Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian presidential election
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Since the 2018 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.
The first round of the 2022 Brazilian general election took place on 2 October.[1] As no candidate reached a majority of the votes,[2] a second round was held on 30 October.[1]
First round
The first round took place on 2 October 2022.[1]
Chart
.svg)
Polling aggregation
| Aggregator | Last update | .jpg) Bolsonaro PL |
_denoise.jpg) Lula PT |
.jpg) Gomes PDT |
.jpg) Tebet MDB |
Others [a] |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist[3] | 1 Oct 2022 | 38% | 51% | 5% | 6% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +13 |
| Veja[4] | 1 Oct 2022 | 33.7% | 44.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +11.0 |
| Estadão[5] | 1 Oct 2022 | 33% | 47% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 7% | Lula +14 |
| CNN Brasil[6] | 1 Oct 2022 | 34% | 48% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 6% | Lula +14 |
| PollingData[7] | 1 Oct 2022 | 37.5% | 43.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 6.5% | Lula +6.2 |
| El País[8] | 1 Oct 2022 | 35.3% | 46.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +11.4 |
| El Electoral[9] | 1 Oct 2022 | 38.5% | 48.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +10.0 |
| Pollstergraph[10] | 1 Oct 2022 | 37.1% | 44.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | (N/A) | (N/A) | Lula +7.7 |
2022
Jul–Oct
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Gomes PDT |
Tebet MDB |
Others [a] |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | 2 Oct | Valid votes | 43.2% | 48.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | (N/A) | 5.2% |
| Total votes | 41.3% | 46.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | ||
| Datafolha[11] | 30 Sep – 1 Oct | 12,800 | 34% | 48% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 14% |
| IPEC[12] | 29 Sep – 1 Oct | 3,008 | 34% | 47% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 13% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[13] | 30 Sep | 1,100 | 33% | 46% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 13% |
| Atlas[14] | 28–30 Sep | 4,500 | 40.7% | 49.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1% | 9.1% |
| CNT/MDA[15] | 28–30 Sep | 2,002 | 36.3% | 44.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| 29 Sep | Third presidential debate. | ||||||||
| Datafolha[16] | 27–29 Sep | 6,800 | 34% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 1.2% | 4% | 14% |
| Atlas[17] | 24–28 Sep | 4,500 | 39.9% | 49.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 9.4% |
| Exame/Ideia[18] | 23–28 Sep | 1,500 | 37% | 47% | 6% | 5% | 1.2% | 4% | 10% |
| Genial/Quaest[19] | 24–27 Sep | 2,000 | 33% | 46% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 13% |
| Atlas[20] | 22–26 Sep | 4,500 | 41% | 48.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 7.3% |
| Ipec[21] | 25–26 Sep | 3,008 | 31% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 17% |
| BTG Pactual/FSB[22] | 23–25 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 45% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% |
| 24 Sep | Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend.[23] | ||||||||
| Abrapel/Ipespe[24] | 21–23 Sep | 1,100 | 35% | 46% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 11% |
| Datafolha[25] | 20–22 Sep | 6,754 | 33% | 47% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 14% |
| XP/Ipespe[26] | 19–21 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 46% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 11% |
| PoderData[27] | 18–20 Sep | 3,500 | 37% | 44% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 7% |
| Genial/Quaest[28] | 17–20 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 44% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 10% |
| Arko/Atlas[29] | 16–20 Sep | 7,514 | 38.6% | 48.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1% | 9.8% |
| Ipec[30] | 17–18 Sep | 3,008 | 31% | 47% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 16% |
| BTG/FSB[31] | 16–18 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 44% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 9% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[32] | 14–16 Sep | 1,100 | 35% | 45% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 10% |
| Datafolha[33] | 13–15 Sep | 5,926 | 33% | 45% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 12% |
| PoderData[34] | 11–13 Sep | 3,500 | 37% | 43% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 6% |
| Genial/Quaest[35] | 10–13 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 8% |
| Globo/Ipec[36] | 9–11 Sep | 2,512 | 31% | 46% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 15% |
| BTG/FSB[37] | 9–11 Sep | 2,000 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 6% |
| Datafolha[38] | 8–9 Sep | 2,676 | 34% | 45% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 11% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[39] | 7–9 Sep | 1,100 | 36% | 44% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| BTG/FSB[40] | 2–4 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 42% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 8% |
| Globo/Ipec[41] | 2–4 Sep | 2,512 | 31% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 13% |
| Genial/Quaest[42] | 1–4 Sep | 2,000 | 34% | 44% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[43] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 1,100 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 9% |
| Datafolha[44] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 5,734 | 32% | 45% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 13% |
| PoderData[45] | 28–30 Aug | 3,500 | 36% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[46] | 26–30 Aug | 2,020 | 37.1% | 41.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| XP/Ipespe[47] | 26–29 Aug | 2,000 | 35% | 43% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 8% |
| 28 Aug | First presidential debate.[48] | ||||||||
| BTG/FSB[49] | 26–28 Aug | 2,000 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 7% |
| Ipec[50] | 26–28 Aug | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 12% |
| Quaest[51] | 25–28 Aug | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 12% |
| CNT/MDA[52] | 25–28 Aug | 2,002 | 34.1% | 42.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| 26 Aug | Beginning of the period allowed for political advertisement on television and radio. | ||||||||
| Atlas[53] | 20–25 Aug | 7,475 | 38.3% | 46.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 8.4% |
| Exame/Ideia[54] | 19–24 Aug | 1,500 | 36% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 3.6% | 5% | 8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[55] | 19–23 Aug | 2,020 | 37% | 41.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| BTG/FSB[56] | 19–21 Aug | 2,000 | 36% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 9% |
| Datafolha[57] | 16–18 Aug | 5,744 | 32% | 47% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 15% |
| 16 Aug | Official beginning of the election campaign. | ||||||||
| PoderData[58] | 14–16 Aug | 3,500 | 37% | 44% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 7% |
| IPEC[59] | 12–14 Aug | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 12% |
| FSB Comunicação[60] | 12–14 Aug | 2,000 | 34% | 45% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 11% |
| Quaest/Genial[61] | 11–14 Aug | 2,000 | 33% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 12% |
| FSB Comunicação[62] | 5–7 Aug | 2,000 | 34% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 7% |
| 5 Aug | Brazil Union formally launches the candidacy of senator Soraya Thronicke.[63] | ||||||||
| 4 Aug | André Janones (Avante) withdraws his candidacy; endorses Lula.[64] | ||||||||
| PoderData[65] | 31 Jul – 2 Aug | 3,500 | 35% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[66] | 28 Jul – 1 Aug | 2,020 | 35.6% | 41.1% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| 31 Jul | Congressman Luciano Bivar (Brazil Union) withdraws his candidacy.[67] | ||||||||
| Quaest/Genial[68] | 28–31 Jul | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 12% |
| Datafolha[69] | 27–28 Jul | 2,566 | 29% | 47% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% |
