Opinion polling for the 2026 South Australian state election

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In the lead-up to the 2026 South Australian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Graphical summary

A graph showing the primary vote opinion polling in the lead-up to the 2026 South Australian state election, with LOESS regression.
A graph showing the two-party preferred opinion polling in the lead-up to the 2026 South Australian state election, with LOESS regression.

House of Assembly

Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
12–18 Mar 2026 Newspoll[1] 1,048 40% 16% 12% 22% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU[2] 1,242 37% 17% 11% 23% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
9–17 Mar 2026 YouGov[3] 1,265 38% 19% 12% 22% 5% 4% 59% 41% N/a
59% N/a 41%
16 Mar 2026 Resolve[4] 1,112 32% 18% 10% 28% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
6–16 Mar 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[5] 1,008 38% 18% 11% 21% N/a 12% 60% 40% N/a
59% N/a 41%
N/a 53% 47%
19–23 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[6] 2,172 35% 16.5% 11% 28% 6.5% 3% 61% 39% N/a
59% N/a 41%
N/a 52.5% 47.5%
11–17 Feb 2026 Newspoll[7] 1,057 44% 14% 12% 24% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
6–17 Feb 2026 YouGov[8][9] 1,217 37% 20% 13% 22% 6% 2% 59% 41% N/a
60% N/a 40%
31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 DemosAU[10][11][12] 1,070 43% 18% 12% 19% N/a 8% N/a N/a N/a
31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[13] 904 40% 19% 12% 20% N/a 9% 61% 39% N/a
63% N/a 37%
N/a 53% 47%
5–8 Dec 2025 Ashton Hurn replaces Vincent Tarzia as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog[14] 1,000 41% 21% 12% 13% N/a 13% 61% 39% N/a
6–15 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16][17] 1,006 47% 21% 13% N/a N/a 19% 66% 34% N/a
15–28 May 2025 YouGov[18] 1,004 48% 21% 14% 7% N/a 10% 67% 33% N/a
18–23 Feb 2025 DemosAU[19][20] 903 43% 30% 10% N/a N/a 17% 59% 41% N/a
6–29 Aug 2024 Wolf & Smith[21][22] 856 41% 28% 11% 5% N/a 15%[a] 60% 40% N/a
12 Aug 2024 Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
11–20 Sep 2022 Dynata[23] 616 34% 34% 13% 5% N/a 14%[b] 53% 47% N/a
19 Mar 2022 2022 election 40.0% 35.7% 9.1% 2.6% 7.3% 5.3% 54.6% 45.1% —

Legislative Council

Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP FFP LCP AJP SAB RC AFP OTH
31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 DemosAU[10][11][12] 1,070 38% 15% 11% 21% 4% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 3%[c]
6–15 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16][17] 1,006 37% 17% 11% 12% 3% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3% 4%[d]
11–20 Sep 2022 Dynata[23] 616 35% 32% 13% 4% N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 9%
19 Mar 2022 2022 election 37.0% 34.4% 9.0% 4.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 5.9%

Approval polling

Leadership approval

Date Firm Preferred Premier Malinauskas Speirs/Tarzia/Hurn
Malinauskas Tarzia/Hurn Undecided Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Undecided Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Undecided Net
12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU[2] 56% 21% 23% 35% 49% 20% 31% +29% 21% 21% 58% ±0%
6–16 Mar 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[5] 55% 22% 23% 33% 52% 19% 26% +33% 25% 15% 36% +10%
11–17 Feb 2026 Newspoll[7] 64% 20% 16% 44% 64% 28% 8% +36% 55% 33% 12% +22%
6–17 Feb 2026 YouGov[8] 67% 19% 14% 48% 67% 27% 6% +40% 39% 35% 26% +4%
31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 DemosAU[10][11] 56% 22% 22% 34% 51% 18% 31% +33% 24% 26% 50% –2%
31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[13] 54% 22% 24% 32% 52% 21% 22% +31% 20% 13% 37% +7%
5–8 Dec 2025 Ashton Hurn replaces Vincent Tarzia as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog[14] 54% 18% 28% 36% 51% 19% 25% +32% 17% 25% 36% –8%
6–15 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16][17] 58% 19% 23% 39% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
15–28 May 2025 YouGov[18] 72% 14% 14% 58% 70% 18% 12% +52% 22% 31% 47% –9%
18–23 Feb 2025 DemosAU[19] 51% 23% 26% 28% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
12 Aug 2024 Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
11–20 Sep 2022 Dynata[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a 74% 13% 13% +61% 51% 19% 30% +32%

Party approval

Date Firm Sample
size		 Labor Liberal One Nation Family First
Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net
6–16 March 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[5] 1,008 43% 25% +18% 23% 36% –13% 40% 31% +9% N/a N/a N/a
31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[13] 904 45% 28% +17% 25% 37% –12% 36% 30% +6% N/a N/a N/a
24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog[14] 1,000 43% 27% +16% 25% 36% –11% 33% 33% 0% 26% 24% +2%

Sub-state polling

Inner Adelaide

Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU[2] N/a 44% 19% 13% 15% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[13] N/a 44% 17% 14% 17% N/a 8% 65% 35% N/a
67% N/a 33%
N/a 54% 46%
24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog[14] N/a 51% 18% 9% 11% N/a 11% 67% 33% N/a

Outer Adelaide

Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU[2] N/a 38% 15% 10% 24% N/a 13% N/a N/a N/a
31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[13] N/a 46% 17% 12% 18% N/a 7% 66% 34% N/a
67% N/a 33%
N/a 53% 47%
24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog[14] N/a 38% 22% 12% 16% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a

Adelaide

Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
19–23 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[6] N/a 37.5% 15% 14% 25.5% 5% 3% 65.5% 34.5% N/a
63.5% N/a 36.5%
N/a 54% 46%

Regional South Australia

Date Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU[2] N/a 23% 15% 9% 39% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
19–23 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[6] N/a 29% 19% 4.5% 33.5% 10% 4% 48.5% 51.5% N/a
47% N/a 53%
N/a 48% 52%
31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[13] N/a 29% 24% 9% 26% N/a 12% 51% 49% N/a
52% N/a 48%
N/a 52% 48%
24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog[14] N/a 33% 24% 15% 14% N/a 14% 56% 44% N/a

Individual seat polling

Notes

References

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