Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous parliamentary election, held on 30 September 2023.
Electoral polling
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.
Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties. 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.
| Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
Smer | PS | Hlas | OĽaNO and Friends | KDH | SaS | SNS | Republika | Hungarian Alliance |
Democrats | We Are Family | ĽSNS | Others | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia | ZĽ | KÚ | ||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos[1] | 17–22 Apr 2026 | 1,046 | 17.4 | 19.2 | 6.8 | 9.4 | 1.3 | – | 7.1 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.8 | – | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| AKO[2] | 8–17 Apr 2026 | 1,000 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 8.9 | 7.7 | – | – | 7.6 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| NMS[3] | 8–13 Apr 2026 | 1,001 | 17.3 | 20.2 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| Focus[4] | 20–27 Mar 2026 | 1,038 | 17.1 | 19.1 | 8.2 | 8.5 | – | – | 6.4 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 10.6 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 3.6 | – | – | 2.0 |
| Ipsos[5] | 16–19 Mar 2026 | 1,008 | 20.0 | 20.6 | 8.2 | 7.9 | – | – | 6.3 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 4.3 | 6.0 | 2.2 | – | – | 0.6 |
| AKO[6] | 10–18 Mar 2026 | 1,000 | 17.1 | 20.1 | 8.7 | 8.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 3.9 | – | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| NMS[7] | 4–9 Mar 2026 | 1,005 | 16.7 | 21.4 | 7.6 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 4.7 |
| Ipsos[8] | 16–20 Feb 2026 | 1,037 | 18.4 | 18.8 | 7.4 | 8.8 | – | – | 6.0 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 2.5 | – | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| AKO[9] | 10–19 Feb 2026 | 1,000 | 16.4 | 20.6 | 8.8 | 9.3 | – | – | 7.4 | 7.9 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 2.9 | – | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| NMS[10] | 4–8 Feb 2026 | 1,003 | 17.6 | 19.1 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Focus[11] | 3–9 Feb 2026 | 1,014 | 17.7 | 19.3 | 8.1 | 9.7 | – | – | 6.9 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | – | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Ipsos[12] | 15–20 Jan 2026 | 1,034 | 17.6 | 20.5 | 7.3 | 8.3 | – | – | 6.8 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 2.4 | – | – | 2.9 |
| AKO[13] | 13–20 Jan 2026 | 1,000 | 16.9 | 23.2 | 9.2 | 8.0 | – | – | 7.0 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 6.3 |
| NMS[14] | 8–11 Jan 2026 | 1,003 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| AKO[15] | 9–16 Dec 2025 | 1,000 | 17.0 | 23.6 | 9.6 | 8.9 | – | – | 6.6 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 6.6 |
| Focus[16] | 1–9 Dec 2025 | 1,050 | 17.4 | 21.7 | 8.8 | 8.4 | – | – | 7.2 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | – | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| NMS[17] | 28 Nov–2 Dec 2025 | 1,006 | 18.3 | 22.6 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 11.9 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4.3 |
| Ipsos[18] | 24–28 Nov 2025 | 1,018 | 17.8 | 23.6 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 1.0 | – | 5.5 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 10.7 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 2.8 | – | 3.7 | 5.8 |
| Focus[19] | 11–18 Nov 2025 | 1,015 | 16.5 | 22.1 | 9.1 | 8.9 | – | – | 6.3 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 2.1 | – | 2.0 | 5.6 |
| AKO[20] | 11–18 Nov 2025 | 1,000 | 17.1 | 23.3 | 10.4 | 8.2 | – | – | 6.5 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 3.0 | – | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| NMS[21] | 5–9 Nov 2025 | 1,002 | 16.3 | 23.1 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 6.8 |
| Ipsos[22] | 15–20 Oct 2025 | 1,020 | 18.5 | 21.6 | 9.1 | 7.8 | – | – | 6.5 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 3.4 | – | – | 3.1 |
| Focus[23] | 13–21 Oct 2025 | 1,028 | 17.0 | 23.1 | 9.4 | 8.3 | – | – | 6.7 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 3.8 | – | – | 6.1 |
| AKO[24] | 7–18 Oct 2025 | 1,000 | 17.9 | 22.8 | 10.8 | 7.5 | – | – | 6.8 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 3.5 | – | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| NMS[25] | 1–5 Oct 2025 | 1,002 | 17.9 | 24.8 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 6.9 |