| BTG/FSB[70] | 22–24 Jul | 2,000 | 31% | 44% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 13% |
| XP/Ipespe[71] | 20–22 Jul | 2,000 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% |
| 20 Jul | Beginning of the period for the realization of party conventions.[72] | ||||||||
| Exame/Ideia[73] | 15–20 Jul | 1,500 | 33% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 11% |
| PoderData[74] | 17–19 Jul | 3,000 | 37% | 43% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% |
| BTG/FSB[75] | 8–10 Jul | 2,000 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% |
| 32% | 42% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 10% | |||
| PoderData[76] | 3–5 Jul | 3,000 | 36% | 44% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 8% |
| Quaest/Genial[77] | 29 Jun – 2 Jul | 2,000 | 31% | 45% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
| 31% | 45% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | |||
| 31% | 47% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 12% | 16% | |||
Apr–Jun
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Gomes PDT |
.jpg) Doria PSDB |
Others [a] |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTG/FSB[78] | 24–26 Jun | 2,000 | 33% | 43% | 8% | N/a | 7% | 9% | 10% |
| Modalmais/Futura[79] | 20–24 Jun | 2,000 | 37.6% | 38.9% | 7.3% | N/a | 5.1% | 11% | 1.3% |
| Datafolha[80] | 22–23 Jun | 2,556 | 28% | 47% | 8% | N/a | 5% | 11% | 19% |
| Exame/Ideia[81] | 17–22 Jun | 1,500 | 36% | 45% | 7% | N/a | 6% | 7% | 9% |
| PoderData[82] | 19–21 Jun | 3,000 | 34% | 44% | 6% | N/a | 5% | 9% | 10% |
| BTG/FSB[83] | 10–12 Jun | 2,000 | 32% | 44% | 9% | N/a | 4% | 8% | 12% |
| PoderData[84] | 5–7 Jun | 3,000 | 35% | 43% | 6% | N/a | 5% | 10% | 8% |
| Quaest/Genial[85] | 2–5 Jun | 2,000 | 30% | 46% | 7% | N/a | 4% | 13% | 16% |
| 29% | 47% | 9% | N/a | 3% | 12% | 18% | |||
| 30% | 48% | 9% | N/a | 3% | 11% | 18% | |||
| Instituto GERP[86] | 30 May – 3 Jun | 2,095 | 37% | 39% | 8% | N/a | 6% | 10% | 2% |
| 37% | 39% | 7% | N/a | 8% | 9% | 2% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[87] | 30 May – 1 Jun | 1,000 | 34% | 45% | 9% | N/a | 6% | 7% | 11% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[88] | 26–30 May | 2,020 | 35.3% | 41.4% | 7.7% | N/a | 5.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| BTG/FSB[89] | 27–29 May | 2,000 | 32% | 46% | 9% | N/a | 3% | 8% | 14% |
| Datafolha[90] | 25–26 May | 2,556 | 27% | 48% | 7% | N/a | 6% | 11% | 21% |
| XP/Ipespe[91] | 23–25 May | 1,000 | 34% | 45% | 8% | N/a | 7% | 5% | 11% |
| CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[92] | 23–24 May | 3,000 | 32% | 40% | 9% | N/a | 5% | 13% | 8% |
| PoderData[93] | 22–24 May | 3,000 | 35% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| 23 May | Facing pressure from within his own party, João Doria, former governor of São Paulo, withdraws his candidacy.[94][95] | ||||||||
| Modalmais/Futura[96] | 16–19 May | 2,000 | 36% | 41% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 5% |
| Exame/Ideia[97] | 14–19 May | 1,500 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 5.2% | 12% | 9% |
| 33% | 40% | 8% | — | 6.9% | 14% | 7% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[98] | 16–18 May | 1,000 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 12% |
| XP/Ipespe[99] | 9–11 May | 1,000 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 12% |
| PoderData[100] | 8–10 May | 3,000 | 35% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 7% |
| 35% | 42% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | |||
| Quaest/Genial[101] | 5–8 May | 2,000 | 29% | 46% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 17% |
| 31% | 46% | 9% | 4% | N/a | 10% | 15% | |||
| 33% | 50% | N/a | 5% | N/a | 12% | 17% | |||
| 33% | 48% | 10% | N/a | N/a | 10% | 15% | |||
| 7 May | Former President Lula formally launches his candidacy.[102][103] | ||||||||
| CNT/MDA[104] | 4–7 May | 2,002 | 32% | 40.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% |
| XP/Ipespe[105] | 2–4 May | 1,000 | 31% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 13% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[106] | 28 Apr – 3 May | 2,020 | 35.2% | 40% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| 35.7% | 42.6% | N/a | 4.9% | 4% | 12.8% | 6.9% | |||
| PoderData[107] | 24–26 Apr | 3,000 | 36% | 41% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% |
| BTG/FSB[108] | 22–24 Apr | 2,000 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% |
| XP/Ipespe[109] | 18–20 Apr | 1,000 | 31% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 14% |
| Exame/Ideia[110] | 15–20 Apr | 1,500 | 33% | 42% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% |
| 14 Apr | Brazil Union announces the candidacy of congressman Luciano Bivar.[111] | ||||||||
| 13 Apr | Workers' Party national committee formally approves Geraldo Alckmin as Lula's running mate.[112] | ||||||||
| PoderData[113] | 10–12 Apr | 3,000 | 35% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 5% |
| XP/Ipespe[114] | 2–5 Apr | 1,000 | 30% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 14% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[115] | 31 Mar – 5 Apr | 2,020 | 35.3% | 41.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| Quaest/Genial[116] | 1–3 Apr | 2,000 | 31% | 45% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
Jan–Mar
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
 Moro PODE |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Others [a] |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto GERP[117] | 31 Mar – 5 Apr | 2,095 | 35% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 2% |
| 31 Mar | Former Minister Moro leaves Podemos and joins Brazil Union, suspending his candidacy.[118] | |||||||||
| PoderData[119] | 27–29 Mar | 3,000 | 32% | 41% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% |
| Modalmais/Futura[120] | 21–25 Mar | 2,000 | 35.5% | 38.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 3% |
| Datafolha[121] | 22–23 Mar | 2,556 | 26% | 43% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 17% |
| 26% | 43% | 8% | 7% | N/a | 6% | 10% | 17% | |||
| 26% | 44% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 18% | |||
| 26% | 43% | 8% | 8% | N/a | 5% | 9% | 17% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[122] | 21–23 Mar | 1,000 | 26% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[123] | 18–23 Mar | 1,500 | 29% | 40% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 11% |
| FSB[124] | 18–20 Mar | 2,000 | 29% | 43% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 14% |
| PoderData[125] | 13–15 Mar | 3,000 | 30% | 40% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
| Quaest/Genial[126] | 10–13 Mar | 2,000 | 26% | 44% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 18% |
| 25% | 45% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 28% | 48% | N/a | 8% | N/a | 3% | 12% | 20% | |||
| Ranking Brasil[127] | 7–12 Mar | 3,000 | 32.4% | 39% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | N/a | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Instituto GERP[126] | 7–10 Mar | 2,095 | 31% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 7% |
| 9 Mar | Senator Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) announces he will not run for president.[128] | |||||||||
| XP/Ipespe[129] | 7–9 Mar | 1,000 | 28% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 15% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[130] | 3–8 Mar | 2,020 | 30.9% | 38.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 11.2% | 8% |
| PoderData[131] | 27 Feb – 1 Mar | 3,000 | 32% | 40% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% |
| Ipespe[132] | 21–23 Feb | 1,000 | 26% | 43% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 17% |
| Exame/Ideia[133] | 18–22 Feb | 1,500 | 27% | 42% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 3.7% | 6% | 15% |
| CNT/MDA[134] | 16–19 Feb | 2,002 | 28% | 42.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| Modalmais/Futura[120] | 14–17 Feb | 2,000 | 34.7% | 35% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 0.3% |
| PoderData[135] | 13–15 Feb | 3,000 | 31% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 9% |
| XP/Ipespe[136] | 7–9 Feb | 1,000 | 25% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 18% |
