Opinion polling for the 2025 Dutch general election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In the run-up to the 2025 Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Dutch general election, held on 22 November, to the present. Four main pollsters have performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands during this period, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Peil.nl and Verian. I&O Research and Ipsos merged in January 2024, polling separately until July when they decided to poll together under the name Ipsos I&O.[1] Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.
Political polling in the Netherlands
The political polling industry in the Netherlands is generally considered reliable. Absolute Total Raw Error in selected past elections has ranged from 11.8% to 16.0%, comparable to the European average. Documented conflicts of interest are rare, although peil.nl has been criticized for underrepresenting certain demographic groups in its samples.[2][3]
Projections
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).
Seats
There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV[a] | GL/PvdA | VVD[b] | NSC[c] | D66 | BBB[b] | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | 50+ | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 26 | 20 | 22 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 2 | Tie | |
| Ipsos I&O | 29 Oct 2025[*] | – | 25 | 20 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | [4] |
| Peil.nl | 28 Oct 2025 | ~8,000 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | Tie | [5] |
| Verian | 27–28 Oct 2025 | 1,151 | 29 | 25 | 16 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | [6] |
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Oct 2025 | 2,505 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3 | Tie | [7] |
| Peil.nl | 24 Oct 2025 | 7,500+ | 29 | 24 | 20 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 5 | [8] |
| Ipsos I&O | 23–24 Oct 2025 | 2,745 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 3 | [9] |
| Verian | 17–20 Oct 2025 | 1,473 | 34 | 25 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 9 | [10] |
| Peil.nl | 17 Oct 2025 | 7,500– | 28 | 24 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 4 | [11] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Oct 2025 | 2,455 | 29 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 4 | [12] |
| Verian | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 1,566 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 6 | [13] |
| Peil.nl | 10 Oct 2025 | 7,000+ | 31 | 25 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 6 | [14] |
| Ipsos I&O | 3–6 Oct 2025 | 2,079 | 31 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 7 | [15] |
| Peil.nl | 3 Oct 2025 | – | 30 | 27 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 3 | [16] |
| Verian | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,074 | 34 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 11 | [17] |
| Ipsos I&O | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,935 | 31 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 6 | [18] |
| Peil.nl | 26 Sep 2025 | – | 29 | 27 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | [19] |
| Peil.nl | 19 Sep 2025 | – | 29 | 26 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | [20] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Sep 2025 | 1,920 | 32 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 8 | [21] |
| Peil.nl | 6 Sep 2025 | – | 28 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | Tie | [22] |
| Ipsos I&O | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 1,991 | 31 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 6 | [23] |
| Eddy van Hijum is chosen as lead candidate of NSC[24] | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Lidewij de Vos succeeds Thierry Baudet as lead candidate of FvD[25] | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Verian | 22–25 Aug 2025 | 1,574 | 33 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 7 | [26] |
| Peil.nl | 25 Aug 2025 | 6,000 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | [27] |
| NSC leaves the government coalition[28] | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Peil.nl | 8–9 Aug 2025 | – | 28 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | Tie | [29] |
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,735 | 27 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | [30] |
| Verian | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,505 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | [31] |
| Peil.nl | 26 Jul 2025 | – | 29 | 27 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | [32] |
| Peil.nl | 5 Jul 2025 | – | 29 | 28 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | [33] |
| Verian | 20–23 Jun 2025 | 1,796 | 32 | 26 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 6 | [34] |
| Peil.nl | 20–21 Jun 2025 | – | 30 | 29 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | [35] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 1,969 | 30 | 29 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | [36] |
| Verian | 6–9 Jun 2025 | 1,594 | 33 | 25 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | [37] |
| Peil.nl | 6–7 Jun 2025 | – | 31 | 30 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | [38] |
| Ipsos I&O | 5–6 Jun 2025 | 1,957 | 30 | 26 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | [39] |
| PVV leaves government coalition,[40] and the Schoof cabinet becomes demissionary[41] | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Peil.nl | 31 May 2025 | – | 31 | 30 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | [42] |
| Verian | 23–26 May 2025 | 1,567 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | [43] |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–12 May 2025 | 1,877 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | [44] |
| Verian | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 1,574 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | [45] |
| Peil.nl | 25–26 Apr 2025 | – | 28 | 29 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | [46] |
| Nicolien van Vroonhoven succeeds Pieter Omtzigt as NSC leader[47] | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos I&O | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 1,990 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | [48] |
| Peil.nl | 4 Apr 2025 | – | 29 | 29 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | Tie | [49] |
