Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2025 Canadian federal election.
National polls
Campaign period
The campaign period for the April 28, 2025 election started after the election was called on March 23, 2025.
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] |
Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | PPC | GPC | Others[b] | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | 41.3 | 43.8 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | N/a | 19,597,674 | N/a | 2.5 | |
| Liaison Strategies | April 27, 2025 | [1] | 41 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 2 |
| Forum Research | April 27, 2025 | [2] | 39 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 1,153 | 4 | |
| Nanos Research | April 27, 2025 | [3] | 39.9 | 42.6 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | N/a | ±3.4 pp | 863 | telephone | 2.7 |
| Research Co. | April 27, 2025 | [4] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,019 | online | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 27, 2025 | [5] | 41 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| Abacus Data | April 27, 2025 | [6] | 39 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.0 pp | 2,500 | online | 2 |
| Ekos | April 27, 2025 | [7] | 37.5 | 43.6 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,805 (0.01/1) | telephone/online | 6.1 |
| Pallas Data | April 26, 2025 | [8] | 38.8 | 43.2 | 7.3 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | ±2.7 pp | 1,294 | IVR | 4.4 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 26, 2025 | [9] | 41 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| Nanos Research | April 26, 2025 | [10] | 38.9 | 43.0 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,698 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 4.1 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 26, 2025 | [11] | 43 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,669 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 1 |
| Innovative Research | April 26, 2025 | [12] | 37 | 41 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | N/a | 1,587 | online | 4 |
| MQO Research | April 26, 2025 | [13] | 38 | 43 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | ±2.1 pp | 2,236 | 5 | |
| Angus Reid | April 26, 2025 | [14] | 40 | 44 | 6 | 7 | N/a | 1 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,820 | 4 | |
| Ekos | April 26, 2025 | [7] | 38.1 | 43.5 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | ±2.2 pp | 1,918 | IVR | 5.4 |
| Ipsos | April 26, 2025 | [15] | 38 | 42 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 2,500 | telephone/online | 4 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 25, 2025 | [16] | 40 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 25, 2025 | [17] | 40 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,405 (1/3) | 5 | |
| Nanos Research | April 25, 2025 | [18] | 38.6 | 41.9 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | ±2.7 pp | 1,291 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 3.3 |
| Leger | April 25, 2025 | [19] | 39 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,502 (4/5) | online | 4 |
| YouGov (MRP) | April 25, 2025 | [20] | 39 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | N/a | 5,964 (3/20) | N/a | 3 |
| Pollara | April 24, 2025 | [21] | 38 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,382 | telephone/online | 3 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 24, 2025 | [22] | 39 | 44 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | April 24, 2025 | [23] | 38.4 | 42.7 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | ±2.7 pp | 1,302 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 4.3 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 24, 2025 | [24] | 41 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,365 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 2 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 23, 2025 | [25] | 38 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | 5 | |
| Nanos Research | April 23, 2025 | [26] | 39.3 | 42.9 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,307 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 3.6 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 23, 2025 | [27] | 40 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,425 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| Innovative Research | April 23, 2025 | [28] | 38 | 38 | 12 | 7 | N/a | 3 | 2 | N/a | 1,584 | online | 0 |
| Focaldata | April 23, 2025 | [29] | 37.5 | 40.5 | 10.7 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 | N/a | 2,826 | online | 3.0 |
| Cardinal Research | April 23, 2025 | [30] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 7 | N/a | 2 | 1 | ±2 pp | 4,057 | IVR | 5 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 22, 2025 | [31] | 39 | 42 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| Nanos Research | April 22, 2025 | [32] | 38.5 | 44.1 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,313 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 5.6 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 22, 2025 | [33] | 41 | 42 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±2.6 pp | 1,410 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 1 |
| YouGov (MRP) | April 22, 2025 | [34] | 38 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | N/a | 6,077 | N/a | 4 |
| Pallas Data | April 21, 2025 | [35] | 37.9 | 42.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | ±2.7 pp | 1,306 | IVR | 4.6 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 21, 2025 | [36] | 37 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 21, 2025 | [37] | 37.1 | 42.6 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,308 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 5.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 21, 2025 | [38] | 40 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,485 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 0 |
| Abacus Data | April 21, 2025 | [39] | 37 | 40 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ±2.3 pp | 2,000 | online | 3 |
| Leger | April 21, 2025 | [40] | 39 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,603 | 4 | |
| Innovative Research | April 21, 2025 | [28] | 41 | 36 | 11 | 7 | N/a | 3 | 3 | N/a | 1,305 (0.3/1) | 5 | |
| Angus Reid | April 21, 2025 | [41] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 7 | N/a | 2 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 2,459 | 5 | |
| Research Co. | April 20, 2025 | [42] | 38 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,006 | 5 | |
| Liaison Strategies | April 20, 2025 | [43] | 37 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 6 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 20, 2025 | [44] | 41 | 41 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,295 (1/3) | 0 | |
| Nanos Research | April 20, 2025 | [45] | 36.3 | 43.7 | 10.7 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,289 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 7.4 |
| Ekos | April 20, 2025 | [46] | 40.7 | 43.4 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | ±2.5 pp | 1,672 (4/5) | IVR (rolling) | 2.7 |
| Innovative Research | April 20, 2025 | [28] | 38 | 39 | 11 | 7 | N/a | 3 | 3 | N/a | 2,311 | online | 1 |
| Kolosowski Strategies | April 19, 2025 | [47] | 42 | 42 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±3 pp | 1,237 | 0 | |
| Ipsos | April 19, 2025 | [48] | 38 | 41 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | 3 | |
| MQO Research | April 19, 2025 | [49] | 36 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ±2 pp | 2,383 | 8 | |
| Liaison Strategies | April 19, 2025 | [50] | 38 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 19, 2025 | [51] | 43 | 39 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,307 (1/3) | 4 | |
| Nanos Research | April 19, 2025 | [52] | 37.0 | 43.2 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,293 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 6.2 |
| Pollara | April 19, 2025 | [53] | 36 | 44 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,195 | telephone/online | 8 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 18, 2025 | [54] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 18, 2025 | [55] | 43 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.9 pp | 1,124 (1/3) | 2 | |
| April 17, 2025 | Leaders' Debates Commission English debate | ||||||||||||
| Liaison Strategies | April 17, 2025 | [56] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | April 17, 2025 | [57] | 37.1 | 45.4 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,316 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 8.3 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 17, 2025 | [58] | 41 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,332 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 1 |
| April 16, 2025 | Leaders' Debates Commission French debate | ||||||||||||
| Ekos | April 16, 2025 | [59] | 34.8 | 44.5 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,210 (0.01/1) | telephone/online | 9.7 |
| JL Partners | April 16, 2025 | [citation needed] | 37 | 39 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 1,000 | online | 2 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 16, 2025 | [60] | 41 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| Nanos Research | April 16, 2025 | [61] | 38.8 | 43.5 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,351 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 4.7 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 16, 2025 | [62] | 40 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,326 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| Ekos | April 16, 2025 | [63] | 36.3 | 45.7 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | ±2.3 pp | 1,782 | IVR | 9.4 |
| Abacus Data | April 15, 2025 | [64] | 38 | 40 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ±2.9 pp | 1,200 | online | 2 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 15, 2025 | [65] | 39 | 46 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 7 |
| Nanos Research | April 15, 2025 | [66] | 37.3 | 44.7 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,359 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 7.4 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 15, 2025 | [67] | 42 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,376 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 2 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 14, 2025 | [68] | 39 | 44 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | 5 | |
| Nanos Research | April 14, 2025 | [69] | 38.8 | 44.1 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,367 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 5.3 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 14, 2025 | [70] | 43 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,378 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 1 |
| Leger | April 14, 2025 | [71] | 38 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±1.79 pp | 3,005 | online | 5 |
| Innovative Research | April 14, 2025 | [72] | 35 | 40 | 12 | 6 | N/a | 4 | 3 | N/a | 1,455 | 5 | |
| Liaison Strategies | April 13, 2025 | [73] | 38 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 13, 2025 | [74] | 37.8 | 44.8 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,345 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 7.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 13, 2025 | [75] | 44 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,388 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 2 |
| Angus Reid | April 13, 2025 | [76] | 39 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,216 | online | 6 |
| Pollara | April 13, 2025 | [77] | 36 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,166 | telephone/online | 8 |
| Pallas Data | April 12, 2025 | [78] | 36.8 | 45.1 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | ±2.7 pp | 1,282 | IVR | 8.3 |
| MQO Research | April 12, 2025 | [79] | 35 | 44 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | ±2.3 pp | 2,445 | online | 9 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 12, 2025 | [80] | 37 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 8 |
| Nanos Research | April 12, 2025 | [81] | 38.6 | 44.3 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | ±2.7 pp | 1,300 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 5.7 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 12, 2025 | [82] | 43 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.6 pp | 1,370 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 1 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 11, 2025 | [83] | 39 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 7 |
| Nanos Research | April 11, 2025 | [84] | 37.1 | 43.3 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | ±2.8 pp | 1,250 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 6.2 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 11, 2025 | [85] | 40 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,445 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 5 |
| Ipsos | April 10, 2025 | [86] | 36 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 6 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 10, 2025 | [87] | 39 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | April 10, 2025 | [88] | 37.8 | 43.6 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,233 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 5.8 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 10, 2025 | [89] | 40 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,548 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 5 |
| Abacus Data | April 10, 2025 | [90] | 38 | 42 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.31 pp | 1,800 (1/2) | online | 4 |
| Ekos | April 10, 2025 | [91] | 36.3 | 49.3 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | ±2.2 pp | 1,995 | IVR | 13.0 |
| Deltapoll | April 9, 2025 | [92] | 37 | 41 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | N/a | 1,005 | online | 4 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 9, 2025 | [93] | 40 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| Nanos Research | April 9, 2025 | [94] | 38.1 | 43.0 | 8.9 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,238 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 4.9 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 9, 2025 | [95] | 39 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 7 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 8, 2025 | [96] | 38 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 7 |
| Nanos Research | April 8, 2025 | [97] | 38.6 | 42.8 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,239 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 4.2 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 8, 2025 | [98] | 41 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,289 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Abacus Data | April 8, 2025 | [99] | 36 | 42 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ±2.1 pp | 1,900 | online | 6 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 7, 2025 | [100] | 39 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 7, 2025 | [101] | 38.1 | 42.7 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,256 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 4.6 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 7, 2025 | [102] | 40 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,148 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 5 |
| Angus Reid | April 7, 2025 | [103] | 36 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,184 | online | 10 |
| Innovative Research | April 7, 2025 | [104] | 35 | 41 | 12 | 6 | N/a | 3 | 3 | N/a | 1,341 | 6 | |
| Empirical Intelligence | April 7, 2025 | [105] | 36 | 44 | 12 | 5 | N/a | 3 | 1 | ±3.4 pp | 1,001 | 8 | |
| Research Co. | April 6, 2025 | [106] | 36 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,007 | 8 | |
| Leger | April 6, 2025 | [107] | 37 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2.43 pp | 1,631 | 7 | |
| Liaison Strategies | April 6, 2025 | [108] | 39 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 6, 2025 | [109] | 37.7 | 42.8 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,264 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 5.1 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 6, 2025 | [110] | 40 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.8 pp | 1,240 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 4 |
| MQO Research | April 6, 2025 | [111] | 34 | 44 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±2.5 pp | 1,859 | online | 10 |
| Pollara | April 6, 2025 | [112] | 36 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,132 | telephone/online | 8 |
| Pallas Data | April 5, 2025 | [113] | 37.8 | 44.4 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | ±2.7 pp | 1,320 | IVR | 6.6 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 5, 2025 | [114] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | April 5, 2025 | [115] | 37.0 | 43.4 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0.2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,270 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 6.4 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 5, 2025 | [116] | 40 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,388 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 2 |
