Opinion polling on the Jair Bolsonaro presidency

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Opinion polling has been regularly conducted in Brazil since the start of Jair Bolsonaro's four-year term administration, gauging public support for the President of Brazil and his government. Typically, an approval rating is based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked to evaluate the overall administration of the current president. Participants might also be asked whether they approve of the way president handles his job, if they trust him, to rate his personality, or to opine on various policies promoted by the government.

Overall administration evaluation

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Bolsonaro's administration. A question might ask:

The administration of President Jair Bolsonaro has been excellent, good, regular, bad, or terrible?[1]

  plurality approval   neutral evaluation   plurality disapproval   majority disapproval

More information Polling group, Date ...
Polling
group
Date Sample
size
Good /
Excellent
Regular Bad /
Terrible
Unsure /
No opinion
Net ±
Datafolha[2] 19–20 December 2022 2,026 39% 24% 37% 1% +2%
IPEC[3] 26–28 August 2022 2,000 31% 24% 43% 2% –12%
2022
Poder360[4] 17–19 July 3,000 34% 14% 50% 2% –16%
Exame/Ideia[5] 17–22 June 1,500 33% 21% 44% 1% –11%
Paraná Pesquisas[6] 31 March–5 April 2,020 32.4% 20.8% 45.8% 1% –13.4%
Datafolha 22–23 March 2,556 25% 28% 46% 1% –21%
Exame/Ideia 18–23 March 1,500 28% 24% 45% 3% –17%
XP/Ipespe[7] 7–9 March 1,000 27% 20% 52% 1% –25%
Paraná Pesquisas[6] 3–8 March 2,020 28.1% 23.7% 47% 1,3% –18.9%
PoderData[8] 27 February – 1 March 3,000 30% 16% 52% 2% –22%
CNT/MDA[9] 16–19 February 2,002 25.9% 30,4% 42.7% 1% –16.8%
XP/Ipespe[10] 10–12 January 1,000 24% 21% 54% 7% −30%
2021
IPEC[11] 9–13 December 2,002 19% 25% 55% 1% −36%
Exame/Ideia[12][13] 18–22 November 1,277 23% 19% 55% 2% −32%
9–11 November 1,200 23% 20% 54% 3% −31%
PoderData[14] 13–15 September 2,500 27% 14% 56% 3% −29%
Atlas Político[15] 30 August – 4 September 3,246 24% 14% 61% 1% −37%
PoderData[16] 16–18 August 2,500 28% 13% 56% 3% −28%
XP/Ipespe[17] 11–14 August 1,000 20% 23% 54% 2% −34%
Exame/Ideia[18] 12–15 July 1,258 26% 20% 51% 1% −25%
Datafolha[19] 7–8 July 2,074 24% 24% 51% 1% −27%
XP/Ipespe[20] 5–7 July 1,000 25% 21% 52% 3% −27%
Exame/Ideia[21] 28 June – 1 July 1,248 23% 21% 54% 3% −31%
IPEC[22] 17–21 June 2,002 23% 26% 50% 1% −27%
XP/Ipespe[23] 7–10 June 1,000 26% 22% 50% 2% −24%
