Opinion polling for the 2011 Canadian federal election
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This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted leading up to the 2011 Canadian federal election.
Graphical summary
Graph of polling from the 2008 election to the 2011 election
Graph of polling during the 2011 election showing trends by polling firm and party
Graph of polling during the 2011 election showing average trend line and margin of error
Campaign period
| Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | Other | Type | ME | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | May 2, 2011 | [1] | 39.6 | 18.9 | 30.6 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | — | — | 9 |
| Forum Research | May 1, 2011 | [2] | 36 | 19 | 33 | 5 | 6 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.6 | 3 | |
| EKOS Research Associates[a] | May 1, 2011 | [3] | 33.9 | 21.0 | 31.2 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 1.5 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.8 | 2.7 |
| Nanos Research[a] | May 1, 2011 | [4] | 37.1 | 20.5 | 31.6 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | Phone | ±3.0 | 5.5 |
| Harris-Decima | May 1, 2011 | [5] | 36 | 19 | 30 | 6 | 6 | Phone | ±3.1 | 6.1 | |
| EKOS Research Associates[a] | April 30, 2011 | [6] | 34.6 | 20.4 | 31.4 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 1.8 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.8 | 3.2 |
| Forum Research | April 30, 2011 | [7] 2 | 35 | 19 | 33 | 5 | 7 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.6 | 2 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 30, 2011 | [8] | 37.0 | 22.7 | 30.6 | 5.5 | 3.2 | Phone | ±3.0 | 6.4 | |
| Abacus Data | April 29, 2011 | [9] | 37 | 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | Online | ±3.2 | 5 | |
| COMPAS | April 29, 2011 | [10] | 46 | 17 | 26 | 7 | 4 | Phone | ±3.6 | 20 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 29, 2011 | [11] | 38.0 | 23.3 | 29.6 | 5.2 | 3.1 | Phone | ±3.0 | 8.4 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 29, 2011 | [12] | 37 | 19 | 33 | 6 | 4 | Online | ±2.2 | 4 | |
| Leger Marketing | April 28, 2011 | [13] | 36 | 21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | Online | ±1.7 | 5 | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 28, 2011 | [14] | 38 | 18 | 33 | 6 | 4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 5 | |
| EKOS Research Associates[a] | April 28, 2011 | [15] | 34.5 | 20.0 | 29.7 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 2.7 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.8 | 4.8 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 28, 2011 | [16] | 36.4 | 22.0 | 31.2 | 5.7 | 4.0 | Phone | ±3.1 | 5.2 | |
| Harris-Decima | April 27, 2011 | [17] | 35 | 22 | 30 | 5 | 7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 5 | |
| EKOS Research Associates[a] | April 27, 2011 | [18] | 34.8 | 22.3 | 27.5 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 2.5 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.9 | 7.3 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 27, 2011 | [19] | 36.6 | 21.9 | 30.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | Phone | ±3.1 | 6.2 | |
| EKOS Research Associates[a] | April 26, 2011 | [20] | 34.0 | 22.9 | 28.1 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 1.9 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.9 | 5.9 |
| Forum Research | April 26, 2011 | [21] | 34 | 22 | 31 | 6 | 7 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.8 | 3 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 26, 2011 | [22] | 37.8 | 22.9 | 27.8 | 5.8 | 4.7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 10 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 26, 2011 | [23] | 35 | 22 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 1 | Online | ±2.2 | 5 |
| EKOS Research Associates[a] | April 25, 2011 | [24] | 33.9 | 24.0 | 27.9 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 1.4 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.0 | 6 |
| Innovative Research Group | April 25, 2011 | [25] | 38.4 | 24.9 | 23.9 | 6.4 | 5.3 | Phone | ±2.49 | 13.5 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 24, 2011 | [26] | 33.7 | 23.7 | 28.0 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 1.2 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.9 | 5 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 24, 2011 | [27] | 39.2 | 25.6 | 23.6 | 6.5 | 3.6 | Phone | ±3.1 | 13.6 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 23, 2011 | [28] | 38.6 | 25.9 | 23.2 | 7.2 | 3.7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 12.7 | |
| Environics | April 21, 2011 | [29] | 39 | 22 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 1 | Phone | ±3.2 | 14 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 21, 2011 | [30] | 37.8 | 26.1 | 23.7 | 7.4 | 3.5 | Phone | ±3.1 | 11.7 | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 20, 2011 | [31] | 43 | 21 | 24 | 6 | 4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 19 | |