| Quaest/Genial[137] | 3–6 Feb | 2,000 | 23% | 45% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 22% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[138] | 27 Jan – 1 Feb | 2,020 | 29.1% | 40.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 10.3% | 11% |
| PoderData[139] | 31 Jan – 1 Feb | 3,000 | 30% | 41% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% |
| XP/Ipespe[140] | 24–25 Jan | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 20% |
| Modalmais/Futura[141] | 17–21 Jan | 2,000 | 33.2% | 39.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | N/a | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| PoderData[142] | 16–18 Jan | 3,000 | 28% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
| Exame/Ideia[143] | 9–13 Jan | 1,500 | 24% | 41% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 17% |
| XP/Ipespe[144] | 10–12 Jan | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 20% |
| Quaest/Genial[145] | 6–9 Jan | 2,000 | 23% | 45% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 22% |
2021
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Moro PODE |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
_(cropped).jpg) Mandetta UNION |
 Pacheco PSD |
Tebet MDB |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoderData[146] | 19–21 Dec | 3,000 | 30% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 4% | N/a | N/a | 1% | 3% | 11% | 10% | |
| Ipespe[147] | 14–16 Dec | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 3% | N/a | 1% | N/a | 1% | 12% | 20% | |
| 23% | 43% | 9% | 7% | 3% | N/a | N/a | 1% | 2% | 9% | 20% | ||||
| Datafolha[148] | 13–16 Dec | 3,666 | 22% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10% | 26% | |
| Ipec[149] | 9–13 Dec | 2,002 | 22% | 49% | 8% | 5% | 3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13% | 27% | |
| 21% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 2% | N/a | N/a | 1% | 3% | 14% | 27% | ||||
| Exame/Ideia[150] | 6–9 Dec | 1,200 | 27% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 4% | N/a | 1% | N/a | 2% | 10% | 10% | |
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Moro PODE |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
 Leite PSDB |
Mandetta UNION |
Pacheco PSD |
Others [b] |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead | |
| 8 Dec | MDB confirms the candidacy of senator Simone Tebet.[152] | |||||||||||||
| Quaest/Genial[153] | 2–5 Dec | 2,037 | 23% | 46% | 10% | 5% | 2% | N/a | N/a | 1% | 1% | 11% | 23% | |
| 30 Nov | President Bolsonaro joins the Liberal Party.[154] | |||||||||||||
| Atlas Político[155] | 27–29 Nov | 4,401 | 31.5% | 42.8% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | N/a | N/a | 0.9% | 0.1% | 3.2% | 11.3% | |
| 27 Nov | Governor of São Paulo João Doria wins the PSDB presidential primary.[156] | |||||||||||||
| Ipespe[157] | 22–24 Nov | 1,000 | 25% | 42% | 11% | 9% | 2% | N/a | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | |
| 24% | 42% | 11% | 9% | N/a | 2% | N/a | 2% | 1% | 8% | 18% | ||||
| PoderData[158] | 22–24 Nov | 2,500 | 29% | 34% | 8% | 7% | 5% | N/a | 3% | N/a | 4% | 9% | 5% | |
| 27% | 36% | 8% | 9% | N/a | 5% | 2% | N/a | 3% | 8% | 9% | ||||
| Futura/ModalMais[159] | 16–20 Nov | 2,000 | 30.8% | 37% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 1.9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 2.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | |
| Paraná Pesquisas[160] | 16–19 Nov | 2,020 | 29.2% | 34.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | N/a | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | |
| 29.8% | 35.1% | 11% | 6.1% | N/a | 1.6% | N/a | 0.6% | 1.2% | 13.6% | 5.3% | ||||
| Ponteio Política[161] | 16–18 Nov | 1,000 | N/a | 37% | 18% | 11% | 3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | 19% | |
| 24% | 37% | 11% | 8% | 3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 13% | ||||
| Exame/Ideia[162] | 9–11 Nov | 1,200 | 25% | 35% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 20% | 10% | |
| Quaest/Genial[163] | 3–6 Nov | 2,063 | 21% | 48% | 8% | 6% | 2% | N/a | N/a | 1% | N/a | 14% | 27% | |
| 21% | 47% | 8% | 7% | N/a | 1% | N/a | 1% | N/a | 14% | 26% | ||||
| Vox Populi[164] | 30 Oct – 4 Nov | 2,000 | 21% | 44% | 3% | 4% | 1% | N/a | 1% | N/a | 3% | 22% | 23% | |
| 21% | 45% | 3% | 5% | N/a | 1% | 1% | N/a | 3% | 21% | 24% | ||||
| XP/Ipespe[165] | 25–28 Oct | 1,000 | 28% | 42% | N/a | 11% | 4% | N/a | 3% | 2% | N/a | 10% | 14% | |
| 25% | 41% | 8% | 9% | N/a | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 16% | ||||
| PoderData[166] | 25–27 Oct | 2,500 | 28% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 4% | N/a | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 7% | |
| 30% | 34% | 7% | 7% | N/a | 3% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 4% | ||||
| 23 Oct | PSD confirms the candidacy of senator Rodrigo Pacheco.[167] | |||||||||||||
| 22 Oct | Former Judge and Justice Minister Moro confirms candidacy.[168] | |||||||||||||
| Quaest/Genial[169] | 30 Sep – 3 Oct | 2,048 | 24% | 43% | N/a | 10% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 11% | 12% | 19% | |
| 24% | 44% | 10% | 9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 12% | 20% | ||||
| 26% | 45% | N/a | 10% | 6% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13% | 19% | ||||
| PoderData[170] | 27–29 Sep | 2,500 | 30% | 40% | N/a | 5% | 3% | N/a | 3% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 10% | |
| 28% | 43% | N/a | 5% | N/a | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | ||||
| Ipespe[171] | 22–24 Sep | 1,000 | 28% | 43% | N/a | 11% | 5% | N/a | 4% | 2% | N/a | 7% | 15% | |
| 25% | 42% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 17% | ||||
| Ipec[172] | 16–20 Sep | 2,002 | 23% | 48% | N/a | 8% | 3% | N/a | 3% | N/a | N/a | 14% | 25% | |
| 22% | 45% | 5% | 6% | 2% | N/a | 3% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 23% | ||||
| Datatempo[173] | 9–15 Sep | 2,025 | 22% | 36% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 2% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14% | |
| Datafolha[174] | 13–15 Sep | 3,667 | 26% | 44% | N/a | 9% | 4% | N/a | 3% | N/a | N/a | 12% | 18% | |
| 25% | 42% | N/a | 12% | N/a | 4% | 2% | N/a | N/a | 13% | 17% | ||||
| 25% | 44% | N/a | 11% | 6% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 12% | 19% | ||||
| 24% | 42% | N/a | 10% | 5% | N/a | N/a | 1% | 7% | 12% | 18% | ||||
| Paraná Pesquisas[175] | 1–5 Sep | 2,012 | 30.9% | 35.5% | N/a | 9.7% | 7.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 16.5% | 4.6% | |
| PoderData[176] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 2,500 | 28% | 37% | N/a | 8% | 4% | N/a | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 9% | |
| Quaest/Genial[177] | 26–29 Aug | 2,000 | 26% | 47% | N/a | 8% | 6% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13% | 21% | |
| XP/Ipespe[178] | 11–14 Aug | 1,000 | 24% | 40% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 4% | N/a | N/a | 9% | 16% | |
| 28% | 37% | N/a | 11% | 5% | N/a | N/a | 1% | 5% | 13% | 9% | ||||
| PoderData[179] | 2–4 Aug | 2,500 | 25% | 39% | N/a | 8% | 6% | N/a | 4% | N/a | 7% | 11% | 14% | |
| Quaest/Genial[180] | 29 Jul – 1 Aug | 1,500 | 29% | 46% | N/a | 12% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13% | 17% | |
| 27% | 44% | N/a | 10% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10% | 10% | 17% | ||||
| Paraná Pesquisas[181] | 24–28 Jul | 2,010 | 32.7% | 33.7% | N/a | 6.8% | 3.9% | N/a | 1.8% | 0.8% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 1% | |
| Datafolha[182] | 7–8 Jul | 2,074 | 25% | 46% | N/a | 8% | 5% | N/a | 4% | N/a | N/a | 12% | 21% | |
| XP/Ipespe[183] | 5–7 Jul | 1,000 | 26% | 38% | 9% | 10% | 2% | N/a | 3% | N/a | 3% | 13% | 12% | |
| 27% | 35% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 4% | 5% | N/a | 6% | 13% | 8% | ||||
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
 Haddad PT |
 Dino PCdoB |
Gomes PDT |
.jpg) Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
.jpg) Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro PODE |
 Huck Indep. |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exame/Ideia[184] | 22–24 Jun | 1,200 | 31% | 39% | N/a | N/a | 14% | N/a | 8% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 8% | 8% |
