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Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election

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In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, which took place as a snap election on 23 February 2025, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed below.

Electoral threshold of 5%

In the runup to the 2025 snap election, four of the eight main parties represented in the Bundestag were at risk of failing to pass the 5% electoral threshold, thus placing the actual outcome in significant uncertainty. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) led by challenger Friedrich Merz, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) led by challenger Alice Weidel, and the Alliance 90/The Greens led by candidate Robert Habeck were all expected to obtain a voting volume that is significantly higher than the qualifying 5% threshold.

Seats in the Bundestag are allocated to party lists that either pass the "five percent hurdle" of federally valid second votes, or win at least three constituencies. In the 2021 German federal election, this granted Die Linke (The Left) full proportional representation as it won three constituencies despite receiving 4.9% of second-ballot votes. In 2022, this three-constituency rule was abolished, but was reinstated by the Federal Constitutional Court. In addition to Die Linke, this also benefits the Christian Social Union (CSU) which competes only in Bavaria and, in the 2021 German federal elections, only passed the threshold with 5.2% of second-ballot votes nationwide but won 45 out of 46 constituencies in Bavaria. As the CDU/CSU "Union" don't compete against each other and form one faction in the parliament, both "sister parties" are combined in most polls, but some show separate numbers.

Polling around 5% were the Free Democratic Party (FDP) that was part of the "Traffic Light Coalition" whose collapse led to the snap election, Die Linke, and the new Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) which split off from The Left in 2023.

Also shown in the polls are the Free Voters (FW) which are present in three state parliaments (Bavaria, Rhineland-Palatinate and Saxony) and one state government coalition (Bavaria). Only three other parties have managed to get approved in all states, and several others run in selected states. They are all summed up as "others".

Reliability of pollsters

The poll aggregator Europe Elects provides a list of past pollster accuracy and conflict of interest on its website. The organization includes Allensbach, Forsa, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, GMS, Infratest dimap, INSA, Ipsos, Verian, YouGov, pollytix, Trend research, and pmg - policy matters in its databases and highlights their reliability and transparency. All of them are part of professional pollster associations. Civey is excluded and their lack of methodological rigour referenced. Below-listed Wahlkreisprognose and American-based Democracy Institute are excluded from Europe Elects's coverage. The poll aggregator points out that they have no membership in a professional association.[1]

Poll results

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election using Local regression (LOESS) of polls conducted. Data up to 19 February 2025

2025

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 17.5 16.4 28.5 11.6 4.3 20.8 8.8 1.5 5.0[a] 3.1 7.7
INSA[2] 21–22 Feb 2025 2,005 – 15 29.5 12.5 4.5 21 7.5 – 5 5 8.5
Wahlkreisprognose[3] 20–21 Feb 2025 1,536 – 14.5 29.5 12 4.5 20.5 8 2 4.5 4.5 9
Ipsos[4] 19–21 Feb 2025 1,000 – 16 30 12 4.5 21 7 – 4.5 5 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 19–20 Feb 2025 1,349 – 16 28 14 4 21 8 – 4.5 4 7
Forsa[6] 17–20 Feb 2025 2,002 – 15 29 13 5 21 8 – 3 6 8
YouGov[7] 17–20 Feb 2025 1,681 – 16 29 13 4 20 8 – 5 5 9
Allensbach[8] 9–20 Feb 2025 1,064 – 14.5 32 12 4.5 20 7.5 – 4.5 6 12
INSA[2] 18–19 Feb 2025 2,086 – 15 30 13 4 21 7 – 5 5 9
GMS[9] 16–19 Feb 2025 1,016 – 15 31 13 4 20 6 2 4 5 11
Ipsos[4] 12–19 Feb 2025 2,000 – 15 31 13 4.5 20 7 – 4.5 5 11
YouGov (MRP)[10] 7–19 Feb 2025 9,281 – 15.6 29.9 12.7 4.5 19.7 7.5 – 4.6 5.6 10.2
Wahlkreisprognose[11] 17–18 Feb 2025 1,000 – 14.5 30 12 4 20 7 2 5 5.5 10
Cluster 17[12] 16–18 Feb 2025 1,457 – 15 30 13 4 21 7 – 4 5 9
Forsa[6] 11–17 Feb 2025 2,501 – 16 30 13 5 20 7 – 4 5 10
YouGov[7] 14–17 Feb 2025 2,131 – 17 27 12 4 20 9 – 5 5 7
INSA[2] 14–17 Feb 2025 2,010 – 15 30 13 4.5 22 6.5 – 5 4 8
INSA[2] 10–14 Feb 2025 1,205 – 15 30 13 4 21 6 – 5 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 11–13 Feb 2025 1,348 14 16 30 14 4 20 7 – 4 5 10
Wahlkreisprognose[13] 11–13 Feb 2025 1,700 – 12.5 32 12.5 4 20 6 1.5 4.5 7 12
Infratest dimap[14] 10–12 Feb 2025 1,579 – 14 32 14 4 21 6 – 4.5 4.5 11
Allensbach[8] 31 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 1,021 – 15 32 13 5 20 6 – 4 6 12
Pollytix[15] 11–12 Feb 2025 1,501 – 17 29 14 4 19 6 – 5 6 10
YouGov[7] 7–10 Feb 2025 2,083 – 16 29 12 4 21 6 – 5 6 8
INSA[2] 7–10 Feb 2025 2,006 – 15.5 30 13 4 22 6 – 5.5 4 8
Forsa[6] 4–10 Feb 2025 2,502 23 16 29 14 4 20 6 – 4 7 9
GMS[9] 4–7 Feb 2025 1,011 – 15 30 14 4 21 5 2 4 5 9
INSA[2] 3–7 Feb 2025 1,204 – 16 29 12 4 21 5 – 6 7 8
Pollytix[15] 5–6 Feb 2025 1,529 – 17 30 12 4 20 6 – 5 6 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 4–6 Feb 2025 1,341 20 15 30 15 4 20 6 – 4 6 10
Infratest dimap[14] 3–5 Feb 2025 1,302 – 15 31 14 4 21 5 – 4 6 10
YouGov (MRP)[16] 17 Jan – 5 Feb 2025 9,322 – 15.3 29.0 13.3 4.1 19.9 5.2 – 5.4 7.9 9.1
YouGov[7] 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025 2,181 – 18 29 12 4 22 6 – 6 4 7
Wahlkreisprognose[17] 1–3 Feb 2025 1,900 – 16.5 28 12 4.5 19.5 5 2.5 5.5 6.5 8.5
INSA[2] 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 2,004 – 16 30 13 4.5 22 5 – 5.5 4 8
INSA[2] 30–31 Jan 2025 1,203 – 17 30 12 4 22 4 – 6 5 8
Ipsos[4] 30–31 Jan 2025 1,000 – 16 29 13 4 21 4 – 5 8 8
INSA[18] 30 Jan 2025 1,001 – 17 29 13 4 22 4 – 6 5 7
Forsa[6] 28 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 2,503 – 16 28 15 4 20 5 – 4 8 8
Democracy Institute[19] 28–30 Jan 2025 2,430 – 15 27 13 5 25 5 – 6 4 2
Infratest dimap[14] 27–29 Jan 2025 1,336 – 15 30 15 4 20 5 – 4 7 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 27–29 Jan 2025 1,428 17 15 29 14 4 21 5 – 4 8 8
Verian[20] 22–28 Jan 2025 1,461 – 15 30 14 4 20 4 – 5 8 10
YouGov[7] 24–27 Jan 2025 1,781 – 15 29 13 3 23 5 – 6 5 6
INSA[2] 24–27 Jan 2025 2,006 – 15.5 30 12.5 4.5 22 4.5 – 6 5 8
Forsa[6] 21–27 Jan 2025 2,504 – 16 30 14 4 20 4 – 3 9 10
INSA[2] 20–24 Jan 2025 1,203 – 16 30 12 4 21 4 – 7 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 21–23 Jan 2025 1,345 18 15 30 14 4 21 5 – 3 8 9
Wahlkreisprognose[21] 21–23 Jan 2025 1,500 – 17 28.5 14 3.5 21.5 3.5 1.5 4.5 6 7
YouGov[7] 17–20 Jan 2025 1,858 – 19 28 15 4 19 4 – 6 6 9
INSA[2] 17–20 Jan 2025 2,008 – 16 29 13 5 21.5 4 – 7 4.5 7.5
Forsa[6] 14–20 Jan 2025 2,502 – 16 31 13 4 19 3 – 4 10 12
Allensbach[8] 7–19 Jan 2025 1,015 – 17 34 13.5 4 20 – – 5 6.5 14
Ipsos[4] 16–18 Jan 2025 1,000 – 16 30 14 4 19 3 2 6 6 11
INSA[2] 13–17 Jan 2025 1,206 – 16 29 13 5 21 4 – 7 5 8
Wahlkreisprognose[22] 13–16 Jan 2025 2,000 – 16.5 29 15 4 21 2.5 2 4 6 8
YouGov (MRP)[23] 3 Dec – 15 Jan 2025 10,411 – 15.6 29.8 13.6 4.5 19.7 2.9 – 6.0 7.8 10.1
YouGov[7] 10–14 Jan 2025 1,771 – 18 30 14 4 21 4 – 6 5 9
INSA[2] 10–13 Jan 2025 2,005 – 15 31 13 4 22 3.5 – 6.5 5 9
Forsa[6] 7–13 Jan 2025 2,504 28 16 31 13 4 20 3 – 4 9 11
INSA[2] 6–10 Jan 2025 1,205 – 16 30 13 4 22 3 – 6 6 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 7–9 Jan 2025 1,433 18 14 30 15 4 21 4 – 4 8 9
Infratest dimap[14] 6–8 Jan 2025 1,323 – 15 31 14 4 20 4 – 5 7 11
YouGov[7] 3–6 Jan 2025 1,908 – 16 29 14 5 21 3 – 6 6 8
INSA[2] 3–6 Jan 2025 2,001 – 15.5 31 13.5 4 21.5 3 – 6.5 5 9.5
Forsa[6] 2–6 Jan 2025 1,501 27 17 32 12 3 19 3 – 4 10 13
Ipsos[4] 2–4 Jan 2025 1,000 – 16 30 13 4 19 3 2 7 6 11
INSA[2] 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2025 1,201 – 16 31 13 4 20 3 – 7 6 11
GMS[9] 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2025 1,010 – 16 33 13 4 18 3 2 4 7 15
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 – 6.3 1.5
Close