Datafolha[24] 11–12 May 2,071 24% 30% 45% 1% −21%
Exame/Ideia[25] 19–22 April 1,200 25% 20% 54% 1% −29%
PoderData[26] 12–14 April 3,500 26% 18% 55% 1% −29%
XP/Ipespe[27] 29–31 March 1,000 27% 24% 48% 1% −21%
PoderData[28] 29–31 March 3,500 26% 19% 53% 2% −27%
Exame/Ideia[29] 22−24 March 1,255 25% 22% 49% 2% −24%
Datafolha[30] 15−16 March 2,023 30% 24% 44% 2% −14%
XP/Ipespe[31] 9–11 March 1,000 30% 24% 45% 1% −15%
Exame/Ideia[32] 8–11 March 1,200 26% 25% 45% 3% −19%
PoderData[33] 1–3 March, 2,500 31% 18% 47% 4% −16%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] 25 February – 1 March 2,080 34% 23.7% 40.6% 1.7% −6.6%
CNT/MDA[34] 18–20 February 2,002 32.9% 30.2% 35.5% 1.4% −2.6%
Exame/Ideia[35] 11 February 1,200 31% 24% 43% 2% −12%
PoderData[36] 1–3 February 2,500 33% 22% 41% 4% −8%
Datafolha[37] 20–21 January 2,030 31% 26% 40% 2% −9%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] 22–26 January 2,002 33.3% 25.4% 39.6% 1.6% −6.3%
Exame/Ideia[38] 18–21 January 1,200 27% 26% 45% 2% −8%
XP/Ipespe[39] 11–14 January 1,000 32% 26% 40% 2% −8%
EXAME/IDEIA[40] 11–14 January 1,200 37% 27% 37% 2% 0%
2020
PoderData[41] 21–23 December 2,500 39% 17% 42% 2% −3%
Datafolha[42] 8–10 December 2,016 37% 29% 32% 3% +5%
XP Investimentos[43] 7–9 December 1,000 38% 25% 35% 2% +3%
CNI/Ibope[44] 5–8 December 2,000 35% 30% 33% 2% +2%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] 28 November – 1 December 2,036 37.2% 24.4% 37.3% 1.2% −0.1%
PoderData[41] 23–25 November 2,500 36% 19% 40% 5% −4%
CNT/MDA[34] 21–24 October 2,002 41% 30% 27% 1,3% +14%
XP Investimentos[43] 8–11 October 1,000 39% 28% 31% 2% +8%
Exame/IDEIA[45] 5–8 October 1,200 36% 25% 37% 2% −1%
Band/PoderData[46] 28–30 September 2,500 38% 27% 30% 5% +8%
CNI/Ibope[44] 17–20 September 2,000 40% 29% 29% 2% +11%
Band/PoderData[47] 14–16 September 2,500 38% 25% 34% 3% +4%
XP Investimentos[48] 8–11 September 1,000 39% 24% 36% 2% +3%
Band/PoderData[49] 31 August – 2 September 2,500 39% 24% 34% 3% +5%
Exame/IDEIA[50] 24–31 August 1,235 39% 20% 39% 2% 0%
XP/Ipespe[51] 13–15 August 1,000 37% 23% 37% 3% 0%
Datafolha[52] 11–12 August 2,065 37% 27% 34% 1% +3%
PoderData[53] 3–5 August 2,500 32% 25% 41% 2% −9%
DataPoder360[54] 20–22 July 2,500 30% 23% 43% 4% −13%
Datafolha[55] 23–24 June 2,016 32% 23% 44% 1% −12%
XP/Ipespe[56] 9–11 June 1,000 28% 22% 48% 2% −20%
DataPoder360[57] 8–10 June 2,500 28% 20% 47% 5% −19%
XP/Ipespe[58][56] 26–27 May 1,000 26% 23% 49% 2% −23%
DataPoder360[59] 25–27 May 2,500 28% 23% 44% 5% −16%
