Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election

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In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 15th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 23 July 2023, to the present day.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 23 July 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

2026
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE Vox Sumar ERC Junts EH Bildu PNV BNG CCa UPN Podemos SALF Aliança.cat Lead
More in Common[1] 21–25 Apr 2,547 68.3 31.1 28.0 17.1 7.7 – – – – – – – 2.9 1.8 – 3.1
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[2] 12–24 Apr 1,844 ? 31.9
135		 28.5
114		 18.0
56		 5.9
10		 1.8
7		 1.5
7		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 1.0
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
2		 2.0
0		 – 3.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[3] 15–18 Apr 1,712 ? 31.8
140		 27.0
110		 16.9
59		 6.6
10		 1.8
7		 1.2
5		 1.3
6		 1.1
6		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.4
2		 2.6
0		 – 4.8
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[4] 12–17 Apr 1,301 ? 31.5
133		 28.7
116		 18.1
58		 5.7
9		 1.8
7		 1.4
6		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 1.0
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.7
2		 1.9
0		 – 2.8
CIS (Logoslab)[a][5] 6–10 Apr 4,020 ? 30.1
127		 30.1
121		 16.9
60		 5.8
8		 – – – – – – – 2.1
1		 1.8
0		 – Tie
CIS[6][7] ? 23.6 36.4 14.7 5.8 2.9 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 2.2 1.7 – 12.8
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[8] 5–10 Apr 1,597 ? 31.2
131		 29.1
117		 18.4
60		 5.8
9		 1.7
7		 1.4
5		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.7
2		 1.8
0		 – 2.1
NC Report/La Razón[9] 6–9 Apr 1,000 63.2 32.8
140/142		 26.9
107/109		 18.3
62/64		 5.8
8/9		 1.9
7		 1.5
6		 1.4
6		 1.0
5		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
2		 – – 5.9
Ipsos/La Vanguardia[10] 23 Mar–8 Apr 1,058 67 30.9
130		 28.4
117		 18.3
64		 5.8
7		 2.2
8		 1.4
5		 1.9
8		 1.2
6		 0.8
2		 0.5
1		 0.1
0		 1.8
0		 2.2
0		 0.5
2		 2.5
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[11] 28 Mar–3 Apr 1,107 ? 30.8
127		 29.3
119		 18.7
62		 5.6
9		 1.7
7		 1.4
5		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.7
2		 1.8
0		 – 1.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[12] 16–31 Mar 1,958 ? 32.5
139		 27.7
113		 17.1
58		 7.7
12		 1.8
7		 1.0
3		 1.4
6		 1.1
6		 0.6
1		 0.5
1		 0.2
1		 3.5
2		 – 0.4
1		 4.8
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[13] 16–27 Mar 1,228 ? 31.6
131		 28.8
111		 19.3
67		 5.4
8		 1.7
7		 1.3
5		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.9
2		 1.6
0		 – 2.8
Target Point/El Debate[14] 24–26 Mar 1,114 ? 31.7
131/133		 27.6
112/114		 18.3
63/64		 6.9
9/10		 – – – – – – – 3.3
2/3		 2.2
0		 – 4.1
Sumar[15] 25 Mar 1,000 ? 30.0
120/122		 30.0
116/118		 18.0
63		 6.3
9/10		 ?
9/10		 ?
6		 ?
8		 ?
4		 ?
4		 – – 3.0
2		 – – Tie
40dB/Prisa[16][17] 24–25 Mar 2,000 ? 31.1 28.6 18.7 5.8 – – – – – – – 2.7 1.6 – 2.5
DYM/Henneo[18] 19–23 Mar 1,002 ? 34.6
143/147		 27.9
107/111		 15.8
54/56		 4.9
6/8		 – – – – – – – 3.8
2/3		 0.8
0		 – 6.7
SocioMétrica/El Español[19] 19–21 Mar 1,100 ? 31.9
140		 26.5
108		 18.0
62		 6.6
