2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2012, with a primary election on June 5, 2012. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and a U.S. Senate election.
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November 6, 2012
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All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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According to The Cook Political Report and Roll Call, the most competitive districts were the 7th, 10th, 26th, 36th, and 52nd; additionally, the 3rd, 9th, 24th, 41st, and 47th were rated as less than safe.[1][2] Roll Call additionally listed the 21st district as competitive. Voters in 14 districts elected new representatives: the 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th, 15th, 21st, 26th, 29th, 35th, 36th, 41st, 47th, 51st, and 52nd. Two districts, the 30th and the 44th, had two incumbents running against each other.
This was the first election using congressional districts drawn by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission. The districts, based on the 2010 United States census, were approved on August 15, 2011.[3] It was also the first non-special election to use the nonpartisan blanket primary system established by Proposition 14. As a result, eight districts featured general elections with two candidates of the same party: the 15th, 30th, 35th, 40th, 43rd, and 44th with two Democrats; and the 8th and 31st with two Republicans.
Overview
Statewide
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 Primary election — June 5, 2012 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
| Democratic | 2,643,313 | 53.41% | 107 | 56 | 50 | |
| Republican | 2,072,433 | 41.87% | 98 | 46 | 44 | |
| No party preference | 189,783 | 3.83% | 25 | 4 | 4 | |
| Green | 26,674 | 0.54% | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Libertarian | 14,787 | 0.30% | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peace and Freedom | 2,415 | 0.05% | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Valid votes | 4,949,405 | 92.89% | — | — | — | |
| Invalid votes | 378,891 | 7.11% | — | — | — | |
| Totals | 5,328,296 | 100.00% | 242 | 106 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 31.06% | |||||
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 General election — November 6, 2012 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 7,392,703 | 60.57% | 38 |  4 | |
| Republican | 4,530,012 | 37.12% | 15 |  4 | |
| No party preference | 281,642 | 2.31% | 0 |  | |
| Valid votes | 12,204,357 | 92.44% | — | — | |
| Invalid or blank votes | 997,801 | 7.56% | — | — | |
| Totals | 13,202,158 | 100.00% | 53 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 72.36% | ||||
Map key
This map displays the location of California's congressional districts during this election cycle, allowing the reader to cross-reference the location of each district.
District 1
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 County results LaMalfa: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in inland Northern California and includes Chico and Redding. Incumbent Republican Wally Herger, who represented the 2nd district from 1987 to 2013, retired.[4] The district had a PVI of R+10.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Sam Aanestad, former state senator[6]
- Gregory Cheadle, real estate broker[7]
- Michael Dacquisto, attorney
- Pete Stiglich, retired Air Force Colonel and candidate for this seat in 2010[8]
Declined
- Wally Herger, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Nathan Arrowsmith
Campaign
Reed was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to make an endorsement in the 1st district.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug LaMalfa | 66,527 | 37.9 | |
| Democratic | Jim Reed | 43,409 | 24.8 | |
| Republican | Sam Aanestad | 25,224 | 14.4 | |
| Republican | Michael Dacquisto | 10,530 | 6.0 | |
| Republican | Pete Stiglich | 10,258 | 5.8 | |
| Democratic | Nathan Arrowsmith | 8,598 | 4.9 | |
| No party preference | Gary Allen Oxley | 5,901 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Gregory Cheadle | 4,939 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 175,386 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug LaMalfa | 168,827 | 57.4 | |
| Democratic | Jim Reed | 125,386 | 42.6 | |
| Majority | 43,441 | 14.8 | ||
| Total votes | 294,213 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 County results Huffman: 60–70% 70–80% Roberts: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in California's North Coast and includes Marin County and Eureka. Democrat Lynn Woolsey, who represented the 6th district from 1993 to 2013, retired.[25] The district had a PVI of D+19.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Jared Huffman, state assembly member[26]
Eliminated in primary
- Susan Adams, nurse practitioner and Marin County Board of Supervisors member[26]
- Andy Caffrey[27]
- William Courtney, physician and researcher[27]
- Larry Fritzlan, therapist[28]
- Stacey Lawson, businesswoman and chemical engineer[26]
- Tiffany Renée, former Petaluma City Council member[26]
- Norman Solomon, journalist and activist[26]
Declined
- Noreen Evans, state senator[29]
- Gavin Newsom, incumbent lieutenant governor of California[30][31]
- Pam Torliatt, mayor of Petaluma[32][33]
- Shirlee Zane, Sonoma County supervisor[34]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Daniel Roberts, Vietnam War veteran and investment company president[35]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Halliwell, college professor[28]
Declined
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Brooke Clarke, small business owner[28]
- John Lewallen
Green Party candidates
Declined
- Marnie Glickman (Green), co-chair of the Marin County Green Party[36]
- Nancy Mancias (Green), co-chair of the Marin County Green Party
Campaign
Regional delegates of the California Democratic Party met in January 2012 but did not endorse a nominee as no candidate received 50 per cent of the vote. Huffman received 48 per cent, Solomon 37 per cent, Adams 12 per cent and Lawson one percent.[37] Meanwhile, Roberts received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Adams (D) |
Andy Caffrey (D) |
William Courtney (D) |
Mike Halliwell (R) |
Jared Huffman (D) |
Stacey Lawson (D) |
Tiffany Renée (D) |
Daniel Roberts (R) |
Norman Solomon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon)[38] | April 17–19, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 18% | 5% | — | 3% | 10% | 47% |
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman)[39] | March 23–29, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | — | — | 5% | 24% | 9% | — | 7% | 5% | 45% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon)[40] | October 18–20, 2011 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | — | 16% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman)[41] | October 5–9, 2011 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 20% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 7% | 37% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Huffman | 63,922 | 37.5 | |
| Republican | Daniel Roberts | 25,635 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Norman Solomon | 25,462 | 14.9 | |
| Democratic | Stacey Lawson | 16,946 | 9.9 | |
| Democratic | Susan Adams | 14,041 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Mike Halliwell | 10,008 | 5.9 | |
| No party preference | Brooke Clarke | 3,715 | 2.2 | |
| Democratic | Tiffany Renée | 3,033 | 1.8 | |
| No party preference | John Lewallen | 2,488 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic | William L. Courtney | 2,385 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Andy Caffrey | 1,737 | 1.0 | |
| Democratic | Larry Fritzlan | 1,151 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 170,523 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program[43]
- Human Rights Campaign[44]
- Sierra Club[45]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Huffman | 226,216 | 71.2 | |
| Republican | Daniel Roberts | 91,310 | 28.8 | |
| Total votes | 317,526 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
The 3rd district is based in north central California and includes Davis, Fairfield, and Yuba City. Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi, who represented the 10th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- John Garamendi, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Kim Vann, Colusa County Board of Supervisors member[46]
Eliminated in primary
- Tony Carlos, Sutter County deputy district attorney[47]
- Eugene Ray, realtor
- Rick Tubbs, pilot[48]
Withdrawn
Campaign
Garamendi received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to make an endorsement in the 3rd district.[49]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 59,546 | 51.5 | |
| Republican | Kim Vann | 30,254 | 26.2 | |
| Republican | Rick Tubbs | 17,902 | 15.5 | |
| Republican | Tony Carlos | 5,541 | 4.8 | |
| Republican | Eugene Ray | 2,438 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 115,681 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 126,882 | 54.2 | |
| Republican | Kim Vann | 107,086 | 45.8 | |
| Majority | 19,796 | 8.4 | ||
| Total votes | 233,968 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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 County results McClintock: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Uppal: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in east central California and includes Lake Tahoe, Roseville, and Yosemite National Park. Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the 4th district since 2009, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Tom McClintock, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Dan Lungren, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district (running in the 7th)[55][56]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Jack Uppal, retired semiconductor engineer[57]
Campaign
Uppal was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012, with McClintock receiving the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11][10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 114,311 | 64.8 | |
| Democratic | Jack Uppal | 62,130 | 35.2 | |
| Total votes | 176,441 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 197,803 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic | Jack Uppal | 125,885 | 38.9 | |
| Total votes | 323,688 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
The 5th district is based in the North Bay and includes Napa, Santa Rosa, and Vallejo. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 1st district from 1999 to 2013, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of D+18.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Mike Thompson, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Randy Loftin, tax and financial planning adviser[28]
Eliminated in primary
- Stewart Cilley, accountant
Campaign
Thompson received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012,[10] while Loftin was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March.[11]
Endorsements
