Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

Opinion polls for the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. Each point represents a poll, each line is a local regression and represents one of the officially registered candidates.

Polling firm	Date									Other	DK/NA
		Jara UpCh	Kast PRCh	Matthei ChGU	Kaiser PNL	Parisi PDG	Ominami Ind.	Mayne- Nicholls Ind.	Artés Ind.
Start of the two-week polling silence period (2 November 2025)
Panel Ciudadano[33]	30–31 Oct 2025	26%	21%	14%	14%	10%	1%	3%	1%	5%	5%
Activa[34]	28–31 Oct 2025	24.9%	16.9%	11.2%	12.2%	14.0%	1.9%	3.4%	0.6%	6.2%	8.7%
Atlas Intel[35]	25–30 Oct 2025	33.2%	16.8%	13.9%	16.8%	14.2%	1.0%	1.9%	0.1%	2.0%	0.2%
Black & White[36]	28–29 Oct 2025	30%	23%	17%	20%	7%	1%	3%	1%	—
Criteria[37]	27–29 Oct 2025	27%	23%	14%	15%	9%	2%	3%	1%	—	6%
Data Influye[38]	23–29 Oct 2025	27%	20%	11%	13%	9%	2%	3%	1%	7%	7%
LCN[39]	17–28 Oct 2025	33.5%	17.7%	19.3%	19.3%	4.5%	0.7%	4.3%	0%	—
Second presidential debate (26 October 2025)
Cadem[40]	22–24 Oct 2025	27%	20%	13%	14%	11%	1%	4%	1%	9%
Panel Ciudadano[41]	22–24 Oct 2025	25%	22%	16%	13%	11%	1%	2%	1%	5%	4%
Criteria[42]	21–23 Oct 2025	28%	23%	13%	13%	9%	2%	4%	1%	—	7%
Black & White[43]	21–22 Oct 2025	29%	25%	19%	18%	6%	0%	3%	0%	—
ICSO-UDP[44]	17–21 Oct 2025	26%	24%	14%	10%	9%	1%	2%	0%	—	14%
Atlas Intel[45]	15–19 Oct 2025	32.7%	20.1%	13.8%	13.4%	13.2%	0.7%	2.1%	1.0%	2.7%	0.4%
Panel Ciudadano[46]	16–17 Oct 2025	24%	23%	16%	13%	9%	1%	2%	1%	5%	6%
Activa[47]	15–17 Oct 2025	25.4%	18.7%	12.6%	8.9%	10.4%	3.0%	2.1%	0.6%	9.8%	8.5%
Cadem[48]	15–17 Oct 2025	26%	22%	14%	12%	11%	1%	4%	1%	9%
Criteria[49]	14–17 Oct 2025	29%	24%	15%	12%	9%	1%	3%	0%	—	7%
Black & White[50]	14–15 Oct 2025	30%	27%	18%	16%	4%	0%	3%	1%	—
LCN[51]	3–13 Oct 2025	36.0%	20.7%	18.3%	16.7%	2.3%	0.7%	4.7%	0.7%	—
Panel Ciudadano[52]	9–10 Oct 2025	24%	25%	17%	10%	8%	1%	3%	1%	6%	5%
Criteria[53]	7–9 Oct 2025	26%	26%	17%	10%	8%	1%	3%	1%	—	8%