| Forum Research | April 20, 2011 | [32] | 36 | 23 | 25 | 6 | 6 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.2 | 11 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 20, 2011 | [33] | 39.0 | 26.7 | 22.1 | 7.5 | 3.4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 12.3 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 20, 2011 | [34] | 34.4 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.2 | 9.7 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 19, 2011 | [35] | 39.1 | 28.4 | 19.8 | 7.7 | 3.9 | Phone | ±3.1 | 10.7 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 18, 2011 | [36] | 39.8 | 30.2 | 17.3 | 8.6 | 3.1 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.6 | |
| Innovative Research Group | April 17, 2011 | [37] | 39 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 1 | Phone | ±2.25 | 11 |
| Environics | April 17, 2011 | [38] | 39 | 24 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 1 | Phone | ±3.2 | 15 |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 17, 2011 | [39] | 37.4 | 24.9 | 20.0 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 1.5 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.2 | 12.5 |
| Harris-Decima | April 17, 2011 | [40] | 36 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 8 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 17, 2011 | [41] | 39.8 | 29.8 | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 10 | |
| Leger Marketing | April 17, 2011 | [42] | 38 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 5 | Online | ±1.7 | 12 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 16, 2011 | [43] | 36 | 25 | 25 | 9 | 5 | Online | ±2.2 | 11 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 16, 2011 | [44] | 39.0 | 28.3 | 18.4 | 9.6 | 3.6 | Phone | ±3.1 | 10.7 | |
| Abacus Data | April 15, 2011 | [45] | 37 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 5 | Online | ±3.2 | 8 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 15, 2011 | [46] | 38.8 | 28.8 | 19.2 | 8.5 | 3.4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 10 | |
| Forum Research | April 14, 2011 | [47] | 36 | 25 | 22 | 7 | 8 | Phone | ±2.2 | 11 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 14, 2011 | [48] | 35.3 | 27.8 | 18.0 | 7.1 | 9.6 | 2.1 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.8 | 7.5 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 14, 2011 | [49] | 38.7 | 28.8 | 18.6 | 9.0 | 3.7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.9 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 13, 2011 | [50] | 38.9 | 31.1 | 18.3 | 7.5 | 3.1 | Phone | ±3.1 | 7.8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 12, 2011 | [51] | 33.8 | 28.8 | 19.1 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 1.5 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.9 | 5 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 12, 2011 | [52] | 39.9 | 30.4 | 16.3 | 9.1 | 3.8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.5 | |
| COMPAS | April 11, 2011 | [53] | 45 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 7 | Phone | ±2.1 | 21 | |
| Innovative Research Group | April 11, 2011 | [54] | 39 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 7 | Online | ±2.16 | 11 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 11, 2011 | [55] | 39.7 | 31.2 | 16.8 | 7.8 | 4.0 | Phone | ±3.1 | 8.5 | |
| Harris-Decima | April 10, 2011 | [56] | 40 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 12 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 10, 2011 | [57] | 41.2 | 30.4 | 15.2 | 7.8 | 4.6 | Phone | ±3.1 | 10.8 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 9, 2011 | [58] | 39.5 | 31.6 | 14.7 | 8.1 | 4.8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 7.9 | |
| TNS Canada | April 8, 2011 | [59] | 36 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 9 | Phone | ±3.1 | 11 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 8, 2011 | [60] | 40.5 | 31.7 | 13.2 | 9.2 | 4.0 | Phone | ±3.1 | 8.8 | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 7, 2011 | [61] | 41 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 15 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 7, 2011 | [62] | 36.2 | 27.7 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 2.8 | Phone (IVR) | ±2.1 | 8.5 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 7, 2011 | [63] | 40.6 | 31.1 | 14.7 | 8.7 | 3.4 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.5 | |
| Forum Research | April 6, 2011 | [64] | 38 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 9 | Phone | ±2.2 | 12 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 6, 2011 | [65] | 39.6 | 30.4 | 17.2 | 8.3 | 3.2 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.2 | |