| Kolosowski Strategies | April 4, 2025 | [117] | 41 | 39 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | ±3 pp | 1,448 | online | 2 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 4, 2025 | [118] | 38 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 8 |
| Nanos Research | April 4, 2025 | [119] | 34.9 | 45.9 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 0.5 | ±2.8 pp | 1,248 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 11.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 4, 2025 | [120] | 40 | 43 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,625 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Ipsos | April 3, 2025 | [121] | 34 | 46 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 12 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 3, 2025 | [122] | 38 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 8 |
| Nanos Research | April 3, 2025 | [123] | 35.9 | 45.5 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,241 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 9.6 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 3, 2025 | [124] | 40 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,665 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Abacus Data | April 3, 2025 | [125] | 39 | 39 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | ±2.3 pp | 1,800 | online | 0 |
| Ekos | April 3, 2025 | [126] | 34.4 | 49.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | ±2.45 pp | 1,685 (4/5) | IVR (rolling) | 14.6 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 2, 2025 | [127] | 37 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | 8 | |
| Nanos Research | April 2, 2025 | [128] | 36.7 | 45.8 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,248 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 9.1 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 2, 2025 | [129] | 40 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.3 pp | 1,756 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 4 |
| Ekos | April 2, 2025 | [130] | 32.7 | 47.1 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | ±2.59 pp | 1,513 (0.01/1) | telephone/online | 14.4 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 1, 2025 | [131] | 39 | 44 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | April 1, 2025 | [132] | 37.2 | 45.1 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,256 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 7.9 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 1, 2025 | [133] | 40 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.4 pp | 1,651 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Pallas Data | March 31, 2025 | [134] | 35.7 | 44.6 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | ±2.8 pp | 1,267 | IVR | 8.9 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 31, 2025 | [135] | 38 | 44 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 6 |
| Nanos Research | March 31, 2025 | [136] | 36.6 | 44.7 | 10.1 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,262 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 8.1 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 31, 2025 | [137] | 41 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.4 pp | 1,628 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Angus Reid | March 31, 2025 | [138] | 38 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,131 | online | 8 |
| Innovative Research | March 31, 2025 | [139] | 38 | 37 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | N/a | 1,742 | 1 | |
| Leger | March 31, 2025 | [140] | 38 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±1.79 pp | 3,002 | 6 | |
| Liaison Strategies | March 30, 2025 | [141] | 38 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | March 30, 2025 | [142] | 36.1 | 43.6 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,264 (1/3) | telephone (rolling) | 7.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 30, 2025 | [143] | 40 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,589 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Ekos | March 30, 2025 | [144] | 35.6 | 47.5 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.3 | ±2.5 pp | 1,517 | IVR | 11.9 |
| Pollara | March 30, 2025 | [145] | 35 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | N/a | 1,734 | telephone/online | 9 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 29, 2025 | [146] | 38 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| Nanos Research | March 29, 2025 | [147] | 37.0 | 41.9 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | ±2.7 pp | 1,285 | telephone | 4.9 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 29, 2025 | [148] | 40 | 42 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,704 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 2 |
| MQO Research | March 29, 2025 | [149] | 34 | 45 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,938 | online | 11 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 28, 2025 | [150] | 36 | 44 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 8 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 28, 2025 | [151] | 40 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,621 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 27, 2025 | [152] | 38 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 27, 2025 | [153] | 41 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,657 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 3 |
| Abacus Data | March 27, 2025 | [154] | 39 | 39 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ±2.3 pp | 1,800 (1/2) | online | 0 |
| Ipsos | March 26, 2025 | [155] | 38 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,500 | telephone/online | 6 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 26, 2025 | [156] | 37 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 7 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 26, 2025 | [157] | 41 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,380 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 4 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 25, 2025 | [158] | 38 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 25, 2025 | [159] | 40 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±2.8 pp | 1,230 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 4 |
| Ekos | March 25, 2025 | [160] | 34.6 | 49.6 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | ±2.4 pp | 1,621 | IVR | 15.0 |
| Abacus Data | March 25, 2025 | [161] | 37 | 38 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | online | 1 |
| Research Co. | March 24, 2025 | [162] | 37 | 41 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,003 | 4 | |
| Liaison Strategies | March 24, 2025 | [163] | 37 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 24, 2025 | [164] | 39 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,745 (1/3) | text/online (rolling) | 5 |
| Angus Reid | March 24, 2025 | [165] | 38 | 46 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ±2 pp | 2,400 | online | 8 |
Pre-campaign period
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] |
Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | PPC | GPC | Others[b] | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 23, 2025 | A snap federal election was called for April 28, 2025. | ||||||||||||
| Leger | March 23, 2025 | [166] | 38 | 44 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,599 | online | 6 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 23, 2025 | [167] | 36 | 40 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 23, 2025 | [168] | 38 | 44 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,661 | text/online | 6 |
| Pallas Data | March 22, 2025 | [169] | 37.8 | 42.3 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,225 | IVR | 4.5 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 22, 2025 | [170] | 37 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 2 |
| March 21, 2025 | [171] | 36 | 38 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | 2 | ||
| Innovative Research | March 21, 2025 | [172] | 34 | 36 | 13 | 7 | N/a | 5 | 4 | N/a | 1,548 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | March 21, 2025 | [173] | 36.5 | 34.1 | 14.0 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 4.3 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,100 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2.4 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 20, 2025 | [174] | 36 | 38 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 2 |
| Abacus Data | March 20, 2025 | [175] | 39 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | online | 3 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 19, 2025 | [176] | 36 | 40 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| March 18, 2025 | [177] | 36 | 40 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | 4 | ||
| March 17, 2025 | [178] | 36 | 39 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | 3 | ||
| Ipsos | March 17, 2025 | [179] | 36 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 6 |
| Leger | March 16, 2025 | [180] | 39 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | ±2.47 pp | 1,568 | 3 | |
| Liaison Strategies | March 16, 2025 | [181] | 35 | 37 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 2 |
| Angus Reid | March 16, 2025 | [182] | 37 | 42 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 4,009 | online | 5 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 15, 2025 | [183] | 35 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3 |
| March 14, 2025 | Mark Carney is sworn in as the prime minister of Canada. | ||||||||||||
| Liaison Strategies | March 14, 2025 | [184] | 35 | 39 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 (1/3) | IVR (rolling) | 4 |
| Nanos Research | March 14, 2025 | [185] | 35.3 | 34.1 | 16.0 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,074 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1.2 |
| Innovative Research | March 13, 2025 | [186] | 39 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | N/a | 1,558 | online | 6 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 13, 2025 | [187] | 34 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | ±2.53 pp | 1,501 | IVR | 4 |
| Leger | March 13, 2025 | [188] | 37 | 40 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,504 | online | 3 |
| Ekos | March 13, 2025 | [189] | 31.8 | 49.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,025 | IVR | 17.7 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 13, 2025 | [190] | 39 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,016 | text/online | 2 |
| Abacus Data | March 12, 2025 | [191] | 38 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,700 | online | 4 |
| Ekos | March 11, 2025 | [189] | 33.3 | 42.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 0.5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,524 | telephone/online | 9.0 |
| Leger | March 10, 2025 | [192] | 37 | 37 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.49 pp | 1,548 | online | 0 |
| March 9, 2025 | Mark Carney is elected leader of the Liberal Party. | ||||||||||||
| Innovative Research | March 9, 2025 | [193] | 41 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | N/a | 1,695 | online | 10 |
| Nanos Research | March 7, 2025 | [194] | 35.7 | 34.7 | 14.9 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 3.8 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,052 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1.0 |
| Ekos | March 5, 2025 | [195] | 35.5 | 40.7 | 12.8 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | ±2.29 pp | 1,980 | IVR | 5.2 |
| Leger | March 2, 2025 | [196] | 43 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.49 pp | 1,548 | online | 13 |
| Innovative Research | February 28, 2025 | [197] | 38 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | N/a | 1,488 | 7 | |
| Nanos Research | February 28, 2025 | [198] | 36.5 | 34.3 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 3.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,024 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2.2 |
| Abacus Data | February 25, 2025 | [199] | 41 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 1,500 | online | 12 |
| Ipsos | February 24, 2025 | [200] | 36 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | 2 | |
| Innovative Research | February 24, 2025 | [201] | 39 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | N/a | 1,789 | 9 | |
| Ekos | February 24, 2025 | [202] | 37.0 | 38.4 | 11.8 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,239 | IVR | 1.4 |
| Pollara | February 24, 2025 | [203] | 42 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±2.5 pp | 1,506 | online | 10 |
| Leger | February 23, 2025 | [204] | 38 | 35 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,534 | 3 | |
| Nanos Research | February 21, 2025 | [205] | 36.9 | 33.3 | 16.0 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 3.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,026 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.6 |
| Leger | February 17, 2025 | [206] | 41 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,550 | online | 8 |
| Innovative Research | February 17, 2025 | [207] | 40 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | N/a | 2,015 | 13 | |
| Nanos Research | February 14, 2025 | [208] | 38.6 | 31.5 | 14.9 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 4.4 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,018 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.1 |
| Mainstreet Research | February 13, 2025 | [209] | 39 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.9 pp | 1,128 | text/online | 3 |
| Ekos | February 13, 2025 | [210] | 38.8 | 33.8 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 1.1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,468 | IVR | 5.0 |
| Abacus Data | February 12, 2025 | [211] | 45 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | N/a | 1,000 | online | 20 |
| February 11, 2025 | [211] | 46 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | N/a | 1,000 | 19 | ||
| Leger | February 10, 2025 | [212] | 40 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | ±2.46 pp | 1,590 | 9 | |
| Innovative Research | February 7, 2025 | [213] | 40 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | N/a | 1,795 | 13 | |
| Nanos Research | February 7, 2025 | [214] | 38.3 | 30.1 | 16.4 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 4.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,005 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 8.2 |
| Pallas Data | February 6, 2025 | [215] | 39.6 | 33.7 | 11.9 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | ±2.8 pp | 1,241 | IVR | 5.9 |
| The Green Party concludes its co-leadership vote, with Elizabeth May and Jonathan Pedneault re-elected as co-leaders. | |||||||||||||
| Ipsos | February 3, 2025 | [216] | 41 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 13 |
| Nanos Research | January 31, 2025 | [217] | 41.6 | 26.2 | 17.3 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 5.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,025 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.4 |
| Ekos | January 29, 2025 | [218] | 33.9 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 0.2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,025 | telephone/online | 1.9 |
| January 27, 2025 | [218] | 35.7 | 32.7 | 13.1 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 1.9 | ±2.6 pp | 1,448 | IVR | 3.0 | |
| Leger | January 26, 2025 | [219] | 43 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,527 | online | 18 |
| Abacus Data | January 26, 2025 | [220] | 43 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | ±2.2 pp | 2,205 | 21 | |
| Nanos Research | January 24, 2025 | [221] | 42.0 | 24.9 | 18.0 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 5.6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,023 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.1 |
| Ekos | January 21, 2025 | [222] | 38.5 | 31.7 | 14.2 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,018 | IVR | 6.8 |
| Nanos Research | January 17, 2025 | [223] | 45.2 | 20.8 | 18.7 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 5.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,040 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 24.4 |
| Ekos | January 16, 2025 | [224] | 39.0 | 28.0 | 17.4 | 7.4 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,036 | IVR | 11.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 15, 2025 | [225] | 45 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.1 pp | 2,205 | text/online | 19 |
| Abacus Data | January 14, 2025 | [226] | 46 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | ±2.3 pp | 1,500 | online | 26 |
| Leger | January 13, 2025 | [227] | 47 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,545 | 26 | |
| Nanos Research | January 10, 2025 | [228] | 47.0 | 19.6 | 17.9 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 5.2 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,001 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 27.4 |
| Relay Strategies | January 8, 2025 | [229] | 45 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 4 | N/a | ±3 pp | 1,270 | online | 24 |
| Ekos | January 8, 2025 | [230] | 41.6 | 25.8 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 1.9 | ±3.2 pp | 953 | IVR | 15.8 |
| Abacus Data | January 7, 2025 | [231] | 47 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ±2.0 pp | 2,500 | online | 27 |
| Ipsos | January 7, 2025 | [232] | 46 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | 26 | |