2024

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
INSA[2] 27–30 Dec 2024 2,004 – 16.5 31 12 3.5 20.5 4 – 7 5.5 10.5
Wahlkreisprognose 21–28 Dec 2024 2,000 – 18 28 15.5 4 18 2.5 2 6 6 10
INSA[2] 23–27 Dec 2024 1,002 – 17 31 12 4 20 3 – 7 6 11
INSA[2] 20–23 Dec 2024 2,010 – 16 31 12.5 5 19.5 3 – 8 5 11.5
Forsa[6] 17–20 Dec 2024 2,008 25 16 31 13 3 19 4 – 4 10 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 17–19 Dec 2024 1,362 16 15 31 14 3 19 4 – 5 9 12
INSA[2] 16–19 Dec 2024 1,205 – 16 32 12 5 20 3 – 8 4 12
Infratest dimap[14] 16–18 Dec 2024 1,336 – 14 33 14 3 19 3 – 5 9 14
Verian[20] 11–17 Dec 2024 1,452 – 17 31 14 4 18 3 – 5 8 13
Wahlkreisprognose[24] 14–16 Dec 2024 1,500 – 20 29 15 4.5 17 2.5 3 5 4 9
INSA[2] 13–16 Dec 2024 2,002 – 16.5 31.5 11.5 5 19.5 2.5 – 8 5.5 12
Forsa[6] 10–16 Dec 2024 2,501 23 17 30 13 4 19 3 – 4 10 11
INSA[2] 9–13 Dec 2024 1,203 – 17 31 11 5 20 3 – 8 5 11
Allensbach[8] 30 Nov – 12 Dec 2024 1,006 – 16 36 12 4 18 – – 6 8 18
INSA[2] 6–9 Dec 2024 2,004 – 17 31.5 11.5 4.5 19.5 3 – 8 5 12
Forsa[6] 3–9 Dec 2024 2,501 22 17 31 13 4 18 3 – 4 10 13
INSA[2] 2–6 Dec 2024 1,202 – 16 32 12 4 19 4 – 8 5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 3–5 Dec 2024 1,433 17 15 33 14 4 17 3 – 5 9 16
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 2024 2,000 – 18.5 31 11.5 3 20.5 3 3 3.5 6 10.5
Infratest dimap[14] 2–4 Dec 2024 1,307 – 16 32 14 4 18 3 – 5 8 14
YouGov[7] 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024 1,879 – 18 30 13 4 19 3 1 7 6 11
INSA[2] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 2,003 – 16 31.5 13 4.5 18.5 3.5 – 7.5 5.5 13
GMS 27 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 1,005 – 15 34 13 4 17 3 2 6 6 17
Forsa[6] 26 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 2,502 – 16 32 12 3 18 4 – 4 11 14
Ipsos 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2024 1,000 – 16 32 13 3 18 3 3 7 5 14
INSA[2] 25–29 Nov 2024 1,201 – 15 32 13 5 18 3 – 8 6 14
Verian[20] 20–26 Nov 2024 1,432 – 15 32 13 4 18 3 – 6 9 14
INSA[2] 22–25 Nov 2024 2,003 – 15 32.5 11 4.5 19.5 3.5 – 7.5 6.5 13
Forsa[6] 19–25 Nov 2024 2,500 – 15 32 12 4 18 4 – 4 11 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 19–21 Nov 2024 1,399 15 16 32 12 3 18 4 – 5 10 14
INSA[2] 18–21 Nov 2024 1,203 – 14 32 11 5 19 4 – 7 8 13
Infratest dimap[14] 18–20 Nov 2024 1,318 – 14 33 14 4 19 3 – 6 7 14
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 2024 2,000 – 15 34 11 4 18.5 2.5 2.5 5 7.5 15.5
INSA[2] 15–18 Nov 2024 2,008 – 16 32 11 4.5 19 3.5 – 7.5 6.5 13
Forsa[6] 12–18 Nov 2024 2,500 – 15 33 11 4 18 4 – 4 11 15
INSA[2] 11–15 Nov 2024 1,204 – 16 32 10 4 19 4 – 8 7 13
Allensbach[8] 2–14 Nov 2024 1,049 – 15 37 10 4 17 – – 7.5 9.5 20
YouGov[7] 8–12 Nov 2024 1,805 – 15 33 12 5 19 3 1 7 6 14
INSA[2] 8–11 Nov 2024 3,009 – 15.5 32.5 11.5 5 19.5 3.5 – 7 5.5 13
Forsa[6] 5–11 Nov 2024 2,501 – 16 33 11 4 17 3 – 5 11 16
INSA[2] 7–8 Nov 2024 1,065 – 15 32 10 4 19 4 – 7 9 13
Infratest dimap[14] 7 Nov 2024 1,065 – 16 34 12 5 18 – – 6 9 16
Forsa[6] 7 Nov 2024 1,181 – 17 32 11 3 17 3 – 6 11 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 5–7 Nov 2024 1,231 15 16 33 12 3 18 4 – 6 8 15
INSA[2] 1–4 Nov 2024 2,005 – 15.5 32 10.5 4.5 18 3.5 – 8 8 14
Forsa[6] 29 Oct – 4 Nov 2024 2,500 – 16 33 10 3 16 3 – 6 13 17
Ipsos 1–2 Nov 2024 1,000 – 15 32 11 5 18 3 3 8 5 14
INSA[2] 28 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 1,202 – 16 32 10 4 18 4 – 8 8 14
Infratest dimap[14] 28–30 Oct 2024 1,333 – 16 34 11 4 17 – – 6 12 17
Verian[20] 23–29 Oct 2024 1,443 – 16 32 11 3 17 3 – 8 10 15
INSA[2] 25–28 Oct 2024 2,008 – 15 31 11 4 19 2.5 – 9 8.5 12
Forsa[6] 22–28 Oct 2024 2,503 23 16 32 9 4 17 3 – 7 12 15
INSA[2] 21–25 Oct 2024 1,204 – 15 30 11 4 19 3 – 9 9 11
INSA[2] 18–21 Oct 2024 2,006 – 16.5 30.5 10 4 19 2.5 – 9 8.5 11.5
Forsa[6] 15–21 Oct 2024 2,500 – 16 31 11 3 17 3 – 7 12 14
INSA[2] 14–18 Oct 2024 1,201 – 16 31 10 4 19 3 – 9 8 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 15–17 Oct 2024 1,249 12 16 31 11 3 18 4 – 8 9 13
INSA[2] 11–14 Oct 2024 2,002 – 16 31.5 10 4 18.5 3.5 – 9 7.5 13
Forsa[6] 8–14 Oct 2024 2,501 – 16 31 10 4 17 3 – 7 12 14
INSA[2] 7–11 Oct 2024 1,202 – 16 31 11 4 19 3 – 9 7 12
Allensbach[8] 28 Sep – 11 Oct 2024 1,041 – 16 36 10.5 4.5 16 – – 9 9 20
Infratest dimap[14] 7–9 Oct 2024 1,321 – 16 31 13 3 17 3 3 8 6 14
YouGov[7] 4–8 Oct 2024 1,773 – 16 32 11 5 18 3 1 8 6 14
INSA[2] 4–7 Oct 2024 2,010 – 16 31.5 10.5 4 20 2.5 – 8 7.5 11.5
Forsa[6] 1–7 Oct 2024 2,001 – 17 31 11 3 17 3 – 6 12 14
Ipsos 2–4 Oct 2024 1,000 – 15 31 11 4 18 3 3 8 7 13
INSA[2] 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2024 1,237 – 16 31 11 4 20 3 – 8 7 11
Verian[20] 25 Sep – 1 Oct 2024 1,452 – 16 31 11 4 17 3 3 7 8 14
INSA[2] 27–30 Sep 2024 2,002 – 15 31.5 11 4 19 2.5 – 9.5 7.5 12.5
Forsa[6] 24–30 Sep 2024 2,501 – 17 31 10 4 17 3 – 6 12 14
INSA[2] 23–27 Sep 2024 1,203 – 15 32 11 4 19 3 – 10 6 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 24–26 Sep 2024 1,348 16 16 31 12 4 17 4 – 8 8 14
INSA[2] 20–23 Sep 2024 2,002 – 15.5 32 9.5 3.5 20 2.5 – 10 7 12
Forsa[6] 17–23 Sep 2024 2,500 21 15 32 11 4 17 – – 7 14 15
INSA[2] 16–19 Sep 2024 1,202 – 15 32 10 4 20 2 – 10 7 12
INSA[2] 13–16 Sep 2024 2,008 – 14 33 10 4.5 19.5 2.5 – 10 6.5 13.5
GMS 11–16 Sep 2024 1,006 – 14 34 11 4 18 2 3 7 7 16
Forsa[6] 10–16 Sep 2024 2,501 – 15 31 11 4 17 3 – 6 13 14
INSA[2] 9–13 Sep 2024 1,206 – 14 33 10 4 19 3 – 10 7 14
Allensbach[8] 29 Aug – 11 Sep 2024 1,017 – 16 35.5 10 4 17 – – 9 8.5 18.5
YouGov[7] 6–10 Sep 2024 1,752 – 14 32 13 4 18 4 1 8 6 14
INSA[2] 6–9 Sep 2024 2,010 – 14 32.5 10 4 19.5 2.5 – 10 7.5 13
Forsa[6] 3–9 Sep 2024 2,500 – 14 33 11 3 17 3 – 7 12 16
Ipsos 6–7 Sep 2024 1,000 – 13 32 11 4 18 3 2 9 8 14
INSA[2] 2–6 Sep 2024 1,202 – 15 31 10 4 19 3 – 10 8 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 3–5 Sep 2024 1,328 14 15 33 11 4 17 4 – 7 9 16
Infratest dimap[14] 3–4 Sep 2024 1,309 – 15 33 11 4 17 3 – 8 9 16
Verian[20] 28 Aug – 3 Sep 2024 1,427 – 15 31 12 4 17 3 – 8 10 14
INSA[2] 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 2,002 – 15 31.5 10.5 4.5 19 2.5 – 9.5 7.5 12.5
Forsa[6] 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 2,508 – 14 32 11 5 17 3 – 7 11 15
INSA[2] 26–30 Aug 2024 1,202 – 16 31 11 4 19 3 – 9 7 12
INSA[2] 23–26 Aug 2024 2,004 – 15 31.5 11.5 5.5 18.5 3 – 9 6 13
Forsa[6] 20–26 Aug 2024 2,501 – 15 31 11 5 17 3 – 7 11 14
INSA[2] 19–23 Aug 2024 1,202 – 16 31 11 5 18 3 – 9 7 13
INSA[2] 16–19 Aug 2024 2,006 – 15.5 30.5 10.5 5 19 3 – 9.5 7 11.5
Forsa[6] 13–19 Aug 2024 2,503 – 15 31 11 5 17 3 – 7 11 14
INSA[2] 12–16 Aug 2024 1,203 – 16 30 11 5 19 3 – 9 7 11
Allensbach[8] 3–15 Aug 2024 1,051 – 16 34 11.5 5 16 3 – 7 7.5 18
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 12–14 Aug 2024 1,334 14 14 32 13 4 16 3 – 8 10 16
YouGov[7] 9–13 Aug 2024 1,998 – 15 31 12 5 19 3 1 8 6 12
INSA[2] 9–12 Aug 2024 2,008 – 15 30.5 10.5 5 18 3 – 9.5 8.5 12.5
Forsa[6] 6–12 Aug 2024 2,502 22 15 30 11 5 17 3 – 7 12 13
GMS 6–12 Aug 2024 1,006 – 14 32 12 5 17 3 2 8 7 15
INSA[2] 5–9 Aug 2024 1,203 – 16 31 10 5 18 3 – 9 8 13
Infratest dimap[14] 5–7 Aug 2024 1,311 – 15 32 12 5 16 – – 9 11 16
Verian[20] 31 Jul – 6 Aug 2024 1,449 – 16 31 13 5 16 3 – 7 9 15
INSA[2] 2–5 Aug 2024 2,002 – 15 30.5 10.5 5 17 3 – 9.5 9.5 13.5
Forsa[6] 30 Jul – 5 Aug 2024 2,500 20 15 30 11 5 17 3 3 7 9 13
Ipsos 2–4 Aug 2024 1,000 – 14 30 13 5 16 3 2 8 9 14
INSA[2] 29 Jul – 2 Aug 2024 1,199 – 15 31 10 5 18 3 – 9 9 13
INSA[2] 26–29 Jul 2024 2,006 – 15 30 10 5 18 3.5 – 9.5 9 12
Forsa[6] 23–29 Jul 2024 2,501 21 15 30 11 4 17 3 – 7 13 13
INSA[2] 22–26 Jul 2024 1,203 – 15 30 11 5 18 3 – 10 8 12
INSA[2] 19–22 Jul 2024 2,010 – 15 31 10.5 5 17 3.5 – 9 9 14
Forsa[6] 16–22 Jul 2024 2,504 18 14 31 11 5 17 4 – 7 11 14
INSA[2] 15–19 Jul 2024 1,207 – 15 30 11 5 17 3 – 9 10 13
Allensbach[8] 5–19 Jul 2024 1,003 – 16.5 32 11.5 6 17 – – 8 9 15
INSA[2] 12–15 Jul 2024 2,500 – 15 31 11.5 5 18 3 – 8.5 8 13
Forsa[6] 9–15 Jul 2024 2,503 18 14 32 11 5 16 3 – 7 12 16
INSA[2] 8–12 Jul 2024 1,449 – 15 30 12 5 18 2 – 9 9 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 9–11 Jul 2024 1,341 15 14 32 13 4 17 3 – 7 10 15
Verian[20] 3–9 Jul 2024 1,486 – 15 31 13 5 16 3 – 7 10 15
INSA[2] 5–8 Jul 2024 2,007 – 15 30.5 11 5.5 17.5 3 1.5 8.5 7.5 13
Forsa[6] 2–8 Jul 2024 2,504 19 14 30 11 5 17 – – 8 15 13
Ipsos 5–7 Jul 2024 1,000 – 14 30 12 5 16 3 2 8 10 14
INSA[2] 1–5 Jul 2024 1,204 – 15 30 11 5 18 2 – 9 10 12
Infratest dimap[14] 1–3 Jul 2024 1,294 – 14 31 13 5 17 3 – 8 9 14
YouGov[7] 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2024 1,711 – 14 30 12 6 19 3 2 9 6 11
INSA[2] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 2,006 – 15 29.5 12 5.5 17.5 2.5 2 8.5 7.5 12
Forsa[6] 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 2,506 18 15 31 11 6 16 – – 7 14 15
INSA[2] 24–28 Jun 2024 1,203 – 15 30 12 6 17 2 2 9 7 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 25–27 Jun 2024 1,186 11 14 31 13 4 17 3 – 7 11 14
INSA[2] 21–24 Jun 2024 2,008 – 14.5 30.5 11.5 5 17.5 3 2 8.5 7.5 13
Forsa[6] 18–24 Jun 2024 2,505 19 15 31 11 5 16 – 3 7 12 15
INSA[2] 17–21 Jun 2024 1,204 – 15 30 12 5 17 3 2 8 8 13
INSA[2] 14–17 Jun 2024 2,010 – 15 31 11 5 17 3 2 8 8 14
Forsa[6] 11–17 Jun 2024 2,504 – 15 30 12 5 16 – 2 7 12 14
GMS 11–17 Jun 2024 1,007 – 14 31 14 5 18 3 2 6 7 13
INSA[2] 10–15 Jun 2024 1,205 – 16 31 11 5 17 3 2 7 8 14
Allensbach[8] 1–13 Jun 2024 1,084 – 16 32 13 6 15 3 – 7 8 16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 10–12 Jun 2024 1,334 15 14 30 14 5 16 – – 7 14 14
Verian[20] 5–11 Jun 2024 1,425 – 16 30 13 5 17 3 3 6 7 13
INSA[2] 7–10 Jun 2024 2,008 – 15.5 30 12 5 16 3 2.5 7.5 8.5 14
Forsa[6] 4–10 Jun 2024 2,505 22 16 30 13 6 16 – – 6 13 14
2024 EU Parliament Election 9 Jun 2024 – – 13.9 30.0 11.9 5.2 15.9 2.7 2.7 6.2 11.5 14.1
INSA[2] 3–7 Jun 2024 1,203 – 16 30 12 5 16 3 3 8 7 14
YouGov[7] 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 1,894 – 14 29 12 4 18 4 2 9 8 11
Ipsos 29 May – 5 Jun 2024 957 – 15 29 13 5 17 3 3 8 7 12
INSA[2] 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 2,002 – 16 30.5 12 5 15.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 7.5 14.5
Forsa[6] 28 May – 3 Jun 2024 2,506 22 17 30 13 6 15 – – 6 13 13
INSA[2] 27–31 May 2024 1,205 – 16 31 12 5 16 3 3 7 7 15
Infratest dimap[14] 27–29 May 2024 1,479 – 15 31 14 4 18 3 3 5 7 13
INSA[2] 24–27 May 2024 2,004 – 15 30.5 12 5 17 3 2.5 7 8 13.5
Forsa[6] 21–27 May 2024 2,503 22 16 30 13 6 15 – – 6 14 14
INSA[2] 21–24 May 2024 1,202 – 15 30 13 5 17 3 3 7 7 13
INSA[2] 17–21 May 2024 2,010 – 16 30 12.5 5 17 3 3 7 6.5 13
Wahlkreisprognose 13–19 May 2024 2,500 24 16.5 31 13.5 6 15 3 – 6 9 14.5
Forsa[6] 14–17 May 2024 2,001 – 16 32 14 5 15 – – 5 13 16
INSA[2] 13–17 May 2024 1,206 – 16 30 12 5 17 3 3 7 7 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 14–16 May 2024 1,247 18 15 31 13 5 16 4 – 5 11 15
Allensbach[8] 4–16 May 2024 1,093 – 17.5 32.5 13 6 14 3 – 8 6 15
Verian[20] 7–14 May 2024 1,506 – 16 30 14 5 16 4 3 5 7 14
INSA[2] 10–13 May 2024 2,087 – 15.5 30.5 13 5 17 3.5 2.5 7 6 13.5
Forsa[6] 7–13 May 2024 2,006 23 16 32 13 5 15 3 – 5 11 16
INSA[2] 6–10 May 2024 1,247 – 15 30 13 5 17 4 2 7 7 13
YouGov[7] 3–8 May 2024 1,749 – 16 30 14 4 19 4 1 7 5 11
INSA[2] 3–6 May 2024 2,006 – 15.5 30.5 12 5 18 3.5 2.5 7.5 5.5 12.5
Forsa[6] 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 2,000 – 16 31 12 6 15 3 – 4 13 15
GMS 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 1,005 – 15 31 14 4 18 2 3 6 7 13
Ipsos 2–5 May 2024 2,000 – 16 28 13 5 18 4 3 7 6 10
INSA[2] 29 Apr – 3 May 2024 1.203 – 15 30 12 5 18 4 2 7 7 12
Infratest dimap[14] 29–30 Apr 2024 1,280 – 15 31 15 5 18 – – 5 11 13
INSA[2] 26–29 Apr 2024 2.004 – 16.5 29.5 12.5 5 18.5 3.5 2.5 7 5 11
Forsa[6] 23–29 Apr 2024 2,505 23 17 30 12 5 16 3 – 4 13 13
INSA[2] 22–26 Apr 2024 1,203 – 16 29 13 5 18 4 2 7 6 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 23–25 Apr 2024 1,228 18 15 30 15 4 17 4 – 5 10 13
INSA[2] 19–22 Apr 2024 2,008 – 15 30.5 12.5 5 18.5 4 2.5 7 5 12
Forsa[6] 16–22 Apr 2024 2,501 25 16 31 12 5 16 – – 5 15 15
INSA[2] 15–19 Apr 2024 1,204 – 15 30 13 5 18 4 2 7 6 12
Allensbach[8] 5–18 Apr 2024 1,041 – 16 32.5 15 6 16 3 – 7 4.5 16.5
Verian[20] 10–16 Apr 2024 1,445 – 16 30 14 5 18 3 3 5 6 12
INSA[2] 12–15 Apr 2024 2,006 – 16 29.5 13 6 18.5 3 2.5 6.5 5 11
Forsa[6] 9–15 Apr 2024 2,505 23 16 31 12 5 17 – – 5 14 14
INSA[2] 8–12 Apr 2024 1,203 – 16 30 13 5 18 3 2 6 7 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 20 16 31 12 4 18 3 – 6 10 13
YouGov[7] 5–10 Apr 2024 1,588 – 14 29 15 5 19 4 1 7 6 10
INSA[2] 5–8 Apr 2024 2,084 – 15 30.5 13 5 18.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 12
Forsa[6] 2–8 Apr 2024 2,506 24 16 30 13 5 17 – – 5 14 13
Ipsos 5–7 Apr 2024 2,000 – 15 29 13 5 18 4 3 7 6 11
INSA[2] 2–5 Apr 2024 1,243 – 15 31 13 5 19 3 2 6 6 12
Infratest dimap[14] 2–3 Apr 2024 1,304 – 15 30 15 4 18 3 3 5 7 12
INSA[2] 28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 2,004 – 15 30 12.5 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 10.5
Forsa[6] 26–28 Mar 2024 1,508 24 16 31 13 4 17 – – 5 14 14
INSA[2] 25–28 Mar 2024 1,210 – 15 30 13 5 20 3 2 6 6 10
INSA[2] 22–25 Mar 2024 2,008 – 15.5 30 12.5 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5 10.5
Forsa[6] 19–25 Mar 2024 2,503 24 16 31 13 4 17 3 3 5 8 14
INSA[2] 18–22 Mar 2024 1,204 – 16 30 13 5 19 3 2 6 6 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 19–21 Mar 2024 1,296 19 16 31 13 4 18 3 – 6 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2024 1,300 25 19.5 29 14 4 15 3.5 – 6.5 8.5 9.5
Verian[20] 13–19 Mar 2024 1,480 – 17 29 15 5 18 3 – 5 8 11
INSA[2] 15–18 Mar 2024 2,002 – 16 29.5 12 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 10
Forsa[6] 12–18 Mar 2024 2,500 24 16 31 13 4 17 3 3 5 8 14
INSA[2] 11–15 Mar 2024 1,199 – 15 30 12 5 19 3 2 6 8 11
Allensbach[8] 1–14 Mar 2024 1,027 – 15 34 14 5 16 3 – 7 6 18
INSA[2] 8–11 Mar 2024 2,079 – 14.5 31 12.5 5.5 18.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 12.5
Forsa[6] 5–11 Mar 2024 2,502 26 15 30 14 5 17 3 3 5 8 13
INSA[2] 4–8 Mar 2024 1,249 – 15 31 12 5 19 3 2 7 6 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 5–7 Mar 2024 1,260 19 15 30 15 4 18 3 3 5 7 12
Infratest dimap[14] 4–6 Mar 2024 1,288 – 16 29 14 5 19 3 – 6 8 10
YouGov[7] 1–5 Mar 2024 1,762 – 15 29 14 4 19 4 1 7 7 10
INSA[2] 1–4 Mar 2024 2,024 – 14.5 30.5 13 5.5 19.5 3 2.5 6.5 5 11
Forsa[6] 27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 2,506 – 15 31 14 5 17 3 3 4 8 14
Ipsos 1–3 Mar 2024 2,000 – 15 29 14 5 18 3 3 7 6 11
INSA[2] 26 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 1,200 – 15 30 13 5 19 3 3 7 5 11
Verian[20] 21–27 Feb 2024 1,392 – 16 30 15 5 18 3 – 4 9 12
INSA[2] 23–26 Feb 2024 2,006 – 15.5 30.5 13 4.5 19 3 3 7.5 4 11.5
Forsa[6] 20–26 Feb 2024 2,503 – 14 30 15 5 17 3 3 4 9 13
INSA[2] 19–23 Feb 2024 1,203 – 15 30 13 5 19 3 3 8 4 11
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 2024 1,300 – 14 28.5 12.5 5.5 19 2 2 8.5 8 9.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 20–22 Feb 2024 1,294 18 15 30 14 4 19 4 – 5 9 11
Verian[20] 14–20 Feb 2024 1,505 – 16 29 15 4 19 3 – 5 9 10
INSA[2] 16–19 Feb 2024 2,007 – 14.5 30.5 12.5 4.5 19.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 11
Forsa[6] 13–19 Feb 2024 2,504 24 15 30 14 5 17 3 3 4 9 13
INSA[2] 12–16 Feb 2024 1,203 – 14 31 13 4 19 3 3 8 5 12
Allensbach[8] 3–15 Feb 2024 1,053 – 15 32 14 6 18 3 – 7 5 14
INSA[2] 9–12 Feb 2024 2,083 – 15 30 12.5 3.5 20.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 9.5
Forsa[6] 6–12 Feb 2024 2,502 25 15 31 14 4 18 3 – 5 10 13
INSA[2] 5–8 Feb 2024 1,276 – 15 30 13 4 20 3 3 7 5 10
YouGov[7] 2–6 Feb 2024 2,018 – 14 31 12 4 20 3 1 7 6 11
INSA[2] 2–5 Feb 2024 2,004 – 15 30 12.5 4.5 20.5 3.5 3 7.5 3.5 9.5
GMS 31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 1,012 – 16 32 13 4 18 2 3 5 7 14
Forsa[6] 30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 2,503 25 15 31 14 4 18 3 3 5 7 13
Ipsos 2–4 Feb 2024 2,000 – 15 30 13 4 18 4 3 8 5 12
INSA[2] 29 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 1,202 – 15 30 13 4 20 4 3 7 4 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,217 20 15 31 13 4 19 3 3 6 6 12
Infratest dimap[14] 29–31 Jan 2024 1,303 – 16 30 14 4 19 3 – 5 9 11
INSA[2] 26–29 Jan 2024 2,002 – 14.5 30 12.5 5 21 3.5 2.5 7 4 9
Forsa[6] 23–29 Jan 2024 2,506 27 15 32 14 3 19 3 3 3 8 13
INSA[2] 22–26 Jan 2024 1,201 – 14 31 13 4 21 4 2 7 4 10
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 2024 1,366 26 17.5 30.5 11 4.5 22 2.5 4 – 8 8.5
15.5 27.5 12.5 6.5 19 2.5 2 9 5.5 8.5
Verian[20] 16–23 Jan 2024 1,922 – 16 29 16 4 19 4 – 3 9 10
Pollytix[15] 19–22 Jan 2024 1,530 – 15 29 12 5 22 4 – 9 4 7
INSA[2] 19–22 Jan 2024 2,006 – 13.5 30.5 12.5 5 21.5 3 2.5 – 11.5 8
Forsa[6] 16–22 Jan 2024 2,503 – 14 31 14 4 20 4 3 3 7 11
INSA[2] 15–19 Jan 2024 1,203 – 13 30 13 5 22 3 3 7 4 8
Allensbach[8] 5–18 Jan 2024 1,018 – 15 34 13.5 6 19.5 4 3 – 5 14.5
INSA[2] 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 – 14 31 12 5 23 4 3 – 8 8
Forsa[6] 9–15 Jan 2024 2,504 – 13 31 14 4 22 4 3 – 9 9
INSA 11–12 Jan 2024 1,002 – 14 27 12 4 18 3 3 14 5 9
INSA[2] 8–12 Jan 2024 1,202 – 15 30 12 5 22 4 3 – 9 8
Verian[20] 9–11 Jan 2024 1,359 – 14 31 16 4 22 4 3 – 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 9–11 Jan 2024 1,337 21 13 31 14 4 22 4 4 4 4 9
INSA[2] 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 – 16 32 12 5 23 4 3 – 5 9
YouGov[7] 3–8 Jan 2024 1,614 – 15 29 12 6 24 5 2 – 7 5
Forsa[6] 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 – 15 30 14 4 22 4 3 – 8 8
Ipsos 5–7 Jan 2024 2,000 – 15 30 13 6 22 5 – – 9 8
INSA[2] 2–5 Jan 2024 1,204 – 16 31 12 5 23 4 3 – 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 12 34 10.5 4.5 24.5 3 4 – 7.5 9.5
Infratest dimap[14] 2–3 Jan 2024 1,321 – 14 31 13 5 22 4 3 – 8 9
INSA[2] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 2,002 – 15 32 13 5 22.5 4 3 – 5.5 9.5
GMS 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 1,004 – 14 33 13 6 23 3 3 – 5 10
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 – 6.3 1.6
Close