| AKO[26] | 8–22 Sep 2025 | 1,000 | 17.4 | 23.1 | 11.0 | 8.7 | 0.2 | – | 7.2 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 3.5 | – | 0.9 | 5.7 |
| Ipsos[27] | 17–21 Sep 2025 | 1,053 | 18.4 | 22.8 | 8.3 | 7.3 | – | – | 6.8 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 10.9 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 3.6 | – | – | 4.4 |
| Focus[28] | 10–17 Sep 2025 | 1,086 | 18.2 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 8.5 | – | – | 6.1 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 3.0 | – | – | 3.8 |
| NMS[29] | 3–7 Sep 2025 | 1,002 | 20.1 | 22.1 | 9.5 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Ipsos[30] | 15–19 Aug 2025 | 1,072 | 20.0 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 7.5 | 0.9 | – | 6.0 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| Focus[31] | 6–19 Aug 2025 | 3,100 | 18.7 | 21.2 | 10.1 | 8.2 | – | – | 6.7 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 9.9 | 4.6 | 4.8 | – | – | – | 2.5 |
| AKO[32] | 5–11 Aug 2025 | 1,000 | 18.2 | 22.1 | 11.3 | 7.6 | – | 0.5 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 3.6 | – | 1.0 | 3.9 |
| NMS[33] | 6–10 Aug 2025 | 1,000 | 17.4 | 23.9 | 9.2 | 8.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 6.5 |
| AKO[34] | 8–15 Jul 2025 | 1,000 | 19.4 | 22.1 | 12.4 | 8.3 | – | – | 6.6 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.7 |
| Focus[35] | 7–13 Jul 2025 | 1,032 | 19.6 | 20.7 | 11.7 | 7.5 | – | – | 6.3 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 1.1 |
| NMS[36] | 2–7 Jul 2025 | 1,009 | 18.1 | 20.9 | 9.7 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| AKO[37] | 11–19 Jun 2025 | 1,000 | 19.3 | 22.5 | 12.1 | 8.0 | – | – | 6.9 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 2.7 | – | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| Ipsos[38] | 16–19 Jun 2025 | 1,004 | 19.7 | 21.7 | 10.3 | 7.3 | – | – | 6.3 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | – | – | 2.0 |
| Focus[39] | 2–9 Jun 2025 | 1,034 | 18.8 | 20.2 | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | – | 7.5 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 3.4 | – | – | 1.4 |
| NMS[40] | 4–8 Jun 2025 | 1,003 | 19.8 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.2 |
| AKO[41] | 19–26 May 2025 | 1,000 | 19.0 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 8.8 | – | – | 7.8 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | – | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| Focus[42] | 12–19 May 2025 | 1,000 | 19.1 | 20.9 | 10.6 | 7.8 | – | – | 7.3 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 3.2 | – | – | 1.8 |
| Ipsos[43] | 12–16 May 2025 | 1,013 | 19.6 | 21.9 | 8.4 | 7.3 | 1.3 | – | 7.5 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| NMS[44] | 30 Apr–4 May 2025 | 1,007 | 20.6 | 22.8 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| AKO[45] | 10–17 Apr 2025 | 1,000 | 20.5 | 22.5 | 12.0 | 8.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | – | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Focus[46] | 1–8 Apr 2025 | 1,020 | 19.3 | 21.0 | 10.9 | 7.3 | – | – | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 8.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | – | – | – | 1.7 |
| NMS[47] | 2–6 Apr 2025 | 1,005 | 19.9 | 23.4 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.5 |
| AKO[48] | 11–19 Mar 2025 | 1,000 | 21.2 | 21.7 | 12.3 | 7.3 | – | – | 7.8 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Ipsos[49] | 10–14 Mar 2025 | 1,032 | 22.1 | 21.4 | 12.5 | 5.9 | – | – | 7.8 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 2.5 | – | – | 0.7 |
| NMS[50] | 5–9 Mar 2025 | 1,001 | 21.4 | 23.8 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Focus[51] | 7–12 Feb 2025 | 1,010 | 21.7 | 22.1 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 2.6 | – | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| AKO[52] | 5–12 Feb 2025 | 1,000 | 22.1 | 24.1 | 12.5 | 6.0 | – | – | 6.9 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| NMS[53] | 5–9 Feb 2025 | 1,001 | 22.5 | 24.6 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 |
| AKO[54] | 14–24 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | 22.5 | 24.6 | 13.0 | 5.4 | 0.3 | – | 6.7 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 |
| Ipsos[55] | 11–17 Jan 2025 | 1,031 | 22.2 | 23.0 | 11.1 | 5.6 | 1.9 | – | 7.3 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| NMS[56] | 9–13 Jan 2025 | 1,001 | 18.4 | 23.9 | 11.5 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 5.5 |