| Instituto Ipec[185] | 17–21 Jun | 2,002 | 23% | 49% | N/a | N/a | 7% | N/a | 5% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 3% | 13% | 26% |
| 16 Jun | Huck withdraws candidacy.[186] | ||||||||||||||
| Instituto Mapa[187] | 18–20 May | 2,000 | 26.8% | 36.8% | N/a | N/a | 5.0% | N/a | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 13.5% | 10% |
| Vox Populi[188] | 12–16 May | 2,000 | 24% | 43% | N/a | N/a | 5% | N/a | 2% | 2% | N/a | 8% | N/a | 14% | 19% |
| Datafolha[189] | 11–12 May | 2,071 | 23% | 41% | N/a | N/a | 6% | N/a | 3% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2%[c] | 13% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[190] | 19–22 Apr | 1,200 | 32% | 33% | N/a | N/a | 9% | N/a | 4% | 3% | N/a | 6% | 5%[d] | 9% | 1% |
| PoderData[191] | 12–14 Apr | 3,500 | 31% | 34% | N/a | N/a | 6% | N/a | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2%[e] | 9% | 3% |
| XP/Ipespe[192] | 29–31 Mar | 1,000 | 28% | 29% | N/a | N/a | 9% | 3% | 3% | N/a | 9% | 5% | 3%[f] | 12% | 1% |
| PoderData[193] | 15–17 Mar | 3,500 | 30% | 34% | N/a | N/a | 5% | N/a | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2%[g] | 13% | 4% |
| Revista Fórum/Offerwise[194] | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 30.7% | 31.2% | N/a | N/a | 7.4% | N/a | 6.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24.3% | 0.5% |
| 29.2% | 27.1% | N/a | 0.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | N/a | 14.6% | 2.1% | |||
| 31.2% | N/a | 13.3% | N/a | 7.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 2.0% | N/a | 6.8% | N/a | 28.8% | 17.9% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[195] | 9–11 Mar | 1,000 | 27% | 25% | N/a | N/a | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 2%[h] | 13% | 2% |
| 28% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 11% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 3%[i] | 17% | 17% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[196] | 10–11 Mar | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | N/a | N/a | 9% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 15% |
| Atlas[197] | 8–10 Mar | 3,721 | 32.7% | 27.4% | N/a | 0.7% | 7.5% | 0.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| 32.3% | N/a | 15.7% | 1.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 16.6% | |||
| CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[198] | 8–9 Mar | 1,200 | 31% | 21% | N/a | N/a | 9% | N/a | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | N/a | 15% | 10% |
| 8 Mar | Lula's corruption charges annulled; political rights restored.[199] | ||||||||||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas[200] | 28 Feb − 1 Mar | 2,080 | 37.6% | N/a | 14.3% | N/a | 13% | N/a | 6.9% | 3.9% | N/a | N/a | 2.7% | 21.5% | 23.3% |
| 32.2% | 18% | N/a | N/a | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3% | 11.6% | N/a | 1.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | |||
| 32.9% | N/a | 10.8% | N/a | 10.3% | 3.2% | N/a | 3% | 12% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 20.4% | |||
| 33.9% | N/a | 11.8% | N/a | 10.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 12.3% | N/a | N/a | 18.6% | 21.6% | |||
| 31.9% | N/a | 10.5% | N/a | 10% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 11.5% | 8% | N/a | 16.8% | 20.5% | |||
| Exame/ideia[201] | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 36% | 17% | N/a | N/a | 11% | 8% | 6% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 19% |
| 33% | 15% | N/a | N/a | 10% | 5% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10% | N/a | 26% | 18% | |||
| 32% | 17% | N/a | 3% | 10% | 5% | 3% | N/a | 7% | 8% | 1% | 15% | 15% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[202] | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 30.5% | N/a | 9.5% | N/a | 10.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 12% | 8.1% | N/a | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| 31% | 17.3% | N/a | N/a | 9.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 12.1% | N/a | N/a | 15.8% | 13.7% | |||
| 33.7% | N/a | 11.7% | 1% | 12.1% | N/a | 6.7% | 3.1% | N/a | 9.4% | 3.8% | 19.1% | 21.6% | |||
| Atlas[203] | 20−24 Jan | 3,073 | 34.4% | N/a | 13.4% | N/a | 11.6% | N/a | 4.3% | N/a | 11.6% | N/a | 4.8% | 19.9% | 21% |
| 34.5% | 22.3% | N/a | 1.4% | 8.8% | N/a | 3.6% | N/a | 11.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[204] | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 28% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 12% | 7% | N/a | 18% | 16% |
| 2018 general election | 7 Oct | N/a | 46.03% | N/a | 29.28% | N/a | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | N/a | N/a | 3.38% | N/a | 16.75% |
2020
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Dino PCdoB |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoderData[205] | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 36% | N/a | 13% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 12% | 23% |
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 29% | N/a | 12% | N/a | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 19% | 17% |
| Exame/Ideia[207] | 30 Nov − 3 Dec | 1,200 | 28% | 16% | N/a | 1% | 7% | N/a | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 24% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[208] | 28 Nov − 1 Dec | 2,036 | 33.3% | N/a | 8.8% | N/a | 10% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | N/a | 16% | 21.5% |
| 32.9% | 17.8% | N/a | N/a | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 11.9% | N/a | N/a | 15.2% | 15.1% | |||
| 35.8% | N/a | 11.5% | 1.2% | 12.1% | N/a | 4.8% | 3.5% | N/a | 9.5% | 2.7% | 19.1% | 23.7% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 29% | N/a | 13% | N/a | 8% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 16% |
| XP/Ipespe[209] | 8−11 Oct | 1,000 | 31% | N/a | 14% | N/a | 10% | N/a | 3% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 17% |
| Exame/Ideia[210] | 5−8 Oct | 1,200 | 30% | 18% | N/a | 1% | 9% | N/a | 4% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 12% |
| PoderData[211] | 14−16 Sep | 2,500 | 35% | N/a | 10% | 4% | 7% | N/a | 5% | N/a | 13% | N/a | 7% | 19% | 22% |
| 35% | 21% | N/a | 3% | 3% | N/a | 4% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 5% | 18% | 14% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[212] | 24−31 Aug | 1,235 | 31% | 17% | — | 1% | 6% | N/a | 3% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 14% |
| Revista Fórum/Offerwise[213] | 21−24 Aug | 1,000 | 41.7% | N/a | 14.8% | 1.2% | 7.7% | N/a | 3.7% | 2.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 1.6% | N/a | 26.9% |
| PoderData[214] | 3−5 Aug | 2,500 | 38% | N/a | 14% | 3% | 6% | N/a | 4% | N/a | 10% | N/a | 5% | 20% | 24% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[215] | 18−21 Jul | 2,030 | 29% | N/a | 13.4% | N/a | 9.9% | N/a | 4.0% | 3.4% | 17.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% |
| 27.5% | 21.9% | N/a | N/a | 8.3% | N/a | 3.8% | 3.4% | 16.8% | N/a | 1.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% | |||
| 30.7% | N/a | 14.5% | 1.6% | 10.7% | N/a | 4.6% | 4% | N/a | 8.3% | 6.6% | 18.9% | 16.2% | |||
| Quaest[216] | 14−17 Jun | 1,000 | 22% | N/a | 13% | N/a | 12% | N/a | 2% | N/a | 19% | 5% | 3% | 23% | 3% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[217] | 27–29 Apr | 2,006 | 27% | N/a | 14.1% | N/a | 10.3% | N/a | 3.7% | 4% | 18.1% | 6% | 2.2% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| 26.3% | 23.1% | N/a | N/a | 8.1% | N/a | 3.8% | 4% | 17.5% | N/a | 1.9% | 13% | 3.2% | |||
| 29.1% | N/a | 15.4% | 1.4% | 11.1% | N/a | 4.4% | 4.5% | N/a | 8.1% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% | |||
| Veja/FSB[218] | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 37% | N/a | 13% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 3% | 5% | N/a | 12% | N/a | 21% | 24% |
| 31% | 28% | N/a | N/a | 8% | N/a | 4% | 5% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 12% | 3% | |||
| 28% | N/a | 15% | N/a | 9% | N/a | 3% | 4% | 17% | 13% | N/a | 12% | 11% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 14% | N/a | 12% | N/a | 4% | 5% | 31% | 16% | N/a | 19% | 5% | |||
| N/a | 28% | N/a | N/a | 9% | N/a | 3% | 5% | 33% | 10% | N/a | 13% | 5% | |||