2023

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA[2] 28–29 Dec 2023 1,001 – 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
INSA[2] 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 – 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 – – 14 31 14 5 22 3 – 11 9
INSA[2] 18–22 Dec 2023 1,202 – 15 32 12 5 22 4 3 7 10
Infratest dimap[14] 18–20 Dec 2023 1,210 – 14 32 14 5 21 3 4 7 11
Verian[20] 13–19 Dec 2023 1,421 – 15 31 15 4 21 4 – 10 10
INSA[2] 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 – 15.5 31.5 12.5 5 23 4 2.5 6 8.5
Forsa[6] 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 26 14 31 13 5 23 3 – 11 8
INSA[2] 11–15 Dec 2023 1,202 – 15 32 12 5 23 4 2 7 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 12–14 Dec 2023 1,146 21 14 32 14 5 22 4 3 6 10
Allensbach[8] 1–14 Dec 2023 1,013 – 17 34 15 5 18 3.5 3 4.5 16
Verian[20] 6–12 Dec 2023 1,515 – 15 30 16 5 20 4 – 10 10
INSA[2] 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 – 16 30 12.5 6 22.5 4 3 6 7.5
GMS 6–11 Dec 2023 1,001 – 14 32 15 5 22 2 3 7 10
Forsa[6] 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 27 14 31 13 5 22 4 – 11 9
INSA[2] 4–8 Dec 2023 1,203 – 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Infratest dimap[14] 4–6 Dec 2023 1,364 – 14 32 15 4 21 3 3 8 11
YouGov[7] 1–6 Dec 2023 1,669 – 14 30 14 6 23 4 2 7 7
Verian[20] 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2023 1,402 – 14 30 17 4 20 4 – 11 10
INSA[2] 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 – 15.5 29.5 13 6 22.5 3.5 3 7 7
Forsa[6] 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 2,501 – 14 30 14 5 22 4 – 11 8
Ipsos 1–3 Dec 2023 2,000 – 16 29 13 6 21 5 – 10 8
INSA[2] 27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023 1,202 – 16 30 13 6 22 3 3 7 8
Verian[20] 20–28 Nov 2023 1,806 – 17 29 16 5 19 4 – 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 15 31 13 5 26 3.5 – 6.5 5
INSA[2] 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 – 15.5 30.5 12.5 6 22 4 3 6.5 8.5
Forsa[6] 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 25 14 30 15 5 21 4 – 11 9
INSA[2] 20–24 Nov 2023 1,202 – 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 21–23 Nov 2023 1,242 22 15 31 15 5 22 4 – 8 9
Verian[20] 14–21 Nov 2023 1,452 – 16 29 17 5 20 4 – 9 9
INSA[2] 17–20 Nov 2023 2,003 – 16.5 30 13 5.5 21 4.5 3 6.5 9
Forsa[6] 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 26 15 30 14 5 21 3 3 9 9
INSA[2] 13–17 Nov 2023 1,201 – 16 30 13 6 21 4 3 7 9
Allensbach[8] 1–16 Nov 2023 1,047 – 17 32 13.5 6 19 3.5 4 5 13
Verian[20] 8–14 Nov 2023 1,421 – 16 28 16 6 20 4 – 10 8
INSA[2] 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 – 16.5 30.5 13.5 5 21.5 4.5 3 5.5 9
Forsa[6] 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 – 14 30 14 5 21 4 3 9 9
INSA[2] 6–10 Nov 2023 1,204 – 17 30 14 5 21 4 3 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 7–9 Nov 2023 1,234 21 16 30 15 5 21 4 3 6 9
Infratest dimap[14] 7–8 Nov 2023 1,195 – 15 30 15 5 21 4 3 7 9
YouGov[7] 3–7 Nov 2023 1,732 – 15 29 15 5 22 5 2 7 7
Kantar[20] 1–7 Nov 2023 1,443 – 16 28 16 6 20 4 3 7 8
INSA[2] 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 – 16.5 29.5 13.5 5.5 22 4.5 3 5.5 7.5
Forsa[6] 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 2,502 – 15 29 14 5 21 4 3 9 8
Ipsos 3–5 Nov 2023 2,000 – 17 28 15 6 20 5 – 9 8
INSA[2] 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 1,204 – 16 30 13 6 22 4 3 6 8
Infratest dimap[14] 30 Oct – 1 Nov 2023 1,314 – 16 30 14 4 22 5 3 6 8
Kantar[20] 25–31 Oct 2023 1,418 – 17 27 16 5 21 4 – 10 6
INSA[2] 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 – 16.5 30.5 13 5.5 21 4 3.5 6 9.5
Forsa[6] 24–30 Oct 2023 2,501 26 15 29 14 5 22 3 3 9 7
INSA[2] 23–27 Oct 2023 1,216 – 16 31 13 6 21 4 3 6 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 14.5 30 14 6 22 4 – 9.5 8
Kantar[20] 18–24 Oct 2023 1,422 – 16 28 16 5 20 5 – 10 8
INSA[2] 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 – 16.5 28.5 13 5.5 22 5 3.5 6 6.5
Forsa[6] 17–23 Oct 2023 2,504 – 14 31 14 5 21 4 3 8 10
INSA[2] 16–20 Oct 2023 1,202 – 16 29 13 5 22 5 4 6 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 17–19 Oct 2023 1,252 21 15 30 14 5 21 5 3 7 9
Allensbach[8] 6–19 Oct 2023 1,010 – 17 34 13 5 19 3 4 5 15
Kantar[20] 11–17 Oct 2023 1,388 – 14 31 15 5 21 4 3 7 10
INSA[2] 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 – 16.5 28 13 6 23 4.5 4 5 5
Forsa[6] 10–16 Oct 2023 2,501 22 14 32 14 4 21 4 3 8 11
INSA[2] 9–13 Oct 2023 1,202 – 17 28 13 6 23 5 4 4 5
Infratest dimap[14] 10–11 Oct 2023 1,203 – 15 29 13 5 23 4 4 5 6
YouGov[7] 6–10 Oct 2023 1,842 – 16 29 15 5 21 6 2 5 8
Kantar[20] 4–10 Oct 2023 1,386 – 16 27 15 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA[2] 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 – 17 27 13.5 6 22.5 5 3 6 4.5
Forsa[6] 4–9 Oct 2023 2,003 – 18 28 14 6 20 4 – 10 8
Ipsos 6–8 Oct 2023 2,000 – 17 26 14 7 22 5 – 9 4
INSA[2] 2–6 Oct 2023 1,201 – 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA[2] 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 2,010 – 18 26.5 13.5 7 22 5 2.5 5.5 4.5
Forsa[6] 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 25 18 28 14 5 20 4 – 11 8
INSA[2] 25–29 Sep 2023 1,206 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 3 5 4
Kantar[20] 26–28 Sep 2023 1,391 – 16 26 16 7 21 5 – 9 5
Infratest dimap[14] 25–27 Sep 2023 1,302 – 16 28 14 6 22 4 3 7 6
Kantar[20] 20–26 Sep 2023 1,356 – 16 27 15 7 21 5 – 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1,200 24 18.5 24 15 6.5 23 3.5 – 9.5 1
INSA[2] 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 – 17.5 27 13.5 6.5 21.5 5 3 6 5.5
Forsa[6] 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 27 17 27 14 6 21 4 – 11 6
INSA[2] 18–22 Sep 2023 1,203 – 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
Kantar[20] 13–19 Sep 2023 1,370 – 17 27 15 7 21 4 – 9 6
INSA[2] 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 – 17 26.5 14.5 6 21 5 3.5 6.5 5.5
GMS 13–18 Sep 2023 1,002 – 16 27 15 6 23 4 – 9 4
Forsa[6] 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 27 17 27 14 6 22 4 – 10 5
INSA[2] 11–15 Sep 2023 1,204 – 17 27 15 6 21 5 3 6 6
Allensbach[8] 4–15 Sep 2023 1,030 – 18 30 14 7 19 5 – 7 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 12–14 Sep 2023 1,201 21 17 26 16 6 21 5 3 6 5
Infratest dimap[14] 12–13 Sep 2023 1,222 – 16 28 15 7 22 4 – 8 6
Kantar[20] 6–12 Sep 2023 1,442 – 16 26 15 7 22 5 – 9 4
INSA[2] 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 – 18 26.5 14 7 22 4.5 – 8 4.5
Forsa[6] 5–11 Sep 2023 2,505 28 17 27 13 7 21 4 – 11 6
INSA[2] 4–8 Sep 2023 1,201 – 18 27 13 7 22 5 – 8 5
YouGov[7] 1–6 Sep 2023 1,833 – 16 29 14 5 23 5 1 8 6
Kantar[20] 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2023 1,441 – 17 26 15 6 21 5 – 10 5
INSA[2] 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 – 17.5 26.5 13.5 7.5 21.5 4.5 – 9 5
Forsa[6] 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 2,506 – 16 27 14 7 21 4 – 11 6
Ipsos 1–3 Sep 2023 2,000 – 17 26 14 8 21 6 – 8 5
INSA[2] 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023 1,195 – 18 27 13 7 21 5 – 9 6
Infratest dimap[14] 28–30 Aug 2023 1,310 – 16 29 14 6 22 4 – 9 7
Kantar[20] 23–29 Aug 2023 1,330 – 18 25 15 7 20 5 – 10 5
INSA[2] 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 – 18 26.5 14.5 7 21 4.5 – 8.5 5.5
Forsa[6] 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 29 17 26 14 7 21 4 – 11 5
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 26 20.5 25 13 7.5 22 4 – 8 3
INSA[2] 21–25 Aug 2023 1,285 – 18 27 14 7 21 5 – 8 6
Kantar[20] 16–22 Aug 2023 1,426 – 18 26 14 7 20 5 – 10 6
INSA[2] 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 – 18.5 26.5 14 8 20.5 5 – 7.5 6
Forsa[6] 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 29 18 26 14 7 20 4 – 11 6
INSA[2] 14–18 Aug 2023 1,203 – 18 27 14 8 21 5 – 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 15–17 Aug 2023 1,288 26 19 26 15 7 20 5 – 8 6
Infratest dimap[14] 15–16 Aug 2023 1,216 – 17 27 14 7 21 4 – 10 6
Allensbach[8] 4–16 Aug 2023 1,026 – 19 29 14 7 19 5 – 7 10
Kantar[20] 9–15 Aug 2023 1,426 – 18 26 15 7 19 5 – 10 7
INSA[2] 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 – 19.5 26 13.5 7 21 4.5 – 8.5 5
Forsa[6] 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 – 11 4
INSA[2] 7–11 Aug 2023 1,200 – 20 26 13 7 21 5 – 8 5
GMS 2–9 Aug 2023 1,004 – 17 27 14 7 21 4 – 10 6
Kantar[20] 2–8 Aug 2023 1,330 – 19 27 16 6 18 6 – 8 8
INSA[2] 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 – 19 27 14.5 7.5 20.5 4.5 – 7 6.5
Forsa[6] 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 – 11 4
Ipsos 4–6 Aug 2023 1,000 – 17 26 15 8 22 5 – 7 4
INSA[2] 31 Jul – 4 Aug 2023 1,203 – 19 27 14 7 21 5 – 7 6
Infratest dimap[14] 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 1,297 – 17 27 15 7 21 4 – 9 6
Kantar[20] 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2023 1,310 – 19 27 16 6 19 5 – 8 8
YouGov[7] 25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 1,756 – 17 27 14 5 23 6 1 7 4
INSA[2] 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 – 18.5 26.5 14 6.5 21.5 5 – 8 5
Forsa[6] 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 28 17 25 15 6 21 5 – 11 4
INSA[2] 24–28 Jul 2023 1,200 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 – 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 23 20.5 25 13 7 20.5 4.5 3 6.5 4.5
Kantar[20] 19–25 Jul 2023 1,402 – 18 27 16 6 20 5 – 8 7
INSA[2] 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 – 18.5 26.5 14 7.5 21.5 4.5 – 7.5 5
Forsa[6] 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 28 18 27 14 6 19 5 – 11 8
INSA[2] 17–21 Jul 2023 1,266 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 – 8 4
Infratest dimap[14] 18–19 Jul 2023 1,235 – 18 28 13 7 20 4 – 10 8
Allensbach[8] 7–19 Jul 2023 1,011 – 19 29 16 7 18 4 – 7 10
Kantar[20] 12–18 Jul 2023 1,403 – 18 26 16 7 20 5 – 8 6
INSA[2] 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 – 18 27 14 7 20.5 5 – 8.5 6.5
Forsa[6] 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 26 18 26 15 7 20 4 – 10 6
INSA[2] 10–14 Jul 2023 1,184 – 18 27 14 7 20 5 – 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 11–13 Jul 2023 1,347 27 17 27 16 7 20 4 – 9 7
Kantar[20] 5–11 Jul 2023 1,393 – 19 26 15 7 20 5 – 8 6
INSA[2] 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 – 19 26 14 7 20.5 5 – 8.5 5.5
Ipsos 7–9 Jul 2023 1,000 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 – 8 4
Forsa[6] 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 25 18 27 14 7 19 5 – 10 8
INSA[2] 3–7 Jul 2023 1,204 – 19 27 13 7 20 5 – 9 7
Infratest dimap[14] 3–5 Jul 2023 1,305 – 18 28 14 7 20 4 – 9 8
YouGov[7] 30 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 1,694 – 18 27 14 6 21 6 1 6 6
Kantar[20] 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 1,403 – 18 27 15 6 20 5 – 9 7
INSA[2] 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,897 – 19 25.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 – 8.5 4.5
GMS 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 1,005 – 17 28 14 7 20 4 – 10 8
Forsa[6] 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,501 25 18 27 15 6 19 5 – 10 8
INSA[2] 26–30 Jun 2023 1,401 – 19 26 14 7 20 5 – 9 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 27–29 Jun 2023 1,379 24 18 28 16 6 19 5 – 8 9
Kantar[20] 20–27 Jun 2023 1,408 – 18 26 15 7 19 5 – 10 7
INSA[2] 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 – 19.5 26.5 13.5 6.5 20.5 4.5 – 9 6
Forsa[6] 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 – 10 8
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 25 21 24 14.5 6 21 4.5 – 9 3
INSA[2] 19–23 Jun 2023 1,203 – 20 26 13 7 20 4 – 10 6
Allensbach[8] 9–22 Jun 2023 1,039 – 19 31 15 8 17 4 – 6 12
Infratest dimap[14] 20–21 Jun 2023 1,191 – 17 29 15 6 19 4 – 10 10
Kantar[20] 14–20 Jun 2023 1,406 – 19 27 15 7 20 4 – 8 7
INSA[2] 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 – 20 26.5 13.5 7.5 20 4.5 – 8 6.5
Forsa[6] 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 – 10 8
INSA[2] 12–16 Jun 2023 1,203 – 20 27 13 8 19 4 – 9 7
Civey 9–16 Jun 2023 10,031 – 19 25 16 7 20 5 – 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 13–15 Jun 2023 1,224 21 19 28 16 6 18 5 – 8 9
Kantar[20] 6–13 Jun 2023 1,387 – 20 27 15 6 19 5 – 8 7
INSA[2] 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 – 20 27 13 8 19.5 4.5 – 8 7
Forsa[6] 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 24 18 29 14 7 19 4 – 9 10
INSA[2] 5–9 Jun 2023 1,201 – 20 27 13 8 19 5 – 8 7
YouGov[7] 2–7 Jun 2023 1,628 – 19 28 13 5 20 6 1 7 8
Kantar[20] 31 May – 6 Jun 2023 1,402 – 20 27 15 7 18 5 – 8 7
INSA[2] 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 – 19 26.5 13.5 9 19 5 – 8 7.5
GMS 31 May – 5 Jun 2023 1,001 – 18 29 15 7 19 4 – 8 10
Forsa[6] 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 2,505 23 18 30 14 7 17 4 – 10 12
Ipsos 2–4 Jun 2023 1,000 – 20 28 13 8 19 6 – 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 24 21 27 13 8 19 4 – 8 6
INSA[2] 30 May – 2 Jun 2023 1,205 – 19 27 13 9 19 5 – 8 8
Infratest dimap[14] 30–31 May 2023 1,302 – 18 29 15 7 18 4 – 9 11
INSA[2] 26–30 May 2023 2,004 – 20.5 28 13 8.5 18 4.5 – 7.5 7.5
Kantar[20] 23–30 May 2023 1,379 – 20 27 15 8 17 5 – 8 7
Forsa[6] 23–26 May 2023 2,001 23 18 29 14 7 17 5 – 10 11
INSA[2] 22–26 May 2023 1,207 – 20 28 13 9 18 4 – 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 23–25 May 2023 1,257 24 20 28 16 6 17 5 – 8 8
Kantar[20] 16–23 May 2023 1,321 – 18 29 15 8 16 5 – 9 11
INSA[2] 19–22 May 2023 2,004 – 20.5 27.5 14 8.5 17 5 – 7.5 7
Forsa[6] 16–22 May 2023 2,003 – 18 30 14 7 16 5 – 10 12
INSA[2] 15–19 May 2023 1,195 – 21 28 14 8 17 5 – 7 7
Kantar[20] 9–16 May 2023 1,401 – 18 28 16 8 16 5 – 9 10
INSA[2] 12–15 May 2023 2,010 – 20 28 14.5 8.5 16.5 5 – 7.5 8
Forsa[6] 9–15 May 2023 2,503 25 17 30 15 8 16 4 – 10 13
INSA[2] 8–12 May 2023 1,205 – 20 28 15 9 16 4 – 8 8
Infratest dimap[14] 9–10 May 2023 1,220 – 18 28 16 8 16 5 – 9 10
Allensbach[8] 28 Apr – 10 May 2023 1,001 – 18 32 16 8 15 5 – 6 14
YouGov[7] 5–9 May 2023 1,700 – 16 31 16 5 17 6 2 7 14
Kantar[20] 3–9 May 2023 1,405 – 18 29 17 8 16 5 – 7 11
INSA[2] 5–8 May 2023 2,008 – 20 28 14 9 16.5 4.5 – 8 8
Forsa[6] 2–8 May 2023 2,505 – 18 29 16 7 16 4 – 10 11
Ipsos 5–7 May 2023 1,000 – 19 29 15 8 16 5 – 8 10
INSA[2] 2–5 May 2023 1,204 – 20 28 14 9 16 4 – 9 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 2–4 May 2023 1,225 28 19 30 17 6 15 5 – 8 11
Infratest dimap[14] 2–3 May 2023 1,360 – 17 30 16 7 16 5 – 9 13
INSA[2] 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 2,006 – 21 27 15 8 16.5 4.5 – 8 6
Kantar[20] 26 Apr – 2 May 2023 1,394 – 17 31 16 8 16 4 – 8 14
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 24 21 27.5 14 10.5 15 3.5 – 8.5 6.5
Forsa[6] 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 – 17 30 16 7 16 4 – 10 13
INSA[2] 24–28 Apr 2023 1,202 – 21 28 14 8 16 5 – 8 7
Kantar[20] 18–25 Apr 2023 1,426 – 18 30 16 7 16 5 – 8 12
INSA[2] 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 – 20 27.5 14.5 9 16 4.5 – 8.5 7.5
Forsa[6] 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 23 18 30 16 7 15 4 – 10 12
INSA[2] 17–21 Apr 2023 1,202 – 20 28 15 9 16 4 – 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 18–20 Apr 2023 1,266 24 18 31 18 6 15 4 – 8 13
Kantar[20] 12–18 Apr 2023 1,407 – 19 29 17 7 15 4 – 9 10
Allensbach[8] 3–18 Apr 2023 1,007 – 20 31 15 7.5 16 5 – 5.5 11
INSA[2] 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 – 21 27.5 15 8 16 4.5 – 8 6.5
Forsa[6] 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 24 18 29 17 7 15 4 – 10 11
INSA[2] 11–14 Apr 2023 1,204 – 21 27 15 8 16 5 – 8 6
Infratest dimap[14] 11–12 Apr 2023 1,204 – 19 29 17 7 15 4 – 9 10
INSA[2] 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 – 20 27.5 15.5 8 16 4.5 – 8.5 7.5
Kantar[20] 5–11 Apr 2023 1,367 – 21 27 17 8 14 5 – 8 6
Forsa[6] 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 25 18 30 18 7 14 4 – 10 12
INSA[2] 3–6 Apr 2023 1,204 – 20 28 16 8 16 4 – 8 8
Infratest dimap[14] 3–5 Apr 2023 1,304 – 18 30 17 7 15 4 – 9 12
Ipsos 3–4 Apr 2023 1,000 – 21 27 17 8 15 4 – 8 6
YouGov[7] 30 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 1,522 – 20 30 15 6 17 6 1 6 10
Kantar[20] 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 1,269 – 20 27 18 8 14 5 – 8 7
INSA[2] 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,007 – 20 28 15.5 7.5 16 4.5 – 8.5 8
GMS 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 1,007 – 19 31 17 6 15 4 – 8 12
Forsa[6] 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,502 25 18 29 18 7 14 4 – 10 11
INSA[2] 27–31 Mar 2023 1,200 – 21 27 16 8 16 4 – 8 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 28–30 Mar 2023 1,379 25 19 30 17 7 15 5 – 7 11
Kantar[20] 21–28 Mar 2023 1,387 – 18 28 19 7 15 4 – 9 10
INSA[2] 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 – 20.5 28 16 8 15.5 4 – 8 7.5
Forsa[6] 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 24 19 29 18 6 14 4 – 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 23 23 26.5 15 7.5 13.5 4 – 10.5 3.5
INSA[2] 20–24 Mar 2023 1,203 – 21 28 16 8 15 4 – 8 7
Kantar[20] 14–21 Mar 2023 1,504 – 18 28 18 7 15 5 – 9 10
INSA[2] 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 – 21.5 28 15 7.5 16 5 – 7 6.5
Forsa[6] 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 23 19 29 18 6 14 5 – 9 10
INSA[2] 13–17 Mar 2023 1,202 – 21 28 15 8 16 5 – 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 14–16 Mar 2023 1,146 24 21 29 19 5 14 5 – 7 8
Infratest dimap[14] 14–15 Mar 2023 1,215 – 18 30 16 7 15 5 – 9 12
Allensbach[8] 2–15 Mar 2023 1,101 – 21 31 16 6.5 15 4.5 – 6 10
Kantar[20] 8–14 Mar 2023 1,432 – 19 28 18 7 15 5 – 8 9
INSA[2] 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 – 21.5 28.5 15.5 7.5 16 4 – 7 7
Forsa[6] 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 22 20 29 17 6 14 5 – 9 9
INSA[2] 6–10 Mar 2023 1,268 – 21 29 16 7 15 4 – 8 8
YouGov[7] 3–7 Mar 2023 1,649 – 20 28 16 6 17 7 1 6 8
Kantar[20] 1–7 Mar 2023 1,504 – 19 29 19 7 13 5 – 8 10
INSA[2] 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 – 20 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 5 – 7 9.5
Forsa[6] 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 2,504 – 20 31 17 5 13 5 – 9 11
Ipsos 3–4 Mar 2023 1,000 – 20 27 18 7 15 5 – 8 7
INSA[2] 27 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 1,203 – 20 30 16 7 15 5 – 7 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 1,165 24 21 29 18 5 15 5 – 7 8
Infratest dimap[14] 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,311 – 18 31 17 6 14 5 – 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 23.5 32 15.5 5 14 3 – 7 8.5
Kantar[20] 21–28 Feb 2023 1,722 – 20 28 18 6 14 6 – 8 8
INSA[2] 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 – 20.5 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 – 7 9
Forsa[6] 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 22 20 31 17 5 13 5 – 9 11
INSA[2] 20–24 Feb 2023 1,200 – 21 29 16 7 15 5 – 7 8
Kantar[20] 14–21 Feb 2023 1,373 – 21 29 17 6 15 5 – 7 8
INSA[2] 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 – 21.5 29 15.5 7 15.5 5 – 6.5 7.5
GMS 15–20 Feb 2023 1,004 – 19 29 17 7 15 5 – 8 10
Forsa[6] 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 – 19 31 17 6 13 5 – 9 12
INSA[2] 13–17 Feb 2023 1,207 – 21 29 16 7 16 5 – 6 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 14–16 Feb 2023 1,361 25 20 30 19 5 14 5 – 7 10
Infratest dimap[14] 14–15 Feb 2023 1,216 – 19 29 17 6 15 5 – 9 10
Kantar[20] 8–14 Feb 2023 1,386 – 21 26 18 7 15 5 – 8 5
INSA[2] 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 – 20 28 16 7.5 16 5 – 7.5 8
Forsa[6] 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 23 21 28 18 6 13 5 – 9 7
INSA[2] 6–10 Feb 2023 1,457 – 20 28 16 8 16 5 – 7 8
YouGov[7] 3–9 Feb 2023 1,736 – 19 27 16 6 17 6 2 7 8
Allensbach[8] 27 Jan – 9 Feb 2023 1,088 – 22.5 30 16 7.5 14 4 – 6 7.5
Kantar[20] 31 Jan – 7 Feb 2023 1,410 – 21 25 19 7 15 5 – 8 4
INSA[2] 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 – 21 27 16 8 15.5 5 – 7.5 6
Forsa[6] 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 2,502 24 21 28 18 7 13 5 – 8 7
Ipsos 3 Feb 2023 1,000 – 20 26 17 8 16 5 – 8 6
INSA[2] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2023 1,462 – 21 28 16 8 15 5 – 7 7
Infratest dimap[14] 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2023 1,328 – 20 27 18 7 15 4 – 9 7
Kantar[20] 25–31 Jan 2023 1,405 – 21 25 19 7 15 5 – 8 4
INSA[2] 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 – 20.5 28.5 16 7.5 15 5 – 7.5 8
Forsa[6] 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 – 20 27 19 7 13 5 – 9 7
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 24 24 18 6.5 14.5 3.5 – 9.5 Tie
INSA[2] 24–27 Jan 2023 1,506 – 20 29 16 7 15 5 – 8 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 24–26 Jan 2023 1,345 26 21 27 19 6 15 6 – 6 6
Kantar[20] 18–24 Jan 2023 1,392 – 21 27 19 7 14 5 – 7 6
INSA[2] 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 – 20.5 28 16.5 7.5 15 4.5 – 8 7.5
Forsa[6] 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 23 19 28 20 7 12 5 – 9 8
INSA[2] 16–21 Jan 2023 1,504 – 20 28 16 7 15 5 – 9 8
Infratest dimap[14] 17–18 Jan 2023 1,211 – 19 29 19 6 14 4 – 9 10
Allensbach[8] 5–18 Jan 2023 1,023 – 21 31 17 6 14 4.5 – 6.5 10
Kantar[20] 11–17 Jan 2023 1,418 – 20 27 20 6 14 5 – 8 7
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 – 21.5 24.5 17 8 16.5 3.5 – 9 3
INSA[2] 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 – 21 28 16.5 7.5 15 5 – 7 7
Forsa[6] 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 24 18 28 20 7 13 5 – 9 8
INSA[2] 9–13 Jan 2023 1,202 – 20 27 17 8 15 5 – 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 10–12 Jan 2023 1,259 26 20 27 21 6 14 6 – 6 6
Civey 5–12 Jan 2023 10,065 – 18 28 20 7 14 5 – 8 8
Ipsos 9–10 Jan 2023 1,000 – 19 27 18 7 15 6 – 8 8
YouGov[7] 6–10 Jan 2023 1,561 – 18 27 17 8 16 6 1 6 9
Kantar[20] 4–10 Jan 2023 1,398 – 19 28 18 7 14 4 – 10 9
INSA[2] 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 – 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 5 – 8 7
Forsa[6] 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 23 18 29 20 7 13 5 – 8 9
INSA[2] 2–6 Jan 2023 1,465 – 20 27 18 7 15 5 – 8 7
Infratest dimap[14] 2–4 Jan 2023 1,314 – 18 29 19 6 15 5 – 8 10
GMS 28 Dec – 3 Jan 2023 1,002 – 19 29 17 7 14 5 – 9 10
INSA[2] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 2,010 – 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 4.5 – 8.5 7
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.6
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2022