| Pallas Data | January 6, 2025 | [233] | 42.0 | 25.3 | 17.6 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | ±2.7 pp | 1,328 | IVR | 16.7 |
| Justin Trudeau announces his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and Prime Minister, triggering a leadership election. | |||||||||||||
| Research Co. | January 5, 2025 | [234] | 47 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,002 | online | 26 |
| Nanos Research | January 3, 2025 | [235] | 45.2 | 22.5 | 16.4 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 22.7 |
| Angus Reid | December 30, 2024 | [236] | 45 | 16 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | ±2 pp | 2,261 | online | 24 |
| Innovative Research | December 30, 2024 | [237] | 43 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 4 | N/a | N/a | 1,016 | 21 | |
| Nanos Research | December 27, 2024 | [238] | 46.6 | 21.3 | 16.6 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 5.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,014 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 25.3 |
| Leger | December 22, 2024 | [239] | 43 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,521 | online | 23 |
| Ipsos | December 20, 2024 | [240] | 45 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | 25 | |
| Nanos Research | December 20, 2024 | [241] | 43.7 | 23.8 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 4.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,032 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.9 |
| Ekos | December 19, 2024 | [242] | 44.4 | 19.4 | 18.2 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 2.9 | ±3.0 pp | 1,061 | IVR | 25.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 18, 2024 | [243] | 48 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,227 | text/online | 29 |
| Abacus Data | December 17, 2024 | [244] | 45 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.9 pp | 1,186 | online | 25 |
| A federal by-election was held in Cloverdale—Langley City. Conservative Tamara Jansen flipped the seat from the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | December 16, 2024 | [244][245] | 44 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | N/a | 2,595 | online | 23 |
| Innovative Research | December 15, 2024 | [237] | 42 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | N/a | N/a | 984 | 16 | |
| Ekos | December 15, 2024 | [242] | 42 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.4 pp | 1,705 | IVR | 18 |
| Nanos Research | December 13, 2024 | [246] | 43.3 | 23.2 | 20.0 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 4.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,031 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 20.1 |
| Ipsos | December 10, 2024 | [247] | 44 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | online | 23 |
| Relay Strategies | December 7, 2024 | [248] | 44 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 5 | N/a | ±3 pp | 1,270 | 23 | |
| Nanos Research | December 6, 2024 | [249] | 42.1 | 23.1 | 21.2 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 4.8 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,058 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.0 |
| Angus Reid | December 5, 2024 | [250] | 43 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 4,004 | online | 22 |
| Abacus Data | December 4, 2024 | [251] | 44 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | ±1.9 pp | 2,720 | 23 | |
| Leger | December 1, 2024 | [252] | 43 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,532 | 22 | |
| Nanos Research | November 29, 2024 | [253] | 42.0 | 23.4 | 20.6 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 4.4 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,042 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 18.6 |
| Ekos | November 28, 2024 | [254] | 39.7 | 25.5 | 16.8 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 5.8 | 2.3 | ±2.0 pp | 2,387 (17/23) | IVR (rolling) | 14.2 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 24, 2024 | [255] | 47 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | ±3 pp | 1,097 | text/online | 30 |
| Nanos Research | November 22, 2024 | [256] | 41.4 | 23.0 | 20.3 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 5.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,003 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 18.4 |
| Abacus Data | November 19, 2024 | [257] | 43 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,915 | online | 22 |
| Nanos Research | November 15, 2024 | [258] | 40.3 | 25.1 | 19.5 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 5.7 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,055 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.2 |
| Ekos | November 11, 2024 | [259] | 38.6 | 28.1 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 1.8 | ±2.8 pp | 1,241 | IVR (rolling) | 10.5 |
| Nanos Research | November 8, 2024 | [260] | 40.9 | 24.8 | 19.4 | 8.9 | 1.3 | 4.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,023 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.1 |
| Abacus Data | November 5, 2024 | [261] | 41 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,915 | online | 19 |
| Leger | November 3, 2024 | [262] | 42 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,549 | 16 | |
| Nanos Research | November 1, 2024 | [263] | 40.3 | 24.2 | 20.5 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 5.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,039 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.1 |
| Ekos | October 30, 2024 | [264] | 37.2 | 24.6 | 18.4 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 2.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,340 | IVR | 12.6 |
| Angus Reid | October 26, 2024 | [265] | 43 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | ±2 pp | 1,627 | online | 22 |
| Nanos Research | October 25, 2024 | [266] | 38.7 | 25.8 | 19.8 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 5.4 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,047 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.9 |
| Abacus Data | October 22, 2024 | [267] | 44 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | online | 22 |
| Nanos Research | October 18, 2024 | [268] | 38.0 | 24.5 | 20.4 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 6.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,037 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.5 |
| October 11, 2024 | [269] | 38.7 | 23.2 | 20.6 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 7.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,009 (1/4) | 15.5 | ||
| Campaign Research | October 10, 2024 | [270] | 41 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | N/a | 5,018 | online | 17 |
| Abacus Data | October 10, 2024 | [271] | 43 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,900 | 21 | |
| Pallas Data | October 5, 2024 | [272] | 43.6 | 22.4 | 18.7 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | ±2.7 pp | 1,304 | IVR | 21.2 |
| Nanos Research | October 4, 2024 | [273] | 40.3 | 21.8 | 21.3 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 6.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,009 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 18.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | September 30, 2024 | [274] | 44 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ±3 pp | 1,091 | IVR | 24 |
| Leger | September 29, 2024 | [275] | 42 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.43 pp | 1,626 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | September 27, 2024 | [276] | 41.6 | 21.5 | 21.6 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 5.7 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,045 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 20.0 |
| Abacus Data | September 25, 2024 | [277] | 43 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,700 | online | 22 |
| Ekos | September 23, 2024 | [278] | 40.4 | 24.8 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | ±3.2 pp | 967 | IVR | 15.6 |
| Leger | September 22, 2024 | [279] | 44 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.48 pp | 1,556 | online | 20 |
| Nanos Research | September 20, 2024 | [280] | 41.9 | 25.3 | 21.1 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 3.9 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,059 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.6 |
| Angus Reid | September 18, 2024 | [281] | 43 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | ±2 pp | 3,985 | online | 22 |
| A federal by-election was held in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun. Louis-Philippe Sauvé of the Bloc Québécois flipped the seat from the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| A federal by-election was held in Elmwood—Transcona. Leila Dance held the seat for the NDP. | |||||||||||||
| Relay Strategies | September 16, 2024 | [282] | 42.5 | 22.5 | 17.8 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 5.5 | N/a | ±2 pp | 1,774 | online | 20 |
| Nanos Research | September 13, 2024 | [283] | 41.6 | 24.5 | 22.4 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 3.2 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,059 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.1 |
| Abacus Data | September 12, 2024 | [284] | 43 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | ±1.8 pp | 2,964 | online | 21 |
| Ipsos | September 10, 2024 | [285] | 45 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | 19 | |
| Leger | September 8, 2024 | [286] | 45 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,521 | 20 | |
| Nanos Research | September 6, 2024 | [287] | 38.9 | 26.7 | 20.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 0.9 | ±2.9 pp | 1,120 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.2 |
| The NDP ends its supply-and-confidence agreement with the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| Angus Reid | September 3, 2024 | [288] | 43 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,420 | online | 22 |
| Nanos Research | August 30, 2024 | [289] | 38.9 | 25.8 | 20.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 1.3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,117 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.1 |
| Leger | August 25, 2024 | [290] | 43 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,602 | online | 18 |
| Nanos Research | August 23, 2024 | [291] | 39.8 | 24.7 | 18.9 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 1.5 | ±3.0 pp | 1,092 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.1 |
| Ekos | August 19, 2024 | [292] | 38.2 | 23.7 | 18.2 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 2.7 | ±2.3 pp | 1,801 | IVR | 14.5 |
| Abacus Data | August 18, 2024 | [293] | 42 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | ±2.1 pp | 2,300 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | August 16, 2024 | [294] | 40.5 | 26.2 | 16.3 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 1.5 | ±3.0 pp | 1,089 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 14.3 |
| Research Co. | August 14, 2024 | [295] | 40 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,002 | online | 15 |
| Nanos Research | August 9, 2024 | [296] | 40.7 | 26.7 | 16.9 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 1.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,036 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 14.0 |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2024 | [297] | 43 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ±2.489 pp | 1,550 | online | 20 |
| Nanos Research | August 2, 2024 | [298] | 41.7 | 25.4 | 17.4 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,006 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.3 |
| Ekos | July 31, 2024 | [299] | 41.8 | 23.5 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | ±1.52 pp | 4,165 (5/7) | IVR (rolling) | 18.3 |
| Leger | July 28, 2024 | [300] | 41 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,601 | online | 18 |
| Nanos Research | July 26, 2024 | [301] | 41.2 | 25.8 | 17.4 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,032 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.4 |
| Abacus Data | July 22, 2024 | [302] | 42 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | ±2.191 pp | 2,000 | online | 19 |
| Nanos Research | July 19, 2024 | [303] | 40.8 | 25.6 | 17.6 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 0.8 | ±3.0 pp | 1,061 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.2 |
| July 12, 2024 | [304] | 42.2 | 24.9 | 17.1 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 0.5 | ±2.9 pp | 1,120 (1/4) | 17.3 | ||
| Mainstreet Research | July 9, 2024 | [305] | 45 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,184 | IVR | 22 |
| Abacus Data | July 9, 2024 | [306] | 43 | 23 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 1,989 | online | 20 |
| Nanos Research | July 5, 2024 | [307] | 41.0 | 25.7 | 17.3 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | ±2.9 pp | 1,128 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.3 |
| June 28, 2024 | [308] | 41.4 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,117 (1/4) | 14.9 | ||
| Ekos | June 26, 2024 | [309] | 41 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | ±3.4 pp | 818 | IVR (rolling) | 16 |
| Abacus Data | June 25, 2024 | [310] | 42 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±2.248 pp | 1,900 | online | 19 |
| A federal by-election was held in Toronto—St. Paul's. Conservative Don Stewart flipped the seat from the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| Leger | June 23, 2024 | [311] | 41 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,607 | online | 14 |
| Spark Advocacy | June 21, 2024 | [312] | 42 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | N/a | 2,688 | 19 | |
| Nanos Research | June 21, 2024 | [313] | 41.3 | 26.8 | 16.8 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 0.3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,142 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 14.5 |
| Angus Reid | June 17, 2024 | [314] | 42 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2 pp | 3,080 | online | 21 |
| Ipsos | June 14, 2024 | [315] | 42 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | 18 | |
| Nanos Research | June 14, 2024 | [316] | 41.3 | 27.1 | 17.5 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.1 | ±3.0 pp | 1,103 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 14.2 |
| Abacus Data | June 13, 2024 | [317] | 42 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.53 pp | 1,550 | online | 20 |
| Ekos | June 11, 2024 | [309] | 45 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | ±1.8 pp | 3,006 | IVR | 24 |
| Nanos Research | June 7, 2024 | [318] | 40.8 | 28.5 | 17.9 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,100 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.3 |
| May 31, 2024 | [319] | 41.5 | 26.2 | 18.2 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 0.2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,154 (1/4) | online | 15.3 | |
| Leger | May 26, 2024 | [320] | 42 | 23 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.44 pp | 1,620 | 19 | |
| Nanos Research | May 24, 2024 | [321] | 41.7 | 26.3 | 18.6 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 0.2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,105 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.4 |
| Abacus Data | May 21, 2024 | [322] | 41 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,415 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | May 17, 2024 | [323] | 42.8 | 25.0 | 17.1 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | ±2.9 pp | 1,152 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.8 |
| Abacus Data | May 15, 2024 | [324] | 43 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,000 | online | 19 |
| Ipsos | May 13, 2024 | [325] | 44 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | 19 | |
| Nanos Research | May 10, 2024 | [326] | 43.2 | 22.8 | 15.9 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 | ±2.9 pp | 1,135 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 20.4 |
| Relay Strategies | May 9, 2024 | [327] | 45 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±3 pp | 1,555 | online | 22 |
| Nanos Research | May 3, 2024 | [328] | 42.4 | 24.4 | 16.1 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 5.2 | N/a | ±3 pp | 1,082 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 18.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 30, 2024 | [329] | 43.2 | 25.4 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 2.9 | ±2.6 pp | 1,392 | IVR | 17.8 |
| Abacus Data | April 29, 2024 | [330] | 44 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 21 |
| Leger | April 28, 2024 | [331] | 44 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.44 pp | 1,610 | 21 | |
| Nanos Research | April 26, 2024 | [332] | 43.6 | 23.7 | 16.3 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | ±3 pp | 1,105 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.9 |
| Angus Reid | April 23, 2024 | [333] | 43 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ±2 pp | 3,015 | online | 20 |
| Ekos | April 22, 2024 | [334] | 36.9 | 25.9 | 22.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,033 | telephone/online | 11.0 |
| Innovative Research | April 21, 2024 | [335] | 41 | 26 | 17 | 8 | N/a | 5 | 3 | N/a | 1,408 | online | 15 |
| Nanos Research | April 19, 2024 | [336] | 41.8 | 23.3 | 19.1 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,037 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 18.5 |