9		 1.9
8		 1.1
4		 1.2
6		 1.1
6		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.6
3		 2.5
0		 – 5.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[20] 16–20 Mar 1,086 ? 31.1
128		 29.0
110		 19.8
71		 5.1
8		 1.7
7		 1.3
5		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
2		 1.6
0		 – 2.1
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[21] 28 Feb–13 Mar 2,541 ? 30.7
124		 28.9
112		 20.3
74		 5.1
7		 1.7
7		 1.3
5		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
2		 1.9
0		 – 1.8
CIS (Target Point)[a][22] 2–6 Mar 4,016 ? 30.4 28.4 18.7 6.6 1.9 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.6 – – 3.2 2.4 – 2.0
CIS (Logoslab)[a][23] ? 28.8
123		 28.4
117		 18.1
67		 6.5
9		 – – – – – – – 2.9
2		 2.4
0		 – 0.4
CIS[24][25] ? 23.3 31.8 16.6 7.1 2.4 0.6 1.1 0.5 1.7 0.0 0.0 2.9 2.1 – 8.5
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[26] 28 Feb–6 Mar 1,741 ? 31.0
130		 28.4
109		 19.2
68		 5.2
8		 1.5
7		 1.5
7		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.6
2		 1.9
0		 – 2.6
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[27] 28 Feb–4 Mar 1,428 ? 30.5
129		 28.3
109		 19.5
71		 5.0
8		 1.5
7		 1.5
7		 1.3
6		 1.2
6		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.3
3		 1.9
0		 – 2.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[28] 23–27 Feb 1,969 ? 31.9
135		 26.4
108		 18.3
64		 8.4
14		 1.9
7		 1.0
3		 1.1
6		 1.1
6		 0.7
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.1
2		 – 0.4
1		 5.5
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[29] 21–27 Feb 2,307 ? 32.0
133		 26.5
102		 20.1
71		 5.7
9		 1.9
7		 1.4
6		 1.3
7		 1.1
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
5		 2.2
0		 – 5.5
40dB/Prisa[30][31] 20–23 Feb 2,000 ? 30.2 27.7 18.8 5.9 – – – – – – – 3.3 2.3 – 2.5
Ateneo del Dato/elDiario.es[32] 18–22 Feb 2,000 ? 29.4
118/121		 27.0
106/109		 20.3
73/77		 7.2
11		 – – – – – – – 3.8
2		 – – 2.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[33] 9–20 Feb 1,841 ? 31.9
130		 26.5
102		 20.3
73		 5.2
8		 1.9
8		 1.5
7		 1.3
7		 1.1
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
5		 2.4
0		 – 5.4
Target Point/El Debate[34] 17–19 Feb 1,005 ? 30.5
128/130		 25.8
105/107		 20.3
72/73		 6.7
9/10		 – – – – – – – 3.7
3/4		 2.4
0		 – 4.7
SocioMétrica/El Español[35] 11–13 Feb 1,200 ? 32.1
140		 25.0
98		 18.4
66		 7.2
11		 ?
8		 ?
6		 ?
7		 ?
6		 ?
2		 ?
1		 ?
1		 4.2
4		 2.5
0		 – 7.1
NC Report/La Razón[36] 10–13 Feb 1,000 63.1 33.1
142/144		 25.9
100/102		 18.1
64/66		 6.0
9/10		 1.8
7		 1.5
6		 1.4
6		 1.0
5		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.3
2/3		 – – 7.2
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[37] 1–12 Feb 1,635 ? 32.0
131		 26.7
103		 20.1
71		 5.7
9		 1.9
8		 1.4
6		 1.3
7		 1.1
6		 0.9
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.0
5		 2.0
0		 – 5.3
Data10/Okdiario[38] 10 Feb ? ? 31.6
134		 26.0
107		 19.5
71		 6.6
10		 2.0
8		 1.1
4		 1.3
7		 0.9
5		 0.8
2		 0.5
1		 0.2
1		 2.2
0		 2.9
0		 – 5.6
CIS (Logoslab)[a][39] 2–6 Feb 4,027 ? 27.8
117		 27.4
111		 20.0
78		 6.4
9		 – – – – – – – 3.8
4		 2.4
0		 – 0.4
CIS (Target Point)[a][40] ? 29.1 26.7 20.6 6.7 2.1 1.3 1.1 1.2 0.5 – – 4.0 2.7 – 2.4
CIS[41][42] ? 22.9 32.6 18.9 7.0 2.5 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 3.9 2.4 – 9.7