Black & White[54]	7–8 Oct 2025	31%	25%	17%	14%	7%	1%	4%	1%	—
Signos Analytics[55]	25 Sep–4 Oct 2025	28.3%	24.2%	13.8%	8.1%	8.8%	2%	1.7%	0.5%	2.3%	10.2%
Panel Ciudadano[56]	2–3 Oct 2025	27%	25%	16%	11%	8%	1%	2%	1%	5%	4%
Cadem[57]	1–3 Oct 2025	27%	23%	15%	11%	10%	1%	4%	0%	9%
Criteria[58]	30 Sep–2 Oct 2025	27%	26%	17%	10%	8%	1%	4%	1%	—	6%
Studio Público[59]	26–30 Sep 2025	37.5%	23.9%	11.9%	14.7%	5.1%	0.8%	3.1%	0%	1.1%	1.9%
Panel Ciudadano[60]	25–26 Sep 2025	25%	25%	16%	10%	9%	2%	3%	0%	5%	5%
Cadem[61]	24–26 Sep 2025	26%	23%	17%	11%	9%	1%	5%	0%	8%
Activa[62]	23–26 Sep 2025	23.9%	17.8%	11.7%	10.1%	11.8%	1.4%	2.8%	0.7%	11.3%	8.5%
Data Influye[63]	22–26 Sep 2025	27%	26%	15%	8%	7%	1%	5%	1%	6%	4%
La Cosa Nostra[64]	17–26 Sep 2025	37.7%	22.2%	18.2%	13.8%	2.8%	1.0%	4.0%	0.7%	—
Criteria[65]	23–25 Sep 2025	30%	24%	14%	10%	9%	2%	3%	1%	—	7%
ICSO-UDP[66]	22–25 Sep 2025	27.0%	24.6%	12.2%	9.6%	9.6%	1.1%	4.8%	0.5%	—	10.6%
Black & White[67]	23–24 Sep 2025	30%	26%	19%	11%	6%	1%	4%	1%	3%
Data Veritas[68]	17–20 Sep 2025	32.4%	22.2%	17.1%	15.2%	7.5%	0.1%	3.2%	0.5%	1.9%	—
Panel Ciudadano[69]	18–19 Sep 2025	23%	25%	17%	9%	10%	1%	4%	1%	5%	5%
Cadem[70]	17 Sep 2025	26%	24%	16%	9%	11%	1%	5%	1%	7%
Black & White[71]	16–17 Sep 2025	28.9%	25.9%	19.7%	12.2%	4.3%	0.7%	5.5%	0.9%	0.6%	1.5%
Criteria[72]	15–17 Sep 2025	29%	25%	16%	10%	8%	1%	3%	1%	—	7%
Panel Ciudadano[73]	11–12 Sep 2025	24%	24%	16%	10%	9%	2%	4%	1%	5%	5%
Criteria[74]	11 Sep 2025	29%	27%	13%	10%	7%	2%	3%	1%	—	8%
Atlas Intel[75]	10–14 Sep 2025	38.9%	24.7%	11.8%	9.0%	14.5%	—	—	—	0%	1.2%
Cadem[76]	10–12 Sep 2025	26%	25%	18%	8%	11%	1%	3%	1%	7%
Black & White[77]	10–11 Sep 2025	25.7%	31.6%	17.9%	8.7%	7.1%	0.9%	4.0%	0.9%	1.5%	1.8%
Signos Analytics[78]	9–14 Sep 2025	28.3%	25.4%	13.8%	6.8%	9%	1.5%	1.2%	0.3%	2.5%	11.2%
LCN[79]	2–12 Sep 2025	36.2%	24.7%	20.2%	11.8%	2.2%	1.2%	3.2%	0.7%	—
First presidential debate (10 September 2025)
Panel Ciudadano[80]	4–5 Sep 2025	24%	27%	18%	6%	10%	2%	2%	1%	10%	—