| Ipsos | April 18, 2024 | [337] | 43 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 19 |
| Abacus Data | April 16, 2024 | [338] | 43 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,300 | 20 | |
| Nanos Research | April 12, 2024 | [339] | 40.0 | 23.7 | 20.6 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 | ±3 pp | 1,053 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.3 |
| Research Co. | April 10, 2024 | [340] | 38 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,001 | online | 12 |
| Abacus Data | April 9, 2024 | [341] | 44 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | 20 | |
| Pallas Data | April 8, 2024 | [342] | 41.3 | 26.4 | 17.5 | 7 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 1.0 | ±2 pp | 2,375 | IVR | 14.9 |
| Nanos Research | April 5, 2024 | [343] | 38.4 | 25.9 | 18.9 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 | ±3 pp | 1,089 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.5 |
| March 29, 2024 | [344] | 37.5 | 25.7 | 18.7 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 1.3 | ±3 pp | 1,075 (1/4) | 11.8 | ||
| Leger | March 25, 2024 | [345] | 42 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,605 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | March 22, 2024 | [346] | 39.3 | 24.1 | 19.8 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | ±3 pp | 1,092 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.2 |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2024 | [347] | 41 | 23 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ±1.7 pp | 3,550 | online | 18 |
| Ipsos | March 18, 2024 | [348] | 41 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | 18 | |
| Nanos Research | March 15, 2024 | [349] | 39.2 | 24.7 | 20.3 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.1 | ±3 pp | 1,092 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 14.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 9, 2024 | [350] | 45.6 | 24.9 | 15.4 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | ±2.7 pp | 1,274 | IVR | 20.7 |
| Nanos Research | March 8, 2024 | [351] | 40.6 | 23.3 | 21.2 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.3 |
| Abacus Data | March 6, 2024 | [352] | 42 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | online | 18 |
| Angus Reid | March 4, 2024 | [353] | 40 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2 pp | 3,908 | 17 | |
| A federal by-election was held in Durham. Jamil Jivani held the seat for the Conservative Party. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | March 1, 2024 | [354] | 42.8 | 23.3 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.5 |
| Leger | February 25, 2024 | [355] | 41 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,590 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | February 23, 2024 | [356] | 40.8 | 23.4 | 22.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 1.0 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.4 |
| Abacus Data | February 21, 2024 | [357] | 41 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,125 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | February 16, 2024 | [358] | 40.6 | 23.8 | 21.9 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.8 |
| February 9, 2024 | [359] | 40.2 | 24.0 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 16.2 | ||
| Abacus Data | February 7, 2024 | [360] | 43 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | ±2.0 pp | 2,398 | online | 19 |
| Nanos Research | February 2, 2024 | [361] | 40.0 | 24.7 | 20.6 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 5.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.3 |
| Leger | January 28, 2024 | [362] | 40 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.47 pp | 1,579 | online | 15 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 26, 2024 | [363] | 43 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±3.2 pp | 947 | IVR | 17 |
| Nanos Research | January 26, 2024 | [364] | 39.0 | 27.1 | 20.4 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 4.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.9 |
| Abacus Data | January 23, 2024 | [365] | 40 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | ±2.1 pp | 2,199 | online | 15 |
| Ipsos | January 22, 2024 | [366] | 36 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | January 19, 2024 | [367] | 38.7 | 26.2 | 21.1 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 3.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.5 |
| Angus Reid | January 17, 2024 | [368] | 41 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ±2 pp | 1,620 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | January 12, 2024 | [369] | 39.4 | 27.6 | 19.6 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 3.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.8 |
| Abacus Data | January 9, 2024 | [370] | 41 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | January 5, 2024 | [371] | 38.3 | 26.4 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 4.2 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.9 |
| December 29, 2023 | [372] | 40.3 | 26.6 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 4.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 13.7 | ||
| Spark Advocacy | December 27, 2023 | [373] | 40 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 3 | N/a | ±2.0 pp | 2,175 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | December 22, 2023 | [374] | 40.6 | 27.0 | 18.2 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 5.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.6 |
| Leger | December 17, 2023 | [375] | 38 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.43 pp | 1,622 | online | 10 |
| Pallas Data | December 15, 2023 | [376] | 40.5 | 27.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 0.4 | ±2.9 pp | 1,177 | 13.3 | |
| Nanos Research | December 15, 2023 | [377] | 40.8 | 24.9 | 20.4 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 5.6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.9 |
| Abacus Data | December 12, 2023 | [378] | 37 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,919 | online | 10 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 9, 2023 | [379] | 42 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 879 | IVR | 18 |
| Nanos Research | December 8, 2023 | [380] | 39.8 | 26.1 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 5.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.7 |
| Innovative Research | December 5, 2023 | [381] | 40 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 5 | N/a | N/a | 5,534 | online | 16 |
| Angus Reid | December 1, 2023 | [382] | 41 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ±1.5 pp | 3,755 | 17 | |
| Nanos Research | December 1, 2023 | [383] | 40.4 | 23.4 | 21.2 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 5.2 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.0 |
| Abacus Data | November 28, 2023 | [384] | 42 | 23 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,417 | online | 19 |
| Research Co. | November 27, 2023 | [385] | 38 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | 14 | |
| Pluriel Research | November 26, 2023 | [386] | 39 | 25 | 19 | 7 | N/a | 6 | 4 | ±2.6 pp | 1,374 | 14 | |
| Leger | November 26, 2023 | [387] | 40 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,529 | 14 | |
| Nanos Research | November 24, 2023 | [388] | 41.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 5.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.0 |
| Abacus Data | November 22, 2023 | [389] | 39 | 24 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±1.7 pp | 3,450 | online | 15 |
| Ipsos | November 17, 2023 | [390] | 40 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | 16 | |
| Nanos Research | November 17, 2023 | [391] | 39 | 24 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15 |
| Angus Reid | November 14, 2023 | [392] | 41 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 2,512 | online | 14 |
| Abacus Data | November 12, 2023 | [393] | 41 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 | N/a | ±2.3 pp | 2,000 | 16 | |
| Nanos Research | November 10, 2023 | [394] | 40.3 | 22.4 | 20.3 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 7.2 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.9 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 6, 2023 | [395] | 41.0 | 25.8 | 18.2 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | ±2.3 pp | 1,892 | IVR | 15.2 |
| Nanos Research | November 3, 2023 | [396] | 40 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15 |
| Abacus Data | November 1, 2023 | [397] | 39 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,200 | online | 13 |
| Innovative Research | October 31, 2023 | [398] | 38 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 5 | N/a | N/a | 5,974 | 14 | |
| Leger | October 29, 2023 | [399] | 40 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,632 | 14 | |
| Nanos Research | October 27, 2023 | [400] | 37.7 | 25.4 | 19.9 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 7.9 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.3 |
| Pallas Data | October 22, 2023 | [401] | 42.5 | 26.5 | 16.1 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,484 | IVR | 16.0 |
| Nanos Research | October 20, 2023 | [402] | 39.5 | 23.6 | 19.3 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 7.5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.9 |
| Angus Reid | October 13, 2023 | [403] | 39 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2 pp | 1,878 | online | 11 |
| Nanos Research | October 13, 2023 | [404] | 40 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15 |
| Mainstreet Research | October 12, 2023 | [405] | 41 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,223 | IVR | 14 |
| Abacus Data | October 10, 2023 | [406] | 40 | 26 | 19 | 7 | N/a | 5 | N/a | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | October 6, 2023 | [407] | 38 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12 |
| Abacus Data | October 5, 2023 | [408] | 39 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | N/a | ±2.2 pp | 1,985 | online | 13 |
| Nanos Research | September 29, 2023 | [409] | 37.9 | 26.5 | 21.2 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 5.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.4 |
| Leger | September 24, 2023 | [410] | 39 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.4 pp | 1,652 | online | 12 |
| Ekos | September 24, 2023 | [411] | 42.1 | 22.9 | 17.9 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 6.9 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,025 | IVR | 19.2 |
| Nanos Research | September 22, 2023 | [412] | 35.6 | 28.6 | 21.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 5.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.0 |
| Ipsos | September 18, 2023 | [413] | 39 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,500 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | September 15, 2023 | [414] | 34.9 | 28.9 | 22.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 4.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6.0 |
| Abacus Data | September 13, 2023 | [415] | 41 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,125 | online | 15 |
| Pluriel Research | September 8, 2023 | [416] | 37.9 | 29.1 | 19.6 | 6.4 | N/a | 4.0 | 3.0 | ±3 pp | 1,001 | 8.8 | |
| Nanos Research | September 8, 2023 | [417] | 34.0 | 29.0 | 21.8 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 5.2 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5.0 |
| Angus Reid | September 6, 2023 | [418] | 39 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±1.5 pp | 3,400 | online | 12 |
| Research Co. | September 4, 2023 | [419] | 37 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | 6 | |
| Abacus Data | September 4, 2023 | [420] | 40 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±1.7 pp | 3,595 | 14 | |
| Nanos Research | September 1, 2023 | [421] | 32 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0 |
| Leger | August 27, 2023 | [422] | 38 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,597 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | August 25, 2023 | [423] | 33 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2023 | [424] | 41 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | ±2.7 pp | 1,280 | IVR | 13 |
| Abacus Data | August 23, 2023 | [425] | 38 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | N/a | ±2.0 pp | 2,189 | online | 12 |
| Nanos Research | August 18, 2023 | [426] | 34.1 | 29.5 | 19.8 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 6.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 4.6 |
| Pallas Data | August 17, 2023 | [427] | 39.1 | 29.6 | 16.6 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 1.2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 | IVR | 9.5 |
| Angus Reid | August 11, 2023 | [428] | 38 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | ±2 pp | 1,606 | online | 7 |
| Nanos Research | August 11, 2023 | [429] | 35 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2023 | [430] | 37 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 1,650 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | August 4, 2023 | [431] | 37 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 10 |
| July 28, 2023 | [432] | 36 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 7 | ||
| Abacus Data | July 25, 2023 | [433] | 38 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,486 | online | 10 |
| A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage. Shuvaloy Majumdar held the seat for the Conservative Party. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | July 21, 2023 | [434] | 35.4 | 28.6 | 19.6 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 5.9 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6.8 |
| July 14, 2023 | [435] | 35 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 6 | ||
| Leger | July 10, 2023 | [436] | 37 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,512 | online | 9 |
| Mainstreet Research | July 8, 2023 | [437] | 37 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,200 | IVR | 7 |
| Nanos Research | July 7, 2023 | [438] | 37 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
| June 30, 2023 | [439] | 35.8 | 29.6 | 18.9 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 6.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 6.2 | ||
| Abacus Data | June 27, 2023 | [440] | 34 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 1,500 | online | 5 |
| Pollara | June 23, 2023 | [441] | 32 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±1.2 pp | 7,001 | 2 | |
| Nanos Research | June 23, 2023 | [442] | 35 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Ipsos | June 20, 2023 | [443] | 37 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | online | 5 |
| A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount. Anna Gainey held the seat for the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| A federal by-election was held in Oxford. Arpan Khanna held the seat for the Conservative Party. | |||||||||||||
| A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar. Branden Leslie held the seat for the Conservative Party. | |||||||||||||
| A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre. Ben Carr held the seat for the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | June 16, 2023 | [444] | 35 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Abacus Data | June 11, 2023 | [445] | 35 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,000 | online | 7 |
| Nanos Research | June 9, 2023 | [446] | 32 | 30 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2 |
| Mainstreet Research | June 8, 2023 | [447] | 35 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | ±3 pp | 1,045 | IVR | 6 |
| Angus Reid | June 3, 2023 | [448] | 37 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±1 pp | 3,885 | online | 8 |
| Nanos Research | June 2, 2023 | [439] | 32.4 | 29.3 | 23.8 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 3.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.1 |
| Leger | May 29, 2023 | [449] | 31 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,531 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | May 26, 2023 | [450] | 33 | 28 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 4 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| May 19, 2023 | [451] | 34 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 7 | ||
| Abacus Data | May 12, 2023 | [452] | 33 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,500 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | May 12, 2023 | [453] | 36 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 4 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 9 |
| Leger | May 8, 2023 | [454] | 33 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.51 pp | 1,523 | online | 1 |
| Mainstreet Research | May 6, 2023 | [455] | 36 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,272 | IVR | 6 |
| Nanos Research | May 5, 2023 | [456] | 35.2 | 27.7 | 21.7 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 4.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.5 |
| Abacus Data | May 3, 2023 | [457] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,750 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | April 28, 2023 | [458] | 35 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Leger | April 23, 2023 | [459] | 36 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | N/a | 1,515 | online | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 21, 2023 | [460] | 34 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 4 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| April 14, 2023 | [461] | 34 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 3 | ||