| Atlas Político[219] | 7–9 Feb | 2,000 | 41% | N/a | N/a | 13% | N/a | N/a | 2.5% | N/a | N/a | 14% | N/a | 27% | 27% |
| 32% | 28% | N/a | 3% | N/a | N/a | 0.6% | N/a | 20% | 14% | N/a | 9% | 4% | |||
| CNT/MDA[220] | 15–18 Jan | 2,002 | 29.1% | 17% | 2.3% | N/a | 3.5% | N/a | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 30.2% | 12.2% |
| 2018 general election | 7 Oct | N/a | 46.03% | N/a | 29.28% | N/a | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | N/a | N/a | 3.38% | N/a | 16.75% |
2019
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veja/FSB[221] | 11 Nov – 2 Dec | 2,000 | 33% | N/a | 15% | 11% | 3% | 5% | N/a | 12% | N/a | 22% | 18% |
| 32% | 29% | N/a | 9% | 4% | 5% | N/a | 9% | N/a | 12% | 3% | |||
| 28% | N/a | 16% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 13% | N/a | 12% | 12% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 32% | 15% | N/a | 17% | 16% | |||
| N/a | 29% | N/a | 9% | 4% | 5% | 32% | 10% | N/a | 11% | 3% | |||
| Veja/FSB[222] | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 34% | N/a | 17% | 9% | 3% | 5% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 21% | 18% |
| 24% | N/a | 14% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 15% | N/a | 13% | 7% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 16% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 30% | 16% | N/a | 17% | 14% | |||
| Veja/FSB[223] | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 35% | N/a | 17% | 11% | 3% | 5% | N/a | 11% | N/a | 18% | 18% |
| N/a | N/a | 18% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 27% | 13% | N/a | 19% | 9% | |||
| 2018 general election | 7 Oct | N/a | 46.03% | N/a | 29.28% | 12.47% | 4.76% | 2.50% | N/a | N/a | 4.96% | N/a | 16.75% |
Second round
The second round took place on 30 October 2022.[1]
Bolsonaro vs. Lula
.svg)
Polling aggregation
| Aggregator | Last update | Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist[3] | 29 Oct 2022 | 48% | 52% | N/a | Lula +4 |
| Veja[4] | 29 Oct 2022 | 43.5% | 48.4% | 8.1% | Lula +4.9 |
| Estadão[5] | 29 Oct 2022 | 44% | 49% | 7% | Lula +5 |
| CNN Brasil[224] | 29 Oct 2022 | 43.6% | 49.6% | 6.7% | Lula +6.0 |
| PollingData[7] | 29 Oct 2022 | 45.3% | 46.1% | 9% | Lula +0.8 |
| El Electoral[225] | 26 Oct 2022 | 45% | 49% | 6% | Lula +4 |
| Pollstergraph[10] | 29 Oct 2022 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 7.1% | Lula +2.3 |
After 2 October 2022
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | 30 Oct 2022 | Valid votes | 49.1% | 50.9% | (N/A) | 1.8% |
| Total votes | 46.8% | 48.6% | 4.6% | 1.7%[j] | ||
| Datafolha[226] | 28–29 Oct 2022 | 8,308 | 45% | 49% | 7% | 4% |
| Genial/Quaest[227] | 27–29 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% |
| Ipec[228] | 27–29 Oct 2022 | 4,272 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| Atlas[229] | 26–29 Oct 2022 | 7,500 | 45.7% | 52.4% | 1.9% | 6.7% |
| CNT/MDA[230] | 26–28 Oct 2022 | 2,002 | 44.9% | 46.9% | 8.2% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[231] | 26–28 Oct 2022 | 2,400 | 46.3% | 47.1% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| 28 Oct 2022 | Fourth presidential debate. | |||||
| Datafolha[232] | 25–27 Oct 2022 | 4,580 | 44% | 49% | 7% | 5% |
| ModalMais/Futura[233] | 24–26 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 47.2% | 46.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Gerp[234] | 21–26 Oct 2022 | 2,095 | 47% | 43% | 9% | 4% |
| PoderData[235] | 23–25 Oct 2022 | 5,000 | 44% | 49% | 7% | 5% |
| Genial/Quaest[236] | 23–25 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 48% | 10% | 6% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[237] | 22–24 Oct 2022 | 1,100 | 44% | 50% | 6% | 6% |
| Ipec[238] | 22–24 Oct 2022 | 3,008 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[239] | 20–24 Oct 2022 | 2,020 | 45.9% | 46.3% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Third presidential debate. Lula did not attend. | |||||
| Atlas[240] | 18–22 Oct 2022 | 4,500 | 46.2% | 52.0% | 1.8% | 5.8% |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend. | |||||
| ModalMais/Futura[241] | 17–19 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 46.9% | 45.9% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Datafolha[242] | 17–19 Oct 2022 | 2,912 | 45% | 49% | 5% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[243] | 15–19 Oct 2022 | 2,020 | 44.5% | 46.9% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Ideia[244] | 14–19 Oct 2022 | 1,500 | 46% | 50% | 4% | 4% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[245] | 17–18 Oct 2022 | 1,100 | 43% | 49% | 8% | 6% |
| PoderData[246] | 16–18 Oct 2022 | 5,000 | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Genial/Quaest[247] | 16–18 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| Ipec[248] | 11–17 Oct 2022 | 3,008 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| 16 Oct 2022 | First presidential debate for second round. | |||||
| CNT/MDA[249] | 14–16 Oct 2022 | 2,002 | 41.8% | 48.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Datafolha[250] | 13–14 Oct 2022 | 2,898 | 45% | 49% | 6% | 5% |
| ModalMais/Futura[251] | 10–12 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 46.5% | 46.9% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[252] | 10–12 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 43% | 49% | 8% | 6% |
| Atlas[253] | 8–12 Oct 2022 | 4,500 | 46.5% | 51.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[254] | 8–12 Oct 2022 | 2,020 | 44.1% | 47.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| PoderData[255] | 9–11 Oct 2022 | 5,000 | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Gerp[256] | 6–11 Oct 2022 | 2,095 | 46% | 48% | 6% | 2% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[257] | 8–10 Oct 2022 | 1,100 | 43% | 50% | 7% | 7% |
| IPEC[258] | 8–10 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 42% | 51% | 7% | 9% |
| Datafolha[259] | 5–7 Oct 2022 | 2,884 | 44% | 49% | 7% | 5% |
| Genial/Quaest[260] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% |
| PoderData[261] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 3,500 | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| IPEC[262] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 43% | 51% | 6% | 8% |
| ModalMais/Futura[263] | 3–4 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 46.0% | 49.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
2021 to 2 October 2022
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datafolha[264] | 30 Sep – 1 Oct 2022 | 12,800 | 38% | 54% | 8% | 16% |
| IPEC[12] | 29 Sep – 1 Oct 2022 | 3,008 | 37% | 52% | 11% | 15% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[13] | 30 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 55% | 7% | 17% |
| Atlas[14] | 28–30 Sep 2022 | 4,500 | 42.8% | 53.1% | 4.1% | 10.3% |
| CNT/MDA[15] | 28–30 Sep 2022 | 2,002 | 41.2% | 50.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| Atlas[17] | 24–28 Sep 2022 | 4,500 | 42.4% | 51.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% |
| Exame/Ideia[18] | 23–28 Sep 2022 | 1,500 | 41% | 52% | 7% | 11% |
| Genial/Quaest[19] | 24–27 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 52% | 10% | 14% |
| Atlas[20] | 22–26 Sep 2022 | 4,500 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5% | 7.6% |
| Ipec[21] | 25–26 Sep 2022 | 3,008 | 35% | 54% | 14% | 19% |
| BTG Pactual/FSB[22] | 23–25 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 52% | 8% | 12% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[24] | 21–23 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 54% | 8% | 16% |
| Datafolha[25] | 20–22 Sep 2022 | 6,754 | 38% | 54% | 9% | 16% |
| XP/Ipespe[26] | 19–21 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 54% | 9% | 17% |
| PoderData[265] | 18–20 Sep 2022 | 3,500 | 42% | 50% | 8% | 8% |
| Genial/Quaest[28] | 17–20 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| Arko/Atlas[29] | 16–20 Sep 2022 | 7,514 | 41.4% | 53.1% | 5.5% | 11.7% |
| Ipec[266] | 17–18 Sep 2022 | 3,008 | 35% | 54% | 11% | 19% |
| BTG/FSB[31] | 16–18 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| Aprapel/Ipespe[32] | 14–16 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 53% | 9% | 15% |
| Datafolha[33] | 13–15 Sep 2022 | 5,926 | 38% | 54% | 8% | 16% |
| PoderData[267] | 11–13 Sep 2022 | 3,500 | 42% | 51% | 6% | 9% |