| Peil.nl | 29 Mar 2025 | – | 29 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | [50] |
| Verian | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 1,564 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | [51] |
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Mar 2025 | 2,127 | 30 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | [52] |
| Peil.nl | 7–8 Mar 2025 | – | 30 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | [53] |
| Verian | 21–24 Feb 2025 | 1,578 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | [54] |
| Peil.nl | 21–22 Feb 2025 | – | 32 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | [55] |
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 2,382 | 34 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | [56] |
| Verian | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 1,556 | 38 | 24 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | [57] |
| Peil.nl | 24–25 Jan 2025 | – | 34 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | [58] |
| Ipsos I&O | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,267 | 35 | 24 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | [59] |
| Verian | 24–28 Dec 2024 | 1,583 | 38 | 26 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | [60] |
| Peil.nl | 13–14 Dec 2024 | – | 35 | 25 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | [61] |
| Ipsos I&O | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 1,925 | 37 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | [62] |
| Verian | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 1,551 | 41 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | [63] |
| Peil.nl | 22–23 Nov 2024 | – | 38 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | [64] |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–11 Nov 2024 | 2,020 | 38 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | [65] |
| Peil.nl | 8–9 Nov 2024 | – | 38 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | [66] |
| Verian | 25–28 Oct 2024 | 1,604 | 39 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | [67] |
| Ipsos I&O | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,143 | 38 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | [68] |
| Peil.nl | 11–12 Oct 2024 | – | 37 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | [69] |
| Peil.nl | 27–28 Sep 2024 | – | 40 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | [70] |
| Ipsos I&O | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,950 | 41 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | [71] |
| Verian | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,607 | 41 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | [72] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,208 | 42 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | [73] |
| Peil.nl | 13–14 Sep 2024 | 5,000+ | 38 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | [74] |
| Verian | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 1,594 | 39 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | [75] |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 1,016 | 40 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | [76] |
| Peil.nl | 5–6 Jul 2024 | – | 38 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | [77] |
| The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Peil.nl | 28–29 Jun 2024 | – | 41 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | [78] |
| Ipsos | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 1,017 | 44 | 27 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | [79] |
| I&O Research | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 1,979 | 42 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | [80] |
| 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Peil.nl | 5–6 Jun 2024 | – | 43 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | [81] |
| Peil.nl | 31 May – 1 Jun 2024 | – | 42 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | [82] |
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 48 | 24 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | [83] |
| I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 46 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | [84] |
| Peil.nl | 17–18 May 2024 | – | 45 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | [85] |
| I&O Research | 9–12 May 2024 | 1,839 | 47 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | [86] |
| Peil.nl | 3–4 May 2024 | – | 46 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | [87] |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 45 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | [88] |
| Peil.nl | 19 Apr 2024 | 8,500 | 50 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | [89] |
| Ipsos | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 49 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | [90] |
| Peil.nl | 22 Mar 2024 | – | 49 | 25 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | [91] |
| Peil.nl | 8 Mar 2024 | – | 49 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | |
| Ipsos | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 1,022 | 49 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | [92] |
| I&O Research | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,752 | 49 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | [93] |
| Peil.nl | 9 Feb 2024 | 6,000 | 52 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | [94] |
| Peil.nl | 2–3 Feb 2024 | 4,500+ | 50 | 25 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | [95] |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 1,025 | 45 | 25 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | [96] |
| Peil.nl | 19–20 Jan 2024 | 5,500+ | 49 | 23 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | [97] |
| Peil.nl | 22 Dec 2023 | – | 48 | 22 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | [98] |
| Ipsos | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 1,052 | 47 | 22 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | [99] |
| Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader[100] | ||||||||||||||||||||
| I&O Research | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,952 | 43 | 23 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | [101] |
| Peil.nl | 1–2 Dec 2023 | – | 42 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | [102] |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 37 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | |
^ *: Exit poll.