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 95,748 | 72.2 | |
| Republican | Randy Loftin | 22,137 | 16.7 | |
| Republican | Stewart Cilley | 14,734 | 11.1 | |
| Total votes | 132,619 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 202,872 | 74.5 | |
| Republican | Randy Loftin | 69,545 | 25.5 | |
| Total votes | 272,417 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
The 6th district is based in north central California and includes Sacramento. Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui, who represented the 5th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Doris Matsui, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Joseph McCray Sr., business owner
Eliminated in primary
- Erik Smitt
Campaign
Matsui was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 67,174 | 71.4 | |
| Republican | Joseph McCray, Sr. | 15,647 | 16.6 | |
| Republican | Erik Smitt | 11,254 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 94,075 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 160,667 | 75.1 | |
| Republican | Joseph McCray, Sr. | 53,406 | 24.9 | |
| Total votes | 214,073 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 7
The 7th district is based in north central California and includes eastern Sacramento County. Incumbent Republican Dan Lungren, who represented the 3rd district from 2005 to 2013 and previously served from 1979 until 1989, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Dan Lungren, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Darren Spellman, Calaveras County Board of Supervisors member[63]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Declined
- Alyson Huber, state assembly member[65]
Campaign
Bera received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Lungren was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 63,586 | 52.7 | |
| Democratic | Ami Bera | 49,433 | 41.0 | |
| No party preference | Curt Taras | 3,854 | 3.2 | |
| Libertarian | Douglas Arthur Tuma | 3,707 | 3.1 | |
| Total votes | 120,580 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[58]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[66]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 25, 2012
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Lungren (R) |
Ami Bera (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)[68] | October 25–26, 2012 | 792 (LV) | ± ?% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC)/SEIU)[69] | August 21–23, 2012 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tilt D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ami Bera | 141,241 | 51.7 | |
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 132,050 | 48.3 | |
| Majority | 9,191 | 3.4 | ||
| Total votes | 273,291 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
Aftermath
In May 2016, Babulal Bera, Ami Bera's father, pleaded guilty to two felony counts of election fraud affecting the 2010 and 2012 elections,[70] and was convicted of illegally funneling $250,000 to his son's campaigns between 2010 and 2012.[71]
District 8
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 County results Cook: 50–60% Imus: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in the eastern High Desert and includes Victorville and Yucaipa. Incumbent Republican Jerry Lewis, who represented the 41st district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1983, retired.[72] The district had a PVI of R+12.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Paul Cook, state assembly member[73]
- Gregg Imus, co-founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps of California[74]
Eliminated in primary
- Dennis Albertsen, computer scientist
- George Craig
- Bill Jensen, former mayor of Hesperia[74]
- Phillip Liberatore, accountant[75]
- Ryan McEachron, Mayor of Victorville;[74]
- Brad Mitzelfelt, San Bernardino County Supervisor[76]
- Joseph Napolitano
- Angela Valles, member of the Victorville City Council[74]
Declined
- Jerry Lewis, incumbent U.S. representative[77]
Democratic candidates
Eliminated in primary
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Anthony Adams, former Republican state assembly member[75]
Campaign
Conaway was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse a candidate in the 8th district.[79]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gregg Imus | 12,754 | 15.6 | |
| Republican | Paul Cook | 12,517 | 15.3 | |
| Republican | Phil Liberatore | 12,277 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Jackie Conaway | 11,674 | 14.3 | |
| Republican | Brad Mitzelfelt | 8,801 | 10.8 | |
| Democratic | John Pinkerton | 7,941 | 9.7 | |
| Republican | Angela Valles | 4,924 | 6.0 | |
| Republican | Ryan McEachron | 3,181 | 3.9 | |
| No party preference | Anthony Adams | 2,750 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Bill Jensen | 1,850 | 2.3 | |
| Republican | George T. Craig | 1,376 | 1.7 | |
| Republican | Joseph D. Napolitano | 1,050 | 1.3 | |
| Republican | Dennis L. Albertsen | 761 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 81,856 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Cook | 103,093 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Gregg Imus | 76,551 | 42.6 | |
| Total votes | 179,644 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9
The 9th district is based in the Central Valley and includes the San Joaquin Delta and Stockton. Incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney, who represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Jerry McNerney, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Ricky Gill, student at the UC Berkeley School of Law and former member of the California State Board of Education[80]
Eliminated in primary
- John McDonald, technology executive[81]
Declined
Campaign
Gill was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 45,696 | 47.8 | |
| Republican | Ricky Gill | 38,488 | 40.2 | |
| Republican | John McDonald | 11,458 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 95,642 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry McNerney (D) |
Ricky Gill (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[84] | October 8–10, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Tarrance (R-Gill)[85] | September 30–October 2, 2012 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Tarrance (R-Gill)[86] | July 24–26, 2012 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 47% | 45% | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-McNerney)[87] | July 8–11, 2012 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 33% | 18% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tilt D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 118,373 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Ricky Gill | 94,704 | 44.4 | |
| Majority | 23,669 | 11.2 | ||
| Total votes | 213,077 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 10
The 10th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Modesto and Tracy. Incumbent Democrat Dennis Cardoza, who represented the 18th district from 2003 to 2013, retired.[88] Incumbent Republican Jeff Denham, who represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. representative for the 19th district
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- José Hernández, former NASA astronaut[89]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Barkley, lawyer and certified public accountant[90]
Declined
- Dennis Cardoza, incumbent U.S. representative for the 18th district[91]
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Chad Condit, son of former U.S. Representative Gary Condit
- Troy McComack, small business owner
Campaign
Hernandez was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 45,779 | 49.2 | |
| Democratic | José Hernández | 26,072 | 28.0 | |
| No party preference | Chad M. Condit | 13,983 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Michael J. "Mike" Barkley | 5,028 | 5.4 | |
| No party preference | Troy Wayne McComack | 2,114 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 92,976 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[58]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[66]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[15]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
José Hernández (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum Analysis (D-Hernandez)[93] | September 29– October 1, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| DCCC (D)[94] | September 10, 2012 | 382 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[95] | August 7–9, 2012 | 751 (LV) | ± ?% | 48% | 41% | 12% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 110,265 | 52.7 | |
| Democratic | José Hernández | 98,934 | 47.3 | |
| Majority | 11,331 | 5.4 | ||
| Total votes | 209,199 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11
The 11th district is based in the East Bay and includes Concord and Richmond. Incumbent Democrat George Miller, who represented the 7th district from 1975 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- George Miller, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- John Fitzgerald, small business owner[96]
- Cheryl Sudduth, public policy advocate
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Virginia Fuller, nurse[96]
Campaign
Miller received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 76,163 | 58.5 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 40,333 | 31.0 | |
| Democratic | John Fitzgerald | 9,092 | 7.0 | |
| Democratic | Cheryl Sudduth | 4,635 | 3.6 | |
| Total votes | 130,223 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 200,743 | 69.7 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 87,136 | 30.3 | |
| Total votes | 287,879 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 12
The 12th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Francisco. House Democratic Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 1987 until 1993, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+35.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Nancy Pelosi, incumbent U.S. representative and House Minority Leader
Eliminated in primary
- Americo Artura Diaz, self-employed designer
- David Peterson, businessman
- Summer Justice Shields
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- John Dennis, real estate developer
Green candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Barry Hermanson
Campaign
Pelosi was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 89,446 | 74.9 | |
| Republican | John Dennis | 16,206 | 13.6 | |
| Green | Barry Hermanson | 6,398 | 5.4 | |
| Democratic | David Peterson | 3,756 | 3.1 | |
| Democratic | Summer Justice Shields | 2,146 | 1.9 | |
| Democratic | Américo Arturo Díaz | 1,499 | 1.3 | |
| Total votes | 119,451 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 253,709 | 85.1 | |
| Republican | John Dennis | 44,478 | 14.9 | |
| Total votes | 298,187 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
The 13th district is based in the East Bay and includes Berkeley and Oakland. Democrat Barbara Lee, who represented the 9th district from 1998 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Barbara Lee, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Justin Jelincic[96]