| AKO[57] | 16–19 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 20.3 | 22.8 | 13.9 | 6.2 | 0.2 | – | 7.3 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| NMS[58] | 4–9 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 19.1 | 24.8 | 10.7 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 5.7 |
| Focus[59] | 2–8 Dec 2024 | 1,022 | 20.8 | 21.5 | 13.8 | 5.2 | – | – | 6.9 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 2.2 | – | – | 0.7 |
| AKO[60] | 12–20 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 20.7 | 21.2 | 14.7 | 6.6 | – | 0.1 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Focus[61] | 6–13 Nov 2024 | 1,018 | 21.9 | 22.6 | 13.3 | 3.6 | – | – | 6.2 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.3 | – | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| NMS[62] | 7–11 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 19.1 | 25.1 | 10.8 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 |
| Ipsos[63] | 27 Oct–1 Nov 2024 | 1,003 | 21.9 | 22.6 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| AKO[64] | 8–17 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 15.0 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | Tie | ||
| NMS[65] | 2–7 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 20.5 | 24.4 | 12.0 | 5.2 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.9 | |
| Focus[66] | 17–26 Sep 2024 | 1,017 | 23.3 | 22.1 | 12.8 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | – | 0.1 | 1.2 | ||
| AKO[67] | 10–16 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | 22.8 | 22.4 | 15.1 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 2.6 | – | 0.9 | 0.4 | ||
| Ipsos[68] | 6–10 Sep 2024 | 1,025 | 25.5 | 21.6 | 11.9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 2.0 | – | – | 3.9 | ||
| NMS[69] | 5–9 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | 23.9 | 24.5 | 12.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 1.2 | – | 0.6 | |
| NMS[70] | 8–12 Aug 2024 | 1,014 | 22.4 | 23.1 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | – | 0.7 | |
| AKO[71] | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 23.6 | 22.0 | 15.9 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | ||
| Focus[72] | 9–14 Jul 2024 | 1,013 | 25.7 | 21.3 | 11.3 | 4.4 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 2.7 | – | 1.0 | 4.4 | ||
| AKO[73] | 9–15 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 23.5 | 21.7 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | ||
| NMS[74] | 4–8 Jul 2024 | 1,020 | 22.5 | 22.6 | 13.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | |
| Ipsos[75] | 26 Jun–1 Jul 2024 | 1,017 | 25.2 | 22.3 | 13.5 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | ||
| AKO[76] | 11–18 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 23.8 | 22.8 | 15.2 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 | – | 0.8 | 1.0 | ||
| Focus[77] | 5–12 Jun 2024 | 1,025 | 24.2 | 21.6 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | – | – | 2.6 | ||
| European election | 8 Jun 2024 | 1,476,968 | 24.77 | 27.82 | 7.18 | 1.99 | 0.63 | 7.15 | 4.92 | 1.90 | 12.53 | 3.80 | 4.69 | – | 0.48 | 2.06 | 3.05 | |
| NMS[78] | 30 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,020 | 22.4 | 23.7 | 15.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | – | 1.3 | |
| Ipsos[79] | 14–21 May 2024 | 743 | 25.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 | – | – | 4.0 | ||
| AKO[80] | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 21.8 | 20.8 | 17.2 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.1 | – | 0.6 | 1.0 | ||
| NMS[81] | 9–13 May 2024 | 1,020 | 20.9 | 23.1 | 14.9 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | – | 2.2 | |
| Focus[82] | 17–24 Apr 2024 | 1,017 | 21.1 | 19.7 | 18.0 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | ||
| AKO[83] | 9–16 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 21.2 | 20.1 | 16.5 | 5.2 | 7.9 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | ||
| Focus[84] | 28 Mar–4 Apr 2024 | 1,015 | 21.6 | 20.1 | 17.9 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | – | 1.5 | ||
| Ipsos[85] | 16–19 Mar 2024 | 1,009 | 21.6 | 20.2 | 16.3 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 3.0 | – | – | 1.4 | ||
| AKO[86] | 11–18 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.1 | 21.0 | 15.9 | 5.6 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | ||
| Ipsos[87] | 12–16 Mar 2024 | 1,038 | 23.4 | 20.8 | 17.1 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 | – | – | 2.6 | ||
| Ipsos[88] | 16–21 Feb 2024 | 1,028 | 22.7 | 21.3 | 16.5 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | ||