| Leger | April 10, 2023 | [462] | 34 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.52 pp | 1,517 | online | 4 |
| Nanos Research | April 7, 2023 | [463] | 35.8 | 30.6 | 18.1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 5.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5.2 |
| March 31, 2023 | [464] | 36 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 8 | ||
| Mainstreet Research | March 30, 2023 | [465] | 35.9 | 28.9 | 18.1 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 2.1 | ±2.8 pp | 1,267 | IVR | 7.0 |
| Nanos Research | March 24, 2023 | [466] | 34.8 | 28.9 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 5.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5.9 |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2023 | [467] | 33 | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,963 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | March 17, 2023 | [468] | 34 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
| Angus Reid | March 13, 2023 | [469] | 35 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±1 pp | 4,899 | online | 6 |
| Ekos | March 13, 2023 | [470] | 31.4 | 28.2 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 1.1 | ±1.6 pp | 3,115 | telephone/online | 3.2 |
| Leger | March 12, 2023 | [471] | 32 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,544 | online | 1 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 10, 2023 | [472] | 36.9 | 30.8 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 2.7 | ±2.8 pp | 1,255 | IVR | 6.1 |
| Abacus Data | March 10, 2023 | [473] | 34 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | March 10, 2023 | [474] | 32.8 | 28.4 | 20.6 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 5.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 4.4 |
| Abacus Data | March 4, 2023 | [475] | 36 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ±2.0 pp | 2,600 | online | 7 |
| Nanos Research | March 3, 2023 | [476] | 34 | 30 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (3/4) | telephone (rolling) | 4 |
| Research Co. | February 27, 2023 | [477] | 33 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 1 |
| Abacus Data | February 18, 2023 | [478] | 37 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±1.6 pp | 4,000 | 8 | |
| Ipsos | February 17, 2023 | [479] | 33 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,350 | 0 | |
| Leger | February 12, 2023 | [480] | 35 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,539 | 3 | |
| Nanos Research | February 10, 2023 | [481] | 32.9 | 33.1 | 20.5 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 4.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.2 |
| Pollara | February 6, 2023 | [482] | 32 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 3,850 | online | 0 |
| Abacus Data | January 30, 2023 | [483] | 37 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | 8 | |
| Mainstreet Research | January 27, 2023 | [484] | 36.9 | 33.1 | 13.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.8 | ±2.8 pp | 1,261 | IVR | 3.8 |
| Nanos Research | January 27, 2023 | [485] | 34 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| Leger | January 22, 2023 | [486] | 34 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,554 | online | 0 |
| Nanos Research | January 20, 2023 | [487] | 35 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Abacus Data | January 16, 2023 | [488] | 35 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,099 | online | 4 |
| Nanos Research | January 13, 2023 | [489] | 35.6 | 28.3 | 20.7 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 5.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.3 |
| Pollara | January 12, 2023 | [482] | 32 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | N/a | N/a | 3,020 | online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | January 6, 2023 | [490] | 34 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| December 30, 2022 | [491] | 34 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 5 | ||
| December 23, 2022 | [492] | 35 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 6 | ||
| Pollara | December 20, 2022 | [482] | 33 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 5 | N/a | N/a | 4,020 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | December 16, 2022 | [493] | 35 | 29 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 15, 2022 | [494] | 36.0 | 31.3 | 18.6 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 | ±2.6 pp | 1,416 | IVR | 4.7 |
| A federal by-election was held in Mississauga—Lakeshore. Charles Sousa held the seat for the Liberal Party. | |||||||||||||
| Leger | December 11, 2022 | [495] | 33 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ±2.50 pp | 1,526 | online | 3 |
| Abacus Data | December 10, 2022 | [496] | 36 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | N/a | 2,500 | 6 | |
| Nanos Research | December 9, 2022 | [497] | 33.6 | 30.3 | 20.9 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 5.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.3 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 8, 2022 | [498] | 37.9 | 33.6 | 16.4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,267 | IVR | 4.3 |
| Nanos Research | December 2, 2022 | [499] | 33 | 31 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2 |
| November 25, 2022 | [500] | 30.3 | 31.0 | 22.5 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 4.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | 0.7 | ||
| Ekos | November 23, 2022 | [501] | 33.6 | 31.3 | 18.1 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 1.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,034 | IVR | 2.3 |
| Elizabeth May is elected leader of the Green Party. | |||||||||||||
| Innovative Research | November 14, 2022 | [502] | 33 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | N/a | 2,236 | online | 1 |
| Leger | November 13, 2022 | [503] | 34 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.50 pp | 1,537 | 2 | |
| Nanos Research | November 11, 2022 | [497] | 31.3 | 32.9 | 20.0 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 5.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 1.6 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 7, 2022 | [504] | 37.6 | 30.3 | 19.3 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | ±2.7 pp | 1,276 | IVR | 7.3 |
| Pollara | November 3, 2022 | [482] | 33 | 31 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 3 | N/a | N/a | 3,418 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | October 28, 2022 | [500] | 34.4 | 32.1 | 16.9 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 4.3 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2.3 |
| Research Co. | October 26, 2022 | [505] | 35 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 4 |
| Abacus Data | October 26, 2022 | [506] | 34 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 1,500 | 3 | |
| Nanos Research | October 21, 2022 | [507] | 36 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 4 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| October 14, 2022 | [508] | 35 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 1 | ||
| Leger | October 10, 2022 | [509] | 33 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,534 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | October 7, 2022 | [510] | 33 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1 |
| September 30, 2022 | [511] | 33 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | 4 | ||
| Mainstreet Research | September 22, 2022 | [512] | 40.8 | 32.7 | 12.4 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,088 | IVR | 8.1 |
| Angus Reid | September 22, 2022 | [513] | 37 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2 pp | 5,014 | online | 7 |
| Ipsos | September 21, 2022 | [514] | 35 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | 5 | |
| Leger | September 18, 2022 | [515] | 34 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,522 | 6 | |
| Ekos | September 16, 2022 | [516] | 33.7 | 31.7 | 20.1 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,005 | IVR | 2.0 |
| Nanos Research | September 16, 2022 | [517] | 30.7 | 28.4 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 4.8 | N/a | ±3.00 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 2.3 |
| Abacus Data | September 14, 2022 | [518] | 35 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 1,990 | online | 5 |
| Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party. | |||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | August 30, 2022 | [519] | 33 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | August 19, 2022 | [517] | 32.5 | 33.3 | 20.1 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | N/a | ±3.00 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.8 |
| Leger | August 7, 2022 | [520] | 28 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ±2.52 pp | 1,509 | online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | August 5, 2022 | [521] | 32.6 | 29.0 | 22.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 6.8 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 3.6 |
| Abacus Data | July 27, 2022 | [522] | 35 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,400 | online | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | July 18, 2022 | [523] | 38.3 | 27.6 | 18.1 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | ±2.3 pp | 1,749 | 10.7 | |
| Abacus Data | July 17, 2022 | [524] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | 2 | |
| Leger | July 10, 2022 | [525] | 28 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | ±2.49 pp | 1,538 | 4 | |
| Nanos Research | July 8, 2022 | [521] | 34.1 | 30.6 | 20.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 5.4 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (3/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.5 |
| Abacus Data | June 23, 2022 | [526] | 34 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 3,026 | online | 4 |
| Ipsos | June 20, 2022 | [527] | 33 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 2,002 | 1 | |
| Nanos Research | June 17, 2022 | [528] | 35.5 | 30.5 | 19.2 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 5.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | June 16, 2022 | [529] | 25.8 | 34.0 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,200 | online | 8.2 |
| Leger | June 12, 2022 | [530] | 32 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,528 | 2 | |
| Abacus Data | May 24, 2022 | [531] | 31 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | 0 | |
| Nanos Research | May 20, 2022 | [528] | 32.5 | 34.4 | 19.6 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 1.9 |
| Ekos | May 17, 2022 | [532] | 35.4 | 29.2 | 19.9 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,244 | IVR | 6.2 |
| May 9, 2022 | [533] | 31.4 | 31.8 | 20.3 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 2 | ±2.1 pp | 2,140 | 0.4 | ||
| Abacus Data | May 6, 2022 | [534] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 29, 2022 | [535] | 38.4 | 32.2 | 16.9 | 6.7 | N/a | 2.8 | 3.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,327 | IVR | 6.2 |
| Nanos Research | April 22, 2022 | [536] | 35.6 | 30.0 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 5.5 | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 5.6 |
| Leger | April 10, 2022 | [537] | 29 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,538 | online | 2 |
| Abacus Data | April 9, 2022 | [538] | 31 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | 2 | |
| Nanos Research | April 8, 2022 | [539] | 33 | 33 | 18 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0 |
| April 1, 2022 | [539] | 31 | 33 | 21 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | 2 | ||
| Abacus Data | March 25, 2022 | [540] | 33 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | March 25, 2022 | [536] | 31.3 | 32.2 | 21.6 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 4.8 | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.9 |
| The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | March 11, 2022 | [541] | 29.3 | 32.1 | 22.2 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 2.8 |
| Leger | March 6, 2022 | [542] | 28 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,591 | online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | February 25, 2022 | [543] | 32.2 | 30.3 | 17.7 | N/a | 5.4 | 6.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 1.9 |
| Abacus Data | February 22, 2022 | [544] | 31 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±1.4 pp | 5,200 | online | 0 |
| Ipsos | February 21, 2022 | [545] | 32 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | 0 | |
| Mainstreet Research | February 17, 2022 | [546] | 38.7 | 30.6 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | ±2.7 pp | 1,323 | IVR | 8.1 |
| Nanos Research | February 11, 2022 | [547] | 31.1 | 30.6 | 16.9 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 6.4 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.5 |
| Abacus Data | February 8, 2022 | [548] | 30 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 3 |
| Leger | February 6, 2022 | [549] | 29 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ±2.49 pp | 1,546 | 4 | |
| Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | January 28, 2022 | [550] | 30.4 | 29.9 | 20.7 | N/a | 6.7 | 5.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 23, 2022 | [551] | 29.3 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 12.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | ±2.3 pp | 1,813 | IVR | 0.1 |
| Leger | January 23, 2022 | [552] | 31 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.51 pp | 1,525 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | January 21, 2022 | [553] | 29.4 | 28.4 | 22.3 | 5.6 | N/a | 7.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1.0 |
| Ekos | January 17, 2022 | [554] | 29.7 | 30.3 | 19.5 | 5.9 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,612 | IVR | 0.6 |
| Nanos Research | January 14, 2022 | [555] | 28.5 | 28.2 | 24.3 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 6.3 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.3 |
| Angus Reid | January 12, 2022 | [556] | 29 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.0 pp | 5,002 | online | 5 |
| Abacus Data | January 12, 2022 | [557] | 30 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ±2.089 pp | 2,200 | 2 | |
| Nanos Research | January 7, 2022 | [558] | 29.0 | 30.6 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.1 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 1.6 |
| Discover by Navigator | January 5, 2022 | [559] | 29 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 4 | N/a | N/a | 2,513 | online | 3 |
| Ekos | December 21, 2021 | [560] | 25 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,015 | – | 7 |
| Nanos Research | December 10, 2021 | [558] | 30.4 | 33.3 | 19.8 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 7.0 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 2.9 |
| Leger | December 5, 2021 | [561] | 29 | 36 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,547 | online | 7 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 30, 2021 | [562] | 30.3 | 33.5 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.9 | ±2.36 pp | 1,719 | IVR | 3.2 |
| Abacus Data | November 30, 2021 | [563] | 30 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,025 | online | 2 |
| Angus Reid | November 29, 2021 | [564] | 29 | 35 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,005 | 6 | |
| Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party. | |||||||||||||
| Ekos | November 21, 2021 | [565] | 26.6 | 30.4 | 19.1 | 5.9 | 11.4 | 5.2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,006 | IVR | 3.8 |
| Leger | November 7, 2021 | [566] | 26 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ±2.48 pp | 1,565 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | October 29, 2021 | [567] | 30.1 | 30.8 | 21.6 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.7 |
| Mainstreet Research | October 24, 2021 | [568] | 33.3 | 33.8 | 15.4 | 5.5 | N/a | 3.0 | 8.9 | ±2.4 pp | 1,711 | IVR | 0.5 |
| Nanos Research | October 22, 2021 | [569] | 30.8 | 29.9 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 0.9 |
| Abacus Data | October 20, 2021 | [570] | 30 | 33 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,220 | online | 3 |
| Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party. | |||||||||||||
| 2021 election | September 20, 2021 | HTML | 33.7 | 32.6 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | N/a | 17,042,591 | N/a | 1.1 |
Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance
Under Justin Trudeau leadership
Under Jagmeet Singh leadership
Voting intention with Liberal successor candidates
Under Mark Carney leadership
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 9, 2025 | Mark Carney is elected leader of the Liberal Party. | ||||||||||||
| Ekos | March 5, 2025 | [195] | 35.3 | 42.4 | 10.7 | 5.5 | 1 | 4.1 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,033 | IVR | 7.1 |
| Angus Reid | March 3, 2025 | [573][574] | 40 | 37 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | N/a | 905 | online | 3 |
| Leger | March 2, 2025 | [196] | 41 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.49 pp | 1,548 | 8 | |
| Ekos | February 24, 2025 | [202] | 31.5 | 42.1 | 8.2 | 10.5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±7.1 pp | 193 | IVR | 10.6 |