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA[2] 27–29 Dec 2022 1,205 – 20 26 18 7 15 5 − 9 6
INSA[2] 19–22 Dec 2022 1,203 – 21 27 17 8 14 5 − 8 6
YouGov[7] 16–21 Dec 2022 1,608 – 19 30 17 7 14 5 1 8 11
INSA[2] 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 – 21 27.5 17.5 7.5 14.5 4.5 − 7.5 6.5
Forsa[6] 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 24 19 28 19 7 13 5 − 9 9
INSA[2] 12–16 Dec 2022 1,501 – 21 27 18 7 15 5 − 7 6
Kantar[20] 13–15 Dec 2022 1,717 – 19 29 18 7 14 5 − 8 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 12–15 Dec 2022 1,365 22 20 28 20 6 15 5 − 6 8
Allensbach[8] 2–15 Dec 2022 1,035 – 22 30 18 7.5 12 4.5 − 6 8
INSA[2] 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 – 20 28.5 18 7 15.5 4.5 − 6.5 8.5
Kantar[20] 7–12 Dec 2022 1,429 – 18 28 19 7 14 5 − 9 9
Forsa[6] 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 19 29 19 7 12 5 − 9 10
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 – 22.5 25 16.5 7 14.5 4 − 10.5 2.5
INSA[2] 2–9 Dec 2022 1,502 – 20 28 18 7 15 4 − 8 8
Infratest dimap[14] 6–7 Dec 2022 1,259 – 18 29 18 6 15 5 − 9 11
Kantar[20] 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2022 1,443 – 19 27 19 6 15 5 − 9 8
INSA[2] 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 – 20.5 28 17 7 14.5 5 − 8 7.5
Forsa[6] 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 2,500 25 19 29 19 7 12 5 − 9 10
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2022 1,000 – 19 27 19 7 14 6 − 8 8
INSA[2] 28 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 1,502 – 20 28 17 7 15 5 − 8 8
Civey 25 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 10,016 – 19 28 21 7 13 4 − 8 7
GMS 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 1,005 – 18 28 21 7 12 4 − 10 7
Infratest dimap[14] 28–30 Nov 2022 1,318 – 18 30 18 5 15 5 − 9 12
Kantar[20] 22–29 Nov 2022 1,414 – 18 27 20 7 14 5 − 9 7
INSA[2] 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 – 21 27 17.5 7 15 5 − 7.5 6
Forsa[6] 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 24 19 29 20 6 12 5 − 9 9
INSA[2] 21–25 Nov 2022 1,501 – 21 27 18 7 15 5 − 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 22–24 Nov 2022 1,273 26 19 28 22 5 14 6 − 6 6
Kantar[20] 15–22 Nov 2022 1,430 – 19 29 19 7 13 4 − 9 10
INSA[2] 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 – 20 28 17 7.5 15 5 − 7.5 8
Forsa[6] 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 25 19 28 20 6 13 5 − 9 8
INSA[2] 14–18 Nov 2022 1,314 – 20 28 17 7 15 5 − 8 8
Allensbach[8] 5–17 Nov 2022 1,042 – 20 29.5 20 7 14 4 − 5.5 9.5
Kantar[20] 9–15 Nov 2022 1,443 – 20 27 19 7 13 5 − 9 7
INSA[2] 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 – 20.5 27.5 17.5 7 15 4.5 − 8 7
Forsa[6] 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 25 19 28 20 6 14 4 − 9 8
INSA[2] 8–11 Nov 2022 1,255 – 21 28 18 7 15 4 − 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 8–10 Nov 2022 1,310 23 19 28 22 5 15 5 − 6 6
Infratest dimap[14] 8–9 Nov 2022 1,225 – 18 28 19 7 14 4 − 10 9
YouGov[7] 4–9 Nov 2022 1,608 – 18 29 20 5 16 7 1 5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 – 24.5 25.5 16 8.5 14 3.5 − 8 1
Kantar[20] 2–8 Nov 2022 1,442 – 21 26 20 7 14 5 − 7 5
Ipsos 4–7 Nov 2022 1,000 – 19 27 20 7 13 6 − 8 7
INSA[2] 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 – 21 27 17.5 8 14.5 4.5 − 7.5 6
Forsa[6] 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 24 19 28 19 6 14 5 − 9 9
INSA[2] 1–4 Nov 2022 1,286 – 21 27 17 8 15 5 − 7 6
Infratest dimap[14] 31 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 1,307 – 19 28 19 6 14 5 − 9 9
Kantar[20] 25 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 1,516 – 21 26 19 8 14 5 − 7 5
INSA[2] 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 – 20.5 26 18 9 15 4.5 − 7 5.5
Forsa[6] 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 23 20 27 20 6 14 4 − 9 7
INSA[2] 24–28 Oct 2022 1,230 – 20 26 18 9 15 5 − 7 6
Kantar[20] 19–25 Oct 2022 1,406 – 21 25 20 7 15 5 − 7 4
GMS 19–25 Oct 2022 1,002 – 18 28 20 6 15 4 − 9 8
INSA[2] 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 – 20.5 26.5 17.5 8.5 15 4.5 − 7.5 6
Forsa[6] 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 22 19 28 20 6 14 4 − 9 8
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 – 22 25 17.5 8 16 3.5 − 8 3
INSA[2] 17–21 Oct 2022 1,503 – 20 27 18 8 15 5 − 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 18–20 Oct 2022 1,389 22 19 28 21 6 15 5 − 6 7
Kantar[20] 12–18 Oct 2022 1,435 – 22 23 20 7 16 4 − 8 1
INSA[2] 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 – 19.5 27.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 − 7 8
Forsa[6] 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 – 20 27 20 6 14 4 − 9 7
INSA[2] 10–14 Oct 2022 1,327 – 19 28 18 8 15 5 − 7 9
Allensbach[8] 1–13 Oct 2022 1,021 – 19 30.5 19 7 14 5 − 5.5 11.5
Infratest dimap[14] 11–12 Oct 2022 1,225 – 19 26 20 6 15 5 − 9 6
YouGov[7] 7–12 Oct 2022 1,617 – 16 29 19 6 15 6 2 7 10
Kantar[20] 5–11 Oct 2022 1,433 – 20 25 21 6 15 5 − 8 4
Forsa[6] 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 24 18 28 20 6 14 5 − 9 8
INSA[2] 4–10 Oct 2022 2,005 – 19.5 27.5 19 7.5 15 5 − 6.5 8
Ipsos 7–9 Oct 2022 1,000 – 18 27 21 7 13 6 − 8 6
INSA[2] 4–7 Oct 2022 1,315 – 19 27 19 8 15 5 − 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 – 21 25 16 9 16 4.5 − 8.5 4
Infratest dimap[14] 3–5 Oct 2022 1,307 – 17 28 19 7 15 5 − 9 9
Kantar[20] 28 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 1,864 – 18 27 20 8 14 6 − 7 7
INSA[2] 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 2,008 – 19 27.5 18.5 8 15 5.5 − 6.5 8.5
Forsa[6] 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 25 18 28 20 6 14 5 − 9 8
INSA[2] 26–30 Sep 2022 1,210 – 19 28 18 8 15 6 − 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 27–29 Sep 2022 1,355 27 18 27 22 7 14 5 − 7 5
Kantar[20] 22–27 Sep 2022 1,381 – 19 27 21 8 13 5 − 7 6
INSA[2] 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 – 18 27.5 19.5 8 15 5.5 − 6.5 8
Forsa[6] 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 23 18 28 20 7 13 5 − 9 8
INSA[2] 19–23 Sep 2022 1,255 – 19 28 19 8 14 5 − 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 – 22 26 18 8 13.5 4 − 8.5 4
Kantar[20] 14–20 Sep 2022 1,444 – 19 27 20 7 14 5 − 8 7
GMS 14–20 Sep 2022 1,003 – 18 28 21 7 13 4 − 9 7
INSA[2] 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 – 18.5 28.5 19 7.5 14 5.5 − 7 9.5
Forsa[6] 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 19 28 19 7 13 5 − 9 9
INSA[2] 12–16 Sep 2022 1,476 – 19 28 19 7 13 6 − 8 9
Infratest dimap[14] 13–14 Sep 2022 1,224 – 17 28 21 7 14 5 − 8 7
Allensbach[8] 1–14 Sep 2022 1,030 – 20 30 19 7 13 5.5 − 5.5 10
YouGov[7] 9–13 Sep 2022 1,635 – 16 29 19 6 14 7 1 7 10
Kantar[20] 7–13 Sep 2022 1,443 – 20 26 21 7 13 5 − 8 5
Forsa[6] 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 – 19 28 20 6 13 5 − 9 8
INSA[2] 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 – 18 28 20 8 13.5 5.5 − 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 2022 1,300 – 20 25.5 19 7 14 5.5 − 9 5.5
INSA[2] 5–9 Sep 2022 1,443 – 19 27 20 8 13 5 − 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 6–8 Sep 2022 1,299 25 19 28 23 6 13 5 − 6 5
Kantar[20] 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2022 1,416 – 20 25 21 8 12 5 − 9 4
INSA[2] 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 – 18 28 20.5 7.5 13.5 5.5 − 7 7.5
Forsa[6] 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 2,500 25 18 26 24 7 11 5 − 9 2
Ipsos 2–4 Sep 2022 1,000 – 19 26 21 8 12 6 − 8 5
INSA[2] 29 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 1,203 – 19 28 20 8 13 5 − 7 8
Infratest dimap[14] 29–31 Aug 2022 1,324 – 17 27 22 8 13 5 − 8 5
Kantar[20] 24–30 Aug 2022 1,411 – 21 24 22 8 12 5 − 8 2
INSA[2] 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 – 19 27.5 20.5 8 13 5.5 − 6.5 7
Forsa[6] 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 25 17 26 25 7 11 5 − 9 1
INSA[2] 22–26 Aug 2022 1,204 – 20 28 21 8 12 5 − 6 7
Civey 18–25 Aug 2022 10,014 – 19 27 22 7 11 5 − 9 5
Kantar[20] 17–23 Aug 2022 1,431 – 19 26 23 7 12 5 − 8 3
INSA[2] 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 – 18.5 28 21 7.5 13 5.5 − 6.5 7
Forsa[6] 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 25 18 26 25 7 11 4 − 9 1
INSA[2] 15–19 Aug 2022 1,427 – 19 28 21 8 12 5 − 7 7
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 – 18 25 26 6 14 3 − 8 1
Allensbach[8] 5–18 Aug 2022 1,038 – 19.5 29 21 8 12 5 − 5.5 8
Infratest dimap[14] 16–17 Aug 2022 1,273 – 18 28 23 7 12 4 − 8 5
Kantar[20] 10–16 Aug 2022 1,429 – 20 28 23 6 12 4 − 7 5
INSA[2] 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 – 19 28 22 8 12 5 − 6 6
Forsa[6] 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 28 18 26 25 6 11 4 − 10 1
INSA[2] 8–12 Aug 2022 1,502 – 19 27 22 9 12 5 − 6 5
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 – 16 24 25.5 8 14.5 3.5 − 8.5 1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 9–11 Aug 2022 1,389 25 19 26 26 7 12 4 − 6 Tie
YouGov[7] 5–10 Aug 2022 1,595 – 19 27 21 6 14 6 1 7 6
Kantar[20] 3–9 Aug 2022 1,422 – 21 27 22 7 11 5 − 7 5
Ipsos 5–8 Aug 2022 1,000 – 19 27 22 8 11 5 − 8 5
INSA[2] 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 – 18 27 21.5 8 12.5 5.5 − 7.5 5.5
Forsa[6] 2–8 Aug 2022 2,504 26 18 26 24 7 10 5 − 10 2
INSA[2] 1–5 Aug 2022 1,701 – 19 27 21 9 12 5 − 7 6
Infratest dimap[14] 1–3 Aug 2022 1,313 – 17 28 23 7 13 4 − 8 5
Kantar[20] 26 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 1,426 – 21 25 23 6 11 5 − 9 2
INSA[2] 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,144 – 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 − 8 4.5
Forsa[6] 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,504 – 18 27 24 7 10 5 − 9 3
INSA[2] 25–29 Jul 2022 1,202 – 19 26 22 9 12 5 − 7 4
Kantar[20] 19–26 Jul 2022 1,413 – 21 26 22 7 11 5 − 8 4
INSA[2] 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 – 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 − 8 4.5
GMS 20–25 Jul 2022 1,005 – 18 27 23 9 10 5 − 8 4
Forsa[6] 19–25 Jul 2022 2,510 22 19 26 24 6 10 5 − 10 2
INSA[2] 18–22 Jul 2022 1,501 – 18 27 23 8 12 5 − 7 4
Allensbach[8] 8–21 Jul 2022 1,006 – 22 27.5 22 7 11 5 − 5.5 5.5
Infratest dimap[14] 19–20 Jul 2022 1,210 – 19 27 22 7 12 4 − 9 5
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 − 22 24 24 8.5 10.5 3.5 − 7.5 Tie
Kantar[20] 13–19 Jul 2022 1,392 – 19 25 23 8 11 5 − 9 2
INSA[2] 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 – 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 4.5 − 8.5 4.5
Forsa[6] 12–18 Jul 2022 2,501 – 20 26 24 6 9 5 − 10 2
Civey 11–18 Jul 2022 10,018 – 20 27 23 7 10 5 − 8 4
INSA[2] 11–15 Jul 2022 1,277 – 19 26 22 8 11 5 − 9 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 12–14 Jul 2022 1,167 25 21 26 25 6 11 5 − 6 1
Kantar[20] 6–12 Jul 2022 1,433 – 20 25 24 8 11 4 − 8 1
INSA[2] 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 – 20 27 21 8.5 11 4.5 − 8 6
Forsa[6] 5–11 Jul 2022 2,503 22 19 26 24 7 9 5 − 10 2
INSA[2] 4–8 Jul 2022 1,202 – 19 28 22 8 10 4 − 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 5–6 Jul 2022 1,700 − 22 25 22 8 10 4 − 9 3
Infratest dimap[14] 4–6 Jul 2022 1,327 – 19 27 23 8 11 4 − 8 4
YouGov[7] 1–5 Jul 2022 1,655 – 19 28 20 7 12 5 1 8 8
Kantar[20] 28 Jun – 5 Jul 2022 1,426 – 20 25 24 7 10 5 − 9 1
INSA[2] 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 – 19 28 21 9.5 11 4 − 7.5 7
Forsa[6] 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 2,502 23 20 26 24 8 9 4 − 9 2
Ipsos 1–2 Jul 2022 1,000 – 22 26 20 9 10 5 − 8 4
