Opinion polling for the 2019 Belgian federal election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In the run up to the 2019 Belgian federal election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous federal election, held on 25 May 2014, to the present day. The results of the opinion polls conducted on a nationwide basis are usually split into separate numbers for the three Belgian regions. They are therefore split across the tables in the sections below, but seat projections for the Belgian Chamber are presented together.
The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region.
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Newspaper | Sample size | N-VA | Vlaams Belang | CD&V | Open Vld | sp.a | Groen | PVDA | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 2019 | 2019 federal election | 24.8% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 28.5% | 69.1% | 40.6% | ||
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [1] | 1,003 | 28.1% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 11% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1% | 11.0% | 28.3% | 71.7% | 43.4% |
| 25 Mar–14 Apr 2019 | Kantar | VRT / De Standaard / RTBF / La Libre | 1,006 | 27.9% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 13.2% | 28.9% | 71.1% | 42.2% |
| 5–11 Feb 2019 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [2] | 996 | 27.4% | 11.1% | 15% | 12.7% | 11% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 11.8% | 27.7% | 72.3% | 44.6% |
| 13–17 Dec 2018 | Ipsos | Het Nieuwsblad [3] | 1,000 | 30.2% | 12% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 14.5% | 27.3% | 72.7% | 45.4% |
| 9 Dec 2018 | N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration. | ||||||||||||||
| 19 Nov–8 Dec 2018 | TNS | La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard [4] | 1,038 | 28.3% | 7.6% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 16% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 9.6% | 64.5% | 35.5% | 29% |
| 27 Nov–3 Dec 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [5] | 998 | 28.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 56.0% | 42.4% | 13.6% |
| 14 Oct 2018 | Provincial elections[6] | 24.8% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 58.2% | 41.9% | 16.3% | ||
| 20–27 Sep 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [7] | 1,000 | 25.0% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 55% | 41.9% | 13.1% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [8] | 1,000 | 26.5% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 11.2% | 55.7% | 40% | 15.7% |
| 26 Feb–17 Mar 2018 | TNS Kantar | RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [9] | 1,003 | 32.4% | 7.5% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 16.0% | 63.5% | 35.5% | 28.0% |
| 27 Feb–6 Mar 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [10] | 965 | 31.5% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 16.4% | 59.1% | 38.4% | 20.7% |
| 27 Nov–4 Dec 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [11] | 995 | 29.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 15.4% | 55.8% | 40.0% | 15.8% |
| 11 Sep–8 Oct 2017 | TNS Kantar | La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard | 1,045 | 28.0% | 6.5% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 8.6% | 62.9% | 36.5% | 26.4% |
| 25 August–3 Sep 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [12][13] | 959 | 30.2% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 5.0% | — | 14.1% | 58.4% | 38.5% | 19.9% |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated[14] | L'Echo | — | 27.1% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 0.7% | 10.2% | 56.7% | 33.7% | 23.0% |
| 27 Mar–11 Apr 2017 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard[15] | 1,030 | 26.3% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 7.7% | 59.3% | 39.9% | 19.4% |
| 16–20 Mar 2017 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[16] | 1,038 | 28.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 14.2% | 56.0% | 41.8% | 14.2% |
| 10–17 Jan 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [17] | 964 | 27.4% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 5.4% | — | 12.5% | 55.2% | 41.1% | 14.1% |
| 24–28 Nov 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [18][19] | 1,007 | 26.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 4.2% | — | 10.0% | 55.0% | 42.4% | 12.6% |
| 14 Sep–3 Oct 2016 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard[20] | 1,013 | 27.8% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 11% | 58.2% | 40.6% | 17.6% |
| 19–25 Sep 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[21] | 983 | 25.9% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 3.9% | — | 8.3% | 56.0% | 40.3% | 15.7% |
| 2–6 Sep 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [22][23] | 1,002 | 25.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 9.6% | 54.8% | 43.1% | 11.7% |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[24] | 1,045 | 24.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 4.8% | — | 8.6% | 51.2% | 45.4% | 5.8% |
| 31 Mar–4 Apr 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[25][26] | 975 | 25.6% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | — | — | 7.3% | 57.2% | 37.0% | 20.2% |