Cadem[81]	3–5 Sep 2025	28%	26%	16%	8%	11%	1%	2%	1%	7%
Criteria[82]	2–4 Sep 2025	29%	27%	17%	9%	7%	1%	2%	0%	—	8%
Black & White[83]	2–3 Sep 2025	31.9%	27.9%	18.2%	9.6%	5.1%	1.6%	1.8%	0.6%	1.2%	2.2%
Data Influye[84]	27–31 Aug 2025	27%	22%	13%	6%	6%	2%	2%	1%	9%	13%
Panel Ciudadano[85]	28–29 Aug 2025	24%	28%	14%	7%	10%	2%	2%	0%	5%	8%
Cadem[86]	27–29 Aug 2025	26%	27%	14%	8%	11%	3%	2%	0%	9%
Activa[87]	26–29 Aug 2025	32.2%	25.4%	17.1%	7.2%	11,1%	3.4%	1.6%	2.0%	—
		24.6%	19.4%	13.1%	5.5%	8.5%	2.6%	1.2%	1.5%	10.5%	13.1%
LCN[88]	16–28 Aug 2025	36.0%	25.2%	17.3%	11.8%	4.3%	1.3%	3.5%	0.5%	—
Criteria[89]	26–28 Aug 2025	27%	28%	14%	8%	9%	2%	2%	1%	9%
Black & White[90]	26–27 Aug 2025	32.0%	29.9%	14.7%	10.8%	4,.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.9%	2.0%	1.0%
Atlas Intel[91]	20–25 Aug 2025	33.2%	21.6%	18.7%	9.2%	15.8%	—	—	—	1.5%
Panel Ciudadano[92]	21–22 Aug 2025	25%	28%	14%	8%	9%	2%	1%	1%	6%	6%
Cadem[93]	20–22 Aug 2025	27%	28%	14%	7%	11%	1%	1%	1%	9%
Criteria[94]	19–21 Aug 2025	28%	30%	14%	8%	8%	2%	2%	1%	—	7%
Black & White[95]	19–20 Aug 2025	30%	35%	14%	11%	5%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

Polling firm	Date	Sample size	Margin of error						Other	DK/NA
				Jara UPCh	Parisi PDG	Matthei UDI	Kast PLR	Kaiser PNL
Data Influye[96]	1–6 Jul 2025	1.094	±2.9%	39%	5%	15%	23%	7%	7%
Cadem[97]	2–4 Jul 2025	703	±3.7%	26%	10%	18%	22%	6%	—	10%
Criteria[98]	1–3 Jul 2025	1,002	N.A.	31%	9%	18%	22%	8%	—	9%
B&W[99]	1-2 Jul 2025	929	±3.2%	39%	5%	18%	25%	9%	4%
Activa[100]	30 Jun-1 Jul 2025	1,006	±3.1%	33.8%	8.9%	16.8%	17.3%	4.3%	15.3%
Panel Ciudadano[101]	29-30 Jun 2025	3,873	±2%	26%	7%	19%	23%	9%	11%	5%
Atlas Intel[102]	27–30 Jun 2025	3,869	±2%	38%	15.2%	18.5%	20.2%	5.8%	2.4%

Polling firm	Date														Other	DK/NA
		Jara PC	Winter FA	ME-O Ind.	Mulet FRVS	Tohá PPD	Undurraga PDC	Parisi PDG	Matthei UDI	Muñoz PSC	Kast PLR	Kaiser PNL	Carter Ind.	Mayne-Nicholls Ind.