INSA[2] 27 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 1,253 – 20 27 22 9 11 4 − 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 28–30 Jun 2022 1,186 20 21 27 25 6 10 5 − 6 2
Kantar[20] 21–28 Jun 2022 1,410 – 20 26 25 8 10 4 − 7 1
INSA[2] 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 – 20 27 21.5 9 10.5 4 − 8 5.5
Forsa[6] 21–27 Jun 2022 2,500 22 20 26 24 8 9 4 − 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 − 22 25 21 7 12 4 − 9 3
INSA[2] 20–24 Jun 2022 1,414 – 20 26 22 9 11 4 − 8 4
Infratest dimap[14] 21–22 Jun 2022 1,248 – 20 26 23 8 12 4 − 7 3
Kantar[20] 14–21 Jun 2022 1,769 – 20 26 24 8 10 4 − 8 2
INSA[2] 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 – 19.5 28 21 9.5 10 4 − 8 7
GMS 15–20 Jun 2022 1,003 – 21 29 21 8 8 4 − 9 8
Forsa[6] 14–20 Jun 2022 2,504 25 19 28 23 8 9 4 − 9 5
INSA[2] 13–17 Jun 2022 1,501 – 20 27 21 9 10 4 − 9 6
Allensbach[8] 3–17 Jun 2022 1,046 – 23 27 22 8 10 4.5 − 5.5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 13–15 Jun 2022 1,133 22 22 26 25 6 10 5 − 6 1
Kantar[20] 8–14 Jun 2022 1,895 – 20 28 22 8 9 4 − 9 6
INSA[2] 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 – 20 27.5 21 9.5 10.5 3.5 − 8 6.5
Forsa[6] 7–13 Jun 2022 2,511 20 20 27 23 8 9 4 − 9 4
INSA[2] 7–10 Jun 2022 1,203 – 21 27 21 9 10 4 − 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 − 22 24 20 7 13 6 − 8 2
Ipsos 3–7 Jun 2022 1,000 – 23 27 19 9 10 4 − 8 4
YouGov[7] 3–7 Jun 2022 1,633 – 18 30 21 7 12 6 1 6 9
INSA[2] 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 – 20 27 21.5 9.5 10.5 3.5 − 8 5.5
Kantar[20] 1–7 Jun 2022 1,428 – 22 26 23 9 8 4 − 8 3
Forsa[6] 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 2,002 20 19 27 23 8 10 4 − 9 4
INSA[2] 30 May – 3 Jun 2022 1,501 – 22 27 20 9 9 4 − 9 5
Infratest dimap[14] 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,226 – 21 27 21 8 11 4 − 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,500 − 18 27 25.5 8 9 4 − 8.5 1.5
Kantar[20] 24–31 May 2022 1,428 – 20 28 23 8 8 4 − 9 5
INSA[2] 27–30 May 2022 2,056 – 22 27 20.5 8.5 10 3.5 − 8.5 5
GMS 25–30 May 2022 1,005 – 22 30 20 8 7 4 − 9 8
Forsa[6] 24–30 May 2022 2,004 21 19 29 24 7 9 4 − 8 5
INSA[2] 23–27 May 2022 1,337 – 23 27 19 9 9 4 − 9 4
Kantar[20] 17–24 May 2022 1,422 – 21 27 21 8 9 5 − 9 6
INSA[2] 20–23 May 2022 2,100 – 22 28.5 20 8.5 10.5 3 − 7.5 6.5
Forsa[6] 17–23 May 2022 2,505 22 21 28 23 7 9 4 − 8 5
Civey 16–23 May 2022 10,050 – 22 27 20 8 11 5 − 7 5
INSA[2] 16–20 May 2022 1,214 – 21 28 19 10 10 3 − 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 22 26 24 7 10 4 − 7 2
Allensbach[8] 6–18 May 2022 1,118 – 24 29 20.5 8 9 4.5 − 5 5
Kantar[20] 11–17 May 2022 1,425 – 22 26 21 8 10 5 − 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 − 23.5 29 23 5.5 7.5 2.5 − 9 5.5
INSA[2] 13–16 May 2022 2,147 – 21.5 28 20.5 9 11 3 − 7 6.5
Forsa[6] 10–16 May 2022 2,502 23 22 27 22 8 8 4 − 9 5
INSA[2] 9–13 May 2022 1,501 – 22 27 18 10 10 4 − 9 5
Infratest dimap[14] 10–11 May 2022 1,226 – 22 26 20 8 11 4 − 9 4
YouGov[7] 6–10 May 2022 1,659 – 20 28 19 9 10 5 1 7 8
Kantar[20] 4–10 May 2022 1,426 – 22 26 20 9 10 5 − 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 − 24 23.5 22.5 10.5 9 3 − 7.5 0.5
INSA[2] 6–9 May 2022 2,086 – 22.5 27.5 19 10 10.5 3.5 − 7 5
Forsa[6] 3–9 May 2022 2,501 – 23 26 21 9 9 4 − 8 3
Ipsos 6 May 2022 906 – 24 25 16 11 11 5 − 8 1
INSA[2] 2–6 May 2022 1,501 – 23 27 18 11 10 3 − 8 4
pollytix 29 Apr – 4 May 2022 1,303 – 22 26 17 12 12 5 − 6 4
Kantar[20] 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 1,570 – 23 27 19 9 9 5 − 8 4
INSA[2] 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,146 – 23 27 19 9.5 10.5 4.5 − 6.5 4
Forsa[6] 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,508 – 23 26 20 9 9 4 − 9 3
INSA[2] 25–29 Apr 2022 1,202 – 23 26 18 10 11 4 − 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 25 23 21 9 11 4 − 7 2
Infratest dimap[14] 25–27 Apr 2022 1,314 – 24 26 18 9 11 3 − 9 2
Kantar[20] 19–26 Apr 2022 1,431 – 23 25 20 9 9 5 − 9 2
INSA[2] 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 – 24 26.5 18 9 11.5 4.5 − 6.5 2.5
GMS 20–25 Apr 2022 1,003 – 26 26 18 8 9 4 − 9 Tie
Forsa[6] 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 25 24 25 20 9 9 4 − 9 1
Civey 8–25 Apr 2022 10,011 – 24 25 20 9 11 4 − 7 1
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 − 24.5 22.5 22 11 8.5 3 − 8.5 2
INSA[2] 19–22 Apr 2022 1,296 – 24 26 18 9 11 5 − 7 2
Kantar[20] 12–19 Apr 2022 1,715 – 25 25 19 9 9 4 − 9 Tie
INSA[2] 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 – 23.5 26 19 9 11 4.5 − 7 2.5
Forsa[6] 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 25 25 25 20 8 9 4 − 9 Tie
INSA[2] 11–14 Apr 2022 1,402 – 25 26 17 10 10 5 − 7 1
Infratest dimap[14] 11–12 Apr 2022 1,226 – 24 26 18 8 11 4 − 9 2
YouGov[7] 8–12 Apr 2022 1,643 – 21 26 18 9 12 6 1 7 5
Kantar[20] 6–12 Apr 2022 1,960 – 26 25 19 8 10 4 − 8 1
INSA[2] 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 – 25 27 17.5 9 11 4.5 − 6 2
Forsa[6] 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 25 27 24 19 8 9 4 − 9 3
INSA[2] 4–8 Apr 2022 1,503 – 25 26 16 10 11 4 − 8 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 21 27 24 19 8 11 4 − 7 3
Infratest dimap[14] 4–6 Apr 2022 1,325 – 24 25 19 9 11 4 − 8 1
Allensbach[8] 25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022 1,075 – 28 24 17 9 9 6 − 7 4
Kantar[20] 30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022 1,437 – 27 25 19 8 10 4 − 7 2
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 − 27 25.5 19 8.5 9 3 − 8 1.5
INSA[2] 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 – 25 26 17.5 10.5 10.5 4.5 − 6 1
Ipsos 1 Apr 2022 912 – 25 23 15 12 12 6 − 7 2
Forsa[6] 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 2,508 24 27 24 19 8 9 4 − 9 3
INSA[2] 25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 1,501 – 26 26 16 10 11 4 − 7 Tie
Kantar[20] 23–29 Mar 2022 1,428 – 25 26 18 9 9 5 − 8 1
INSA[2] 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 – 25 26 16.5 10 10.5 5.5 − 6.5 1
Forsa[6] 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 22 24 26 18 9 9 5 − 9 2
INSA[2] 21–25 Mar 2022 1,205 – 26 26 16 10 11 5 − 6 Tie
Kantar[20] 16–22 Mar 2022 1,429 – 26 25 18 9 9 6 − 7 1
INSA[2] 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 – 24.5 26.5 16.5 11 11 4.5 − 6 2
Forsa[6] 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 22 23 27 18 10 9 5 − 8 4
Allensbach[8] 9–21 Mar 2022 1,041 – 25 25 17 10.5 10 5 − 7.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 1,923 − 26.5 25.5 18.5 10 8.5 3 − 8 1
INSA[2] 14–18 Mar 2022 1,198 – 26 26 16 10 10 5 − 7 Tie
Infratest dimap[14] 15–16 Mar 2022 1,254 – 25 26 17 9 11 4 − 8 1
Kantar[20] 9–15 Mar 2022 1,416 – 26 26 19 8 9 5 − 7 Tie
INSA[2] 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 – 25 25.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 5 − 8 0.5
Forsa[6] 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 – 25 26 18 9 9 5 − 8 1
INSA[2] 7–11 Mar 2022 1,201 – 26 24 16 10 10 6 − 8 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 19 27 24 18 9 10 5 − 7 3
YouGov[7] 4–8 Mar 2022 1,629 – 23 26 16 9 11 6 1 7 3
Kantar[20] 2–8 Mar 2022 1,426 – 25 26 19 8 10 5 − 7 1
INSA[2] 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 – 25 24.5 15.5 11 10.5 6 − 7.5 0.5
Ipsos 4 Mar 2022 935 – 25 24 16 11 11 6 − 7 1
Forsa[6] 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 22 26 25 18 9 7 6 − 9 1
INSA[2] 28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 1,185 – 25 25 15 11 11 6 − 7 Tie
Infratest dimap[14] 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022 1,320 – 25 26 16 9 11 5 − 8 1
Kantar[20] 23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022 1,405 – 26 26 17 8 10 6 − 7 Tie
INSA[2] 25–28 Feb 2022 2,067 – 23 27 15.5 11 10.5 6.5 − 6.5 4
Forsa[6] 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 – 25 26 18 9 7 6 − 9 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 − 26 23.5 17.5 11.5 10.5 4 − 7 2.5
GMS 23–26 Feb 2022 1,005 – 24 27 15 10 9 6 − 9 3
INSA[2] 21–25 Feb 2022 1,405 – 23 26 15 11 12 7 − 6 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 20 26 24 17 9 11 6 − 7 2
Kantar[20] 16–22 Feb 2022 1,432 – 26 25 17 9 10 7 − 6 1
INSA[2] 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 – 23 27 14.5 12.5 11 6 − 6 4
Forsa[6] 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 23 23 27 17 9 9 6 − 9 4
INSA[2] 14–18 Feb 2022 1,303 – 22 27 15 11 12 7 − 6 5
Infratest dimap[14] 15–16 Feb 2022 1,202 – 24 26 15 9 12 5 − 9 2
Allensbach[8] 3–16 Feb 2022 1,033 – 23 27 15 10.5 10 6 − 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,200 − 25 24.5 17 9.5 9.5 6 − 8.5 0.5
YouGov[7] 10–15 Feb 2022 1,659 – 21 27 17 9 11 7 1 6 6
Kantar[20] 8–15 Feb 2022 1,434 – 24 24 16 10 12 6 − 8 Tie
INSA[2] 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 – 22.5 26 15 12 12 6 − 6.5 3.5
Forsa[6] 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 22 23 27 16 9 9 6 − 10 4
INSA[2] 7–11 Feb 2022 1,504 – 22 26 16 11 12 6 − 7 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 18 25 25 16 9 11 6 − 8 Tie
pollytix 4–8 Feb 2022 1,547 – 23 27 15 9 12 8 − 6 4
Kantar[20] 1–8 Feb 2022 1,287 – 22 26 16 10 12 6 − 8 4
INSA[2] 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 – 23 26 15 12 11 7 − 6 3
Ipsos 4 Feb 2022 910 – 25 24 16 8 12 8 − 7 1
Forsa[6] 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 23 22 27 16 9 10 6 − 10 5
INSA[2] 1–4 Feb 2022 1,202 – 22 27 16 11 11 6 − 7 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 2022 2,330 − 21 28 19 8.5 10 5.5 − 8 7
Civey 22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022 10,070 – 25 25 15 10 11 6 – 8 Tie
Infratest dimap[14] 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 1,339 – 22 27 16 10 12 5 – 8 5
Kantar[20] 26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022 1,410 – 24 24 17 9 11 6 − 9 Tie
INSA[2] 28–31 Jan 2022 2,247 – 24 25 15 12.5 10 6.5 – 7 1
Forsa[6] 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 23 23 27 16 9 10 6 – 9 4
INSA[2] 24–28 Jan 2022 1,383 – 26 24 16 11 11 6 – 6 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 21 24 23 18 10 10 7 – 8 1
YouGov[7] 21–25 Jan 2022 1,602 – 23 26 15 8 12 8 2 7 3
Kantar[20] 19–25 Jan 2022 1,415 – 24 24 18 10 10 6 – 8 Tie
INSA[2] 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 – 26 24 15 11.5 11 6 – 6.5 2
Forsa[6] 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 22 25 24 16 10 10 6 – 9 1
INSA[2] 17–21 Jan 2022 1,204 – 26 23 16 12 12 6 – 5 3
Allensbach[8] 6–20 Jan 2022 1,090 – 27.5 23 14.5 12.5 10 5.5 – 7 4.5
Infratest dimap[14] 18–19 Jan 2022 1,424 – 25 24 16 10 12 5 – 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–18 Jan 2022 1,920 − 27.5 22.5 17 10.5 10 4.5 – 8 5
Kantar[20] 12–18 Jan 2022 1,441 – 26 22 17 9 12 6 – 8 4
INSA[2] 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 – 26 22.5 15.5 12 12 6 – 6 3.5
Forsa[6] 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 22 25 25 16 10 10 5 – 9 Tie
INSA[2] 10–14 Jan 2022 1,504 – 27 23 16 11 12 5 – 6 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 21 27 22 16 11 10 6 – 8 5
Kantar[20] 5–11 Jan 2022 1,426 – 26 23 17 10 10 6 – 8 3
INSA[2] 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 – 26.5 23 15 12 12 5 – 6.5 3.5
Forsa[6] 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 22 25 25 17 10 9 5 – 9 Tie
Ipsos 6–9 Jan 2022 929 – 25 21 15 11 12 6 – 10 4
INSA[2] 3–7 Jan 2022 1,504 – 27 23 16 12 11 5 – 6 4
Infratest dimap[14] 3–5 Jan 2022 1,325 – 26 23 16 11 11 5 – 8 3
INSA[2] 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 2,060 – 26.5 23 15.5 11 11.5 6 – 6.5 3.5
GMS 29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 1,003 – 26 24 16 12 11 4 – 7 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.5
Close