| Environics | April 5, 2011 | [66] | 38 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 13 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 5, 2011 | [67] | 38 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 6 | Online | ±2.2 | 11 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 5, 2011 | [68] | 37.0 | 27.8 | 16.1 | 6.9 | 9.3 | 2.9 | Phone (IVR) | ±3.0 | 9.2 |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 5, 2011 | [69] | 39.7 | 29.9 | 17.4 | 8.3 | 3.8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.8 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 4, 2011 | [70] | 39.8 | 30.2 | 16.5 | 8.3 | 4.0 | Phone | ±3.1 | 9.6 | |
| Harris-Decima | April 3, 2011 | [71] | 35 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 7 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 3, 2011 | [72] | 42.3 | 28.4 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 3.8 | Phone | ±3.1 | 13.9 | |
| Leger Marketing | April 2, 2011 | [73] | 37 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 8 | Online | ±1.7 | 11 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 2, 2011 | [74] | 40.7 | 29.4 | 16.9 | 8.0 | 4.0 | Phone | ±3.1 | 11.3 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | April 1, 2011 | [75] | 41.3 | 30.3 | 16.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 11 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 31, 2011 | [76] | 36.9 | 26.2 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | Phone (IVR) | ±1.9 | 10.7 |
| Nanos Research[a] | March 31, 2011 | [77] | 39.4 | 31.7 | 16.1 | 8.5 | 4.4 | Phone | ±3.2 | 7.7 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | March 30, 2011 | [78] | 39.1 | 32.7 | 15.9 | 8.7 | 3.7 | Phone | ±3.2 | 6.4 | |
| Nanos Research[a] | March 29, 2011 | [79] | 38.4 | 28.7 | 19.6 | 9.1 | 4.1 | Phone | ±3.2 | 9.7 | |
| Abacus Data | March 28, 2011 | [80] | 36 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 8 | Online | ±3.2 | 9 | |
| Harris-Decima | March 27, 2011 | [81] | 38 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 7 | Phone | ±3.1 | 14 | |
| Forum Research | March 27, 2011 | [82] | 41 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 6 | Phone | ±2.2 | 17 | |
Pre-campaign period
| Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | ME |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | March 24, 2011 | [83] | 39 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 7 | ±2 pp |
| Leger Marketing | March 24, 2011 | [84] | 39 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 7 | ±1.7 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 24, 2011 | [85] | 35.3 | 28.1 | 14.2 | 9.7 | 10.6 | ±2.0 pp (c-95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | March 23, 2011 | [86] | 43 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 6 | ±3.1 pp (c-95%) |
| Harris-Decima | March 20, 2011 | [87] | 34 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 9 | ±2.2 pp (c-95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 16, 2011 | [88] | 34.1 | 25.7 | 16.4 | 10.2 | 10.4 | ±2.8 pp |
| Nanos Research | March 15, 2011 | [89] | 38.6 | 27.6 | 19.9 | 10.1 | 3.8 | ±3.2 pp |
| Leger Marketing | March 10, 2011 | [90] | 36 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 10 | ±2.1 pp |
| Ipsos Reid | March 9, 2011 | [91] | 40 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 5 | ±3.1 pp (c-95%) |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | March 9, 2011 | [92] | 39 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 9 | ±3.1 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 8, 2011 | [93] | 35.2 | 27.8 | 14.9 | 8.8 | 10.1 | ±2.0 pp |
| Harris-Decima | February 27, 2011 | [94] | 36 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 9 | ±2.2 pp (c-95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | February 27, 2011 | [95] | 43 | 27 | 13 | 10 | 5 | ±3.1 pp (c-95%) |
| Abacus Data | February 23, 2011 | [96] | 38 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 8 | ±3.1 pp (c-95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | February 22, 2011 | [97] | 32.4 | 27.3 | 14.8 | 10.5 | 11.9 | ±2.0 pp |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | February 18, 2011 | [98] | 39 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 6 | ±1.2 pp |
| Nanos Research | February 14, 2011 | [99] | 39.7 | 26.6 | 18.9 | 9.9 | 4.9 | ±3.4 pp |
| Harris-Decima | February 13, 2011 | [100] | 37 | 27 | 14 | 10 | 10 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | February 10, 2011 | [101] | 39 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 10 | ±3.1 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | February 9, 2011 | [102] | 37.3 | 24.8 | 14.2 | 9.9 | 10.7 | ±2.4 pp |
| Ipsos Reid | February 2, 2011 | [103] | 34 | 29 | 16 | 11 | 10 | ±3.1 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 26, 2011 | [104] | 35.4 | 27.9 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 9.8 | ±1.4 pp (c=95%) |
| Abacus Data | January 24, 2011 | [105] | 35 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 9 | ±3.0 pp (c=95%) |