Cadem[103]	25–27 Jun 2025	16%	2%	—	—	4%	—	10%	10%	—	24%	4%	—	—	4%	26%
Cadem[citation needed]	17–19 Jun 2025	13%	4%	—	—	6%	—	7%	12%	—	19%	6%	—	—	4%	29%
Cadem[citation needed]	11–13 Jun 2025	13%	4%	—	—	6%	—	5%	14%	—	18%	5%	—	—	5%	30%
Cadem[104]	4–6 Jun 2025	8%	5%	—	—	7%	—	5%	16%	—	17%	7%	—	—	3%	32%
ICSO-UDP[105]	30 May–4 Jun 2025	7.3%	5.5%	2.7%	0.5%	7.8%	—	5.7%	22.8%	1%	22.6%	8.1%	—	1.8%	—	15%
Criteria[citation needed]	2–4 Jun 2025	7%	5%	—	—	8%	—	4%	24%	—	20%	8%	—	—	10%	14%
Data Influye[106]	28 May–1 Jun 2025	11%	6%	2%	—	12%	—	3%	17%	—	16%	9%	—	—	8%	17%
Activa[107]	28–30 May 2025	7.4%	3.6%	—	—	6.4%	—	5.8%	21.5%	—	17.5%	7.4%	—	—	17.3%	13.1%
Cadem[108]	28–30 May 2025	7%	3%	—	—	8%	—	6%	19%	—	16%	7%	—	—	3%	31%
Atlas Intel[109]	21–26 May 2025	9.9%	11%	—	—	16.7%	—	12.1%	16.6	—	15,6%	11.2%	—	—	6.9%
Cadem[110]	22–23 May 2025	5%	5%	—	—	10%	—	4%	17%	—	16%	6%	—	—	5%	32%
Panel Ciudadano[111]	20 May 2025	8%	7%	3%	—	10%	—	5%	22%	—	17%	9%	2%	—	17%
Cadem[112]	14–16 May 2025	5%	6%	—	—	10%	—	3%	17%	—	17%	6%	—	—	6%	30%
B&W[113]	13-14 May 2025	13%	8%	—	1%	15%	—	4%	20%	1%	15%	17%	—	—	—	7%
Criteria[114]	12–14 May 2025	5%	5%	2%	—	10%	—	2%	26%	—	17%	10%	—	—	10%	13%
Cadem[115]	7–9 May 2025	4%	6%	—	—	12%	—	4%	20%	—	14%	6%	—	1%	5%	28%
ICSO-UDP[116]	5–9 May 2025	6%	5%	3%	0%	11%	1%	5%	23%	1%	19%	10%	—	2%	—	15%
Cadem[117]	30 Apr–2 May 2025	6%	6%	—	—	11%	—	4%	22%	—	13%	10%	—	—	5%	23%

Polling firm	Date																		Other	DK/NA
		Artés PC(AP)	Jadue PC	Jara PC	Vallejo PC	Vodanovic FA	ME-O Ind.	Mulet FREVS	Bachelet PS	Tohá PPD	Mirosevic PL	Orrego Ind.	Parisi PDG	Matthei UDI	Kast PLR	Kaiser PNL	Carter Ind.	Lorenzini Ind.
Activa[118]	26–28 Feb 2025	—	1.7%	—	1.8%	3.6%	—	—	15.9%	1.9%	—	—	1.7%	24.3%	10.6%	9.7%	—	1.5%	13.9%	13.4%
Criteria[119]	24-26 Feb 2025	—	—	—	2%	3%	—	—	18%	3%	—	—	—	26%	10%	11%	—	—	15%
Signos[120]	9–14 Feb 2025	—	—	—	2.6%	7.8%	—	1.2%	17.3%	8.8%	—	—	1.8%	23.4%	10.2%	15.8%	3.7%	—	5.7%	1.7%
Panel Ciudadano (sólo inmigrantes)[121]	6-7 Feb 2025	—	—	—	1%	2%	1%	—	15%	2%	—	—	2%	24%	12%	13%	3%	—	14%
Cadem[122]	5–7 Feb 2025	—	1%	1%	1%	4%	—	—	12%	3%	2%	—	1%	20%	8%	13%	—	—	4%	30%
Criteria[123]	3–5 Feb 2025	—	—	—	2%	3%	—	—	13%	3%	—	—	2%	26%	9%	11%	—	—	12%	19%
Activa[124][125]	30–31 Jan 2025	0.3%	—	0.4%	1.1%	2.8%	1.5%	—	12.2%	3.2%	0.6%	0.3%	1.1%	27,4%	9.6%	7.7%	0.6%	3%	16%	15%
Atlas Intel[126]	27–31 Jan 2025	—	—	—	6.1%	9.3%	—	—	5.6%	13.1%	—	—	6.1%	19.4%	8.7%	19%	—	—	12.7%
Signos[127]	22–27 Jan 2025	—	—	—	3.9%	13.2%	—	—	4.2%	6.1%	—	—	2.8%	24.8%	11.3%	15l3%	5.7%	—	10.6%	2,1%