| 22 Feb–9 Mar 2016 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard[27] | 1,005 | 27.3% | 8.1% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 4.0% | — | 8.2% | 60.5% | 38.4% | 22.1% |
| 15–20 Jan 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[28] | 1,043 | 28.5% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 3.7% | — | 12.5% | 57.0% | 40.8% | 16.2% |
| 3–7 Dec 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[29] | 990 | 29.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | — | — | 14.2% | 56.8% | 37.6% | 19.2% |
| 28 Sep–4 Oct 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[30] | 1,030 | 28.8% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 4.1% | — | 11.0% | 59.1% | 38.1% | 21% |
| 22 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard[31] | 1,019 | 31.1% | 7.0% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 3.8% | — | 12.7% | 64.4% | 34.5% | 29.9% |
| 9–14 Sep 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32] | 745 | 27.5% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 3.8% | — | 11.3% | 57.9% | 39.8% | 18.1% |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32] | 761 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% | — | 10.9% | 60.7% | 36.8% | 23.9% |
| 20 Apr–3 May 2015 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard [33] | 1,032 | 28.5% | 5.8% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 1.4% | — | 7.3% | 65.8% | 33.1% | 32.7% |
| 20–24 Apr 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws | 963 | 28.3% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 3.2% | — | 12.5% | 58.1% | 37.5% | 20.6% |
| 5–9 Mar 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 691 | 28.8% | 7.4% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 12.1% | 60.9% | 36.8% | 24.1% |
| 23–28 Jan 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35] | 1,035 | 30.2% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 3.6% | — | 13.1% | 62.2% | 36.1% | 26.1% |
| 5–11 Jan 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35] | 1,043 | 27.8% | 6.8% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 3.8% | — | 9.5% | 60.4% | 36.7% | 23.7% |
| 4–5 Dec 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 794 | 28% | 6% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 2% | — | 11% | 57% | 38% | 19% |
| 27 Nov–1 Dec 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 773 | 30.9% | 5.7% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 12.7% | 62.4% | 35.1% | 27.3% |
| 9–10 Oct 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 801 | 30% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 9% | 3% | — | 12% | 60% | 38% | 22% |
| 22 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | TNS Media | De Standaard / VRT | 1,023 | 29.9% | 6.5% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | — | 9.9% | 64.3% | 35.2% | 29.1% |
| 5–9 Sep 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 792 | 31.9% | 5.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 14.2% | 65.0% | 33.2% | 31.8% |
| July 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 880 | 32.9% | 5.8% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.1% | — | 15.2% | 66.0% | 32.5% | 33.5% |
| June 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | Unknown | 38.4% | 5.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | — | 22.9% | 67.7% | 29.4% | 38.3% |
| 25 May 2014 | Federal election | 32.4% | 5.8% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 13.9% | 66.5% | 31.2% | 35.3% | ||
Wallonia
The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Newspaper | Sample size | PS | MR | Ecolo | PTB | cdH | DéFI | PP | DC | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 2019 | 2019 federal election | 26.2% | 21.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | ? | 5.1% | 4.8% | 21.4% | 73.5% | 52.1% | ||
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [1] | 1,000 | 28.5% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | ? | 4.4% | 5.8% | 22.7% | 77.3% | 54.6% |
| 26 Apr - 30 Apr 2019 | Dedicated | Le Soir | 1,611 | 26.9% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | ? | 4.4%[a] | 6.2% | 20.7% | 79.3% | 58.6% |
| 25 Mar - 14 Apr 2019 | TNS Kantar | RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre[36] | 1,004 | 24.7% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | ? | 3.5%[b] | 2.7% | 18.3% | 81.7% | 63.4% |
| 5 February-11 Feb 2019 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [2] | 995 | 24.3% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 19.4% | 80.6% | 61.2% |
| 9 Dec 2018 | N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration. | |||||||||||||||
| 19 November–8 Dec 2018 | TNS | La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard [4] | 1,016 | 25.4% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | ? | 2.2% | 5.5% | 19.9% | 77.9% | 58.0% |
| 27 November-3 Dec 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [5] | 1,003 | 24.9% | 20.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 20.7% | 75.5% | 54.8% |
| 14 Oct 2018 | Provincial elections | 25.4% | 23.7% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | ? | 4.2% | 1.7% | 23.7% | 72.1% | 48.4% | ||
