Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2028 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are people who have expressed interest or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Quick facts Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data, it is not a prediction for the election. ...
2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries statewide polling

 2024
TBD
2032 

Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls.
This map only represents polling data, it is not a prediction for the election.

  Gavin Newsom
  Pete Buttigieg
  Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  Kamala Harris
  No polls conducted

Incumbent Democratic nominee

Kamala Harris



Close

Alaska primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Andy
Beshear
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Josh
Shapiro
Tim
Walz
Gretchen
Whitmer
Other Undecided
Alaska Survey Research October 10–15, 2025 315 (RV) 3% 20% 19% 23% 17% 6% 2% 7% 5%
Close

California primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Gavin
Newsom
Josh
Shapiro
Gretchen
Whitmer
Other Undecided
LA Times/Berkeley IGS[1] March 9–15, 2026 2,317 (RV) 2% 11% 14% 9% 28% 2% 2% 15%[b] 19%
Berkeley/Politico[2] February 25 – March 3, 2026 702 (LV) 2% 11% 12% 14% 1% 28% 4% 1% 15%[c]
Emerson College[3] December 1–2, 2025 567 (LV) 1.6% 15.7% 13.4% 8.8% 1.2% 35.9% 3.4% 1.7% 7.4%[d] 11%
Citrin Politico July 28 – August 12, 2025 1,445 (RV) 4% 13% 10% 19% 2% 25% 3% 3% 21%[e]
Emerson College[4] August 4–5, 2025 444 (LV) 2.7% 17.4% 9% 11% 1.2% 23.1% 4.4% 1.6% 15.7%[f] 13.9%
Capitol Weekly May 21–30, 2025 1,122 (LV) 7.7% 9.9% 15.3% 17.2% 6.3% 5.5% 5%[g] 33.1%
Capitol Weekly February 3–7, 2025 681 V 5% 15% 15% 6% 27% 6% 6% 20%[h]
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Florida primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Pete Buttigieg Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Cory Booker Gavin Newsom Andy Beshear Josh Shapiro Undecided
Victory Insights June 7–10, 2025 600 LV 23% 14% 12% 12% 5% 3% 31%
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Maine primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 16–21, 2025 470 (LV) 7% 14% 9% 16% 15% 8% 7% 14%[i] 10%
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Michigan primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Mark
Kelly
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Josh
Shapiro
Gretchen
Whitmer
Other Undecided
The Detroit News/WDIV July 8-11, 2026 500 (LV) 8% 19% 25% 8% 10% 12% 2% 4% 4%[j] 8%
Detroit Chamber of Commerce April 17–19, 2026 500 (LV) 17% 15% 8% 15% 6% 2% 4% 21% 1%[k] 11%
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Nevada primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Andy
Beshear
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Josh
Shapiro
Other Undecided
Emerson College November 16–18, 2025 800 (RV) 3.6% 18.9% 6.0% 36.9% 8.9% 3.5% 3.0% 4.7%[l] 14.4%
Close

New Hampshire primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm June 24–25, 2026 810 (RV) 3% 29% 4% 11% 17% 3% 18%[m] 15%
Emerson College March 21–23, 2026 523 (LV) 2% 29% 8% 12% 12% 5% 20%[n] 24%
Saint Anselm March 16–18, 2026 690 (RV) 2% 29% 6% 15% 10% 5% 20%[o] 11%
University of New Hampshire February 12–16, 2026 635 (LV) 2% 20% 10% 15% 15% 5% 5% 20%[p] 8%
Saint Anselm November 18–19, 2025 1015 (LV) 4% 28% 6% 24% 4% 4%[q] 18%
University of New Hampshire October 16–21, 2025 602 (LV) 2% 19% 11% 15% 14% 6% 8% 15%[r] 10%
Saint Anselm August 26–27, 2025 1776 (RV) 5% 23% 6% 23% 7% 9% 4% 15%[s] 12%
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North Carolina primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Andy
Beshear
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Emerson College July 28–30, 2025 445 (LV) 3.7% 5.2% 16.8% 12.0% 10.2% 4.1% 6.9% 17.2%[t] 23.9%
Close