| Pollara | February 24, 2025 | [203] | 37 | 37 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.5 pp | 1,506 | online | 0 |
| Leger | February 23, 2025 | [204] | 38 | 40 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,244 | 2 | |
| Angus Reid | February 18, 2025 | [575][576] | 40 | 37 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | N/a | 921 | 3 | |
| Leger | February 17, 2025 | [206] | 40 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | N/a | 1,227 | 1 | |
| Mainstreet Research | February 13, 2025 | [209] | 37 | 40 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.9 pp | 1,128 | text/online | 3 |
| Abacus Data | February 11, 2025 | [211] | 45 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 3 | N/a | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 757-852 | online | 17 |
| Leger | February 10, 2025 | [212] | 37 | 37 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | ±2.46 pp | 1,590 | 0 | |
| Pallas Data | February 6, 2025 | [215] | 38 | 39 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,241 | IVR | 1 |
| Angus Reid | January 27, 2025 | [577] | 43 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 1,960 | online | 14 |
| December 31, 2024 | [578] | 36 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 23 | ±1.5 pp | 2,406 | 18 | ||||
Under Chrystia Freeland leadership
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Reid | March 3, 2025 | [573][574] | 39 | 31 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 9 | N/a | 884 | online | 8 |
| February 18, 2025 | [575][576] | 40 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 6 | N/a | 893 | 11 | ||
| Mainstreet Research | February 13, 2025 | [209] | 40 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,128 | text/online | 6 |
| Abacus Data | February 11, 2025 | [211] | 45 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | N/a | 3 | ±3.5 pp | 757-852 | online | 24 |
| Leger | February 10, 2025 | [212] | 39 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.46 pp | 1,590 | 11 | |
| Pallas Data | February 6, 2025 | [215] | 41 | 31 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,241 | IVR | 10 |
| Angus Reid | January 27, 2025 | [577] | 44 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ±1.5 pp | 1,960 | online | 20 |
| December 31, 2024 | [578] | 36 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 | ±1.5 pp | 2,406 | 15 | ||||
Under Karina Gould leadership
Regional polls
A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.
Atlantic Canada
New Brunswick
Nova Scotia
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | March 20, 2025 | [582] | 46 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 4.1 pp | 600 | Online | 9 |
| Cardinal Research | November 15, 2024 | [583] | 40 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 1 | N/a | ± 3.5 pp | 1046 | Telephone | 3 |
| Narrative Research | August 18, 2024 | [581] | 30 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | ± 2.6 pp | 400 | 13 |
Newfoundland and Labrador
Prince Edward Island
Central Canada
Quebec
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leger | April 25, 2025 | [585] | 42 | 24 | 5 | 26 | 2 | 1 | N/a | 893 | Online | 16 | |
| Synopsis | April 11, 2025 | [586] | 42 | 21 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 2 | N/a | 1,000 | 15 | ||
| Leger | March 10, 2025 | [587] | 36 | 24 | 8 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.09pp | 1,007 | 11 | |
| February 2, 2025 | [588] | 29 | 24 | 12 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ± 3.07 pp | 1,017 | 0 | ||
| January 19, 2025 | [589] | 21 | 26 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.09 pp | 1,003 | 11 | ||
| December 2, 2024 | [590] | 22 | 22 | 15 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 2 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,002 | 13 | ||
| November 11, 2024 | [591] | 22 | 24 | 13 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ± 3.08 pp | 1,010 | 11 | ||
| October 6, 2024 | [592] | 27 | 22 | 11 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ± 3.04 pp | 1,041 | 8 | ||
| August 25, 2024 | [593] | 27 | 23 | 14 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | ± 3.04 pp | 1,041 | 2 | ||
| June 3, 2024 | [594] | 26 | 26 | 11 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ± 3.08 pp | 1,015 | 5 | ||
| April 21, 2024 | [595] | 26 | 24 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,026 | 9 | ||
| Pallas Data | April 8, 2024 | [596] | 25.3 | 26.2 | 9.9 | 28.6 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | ± 2 pp | 700 | IVR | 2.4 |
| Leger | March 18, 2024 | [597] | 27 | 23 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,033 | Online | 3 |
| February 6, 2024 | [598] | 28 | 24 | 14 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,032 | 1 | ||
| December 4, 2023 | [599] | 28 | 25 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 3.04 pp | 846 | 3 | ||
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | [600] | 34 | 25 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 2.96 pp | 1,095 | IVR | 6 |
| Leger | September 25, 2023 | [601] | 29 | 23 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 1 | N/a | ± 3.0 pp | 1,046 | Online | 0 |
| February 26, 2023 | [602] | 33 | 15 | 13 | 31 | 4 | 2 | N/a | ± 3.0 pp | 1,044 | 2 | ||
| November 6, 2022 | [603] | 34 | 18 | 12 | 30 | 2 | 2 | N/a | ± 3.1 pp | 1,028 | 4 |
Ontario
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[f] |
Sample size[g] |
Polling method[h] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campaign Research (Ontario PC internal) | March 26, 2025 | [604] | 48 | 33 | 11 | 4 | - | 4 | 1902 | online | 15 | |
| Mainstreet Research | February 17, 2025 | [605] | 41 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,278 (1/3) | online (rolling) | 2 |
| February 16, 2025 | [606] | 42 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,229 (1/3) | 4 | ||
| February 15, 2025 | [607] | 41 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,228 (1/3) | 2 | ||
| February 14, 2025 | [608] | 43 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,272 (1/3) | 4 | ||
| February 13, 2025 | [609] | 43 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,294 (1/3) | 2 | ||
| February 12, 2025 | [610] | 43 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,314 (1/3) | 3 | ||
| February 11, 2025 | [611] | 43 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,303 (1/3) | 4 | ||
| February 10, 2025 | [612] | 45 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,301 (1/3) | 8 | ||
| February 9, 2025 | [613] | 43 | 39 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.7 pp | 1,347 (1/3) | 4 | ||
| February 8, 2025 | [614] | 42 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,187 (1/3) | 6 | ||
| February 7, 2025 | [615] | 44 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,262 (1/3) | 8 | ||
| February 6, 2025 | [616] | 42 | 36 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.5 pp | 1,515 (1/4) | 6 | ||
| February 5, 2025 | [617] | 42 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,236 (1/3) | 5 | ||
| February 4, 2025 | [618] | 42 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.9 pp | 1,162 (1/3) | 5 | ||
| February 3, 2025 | [619] | 43 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ± 3.0 pp | 1,080 (1/3) | 4 | ||
| February 2, 2025 | [620] | 42 | 39 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.6 pp | 1,374 (1/3) | 3 | ||
| February 1, 2025 | [621] | 41 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.9 pp | 1,124 (1/3) | 1 | ||
| January 31, 2025 | [622] | 39 | 39 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,247 (1/3) | 0 | ||
| January 30, 2025 | [623] | 40 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | ± 2.4 pp | 1,644 (1/3) | 1 | ||
| January 26, 2025 | [624] | 40 | 38 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ± 3.2 pp | 936 | online | 2 | |
| Abacus Data | June 25, 2024 | [625] | 27 | 44 | 19 | 5 | N/a | 5 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | 17 | |
| May 15, 2024 | [626] | 29 | 45 | 17 | 4 | N/a | 5 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | 16 |
City of Toronto
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaison Strategies | October 8, 2024 | [627] | 35 | 34 | 25 | 3 | 3 | N/a | ± 3.37 pp | 848 | IVR | 1 |
| Angus Reid | April 23, 2024 | [628] | 32 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | ± 2 pp | 158 | online | 6 |
| Abacus Data | March 6, 2024 | [629] | 33 | 41 | 18 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 958 | 8 | |
| Liaison Strategies | January 4, 2024 | [630] | 38 | 32 | 22 | 5 | 3 | N/a | ± 3.39 pp | 831 | IVR | 6 |
| October 4, 2023 | [631] | 40 | 29 | 24 | 4 | 3 | N/a | ± 3.43 pp | 817 | 11 | ||
| Abacus Data | February 7, 2023 | [632] | 44 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 17 |
Peel Region
City of Mississauga
Western Canada
Manitoba
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probe Research | April 14, 2025 | [635] | 43 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 1 | N/a | ± 3.5 pp | 800 | IVR + online | 3 |
| March 16, 2025 | [636] | 44 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 2 | N/a | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | 2 | ||
| February 6, 2025 | [637] | 28 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 2 | N/a | ± 4.0 pp | 600 | 17 | ||
| December 10, 2024 | [638] | 19 | 52 | 24 | 2 | 2 | N/a | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | 28 | ||
| September 15, 2024 | [639] | 21 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 3 | N/a | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | 26 | ||
| March 18, 2024 | [640] | 23 | 47 | 26 | 2 | N/a | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | 21 |
Saskatchewan
Alberta
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leger | January 26, 2025 | [642] | 14 | 64 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,002 | Online | 48 |
| August 5, 2024 | [643] | 14 | 61 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,005 | 43 | ||
| March 24, 2024 | [644] | 14 | 60 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,002 | 40 | ||
| Mainstreet Research | May 2, 2023 | [645] | 18 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ± 2.5 pp | 1,524 | Smart IVR | 37 |
| Yorkville Strategies | March 9, 2022 | [646] | 18 | 48 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 3 | ± 4 pp | 600 | Phone | 28 |
British Columbia
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[i] |
Sample size[j] |
Polling method[k] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | May 9, 2024 | [647] | 18 | 44 | 26 | 8 | N/a | 3 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 18 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 24, 2024 | [648] | 17.8 | 55.8 | 15.8 | 6.9 | N/a | 3.7 | ± 3.2 pp | 962 | Smart IVR | 38 |
| March 19, 2024 | [649] | 22.8 | 49.6 | 19.4 | 5.8 | N/a | 2.4 | ± 3 pp | 1,063 | 26.8 | ||
| Angus Reid | March 6, 2024 | [650] | 21 | 40 | 29 | 9 | N/a | 2 | ± 3 pp | 809 | online | 11 |
Leadership polls
Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:
March 2025 – April 2025
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Mark Carney | Pierre Poilievre | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Elizabeth May/Jonathan Pedneault[l] | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | April 27, 2025 | [3] | 51.9 | 32.1 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3.0 | ±3.4 pp | 19.8 |
| Research Co. | [4] | 45 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | 10 | |
| Abacus Data | [6] | 40 | 37 | 10 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 8 | ±2.0 pp | 3 | |
| Nanos Research | April 26, 2025 | [10] | 48.5 | 35.2 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4.4 | ±2.4 pp | 13.3 |
| Innovative Research | [12] | 44 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | N/a | 7 | |
| Angus Reid | [14] | 47 | 31 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 7 | ±2 pp | 16 | |
| Nanos Research | April 25, 2025 | [18] | 46.8 | 34.1 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5.2 | ±2.7 pp | 12.7 |
| Leger | [19] | 40 | 31 | 6 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 9 | ±2.53 pp | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | April 24, 2025 | [23] | 46.2 | 34.7 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.9 | ±2.7 pp | 11.5 |
| April 23, 2025 | [26] | 46.3 | 36.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.8 | ±2.7 pp | 9.4 | |
| Innovative Research | [28] | 42 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | N/a | 4 | |
| Nanos Research | April 22, 2025 | [32] | 48.9 | 35.4 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4.5 | ±2.7 pp | 13.5 |
| April 21, 2025 | [37] | 47.3 | 34.5 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4.8 | ±2.7 pp | 12.8 | |
| Abacus Data | [39] | 41 | 35 | 10 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10 | ±2.3 pp | 6 | |
| Leger | [40] | 41 | 31 | 6 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 10 | ±2.45 pp | 10 | |
| Innovative Research | [651] | 39 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | N/a | 1 | |
| Angus Reid | [41] | 49 | 31 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 8 | ±1.5 pp | 18 | |
| Research Co. | April 20, 2025 | [42] | 45 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | [45] | 47.4 | 33.2 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5.3 | ±2.7 pp | 14.2 | |
| Innovative Research | [28] | 43 | 37 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | N/a | 6 | |
| Ipsos | April 19, 2025 | [48] | 41 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 5 |
| MQO Research | [49] | 43 | 32 | 8 | 3 | N/a | N/a | 12 | ±2 pp | 11 | |
| Nanos Research | [52] | 45.3 | 34.3 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6.5 | ±2.7 pp | 11 | |
| April 17, 2025 | [57] | 48.0 | 33.6 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6.6 | ±2.7 pp | 14.4 | |
| April 16, 2025 | [61] | 47.4 | 33.9 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7.3 | ±2.7 pp | 13.5 | |
| Abacus Data | April 15, 2025 | [64] | 40 | 34 | 10 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 11 | ±2.9 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | [66] | 49.4 | 32.6 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6.2 | ±2.7 pp | 16.8 | |
| April 14, 2025 | [69] | 48.9 | 33.1 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 6.4 | ±2.7 pp | 15.8 | |
| Leger | [71] | 38 | 30 | 7 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 11 | ±1.79 pp | 8 | |
| Innovative Research | [72] | 44 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | N/a | 6 | |
| Nanos Research | April 13, 2025 | [74] | 49.8 | 34.3 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.1 | ±2.7 pp | 15.5 |
| Angus Reid | [76] | 49 | 30 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 8 | ±2 pp | 19 | |
| MQO Research | April 12, 2025 | [79] | 43 | 30 | 11 | 2 | N/a | N/a | 12 | ±2.3 pp | 13 |
| Nanos Research | [81] | 48.7 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4.2 | ±2.7 pp | 13.7 | |
| April 11, 2025 | [84] | 48.0 | 34.4 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 4.0 | ±2.8 pp | 13.6 | |
| April 10, 2025 | [88] | 47.3 | 34.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4.8 | ±2.8 pp | 12.9 | |
| Ipsos | [86] | 41 | 36 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 5 | |
| Abacus Data | [90] | 43 | 34 | 9 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 10 | ±2.31 pp | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | April 9, 2025 | [94] | 46.7 | 34.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4.9 | ±2.8 pp | 12.2 |
| April 8, 2025 | [97] | 47.4 | 34.3 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5.5 | ±2.8 pp | 13.1 | |
| Abacus Data | [99] | 41 | 34 | 9 | N/a | 3 | 3 | 13 | ±2.1 pp | 7 | |
| Nanos Research | April 7, 2025 | [101] | 48.6 | 33.3 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.2 | ±2.8 pp | 15.3 |
| Angus Reid | [103] | 50 | 28 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 9 | ±2 pp | 22 | |
| Innovative Research | [104] | 45 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | N/a | N/a | 9 | |
| Research Co. | April 6, 2025 | [106] | 43 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | ±3.1 pp | 14 |
| Leger | [107] | 37 | 27 | 8 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 13 | ±2.43 pp | 10 | |
| Nanos Research | [109] | 49.8 | 32.1 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.9 | ±2.8 pp | 17.7 | |
| MQO Research | [111] | 42 | 29 | 11 | 2 | N/a | N/a | 12 | ±2.5 pp | 13 | |
| Nanos Research | April 5, 2025 | [115] | 50.2 | 31.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5.6 | ±2.8 pp | 19.2 |
| April 4, 2025 | [119] | 51.6 | 29.2 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 5.8 | ±2.8 pp | 22.4 | |
| Ipsos | April 3, 2025 | [121] | 45 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 13 |
| Nanos Research | [123] | 50.9 | 30.9 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5.0 | ±2.8 pp | 20 | |
| Abacus Data | [125] | 38 | 33 | 11 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 12 | ±2.3 pp | 5 | |
| Nanos Research | April 2, 2025 | [128] | 50.0 | 32.8 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5.3 | ±2.8 pp | 17.2 |
| April 1, 2025 | [132] | 48.7 | 33.9 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5.4 | ±2.8 pp | 14.8 | |
| March 31, 2025 | [136] | 48.7 | 34.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5.4 | ±2.8 pp | 14.6 | |
| Innovative Research | [139] | 33 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | N/a | 1 | |
