máju Smer klesá, poslancov by mal už len 62". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-08-14.
- ↑ "KDH stráca voličov, SDKÚ, SaS a NOVA by v parlamente chýbali". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ↑ "Polis Smeru nameral najnižšie preferencie za 14 mesiacov, aj pre Váhostav". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2015-04-23. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ↑ "KDH skončilo pod Mostom, liberáli zo SaS majú na mále". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-03-27. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ↑ "Poll: Ruling Smer would win election with 37.7 percent". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-03-26. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ↑ "Procházkova Sieť padla. V prieskume sa objavili nové pravicové strany". HNonline.sk (in Slovak). 2015-03-17. Archived from the original on 2015-03-17. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
- ↑ "Sieť drops in MVK poll". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-03-17. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
- ↑ "Smer by nevládol sám, voliči SDKÚ prešli k Procházkovi". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-02-23. Retrieved 2015-03-04.
- ↑ "Prieskum Polis: Smer stagnuje, mohol by vládnuť s SNS". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2015-01-22. Retrieved 2015-03-06.
- ↑ "Polis: Smer má pod 40 percent, v parlamente aj SMK a SNS". TA3 (in Slovak). 2014-12-09. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
- ↑ "MVK poll shows SDKÚ and SaS out of parliament". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-11-19. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
- ↑ "Polis: Sieť sa pred nahrávkou držala, SDKÚ ďalej klesá". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2014-07-31. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
- ↑ "Polis: Smer klesá, Procházka stúpa, Obyčajní a SDKÚ sú na hrane". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2014-07-01. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
- ↑ "Poll: Sieť would take 24.6 percent of OĽaNO's 2012 voters". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-06-05. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
- ↑ "Sieť has voter support, poll shows". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-05-12. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
- ↑ "Poll: Smer would win 41.5 percent of votes and 78 mandates". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-04-03. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
- ↑ "Polis Poll: Fico the most and least trusted politician in Slovakia". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-03-07. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
- ↑ "Šokujúci prieskum: Kotlebova strana by sa dostala do parlamentu!". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2014-01-28. Retrieved 2015-03-19.