Independent candidates
Advanced to general
- Marilyn Singleton, physician
Campaign
Lee received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 94,709 | 83.1 | |
| No party preference | Marilyn M. Singleton | 13,502 | 11.8 | |
| Democratic | Justin Jelincic | 5,741 | 5.0 | |
| Total votes | 113,952 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 250,436 | 86.8 | |
| No party preference | Marilyn M. Singleton | 38,146 | 13.2 | |
| Total votes | 288,582 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 14
The 14th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Mateo County. Incumbent Democrat Jackie Speier, who represented the 12th district from 2008 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Jackie Speier, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Maloney, perennial candidate[100]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Deborah Bacigalupi, businesswoman
Campaign
Speier was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 80,850 | 74.3 | |
| Republican | Deborah Bacigalupi | 23,299 | 21.4 | |
| Democratic | Michael J. Moloney | 4,607 | 4.2 | |
| Total votes | 108,756 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 203,828 | 78.9 | |
| Republican | Deborah Bacigalupi | 54,455 | 21.1 | |
| Total votes | 258,283 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 15
The 15th district is based in the East Bay and includes Hayward and Livermore. Incumbent Democrat Pete Stark, who represented the 13th district from 1993 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1973, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+15.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Pete Stark, incumbent U.S. representative
- Eric Swalwell, Alameda County deputy district attorney and member of the Dublin city council[101]
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Christopher Pareja, businessman
Campaign
Stark received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Swalwell won the Tri Valley Democratic Club's Straw Poll on February 20.[102]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 39,943 | 42.1 | |
| Democratic | Eric Swalwell | 34,347 | 36.0 | |
| No party preference | Christopher "Chris" J. Pareja | 20,618 | 21.7 | |
| Total votes | 94,908 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eric Swalwell | 120,388 | 52.1 | |
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 110,646 | 47.9 | |
| Majority | 9,742 | 4.2 | ||
| Total votes | 231,034 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 16
The 16th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Fresno and Merced. Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa, who represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Loraine Goodwin, physician and member of the California Democratic State Central Committee
Declined
- Dennis Cardoza, incumbent U.S. representative for the 18th district[104]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Brian Whelan, farmer and attorney[105]
Eliminated in primary
- Mark Garcia, small business owner
- Johnny Tacherra, farmer
Declined
- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. representative for the 19th district
- Case Lawrence, entrepreneur[106]
- Clint Olivier, member of the Fresno City Council[105]
- Jim Patterson, former mayor of Fresno[103][105]
- Mark Pazin, Merced County sheriff[105]
- Andy Vidak, farmer and nominee for this seat in 2010[105]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 25,355 | 42.7 | |
| Republican | Brian Daniel Whelan | 15,053 | 25.3 | |
| Republican | Johnny M. Tacherra | 6,776 | 11.4 | |
| Republican | Mark Garcia | 6,529 | 11.0 | |
| Democratic | Loraine Goodwin | 5,703 | 9.6 | |
| Total votes | 59,416 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Contender" Program[13]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 84,649 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Brian Daniel Whelan | 62,801 | 42.6 | |
| Majority | 21,848 | 14.8 | ||
| Total votes | 147,450 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 17
The 17th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Milpitas. Democrat Mike Honda, who represented the 15th district from 2001 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Charles Richardson ran as a Libertarian Party candidate.[96]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Mike Honda, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Evelyn Li, cardiologist and founder of patient advocate organization
Campaign
Honda received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Li was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 60,252 | 66.7 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Li | 24,916 | 27.6 | |
| No party preference | Charles Richardson | 5,163 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 90,331 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 159,392 | 73.5 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Li | 57,336 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 216,728 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 18
The 18th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Palo Alto, Redwood City, and Saratoga. Democrat Anna Eshoo, who represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Anna Eshoo, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- William Parks
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Green candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Carol Brouillet, part of the Occupy movement[100]
Campaign
Eshoo was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Chapman received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 86,851 | 61.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 42,174 | 29.8 | |
| Democratic | William Parks | 6,504 | 4.6 | |
| Green | Carol Brouillet | 5,777 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 141,306 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 212,831 | 70.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 89,103 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 301,934 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 19
The 19th district is based in the South Bay and includes most of San Jose. Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who represented the 16th district from 1995 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Zoe Lofgren, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Robert Murray
Eliminated in primary
- Phat Nguyen
Campaign
Lofgren received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Murray was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 60,726 | 65.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 21,421 | 23.0 | |
| Republican | Phat Nguyen | 7,192 | 7.7 | |
| No party preference | Jay Cabrera | 3,829 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 93,168 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 162,300 | 73.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 59,313 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 221,613 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 20
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 County results Farr: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 20th district is based in the Central Coast and includes Monterey and Santa Cruz. Democrat Sam Farr, who represented the 17th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Sam Farr, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Art Dunn, vice president of Ansavoice Communications
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Jeff Taylor, farmer
Eliminated in primary
- Mike LeBarre
Campaign
Farr was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 68,895 | 64.4 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 23,905 | 22.3 | |
| Republican | Mike LeBarre | 5,487 | 5.1 | |
| Democratic | Art Dunn | 4,095 | 3.8 | |
| Green | Eric Petersen | 2,211 | 2.1 | |
| No party preference | Robert Paul Kabat | 1,733 | 1.6 | |
| No party preference | Dan Caudle | 703 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 107,029 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 172,996 | 74.1 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 60,566 | 25.9 | |
| Total votes | 233,562 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 21
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 County results Valadao: 50–60% 60–70% Hernandez: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is based in the Central Valley and includes Hanford and parts of Bakersfield. This new district had no incumbent.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- David Valadao, state assembly member[108]
Declined
- Andy Vidak, farmer and nominee for the 20th district in 2010[109]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- John Hernandez, chief executive officer of the Central California Hispanic Chamber of Commerce[110]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Cruz Bustamante, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2003[112]
- Dennis Cardoza, incumbent U.S. representative for the 18th district[91]
- Jim Costa, incumbent U.S. representative for the 20th district[113]
- Michael Rubio, state senator[114]
Campaign
Valadao was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Valadao | 27,251 | 57.0 | |
| Democratic | John Hernandez | 10,575 | 22.1 | |
| Democratic | Blong Xiong | 9,990 | 20.9 | |
| Total votes | 47,816 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Labor unions
Polling
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Valadao | 67,164 | 57.8 | ||
| Democratic | John Hernandez | 49,119 | 42.2 | ||
| Majority | 18,045 | 15.6 | |||
| Total votes | 116,283 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican win (new seat) | |||||
District 22
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 County results Nunes: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 22nd district is based in the Central Valley and includes Clovis, Tulare, and Visalia. Republican Devin Nunes, who represented the 21st district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[117]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Devin Nunes, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Campaign
Nunes received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 67,386 | 70.6 | |
| Democratic | Otto Lee | 28,091 | 29.4 | |
| Total votes | 95,477 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[58]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[15]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 132,386 | 61.9 | |
| Democratic | Otto Lee | 81,555 | 38.1 | |
| Total votes | 213,941 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 23
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 County results McCarthy: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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.jpg)
The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley and includes parts of Bakersfield. House Majority Whip and Republican Kevin McCarthy, who represented the 22nd district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Kevin McCarthy, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic candidates
No Democrats filed.