Vote share
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV[a] | GL/PvdA | VVD[b] | NSC[c] | D66 | BBB[b] | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | 50+ | Others | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 16.7% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 0.4% | 16.9% | 2.6% | 11.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | |
| Verian | 27–28 Oct 2025 | 1,070 | 18.5% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 0.3% | 15.8% | 2.4% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | – | 2.6% | [103] |
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Oct 2025 | 2,505 | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 0.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% | – | 0.4% | [7] |
| Ipsos I&O | 23–24 Oct 2025 | 2,745 | 16.7% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 0.5% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 7.7% | 1.3% | – | 1.7% | [9] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Oct 2025 | 2,455 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 0.7% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 7.9% | 1.6% | – | 2.6% | [12] |
| Ipsos I&O | 3–6 Oct 2025 | 2,079 | 20.2% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 0.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 15.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 1.3% | – | 4.5% | [15] |
| Verian | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,074 | 22.0% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 0.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 15.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 1.0% | – | 6.7% | [104] |
| Ipsos I&O | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 1,935 | 19.8% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 0.4% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 0.8% | – | 4.3% | [18] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–15 Sep 2025 | 1,920 | 19.9% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 0.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 15.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 8.0% | 1.0% | – | 4.6% | [21] |
| Ipsos I&O | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 1,991 | 19.5% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 0.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | – | – | 3.4% | [23] |
| Verian | 22–25 Aug 2025 | 1,432 | 21.1% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 0.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 6.1% | – | – | 4.2% | [105] |
| Ipsos I&O | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,735 | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 1.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | – | – | 2.2% | [30] |
| Verian | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 1,505 | 19.7% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 0.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 14.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 5.1% | – | – | 1.3% | [106] |
| Verian | 20–23 Jun 2025 | 1,796 | 20.8% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 0.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | – | – | 4.1% | [107] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 1,969 | 19.2% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 1.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | – | – | 0.9% | [36] |
| Ipsos I&O | 5–6 Jun 2025 | 1,957 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 1.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | – | – | 2.3% | [39] |
| Verian | 23–26 May 2025 | 1,567 | 18.4% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 1.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | – | – | 1.0% | [108] |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–12 May 2025 | 1,877 | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 1.2% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | – | – | 0.2% | [44] |
| Verian | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 1,574 | 18.8% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 0.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | – | – | 0.7% | [109] |
| Ipsos I&O | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 1,990 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 1.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | – | – | 1.1% | [48] |
| Verian | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 1,564 | 19.9% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | – | – | 1.7% | [110] |
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Mar 2025 | 2,382 | 19.2% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 1.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | – | – | 2.3% | [52] |
| Verian | 21–24 Feb 2025 | 1,578 | 21.9% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 1.7% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | – | – | 4.5% | [111] |
| Ipsos I&O | 14–17 Feb 2025 | 2,382 | 21.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | – | – | 6.5% | [56] |
| Verian | 24–27 Jan 2025 | 1,556 | 24.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 2.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | – | – | 8.2% | [112] |
| Ipsos I&O | 17–20 Jan 2025 | 2,267 | 22.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 1.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | – | – | 6.5% | [59] |
| Verian | 24–28 Dec 2024 | 1,583 | 24.3% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 1.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | – | – | 7.4% | [113] |
| Ipsos I&O | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 1,925 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 2.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | – | – | 9.0% | [62] |
| Verian | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 1,551 | 26.5% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | – | – | 9.6% | [114] |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–11 Nov 2024 | 2,020 | 23.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 2.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | – | – | 7.5% | [115] |
| Verian | 25–28 Oct 2024 | 1,604 | 25.6% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | – | – | 10.1% | [116] |
| Ipsos I&O | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,143 | 24.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | – | – | 8.1% | [68] |
| Ipsos I&O | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,950 | 25.9% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | – | – | 9.8% | [71] |
| Verian | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,607 | 26.7% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | – | – | 9.2% | [117] |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,208 | 27.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | – | – | 11.3% | [73] |
| Verian | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 1,594 | 24.9% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | – | – | 7.4% | [118] |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 1,016 | 25.8% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | – | 0.9% | 8.5% | [119] |
| Ipsos | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 1,017 | 27.7% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | – | 0.7% | 10.4% | [120] |
| I&O Research | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 1,979 | 27.3% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | – | 0.6% | 9.7% | [80] |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 16.97% | 21.09% | 11.35% | 3.75% | 8.40% | 5.41% | 9.45% | 2.20% | – | 4.52% | 2.49% | 3.66% | 2.89% | 5.13% | 0.65% | 0.94% | 2.04% | 4.12% | |
| Peil.nl | 5–6 Jun 2024 | – | 26.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | – | 1.6% | 10.7% | [81] |
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 30.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | – | 0.6% | 15.3% | [121] |
| I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 29.6% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | – | 0.3% | 14.0% | [84] |
| I&O Research | 9–12 May 2024 | 1,839 | 30.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | – | 0.3% | 14.5% | [86] |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 28.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | – | 0.9% | 14.0% | [88] |
| Ipsos | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 31.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | – | 0.8% | 15.5% | [122] |
| Ipsos | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 1,022 | 31.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | – | 0.6% | 15.2% | [123] |
| I&O Research | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,752 | 31.0% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | – | 0.6% | 14.5% | [93] |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 1,025 | 28.4% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | – | 0.5% | 12.4% | [124] |
| Ipsos | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 1,052 | 29.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | – | 1.3% | 16.0% | [125] |
| I&O Research | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,952 | 27.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | – | 0.7% | 12.8% | [93] |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 23.49% | 15.75% | 15.14% | 12.88% | 6.29% | 4.65% | 3.31% | 3.15% | 2.37% | 2.25% | 2.23% | 2.08% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 0.68% | 0.49% | 1.88% | 7.74% |
Specific samples
Muslim voters
The following poll sampled just Muslim voters in the Netherlands.