2021

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA[2] 27–30 Dec 2021 1,201 – 27 24 16 10 11 5 – 7 3
INSA[2] 20–23 Dec 2021 1,195 – 28 23 15 11 11 5 – 7 5
INSA[2] 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 – 27.5 21.5 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 – 6.5 6
Forsa[6] 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 – 26 24 16 10 9 5 – 10 2
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 − 30 21.5 14.5 11.5 10 4 – 8.5 8.5
INSA[2] 13–18 Dec 2021 1,501 – 27 23 14 12 12 5 – 7 4
Kantar[20] 14–16 Dec 2021 1,436 – 27 22 16 11 11 5 – 8 5
Allensbach[8] 1–15 Dec 2021 1,069 – 26 24 15 13 10.5 5 – 6.5 2
YouGov[7] 10–14 Dec 2021 1,715 – 27 23 16 10 11 6 2 6 4
Kantar[20] 8–14 Dec 2021 1,440 – 27 22 16 11 10 5 – 9 5
INSA[2] 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 – 27 22 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 – 6.5 5
Forsa[6] 7–13 Dec 2021 2,509 – 26 23 15 11 10 5 – 10 3
INSA[2] 6–10 Dec 2021 1,480 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 – 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 21 28 21 17 12 10 5 – 7 7
Infratest dimap[14] 7–8 Dec 2021 1,266 – 26 23 16 12 11 5 – 7 3
Civey 1–8 Dec 2021 10,043 – 27 23 15 11 11 5 – 8 4
Kantar[20] 1–7 Dec 2021 1,439 – 28 21 15 11 11 5 3 6 7
INSA[2] 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 – 26 22 15 13.5 11.5 5.5 – 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 1–6 Dec 2021 1,002 − 29 18 16.5 13.5 11 4 – 8 11
Forsa[6] 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021 2,503 – 25 22 17 11 10 5 – 10 3
INSA[2] 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021 1,348 – 26 21 15 13 12 5 – 8 5
Infratest dimap[14] 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 1,316 – 25 23 17 12 11 5 – 7 2
Civey 24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 10,078 – 26 24 15 11 11 5 – 8 2
Kantar[20] 24–30 Nov 2021 1,425 – 27 20 16 12 11 6 – 8 7
INSA[2] 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 – 25 21 16 14 11 5.5 – 7.5 4
Forsa[6] 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 – 24 22 17 12 10 5 – 10 2
INSA[2] 22–26 Nov 2021 1,403 – 26 21 15 13 12 6 – 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 23–25 Nov 2021 1,344 19 28 19 17 13 11 5 – 7 9
Infratest dimap[14] 23–24 Nov 2021 1,239 – 25 21 17 13 11 5 – 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Nov 2021 1,002 – 27 22.5 15.5 11.5 10 5 – 8.5 4.5
Civey 17–24 Nov 2021 10,064 – 25 24 15 11 11 5 – 9 1
YouGov[7] 19–23 Nov 2021 1,797 – 25 23 16 11 12 6 2 5 2
Kantar[20] 17–23 Nov 2021 1,424 – 24 22 18 11 11 6 – 8 2
INSA[2] 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 – 26 22 14 14 11 5.5 – 7.5 4
Forsa[6] 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 – 10 2
INSA[2] 15–19 Nov 2021 1,501 – 26 21 15 13 12 5 – 8 5
Civey 10–17 Nov 2021 10,077 – 26 23 15 12 11 5 – 8 3
Kantar[20] 10–16 Nov 2021 1,433 – 24 21 18 12 11 6 – 8 3
INSA[2] 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 – 27 21 15 13 11.5 5.5 – 7 6
Forsa[6] 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 – 10 2
INSA[2] 8–12 Nov 2021 1,202 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 – 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 9–11 Nov 2021 1,257 16 28 20 16 13 11 5 – 7 8
Allensbach[8] 29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021 1,016 – 27 23 15 14 9.5 5.5 – 6 4
Civey 3–10 Nov 2021 9,999 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 – 8 4
Kantar[20] 3–9 Nov 2021 1,424 – 25 21 16 14 10 6 – 8 4
INSA[2] 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 – 26.5 20.5 16 13.5 10.5 5.5 – 7.7 6
Forsa[6] 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 – 25 22 16 14 9 5 – 9 3
INSA[2] 1–5 Nov 2021 1,212 – 27 21 15 14 11 5 – 7 6
Wahlkreisprognose 31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021 1,200 – 28 20.5 15.5 14 10.5 4 – 7.5 7.5
GMS 1–4 Nov 2021 1,005 – 26 21 16 15 10 4 – 8 5
Infratest dimap[14] 2–3 Nov 2021 1,329 – 27 21 16 13 10 5 – 8 6
Civey 27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 10,069 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 – 8 4
Kantar[20] 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021 1,417 – 25 22 16 13 10 5 3 6 3
INSA[2] 29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 2,140 – 27 20 16 13.5 11.5 5 – 7 7
Forsa[6] 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 2,501 – 25 21 16 15 9 5 – 9 4
INSA[2] 25–29 Oct 2021 1,503 – 27 21 16 13 11 5 – 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 26–28 Oct 2021 1,208 15 27 20 16 14 11 5 – 7 7
Infratest dimap[14] 26–27 Oct 2021 1,239 – 26 22 16 13 10 4 – 9 4
Civey 20–27 Oct 2021 10,050 – 25 21 15 14 12 5 – 8 4
Kantar[20] 19–26 Oct 2021 1,422 – 25 21 17 14 11 5 – 7 4
INSA[2] 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 – 28 20 16 14 11 5 – 6 8
Forsa[6] 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 – 25 20 17 16 9 5 – 8 5
INSA[2] 18–22 Oct 2021 1,205 – 27 20 17 14 11 4 – 7 7
Civey 13–20 Oct 2021 10,028 – 25 20 15 15 11 6 – 8 5
Kantar[20] 13–19 Oct 2021 1,424 – 25 21 16 13 11 5 – 9 4
INSA[2] 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 – 28 18.5 16 15 11.5 5 – 6 9.5
Forsa[6] 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 – 26 20 16 15 9 5 – 9 6
INSA[2] 11–15 Oct 2021 1,195 – 28 19 16 13 11 4 – 9 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 12–14 Oct 2021 1,329 14 28 19 17 13 11 5 – 7 9
Allensbach[8] 1–14 Oct 2021 1,045 – 28 21 15 14 9.5 5 – 7.5 7
Civey 6–13 Oct 2021 9,999 – 26 20 14 15 11 6 – 8 6
Kantar[20] 6–12 Oct 2021 1,410 – 26 19 17 14 10 5 – 9 7
INSA[2] 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 – 28.5 19.5 16 14.5 11 4 – 6.5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–10 Oct 2021 1,210 – 27 19 17.5 14 10 4 – 8.5 8
Forsa[6] 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 – 26 20 16 14 9 5 – 10 6
INSA[2] 4–8 Oct 2021 1,509 – 28 20 15 14 10 5 – 8 8
Civey 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021 10,009 – 28 19 15 14 11 6 – 7 9
Kantar[20] 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 1,985 – 26 20 17 13 10 5 3 6 6
INSA[2] 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 – 28 21 15.5 13.5 10 4.5 – 7.5 7
Forsa[6] 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 3,004 – 26 20 16 14 9 5 – 10 6
INSA[2] 27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 1,254 – 28 21 16 12 10 5 – 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 15 28 20 16 13 10 5 – 8 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.5
Close