Independent candidates
Advanced to general
- Terry Phillips, former news reporter for Valley Public Radio, CBS, and NBC/Mutual
Campaign
McCarthy was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 71,109 | 72.2 | |
| No party preference | Terry Phillips | 17,018 | 17.3 | |
| Republican | Eric Parker | 10,414 | 10.6 | |
| Total votes | 98,541 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[58]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[15]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 158,161 | 73.2 | |
| No party preference | Terry Phillips | 57,842 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 216,003 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 24
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 Results by county Capps: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 24th district is based in the Central Coast and includes San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara. Democrat Lois Capps, who represented California's 23rd congressional district from 2003 to 2013 and the 22nd district from 1998 to 2003, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Lois Capps, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Christopher Mitchum, former actor and businessman[120]
Withdrawn
- Tom Watson
Campaign
Capps received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse any candidate, while the Santa Barbara County party endorsed Mitchum.[121]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 72,356 | 46.4 | |
| Republican | Abel Maldonado | 46,295 | 29.7 | |
| Republican | Christopher Mitchum | 33,604 | 21.5 | |
| No party preference | Matt Boutté | 3,832 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 156,087 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[13]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lois Capps (D) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Maldonado)[123] | October 1–3, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| DCCC (D)[124] | July 23, 2012 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Maldonado)[125] | June 26–28, 2012 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tilt D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 156,749 | 55.1 | |
| Republican | Abel Maldonado | 127,746 | 44.9 | |
| Majority | 29,003 | 10.2 | ||
| Total votes | 284,495 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 25
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 Results by county McKeon: 50%–55%
55%–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 25th district is based in northern Los Angeles County and includes Palmdale and Santa Clarita. Republican Howard McKeon, who had represented the 25th district since 1993, ran for re-election.[126]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Howard McKeon, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dante Acosta, financial advisor
- Cathie Wright, daughter of former state senator Catherine Wright[127]
Declined
- Elton Gallegly, incumbent U.S. representative for the 24th district[128][129]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Withdrawn
- Laura Molina, artist.[131][132]
Campaign
Rogers was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] McKeon received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[121]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 39,997 | 50.5 | |
| Democratic | Lee Rogers | 23,542 | 29.7 | |
| Republican | Dante Acosta | 10,387 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Cathie Wright | 5,215 | 6.6 | |
| Total votes | 79,141 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 129,593 | 54.8 | |
| Democratic | Lee Rogers | 106,982 | 45.2 | |
| Majority | 22,611 | 9.6 | ||
| Total votes | 236,575 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 26
The 26th district is based in the southern Central Coast and includes Oxnard and Thousand Oaks. Republican Elton Gallegly, who represented the 24th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1987, retired.[134]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Declined
- Glen Becerra, member of the Simi Valley City Council[135]
- David Dreier, incumbent U.S. representative for the 26th district[136]
- Elton Gallegly, incumbent U.S. representative for the 24th district
- Keith Millhouse, member of the Moorpark City Council[137]
- Greg Totten, Ventura County district attorney[135]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Julia Brownley, state assembly member[138]
Eliminated in primary
- Albert Maxwell Goldberg, real estate agent and broker
- Jess Herrera, commissioner of the Oxnard Harbor District[139]
- David Cruz Thayne, businessman and former professional tennis player[137]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Richard Francis, former mayor of Ventura[140][144]
- Fran Pavley, state senator[145]
- Mary Anne Rooney, commissioner of the Oxnard Harbor District[137]
- Brad Sherman, incumbent U.S. representative for the 27th district[141][146]
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Linda Parks, member of the Ventura County Board of Supervisors (and previously a registered Republican)[147]
Withdrawn
- Akiva Werbalowsky, permaculture designer[148][149]
Campaign
At the California Democratic Party convention, held in February 2012, delegates voted to make no endorsement.[150] In March 2012, Strickland was endorsed by the California Republican Party.[121]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tony Strickland | 49,043 | 44.1 | |
| Democratic | Julia Brownley | 29,892 | 26.9 | |
| No party preference | Linda Parks | 20,301 | 18.3 | |
| Democratic | Jess Herrera | 7,244 | 6.5 | |
| Democratic | David Cruz Thayne | 2,809 | 2.5 | |
| Democratic | Alex Maxwell Goldberg | 1,880 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 111,169 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Tony Strickland | Julia Brownley | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 2, 2012 | California Lutheran University Ventura County Star |
Henry Dubroff Timm Herdt |
[152] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tony Strickland (R) |
Julia Brownley (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D-Brownley)[153] | July 15–19, 2012 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Julia Brownley | 139,072 | 52.7 | |
| Republican | Tony Strickland | 124,863 | 47.3 | |
| Majority | 14,209 | 5.4 | ||
| Total votes | 263,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 27
The 27th district is based in the San Gabriel Foothills and includes Alhambra and Pasadena. Democrat Judy Chu, who represented the 32nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[154]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Judy Chu, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Jack Orswell, small business owner
Eliminated in primary
- Bob Duran, tax attorney and businessman
Campaign
Chu received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Orswell received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 50,203 | 57.8 | |
| Republican | Jack Orswell | 20,868 | 24.0 | |
| Republican | Bob Duran | 15,819 | 18.2 | |
| Total votes | 86,890 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 154,191 | 64.0 | |
| Republican | Jack Orswell | 86,817 | 36.0 | |
| Total votes | 241,008 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 28
The 28th district is based in the northern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Burbank and Glendale as well as parts of central Los Angeles. Democrat Adam Schiff, who represented the 29th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 27th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[155]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Adam Schiff, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Sal Genovese, community services administrator
- Jonathan Ryan Kalbfeld, entrepreneur and software engineer
- Massie Munroe, civil engineer
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Phil Jennerjahn, political consultant, candidate for mayor of Los Angeles in 2009 and for the 33rd District in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Garen Mailyan, security officer
- Jenny Worman, actress and Hollywood stand-in
Campaign
Schiff was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 42,797 | 59.0 | |
| Republican | Phil Jennerjahn | 12,633 | 17.4 | |
| Republican | Jenny Worman | 5,978 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Garen Mailyan | 3,749 | 5.2 | |
| Democratic | Sal Genovese | 2,829 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Massie Munroe | 2,437 | 3.4 | |
| Democratic | Jonathan Ryan Kalbfeld | 2,119 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 72,542 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 188,703 | 76.5 | |
| Republican | Phil Jennerjahn | 58,008 | 23.5 | |
| Total votes | 246,711 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 29
The 29th district is based in the northeastern San Fernando Valley. This new district had no incumbent.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Tony Cardenas, member of the Los Angeles City Council[156]
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Valdez, businessman
Declined
- Howard Berman, incumbent U.S. representative for the 28th district[104]
Republican candidates
No Republicans filed.