| Genial/Quaest[35] | 10–13 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 48% | 12% | 8% |
| Globo/Ipec[36] | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 2,512 | 36% | 53% | 12% | 17% |
| BTG/FSB[37] | 9–11 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 51% | 11% | 13% |
| Datafolha[38] | 8–9 Sep 2022 | 2,676 | 39% | 53% | 9% | 14% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[39] | 7–9 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| BTG/FSB[40] | 2–4 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 40% | 53% | 8% | 13% |
| Globo/Ipec[41] | 2–4 Sep 2022 | 2,512 | 36% | 52% | 12% | 16% |
| Genial/Quaest[42] | 1–4 Sep 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 51% | 10% | 12% |
| Abrapel/Ipespe[43] | 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2022 | 1,100 | 38% | 53% | 9% | 15% |
| PoderData[45] | 28–30 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 41% | 50% | 9% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[46] | 26–30 Aug 2022 | 2,020 | 40.8% | 47.8% | 11.4% | 7% |
| XP/Ipespe[47] | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 53% | 9% | 15% |
| BTG/FSB[49] | 26–28 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| Ipec[50] | 26–28 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 50% | 13% | 13% |
| Quaest[51] | 25–28 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 51% | 13% | 14% |
| CNT/MDA[52] | 25–28 Aug 2022 | 2,002 | 38.8% | 50.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% |
| Modalmais/Futura[268] | 24−25 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 43.8% | 45.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% |
| Atlas[53] | 20–25 Aug 2022 | 7,475 | 40.8% | 51.8% | 7.4% | 11% |
| Exame/Ideia[54] | 19–24 Aug 2022 | 1,500 | 40% | 49% | 11% | 9% |
| BTG/FSB[269] | 19–21 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 39% | 52% | 9% | 13% |
| Datafolha[270] | 16–18 Aug 2022 | 5,744 | 37% | 54% | 10% | 17% |
| PoderData[58] | 14–16 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 38% | 52% | 10% | 14% |
| Ipec[59] | 12–14 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 35% | 51% | 14% | 16% |
| FSB Comunicação[60] | 12–14 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 53% | 10% | 15% |
| Quaest/Genial[61] | 11–14 Aug 2022 | 2,000 | 38% | 51% | 11% | 13% |
| FSB Comunicação[62] | 5–7 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 39% | 51% | 10% | 12% |
| PoderData[271] | 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 | 3,500 | 40% | 50% | 9% | 10% |
| Datafolha[69] | 22–24 Jul 2022 | 2,566 | 35% | 55% | 9% | 20% |
| BTG/FSB[70] | 22–24 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 36% | 54% | 9% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[73] | 15–20 Jul 2022 | 1,500 | 37% | 47% | 11% | 10% |
| PoderData[272] | 17–19 Jul 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 51% | 12% | 13% |
| BTG/FSB[75] | 8–10 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 53% | 10% | 16% |
| PoderData[273] | 3–5 Jul 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 50% | 12% | 12% |
| Quaest/Genial[77] | 29 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 34% | 53% | 13% | 19% |
| BTG/FSB[78] | 24–26 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 52% | 10% | 15% |
| Datafolha[80] | 22–23 Jun 2022 | 2,556 | 34% | 57% | 9% | 23% |
| Exame/Ideia[81] | 17–22 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 41% | 48% | 10% | 7% |
| PoderData[82] | 19–21 Jun 2022 | 3,000 | 35% | 52% | 13% | 17% |
| BTG/FSB[83] | 10–12 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 36% | 54% | 8% | 18% |
| PoderData[274] | 05–07 Jun 2022 | 3,000 | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| Quaest/Genial[85] | 02–05 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 32% | 54% | 12% | 22% |
| XP/Ipespe[87] | 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 35% | 53% | 12% | 18% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[88] | 26–30 May 2022 | 2,020 | 39.2% | 47.3% | 13.5% | 8.1% |
| BTG/FSB[89] | 27–29 May 2022 | 2,000 | 35% | 54% | 11% | 19% |
| Datafolha[90] | 25–26 May 2022 | 2,556 | 33% | 58% | 9% | 25% |
| XP/Ipespe[91] | 23–25 May 2022 | 1,000 | 35% | 53% | 12% | 18% |
| PoderData[93] | 22–24 May 2022 | 3,000 | 39% | 50% | 11% | 11% |
| Modalmais/Futura[96] | 16–19 May 2022 | 2,000 | 40.1% | 49% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Exame/Ideia | 14–19 May 2022 | 1,500 | 39% | 46% | 15% | 7% |
| XP/Ipespe[98] | 17–18 May 2022 | 1,000 | 34% | 53% | 13% | 19% |
| XP/Ipespe[99] | 9–11 May 2022 | 1,000 | 35% | 54% | 10% | 19% |
| PoderData[100] | 8–10 May 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 49% | 13% | 11% |
| Quaest/Genial[101] | 5–8 May 2022 | 2,000 | 34% | 54% | 11% | 20% |
| CNT/MDA[104] | 4–7 May 2022 | 2,002 | 36.8% | 50.8% | 12.4% | 14% |
| XP/Ipespe[105] | 2–4 May 2022 | 1,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[106] | 28–3 May 2022 | 2,020 | 38.7% | 46.4% | 15% | 7.7% |
| PoderData[275] | 24–26 Apr 2022 | 3,000 | 39% | 48% | 13% | 9% |
| BTG/FSB[108] | 22–24 Apr 2022 | 2,000 | 37% | 52% | 10% | 15% |
| XP/Ipespe[109] | 18–20 Apr 2022 | 1,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
| Exame/Ideia[110] | 15–20 Apr 2022 | 1,500 | 39% | 48% | 13% | 9% |
| PoderData[276] | 10–12 Apr 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 47% | 15% | 9% |
| XP/Ipespe[114] | 2–5 Apr 2022 | 1,000 | 33% | 53% | 14% | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[115] | 31–5 Apr 2022 | 2,020 | 38.5% | 47.1% | 14.4% | 8.6% |
| Quaest/Genial[116] | 1–3 Apr 2022 | 2,000 | 34% | 55% | 11% | 21% |
| PoderData[119] | 27–29 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 38% | 50% | 12% | 12% |
| Futura/Modalmais[120] | 21–25 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 41.6% | 48.6% | 9.8% | 7% |
| Datafolha[277] | 22–23 Mar 2022 | 2,556 | 34% | 55% | 11% | 21% |
| Exame/Ideia[123] | 18–23 Mar 2022 | 1,500 | 37% | 50% | 13% | 13% |
| FSB[124] | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 35% | 54% | 11% | 19% |
| PoderData[125] | 13–15 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 36% | 50% | 14% | 14% |
| Quaest/Genial[126] | 10–13 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 32% | 54% | 13% | 22% |
| Ranking Brasil[127] | 7–12 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 38.3% | 45% | 16.7% | 6.7% |
| XP/Ipespe[136] | 7–9 Mar 2022 | 1,000 | 33% | 53% | 14% | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[130] | 3–8 Mar 2022 | 2,020 | 37.3% | 46% | 16.7% | 8.7% |
| PoderData[278] | 27–1 Mar 2022 | 3,000 | 37% | 51% | 11% | 14% |
| Ipespe[132] | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,000 | 32% | 54% | 14% | 22% |
| Exame/Ideia[133] | 18–22 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | 35% | 49% | 16% | 14% |
| CNT/MDA[134] | 16–19 Feb 2022 | 2,002 | 35.3% | 53.2% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| Futura/Modalmais[120] | 14–17 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 40.1% | 48% | 11.9% | 7.9% |
| PoderData[135] | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 3,000 | 35% | 50% | 15% | 15% |
| XP/Ipespe[136] | 7–9 Feb 2022 | 1,000 | 31% | 54% | 15% | 23% |
| Quaest/Genial[137] | 3–6 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[138] | 27–1 Feb 2022 | 2,020 | 34.4% | 48.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% |
| PoderData[139] | 31–1 Feb 2022 | 3,000 | 37% | 54% | 9% | 17% |
| XP/Ipespe[140] | 24–25 Jan 2022 | 1,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
| Futura/Modalmais[141] | 17–21 Jan 2022 | 2,000 | 37.8% | 50.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
| PoderData[142] | 16–18 Jan 2022 | 3,000 | 32% | 54% | 14% | 22% |
| Exame/Ideia[143] | 9–13 Jan 2022 | 1,500 | 33% | 49% | 18% | 16% |
| XP/Ipespe[144] | 10–12 Jan 2022 | 1,000 | 31% | 56% | 13% | 25% |
| Quaest/Genial[145] | 6–9 Jan 2022 | 2,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
| PoderData[146] | 19–21 Dec 2021 | 3,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
| Ipespe[147] | 14–16 Dec 2021 | 1,000 | 31% | 53% | 16% | 22% |
| Ipespe[157] | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 52% | 16% | 20% |