Bi-cultural voters
The following poll sampled just Dutch voters with a bicultural background.
Voters in Limburg
The following poll sampled just Dutch voters in the province of Limburg.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV[a] | GL/PvdA | VVD[b] | NSC[c] | D66 | BBB[b] | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | 50+ | Others | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 25.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 0.4% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | [128] |
| Peil.nl | 24 Oct 2025 | – | 28.3% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 0.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 14.2% | [129] |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 24.40% | 17.14% | 10.06% | 3.80% | 6.75% | 5.09% | 15.98% | 2.48% | – | 3.62% | 2.92% | 0.23% | 0.52% | 3.67% | 0.56% | 1.65% | 1.14% | 7.26% | [130] |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 33.26% | 13.49% | 13.82% | 14.12% | 4.83% | 4.42% | 3.41% | 3.67% | 1.23% | 1.72% | 2.31% | 0.10% | 0.33% | 1.00% | 0.60% | 0.56% | 1.12% | 19.14% | [131] |
Voters in North Brabant
The following poll sampled just Dutch voters in the province of North Brabant.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV[a] | GL/PvdA | VVD[b] | NSC[c] | D66 | BBB[b] | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | 50+ | Others | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 19.1% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 0.3% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | [132] |
| Peil.nl | 24 Oct 2025 | – | 20.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 0.3% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 6.4% | 1.0% | – | 5.7% | [133] |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 19.39% | 19.08% | 13.68% | 3.61% | 8.94% | 5.31% | 11.59% | 2.67% | – | 3.58% | 2.25% | 0.87% | 0.94% | 4.96% | 0.62% | 1.51% | 1.02% | 0.31% | [134] |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 26.94% | 13.03% | 18.11% | 12.75% | 6.59% | 4.40% | 3.46% | 4.13% | 1.78% | 1.76% | 1.89% | 0.44% | 0.61% | 1.60% | 0.72% | 0.64% | 1.59% | 8.83% | [135] |
Voters in Zeeland
The following poll sampled just Dutch voters in the province of Zeeland.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV[a] | GL/PvdA | VVD[b] | NSC[c] | D66 | BBB[b] | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | 50+ | Others | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 17.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 0.3% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 13.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 4.0% | [136] |
| Peil.nl | 24 Oct 2025 | – | 18.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | – | 8.9% | 5.0% | 16.8% | – | – | – | 5.1% | – | – | – | 6.3% | – | – | 1.3% | [137] |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 16.88% | 14.96% | 10.07% | 2.97% | 4.98% | 7.99% | 10.55% | 1.95% | – | 3.07% | 2.65% | 15.47% | 3.52% | 2.44% | 0.59% | 0.96% | 0.95% | 1.41% | [138] |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 23.89% | 11.09% | 14.71% | 12.17% | 4.13% | 5.86% | 4.34% | 3.06% | 0.79% | 1.80% | 2.47% | 9.69% | 2.94% | 0.72% | 0.70% | 0.56% | 1.06% | 9.18% | [139] |
Voters in Groningen
The following poll sampled just Dutch voters in the city of Groningen.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV[a] | GL/PvdA | VVD[b] | NSC[c] | D66 | BBB[b] | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | 50+ | Others | Lead | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | 29 Oct 2025 | – | 8.4% | 24.0% | 10.3% | 0.4% | 24.4% | 1.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | [140] |
| OOG | 15–20 Oct 2025 | 2,180 | 11.4% | 26.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 0.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | – | – | 14.3% | [141] |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 7.27% | 36.11% | 7.94% | 2.82% | 11.40% | 1.83% | 5.28% | 3.50% | – | 7.87% | 1.82% | 0.88% | 3.24% | 7.98% | 0.53% | 0.43% | 1.09% | 24.71% | [142] |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 13.19% | 30.48% | 10.62% | 11.62% | 9.04% | 2.27% | 2.05% | 4.33% | 0.87% | 4.14% | 1.95% | 0.51% | 2.58% | 3.84% | 0.66% | 0.27% | 1.54% | 18.29% | [143] |
See also
Notes
- Part of the Schoof cabinet until 3 June 2025
- Part of the Schoof cabinet
- Part of the Schoof cabinet until 22 August 2025