Independent candidates
Advanced to general
- David Hernandez, president of the San Fernando Chamber of Commerce[157]
Campaign
Cardenas received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Cardenas | 24,882 | 64.4 | |
| No party preference | David R. Hernandez | 8,382 | 21.7 | |
| Democratic | Richard Valdez | 5,379 | 13.9 | |
| Total votes | 38,643 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program[43]
- Human Rights Campaign[44]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Cardenas | 111,287 | 74.1 | ||
| No party preference | David R. Hernandez | 38,994 | 25.9 | ||
| Total votes | 150,281 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
District 30
The 30th district is based in the western San Fernando Valley and includes Sherman Oaks. Democrat Brad Sherman, who represented the 27th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 24th district from 1997 to 2003, ran for re-election against fellow Democrat Howard Berman, who represented the 28th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 26th district from 1983 to 2003.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Howard Berman, incumbent U.S. representative for the 28th district
- Brad Sherman, incumbent U.S. representative for the 27th district
Eliminated in primary
- Vince Gilmore
Republican candidates
Eliminated in primary
Campaign
At the California Democratic Party's annual convention in February 2012, Sherman received the support of more delegates than Berman, but did not reach the 60-percent threshold necessary to receive the party's endorsement.[159] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse any candidate while the Los Angeles County party endorsed Reed.[121]
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Howard Berman (D) |
Vince Gilmore (D) |
Michael Powelson (G) |
Mark Reed (R) |
Susan Shelley (R) |
Brad Sherman (D) |
Navraj Singh (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4 Strategies/Tulchin Research[160] | May 29–31, 2012 | 329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 32% | 4% | 23% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[161] | March 26–28, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 2% | 20% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[162] | August 14–18, 2011 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | — | — | 26% | — | 42% | — | 15% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 40,589 | 42.4 | |
| Democratic | Howard Berman (incumbent) | 31,086 | 32.5 | |
| Republican | Mark Reed | 11,991 | 12.5 | |
| Republican | Navraj Singh | 5,521 | 5.8 | |
| Republican | Susan Shelley | 3,878 | 4.0 | |
| Green | Michael W. Powelson | 1,976 | 2.1 | |
| Democratic | Vince Gilmore | 792 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 95,833 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Campaign
The campaign was one of the most expensive in the nation.[163]
Endorsements
U.S. senators
- Barbara Boxer, U.S. senator from California[164]
- Dianne Feinstein, U.S. senator from California[164]
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. senator from South Carolina (Republican)[165]
- Joe Lieberman, former U.S. senatorfrom Connecticut (Independent)[165]
- John McCain, U.S. senator from Arizona (Republican)[165]
U.S. representatives
- Xavier Becerra, U.S. representative from CA-31[166]
- Mary Bono, U.S. representative from CA-45 (Republican)[167]
- Ken Calvert, U.S. representative from CA-44 (Republican)[167]
- Dennis Cardoza, U.S. representative from CA-18[166]
- Jim Costa, U.S. representative from CA-20[166]
- David Dreier, U.S. representative from CA-26 (Republican)[167]
- Bob Filner, U.S. representative from CA-51[166]
- Elton Gallegly, U.S. representative from CA-24 (Republican)[167]
- John Garamendi, U.S. representative from CA-10[166]
- Wally Herger, U.S. representative from CA-02 (Republican)[167]
- Steny Hoyer, U.S. representative from MD-05[168]
- Darrell Issa, U.S. representative from CA-49 (Republican)[164]
- Barbara Lee, U.S. representative from CA-09[166]
- Jerry Lewis, U.S. representative from CA-41 (Republican)[167]
- Dan Lungren, U.S. representative from CA-03 (Republican)[167]
- George Miller, U.S. representative from CA-07[166]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, U.S. representative from CA-34[166]
- Ed Royce, U.S. representative from CA-40 (Republican)[167]
- Loretta Sanchez, U.S. representative from CA-47[169]
- Mike Thompson, U.S. representative from CA-01[166]
- Maxine Waters, U.S. representative from CA-35[166]
- Henry Waxman, U.S. representative from CA-30[166]
- Lynn Woolsey, U.S. representative from CA-06[166]
State officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Municipal officials
Individuals
- David Geffen, businessman and film producer[164]
- Rafer Johnson, actor and decathlete[172]
- Jeffrey Katzenberg, film producer[173]
- Wendie Malick, actress and model[174]
- Steven Spielberg, director[164]
- Betty White, actress[164]
Executive officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
- Cruz Bustamante, former lieutenant governor of California[175]
- John Chiang, California state treasurer[166]
- Gavin Newsom, lieutenant governor of California[166]
Labor unions
Organizations
Municipal officials
- Dennis Zine, Los Angeles city councillor[178]
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Howard Berman (D) |
Brad Sherman (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[179] | October 22–24, 2012 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[180] | October 11–14, 2012 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 51% | 24% |
| Kimball Political Consulting (R)[181] | October 12–13, 2012 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 26% | 32% | 42% |
| SurveyUSA[182] | September 18–20, 2012 | 628 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 32% | 45% | 23% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[183] | July 14–18, 2012 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 46% | 26% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[161] | March 26–28, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 51% | 23% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[162] | August 14–18, 2011 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 52% | 23% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 149,456 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Howard Berman (incumbent) | 98,395 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 247,851 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 31
The 31st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes San Bernardino and Rancho Cucamonga. Republicans David Dreier, who represented the 26th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1981, and Jerry Lewis, who represented the 41st district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1979, retired.[72][184] Republican Gary Miller, who represented the 42nd district from 2003 to 2013 and the 41st district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[185]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Robert Dutton, state senator[186]
- Gary Miller, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- David Dreier, incumbent U.S. representative for the 26th district[136]
- Jerry Lewis, incumbent U.S. representative for the 41st district[77]
- Michael Ramos, San Bernardino County district attorney[76]
Democratic candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Pete Aguilar, mayor of Redlands[187]
- Justin Kim, former congressional oversight lawyer[188]
- Rita Ramirez-Dean, community college trustee[187]
- Renea Wickman, founder of a youth nonprofit organization[189]
Declined
- Joe Baca, incumbent U.S. representative for the 43rd district[190]
- Joe Baca, Jr., former state assembly member[104]
- Russ Warner, businessman and nominee for the 26th district in 2008 & 2010[113][191]
Campaign
At its February 2012 convention, the California Democratic Party did not endorse a candidate in the 31st district,[10] while Miller was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[192]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Miller (incumbent) | 16,708 | 26.7 | |
| Republican | Robert Dutton | 15,557 | 24.8 | |
| Democratic | Pete Aguilar | 14,181 | 22.6 | |
| Democratic | Justin Kim | 8,487 | 13.5 | |
| Democratic | Renea Wickman | 4,188 | 6.7 | |
| Democratic | Rita Ramirez-Dean | 3,546 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 62,667 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[58]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[66]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[15]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Miller (incumbent) | 88,964 | 55.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Dutton | 72,255 | 44.8 | |
| Total votes | 161,219 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 32
The 32nd district is based in the San Gabriel Valley and includes El Monte and West Covina. Republican David Dreier, who represented the 26th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1978, retired.[184] Democrat Grace Napolitano, who represented the 38th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 34th district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[193]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Grace Napolitano, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Gonzalez, former deputy state director and senior advisor to U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein
Withdrawn
- Roger Hernandez, state assembly member[194]
- Norma Macias, El Monte council member[195]
Declined
- Linda Sánchez, incumbent U.S. representative for the 39th district[196]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- David Miller, CEO of Pacific Development Incorporated
Campaign
Napolitano was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 24,094 | 46.1 | |
| Republican | David Miller | 21,843 | 41.8 | |
| Democratic | G. Bill Gonzalez | 6,322 | 12.1 | |
| Total votes | 52,259 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 124,903 | 65.7 | |
| Republican | David Miller | 65,208 | 34.3 | |
| Total votes | 190,111 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 33
The 33rd district is based in coastal Los Angeles County and includes Beverly Hills and Santa Monica. Democrat Henry Waxman, who represented the 30th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 24th and 29th districts from 1975 to 1993 and 1993 to 2003 respectively, ran for re-election here.[197]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Henry Waxman, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bruce Margolin, attorney
- Zein Obagi, attorney
- Tim Pape[198]
Republican candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Christopher David, entrepreneur[198]
Independent candidates
Advanced to general
- Bill Bloomfield, businessman[198]
Green candidates
Eliminated in primary
- David Steinman
Libertarian candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Steve Collett, certified public accountants
Campaign
Waxman received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse David.[199]
Endorsements
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Henry Waxman (incumbent) | 51,235 | 45.3 | |
| No party preference | Bill Bloomfield | 27,850 | 24.6 | |
| Republican | Christopher David | 17,264 | 15.3 | |
| Democratic | Bruce Margolin | 5,020 | 4.4 | |
| Libertarian | Steve Collett | 4,916 | 4.3 | |
| Green | David William Steinman | 3,940 | 3.5 | |
| Democratic | Zein E. Obagi | 1,988 | 1.8 | |
| Democratic | Tim Pape | 847 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 113,060 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Henry Waxman (incumbent) | 171,860 | 54.0 | |
| No party preference | Bill Bloomfield | 146,660 | 46.0 | |
| Majority | 25,200 | 8.0 | ||
| Total votes | 318,520 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 34
The 34th district is based in central Los Angeles and includes Chinatown and Downtown Los Angeles. Democrat Xavier Becerra, who represented the 31st district from 2003 to 2013 and the 30th district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[200]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Xavier Becerra, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Stephen Smith, former Radio Shack employee
Campaign
Becerra was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Xavier Becerra (incumbent) | 27,939 | 77.3 | |
| Republican | Stephen C. Smith | 5,739 | 16.0 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Howard Johnson | 2,407 | 6.7 | |
| Total votes | 36,085 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Xavier Becerra (incumbent) | 120,367 | 85.6 | |
| Republican | Stephen C. Smith | 20,223 | 14.4 | |
| Total votes | 140,590 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 35
The 35th district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Fontana, Ontario, and Pomona. Democrat Joe Baca, who represented the 43rd district from 2003 to 2013 and the 42nd district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Joe Baca, incumbent U.S. representative
- Gloria Negrete McLeod, state senator[201]
Green candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Anthony Vieyra, former IRS employee
Campaign
Baca was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Baca (incumbent) | 15,388 | 45.0 | |
| Democratic | Gloria Negrete McLeod | 12,425 | 36.3 | |
| Green | Anthony W. Vieyra | 6,372 | 18.6 | |
| Total votes | 34,185 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gloria Negrete McLeod | 79,698 | 55.9 | |
| Democratic | Joe Baca (incumbent) | 62,982 | 44.1 | |
| Total votes | 142,680 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 36
The 36th district is based in eastern Riverside County and includes Palm Springs. Republican Mary Bono Mack, who represented the 45th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 44th district from 1998 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[202]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Mary Bono Mack, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Declined
- Manuel Pérez, state assembly member[203]
- Steve Pougnet, mayor of Palm Springs and nominee for the 45th district in 2010[204]
Campaign
Ruiz received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Bono Mack was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mary Bono Mack (incumbent) | 52,474 | 58.1 | |
| Democratic | Raul Ruiz | 37,847 | 41.9 | |
| Total votes | 90,321 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 12, 2012
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mary Bono Mack (R) |
Raul Ruiz (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D-Ruiz)[205] | October 20–22, 2012 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 48% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[206] | October 12–14, 2012 | 1,364 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Ruiz)[207] | October 2–4, 2012 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[208] | September 12–13, 2012 | 1,281 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tilt R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raul Ruiz | 110,189 | 52.9 | |
| Republican | Mary Bono Mack (incumbent) | 97,953 | 47.1 | |
| Majority | 12,236 | 5.8 | ||
| Total votes | 208,142 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 37
The 37th district is based in West Los Angeles and includes Crenshaw and Culver City. Democrat Karen Bass, who represented the 33rd district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Karen Bass, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrawn
- Mervin Evans[209]
Declined
- Maxine Waters, incumbent U.S. representative for the 35th district[210]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Morgan Osborne (write-in)
Campaign
Bass was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Karen Bass (incumbent) | 54,345 | 99.9 | |
| Republican | Morgan Osborne (write-in) | 36 | 0.1 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Adam Shbeita (write-in) | 8 | 0.0 | |
| Libertarian | Sean P. McGray (write-in) | 4 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 54,393 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Karen Bass (incumbent) | 207,039 | 86.4 | |
| Republican | Morgan Osborne | 32,541 | 13.6 | |
| Total votes | 239,580 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 38
The 38th district is based in the eastern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Norwalk and Whittier. Democrat Linda Sánchez, who represented the 39th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Linda Sánchez, incumbent U.S. representative[196]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Grace Napolitano, incumbent U.S. representative for the 38th district[193]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Benjamin Campos, certified public accountant
Eliminated in primary
- Jorge Robles, law enforcement professional
Campaign
Sánchez received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 33,223 | 56.0 | |
| Republican | Benjamin Campos | 13,363 | 22.5 | |
| Republican | Jorge Robles | 12,713 | 21.4 | |
| Total votes | 59,299 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 145,280 | 67.5 | |
| Republican | Benjamin Campos | 69,807 | 32.5 | |
| Total votes | 215,087 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 39
The 39th district straddles the Los Angeles–Orange county border and includes Chino Hills, Diamond Bar, and Fullerton. Republican Ed Royce, who represented the 40th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 39th district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[213]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Jay Chen, member of the Hacienda La Puente Unified School District board[214]
Campaign
Chen was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Royce (incumbent) | 62,874 | 66.3 | |
| Democratic | Jay Chen | 28,457 | 30.0 | |
| No party preference | D'Marie Mulattieri | 3,561 | 3.8 | |
| Total votes | 94,892 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Royce (incumbent) | 145,607 | 57.8 | |
| Democratic | Jay Chen | 106,360 | 42.2 | |
| Majority | 39,247 | 15.6 | ||
| Total votes | 251,967 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Aftermath
Jay Chen did much better than previous Royce opponents among the Asian American community, earning 62% of the overall Asian American vote, and 95% of the Chinese American vote.[215]
District 40
The 40th district is based in central Los Angeles County and includes Downey and East Los Angeles. Democrat Lucille Roybal-Allard, who represented the 34th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 33rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[216]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, incumbent U.S. representative
- David Sanchez, civil rights activist
Declined
- Linda Sánchez, incumbent U.S. representative for the 39th district[196]
Republican candidates
No Republicans filed.