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[43] 31 Jan–6 Feb 2,012 ? 31.8
133		 27.0
104		 19.6
69		 6.0
10		 2.0
8		 1.3
4		 1.4
7		 1.1
6		 1.0
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 3.9
5		 1.8
0		 – 4.8
40dB/Prisa[44][45] 30 Jan–2 Feb 2,000 ? 31.2 27.7 18.0 6.4 – – – – – – – 3.7 1.6 – 3.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[46] 26–30 Jan 1,819 ? 32.4
139		 26.1
106		 17.8
61		 8.2
13		 1.8
7		 0.9
3		 1.2
6		 1.1
6		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.6
3		 – 0.7
2		 6.3
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[47] 24–30 Jan 1,289 ? 32.1
133		 26.1
103		 20.0
70		 5.8
9		 1.9
7		 1.2
5		 1.5
7		 1.1
6		 1.2
3		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.1
5		 1.8
0		 – 6.0
DYM/Henneo[48] 22–25 Jan 1,003 ? 34.4
141/145		 27.0
105/109		 16.6
56/59		 5.0
6/8		 – – – – – – – 5.1
3/5		 0.5
0		 – 7.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[49] 16–23 Jan 1,594 ? 32.1
134		 26.0
102		 19.9
69		 5.6
9		 1.9
7		 1.3
6		 1.4
7		 1.1
6		 1.1
3		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.2
5		 1.7
0		 – 6.1
KeyData/Público[50] 22 Jan ? 69.2 32.2
137		 26.5
106		 17.9
63		 7.2
11		 2.0
8		 1.2
6		 1.4
6		 1.1
6		 0.8
2		 ?
1		 ?
1		 4.2
3		 1.5
0		 – 5.7
DYM/Henneo[48] 14–18 Jan 1,000 ? 33.7 27.1 16.9 5.2 – – – – – – – 4.9 0.7 – 6.6
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[51] 10–16 Jan 1,001 ? 32.6
135		 26.5
102		 19.4
69		 5.2
8		 1.9
8		 1.5
6		 1.4
7		 1.1
6		 1.0
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.1
5		 1.6
0		 – 6.1
Target Point/El Debate[52] 13–15 Jan 1,000 ? 30.0
126/128		 26.1
106/108		 19.2
68/70		 8.0
12/13		 – – – – – – – 3.2
2/3		 1.8
0		 – 3.9
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[53] 12–15 Jan 1,002 ? 30.0
125/130		 26.5
105/110		 17.8
63/68		 8.3
16/18		 2.2
10/11		 1.0
3/4		 – – – – – 4.3
3/5		 1.7
0		 – 3.5
SocioMétrica/El Español[54] 7–10 Jan 1,300 ? 32.5
142		 25.7
102		 17.9
62		 6.5
9		 2.1
8		 1.3
6		 1.5
8		 0.9
4		 1.1
3		 0.5
1		 0.2
1		 3.8
4		 2.1
0		 – 6.8
CIS (Logoslab)[a][55] 5–10 Jan 4,006 ? 28.0
117		 27.5
111		 20.0
77		 7.0
11		 – – – – – – – 3.2
3		 2.0
0		 – 0.5
CIS[56][57] ? 23.0 31.7 17.7 7.2 2.6 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 3.5 1.8 – 8.7
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[58] 1–10 Jan 1,083 ? 32.3
133		 26.9
103		 19.7
70		 5.0
8		 1.9
8		 1.5
6		 1.4
7		 1.1
6		 1.0
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.0
5		 1.5
0		 – 5.4
NC Report/La Razón[59] 5–9 Jan 1,000 62.9 33.5
145/147		 26.3
103/105		 17.6
60/62		 6.1
9/10		 1.8
7		 1.5
6/7		 1.4
6		 1.0
5		 0.8
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.4
2/3		 – – 6.8
40dB/Prisa[60][61] 29 Dec–5 Jan 2,000 ? 31.5 27.1 17.9 5.9 – – – – – – – 3.5 2.1 – 4.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[62] 27 Dec–3 Jan 1,316 ? 32.2
133		 26.8
103		 19.8
71		 4.7
7		 1.9
8		 1.5
6		 1.4
7		 1.1
6		 1.0
2		 0.4
1		 0.2
1		 4.5
5		 1.5
0		 – 5.4
2025
2024
2023

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Hypothetical scenarios

Sumar+Podemos
Sumar+Podemos+ERC+EH Bildu+BNG
PSOE+Sumar+Podemos

Sub-national polling

Leadership polling

Notes

References

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