Datafolha[60] 25–26 May 2,069 33% 22% 43% 2% −10%
XP/Ipespe[61] 16–18 May 1,000 25% 23% 50% 2% −25%
Fórum/Offerwise[62][63] 14–17 May 1,000 32.0% 24.9% 39.5% 3.6% −7.5%
DataPoder360[64] 11–13 May 2,500 30% 27% 39% 4% −9%
CNT/MDA[65][66] 7–10 May 2,002 32.0% 22.9% 43.4% 1.7% −11.4%
XP/Ipespe[67] 28–30 April 1,000 27% 24% 49% 1% −22%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] 27–29 April 2,006 31.8% 27.3% 39.4% 1.6% −7.6%
DataPoder360[68] 27–29 April 2,500 29% 26% 40% 5% −11%
Datafolha[69][70] 27 April 1,503 33% 26% 38% 3% −5%
XP/Ipespe[71] 23–24 April 800 31% 24% 42% 3% −11%
XP/Ipespe[71] 20–22 April 1,000 31% 26% 42% 2% −11%
XP/Ipespe[71] 13–15 April 1,000 30% 26% 40% 3% −10%
DataPoder360[72] 13–15 April 2,500 36% 28% 33% 3% +3%
XP/Ipespe[73] 30 March – 1 April 1,000 28% 27% 42% 3% −14%
XP/Ipespe[74] 16–18 March 1,000 30% 31% 36% 3% −6%
XP/Ipespe[75][76] 17–19 February 1,000 34% 29% 36% 2% −2%
CNT/MDA[77][78] 15–18 January 2,002 34.5% 32.1% 31.0% 2.4% +3.5%
XP/Ipespe[79] 13–15 January 1,000 32% 28% 39% 1% −7%
2019
XP/Ipespe[80] 9–11 December 1,000 35% 25% 39% 1% −4%
Ibope[81] 5–8 December 2,000 29% 31% 38% 3% −9%
Datafolha[82] 5–6 December 2,948 30% 32% 36% 1% −6%
XP/Ipespe[83] 6–8 November 1,000 35% 25% 39% 2% −4%
XP/Ipespe[84] 9–11 October 1,000 33% 27% 38% 1% −5%
Ibope[85] 19–22 September 2,000 31% 32% 34% 3% −3%
Datafolha[86] 29–30 August 2,878 29% 30% 38% 2% −9%
XP/Ipespe[87] 27–29 August 1,000 30% 27% 41% 2% −11%
CNT/MDA[88][89] 22–25 August 2,002 29.4% 29.1% 39.5% 2.0% −10.1%
XP/Ipespe[90] 5–7 August 1,000 33% 27% 38% 2% −5%
Datafolha[91] 4–5 July 2,086 33% 31% 33% 2% 0%
XP/Ipespe[92] 1–3 July 1,000 34% 28% 35% 4% −1%
Paraná Pesquisas[93] 20–25 June 2,102 30.1% 26.9% 40.8% 2.2% −10.7%
Ibope[94][95] 20–23 June 2,000 32% 32% 32% 3% 0%
XP/Ipespe[96] 11–13 June 1,000 34% 28% 35% 3% −1%
XP/Ipespe[97] 20–21 May 1,000 34% 26% 36% 4% −2%
XP/Ipespe[98] 6–8 May 1,000 35% 31% 31% 3% +4%
Ibope[99][100][101] 12–15 April 2,000 35% 31% 27% 7% +8%
Datafolha[102] 2–3 April 2,086 32% 33% 30% 4% +1%
XP/Ipespe[103] 1–3 April 1,000 35% 32% 26% 7% +9%
Ibope[104][105][106] 16–19 March 2,002 34% 34% 24% 8% 0%
XP/Ipespe[107] 11–13 March 1,000 37% 32% 24% 8% +13%
Ibope[108][105] 22–25 February 2,002 39% 30% 19% 12% +20%
CNT/MDA[109][110] 21–23 February 2,002 38.9% 29.0% 19.0% 13.1% +19.9%
XP/Ipespe[111] 11–13 February 1,000 40% 32% 17% 11% +23%
Ibope[112][105] 24–28 January 2,002 49% 26% 11% 14% +38%
XP/Ipespe[113] 9–11 January 1,000 40% 29% 20% 11% +20%
Close