Campaign
Roybal-Allard received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 16,596 | 65.4 | |
| Democratic | David Sanchez | 8,777 | 34.6 | |
| Total votes | 25,373 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 73,940 | 58.9 | |
| Democratic | David Sanchez | 51,613 | 41.1 | |
| Total votes | 125,553 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 41
The 41st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Moreno Valley, Perris, and Riverside. This new district had no incumbent.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Mark Takano, member of the Riverside Community College District Board of Trustees[217]
Eliminated in primary
- Anna Nevenic, nurse
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- John Tavaglione, Riverside County supervisor[217]
Eliminated in primary
- George Pearne
- Vince Sawyer, Oath Keeper
Declined
- Jeff Miller, state assembly member[218]
Campaign
Takano was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Tavaglione received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Tavaglione | 25,379 | 44.6 | |
| Democratic | Mark Takano | 20,860 | 36.7 | |
| Democratic | Anna Nevenic | 4,991 | 8.8 | |
| Republican | Vince Sawyer | 4,723 | 8.3 | |
| Republican | George Pearne | 956 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 56,909 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Takano (D) |
John Tavaglione (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMC Research (D-Takano)[220] | August 8–12, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Takano | 103,578 | 59.0 | ||
| Republican | John Tavaglione | 72,074 | 41.0 | ||
| Majority | 31,504 | 18.0 | |||
| Total votes | 175,652 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
District 42
The 42nd district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Corona and Murrieta. Republican Ken Calvert, who represented the 44th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 43rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[221]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Ken Calvert, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Eva Johnson, former division director, Western Municipal Water District
- Clayton Thibodeau, author and entrepreneur
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Michael Williamson, attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Cliff Smith
Campaign
Calvert was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 35,392 | 51.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael Williamson | 9,860 | 14.3 | |
| Democratic | Cliff Smith | 7,377 | 10.7 | |
| Republican | Clayton Thibodeau | 6,374 | 9.2 | |
| Republican | Eva Johnson | 5,678 | 8.2 | |
| No party preference | Curt Novak | 4,254 | 6.2 | |
| Total votes | 68,935 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 130,245 | 60.6 | |
| Democratic | Michael Williamson | 84,702 | 39.4 | |
| Total votes | 214,947 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 43
The 43rd district is based in South Los Angeles and includes Hawthorne and Inglewood. Democrat Maxine Waters, who represented the 35th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 29th district from 1991 to 1993, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Bob Flores, self-employed communications manager[198]
- Maxine Waters, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Withdrawn
- Marco Antonio Leal[198]
Campaign
Waters received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 36,062 | 65.4 | |
| Democratic | Bob Flores | 19,061 | 34.6 | |
| Total votes | 55,123 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 143,123 | 71.2 | |
| Democratic | Bob Flores | 57,771 | 28.8 | |
| Total votes | 200,894 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 44
The 44th district is based in south Los Angeles County and includes Carson, Compton, and San Pedro. Democrat Janice Hahn, who represented the 36th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election against fellow Democrat Laura Richardson, who represented the 37th district from 2007 to 2013.[222]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Janice Hahn, incumbent U.S. representative for the 36th district
- Laura Richardson, incumbent U.S. representative for the 37th district
Declined
- Isadore Hall, state assembly member[222]
Republican candidates
Withdrawn
- John Lauro[198]
Campaign
In February 2012, Hahn became the officially endorsed candidate of the California Democratic Party.[223]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Janice Hahn (incumbent) | 24,843 | 60.1 | |
| Democratic | Laura Richardson (incumbent) | 16,523 | 39.9 | |
| Total votes | 41,366 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Polling
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Janice Hahn (incumbent) | 99,909 | 60.2 | |
| Democratic | Laura Richardson (incumbent) | 65,989 | 39.8 | |
| Total votes | 165,898 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 45
The 45th district is based in inland Orange County and includes Irvine and Mission Viejo. Republican John Campbell, who represented the 48th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- John Campbell, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- John Webb, small businessman[213]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Sukhee Kang, mayor of Irvine[226]
Campaign
Kang was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Campbell received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Campbell (incumbent) | 54,346 | 51.0 | |
| Democratic | Sukhee Kang | 35,182 | 33.0 | |
| Republican | John Webb | 17,014 | 16.0 | |
| Total votes | 106,542 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Campbell (incumbent) | 171,417 | 58.5 | |
| Democratic | Sukhee Kang | 121,814 | 41.5 | |
| Majority | 49,603 | 17.0 | ||
| Total votes | 293,231 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 46
The 46th district is based in central Orange County and includes Anaheim and Santa Ana. Democrat Loretta Sanchez, who represented the 47th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 46th district from 1997 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[155]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Loretta Sanchez, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Jerry Hayden, independent businessman[213]
Eliminated in primary
- John H. Cullum, accountant
- Pat Garcia, escrow company owner
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Jorge Rocha, tax accountant[213]
Campaign
Sanchez received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Hayden was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Results
| Primary election | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Loretta Sanchez (incumbent) | 25,706 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Jerry Hayden | 14,571 | 29.5 | |
| Republican | John J. Cullum | 5,251 | 10.6 | |
| No party preference | Jorge Rocha | 1,969 | 4.0 | |
| Republican | Pat Garcia | 1,852 | 3.8 | |
| Total votes | 49,349 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Loretta Sanchez (incumbent) | 95,694 | 63.9 | |
| Republican | Jerry Hayden | 54,121 | 36.1 | |
| Total votes | 149,815 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 47
The 47th district includes Long Beach and parts of Orange County. This new district had no incumbent.
