Opinion polling for the 2026 Russian legislative election

The reliability and accuracy of opinion polling have been a subject of significant debate among political analysts and international observers. Following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the Russian government introduced strict wartime censorship laws, including penalties for "discrediting" the armed forces, which critics argue heavily skews polling data due to respondent fear and preference falsification. In the spring of 2026, amid the run-up to the September parliamentary elections, independent media reported that the state-run Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM) ceased the public release of its monthly "open-ended" trust poll for President Vladimir Putin after his rating in that specific metric dropped to 29.5% in April—its lowest level since the beginning of the war.

The "open-ended" method, where respondents must name politicians they trust without prompts, showed a stark contrast to "closed-ended" questions (where Putin's name is explicitly offered), which consistently yielded much higher results (around 73%). Furthermore, the polling environment in early 2026 was affected by mounting technical restrictions. Frustration among the electorate grew due to widespread government crackdowns on the mobile internet, messaging applications, and VPN services. While authorities defended these measures as necessary for national security, political bloggers and some politicians issued unusually public warnings that growing public dissatisfaction, combined with a declining baseline of support for the ruling United Russia party, could heighten the risk of regional unrest and necessitate substantially larger electoral manipulation ahead of the September vote.^[1]

Polls conducted after the election is called.

Opinion polls conducted prior to the campaign and the announcement of the list of participating parties. Parties with more than 5% support of the whole electorate (enough to enter State Duma while not adjusting for likely voters) are given in bold. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Polling firms that tend to inflate electoral rating of United Russia are colored in gray. Polling firms affiliated with Russian liberal opposition are colored in cyan. WCIOM and FOM firms are known for their connection to president Vladimir Putin and Presidential Administration of Russia with latter often inflating electoral rating of United Russia for the upcoming election.