| Focus[89] | 14–21 Feb 2024 | 1,025 | 21.1 | 18.9 | 17.2 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 2.2 | ||
| NMS[90] | 14–18 Feb 2024 | 1,022 | 21.0 | 22.0 | 16.9 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | ||
| AKO[91] | 5–12 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 24.0 | 22.6 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | ||
| Ipsos[92] | 22–25 Jan 2024 | 1,022 | 24.5 | 20.6 | 15.4 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 3.9 | ||
| Focus[93] | 16–23 Jan 2024 | 1,015 | 21.6 | 19.4 | 17.9 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | ||
| AKO[94] | 11–16 Jan 2024 | 1,048 | 22.1 | 19.9 | 14.3 | 7.0 | 8.7 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | ||
| NMS[95] | 10–14 Jan 2024 | 1,030 | 22.3 | 21.1 | 14.7 | 6.0 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | ||
| Ipsos[96] | 13–18 Dec 2023 | 1,048 | 24.1 | 19.4 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 4.7 | ||
| AKO[97] | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 24.2 | 21.4 | 14.6 | 6.8 | 7.3 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | – | 2.8 | ||
| Focus[98] | 15–22 Nov 2023 | 1,015 | 23.8 | 17.9 | 14.6 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 5.9 | ||
| AKO[99] | 7–14 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | 24.0 | 20.1 | 15.4 | 6.6 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3.9 | ||
| Ipsos[100] | 2–7 Nov 2023 | 1,021 | 24.0 | 19.1 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4.9 | ||
| 2023 election | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 22.95 | 17.96 | 14.70 | 8.90 | 6.82 | 6.32 | 5.63 | 4.75 | 4.39 | 2.93 | 2.21 | 0.84 | 1.60 | 4.99 | ||
Scenario Polls
In addition to the regular opinion polls, several polls based on potential political scenarios have been published. These polls are listed below. For better comparison, the corresponding baseline polls from the above table – if such exist – are shown in the rows with light yellow background.
Scenarios with joint lists including Smer, Hlas, SNS and Republika
| Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
Possible Joint List | PS | OĽaNO and Friends | KDH | SaS | Hungarian Alliance |
Democrats | We Are Family | ĽSNS | Others | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smer | Hlas | SNS | Republika | Slovakia | ZĽ | KÚ | ||||||||||||
| Focus[101] | 3–9 Feb 2026 | 1,014 | 31.9 | 20.9 | 12.2 | – | – | 8.8 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 2.8 | – | 2.2 | 11.0 | |||
| 25.6 | 10.5 | 19.4 | 11.2 | – | – | 7.9 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 2.5 | – | – | 6.2 | |||||
| 17.7 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 9.9 | 19.3 | 9.7 | – | – | 6.9 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | – | 1.9 | 1.6 | |||
Scenarios involving Ivan Korčok
The polling institute Focus conducted a poll containig two scenarios asking about a potential involvement of former Minister of Foreign and European Affairs and 2024 presidential candidate Ivan Korčok in party politics. The poll was commissioned by Korčok himself. One of those scenarios did materialize in 2024 when Korčok decided to join the liberal Progressive Slovakia party.
| Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
Scenario | Smer | PS | Hlas | OĽaNO and Friends | KDH | SaS | Democrats | Korčok Party |
SNS | Republika | Hungarian Alliance |
We Are Family | ĽSNS | Others | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia | ZĽ | KÚ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Focus[102] | 9–14 Jul 2024 | 1,013 | [a] | 25.2 | 15.6 | 10.7 | 2.9 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 14.4 | 3.3 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 2.1 | – | – | 9.6 | ||
| [b] | 24.7 | 27.6 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 5.1 | – | 2.1 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | – | – | 3.2 | |||||
| [c] | 25.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 14.1 | 4.1 | – | 3.5 | 6.6 | 4.4 | 3.0 | – | – | 9.0 | |||||
| [d] | 26.1 | 17.9 | 10.4 | 3.2 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 13.1 | – | 3.5 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 2.7 | – | – | 8.2 | |||||
| [e] | 26.1 | 17.7 | 12.0 | 4.2 | 7.4 | 14.5 | – | 2.7 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 2.5 | – | – | 8.4 | ||||||
| – | 25.7 | 21.3 | 11.3 | 4.4 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 4.7 | – | 3.4 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.7 | – | 1.0 | 4.4 | |||||
Seat projections
76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.
| Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
Smer | PS | Hlas | OĽaNO and Friends | KDH | SaS | SNS | Republic | Hungarian Alliance |
Democrats | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos[1] | 17–22 Apr 2026 | 1,046 | 31 | 34 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 43 | 107 |
| AKO[2] | 8–17 Apr 2026 | 1,000 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 102 |
| NMS[3] | 8–13 Apr 2026 | 1,001 | 31 | 36 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 106 |
| Focus[4] | 20–27 Mar 2026 | 1,038 | 31 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 46 | 104 |
| Ipsos[5] | 16–19 Mar 2026 | 1,008 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 48 | 102 |
| AKO[6] | 10–18 Mar 2026 | 1,000 | 31 | 36 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 103 |
| NMS[7] | 4–9 Mar 2026 | 1,005 | 32 | 41 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 104 |
| Ipsos[8] | 16–20 Feb 2026 | 1,037 | 32 | 33 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 45 | 105 |
| AKO[9] | 10–19 Feb 2026 | 1,000 | 29 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 105 |
| NMS[10] | 4–8 Feb 2026 | 1,003 | 34 | 37 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 46 | 104 |
| Focus[11] | 3–9 Feb 2026 | 1,014 | 32 | 34 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 46 | 104 |
| Ipsos[12] | 15–20 Jan 2026 | 1,034 | 31 | 36 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 106 |
| AKO[13] | 13–20 Jan 2026 | 1,000 | 30 | 41 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 104 |
| NMS[14] | 8–11 Jan 2026 | 1,003 | 32 | 38 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 44 | 106 |
| AKO[15] | 9–16 Dec 2025 | 1,000 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 102 |
| Focus[16] | 1–9 Dec 2025 | 1,050 | 31 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 46 | 104 |
| NMS[17] | 28 Nov–2 Dec 2025 | 1,006 | 33 | 40 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 105 |
| Ipsos[18] | 24–28 Nov 2025 | 1,018 | 31 | 41 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 106 |
| Focus[19] | 11–18 Nov 2025 | 1,015 | 29 | 39 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 105 |
| AKO[20] | 11–18 Nov 2025 | 1,000 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 102 |
| NMS[21] | 5–9 Nov 2025 | 1,002 | 29 | 41 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 108 |
| Ipsos[22] | 15–20 Oct 2025 | 1,020 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 102 |
| Focus[23] | 13–21 Oct 2025 | 1,028 | 30 | 40 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 104 |
| AKO[24] | 7–18 Oct 2025 | 1,000 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 101 |
| NMS[25] | 1–5 Oct 2025 | 1,002 | 31 | 44 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 104 |
| AKO[26] | 8–22 Sep 2025 | 1,000 | 31 | 42 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 99 |
| Ipsos[27] | 17–21 Sep 2025 | 1,053 | 34 | 42 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 101 |
| Focus[28] | 10–17 Sep 2025 | 1,086 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 101 |
| NMS[29] | 3–7 Sep 2025 | 1,002 | 35 | 39 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 51 | 99 |
| Ipsos[30] | 15–19 Aug 2025 | 1,072 | 34 | 38 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 99 |
| Focus[31] | 6–19 Aug 2025 | 3,100 | 35 | 39 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 54 | 96 |
| AKO[32] | 5–11 Aug 2025 | 1,000 | 34 | 41 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 95 |
| NMS[33] | 6–10 Aug 2025 | 1,000 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 101 |
| AKO[34] | 8–15 Jul 2025 | 1,000 | 35 | 39 | 22 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 57 | 93 |
| Focus[35] | 7–13 Jul 2025 | 1,032 | 36 | 38 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 57 | 93 |
| NMS[36] | 2–7 Jul 2025 | 1,009 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 50 | 100 |
| AKO[37] | 11–19 Jun 2025 | 1,000 | 34 | 40 | 22 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 94 |
| Ipsos[38] | 16–19 Jun 2025 | 1,004 | 37 | 40 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 56 | 94 |
| Focus[39] | 2–9 Jun 2025 | 1,034 | 35 | 37 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 96 |
| NMS[40] | 4–8 Jun 2025 | 1,003 | 37 | 43 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 96 |
| AKO[41] | 19–26 May 2025 | 1,000 | 34 | 39 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 95 |
| Focus[42] | 12–19 May 2025 | 1,000 | 36 | 39 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 56 | 94 |
| Ipsos[43] | 12–16 May 2025 | 1,013 | 37 | 41 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 53 | 97 |
| NMS[44] | 30 Apr–4 May 2025 | 1,007 | 38 | 42 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 55 | 95 |
| AKO[45] | 10–17 Apr 2025 | 1,000 | 36 | 40 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 57 | 93 |
| Focus[46] | 1–8 Apr 2025 | 1,020 | 36 | 39 | 20 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 56 | 94 |
| NMS[47] | 2–6 Apr 2025 | 1,005 | 37 | 43 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 53 | 97 |
| AKO[48] | 11–19 Mar 2025 | 1,000 | 38 | 39 | 22 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 90 |