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Quick facts
Polling aggregates
Government evaluation
  Good/Excellent
  Regular
  Bad/Terrible
  Unsure/No opinion
Close

Presidential approval ratings

The public was asked whether they approved or disapproved of the way Jair Bolsonaro governs Brazil.[95]

More information Polling group, Date ...
Polling group Date Sample size Approves Disapproves Unsure / No opinion Net ±
IPEC[3] 26–28 August 2022 2,000 38% 57% 2% -19%
Poder360[4] 17–19 July 2022 3,000 41% 55% 4% -14%
Paraná Pesquisas 31 March – 5 April 2022 2,020 41.8% 54.4% 3.8% -12.6%
Exame/Ideia 18–23 March 2022 1,500 32% 44% 22% -12%
Paraná Pesquisas 3–8 March 2022 2,020 39.3% 56.0% 4.7% -18.9%
XP/Ipespe 7–9 March 2022 1,000 32% 63% 5% -31%
CNT/MDA 16–19 February 2022 2,002 33.9% 61.4% 1% -27.5%
PoderData[8] 27 February–1 March 2022 3,000 37% 53% 11% −16%
XP/Ipespe[10] 10 January–12, 2022 1,000 30% 64% 7% −34%
IPEC[11] 9–13 December 2021 2,002 27% 68% 4% −41%
XP/Ipespe[114] 25–28 October 2021 1,000 30% 64% 6% −34%
PoderData[14] 13–15 September 2021 2,500 29% 62% 9% −33%
Atlas Político[15] 30 August–4 September 2021 3,246 35% 64% 1% −29%
PoderData[16] 16–18 August 2021 2,500 31% 64% 5% −33%
XP/Ipespe[20] 5–7 July 2021 1,000 31% 63% 6% −32%
CNT/MDA[115] 1–3 July 2021 2,002 33,8% 62.5% 3,7% −28.7%
Poder360[116] 24–26 May 2021 2,500 35% 59% 6% −24%
PoderData[26] 12–14 April 2021 3,500 34% 56% 10% −22%
XP/Ipespe[27] 29–31 March 2021 1,000 33% 60% 7% −27%
PoderData/Poder360[117] 29–31 March 2021 3,500 33% 59% 8% −26%
Atlas Político[118] 8–10 March 2021 3,721 35% 60% 5% −25%
PoderData[36] 1–3 March 2021 2,500 40% 51% 9% −11%
PoderData[36] 1–3 February 2021 2,500 40% 48% 12% −8%
PoderData 3–5 August 2020 2,500 45% 45% 5%
DataPoder360[57] 8–10 June 2020 2,500 41% 50% 9% −9%
CNT/MDA[66] 7–10 May 2020 2,002 39.2% 55.4% 5.4% −16.2%
Paraná Pesquisas[1] 27–29 April 2020 2,006 44.0% 51.7% 4.3% −7.7%
CNT/MDA[78] 15–18 January 2020 2,002 47.8% 47.0% 5.2% +0.8%
Ibope[81] 5–8 December 2019 2,000 41% 53% 6% −12%
Ibope[85] 19–22 September 2019 2,000 44% 50% 6% −6%
CNT/MDA[89] 22–25 August 2019 2,002 41.0% 53.7% 5.3% −12.7%
Paraná Pesquisas[93] 20–25 June 2019 2,102 43.7% 51.0% 5.3% −7.3%
Ibope[95] 20–23 June 2019 2,000 46% 48% 5% −2%
Ibope[95] 12–15 April 2019 2,000 51% 40% 9% +11%
Ibope[95] 16–19 March 2019 2,002 51% 38% 9% +13%
Ibope[95] 22–25 February 2019 2,002 57% 31% 12% +26%
CNT/MDA[110] 21–23 February 2019 2,002 57.5% 28.2% 14.3% +29.3%
Ibope[95] 24–28 January 2019 2,002 67% 21% 12% +46%
Close

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Quick facts
Polling aggregates
Government evaluation
  Approves
  Disapproves
  Unsure/No opinion
Close

Public trust in Bolsonaro

The public was asked whether they trusted Jair Bolsonaro.[95]

More information Polling group, Date ...
Polling group Date Sample size Trusts Does not trust Unsure / No opinion Net ±
Datafolha[119] 17 December 2021 3,666 39% 60% 1% −21%
Ibope[120] 5–8 December 2020 2,000 44% 53% 3% −9%
Ibope[44] 17–20 September 2020 2,000 46% 51% 3% −5%
Ibope[81] 5–8 December 2019 2,000 41% 56% 4% −15%
Ibope[85] 19–22 September 2019 2,000 42% 55% 3% −13%
Ibope[95] 20–23 June 2019 2,000 46% 51% 3% −5%
Ibope[95] 12–15 April 2019 2,000 51% 45% 4% +6%
Ibope[95] 16–19 March 2019 2,002 49% 44% 6% +5%
Ibope[95] 22–25 February 2019 2,002 55% 38% 7% +17%
Ibope[95] 24–28 January 2019 2,002 62% 30% 7% +32%
Close