| PoderData[158] | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 2,500 | 31% | 54% | 15% | 23% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[160] | 16–19 Nov 2021 | 2,020 | 35.6% | 42.5% | 21.9% | 6.9% |
| Ponteio Política[161] | 16–18 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 50% | 18% | 18% |
| Exame/Ideia[162] | 9–11 Nov 2021 | 1,200 | 31% | 48% | 21% | 17% |
| Quaest/Genial[163] | 3–6 Nov 2021 | 2,063 | 27% | 57% | 13% | 30% |
| XP/Ipespe[279] | 25–28 Oct 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 50% | 18% | 18% |
| PoderData[166] | 25–27 Oct 2021 | 2,500 | 37% | 52% | 11% | 15% |
| PoderData[170] | 27–29 Sep 2021 | 2,500 | 33% | 56% | 11% | 23% |
| Datatempo[173] | 9–15 Sep 2021 | 2,025 | 30.1% | 53.1% | 16.8% | 23% |
| Datafolha[174] | 13–15 Sep 2021 | 3,667 | 31% | 56% | 14% | 25% |
| PoderData[176] | 30–1 Sep 2021 | 2,500 | 30% | 55% | 15% | 25% |
| Quaest/Genial[177] | 26–29 Aug 2021 | 2,000 | 30% | 55% | 15% | 25% |
| XP/Ipespe[178] | 11–14 Aug 2021 | 1,000 | 32% | 51% | 17% | 19% |
| PoderData[179] | 2–4 Aug 2021 | 2,500 | 32% | 52% | 16% | 20% |
| XP/Ipespe[183] | 5–7 Jul 2021 | 1,000 | 35% | 49% | 17% | 14% |
Other
2021
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datafolha[182] | 7–8 Jul | 2,074 | 31% | 58% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 11% | 27% |
| N/a | 56% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | 34% | |||
| Vox Populi[188] | 12–16 May | 2,000 | 28% | 55% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 27% |
| N/a | 52% | N/a | 19% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 29% | 33% | |||
| N/a | 56% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 14% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | 42% | |||
| Datafolha[189] | 11–12 May | 2,071 | 32% | 55% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13% | 23% |
| N/a | 53% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33% | N/a | N/a | 14% | 20% | |||
| N/a | 57% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | N/a | 22% | 36% | |||
| 36% | N/a | N/a | 48% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 12% | |||
| 39% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 1% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[190] | 19–22 Apr | 1,200 | 38% | 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | 2% |
| PoderData[191] | 12–14 Apr | 3,500 | |||||||||||
| 34% | 52% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 14% | 18% | |||
| 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 48% | N/a | 17% | 13% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25% | 1% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | 25% | 1% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24% | Tie | |||
| XP/Ipespe[192] | 29–31 Mar | 1,000 | |||||||||||
| 38% | 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20% | 4% | |||
| 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | 40% | Tie | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33% | Tie | |||
| 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32% | N/a | 33% | 3% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32% | 8% | |||
| 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33% | 7% | |||
| N/a | 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | 23% | 5% | |||
| PoderData[193] | 15–17 Mar | 3,500 | 36% | 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | 5% |
| 34% | N/a | N/a | 39% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 27% | 5% | |||
| 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 40% | N/a | 23% | 3% | |||
| 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 28% | 10% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | 31% | 7% | |||
| Revista Fórum/Offerwise[194] | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 33.8% | 38.0% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 28.3% | 4.2% |
| N/a | 33.6% | N/a | 16.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 49.6% | 16.9% | |||
| N/a | 36.9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 13.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 49.8% | 23.5% | |||
| N/a | 35.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17.4% | N/a | 47.2% | 18.0% | |||
| N/a | 35.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24.5% | N/a | N/a | 39.8% | 11.2% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[195] | 9–11 Mar | 1,000 | 41% | 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19% | 1% |
| 40% | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24% | 4% | |||
| 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | 35% | 3% | |||
| 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32% | N/a | 30% | 5% | |||
| 39% | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25% | 2% | |||
| 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | 10% | |||
| 39% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 29% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32% | 10% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 40% | N/a | N/a | 30% | 10% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[196] | 10–11 Mar | 1,000 | 44% | 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19% | 7% |
| 45% | N/a | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | 11% | |||
| 47% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26% | 21% | |||
| 46% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | 17% | 9% | |||
| Atlas[197] | N/a | 3,721 | 36.9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 46.6%[k] | 16.5% | 9.7% |
| 37.5% | N/a | N/a | 44.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17.8% | 7.2% | |||
| 38.8% | 44.9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 16.3% | 6.1% | |||
| 39.4% | N/a | 43.0% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17.6% | 3.6% | |||
| 39.8% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 39.3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20.9% | 0.5% | |||
| 37.1% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26.8% | 1.0% | |||
| 34.3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33.1% | N/a | N/a | 32.6% | 1.2% | |||
| 37.3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32.5% | N/a | 30.2% | 4.8% | |||
| CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[198] | 8–9 Mar | 1,200 | 43% | 39% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 18% | 4% |
| 43% | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | 7% | |||
| 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 38% | N/a | N/a | 21% | 3% | |||
| 46% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | 23% | 15% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[201] | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 45% | 28% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26% | 17% |
| 41% | N/a | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26% | 7% | |||
| 45% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24% | 15% | |||
| 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 38% | N/a | 21% | 3% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[202] | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 42.4% | 35.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21.9% | 6.7% |
| 39.1% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37.6% | N/a | N/a | 23.3% | 1.5% | |||
| 43.7% | N/a | N/a | 34.3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22.1% | 9.4% | |||
| 44.9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 29.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25.8% | 15.5% | |||
| 42.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33.2% | N/a | 24.1% | 9.5% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[204] | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 34% | N/a | 28% | 4% |
| 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | 31% | 3% | |||
| 40% | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | 3% | |||
| 44% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25% | 13% | |||
| 42% | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 5% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 43% | N/a | N/a | 28% | 13% | |||
2020
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoderData[205] | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 44% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 38% | N/a | 18% | 6% |
| 43% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | 21% | 7% | |||