CDU and CSU

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke FW BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 16.4 22.6 11.6 4.3 20.8 6.0 8.8 1.5 4.98 3.1 1.8
INSA[25] 20–21 Feb 2025 2,005 15 23 12.5 4.5 21 6.5 7.5 – 5 5 2
INSA[25] 14–17 Feb 2025 2,010 15 24 13 4.5 22 6 6.5 – 5 4 2
INSA[25] 7–10 Feb 2025 2,006 15.5 23.5 13 4 22 6.5 6 – 5.5 4 1.5
INSA[25] 31 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 2,004 16 24.5 13 4.5 22 5.5 5 – 5.5 4 2.5
INSA[25] 24–27 Jan 2025 2,006 15.5 23.5 12.5 4.5 22 6.5 4.5 – 6 5 1.5
INSA[25] 17–20 Jan 2025 2,008 16 23.5 13 5 21.5 5.5 4 – 7 4.5 2
INSA[25] 10–13 Jan 2025 2,005 15 24.5 13 4 22 6.5 3.5 – 6.5 5 2.5
INSA[25] 3–6 Jan 2025 2,001 15.5 24.5 13.5 4 21.5 6.5 3 – 6.5 5 3
INSA[25] 27–30 Dec 2024 2,004 16.5 24.5 12 3.5 20.5 6.5 4 – 7 5.5 4
INSA[25] 20–23 Dec 2024 2,010 16 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 7.5 3 – 8 5 4
INSA[25] 13–16 Dec 2024 2,002 16.5 24.5 11.5 5 19.5 7 2.5 – 8 5.5 5
INSA[26] 6–9 Dec 2024 2,004 17 25.5 11.5 4.5 19.5 6 3 – 8 5 6
INSA[26] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 2,003 16 25.5 13 4.5 18.5 6 3.5 – 7.5 5.5 7
INSA[26] 22–25 Nov 2024 2,003 15 25.5 11 4.5 19.5 7 3.5 – 7.5 6.5 6
INSA[26] 15–18 Nov 2024 2,008 16 24.5 11 4.5 19 7.5 3.5 – 7.5 6.5 5.5
INSA[26] 8–11 Nov 2024 3,009 15.5 25.5 11.5 5 19.5 7 3.5 – 7 5.5 6
INSA[26] 1–4 Nov 2024 2,005 15.5 24 10.5 4.5 18 8 3.5 – 8 8 6
INSA[26] 25–28 Oct 2024 2,008 15 24.5 11 4 19 6.5 2.5 – 9 8.5 5.5
INSA[26] 18–21 Oct 2024 2,006 16,5 23.5 10 4 19 7 2.5 – 9 8.5 4.5
INSA[26] 11–14 Oct 2024 2,002 16 24.5 10 4 18.5 7 3.5 – 9 7.5 6
INSA[26] 4–7 Oct 2024 2,010 16 24 10.5 4 20 7.5 2.5 – 8 7.5 4
INSA[26] 27–30 Sep 2024 2,004 15 24.5 11 4 19 7 2.5 – 9.5 7.5 5.5
INSA[26] 20–23 Sep 2024 2,002 15.5 25.5 9.5 3.5 20 6.5 2.5 – 10 7 5.5
INSA[26] 13–16 Sep 2024 2,008 14 26 10 4.5 19.5 7 2.5 – 10 6.5 6.5
INSA[26] 6–9 Sep 2024 2,010 14 25.5 10 4 19.5 7 2.5 – 10 7.5 6
INSA[26] 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2024 2,002 15 24.5 10.5 4.5 19 7 2.5 – 9.5 7.5 5.5
INSA[26] 23–26 Aug 2024 2,004 15 24.5 11.5 5.5 18.5 7 3 – 9 6 6
INSA[26] 16–19 Aug 2024 2,006 15.5 24 10.5 5 19 6.5 3 – 9.5 7 5
INSA[26] 9–12 Aug 2024 2,008 15 23.5 10.5 5 18 7 3 – 9.5 8.5 5.5
INSA[26] 2–5 Aug 2024 2,002 15 24 10.5 5 17 6.5 3 – 9.5 9.5 7
INSA[26] 26–29 Jul 2024 2,006 15 24.5 10 5 18 5.5 3.5 – 9.5 9 6.5
INSA[26] 19–22 Jul 2024 2,010 15 24.5 10.5 5 17 6.5 3.5 – 9 9 7.5
INSA[26] 12–15 Jul 2024 2,500 15 24.5 11.5 5 18 6.5 3 – 8.5 8 6.5
INSA[26] 5–8 Jul 2024 2,007 15 24 11 5.5 17.5 6.5 3 1.5 8.5 7.5 6.5
INSA[26] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 2,006 15 24 12 5.5 17.5 5.5 2.5 2 8.5 7.5 6.5
INSA[26] 21–24 Jun 2024 2,008 14.5 24.5 11.5 5 17.5 6 3 2 8.5 7.5 7
INSA[26] 14–17 Jun 2024 2,010 15 24.5 11 5 17 6.5 3 2 8 8 7.5
INSA[26] 7–10 Jun 2024 2,008 15.5 23 12 5 16 7 3 2.5 7.5 8.5 7
INSA[26] 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 2,002 16 24 12 5 15.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 7.5 8
INSA[26] 24–27 May 2024 2,004 15 25 12 5 17 5.5 3 2.5 7 8 8
INSA[26] 17–21 May 2024 2,010 16 23.5 12.5 5 17 6.5 3 3 7 6.5 6.5
INSA[26] 10–13 May 2024 2,087 15.5 24.5 13 5 17 6 3.5 2.5 7 6 7.5
INSA[26] 3–6 May 2024 2,006 15.5 23.5 12 5 18 7 3.5 2.5 7.5 5.5 5.5
Forsa 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 2,000 16 24.5 12 6 15 6.5 3 – 4 13 8.5
INSA[26] 26–29 Apr 2024 2,004 16.5 23.5 12.5 5 18.5 6 3.5 2.5 7 5 5
INSA[26] 19–22 Apr 2024 2,008 15 23.5 12.5 5 18.5 7 4 2.5 7 5 5
INSA[26] 12–15 Apr 2024 2,006 16 23.5 13 6 18.5 6 3 2.5 6.5 5 5
INSA[26] 5–8 Apr 2024 2,084 15 23.5 13 5 18.5 7 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 5
INSA[26] 28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 2,004 15 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 4
INSA[26] 22–25 Mar 2024 2,008 15.5 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5 4
INSA[26] 15–18 Mar 2024 2,002 16 23.5 12 5 19.5 6 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 4
INSA[26] 8–11 Mar 2024 2,079 14.5 25.5 12.5 5.5 18.5 5.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 7
INSA[26] 1–4 Mar 2024 2,007 14.5 24.5 13 5.5 19.5 6 3 2.5 6.5 5 5
INSA[26] 23–26 Feb 2024 2,006 15.5 24 13 4.5 19 6.5 3 3 7.5 4 5
INSA[26] 16–19 Feb 2024 2,007 14.5 24 12.5 4.5 19.5 6.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 4.5
INSA[26] 9–12 Feb 2024 2,083 15 23.5 12.5 3.5 20.5 6.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 3
INSA[26] 2–5 Feb 2024 2,004 15 24 12.5 4.5 20.5 6 3.5 3 7.5 3.5 3.5
INSA[26] 26–29 Jan 2024 2,002 14.5 23.5 12.5 5 21 6.5 3.5 2.5 7 4 2.5
INSA[26] 19–22 Jan 2024 2,006 13.5 23.5 12.5 5 21.5 7 3 2.5 – 11.5 2
INSA[26] 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 14 24 12 5 23 7 4 3 – 8 1
INSA[26] 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 16 25 12 5 23 7 4 3 – 5 2
INSA[26] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 2,002 15 25 13 5 22.5 7 4 3 – 5.5 2.5
INSA[27] 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 15 25 12 5 23 7 4 3 – 6 2
INSA[27] 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 15,5 24.5 12.5 5 23 7 4 2.5 – 6 1.5
INSA[27] 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 16 23.5 12.5 6 22.5 6.5 4 3 – 6 1
INSA[27] 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 15.5 23 13 6 22.5 6.5 3.5 3 – 7 0.5
INSA[27] 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 15.5 24.5 12.5 6 22 6 4 3 – 6.5 2.5
INSA[27] 17–20 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 25.5 13 5.5 21 4.5 4.5 3 – 6.5 4.5
INSA[27] 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 24.5 13.5 5 21.5 6 4.5 3 – 5.5 3
INSA[27] 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 16.5 23 13.5 5.5 22 6.5 4.5 3 – 5.5 1
INSA[27] 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 16.5 23.5 13 5.5 21 7 4 3.5 – 6 2.5
INSA[27] 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 16.5 22 13 5.5 22 6.5 5 3.5 – 6 Tie
INSA[27] 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 16.5 21.5 13 6 23 6.5 4.5 4 – 5 1.5
INSA[27] 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 17 20.5 13.5 6 22.5 6.5 5 3 – 6 2
INSA[27] 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 2,010 18 21 13.5 7 22 5.5 5 2.5 – 5.5 1
INSA[27] 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 17.5 20.5 13.5 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 3 – 6 1
INSA[27] 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 17 21 14.5 6 21 5.5 5 3.5 – 6.5 Tie
INSA[27] 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 18 19.5 14 7 22 7 4.5 – – 8 2.5
INSA[27] 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 17.5 20 13.5 7.5 21.5 6.5 4.5 – – 9 1.5
INSA[27] 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 18 20.5 14.5 7 21 6 4.5 – – 8.5 0.5
INSA[27] 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 18.5 19.5 14 8 20.5 7 5 – – 7.5 1
INSA[27] 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 19.5 19.5 13.5 7 21 6.5 4.5 – – 8.5 1.5
INSA[27] 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 19 22 14.5 7.5 20.5 5 4.5 – – 7 1.5
INSA[27] 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 18.5 20 14 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 – – 8 1.5
INSA[27] 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 18.5 20.5 14 7.5 21.5 6 4.5 – – 7.5 1
INSA[27] 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 18 20 14 7 20.5 7 5 – – 8.5 0.5
INSA[27] 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 19 21 14 7 20.5 5 5 – – 8.5 0.5
INSA[27] 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,897 19 20.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 5 – – 8.5 0.5
INSA[27] 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 19.5 20 13.5 6.5 20.5 6.5 4.5 – – 9 0.5
INSA[27] 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 20 20.5 13.5 7.5 20 6 4.5 – – 8 0.5
INSA[27] 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 20 21 13 8 19.5 6 4.5 – – 8 1
INSA[27] 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 19 20.5 13.5 9 19 6 5 – – 8 1.5
INSA[27] 26–30 May 2023 2,004 20.5 23 13 8.5 18 5 4.5 – – 7.5 2.5
INSA[27] 19–22 May 2023 2,004 20.5 21 14 8.5 17 6.5 5 – – 7.5 0.5
INSA[27] 12–15 May 2023 2,010 20 22 14.5 8.5 16.5 6 5 – – 7.5 2
INSA[27] 5–8 May 2023 2,008 20 22 14 9 16.5 6 4.5 – – 8 2
INSA[27] 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 2,006 21 21 15 8 16.5 6 4.5 – – 8 Tie
INSA[27] 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 20 21 14.5 9 16 6.5 4.5 – – 8.5 1
INSA[27] 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 21 20.5 15 8 16 7 4.5 – – 8 0.5
INSA[27] 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 20 22 15.5 8 16 5.5 4.5 – – 8.5 2
INSA[27] 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,007 20 22 15.5 7.5 16 6 4.5 – – 8.5 2
INSA[27] 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 20.5 23 16 8 15.5 5 4 – – 8 2.5
INSA[27] 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 21.5 22 15 7.5 16 6 5 – – 7 0.5
INSA[27] 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 21.5 22 15.5 7.5 16 6.5 4 – – 7 0.5
INSA[27] 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 20 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 5 – – 7 3.5
INSA[27] 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 20.5 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 4.5 – – 7 3
INSA[27] 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 21.5 24 15.5 7 15.5 5 5 – – 6.5 2.5
INSA[27] 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 20 21 16 7.5 16 7 5 – – 7.5 1
INSA[27] 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 21 20 16 8 15.5 7 5 – – 7.5 1
INSA[27] 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 20.5 21 16 7.5 15 7.5 5 – – 7.5 0.5
INSA[27] 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 20.5 22 16.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 – – 8 1.5
INSA[27] 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 21 21 16.5 7.5 15 7 5 – – 7 Tie
INSA[27] 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 5 – – 8 1
INSA[27] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 2,010 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 – – 8.5 1
INSA[27] 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 21 22 17.5 7.5 14.5 5.5 4.5 – – 7.5 1
INSA[28] 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 20 21.5 18 7 15.5 7 4.5 – – 6.5 1.5
INSA[28] 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 20.5 22 17 7 14.5 6 5 – – 8 1.5
INSA[28] 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 21 21 17.5 7 15 6 5 – – 7.5 Tie
INSA[28] 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 20 22 17 7.5 15 6 5 – – 7.5 2
INSA[28] 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 20.5 21 17.5 7 15 6.5 4.5 – – 8 0.5
INSA[28] 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 21 21 17.5 8 14.5 6 4.5 – – 7.5 Tie
INSA[28] 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 20.5 20 18 9 15 6 4.5 – – 7 0.5
INSA[28] 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 20.5 20.5 17.5 8.5 15 6 4.5 – – 7.5 Tie
INSA[28] 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 19.5 20.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 7 4.5 – – 7 1
INSA[28] 7–10 Oct 2022 2,005 19.5 20.5 19 7.5 15 7 5 – – 6.5 1
INSA[28] 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 2,008 19 21.5 18.5 8 15 6 5.5 – – 6.5 2.5
INSA[28] 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 18 21.5 19.5 8 15 6 5.5 – – 6.5 2
INSA[28] 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 18.5 22 19 7.5 14 6.5 5.5 – – 7 3
INSA[28] 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 18 22 20 8 13.5 6 5.5 – – 7 2
INSA[28] 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 18 22 20.5 7.5 13.5 6 5.5 – – 7 1.5
INSA[28] 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 19 22.5 20.5 8 13 5 5.5 – – 6.5 2
INSA[28] 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 18.5 22 21 7.5 13 6 5.5 – – 6.5 1
INSA[28] 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 19 22 22 8 12 6 5 – – 6 Tie
INSA[28] 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 18 21 21.5 8 12.5 6 5.5 – – 7.5 0.5
INSA[28] 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,144 18.5 20.5 22 8 12 6 5 – – 8 1.5
INSA[28] 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 5 – – 8 0.5
INSA[28] 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 4.5 – – 8.5 0.5
INSA[28] 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 20 21.5 21 8.5 11 5.5 4.5 – – 8 0.5
INSA[28] 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 19 23 21 9.5 11 5 4 – – 7.5 2
INSA[28] 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 20 22 21.5 9 10.5 5 4 – – 8 0.5
INSA[28] 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 19.5 21 21 9.5 10 7 4 – – 8 Tie
INSA[28] 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 20 21.5 21 9.5 10.5 6 3.5 – – 8 0.5
INSA[28] 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 20 21.5 21.5 9.5 10.5 5.5 3.5 – – 8 Tie
INSA[28] 27–30 May 2022 2,056 22 20.5 20.5 8.5 10 6.5 3.5 – – 8.5 1.5
INSA[28] 20–23 May 2022 2,100 22 22 20 8.5 10.5 6.5 3 – – 7.5 Tie
INSA[28] 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 23 20.5 9 11 5 3 – – 7 1.5
INSA[28] 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 21 19 10 10.5 6.5 3.5 – – 7 1.5
INSA[28] 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,146 23 21 19 9.5 10.5 6 4.5 – – 6.5 2
INSA[28] 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 20 18 9 11.5 6.5 4.5 – – 6.5 4
INSA[28] 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 20 19 9 11 6 4.5 – – 7 3.5
INSA[28] 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 20 17.5 9 11 7 4.5 – – 6 5
INSA[28] 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 21 17.5 10.5 10.5 5 4.5 – – 6 4
INSA[28] 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 21 16.5 10 10.5 5 5.5 – – 6.5 4
INSA[28] 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 20.5 16.5 11 11 6 4.5 – – 6 4
INSA[28] 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 19.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 6 5 – – 8 5.5
INSA[28] 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 19 15.5 11 10.5 5.5 6 – – 7.5 6
INSA[28] 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 22 14.5 12.5 11 5 6 – – 6 1
INSA[28] 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 21 15 12 12 5 6 – – 6.5 1.5
INSA[28] 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 20 15 12 11 6 7 – – 6 3
INSA[28] 28–31 Jan 2022 2,147 24 20 15 12.5 10 5 6.5 – – 7 4
INSA[28] 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 19 15 11.5 11 5 6 – – 6.5 7
INSA[28] 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 17 15.5 12 12 5.5 6 – – 6.5 9
INSA[28] 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 18 15 12 12 5 5 – – 6.5 8.5
INSA[28] 31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 17 15.5 11 11.5 6 6 – – 6.5 9.5
INSA[28] 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 17 14.5 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 – – 6.5 10.5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 17 14.5 13 11.5 5 5.5 – – 6.5 10
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 17 15 13.5 11.5 5 5.5 – – 6.5 9
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 17 16 14 11 4 5.5 – – 7.5 8
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 18 14 14 11 4 5.5 – – 7.5 8
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 16.5 15 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 – – 7 10.5
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 16.5 16 13.5 10.5 4 5.5 – – 7.5 10
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 16 16 14 11 4 5 – – 6 12
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 13.5 16 15 11.5 5 5 – – 6 12
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 14 16 14.5 11 5.5 4 – – 6.5 12.5
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 15 15.5 13.5 10 6 4.5 – – 7.5 12.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 25.7 19.0 14.7 11.4 10.4 5.2 4.9 2.4 – 6.3 6.8
Close