| 20–27 Sep 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [7] | 1,000 | 23.6% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 3% | 20.6% | 73.4% | 52.8% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [8] | 1,000 | 23.4% | 20% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 20% | 71.6% | 51.6% |
| 26 February–17 Mar 2018 | TNS Kantar | RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [37] | 1,003 | 23.2% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 23.2% | 71.4% | 48.2% |
| 27 February–6 March | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[38] | 983 | 23.9% | 21.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 21.2% | 73.6% | 52.4% |
| 27 November–3 Dec 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[39] | 999 | 19.5% | 22.1% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 22.1% | 68.5% | 46.4% |
| 11 September–8 Oct 2017 | TNS Kantar | La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard | 1,076 | 21.5% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 0.7% | — | 8.6% | 0.1% | 21.4% | 70.0% | 48.6% |
| 25 August–3 Sep 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[40] | 960 | 20.7% | 21.4% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | — | 0.7% | 21.4% | 70.3% | 48.9% | |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated[14] | L'Echo | 625 | 16.0% | 23.2% | 11.4% | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | — | 8.2% | 1.7% | 23.2% | 66.0% | 42.8% |
| 16–20 Mar 2017 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[16] | 946 | 20.3% | 22.7% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | — | 10.2% | 2.2% | 22.7% | 67.1% | 44.4% |
| 16–17 Feb 2017 | iVox | Sudpresse [41] | 1,000 | 21.3% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | — | 5.5% | 0.6% | 20.7% | 73.9% | 53.2% |
| 10–17 Jan 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [17] | 961 | 23.6% | 19.4% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | — | 3.6% | 4.2% | 19.4% | 70.1% | 50.7% |
| 24–28 Nov 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [18][19] | 892 | 25.4% | 23.1% | 9.2% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | — | 2.3% | 23.1% | 68.6% | 45.5% | |
| 19–25 Sep 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[21] | 983 | 24.7% | 22.3% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 6.0% | — | 2.4% | 22.3% | 66.7% | 44.4% | |
| 2–6 Sep 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [22][23] | 962 | 25.6% | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | — | 7.4% | 2.1% | 23.5% | 69.1% | 45.6% |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[24] | 1,003 | 25.8% | 20.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | — | 5.7% | 20.1% | 70.2% | 50.1% | |
| 31 March–4 Apr 2016 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[25][26] | 967 | 26.4% | 23.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | — | 2.5% | 23.9% | 68.6% | 44.7% | |
| 15–20 Jan 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[28] | 1,034 | 26.7% | 23.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | — | 3.6% | 23.1% | 64.4% | 41.3% | |
| 3–7 Dec 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[29] | 910 | 27.2% | 24.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | — | 2.5% | 24.7% | 69.1% | 44.4% | |
| 28 September–4 Oct 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[30] | 1,017 | 26.0% | 23.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 1.7% | 4.6% | — | 2.7% | 23.3% | 63.1% | 39.8% | |
| 9–14 Sep 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32] | 643 | 29.7% | 24.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | — | 3.5% | 24.2% | 68.8% | 44.6% | |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[32] | 680 | 29.7% | 25.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | — | 4.2% | 25.5% | 67.9% | 42.4% | |
| 20–24 Apr 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws | 952 | 25.8% | 26.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | — | 0.3% | 26.1% | 63.7% | 37.6% | |
| 5–9 Mar 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 678 | 28.7% | 25.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | 8.8% | 3.5% | 25.2% | 66.0% | 40.8% |
| 23–28 Jan 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35] | 1,042 | 27.4% | 26.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | — | 1.4% | 26.0% | 63.9% | 37.9% | |
| 5–11 Jan 2015 ] | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[35] | 1,053 | 30.1% | 25.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | — | 4.8% | 25.3% | 63.8% | 38.5% | |
| 27 November–1 Dec 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 655 | 30.1% | 23.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | — | 6.2% | 23.9% | 67.7% | 43.8% | |
| 5–9 Sep 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 676 | 31.0% | 26.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 1.8% | 5.0% | — | 6.3% | 4.4% | 26.6% | 67.1% | 40.5% |
| 25 May 2014 | Federal election | 32.0% | 25.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 25.8% | 66.6% | 40.8% | ||
Brussels
The table below shows the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Brussels Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Brussels Region.