| Pollara | January 24, 2011 | [106] | 35 | 28 | 19 | 10 | 8 | not stated |
| Harris-Decima | January 16, 2011 | [107] | 36 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 9 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 12, 2011 | [108] | 34.5 | 27.3 | 14.8 | 9.8 | 10.3 | ±1.7 pp (c=95%) |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | January 9, 2011 | [109] | 34 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 8 | ±3.1 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | December 15, 2010 | [110] | 32.0 | 26.5 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 10.9 | ±2.0 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | December 13, 2010 | [111] | 31 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 11 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | December 9, 2010 | [112] | 39 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 9 | ±3.1 pp |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | December 7, 2010 | [113] | 38 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 7 | ±3.1 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | December 7, 2010 | [114] | 33.7 | 29.2 | 14.4 | 9.8 | 10.4 | ±2.7 pp (c=95%) |
| Abacus Data | December 6, 2010 | [115] | 35 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 10 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| Nanos Research | December 5, 2010 | [116] | 38.1 | 31.2 | 17.2 | 10.2 | 3.2 | ±3.6 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 30, 2010 | [117] | 32.6 | 27.4 | 15.8 | 9.9 | 10.9 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 23, 2010 | [118] | 33.3 | 27.1 | 16.6 | 9.5 | 9.5 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 16, 2010 | [119] | 32.4 | 28.7 | 16.3 | 9.9 | 9.8 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 9, 2010 | [120] | 29.4 | 28.6 | 19.3 | 9.3 | 10.7 | ±2.3 pp (c=95%) |
| Nanos Research | November 5, 2010 | [121] | 37.1 | 31.6 | 15.4 | 10.8 | 5.2 | ±3.4 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | November 4, 2010 | [122] | 35 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 11 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| Abacus Data | November 1, 2010 | [123] | 33 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 10 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | October 31, 2010 | [124] | 33 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 10 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 26, 2010 | [125] | 37 | 26 | 19 | 10 | 6 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 26, 2010 | [126] | 33.9 | 27.8 | 15.1 | 9.3 | 11.6 | ±3.0 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 19, 2010 | [127] | 30.9 | 29.4 | 13.9 | 11.2 | 11.6 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | October 17, 2010 | [128] | 32 | 30 | 14 | 10 | 10 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 12, 2010 | [129] | 34.4 | 27.8 | 15.8 | 9.3 | 10.4 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| Nanos Research | October 6, 2010 | [130] | 36.6 | 32.4 | 16.3 | 9.8 | 4.9 | ±3.4 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 5, 2010 | [131] | 31.8 | 27.6 | 16.5 | 9.7 | 11.2 | ±2.0 pp (c=95%) |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | September 28, 2010 | [132] | 34 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 11 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 28, 2010 | [133] | 33.1 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 10.1 | 10.9 | ±2.3 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | September 23, 2010 | [134] | 35 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 12 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 21, 2010 | [133] | 31.7 | 29.3 | 14.6 | 9.7 | 11.8 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | September 19, 2010 | [135] | 33 | 30 | 14 | 10 | 11 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 14, 2010 | [136] | 32.4 | 28.9 | 16.6 | 8.9 | 10.7 | ±2.3 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | September 12, 2010 | [137] | 34 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 9 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| Environics | September 10, 2010 | [138] | 35 | 31 | 16 | 9 | 7 | ±2.3 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 7, 2010 | [136] | 32.1 | 28.5 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 12.5 | ±2.3 pp (c=95%) |
| Nanos Research | September 3, 2010 | [139] | 33.3 | 32.8 | 15.6 | 12.1 | 6.2 | ±3.4 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 31, 2010 | [140] | 29.4 | 29.1 | 15.7 | 10.9 | 13 | ±2.7 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 24, 2010 | [141] | 31.1 | 27.6 | 16.9 | 11.2 | 10.7 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | August 22, 2010 | [142] | 33 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 10 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 17, 2010 | [143] | 32.5 | 27.9 | 17.4 | 9.2 | 10.3 | ±1.8 pp (c=95%) |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | August 11, 2010 | [144] | 33 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 9 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 10, 2010 | [145] | 32.2 | 27.7 | 15.4 | 9.5 | 12.3 | ±2.1 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | August 9, 2010 | [146] | 34 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 9 | payment required |
