Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2028 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are people who have expressed interest or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Alaska primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Andy Beshear |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
JB Pritzker |
Josh Shapiro |
Tim Walz |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | October 10–15, 2025 | 315 (RV) | 3% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | — | — |
California primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Gavin Newsom |
Josh Shapiro |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Times/Berkeley IGS[1] | March 9–15, 2026 | 2,317 (RV) | 2% | 11% | 14% | 9% | — | 28% | 2% | 2% | 15%[b] | 19% |
| Berkeley/Politico[2] | February 25 – March 3, 2026 | 702 (LV) | 2% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 1% | 28% | 4% | 1% | 15%[c] | — |
| Emerson College[3] | December 1–2, 2025 | 567 (LV) | 1.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 35.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 7.4%[d] | 11% |
| Citrin Politico | July 28 – August 12, 2025 | 1,445 (RV) | 4% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 21%[e] | — |
| Emerson College[4] | August 4–5, 2025 | 444 (LV) | 2.7% | 17.4% | 9% | 11% | 1.2% | 23.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 15.7%[f] | 13.9% |
| Capitol Weekly | May 21–30, 2025 | 1,122 (LV) | — | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.3% | — | 17.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5%[g] | 33.1% |
| Capitol Weekly | February 3–7, 2025 | 681 V | 5% | 15% | — | 15% | 6% | 27% | 6% | 6% | 20%[h] | — |
Florida primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Cory Booker | Gavin Newsom | Andy Beshear | Josh Shapiro | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | June 7–10, 2025 | 600 LV | 23% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 31% |
Maine primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
JB Pritzker |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 470 (LV) | 7% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 14%[i] | 10% |
Michigan primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Mark Kelly |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
JB Pritzker |
Josh Shapiro |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Detroit News/WDIV | July 8-11, 2026 | 500 (LV) | 8% | 19% | 25% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 2% | 4% | — | 4%[j] | 8% |
| Detroit Chamber of Commerce | April 17–19, 2026 | 500 (LV) | — | 17% | 15% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 21% | 1%[k] | 11% |
Nevada primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Andy Beshear |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
JB Pritzker |
Josh Shapiro |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | November 16–18, 2025 | 800 (RV) | 3.6% | 18.9% | 6.0% | 36.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7%[l] | 14.4% |
New Hampshire primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
JB Pritzker |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm | June 24–25, 2026 | 810 (RV) | 3% | 29% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 3% | — | 18%[m] | 15% |
| Emerson College | March 21–23, 2026 | 523 (LV) | 2% | 29% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 5% | — | 20%[n] | 24% |
| Saint Anselm | March 16–18, 2026 | 690 (RV) | 2% | 29% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 5% | — | 20%[o] | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | February 12–16, 2026 | 635 (LV) | 2% | 20% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 20%[p] | 8% |
| Saint Anselm | November 18–19, 2025 | 1015 (LV) | 4% | 28% | 6% | 24% | — | 4% | — | 4%[q] | 18% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 602 (LV) | 2% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 15%[r] | 10% |
| Saint Anselm | August 26–27, 2025 | 1776 (RV) | 5% | 23% | 6% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 15%[s] | 12% |
North Carolina primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Andy Beshear |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 28–30, 2025 | 445 (LV) | 3.7% | 5.2% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 17.2%[t] | 23.9% |
Ohio primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Tim Walz |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 18–19, 2025 | 383 (RV) | 15.3% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 18.8%[u] | 17.4% |
Texas primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 11–12, 2025 | 370 (RV) | 21.6% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 16.9%[v] | 14.2% |
Vermont primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
JB Pritzker |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 476 (LV) | 3% | 16% | 6% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 14% | 9%[w] | 14% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Mark Kelly 7%, JB Pritzker 3%, Andy Beshear 2%, Ro Khanna 2%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0%, Gina Raimondo 0%
- Mark Kelly 5%, Ro Khanna 3%, Andy Beshear 2%, JB Pritzker 2%, Ruben Gallego 1%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0%, Jared Polis 0%, Raphael Warnock 0%
- JB Pritzker 3.5%, Andy Beshear 2.1%, Other 1.8%
- Tim Walz 4%, Ro Khanna 3%, Andy Beshear 3%, Mark Kelly 2%, JB Pritzker 1%, Ruben Gallego 1%, Gina Raimondo 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Other 2%
- Andy Beshear 4.8%, Bernie Sanders 3.9%, Tim Walz 2.3%, JB Pritzker 1.9%, Wes Moore 0.8%, Rahm Emanuel 0.8%, Ro Khanna 0.6%, Someone else 0.7%
- Elizabeth Warren 5%, (Other/Undecided 33.1%)
- JB Pritzker with 1%; Ruben Gallego and Wes Moore with <1%; "Other" with 18%
- 5% for Whitmer, 2% for Beshear, 2% for Shapiro, 2% for Klobuchar, 2% for Kelly, 1% for Khanna
- Wes Moore 2%, "Someone Else" 2%
- Andy Beshear, James Talarico, Elizabeth Warren and Michelle Obama with <1%
- Cory Booker 1.3%, Amy Klobuchar 1.1%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.0%, Someone else 1.3%
- 3% for Beshear, Shapiro, and Klobuchar, 2% for Moore and Ossoff, 1% for Murphy, Kelly, and Emanuel, 0% for Whitmer, 2% for another candidate
- 10% for Kelly, 4% for Shapiro, 3% for Beshear, 3% for another candidate
- 4% for Beshear, 4% for Klobuchar, 4% for Shapiro, 2% for Whitmer, 1% for Emanuel, 1% for Moore, 4% for another candidate
- 10% for Kelly, 4% for Shapiro, 3% for Beshear, 1% for Klobuchar, 1% for Whitmer, 1% for another candidate
- 3% for Shapiro, 2% for Klobuchar, 2% for Beshar, 2% for Whitmer, 1% for Murphy, 1% for Moore, 0% for Emanuel, 0% for Gallego
- 3% for Beshear, 3% for Kelly, 3% for Klobuchar, 2% for Shapiro, 1% for Whitmer
- Klobuchar 3%, Shapiro 3%, Whitmer 2%, Other 3%
- Tim Walz 3.3%, Josh Shapiro 3.2%, Gretchen Whitmer 3.2%, JB Pritzker 2.7%, Wes Moore 2.2%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%, Someone else 1.5%
- Andy Beshear 4.3%, JB Pritzker 3.4%, Josh Shapiro 2.8%, Cory Booker 2.7%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.4%, Rahm Emanuel 1.4%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Wes Moore 0.5%, Ro Khanna 0.2%, Someone else 1.1%
- Cory Booker 3.5%, Tim Walz 3.5%, JB Pritzker 2.5%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.6%, Josh Shapiro 1.4%, Andy Beshear 1.3%, Amy Klobuchar 1.3%, Wes Moore 0.7%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%, Ro Khanna 0.1%, Someone else 0.7%
- 4% for Beshear, 1% for Moore, 1% for Shapiro, 1% for Klobuchar, 1% for Kelly, 1% for Whitmer