Panel Ciudadano[128]	14–15 Jan 2025	—	1%	—	2%	1%	1%	—	7%	3%	—	—	2%	26%	11%	7%	1%	—	38%
Cadem[129]	8–10 Jan 2025	—	—	—	2%	3%	—	—	5%	2%	—	—	2%	23%	9%	10%	—	—	6%	38%
Criteria[130]	6–8 Jan 2025	—	—	—	3%	5%	2%	—	11%	3%	—	—	—	28%	10%	7%	2%	—	11%	18%

Polling firm	Date
		Jadue	Vallejo	Vodanovic	Winter	Bachelet PS	Tohá PPD	Piñera ChV	Matthei UDI	Kast PLR	Parisi PDG	ME-O	Carter Ind.	Kaiser Ind.	Others	DK/NR
												Independent
Cadem[131]	12–14 Jun 2024	2%	3%	—	—	6%	3%	—	20%	14%	2%	—	1%	2%	6%	41%
Criteria[132]	31 May – 3 Jun 2024	—	4%	—	—	10%	3%	—	25%	13%	3%	2%	—	—	2%	38%
Activa[133]	29–31 May 2024	2,4%	5,2%	—	—	9,8%	2,4%	—	26,2%	12,1%	1,8%	—	—	2,3%	24,2%	13,6%
Panel Ciudadano[134]	13–14 May 2024	—	6%	2%	—	11%	5%	—	27%	18%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	15%
Cadem[135]	8–10 May 2024	—	3%	—	1%	3%	3%	—	24%	14%	2%	1%	2%	2%	8%	37%
La Cosa Nostra[136]	24 Apr – 5 May 2024	—	7,4%	—	5,1%	16,2%	10,7%	—	33,6%	12,6%	1,8%	2,0%	—	5,2%	5,4%	—
Feedback[137]	26 Apr – 3 May 2024	—	2%	2%	2%	11%	5%	—	26%	16%	—	—	2%	7%	5%	21%
Criteria[138]	26–29 Apr 2024	2%	6%	—	—	10%	4%	—	30%	12%	3%	2%	—	2%	2%	27%
Activa[139]	24–26 Apr 2024	—	3,5%	—	—	7,1%	—	—	28,5%	15,6%	—	2,2%	—	—	22,7%	20,4%
Cadem[140]	17–19 Apr 2024	—	3%	—	—	7%	3%	—	24%	14%	1%	1%	1%	2%	6%	38%
Cadem[141]	3–5 Apr 2024	1%	3%	—	—	4%	2%	—	25%	12%	1%	—	1%	1%	8%	42%
Criteria[142]	28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024	—	6%	—	—	7%	2%	—	27%	15%	3%	—	—	2%	3%	35%
Activa[143]	27–28 Mar 2024	—	4,5%	—	—	8,1%	—	—	24,9%	11,7%	2,5%	1,6%	—	2,5%	26,6%	17,6%
Cadem[144]	13–15 Mar 2024	1%	3%	1%	—	4%	2%	—	21%	12%	2%	—	2%	2%	10%	40%
Criteria[145]	1–4 Mar 2024	—	5%	—	—	7%	2%	—	31%	17%	—	2%	—	—	4%	32%
Activa[146]	28–29 Feb 2024	—	3,3%	—	—	9,5%	2,1%	—	26,2%	10,6%	1,7%	—	1,6%	1,6%	24.8%	18,6%
Panel Ciudadano[147]	23–24 Feb 2024	—	6%	—	2%	10%	4%	—	30%	16%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	16%
Cadem[148]	14–16 Feb 2024	1%	4%	—	—	6%	2%	—	22%	19%	1%	—	3%	1%	8%	33%
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)
Activa[149]	25–26 Jan 2024	—	5,1%	—	—	6,8%	1,5%	11,1%	17,8%	13,3%	1,7%	—	—	—	20,7%	22,0%
Cadem[150]	10–12 Jan 2024	1%	2%	—	—	5%	2%	5%	16%	14%	1%	—	1%	—	8%	45%
Criteria[151]	4–8 Jan 2024	—	6%	—	—	10%	—	4%	24%	17%	3%	2%	2%	—	17%	15%

Polling firm	Date	Sample size															Others	Blank vote / Undecided
			Jadue	Vallejo	Siches	Elizalde	Bachelet	Tohá	Sichel	Piñera	Matthei	Kast	Marinovic	Parisi	Carter	Jiles
					Ind.										Ind.	Ind.