Scenario polls

New party scenarios

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht[b]
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Don't Know Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 13 28.5 11.5 6 23.5 3 2 6 6.5 – 5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 14.5 28 12.5 5.5 23.5 3 – 6 7 – 4.5
INSA 9–10 Nov 2023 1,004 – 17 24 13 5 17 2 3 14 5 – 7
INSA 26–27 Oct 2023 1,005 – 15 29 12 5 17 4 – 14 2 – 12
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 3 – 13 6 – 8.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 – 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 4 – 12 6 – 8.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 – 17 23 14 6 16 3 – 15 6 – 6
YouGov 14–19 Jul 2023 2,317 5 14 25 12 5 19 5 – 2 5 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 22 26 14 4 13 2 – 14 5 – 4
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 – 20 24 17 7 11 3 – 10 8 – 4
Close
Boris Palmer list
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Liste Palmer Others Don't Know Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 – 19 22 15 8 20 5 5 6 – 2
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Leadership scenarios

Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Forsa 19–25 Nov 2024 2,500 21 30 11 4 17 3 – 4 10 9
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 2024 2,000 27.5 27.5 10.5 2 17 2 3 5.5 5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 24 23 9 4 23 2 – 7 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 27.5 17 13.5 6 20 3.5 3 – 9.5 7.5
Close
Olaf Scholz as SPD chancellor candidate
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 2024 2,000 17.5 31 12 2.5 18 2 2 10 5 13
Close
Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 15.5 26.5 10 5 24.5 3 – 6.5 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 22.5 20 14 6.5 20 4 5 – 8 2.5
Close
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21.5 23 13.5 5 22 4.5 2 8.5 1.5
Close
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 28 15 6.5 19.5 3.5 1 5.5 7
Close
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 21 15 7 16 12 2 6 Tie
Close

Other scenarios

National-wide CSU
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke Others Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 17 20 15 6 20 10 5 8 Tie
Close
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 25 16.5 14.5 9 19 3.5 6 6.5 6
Close

By state

Baden-Württemberg

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CDU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 31.6 14.2 13.6 5.6 19.8 6.8 4.1 4.3 11.8
Infratest dimap 5–10 Feb 2025 1,160 33 12 18 5 18 5 4 5 15
Infratest dimap 5–10 Dec 2024 1,156 34 15 18 5 16 – 4 8 16
INSA 25 Nov–2 Dec 2024 1,000 33 13 18 6 18 3 7 2 15
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.8 21.6 17.2 15.3 9.6 3.3 – 8.2 3.2
Close

Bavaria

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CSU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Free Voters Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 37.2 11.6 12.0 4.2 19.0 4.3 5.7 3.1 2.9 18.2
GMS 16–19 Feb 2025 1,026 42 10 11 4 19 5 3 2 4 23
GMS 4–7 Feb 2025 1,017 42 9 12 3 19 5 2 3 5 23
Infratest dimap 9–13 Jan 2025 1,179 42 10 14 4 16 5 – – 9 26
GMS 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2025 1,025 44 9 11 3 17 4 2 4 6 27
GMS 27 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 1,043 45 9 10 3 16 4 2 4 7 29
Infratest dimap 20–25 Nov 2024 1,156 45 9 13 3 17 4 – 3 6 28
GMS 7–11 Nov 2024 1,035 43 9 9 3 16 7 1 5 7 27
GMS 11–16 Sep 2024 1,048 42 9 10 3 15 8 1 5 7 27
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 2022 1,944 33 18 15 6 12 8 2 – 6 15
Forsa 23 May – 3 Jun 2022 1,049 36 12 22 8 8 – 2 – 12 14
Forsa 27 Apr – 13 May 2022 1,235 34 14 21 8 8 7 2 – 6 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 31.7 18.0 14.1 10.5 9.0 7.5 2.8 – 6.4 13.7
Close

Berlin

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Grüne CDU Linke AfD FDP BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 15.1 16.8 18.3 19.9 15.2 3.8 10.6 4.2 1.6
Infratest dimap 14–18 Nov 2024 1,179 13 22 24 5 17 4 7 8 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 22.2 22.0 17.2 11.5 9.4 8.1 – 9.6 0.2
Close

Brandenburg

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD AfD CDU FDP Grüne Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 14.8 32.5 18.1 3.2 6.6 10.7 10.7 3.4 14.4
INSA 20–27 Jan 2025 1,000 20 28 19 3 7 6 11 6 8
Infratest dimap 4–7 Dec 2024 1,183 19 30 21 – 7 4 11 8 9
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,007 17 33 20 4 8 6 3 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 2022 1,100 25 25 14 5 12.5 9 – 9.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 2022 1,001 35.5 16.5 15.5 4 14 5.5 – 9 19
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.5 18.1 15.3 9.3 9.0 8.5 – 10.3 11.4
Close

Hamburg

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Grüne CDU FDP Linke AfD BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 22.7 19.3 20.7 4.5 14.4 10.9 4.0 3.4 5
Trend Research 16–20 Jan 2025 874 27 22 19 4 6 13 4 6 5
Trend Research 5–10 Dec 2024 880 28 19 19 5 6 11 6 6 9
Forsa 24–28 Oct 2024 1,017 21 22 25 4 6 8 5 9 3
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.7 24.9 15.4 11.4 6.7 5.0 – 6.8 4.8
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Hesse

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 18.4 28.9 12.6 5.0 17.8 8.7 4.4 4.2 10.5
Forsa 22 Nov – 11 Dec 2024 1,033 17 33 14 4 17 4 3 8 16
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 27.6 22.8 15.8 12.8 8.8 4.3 – 7.9 4.8
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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 12.4 35.0 17.8 12.0 3.2 5.4 10.6 3.6 17.2
Forsa 28 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 1,004 15 30 20 7 3 9 11 5 10
Infratest dimap 20–25 Jan 2025 1,185 15 31 21 6 3 8 11 5 10
Infratest dimap 23–28 Oct 2024 1,153 16 26 25 4 – 5 15 9 1
Infratest dimap 2–7 May 2024 1,177 19 23 23 6 – 8 12 9 Tie
Forsa 25 Apr – 3 May 2024 1,005 15 27 23 6 3 7 13 6 4
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2024 1,002 15 32 22 8 3 8 5 7 10
Infratest dimap 13–16 Sep 2023 1,182 21 32 21 7 4 8 – 7 11
Forsa 18–23 Jan 2023 1,004 20 23 22 11 4 10 – 10 1
Infratest dimap 13–18 Oct 2022 1,168 25 24 20 10 4 9 – 8 1
Infratest dimap 1–4 Jun 2022 1,183 25 18 23 9 5 12 – 8 2
Forsa 14–18 Mar 2022 1,001 29 16 21 10 6 9 – 9 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.1 18.0 17.4 11.1 8.2 7.8 – 8.4 11.1
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North Rhine-Westphalia

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 20.0 30.1 12.4 4.4 16.8 8.3 4.1 3.8 11.1
Infratest dimap 13–16 Jan 2025 1,150 18 34 18 4 15 – – 11 16
Forsa 26 Nov – 4 Dec 2024 1,508 18 36 14 3 14 2 4 9 18
Forsa 23 Jul – 1 Aug 2024 1,060 18 34 13 5 14 2 5 9 16
Forsa 5–14 Mar 2024 1,502 18 32 16 5 14 3 4 8 14
Forsa 29 May – 7 Jun 2023 1,506 23 30 15 7 15 3 – 7 7
Forsa 27–28 Mar 2023 1,005 22 32 18 6 10 4 – 8 10
Forsa 21–26 Sep 2022 1,511 21 30 22 6 10 4 – 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 27–30 Jun 2022 1,040 25.5 25 22 8 8.5 3 – 8 0.5
Forsa 16 Feb 2022 1,008 25 30 25 6 6 2 – 6 5
Forsa 26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 2,006 28 25 18 10 8 4 – 7 3
Forsa 26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021 2,009 29 23 18 12 7 4 – 7 6
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.1 26.0 16.1 11.4 7.3 3.7 – 6.5 3.1
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Rhineland-Palatinate

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD FW Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 18.6 30.6 10.4 4.6 20.1 2.1 6.5 4.2 2.8 10.5
Infratest dimap 5–10 Feb 2025 1,155 19 33 13 4 18 – 4 4 5 14
Infratest dimap 5–10 Dec 2024 1,175 19 35 12 4 16 3 – 4 7 16
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 May 2022 1,042 30 30.5 19 5 5 – 1.5 – 9 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.4 24.7 12.6 11.7 9.2 3.6 3.3 – 8.8 4.7
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Saxony

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 AfD SPD CDU FDP Linke Grüne BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 37.3 8.5 19.7 3.2 11.3 6.5 9.0 4.4 17.6
Forsa 7–10 Jan 2024 1,507 36 9 23 4 6 8 4 7 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.6 19.3 17.2 11.0 9.3 8.6 – 9.9 5.3
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Saxony-Anhalt

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU AfD Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 11.0 19.2 37.1 10.8 3.1 4.4 11.2 3.3 17.9
Wahlkreisprognose 21–29 Jan 2024 1,000 12 20 28 5 5 5 17 8 8
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 Feb 2022 1,005 21.5 21.5 19.5 13 7.5 7.5 – 9.5 Tie
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 25.4 21.0 19.6 9.6 9.5 6.5 – 8.4 4.4
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Schleswig-Holstein

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 18.8 27.6 14.9 4.7 16.3 7.8 3.4 6.5 8.8
Wahlkreisprognose 10–19 Feb 2022 2,000 28 22.5 22 10 6 4.5 – 7 5.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 28.0 22.0 18.3 12.5 6.8 3.6 – 8.7 6.0
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Thuringia

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 38.6 8.8 18.6 15.2 2.8 4.2 9.4 2.5 20.0
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,253 36 12 23 9 3 6 3 8 13
Wahlkreisprognose 5–11 Dec 2022 1,016 32 19.5 18.5 8.5 5 7.5 – 9 12.5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 994 22.5 27 18 8 6 8.5 – 10 4.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.0 23.4 16.9 11.4 9.0 6.5 – 8.7 0.6
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By Western and Eastern Germany

Western Germany

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 17.6 30.6 12.7 4.6 17.9 7.9 1.6 3.9 3.2 12.7
YouGov 17–20 Feb 2025 1,305 in West Germany 18 31 14 4 17 7 – 4 5 13
YouGov 14–17 Feb 2025 1,655 in West Germany 18 29 13 4 18 8 – 4 5 11
YouGov 7–10 Feb 2025 1,642 in West Germany 17 32 14 4 18 6 – 4 6 14
INSA 7–10 Feb 2025 2,006 in all of Germany 17 32 14 4 20 5 – 4 4 12
YouGov 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025 1,720 in West Germany 19 31 13 4 19 5 – 5 5 12
YouGov 24–27 Jan 2025 1,397 in West Germany 16 31 14 3 20 4 – 5 5 11
YouGov 17–20 Jan 2025 1,464 in West Germany 20 30 15 4 17 3 – 5 6 10
YouGov 10–14 Jan 2025 1,389 in West Germany 20 31 14 3 20 3 – 4 5 11
YouGov 3–6 Jan 2025 1,528 in West Germany 18 31 15 5 19 2 – 4 6 12
YouGov 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024 1,493 in West Germany 19 32 14 4 17 2 1 5 6 13
YouGov 8–12 Nov 2024 1,442 in West Germany 15 35 14 5 16 2 1 5 6 19
INSA 9–12 Aug 2024 2,008 in all of Germany 16 32 12 5 16 2 – 8 9 16
YouGov 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 1,492 in West Germany 15 32 12 4 16 3 2 7 8 16
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 in all of Germany 16 34 13 5 20 3 – – 9 14
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 2,505 in all of Germany 19 30 16 7 13 5 – – 10 11
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 in all of Germany 19 28 21 8 12 5 – – 7 9
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 26.1 25.6 15.9 11.9 8.2 3.7 2.5 – 6.1 0.5
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Eastern Germany

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne FW BSW Others Lead
2025 federal election 23 Sep 2025 – 10.9 34.6 18.4 12.8 3.1 6.5 1.3 9.9 2.5 16.2
YouGov 17–20 Feb 2025 376 in East Germany 11 31 22 10 4 9 – 9 5 4
YouGov 14–17 Feb 2025 476 in East Germany 12 27 23 12 5 7 – 9 5 4
YouGov 7–10 Feb 2025 441 in East Germany 14 31 19 9 3 8 – 11 5 12
INSA 7–10 Feb 2025 2,006 in all of Germany 11 32 22 8 3 9 – 11 4 10
YouGov 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025 461 in East Germany 13 32 20 9 4 10 – 10 4 12
YouGov 24–27 Jan 2025 384 in East Germany 11 33 22 8 3 8 – 9 5 11
YouGov 17–20 Jan 2025 413 in East Germany 15 27 21 6 5 11 – 8 7 6
YouGov 10–14 Jan 2025 345 in East Germany 10 26 26 6 4 11 – 12 6 Tie
YouGov 3–6 Jan 2025 380 in East Germany 10 32 19 6 4 11 – 13 6 13
YouGov 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024 386 in East Germany 13 28 20 6 3 9 1 16 4 8
YouGov 8–12 Nov 2024 363 in East Germany 11 31 26 6 4 7 1 11 3 5
INSA 9–12 Aug 2024 2,008 in all of Germany 11 28 22 5 5 6 – 15 8 6
YouGov 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 402 in East Germany 10 26 19 5 2 10 – 19 8 7
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 in all of Germany 12 36 24 7 4 8 – – 9 12
Verian 24 Oct – 15 Nov 2023 830 in East Germany 12 32 24 9 4 9 – – 10 8
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 2,505 in all of Germany 16 32 23 8 6 6 – – 9 9
INSA 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 7,618 in all of Germany 20 26 23 9 8 10 – – 4 3
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 in all of Germany 15 27 26 8 7 14 – – 3 1
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.1 20.5 16.8 10.5 9.5 9.3 2.1 – 7.2 3.6
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Notes

  1. [a]
    Rounded from 4.98%, which is below the threshold for parliamentary representation in Germany.
  2. [b]
    BSW was established as an official political party on 8 January 2024.

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