| 44% | N/a | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | 9% | |||
| 46% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20% | 12% | |||
| 48% | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 13% | |||
| 46% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | 15% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | 30% | 2% |
| 45% | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | 10% | |||
| 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33% | N/a | 27% | 7% | |||
| 43% | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 7% | |||
| 47% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 16% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 27% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 46% | N/a | N/a | 28% | 19% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[207] | 30 Nov − 3 Dec | 1,200 | 37% | 32% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | 5% |
| 44% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 29% | N/a | N/a | 27% | 15% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 40% | 16% | |||
| 37% | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 27% | 1% | |||
| 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32% | N/a | 32% | 4% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[208] | 28 Nov − 1 Dec | 2,036 | 47% | 33.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19.7% | 13.6% |
| 44.9% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 34.7% | N/a | N/a | 20.5% | 10.2% | |||
| 48.5% | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20.6% | 17.5% | |||
| 51.1% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23.8% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25.1% | 27.3% | |||
| 48.6% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 29.7% | N/a | 21.7% | 18.9% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[206] | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 38% | N/a | N/a | 28% | 5% |
| 43% | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20% | 6% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 25% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 46% | N/a | N/a | 29% | 21% | |||
| 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 33% | N/a | 27% | 7% | |||
| 42% | N/a | N/a | 39% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19% | 3% | |||
| 45% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24% | 14% | |||
| XP/Ipespe[209] | 8−11 Oct | 1,000 | 42% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30%[l] | 28% | 12% |
| 43% | N/a | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 8% | |||
| 42% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 28% | N/a | 30% | 14% | |||
| 43% | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 8% | |||
| 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | 29% | 1% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 26% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 43% | N/a | N/a | 31% | 17% | |||
| Exame/Ideia[210] | 5−8 Oct | 1,200 | 43% | 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25% | 10% |
| 42% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 38% | 21% | |||
| 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | 25% | 6% | |||
| PoderData[211] | 14−16 Sep | 2,500 | 45% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 32% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | 13% |
| 48% | N/a | N/a | 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19% | 15% | |||
| 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | N/a | 23% | 3% | |||
| 45% | N/a | 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 7% | |||
| 41% | 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 18% | Tie | |||
| Exame/Ideia[212] | 24−31 Aug | 1,235 | 42% | 31% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 27% | 11% |
| 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 42% | 24% | |||
| 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | N/a | N/a | 31% | 7% | |||
| PoderData[280] | 3–5 Aug | 2,500 | 44% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26% | 14% |
| 42% | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 24% | 8% | |||
| 41% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 41% | N/a | N/a | 18% | Tie | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[215] | 18–21 Jul | 2,030 | 46.6% | N/a | 32% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| 44.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | 20.2% | 9.7% | |||
| 45.6% | 36.4% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 18% | 9.2% | |||
| 48.1% | N/a | N/a | 31.1% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20.9% | 17% | |||
| 51.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25.4% | 28.7% | |||
| 50.8% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 27.6% | N/a | 21.6% | 23.2% | |||
| Veja/FSB[218] | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 51% | N/a | 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 16% | 18% |
| 50% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 25% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 26% | 25% | |||
| 45% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | 17% | 8% | |||
| 48% | 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 11% | 8% | |||
| 37% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 39% | N/a | N/a | 25% | 2% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 53% | N/a | N/a | 17% | 23% | |||
| N/a | 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 49% | N/a | N/a | 12% | 9% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 30% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 37% | N/a | 34% | 7% | |||
| N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 51% | 32% | N/a | 16% | 19% | |||
| 2018 general election | 28 Oct | N/a | 55.13% | N/a | 44.87% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10.26% | |
2019
| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Doria PSDB |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaest[281] | 26–27 Dec | 1,000 | 46% | 32% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 22% | 14% |
| Veja/FSB[221] | 11 Nov – 2 Dec | 2,000 | 45% | 40% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 16% | 5% |
| 47% | N/a | 32% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21% | 15% | |||
| 45% | N/a | N/a | 26% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 28% | 19% | |||
| 44% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | 19% | 8% | |||
| 36% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 36% | N/a | N/a | 28% | Tie | |||
| N/a | N/a | 29% | N/a | 52% | N/a | N/a | 18% | 23% | |||
| N/a | 39% | N/a | N/a | 48% | N/a | N/a | 12% | 9% | |||
| N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 50% | 31% | N/a | 18% | 19% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 29% | N/a | N/a | 39% | N/a | 33% | 10% | |||
| Veja/FSB[222] | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 47% | N/a | 34% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 20% | 13% |
| 46% | N/a | N/a | 26% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 29% | 20% | |||
| 46% | 38% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 8% | |||
| 43% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 39% | N/a | 19% | 7% | |||
| Veja/FSB[223] | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 48% | N/a | 35% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 18% | 13% |
| 45% | N/a | N/a | 29% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23% | 16% | |||
| N/a | N/a | 37% | 33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 31% | 4% | |||
| 2018 general election | 28 Oct | N/a | 55.13% | N/a | 44.87% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10.26% |
See also
Notes
- This column presents the sum of candidates who do not reach 3% frequently.
- TV presenter José Luiz Datena withdrew candidacy in November 2021, to run for a Senate seat.[151] Polls with his name are now added to the column "Others".
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%; Danilo Gentili with 2%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
- The lead is smaller than the difference between the displayed values of 48.6% and 46.8%, which is 1.8%, due to rounding.
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 46.6%
- Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 30%