Cadem[152]	8-10 November 2023	710	1	5			4	4	-	2	19	17	-	4	2	-	8	34
Research Chile[153]	22 October 2023	832	1	7	-	-	9	9	2	2	26	18	-	2	2	-	-	13
Research Chile	22-26 September 2023	813	1	6	-	-	8	11	1	2	28	17	-	2	2	-	-	16
Research Chile[154]	3-5 July 2023	786	1	8	-	-	5	9	1	1	23	22	-	2	5	0		16
Cadem[155]	5-7 July 2023	705	-	5.2	-	-	5.2	-	-	8.6	13.8	36.2	-	3.4	3.4	-
Research Chile[156]	5-7 Jun 2023	805	1	9	-	-	7	10	1	0	22	18	-	2	5	0
Research Chile[157]	8-10 May 2023	765	1	9	-		7	5	2	1	22	27	2	2	6	1		11
Cadem[158][159]	3-5 May 2023	703	1	4	–	–	2	1	-	4	13	20	1	2	4	–	7[a]	42
Research Chile[160]	10-12 Apr 2023	823	1	6	–	–	4	6	1	0	25	12	1	4	10	–	7[b]	22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano[161]	21-24 Mar 2023	912	1.7	4	–	–	5.4	1.5	–	6.8	16.3	15.7	–	2.2	3.9	–	22.1[c]	20.8
Research Chile[162]	6-8 Mar 2023	882	2	9	–	–	6	6	2	–	25	11	2	4	5	1	8[d]	20
Research Chile[163]	6-7 Feb 2023	805	2	9	–	–	5	4	2	–	25	12	1	4	3	0	6[e]	26
Research Chile[164]	9–10 Jan 2023	803	2	8	–	–	–	6	3	–	27	17	3	4	3	1	3	20

Polling firm	Date	Sample size															Others	Blank vote / Undecided
			Jadue	Vallejo	Siches	Elizalde	Bachelet	Tohá	Sichel	Piñera	Matthei	Kast	Marinovic	Parisi	Carter	Jiles
					Ind.										Ind.	Ind.
Encuestas Chile[165]	24 Mar – 31 Dec 2022	4,782	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	15	12	1	8	2	0	0	38
Cadem[166]	28–30 Dec 2022	705	1	–	–	–	3	1	1	4	9	13	–	1	1	–	12	54
Research Chile[167]	13-15 Dec 2022	800	2.1	9.5	–	–	–	5.3	3.3	–	20.6	15.8	2.5	3	–	0.6	19	25
Cadem[168]	26–28 Oct 2022	706	1	3	1	1	3	2	1	5	8	11	–	5	1	1	7	50
Election Results	19 Dec 2021	–	55.9[f]						44.1[g]					–	–	–	–	–
	21 Nov 2021		25.8[f]			11.6[h]			12.8[i]			27.9		12.8	–	–	9.1[j]	–

The following polls were conducted for hypothetical second-round matchups.

In addition to the second-round scenarios mentioned previously, pollsters conducted surveys with other possible pairings of presidential pre-candidates who later decided not to participate in the election or lost their pact's primary election.