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | Ecolo | PS | MR | PTB- PVDA |
DéFI | cdH | N-VA | Open Vld | sp.a | PP | VB | CD&V | Groen | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 2019 | 2019 federal election | 21.6% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | — | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | — | — | 1.6% | ||||
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [1] | 519 | 22.9% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 0.7% | — | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | — | 4.3% | 5.6% | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| 25 Mar-15 Apr 2019 | TNS Kantar | RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre[36] | 759 | 21.5% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0%[c] | 2.5% | 19.3% | 80.7% |
| 5-11 Feb 2019 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[2] | 559 | 19.9% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.0% | 17.9% | 82.1% |
| 9 Dec 2018 | N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration. | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 Nov–8 Dec 2018 | TNS | La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard [4] | 743 | 19.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | — | 1.7% | 27.6% | 70.9% |
| 27 Nov-3 Dec 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[5] | 531 | 18.3% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 5.8% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | — | 0.1% | 25.8% | 66.7% |
| 20–27 Sep 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[7] | 1000 | 13.1% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 28.8% | 62% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[8] | 532 | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 26.9% | 60.1% |
| 26 Feb–17 Mar 2018 | TNS Kantar | RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre [37] | 548 | 15.7% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 28.8% | 66.7% |
| 27 Feb–6 Mar 2018 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[42] | 548 | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 1.2% | 27.8% | 62.6% |
| 27 Nov–4 Dec 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[39] | 552 | 12.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 8.7% | 1.1% | 25.3% | 66.0% |
| 11 Sep-8 Oct 2017 | TNS Kantar | La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard | 753 | 16.7% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 28.5% | 69.1% |
| 25 Aug–3 Sep 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[40] | 469 | 12.3% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | — | 1.4% | 27.0% | 66.1% |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated | L'Echo[14] | 679 | 12.5% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 28.6% | 61.1% |
| 16–20 Mar 2017 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[16] | 914 | 13.1% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 26.2% | 71.4% |
| 10–17 Jan 2017 | Ipsos | RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[17] | 510 | 10.8% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | — | 0.3% | 27.6% | 64.3% |
| 24–28 Nov 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [18][19] | 892 | 11.3% | 20.4% | 19% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 1.4% | 28.2% | 66.9% |
| 19–25 Sep 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[21] | 983 | 9.8% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | — | — | — | 0.9% | — | — | — | — | 4.8% | 20.3%* | 56.1%* |
| 2–6 Sep 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [22][23] | 917 | 12.9% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 28.8% | 66.7% |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[24] | 505 | 8.9% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | — | — | — | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.0% | 19.7%* | 54.8%* |
| 31 March–4 Apr 2016 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[25][26] | 918 | 10.2% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | — | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | — | 0.9% | 28.7% | 63.6% |
| 15–20 Jan 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws[28] | 537 | 8.3% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | — | — | — | 2.1% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 2.5% | 20.7%* | 52.2%* |
| Oct 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi/Le Soir/VTM/ Het Laatste Nieuws | ? | 9.2% | 26% | 23.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 11.1% | — | — | — | 5.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.9% | 23.1%* | 63.7* |
| 5–9 Mar 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | 907 | 9.4% | 19.7% | 22.6% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 30.0% | 65.9% |
| Nov 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | ? | 11.8% | 26.2% | 21.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 28.9% | 68.4% |
| Sep 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[34] | ? | 11.5% | 23.9% | 23.7% | 3.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 32.1% | 66.3% |
| 25 May 2014 | Federal election | 10.5% | 25.6% | 21.9% | 4.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | * | 5.9% | 3.7% | 28.8% | 65.2% | ||