| Leger | [140] | 37 | 28 | 6 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 14 | ±1.79 pp | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | March 30, 2025 | [142] | 47.4 | 32.7 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 6.8 | ±2.8 pp | 14.7 |
| March 29, 2025 | [147] | 47.7 | 32.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 6.4 | ±2.7 pp | 15.7 | |
| MQO Research | [149] | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | N/a | N/a | 14 | ±2.4 pp | 10 | |
| Ipsos | March 26, 2025 | [652] | 44 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | 11 |
| Research Co. | March 24, 2025 | [653] | 39 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | ±3.1 pp | 6 |
| Angus Reid | [654] | 52 | 28 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 8 | ±2 pp | 24 | |
| Leger | March 23, 2025 | [166] | 39 | 28 | 5 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 14 | ±2.45 pp | 11 |
| Nanos Research | March 21, 2025 | [173] | 33.9 | 31.8 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 17.6 | ±3.0 pp | 2.1 |
| Innovative Research | [172] | 34 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | N/a | 7 | |
| Abacus Data | March 20, 2025 | [175] | 38 | 34 | 9 | N/a | 2 | 3 | 14 | ±2.5 pp | 4 |
| Ipsos | March 17, 2025 | [179] | 42 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 4 | N/a | ±3.8 pp | 10 |
| Angus Reid | March 16, 2025 | [182] | 41 | 29 | 6 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±1.5 pp | 12 |
| Nanos Research | March 14, 2025 | [185] | 30.7 | 31.4 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 19.1 | ±3.0 pp | 0.7 |
| Innovative Research | March 13, 2025 | [186] | 30 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | N/a | 0 |
November 2022 – March 2025
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Justin Trudeau | Pierre Poilievre | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Elizabeth May | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | March 7, 2025 | [194] | 29.9 | 33.1 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 17.5 | ±3.0 pp | 3.2 |
| February 28, 2025 | [198] | 29.5 | 35.1 | 9.6 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 15.5 | ±3.1 pp | 5.6 | |
| February 21, 2025 | [205] | 28.2 | 35.7 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 15.8 | ±3.1 pp | 7.5 | |
| February 14, 2025 | [208] | 25.1 | 38.0 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 12.9 | |
| February 7, 2025 | [214] | 21.4 | 36.8 | 10.6 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 19.1 | ±3.1 pp | 15.4 | |
| January 31, 2025 | [217] | 17.1 | 38.2 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 21.3 | ±3.1 pp | 21.1 | |
| January 24, 2025 | [221] | 16.0 | 38.0 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 21.8 | ±3.1 pp | 22.0 | |
| January 17, 2025 | [223] | 14.0 | 39.7 | 14.8 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 19.9 | ±3.1 pp | 25.7 | |
| January 10, 2025 | [228] | 14.7 | 41.7 | 14.6 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 27.0 | |
| Research Co. | January 5, 2025 | [234] | 21 | 39 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | ±3.1 pp | 18 |
| Nanos Research | January 3, 2025 | [235] | 17.5 | 40.5 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 16.6 | ±3.1 pp | 23.0 |
| December 27, 2024 | [238] | 17.4 | 40.0 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 17.6 | ±3.1 pp | 22.6 | |
| Leger | December 22, 2024 | [239] | 11 | 31 | 13 | N/a | 4 | 3 | 15 | ±2.51 pp | 18 |
| Nanos Research | December 20, 2024 | [241] | 20.0 | 37.2 | 15.3 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 17.0 | ±3.1 pp | 17.2 |
| December 13, 2024 | [246] | 18.6 | 36.0 | 16.5 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 18.8 | ±3.0 pp | 17.4 | |
| December 6, 2024 | [249] | 19.6 | 34.6 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 19.2 | ±3.0 pp | 15.0 | |
| Leger | December 1, 2024 | [252] | 15 | 31 | 13 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 13 | ±2.5 pp | 16 |
| Nanos Research | November 29, 2024 | [253] | 20.0 | 34.6 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 18.1 | ±3.0 pp | 14.6 |
| November 22, 2024 | [256] | 20.2 | 35.4 | 15.1 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 17.7 | ±3.1 pp | 15.2 | |
| November 15, 2024 | [258] | 21.8 | 34.7 | 13.9 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 16.4 | ±3.0 pp | 12.9 | |
| November 8, 2024 | [260] | 21.9 | 35.1 | 14.6 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 15.7 | ±3.1 pp | 13.2 | |
| Leger | November 3, 2024 | [262] | 17 | 30 | 11 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 15 | ±2.49 pp | 13 |
| Nanos Research | November 1, 2024 | [263] | 21.3 | 35.5 | 14.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 14.8 | ±3.1 pp | 14.2 |
| October 25, 2024 | [266] | 21.7 | 34.1 | 16.0 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 15.5 | ±3.0 pp | 12.4 | |
| October 18, 2024 | [268] | 21.6 | 33.7 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 16.0 | ±3.1 pp | 12.1 | |
| October 11, 2024 | [269] | 20.6 | 34.3 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 17.1 | ±3.1 pp | 13.7 | |
| October 4, 2024 | [273] | 19.5 | 34.8 | 16.8 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 18.2 | ±3.1 pp | 15.3 | |
| Leger | September 29, 2024 | [275] | 18 | 31 | 13 | N/a | 4 | 2 | 13 | ±2.43 pp | 13 |
| Nanos Research | September 27, 2024 | [276] | 19.4 | 35.1 | 18.5 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 16.0 | ±3.0 pp | 15.7 |
| September 20, 2024 | [280] | 21.7 | 34.5 | 18.0 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 16.9 | ±3.0 pp | 12.8 | |
| September 13, 2024 | [283] | 20.8 | 34.5 | 19.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16.5 | ±3.0 pp | 13.7 | |
| Ipsos | September 9, 2024 | [655] | 26 | 45 | 23 | 6 | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±3.8 pp | 19 |
| Nanos Research | September 6, 2024 | [287] | 23.0 | 32.7 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 16.7 | ±2.9 pp | 9.7 |
| August 30, 2024 | [289] | 21.6 | 33.1 | 16.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 17.2 | ±2.9 pp | 11.5 | |
| August 23, 2024 | [291] | 20.3 | 33.7 | 16.1 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 16.4 | ±3 pp | 13.4 | |
| August 16, 2024 | [294] | 20.6 | 34.4 | 14.6 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 16.9 | ±3 pp | 13.8 | |
| Research Co. | August 14, 2024 | [295] | 22 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | ±3.1 pp | 15 |
| Nanos Research | August 9, 2024 | [296] | 19.7 | 34.9 | 16.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 15.2 |
| August 2, 2024 | [298] | 21.1 | 35.1 | 15.8 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 14.0 | |
| Leger | July 28, 2024 | [300] | 16 | 29 | 13 | N/a | 4 | 2 | 14 | ±2.45 pp | 13 |
| Nanos Research | July 26, 2024 | [301] | 21.9 | 35.8 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 17.4 | ±3.0 pp | 13.9 |
| July 19, 2024 | [303] | 23.3 | 35.3 | 15.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 16.2 | ±3.0 pp | 12.0 | |
| July 12, 2024 | [304] | 23.3 | 36.4 | 13.7 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 15.2 | ±2.9 pp | 13.1 | |
| July 5, 2024 | [307] | 22.0 | 35.8 | 14.4 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 15.6 | ±2.9 pp | 13.8 | |
| June 28, 2024 | [308] | 24.0 | 35.3 | 13.4 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 15.2 | ±3.0 pp | 11.3 | |
| Leger | June 23, 2024 | [311] | 19 | 26 | 14 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 14 | ±2.45 pp | 7 |
| Nanos Research | June 21, 2024 | [313] | 24.2 | 36.0 | 13.1 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 15.5 | ±3.0 pp | 11.8 |
| Angus Reid | June 17, 2024 | [314] | 14 | 33 | 14 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10 | ±2 pp | 19 |
| Ipsos | June 14, 2024 | [656] | 25 | 44 | 23 | 8 | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±3.8 pp | 19 |
| Nanos Research | June 14, 2024 | [316] | 24.4 | 35.6 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 14.9 | ±3.0 pp | 11.2 |
| June 7, 2024 | [318] | 25.1 | 36.2 | 15.0 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 12.9 | ±3.0 pp | 11.1 | |
| May 31, 2024 | [319] | 23.2 | 36.5 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 13.0 | ±2.9 pp | 13.3 | |
| Leger | May 26, 2024 | [320] | 16 | 28 | 16 | N/a | 3 | 3 | 14 | ±2.44 pp | 12 |
| Nanos Research | May 24, 2024 | [321] | 22.0 | 36.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 12.8 | ±3.0 pp | 14.8 |
| May 17, 2024 | [323] | 21.8 | 38.2 | 12.9 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 14.2 | ±2.9 pp | 16.4 | |
| May 10, 2024 | [326] | 21.2 | 38.0 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 16.8 | ±2.9 pp | 16.8 | |
| May 3, 2024 | [328] | 19.8 | 36.5 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 20.6 | ±3 pp | 16.7 | |
| Abacus Data | April 29, 2024 | [330] | 21 | 41 | 17 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21 | ±2.6 pp | 20 |
| Leger | April 28, 2024 | [331] | 16 | 32 | 11 | N/a | 4 | 2 | 14 | ±2.44 pp | 16 |
| Nanos Research | April 26, 2024 | [332] | 19.0 | 37.1 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 20.4 | ±3 pp | 18.1 |
| Angus Reid | April 23, 2024 | [657] | 16 | 35 | 13 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10 | ±2 pp | 19 |
| Nanos Research | April 19, 2024 | [336] | 18.4 | 34.9 | 14.1 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 22.4 | ±3.1 pp | 16.5 |
| Ipsos | April 18, 2024 | [658] | 23 | 48 | 22 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±3.8 pp | 25 |
| Nanos Research | April 12, 2024 | [339] | 19.8 | 33.9 | 16.8 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 18.8 | ±3 pp | 14.1 |
| Research Co. | April 10, 2024 | [340] | 26 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | ±3.1 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 5, 2024 | [343] | 21.1 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 16.5 | ±3 pp | 10.9 |
| March 29, 2024 | [344] | 21.5 | 33.4 | 14.8 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 17.1 | ±3 pp | 11.9 | |
| Leger | March 25, 2024 | [345] | 17 | 29 | 17 | N/a | 3 | 1 | 15 | ±2.45 pp | 12 |
| Nanos Research | March 22, 2024 | [346] | 19.7 | 33.7 | 16.9 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 18.2 | ±3 pp | 14.0 |
| March 15, 2024 | [349] | 19.9 | 33.5 | 16.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 19.4 | ±3 pp | 13.6 | |
| March 8, 2024 | [351] | 18.8 | 34.9 | 17.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 16.1 | |
| Angus Reid | March 4, 2024 | [353] | 17 | 31 | 15 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10 | ±2 pp | 14 |
| Nanos Research | March 1, 2024 | [354] | 19.2 | 36.9 | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 18.7 | ±3.1 pp | 17.7 |
| Leger | February 25, 2024 | [355] | 17 | 27 | 16 | N/a | 4 | 2 | 14 | ±2.49 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | February 23, 2024 | [356] | 18.6 | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 19.0 | ±3.1 pp | 17.7 |
| Abacus Data | February 21, 2024 | [357] | 45 | 55 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | February 16, 2024 | [358] | 20.3 | 35.8 | 15.0 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 19.3 | ±3.1 pp | 15.5 |
| February 9, 2024 | [359] | 20.8 | 36.2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 15.4 | |
| February 2, 2024 | [361] | 20.8 | 35.1 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 19.3 | ±3.1 pp | 14.3 | |
| Leger | January 26, 2024 | [362] | 18 | 27 | 16 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 16 | ±2.47 pp | 9 |
| Nanos Research | January 26, 2024 | [364] | 22.8 | 33.4 | 14.3 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 19.8 | ±3.1 pp | 10.6 |
| Abacus Data | January 23, 2024 | [365] | 46 | 54 | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 8 |
| Ipsos | January 22, 2024 | [659] | 30 | 40 | 24 | 6 | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±3.8 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | January 19, 2024 | [367] | 22.4 | 32.3 | 15.7 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 19.8 | ±3.1 pp | 9.9 |
| January 12, 2024 | [369] | 22.0 | 31.4 | 15.6 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 21.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.4 | |
| January 5, 2024 | [371] | 21.2 | 31.4 | 16.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 21.6 | ±3.1 pp | 10.2 | |
| December 29, 2023 | [372] | 21.4 | 33.0 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 21.2 | ±3.1 pp | 11.6 | |
| December 22, 2023 | [374] | 20.6 | 34.3 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 20.9 | ±3.1 pp | 13.7 | |
| Leger | December 17, 2023 | [375] | 20 | 25 | 16 | N/a | 3 | 1 | 15 | ±2.43 pp | 5 |
| Nanos Research | December 15, 2023 | [377] | 20.8 | 33.4 | 17.4 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 19.2 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 |
| December 8, 2023 | [380] | 20.9 | 32.8 | 16.2 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 20.5 | ±3.1 pp | 11.9 | |
| Innovative Research | December 5, 2023 | [381] | 23 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 4 | N/a | N/a | 18 |
| Angus Reid | December 1, 2023 | [660] | 16 | 34 | 13 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 10 | ±1.5 pp | 18 |
| Nanos Research | December 1, 2023 | [383] | 19.1 | 33.4 | 16.8 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 20.1 | ±3.1 pp | 14.3 |
| Research Co. | November 27, 2023 | [385] | 23 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | ±3.1 pp | 9 |
| Leger | November 26, 2023 | [387] | 19 | 25 | 17 | N/a | 3 | 2 | 16 | ±2.51 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | November 24, 2023 | [388] | 19.0 | 34.1 | 16.2 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 19.7 | ±3.1 pp | 15.1 |
| November 17, 2023 | [661] | 19.2 | 33.1 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 21.2 | ±3.1 pp | 13.9 | |
| Leger | November 12, 2023 | [662] | 17 | 27 | 16 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 18 | ±2.44 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | November 10, 2023 | [663] | 21.2 | 33.7 | 16.1 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 |
| November 3, 2023 | [664] | 22.7 | 34.1 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 11.4 | |
| Innovative Research | October 31, 2023 | [398] | 24 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 5 | N/a | N/a | 15 |
| Leger | October 29, 2023 | [399] | 18 | 29 | 15 | N/a | 4 | 2 | 17 | ±2.4 pp | 11 |
| Nanos Research | October 27, 2023 | [400] | 23.3 | 31.5 | 17.8 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 8.2 |
| October 20, 2023 | [665] | 23.0 | 32.6 | 16.8 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 17.4 | ±3.1 pp | 9.6 | |
| Angus Reid | October 13, 2023 | [403] | 16 | 30 | 15 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 11 | ±2 pp | 14 |
| Nanos Research | October 13, 2023 | [666] | 23.3 | 32.9 | 15.2 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.6 |
| October 6, 2023 | [667] | 23.5 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 19.0 | ±3.1 pp | 8.6 | |
| September 29, 2023 | [409] | 23.0 | 32.1 | 15.6 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 19.4 | ±3.1 pp | 9.1 | |
| Leger | September 24, 2023 | [410] | 20 | 26 | 14 | N/a | 2 | 2 | 17 | ±2.4 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | September 22, 2023 | [412] | 23.9 | 31.3 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 7.4 |
| Ipsos | September 18, 2023 | [668] | 31 | 40 | 22 | 6 | N/a | N/a | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 9 |
| Nanos Research | September 15, 2023 | [414] | 24.6 | 30.7 | 16.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 18.7 | ±3.1 pp | 6.1 |
| September 8, 2023 | [417] | 25.4 | 28.9 | 16.9 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 18.4 | ±3.1 pp | 3.5 | |
| Angus Reid | September 6, 2023 | [418] | 17 | 32 | 15 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 11 | ±1.5 pp | 15 |
| Research Co. | September 4, 2023 | [419] | 28 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | ±3.1 pp | 0 |
| Nanos Research | September 1, 2023 | [669] | 27.7 | 27.2 | 15.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 0.5 |
| August 25, 2023 | [670] | 27.5 | 27.5 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 17.6 | ±3.1 pp | 0 | |
| August 18, 2023 | [426] | 28.2 | 27.5 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 | |
| August 11, 2023 | [671] | 28.0 | 27.8 | 16.3 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 | |
| August 4, 2023 | [672] | 27.9 | 28.6 | 16.0 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 | |
| July 28, 2023 | [673] | 25.9 | 28.4 | 15.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 19.5 | ±3.1 pp | 2.5 | |
| July 21, 2023 | [674] | 25.8 | 26.7 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 19.5 | ±3.1 pp | 0.9 | |
| July 14, 2023 | [675] | 26.3 | 28.2 | 16.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1.9 | |
| July 7, 2023 | [676] | 25.8 | 29.1 | 17.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 3.3 | |
| June 30, 2023 | [677] | 27.2 | 28.4 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1.2 | |
| June 23, 2023 | [678] | 27.3 | 28.0 | 16.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 | |
| June 16, 2023 | [679] | 27.1 | 27.5 | 17.9 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 18.5 | ±3.1 pp | 0.4 | |