Ohio primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Tim
Walz
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 18–19, 2025 383 (RV) 15.3% 6.8% 20.0% 8.1% 6.6% 7.1% 18.8%[u] 17.4%
Close

Texas primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 11–12, 2025 370 (RV) 21.6% 16.8% 19.5% 5.6% 5.4% 16.9%[v] 14.2%
Close

Vermont primary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 16–21, 2025 476 (LV) 3% 16% 6% 17% 17% 4% 14% 9%[w] 14%
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Mark Kelly 7%, JB Pritzker 3%, Andy Beshear 2%, Ro Khanna 2%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0%, Gina Raimondo 0%
  3. Mark Kelly 5%, Ro Khanna 3%, Andy Beshear 2%, JB Pritzker 2%, Ruben Gallego 1%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0%, Jared Polis 0%, Raphael Warnock 0%
  4. JB Pritzker 3.5%, Andy Beshear 2.1%, Other 1.8%
  5. Tim Walz 4%, Ro Khanna 3%, Andy Beshear 3%, Mark Kelly 2%, JB Pritzker 1%, Ruben Gallego 1%, Gina Raimondo 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Other 2%
  6. Andy Beshear 4.8%, Bernie Sanders 3.9%, Tim Walz 2.3%, JB Pritzker 1.9%, Wes Moore 0.8%, Rahm Emanuel 0.8%, Ro Khanna 0.6%, Someone else 0.7%
  7. Elizabeth Warren 5%, (Other/Undecided 33.1%)
  8. JB Pritzker with 1%; Ruben Gallego and Wes Moore with <1%; "Other" with 18%
  9. 5% for Whitmer, 2% for Beshear, 2% for Shapiro, 2% for Klobuchar, 2% for Kelly, 1% for Khanna
  10. Wes Moore 2%, "Someone Else" 2%
  11. Andy Beshear, James Talarico, Elizabeth Warren and Michelle Obama with <1%
  12. Cory Booker 1.3%, Amy Klobuchar 1.1%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.0%, Someone else 1.3%
  13. 3% for Beshear, Shapiro, and Klobuchar, 2% for Moore and Ossoff, 1% for Murphy, Kelly, and Emanuel, 0% for Whitmer, 2% for another candidate
  14. 10% for Kelly, 4% for Shapiro, 3% for Beshear, 3% for another candidate
  15. 4% for Beshear, 4% for Klobuchar, 4% for Shapiro, 2% for Whitmer, 1% for Emanuel, 1% for Moore, 4% for another candidate
  16. 10% for Kelly, 4% for Shapiro, 3% for Beshear, 1% for Klobuchar, 1% for Whitmer, 1% for another candidate
  17. 3% for Shapiro, 2% for Klobuchar, 2% for Beshar, 2% for Whitmer, 1% for Murphy, 1% for Moore, 0% for Emanuel, 0% for Gallego
  18. 3% for Beshear, 3% for Kelly, 3% for Klobuchar, 2% for Shapiro, 1% for Whitmer
  19. Klobuchar 3%, Shapiro 3%, Whitmer 2%, Other 3%
  20. Tim Walz 3.3%, Josh Shapiro 3.2%, Gretchen Whitmer 3.2%, JB Pritzker 2.7%, Wes Moore 2.2%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%, Someone else 1.5%
  21. Andy Beshear 4.3%, JB Pritzker 3.4%, Josh Shapiro 2.8%, Cory Booker 2.7%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.4%, Rahm Emanuel 1.4%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Wes Moore 0.5%, Ro Khanna 0.2%, Someone else 1.1%
  22. Cory Booker 3.5%, Tim Walz 3.5%, JB Pritzker 2.5%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.6%, Josh Shapiro 1.4%, Andy Beshear 1.3%, Amy Klobuchar 1.3%, Wes Moore 0.7%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%, Ro Khanna 0.1%, Someone else 0.7%
  23. 4% for Beshear, 1% for Moore, 1% for Shapiro, 1% for Klobuchar, 1% for Kelly, 1% for Whitmer

References

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