| Harris-Decima | August 9, 2010 | [147] | 34 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 12 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| Leger Marketing | August 4, 2010 | [148] | 37 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 8 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 3, 2010 | [149] | 29.7 | 28.5 | 17.4 | 10.4 | 11.1 | ±2.5 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 27, 2010 | [150] | 33.2 | 25.2 | 17.4 | 10.1 | 11.1 | ±2.6 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | July 25, 2010 | [151] | 31 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 12 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 20, 2010 | [152] | 32.4 | 25.5 | 18.4 | 10.0 | 10.1 | ±3.1 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 13, 2010 | [153] | 31.6 | 27.5 | 14.7 | 10.1 | 13.3 | ±2.6 pp (c=95%) |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | July 8, 2010 | [154] | 36 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 7 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | July 8, 2010 | [155] | 35 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 10 | payment required |
| Environics | July 8, 2010 | [156] | 35 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 6 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 6, 2010 | [157] | 32.1 | 25.8 | 17.5 | 9.7 | 12.2 | ±1.7 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 21, 2010 | [158] | 31 | 27.7 | 16.5 | 9.3 | 13 | ±2.4 pp (c=95%) |
| Harris-Decima | June 20, 2010 | [159] | 34 | 27 | 17 | 11 | 10 | ±2.2 pp (c=95%) |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 15, 2010 | [160] | 30.5 | 26.3 | 17.4 | 10.5 | 12.3 | ±2.4 pp (c=95%) |
| Ipsos Reid | June 10, 2010 | [161] | 35 | 27 | 16 | 10 | 11 | ±3.1 pp |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 8, 2010 | [162] | 31.4 | 26.8 | 16.6 | 8.9 | 12.6 | 2.3 |
| Nanos Research | June 3, 2010 | [163] | 35.6 | 29.2 | 20.7 | 9.4 | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 1, 2010 | [164] | 31.7 | 26.2 | 17.4 | 10.3 | 11.5 | 2.0 |
| Leger Marketing | May 27, 2010 | [165] | 37 | 25 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 2.7 |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | May 27, 2010 | [166] | 35 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2.2 |
| Environics | May 26, 2010 | [167] | 36 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 2.2 |
| EKOS Research Associates | May 25, 2010 | [168] | 33.9 | 25.7 | 16.4 | 9.4 | 11.9 | 2.1 |
| Harris-Decima | May 23, 2010 | [169] | 36 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| EKOS Research Associates | May 18, 2010 | [170] | 34.4 | 25.1 | 15.3 | 10.6 | 12 | 1.9 |
| Harris-Decima | May 16, 2010 | [171] | 32 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 2.2 |
| EKOS Research Associates | May 11, 2010 | [172] | 33.6 | 27.1 | 16.9 | 9.3 | 10.6 | 1.9 |
| Ipsos Reid | May 6, 2010 | [173] | 35 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 9 | payment required |
| EKOS Research Associates | May 4, 2010 | [174] | 33.1 | 26.1 | 16 | 10.2 | 11.5 | 2.1 |
| Nanos Research | May 3, 2010 | [175] | 37.2 | 33.2 | 16.2 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 29, 2010 | [176] | 35 | 28 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 3.1 |
| Leger Marketing | April 29, 2010 | [177] | 36 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 2.5 |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 27, 2010 | [178] | 31.9 | 26.6 | 17.6 | 9.7 | 10.9 | 2.2 |
| Harris-Decima | April 25, 2010 | [179] | 29 | 27 | 20 | 11 | 12 | 2.2 |
| Ipsos Reid | April 22, 2010 | [180] | 35 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 10 | payment required |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 20, 2010 | [181] | 31.7 | 27.1 | 16.3 | 9.5 | 12.6 | 2.3 |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 13, 2010 | [182] | 31.4 | 29 | 16.4 | 8.8 | 11.1 | 2.7 |
| Ipsos Reid | April 8, 2010 | [183] | 37 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 3.1 |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 6, 2010 | [184] | 33.6 | 27.3 | 15.9 | 9.6 | 11.7 | 3.3 |
| Harris-Decima | April 5, 2010 | [185] | 32 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 11 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 30, 2010 | [186] | 32.2 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 12.7 | 2.1 |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | March 26, 2010 | [187] | 35 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 3.1 |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 23, 2010 | [188] | 33.3 | 27.7 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 10.4 | 1.8 |