| June 9, 2023 | [680] | 27.6 | 25.8 | 18.5 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 18.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1.8 | |
| June 2, 2023 | [681] | 26.8 | 26.6 | 19.1 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 18.9 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 | |
| May 26, 2023 | [682] | 25.9 | 26.6 | 20.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 19.0 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 | |
| May 19, 2023 | [683] | 25.9 | 27.3 | 19.1 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 18.4 | ±3.1 pp | 1.4 | |
| May 12, 2023 | [684] | 24.3 | 28.6 | 18.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 4.3 | |
| Leger | May 8, 2023 | [685] | 24 | 19 | 16 | N/a | 3 | 2 | N/a | ±2.51 pp | 5 |
| Nanos Research | May 5, 2023 | [456] | 23.9 | 28.3 | 18.8 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 4.4 |
| April 28, 2023 | [686] | 25.6 | 28.1 | 18.1 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 18.1 | ±3.1 pp | 2.5 | |
| April 21, 2023 | [687] | 25.3 | 27.5 | 18.4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 19.1 | ±3.1 pp | 2.2 | |
| April 14, 2023 | [688] | 25.9 | 26.9 | 18.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 19.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1.0 | |
| Leger | April 11, 2023 | [689] | 23 | 21 | 17 | N/a | 3 | 3 | N/a | ±2.52 pp | 2 |
| Nanos Research | April 7, 2023 | [690] | 26.2 | 28.4 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 18.9 | ±3.1 pp | 2.2 |
| March 31, 2023 | [691] | 25.3 | 29.4 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 4.1 | |
| March 24, 2023 | [692] | 25.9 | 28.7 | 16.1 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 2.8 | |
| March 17, 2023 | [693] | 25.6 | 29.6 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 16.3 | ±3.1 pp | 4.0 | |
| Leger | March 12, 2023 | [471] | 24 | 19 | 18 | N/a | 2 | 2 | N/a | ±2.49 pp | 5 |
| Nanos Research | March 10, 2023 | [694] | 27.5 | 27.3 | 15.8 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 16.6 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 |
| March 3, 2023 | [695] | 28.4 | 27 | 16.2 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 17.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1.4 | |
| Research Co. | February 27, 2023 | [477] | 33 | 25 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | ±3.1 pp | 8 |
| Nanos Research | February 24, 2023 | [696] | 31.4 | 26.7 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 16.1 | ±3.1 pp | 4.7 |
| February 17, 2023 | [697] | 32.3 | 26.1 | 16.1 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 6.2 | |
| Leger | February 12, 2023 | [480] | 24 | 21 | 17 | N/a | 3 | 2 | N/a | ±2.5 pp | 3 |
| Nanos Research | February 10, 2023 | [481] | 32.8 | 25.8 | 15.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 16.3 | ±3.1 pp | 7.0 |
| February 3, 2023 | [698] | 31.9 | 26.3 | 14.6 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 5.6 | |
| January 27, 2023 | [699] | 30.4 | 26.3 | 16.1 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 17.0 | ±3.1 pp | 4.1 | |
| January 20, 2023 | [700] | 30.2 | 27.1 | 15.2 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 3.1 | |
| January 13, 2023 | [489] | 30 | 27.5 | 16.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 2.5 | |
| January 6, 2023 | [701] | 30.6 | 26.6 | 17.5 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 14.8 | ±3.1 pp | 4 | |
| December 30, 2022 | [702] | 30.5 | 27.4 | 16.8 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 3.1 | |
| December 23, 2022 | [703] | 30 | 27 | 17.6 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 16.0 | ±3.1 pp | 3 | |
| December 16, 2022 | [704] | 29 | 27 | 17.3 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 2 | |
| December 9, 2022 | [705] | 27.9 | 27.8 | 16.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 19.2 | ±3.1 pp | 0.1 | |
| December 2, 2022 | [706] | 29.2 | 25.8 | 18.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2 | 19.3 | ±3.1 pp | 3.4 | |
| November 25, 2022 | [707] | 29.4 | 25.8 | 18.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 3.6 | |
September 2022 – November 2022
| Polling firm | Last date
of polling |
Link | Justin Trudeau | Pierre Poilievre | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Amita Kuttner | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | November 18, 2022 | [708] | 30.5 | 26.1 | 18.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 4.4 |
| November 11, 2022 | [709] | 31.0 | 27.3 | 18.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 16.6 | ±3.1 pp | 3.7 | |
| November 4, 2022 | [710] | 31.5 | 28.0 | 16.5 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 15.7 | ±3.1 pp | 3.5 | |
| October 28, 2022 | [711] | 30.7 | 28.9 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1.8 | |
| Research Co. | October 26, 2022 | [505] | 30 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | ±3.1 pp | 4 |
| Nanos Research | October 21, 2022 | [712] | 29.5 | 30.0 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 15.0 | ±3.1 pp | 0.5 |
| October 14, 2022 | [713] | 29.8 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 18.1 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 | |
| October 7, 2022 | [714] | 29.0 | 27.0 | 19.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 17.7 | ±3.1 pp | 2.0 | |
| September 30, 2022 | [715] | 28.2 | 24.8 | 20.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 19.6 | ±3.1 pp | 3.4 | |
| September 23, 2022 | [716] | 29.2 | 20.9 | 19.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 22.9 | ±3.1 pp | 8.3 | |
| Ipsos | September 20, 2022 | [717] | 31 | 35 | 26 | 8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| Leger | September 18, 2022 | [515] | 24 | 21 | 17 | N/A | 1 | 3 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Nanos Research | September 16, 2022 | [718] | 27.4 | 18.4 | 20.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 6.5 |
February 2022 – September 2022
| Polling firm | Last date
of polling |
Link | Justin Trudeau | Candice Bergen | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Amita Kuttner | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | September 9, 2022 | [719] | 29.6 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 10.3 |
| September 2, 2022 | [720] | 31.1 | 18.8 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 25.4 | ±2.9 pp | 12.3 | |
| August 26, 2022 | [721] | 31.1 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 25.6 | ±2.9 pp | 13.0 | |
| August 19, 2022 | [722] | 30.1 | 19.2 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 24.4 | ±2.9 pp | 10.9 | |
| August 12, 2022 | [723] | 28.7 | 17.8 | 18.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 26.6 | ±2.9 pp | 10.6 | |
| August 5, 2022 | [724] | 26.7 | 18.2 | 19.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 26.2 | ±3.0 pp | 7.7 | |
| July 29, 2022 | [725] | 27.8 | 17.6 | 18.9 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 26.9 | ±3.0 pp | 8.9 | |
| July 22, 2022 | [726] | 27.3 | 16.6 | 18.8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 28.7 | ±3.0 pp | 8.5 | |
| July 15, 2022 | [727] | 28.1 | 17.7 | 18.9 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 26.4 | ±3.0 pp | 9.2 | |
| July 8, 2022 | [728] | 29.9 | 18.1 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 26.5 | ±3.0 pp | 11.8 | |
| July 1, 2022 | [729] | 30.1 | 19.5 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 25.4 | ±3.0 pp | 10.6 | |
| June 24, 2022 | [730] | 31.0 | 18.5 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 25.3 | ±3.0 pp | 12.5 | |
| June 17, 2022 | [731] | 29.8 | 18.2 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 11.6 | |
| June 10, 2022 | [732] | 29.8 | 19.3 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 24.3 | ±3.1 pp | 10.5 | |
| June 3, 2022 | [733] | 28.8 | 19.9 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 24.5 | ±3.0 pp | 8.9 | |
| May 27, 2022 | [734] | 30.7 | 20.6 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 22.2 | ±3.0 pp | 10.1 | |
| May 20, 2022 | [735] | 31.1 | 20.5 | 16.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 21.7 | ±3.0 pp | 10.6 | |
| May 13, 2022 | [736] | 31.9 | 20.3 | 17.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 21.7 | ±3.1 pp | 11.6 | |
| May 6, 2022 | [737] | 30.8 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 22.6 | ±3.1 pp | 10.5 | |
| April 29, 2022 | [738] | 29.7 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 22.9 | ±3.1 pp | 8.2 | |
| April 22, 2022 | [739] | 29.7 | 20.4 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 23.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.3 | |
| April 15, 2022 | [740] | 29.7 | 19.1 | 17.4 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.6 | |
| April 8, 2022 | [741] | 31.8 | 18.5 | 17.1 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 5.2 | 21.3 | ±3.1 pp | 13.3 | |
| April 1, 2022 | [742] | 30.0 | 16.9 | 19.0 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 23.3 | ±3.1 pp | 11.0 | |
| March 25, 2022 | [743] | 30.4 | 17.1 | 19.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.9 | |
| March 18, 2022 | [744] | 30.0 | 18.5 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.7 | |
| March 11, 2022 | [745] | 31.0 | 17.2 | 19.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 22.4 | ±3.1 pp | 11.9 | |
| March 4, 2022 | [746] | 30.6 | 18.0 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 23.4 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 | |
| February 25, 2022 | [747] | 29.9 | 19.2 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 22.0 | ±3.1 pp | 10.7 | |
| February 18, 2022 | [748] | 28.6 | 19.2 | 16.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 22.5 | ±3.1 pp | 9.4 |
Seat projections
Ahead of the election, YouGov published a Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP) model for the election. This large-scale poll and methodology enables the projection of seat totals.[749] Below is their central prediction for seat totals.
| Polling firm | Last date | Link | LPC | CPC | BQ | NDP | GPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | HTML | 169 | 144 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | N/a | 19,597,674 | N/a | Liberal minority | |
| YouGov (MRP) | April 25, 2025 | [20] | 185 | 135 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | N/a | 5,694 | N/a | Liberal majority | |
| YouGov (MRP) | April 22, 2025 | [34] | 182 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | N/a | 6,077 | N/a | Liberal majority | |
| 2021 election | September 20, 2021 | HTML | 160 | 119 | 32 | 25 | 2 | 0 | N/a | 17,034,243 | N/a | Liberal minority | |
Government approval polls
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | Approve | Disapprove | Unsure/ Neither |
Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | March 25, 2025 | [161] | 41% | 25% | N/a | ±2.0 pp | 2,000 | Online | +16% |
| The 30th Canadian Ministry led by prime minister Carney is sworn in | |||||||||
| Abacus Data | January 7, 2025 | [231] | 21% | 63% | N/a | ±2.0 pp | 2,500 | Online | –42% |
| Leger | December 22, 2024 | [239] | 23% | 72% | 5% | ±2.51 pp | 1,521 | –49% | |
| Abacus Data | December 17, 2024 | [244] | 22% | 62% | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 1,186 | –40% | |
| December 4, 2024 | [251] | 24% | 61% | N/a | ±1.9 pp | 2,720 | –37% | ||
| Leger | December 3, 2024 | [252] | 26% | 69% | 5% | ±2.5 pp | 1,532 | –43% | |
| Abacus Data | November 19, 2024 | [257] | 25% | 61% | N/a | ±2.3 pp | 1,915 | –36% | |
| November 5, 2024 | [261] | 25% | 62% | N/a | ±2.3 pp | 1,915 | –37% | ||
| Leger | November 3, 2024 | [262] | 27% | 68% | 4% | ±2.49 pp | 1,549 | –41% | |
| Abacus Data | October 22, 2024 | [267] | 24% | 61% | N/a | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | –37% | |
| October 10, 2024 | [271] | 26% | 59% | N/a | ±2.3 pp | 1,900 | –33% | ||
| Leger | September 29, 2024 | [275] | 27% | 65% | 6% | ±2.43 pp | 1,626 | –38% | |
| Abacus Data | September 25, 2024 | [277] | 25% | 59% | N/a | ±2.4 pp | 1,700 | –34% | |
| Leger | August 25, 2024 | [279] | 28% | 64% | 7% | ±2.48 pp | 1,556 | –36% | |
| Abacus Data | September 12, 2024 | [284] | 24% | 62% | N/a | ±1.8 pp | 2,964 | –38% | |
| Leger | August 25, 2024 | [290] | 28% | 65% | 5% | ±2.45 pp | 1,602 | –37% | |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2024 | [297] | 27% | 57% | N/a | ±2.489 pp | 1,550 | –30% | |
| Leger | July 28, 2024 | [300] | 29% | 66% | 4% | ±2.45 pp | 1,601 | –37% | |
| Abacus Data | July 9, 2024 | [750] | 26% | 60% | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 1,989 | –34% | |
| Leger | June 30, 2024 | [751] | 27% | 63% | 9% | ±2.51 pp | 1,521 | –36% | |
| June 23, 2024 | [311] | 29% | 65% | 4% | ±2.45 pp | 1,607 | –36% | ||
| May 26, 2024 | [320] | 27% | 66% | 5% | ±2.44 pp | 1,620 | –39% | ||
| April 28, 2024 | [331] | 25% | 69% | 4% | ±2.44 pp | 1,610 | –44% | ||
| Abacus Data | April 16, 2024 | [338] | 25% | 57% | N/a | ±2 pp | 2,300 | –32% | |
| April 9, 2024 | [341] | 26% | 60% | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | –34% | ||
| Leger | March 25, 2024 | [345] | 28% | 66% | 4% | ±2.45 pp | 1,605 | –38% | |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2024 | [347] | 26% | 59% | N/a | ±1.7 pp | 3,550 | –33% | |
| March 6, 2024 | [352] | 26% | 58% | N/a | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | –32% | ||
| Leger | February 25, 2024 | [355] | 29% | 66% | 4% | ±2.49 pp | 1,590 | –37% | |
| Abacus Data | February 21, 2024 | [357] | 24% | 59% | 18% | ±2.0 pp | 2,125 | –35% | |
| February 7, 2024 | [360] | 24% | 59% | 17% | ±2.0 pp | 2,398 | –35% | ||
| Leger | January 28, 2024 | [362] | 30% | 63% | 5% | ±2.47 pp | 1,579 | –33% | |
| Abacus Data | January 23, 2024 | [365] | 28% | 58% | 14% | ±2.1 pp | 2,199 | –30% | |
| January 9, 2024 | [370] | 26% | 58% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –32% | ||
| Leger | December 17, 2023 | [375] | 33% | 61% | 5% | ±2.43 pp | 1,622 | –28% | |
| Abacus Data | December 12, 2023 | [752] | 28% | 56% | 16% | ±2.3 pp | 1,919 | –28% | |
| November 28, 2023 | [753] | 27% | 57% | 16% | ±2.0 pp | 2,417 | –30% | ||
| Leger | November 26, 2023 | [387] | 29% | 64% | 6% | ±2.51 pp | 1,529 | –35% | |
| November 12, 2023 | [754] | 30% | 63% | 7% | ±2.44 pp | 1,612 | –33% | ||
| Abacus Data | November 12, 2023 | [755] | 26% | 58% | 16% | ±2.3 pp | 2,000 | –32% | |
| Leger | October 29, 2023 | [399] | 30% | 63% | 5% | ±2.4 pp | 1,632 | –33% | |
| September 27, 2023 | [410] | 33% | 60% | 5% | ±2.4 pp | 1,652 | –27% | ||
| Abacus Data | September 12, 2023 | [415] | 29% | 57% | 14% | ±2.1 pp | 2,125 | –28% | |
| September 4, 2023 | [420] | 31% | 53% | 16% | ±1.7 pp | 3,595 | –22% | ||
| August 7, 2023 | [756] | 31% | 54% | 15% | ±2.0 pp | 1,650 | –23% | ||
| July 25, 2023 | [433] | 32% | 51% | 17% | ±2.0 pp | 2,486 | –19% | ||
| May 3, 2023 | [457] | 34% | 49% | 17% | ±2.4 pp | 1,750 | –15% | ||
| March 21, 2023 | [467] | 33% | 49% | 18% | ±2.3 pp | 1,963 | –16% | ||
| March 4, 2023 | [475] | 35% | 49% | 16% | ±2.0 pp | 2,600 | –14% | ||
| February 18, 2023 | [478] | 34% | 48% | 18% | ±1.6 pp | 4,000 | –14% | ||
| January 30, 2023 | [483] | 34% | 49% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –15% | ||
| Abacus Data | January 16, 2023 | [488] | 34% | 47% | 19% | ±2.2 pp | 2,099 | Online | –13% |
| October 26, 2022 | [506] | 35% | 47% | 18% | ±2.1 pp | 1,500 | –12% | ||
| Ipsos | September 21, 2022 | [514] | 42% | 58% | N/a | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | –16% | |
| Abacus Data | September 14, 2022 | [522] | 37% | 49% | 14% | ±2.2 pp | 1,990 | –12% | |
| August 30, 2022 | [522] | 36% | 49% | 15% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –13% | ||
| July 27, 2022 | [522] | 34% | 51% | 15% | ±2.0 pp | 2,400 | –17% | ||
| July 17, 2022 | [524] | 38% | 46% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –8% | ||
| June 23, 2022 | [524] | 38% | 45% | 17% | ±1.8 pp | 3,026 | –7% | ||
| May 24, 2022 | [531] | 40% | 43% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –3% | ||
| May 6, 2022 | [534] | 41% | 42% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –1% | ||
| April 9, 2022 | [538] | 41% | 44% | 15% | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | –3% | ||
| March 25, 2022 | [540] | 40% | 42% | 18% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –2% | ||
| February 22, 2022 | [544] | 39% | 46% | 15% | ±1.4 pp | 5,200 | –7% | ||
| February 8, 2022 | [548] | 38% | 45% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | –7% | ||
| Ipsos | January 17, 2022 | [757] | 49% | 51% | N/a | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | –2% | |
| Abacus Data | January 12, 2022 | [557] | 44% | 40% | 16% | ±2.1 pp | 2,200 | +4% | |
| November 30, 2021 | [563] | 41% | 44% | 15% | ±2.2 pp | 2,025 | –3% | ||
| Ipsos | November 15, 2021 | [758] | 48% | 52% | N/a | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | –4% | |
| Abacus Data | October 20, 2021 | [570] | 42% | 43% | 16% | ±1.9 pp | 2,200 | –1% | |
See also
Notes
- Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest 37 (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
- Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
- In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
- In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
- In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
- Depending on the pollster, this figure may be solely for May, solely for Pedneault, or a joint rating for both leaders. Some pollsters include separate figures for both May and Pedneault; in such cases, only the rating for May is included.