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Peter Mathews, professor
- Jay Shah
- Usha Shah
Declined
- Joe Dunn, former state senator[228]
- Linda Sánchez, incumbent U.S. representative[196]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Gary DeLong, Long Beach City Council member[229]
Eliminated in primary
- Steve Foley, conservative blogger, activist and campaign consultant[213]
- Steven T. Kuykendall, former U.S. representative[230]
Declined
- Troy Edgar, mayor of Los Alamitos and former member of the Los Alamitos City Council[231][232]
Campaign
Lowenthal was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Delong received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[121]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Lowenthal | 27,356 | 33.8 | |
| Republican | Gary DeLong | 23,831 | 29.4 | |
| Republican | Steven T. Kuykendall | 8,769 | 10.8 | |
| Democratic | Peter Mathews | 7,951 | 9.8 | |
| Republican | Steve Foley | 5,848 | 7.2 | |
| Republican | Sanford W. Kahn | 2,563 | 3.2 | |
| Democratic | Usha Shah | 2,350 | 2.9 | |
| Democratic | Jay Shah | 2,273 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 80,941 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Lowenthal (D) |
Gary DeLong (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwin Simon Strategic Research[233] | August 16–18, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| DCCC (D)[234] | July 18, 2012 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Probolsky Research (R-DeLong)[235] | June 28–July 3, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Likely D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Lowenthal | 130,093 | 56.6 | ||
| Republican | Gary DeLong | 99,919 | 43.4 | ||
| Majority | 30,174 | 13.2 | |||
| Total votes | 230,012 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
District 48
The 48th district is based in coastal Orange County and includes Huntington Beach. Republican Dana Rohrabacher, who represented the 46th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 42nd and 45th districts from 1989 to 1993 and 1993 to 2003 respectively, ran for re-election here.[236]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Dana Rohrabacher, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Ron Varasteh, scientist and engineer[213]
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Alan Schlar, marketing executive[213]
Campaign
Rohrabacher was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 73,302 | 66.3 | |
| Democratic | Ron Varasteh | 31,912 | 28.9 | |
| No party preference | Alan Schlar | 5,355 | 4.8 | |
| Total votes | 110,569 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 177,144 | 61.0 | |
| Democratic | Ron Varasteh | 113,358 | 39.0 | |
| Total votes | 290,502 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 49
The 49th district is based in northern San Diego County and includes Carlsbad and Oceanside. Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the 49th district since 2003 and the 48th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election.[237]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Darrell Issa, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Dick Eiden, retired attorney and poet
- Albin Novinec, U.S. Marine[213]
Campaign
Tetalman received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Issa was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[213]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 71,329 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Tetalman | 35,816 | 30.7 | |
| No party preference | Dick Eiden | 7,988 | 6.8 | |
| No party preference | Albin Novinec | 1,626 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 116,759 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 159,725 | 58.2 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Tetalman | 114,893 | 41.8 | |
| Majority | 44,832 | 16.4 | ||
| Total votes | 274,618 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 50
The 50th district is based in inland San Diego County and includes Escondido and Santee. Republican Duncan D. Hunter, who represented the 52nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[237]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Duncan D. Hunter, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- David Secor, retired clerk of the San Diego Superior Court[241]
Eliminated in primary
Campaign
Hunter received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duncan D. Hunter (incumbent) | 76,818 | 67.4 | |
| Democratic | David B. Secor | 19,142 | 16.8 | |
| Democratic | Connie Frankowiak | 8,553 | 7.5 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Benoit | 6,160 | 5.4 | |
| Republican | Terri Linnell | 3,275 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 113,948 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[58]
- National Right to Life Committee[14]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[15]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duncan D. Hunter (incumbent) | 174,838 | 67.7 | |
| Democratic | David B. Secor | 83,455 | 32.3 | |
| Total votes | 258,293 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 51
The new 51st district runs along the border with Mexico and includes Imperial County and San Diego. Democrat Bob Filner, who represented the 51st district from 2003 to 2013 and the 50th district from 1993 until 2003, retired to run for mayor of San Diego.[242]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Juan Vargas, state senator and candidate for this seat in 1992, 1996 & 2006[243]
Eliminated in primary
- John Brooks, writer and retired federal employee[244]
- Denise Moreno Ducheny, state senator[245]
- Daniel Ramirez
Declined
- Bob Filner, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Xanthi Gionis, businesswoman and author
- Bernard Portley, computer scientist
Campaign
Vargas was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Gionis received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Vargas was predicted to face fellow Democratic state senator Denise Moreno Ducheny in the general election, but he spent some of his funds on mailers to help Republican Michael Crimmins, who he preferred to face in the general election in this heavily Democratic seat. Vargas spent $40–50,000 helping Crimmins, at least eight times more than Crimmins spent himself.[246] The effort was successful as Crimmins finished 2,909 votes ahead of Ducheny.
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Juan Vargas | 30,143 | 46.0 | |
| Republican | Michael Crimmins | 13,016 | 19.9 | |
| Democratic | Denise Moreno Ducheny | 10,107 | 15.4 | |
| Republican | Xanthi Gionis | 4,487 | 6.8 | |
| Democratic | John Brooks | 3,290 | 5.0 | |
| Democratic | Daniel C. "Danny" Ramirez | 2,794 | 4.3 | |
| Republican | Bernard Portley | 1,667 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 65,504 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program[43]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Vargas won the general election in a landslide.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Juan Vargas | 113,934 | 71.5 | |
| Republican | Michael Crimmins | 45,464 | 28.5 | |
| Total votes | 159,398 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 52
The 52nd district is based in coastal San Diego and includes La Jolla and Poway. Republican Brian Bilbray, who represented the 50th district from 2006 to 2013 and previously served from 1995 until 2001, ran for re-election here.[244]
Primary election
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Brian Bilbray, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Gene Hamilton Carswell, developer, builder and veteran
- Wayne Iverson, physician[247]
- John Stahl, retired business executive and candidate for Florida's 22nd district in 1994[248]
- John Subka, real estate investor
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Scott Peters, chair of the Port of San Diego[249]
Eliminated in primary
- Lori Saldaña, former state assembly member[250]
Withdrawn
- Shirley Decourt-Park, business owner
Declined
Campaign
At its February 2012 convention, the California Democratic Party declined to endorse a candidate for the 52nd district.[10] Bilbray was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Bilbray (incumbent) | 61,930 | 41.0 | |
| Democratic | Scott Peters | 34,106 | 22.6 | |
| Democratic | Lori Saldaña | 33,387 | 22.1 | |
| No party preference | Jack Doyle | 6,138 | 4.1 | |
| Republican | John K. Stahl | 5,502 | 3.6 | |
| Republican | Wayne Iverson | 4,476 | 3.0 | |
| Democratic | Shirley Decourt-Park | 2,368 | 1.6 | |
| No party preference | Ehab T. Shehata | 1,156 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | John L. Subka | 1,091 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Gene Hamilton Carswell | 828 | 0.5 | |
| Total votes | 150,982 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[42]
Organizations
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Brian Bilbray | Scott Peters | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 10, 2012 | San Diego Union-Tribune | Michael Smolens | [253] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Bilbray (R) |
Scott Peters (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[254] | October 28–30, 2012 | 628 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Grove Insight (D-Peters)[255] | October 19–21, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Glover Park Group/University of San Diego/U-T San Diego[256] | October 14–17, 2012 | 374 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 38% | 13% |
| Grove Insight (D-Peters)[257] | July 16–18, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 40% | 19% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Scott Peters | 151,451 | 51.2 | |
| Republican | Brian Bilbray (incumbent) | 144,495 | 48.8 | |
| Majority | 6,956 | 2.4 | ||
| Total votes | 295,946 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 53
The 53rd district is based in Central San Diego and includes La Mesa and Lemon Grove. Democrat Susan Davis, who had represented the 53rd district since 2003 and previously represented the 49th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[155]
Primary election
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Susan Davis, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Nick Popaditch, retired United States Marine Corps gunnery sergeant and nominee for the 51st district in 2010[258]
Campaign
Davis received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 70,462 | 57.8 | |
| Republican | Nick Popaditch | 51,423 | 42.2 | |
| Republican | Joel A. Marchese (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
| Republican | John R. Edwards (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 121,895 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[23] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[24] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 164,825 | 61.4 | |
| Republican | Nick Popaditch | 103,482 | 38.6 | |
| Total votes | 268,307 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear