The winner of Polonnaruwa has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Polonnaruwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.
The winner of Polonnaruwa has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Polonnaruwa is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.
The Polonnaruwa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Polonnaruwa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) [1]
The Polonnaruwa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.0%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Polonnaruwa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (89.7%) [1]
↑The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
↑The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
↑The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
↑The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.