| Ipsos Reid | March 18, 2010 | [189] | 34 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 10 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 16, 2010 | [190] | 33.1 | 28.9 | 15.7 | 9.2 | 10.8 | 2.0 |
| Nanos Research | March 11, 2010 | [191] | 34.7 | 34.6 | 17.8 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 9, 2010 | [192] | 31.9 | 29.6 | 16 | 9.1 | 11 | 2.0 |
| Harris-Decima | March 7, 2010 | [193] | 33 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 11 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | March 2, 2010 | [194] | 32.4 | 29.4 | 15.2 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 1.9 |
| Harris-Decima | February 28, 2010 | [195] | 31 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 2.2 |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | February 26, 2010 | [196] | 33 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 3.1 |
| Environics | February 24, 2010 | [197] | 31 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 3.1 |
| EKOS Research Associates | February 23, 2010 | [198] | 33.4 | 30.3 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 1.8 |
| Ipsos Reid | February 22, 2010 | [199] | 37 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 7 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | February 16, 2010 | [200] | 31.2 | 29.0 | 16.5 | 8.8 | 11.8 | 1.6 |
| Harris-Decima | February 14, 2010 | [201] | 32 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 10 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | February 13, 2010 | [202] | 34 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 2.2 |
| Environics | February 9, 2010 | [203] | 33 | 37 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 3.2 |
| EKOS Research Associates | February 9, 2010 | [204] | 31.0 | 29.0 | 15.5 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 1.8 |
| Nanos Research | February 4, 2010 | [205] | 35.6 | 33.9 | 16.4 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 3.5 |
| EKOS Research Associates | February 2, 2010 | [206] | 31.0 | 31.9 | 15.4 | 8.4 | 10.9 | 1.68 |
| Harris-Decima | January 31, 2010 | [207] | 32 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 9 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | January 26, 2010 | [208] | 33 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 3.1 |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 26, 2010 | [209] | 31.1 | 31.6 | 14.6 | 9.1 | 11 | 1.7 |
| Harris-Decima | January 24, 2010 | [210] | 32 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 3.1 |
| Ipsos Reid | January 21, 2010 | [211] | 34 | 31 | 17 | 9 | 8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 19, 2010 | [212] | 31.5 | 30.9 | 14.9 | 9.1 | 11.5 | 1.8 |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | January 13, 2010 | [213] | 34 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 3.0 |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 12, 2010 | [214] | 30.9 | 29.3 | 15.3 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 1.6 |
| Harris-Decima | January 10, 2010 | [215] | 34 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 9 | |
| Strategic Counsel | January 8, 2010 | [216] | 31 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 10 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | January 6, 2010 | [217] | 36 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 5, 2010 | [218] | 33.1 | 27.8 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 13.4 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | December 15, 2009 | [219] | 35.9 | 26.7 | 17.0 | 9.2 | 11.2 | |
| Nanos Research | December 13, 2009 | [220] | 39.5 | 30.2 | 18.7 | 7.7 | 4 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | December 10, 2009 | [221] | 36 | 29 | 16 | 11 | 6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | December 8, 2009 | [222] | 35.6 | 26.5 | 16.7 | 9.9 | 11.3 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 24, 2009 | [223] | 36.9 | 27.1 | 15.3 | 9.4 | 11.4 | |
| Ipsos Reid | November 19, 2009 | [224] | 37 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 10 | |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 16, 2009 | [225] | 38 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 10 | |
| Nanos Research | November 10, 2009 | [226] | 38 | 28.8 | 17.9 | 9.3 | 5.9 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 10, 2009 | [227] | 36.6 | 26.6 | 16.8 | 8.8 | 11.2 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | November 3, 2009 | [228] | 37.4 | 26.8 | 16.3 | 9.4 | 10.0 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 27, 2009 | [229] | 38.4 | 26.8 | 16.7 | 8.2 | 9.9 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | October 24, 2009 | [230] | 40 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 7 | |
| Ipsos Reid | October 22, 2009 | [231] | 40 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 11 | |
| Environics | October 21, 2009 | [232] | 38 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 10 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 20, 2009 | [233] | 38.3 | 27.1 | 14.5 | 9.0 | 11.0 | |
| Nanos Research | October 18, 2009 | [234] | 39.8 | 30 | 16.6 | 8.9 | 4.6 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | October 14, 2009 | [235] | 41 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 13, 2009 | [236] | 40.7 | 25.5 | 14.3 | 9.1 | 10.5 | |
| Harris-Decima | October 12, 2009 | [237] | 35 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 10 | |
| Ipsos Reid | October 8, 2009 | [238] | 39 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | October 6, 2009 | [239] | 39.7 | 25.7 | 15.2 | 9.7 | 9.7 | |
| Strategic Counsel | October 4, 2009 | [240] | 41 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 9 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | September 30, 2009 | [241] | 37 | 27 | 17 | 11 | 6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 29, 2009 | [242] | 36.0 | 29.7 | 13.9 | 9.8 | 10.5 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | September 24, 2009 | [243] | 37 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 22, 2009 | [244] | 37.0 | 29.9 | 13.8 | 9.1 | 10.2 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 15, 2009 | [245] | 35.1 | 29.9 | 16.5 | 9.6 | 9.0 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | September 13, 2009 | [246] | 36 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 7 | |
| Harris-Decima | September 13, 2009 | [247] | 34 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 10 | |
| Ipsos Reid | September 13, 2009 | [248] | 39 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 8, 2009 | [249] | 34.2 | 30.8 | 14.8 | 10 | 10.1 | |
| Harris-Decima | September 6, 2009 | [250] | 34 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 10 | |
| Strategic Counsel | September 6, 2009 | [251] | 35 | 30 | 14 | 12 | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | September 2, 2009 | [252] | 37.5 | 33.4 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 4.6 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | September 2, 2009 | [253] | 33 | 32 | 19 | 9 | 7 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | September 1, 2009 | [254] | 32.6 | 32.6 | 16.5 | 8.3 | 9.9 | |
| Pollara | September 1, 2009 | [255] | 36 | 36 | 16 | 8 | 3 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | August 26, 2009 | [256] | 34 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 9 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 25, 2009 | [257] | 32.6 | 30.9 | 15.7 | 9.5 | 11.3 | |
| Harris-Decima | August 24, 2009 | [258] | 31 | 32 | 16 | 9 | 11 | |
| Ipsos Reid | August 24, 2009 | [259] | 39 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 10 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 18, 2009 | [260] | 32.0 | 30.2 | 17.3 | 8.7 | 11.0 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 11, 2009 | [261] | 32.7 | 31.0 | 16.5 | 9.0 | 10.1 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | August 4, 2009 | [262] | 34.9 | 31.9 | 13.8 | 8.6 | 10.8 | |
| Nanos Research | August 2, 2009 | [263] | 31.3 | 33.8 | 18.7 | 9.2 | 7.0 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | July 28, 2009 | [264] | 33 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 7 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 28, 2009 | [265] | 32.5 | 34.1 | 14.5 | 8.6 | 10.4 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 21, 2009 | [266] | 32.8 | 32.5 | 14.8 | 8.4 | 11.5 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | July 17, 2009 | [267] | 33 | 30 | 18 | 11 | 6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 14, 2009 | [268] | 34.1 | 32.4 | 15.2 | 8.7 | 9.6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | July 7, 2009 | [269] | 31.8 | 32.2 | 16.0 | 9.3 | 10.7 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | July 3, 2009 | [270] | 36 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 7 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 29, 2009 | [271] | 31.0 | 32.2 | 16.2 | 9.0 | 11.5 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 23, 2009 | [272] | 34.8 | 32.6 | 14.3 | 9.0 | 9.3 | |
| Nanos Research | June 21, 2009 | [273] | 32.2 | 36.3 | 16.8 | 9.8 | 4.8 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | June 18, 2009 | [274] | 32 | 31 | 18 | 11 | 7 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 16, 2009 | [275] | 32.4 | 33.7 | 16.3 | 8.4 | 9.0 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | June 9, 2009 | [276] | 30.3 | 35.0 | 15.1 | 9.2 | 10.4 | |
| Harris-Decima | June 8, 2009 | [277] | 31 | 35 | 15 | 9 | 8 | |
| Strategic Counsel | June 7, 2009 | [278] | 30 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 11 | |