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Quick facts
Polling aggregates
Public trust
  Trusts
  Doesn't trust
  Unsure/No opinion
Close

Issue-specific support

COVID-19

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Jair Bolsonaro in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic. A question might ask:

How do you evaluate the performance of President Jair Bolsonaro in relation to the coronavirus outbreak: excellent, good, regular, bad, or terrible?[70]

  plurality approval   neutral evaluation   plurality disapproval   majority disapproval

More information Polling group, Date ...
Polling
group
Date Sample
size
Good /
Excellent
Regular Bad /
Terrible
Unsure /
No opinion
Net ±
Datafolha[121] 13–15 September 2021 1,000 22% 22% 54% 2% −32%
XP/Ipespe[27] 29–31 March 2021 1,000 21% 19% 58% 3% −37%
Datafolha[30] 15–16 March 2021 2,023 22% 24% 54% 1% −32%
XP/Ipespe[31] 9–11 March 2021 1,000 18% 18% 61% 3% −43%
XP/Ipespe[122] 2–4 February 2021 1,000 22% 22% 53% 2% −31%
XP/Ipespe[123] 11–14 January 2021 1,000 23% 21% 52% 3% −29%
XP/Ipespe[124] 13–15 July 2020 1,000 25% 21% 52% 3% −27%
XP/Ipespe[56] 9–11 June 2020 1,000 23% 20% 55% 3% −32%
XP/Ipespe[58] 26–27 May 2020 1,000 20% 22% 55% 3% −35%
Datafolha[125] 25–26 May 2020 2,069 27% 22% 50% 1% −23%
XP/Ipespe[61] 16–18 May 2020 1,000 21% 19% 58% 3% −37%
Fórum/Offerwise[126][63] 14–17 May 2020 1,000 28.5% 22.3% 46.3% 3.0% −17.8%
XP/Ipespe[67] 28–30 April 2020 1,000 23% 22% 54% 1% −31%
DataPoder360[68] 27–29 April 2020 2,500 24% 29% 43% 4% −19%
Datafolha[69][70] 27 April 2020 1,503 27% 25% 45% 3% −18%
XP/Ipespe[67] 20–22 April 2020 1,000 30% 20% 48% 2% −18%
Datafolha[127][128] 17 April 2020 1,606 36% 23% 38% 3% −2%
XP/Ipespe[67] 13–15 April 2020 1,000 29% 25% 44% 2% −15%
DataPoder360[72] 13–15 April 2020 2,500 34% 27% 37% 2% −3%
Fórum/Offerwise[129][126] 8–11 April 2020 956 38.9% 23.0% 35.4% 2.7% +3.5%
Datafolha[130] 1–3 April 2020 1,511 33% 25% 39% 2% −6%
XP/Ipespe[73] 30 March–1 April 2020 1,000 29% 21% 44% 6% −15%
Datafolha[131] 18–20 March 2020 1,558 35% 26% 33% 5% +2%
XP/Ipespe[74][67] 16–18 March 2020 1,000 41% 33% 18% 8% +23%
Close

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.

Quick facts
Polling aggregates
Government evaluation
  Good/Excellent
  Regular
  Bad/Terrible
  Unsure/No opinion
Close

Gun control

Loosening gun control laws was one of Bolsonaro's major campaign promises during the 2018 Brazilian general election.[132][133] The changes were first signed it into a decree in May.[134] In March 2019, an Ibope survey asked the public whether they approved of the policy and related questions.[135] Polls conducted by Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas presented similar findings.[136][137]

Should gun control laws be loosened?

Are you favorable to (any kind of) carrya?

Does having a gun at home make it safer?

Does carrying a gun make someone safer?

Does increasing the number of armed people make society safer?

See also

Notes

a.^ The question does not distinguish between open and concealed carry, as Brazilian laws at the time of the research made no distinction between them,[138] only asking if participant is favorable to people carrying guns in their daily lives.

References

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