| Ipsos[49] | 10–14 Mar 2025 | 1,032 | 38 | 36 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 59 | 91 |
| NMS[50] | 5–9 Mar 2025 | 1,001 | 40 | 44 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 56 | 94 |
| Focus[51] | 7–12 Feb 2025 | 1,010 | 40 | 40 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 89 |
| AKO[52] | 5–12 Feb 2025 | 1,000 | 40 | 43 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 62 | 88 |
| NMS[53] | 5–9 Feb 2025 | 1,001 | 41 | 44 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 60 | 90 |
| AKO[54] | 14–24 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | 40 | 44 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 63 | 87 |
| Ipsos[55] | 11–17 Jan 2025 | 1,031 | 40 | 42 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 90 |
| NMS[56] | 9–13 Jan 2025 | 1,001 | 34 | 44 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 55 | 95 |
| AKO[57] | 16–19 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 37 | 42 | 25 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 62 | 88 |
| NMS[58] | 4–9 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 37 | 49 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 58 | 92 |
| Focus[59] | 2–8 Dec 2024 | 1,022 | 36 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 91 |
| AKO[60] | 12–20 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 37 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 64 | 86 |
| Focus[61] | 6–13 Nov 2024 | 1,018 | 41 | 43 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 84 |
| NMS[62] | 7–11 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 38 | 50 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 59 | 91 |
| Ipsos[63] | 27 Oct–1 Nov 2024 | 1,003 | 42 | 43 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 83 |
| AKO[64] | 8–17 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 41 | 41 | 29 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 80 |
| NMS[65] | 2–7 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 35 | 42 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 95 |
| Focus[66] | 17–26 Sep 2024 | 1,017 | 40 | 38 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 62 | 88 |
| AKO[67] | 10–16 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | 43 | 43 | 29 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 78 |
| Ipsos[68] | 6–10 Sep 2024 | 1,025 | 46 | 39 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 67 | 83 |
| NMS[69] | 5–9 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | 45 | 46 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 81 |
| AKO[71] | 6–12 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 44 | 41 | 30 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 74 | 76 |
| AKO[73] | 9–15 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 39 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 78 | 72 |
| Ipsos[75] | 26 Jun–1 Jul 2024 | 1,017 | 47 | 42 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 72 | 78 |
| AKO[76] | 11–18 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 40 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 78 | 72 |
| Focus[77] | 5–12 Jun 2024 | 1,025 | 43 | 38 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 68 | 82 |
| AKO[80] | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 37 | 31 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 79 | 71 |
| Focus[82] | 17–24 Apr 2024 | 1,017 | 38 | 36 | 33 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 80 | 70 |
| AKO[83] | 9–16 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 41 | 39 | 32 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 83 | 67 |
| Focus[84] | 28 Mar–4 Apr 2024 | 1,015 | 40 | 37 | 33 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 82 | 68 |
| AKO[86] | 11–18 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 40 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 82 | 68 |
| Ipsos[87] | 12–16 Mar 2024 | 1,038 | 42 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 72 | 78 |
| Ipsos[88] | 16–21 Feb 2024 | 1,028 | 41 | 38 | 29 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 70 | 80 |
| Focus[89] | 14–21 Feb 2024 | 1,025 | 39 | 35 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 82 | 68 |
| AKO[91] | 5–12 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 42 | 27 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 82 | 68 |
| Focus[93] | 16–23 Jan 2024 | 1,015 | 43 | 38 | 35 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 89 | 61 |
| AKO[94] | 11–16 Jan 2024 | 1,048 | 37 | 34 | 24 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 70 | 80 |
| Ipsos[96] | 13–18 Dec 2023 | 1,048 | 47 | 37 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 77 | 73 |
| AKO[97] | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 43 | 38 | 26 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 78 | 72 |
| Focus[98] | 15–22 Nov 2023 | 1,015 | 42 | 31 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 77 | 73 |
| AKO[99] | 7–14 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | 47 | 39 | 30 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 87 | 63 |
| 2023 election | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 42 | 32 | 27 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 79 | 71 |