| Ipsos Reid | June 4, 2009 | [279] | 33 | 36 | 12 | 9 | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | June 1, 2009 | [280] | 31.8 | 37.2 | 15.7 | 8.0 | 7.4 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | May 29, 2009 | [281] | 31 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | May 28, 2009 | [282] | 32.3 | 33.5 | 15.1 | 8.7 | 10.4 | |
| Ipsos Reid | May 24, 2009 | [283] | 35 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 8 | |
| Strategic Counsel | May 10, 2009 | [284] | 30 | 35 | 16 | 9 | 11 | |
| Harris-Decima | May 3, 2009 | [285] | 29 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 11 | |
| Nanos Research | April 30, 2009 | [286] | 33 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 7 | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 30, 2009 | [287] | 33 | 36 | 13 | 9 | 8 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | April 22, 2009 | [288] | 33 | 33 | 15 | 10 | 6 | |
| Harris-Decima | April 19, 2009 | [289] | 29 | 32 | 16 | 9 | 11 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | April 13, 2009 | [290] | 30.2 | 36.7 | 15.5 | 9.4 | 8.1 | |
| Strategic Counsel | April 5, 2009 | [291] | 32 | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | |
| Leger Marketing | March 23, 2009 | [292] | 34 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 6 | |
| Nanos Research | March 18, 2009 | [293] | 33 | 36 | 13 | 10 | 8 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | March 11, 2009 | [294] | 35 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 7 | |
| Harris-Decima | March 8, 2009 | [295] | 32 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | |
| Strategic Counsel | March 8, 2009 | [296] | 35 | 31 | 16 | 9 | 10 | |
| Ipsos Reid | March 5, 2009 | [297] | 37 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 8 | |
| Harris-Decima | February 15, 2009 | [295] | 33 | 33 | 15 | 10 | 7 | |
| Strategic Counsel | February 8, 2009 | [298] | 32 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 13 | |
| Harris-Decima | February 8, 2009 | [299] | 33 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 10 | |
| Ipsos Reid | February 7, 2009 | [300] | 37 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | |
| Nanos Research | February 3, 2009 | [301] | 34 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | January 27, 2009 | [302] | 38 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | January 17, 2009 | [303] | 36.2 | 32.6 | 14.3 | 7.9 | 9.1 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | January 15, 2009 | [304] | 39 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 5 | |
| Strategic Counsel | January 14, 2009 | [305] | 36 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 8 | |
| Ipsos Reid | January 8, 2009 | [306] | 39 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 9 | |
| Nanos Research | January 7, 2009 | [307] | 33 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 7 | |
| COMPAS | December 23, 2008 | [308] | 43 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 8 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | December 12, 2008 | [309] | 37 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 8 | |
| Ipsos Reid | December 11, 2008 | [310] | 45 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 7 | |
| Angus Reid Strategies | December 6, 2008 | [311] | 42 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 7 | |
| Praxicus Public Strategies | December 4, 2008 | [312] | 47 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 8 | |
| COMPAS | December 4, 2008 | [313] | 51 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 6 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | December 4, 2008 | [314] | 42.2 | 23.6 | 15.0 | 10.2 | 9.0 | |
| Strategic Counsel | December 3, 2008 | [315] | 45 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 8 | |
| Ipsos Reid | December 3, 2008 | [316] | 46 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 8 | |
| EKOS Research Associates | December 3, 2008 | [317] | 44.0 | 24.1 | 14.5 | 9.2 | 8.1 | |
| Nanos Research | November 15, 2008 | [318] | 32 | 30 | 20 | 9 | 10 | |
| Election 2008 | October 14, 2008 | [319] | 37.6 | 26.2 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 6.8 |
Leadership polls
Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best prime minister:
| Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | Stephen Harper | Michael Ignatieff | Jack Layton | Gilles Duceppe | Elizabeth May |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 29, 2011 | [320] | 31 | 11 | 29 | 3 | 1 |
| Ipsos Reid | April 28, 2011 | [321] | 42 | 13 | 45 | - | - |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 16, 2011 | [43] | 28 | 13 | 27 | 3 | 3 |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | April 5, 2011 | [67] | 30 | 14 | 21 | 3 | 3 |
| Ipsos Reid | March 26, 2011 | [322] | 49 | 17 | 34 | - | - |
See also
Notes
- Based on a three-day rolling sample. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped.