Talk:State collapse

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Failed state

Previosly this topic redirected to Failed state which is not the same thing. Collapse is an event; failed state is a condition. Will add subgeadings on; State collapse and war, state collapse and nuclear weapons, leadership in collapsing states, asap

The difference is still not clear. The Soviet Union is frequently called a failed state and in the article we have "the USSR and white-ruled South Africa, collapsed." So why are two articles needed? Clarification, especially in the lede is badly needed.Rwood128 (talk) 18:09, 5 November 2017 (UTC)

Not sure I agree on that. The USSR always had a fully-functioning civil service, justice system, armed forces, police, schools, hospitals. Not a failed state IMHO

What I meant was that the Soviet Union failed in the end as a viable economic state and this led to its collapse. That is the words "failed" and "collapsed" tend to be used interchangeably in this context. Rwood128 (talk) 11:43, 7 November 2017 (UTC)

Problems with various sections

There appears to be many problems with this article. In particular many comments are off-topic. See, for example. "Loss of territory"; "Ethnic cleansing and genocide"; "Collapse and nuclear weapons". A sentence like the following is not appropriate in an encyclopaedia: "Are the men who take states into collapse incompetent, evil, or merely the unlucky victims of historical forces not yet understood? Commentators disagree". The section "States at risk of collapse" is highly speculative and has no place in an encyclopaedia. Much further copy editing and deleting is required. Rwood128 (talk) 16:33, 5 November 2017 (UTC) Rwood128 (talk) 16:33, 5 November 2017 (UTC)

Speculative, yes, but speculation is a fact of much human behaviour.

The predictions of possible collapse are all sourced from respected publications. But I agree, 'at risk of collapse' does not logically follow.

The heading should read, 'Predictions of state collapse' or similar. Crawiki (talk) 07:55, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Doh, Crawiki (talk) Crawiki (talk) 07:55, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Will seek sources as to whether Hitler etc were evil, unlucky or incompetent Crawiki (talk) Crawiki (talk) 07:57, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Likewise ethnic cleansing, territory loss, nuclear weapons Crawiki (talk) Crawiki (talk) 07:59, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

'highly speculative and has no place in an encyclopedia' is IMHO, nonsense.

Thanks for the detailed comment. I should perhaps have been clearer. Speculation has no place in an article like this. Most of the content reads like tabloid headlines. Sorry if this is insulting but this section contains lots of nonsense–I'm afraid that I cannot say anything else.Rwood128 (talk) 10:37, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

YEs, that is insulting. More politically experienced editors than yourself have vetted this article without making such a comment. If you disapprove of speculation, do you intend to delete End times, Nostradamus, Eschatology, Twelfth Imam, etc? Generalised comments like this are not helpful.

My apologies. But there were major problems, especially the fact that there was no real discussion of actual states. I overreacted. Rwood128 (talk) 12:19, 7 November 2017 (UTC)
The material in the section "Collapse and nuclear weapons" should be included in discussion of the collapse of the Soviet Union, the South African government, and Gadefy's regime in Libya. It is strange that there is no detailed discussion of such state collapses here, but a great deal of irrelevant (off-topic) stuff.Rwood128 (talk) 10:49, 6 November 2017 (UTC) This also applies to the section "Ethnic cleansing and genocide in collapsing states". Rwood128 (talk) 11:11, 6 November 2017 (UTC)
I see that you agree below. Rwood128 (talk) 10:49, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

User:Rwood128, apology accepted. However, I'm concerned at the rather impulsive way you set about things. Eg, your earlier comment, 'neither of these states (India or Pakistan) collapsed. I'm aware of that. the relevance of the comment was that British India DID collapse. Also your deletion of Iranian general's comments as 'propaganda'. 'Being Iranian' is not a crime, nor is it evidence of dishonesty. the fact that his views were published by an Israeli publisher might have alerted you to possible plausibility here?

Please, just think things through a little more? Crawiki (talk)

Should war and conquest really be included here?

Should military defeat or conquest really be included here? Or at least it should be more clearly distinguished from other things that lead to a change in how a country is governed.

A detailed discussion of some major events, such as the collapse of the Soviet Union, or the earlier Russian Empire is needed. Shouldn't the collapse British Empire–including the American War of Independence–and the collapse other Empires, such as the Roman be thoroughly discussed? Rwood128 (talk) 17:05, 5 November 2017 (UTC)

Germany and Japan in 1945 were defeated countries rather than failed states. Their system of government may have been a contributing factor but that would be speculative. Superior economic and technological factors and better leadership among the allies–as well as various other possibilities–may have been the cause.Rwood128 (talk) 21:33, 5 November 2017 (UTC)

You refer to Germany and Japan as failed states, I think you mean collapsed states. Regardless of the causes, it's indisputable that these countries did collapse. They were not failed states, because the victorious allies then set up transitional governments of military occupation. Will give some thought to the other idea. Decline of British empire really consists of multiple overlapping episodes of state decline and collapse - loss of America, Indian mutiny, loss of India, loss of Palestine, Suez crisis, loss of Sfrican colonies, loss of Hong kong But would it be OR to say so? Crawiki (talk) 07:45, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

A 'detailed discussion of the collapse of Imperial Russia and the USSR would have to include mention of ethnic cleansing, loss of territory, and nuclear weapons.

But you've said elsewhere that these subjects are 'off topic'. Crawiki (talk) Crawiki (talk) 08:03, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

The lede defines state collapse as "failure of a mode of governance within a state", so I think it might be better to leave out countries defeated in war. Poor decisions by Hitler, such as attacking the Soviet Soviet Union instead of finishing Britain off may have caused Germany to lose the war or any number of other causes (to speculate). I indicated this in revising the lede. Japan seems to have been defeated by superior military might rather than its "mode of governance.
I must admit that I struggle with the distinguishing between "failed state" and collapsed state. A failed state will surely eventually collapse. The problems with this article can be solved by concentrating on discussing concrete examples. The collapse of the Soviet Union is the best recent example, along with the end of apartheid. For earlier examples the English Civil War might well be a good place to start. Leave out war because there are too many examples and it will distract from the main focus of the article.Rwood128 (talk) 11:06, 6 November 2017 (UTC)
I thought that it had been agreed that war would not be included? You deleted:
The phenomenon of state collapse includes failure due to internal struggle within a state, as in the English Civil War, but not failure due to military defeat by external forces, as in the two World Wars.
This was an attempt to clarify. And to narrow the scope of the article. There seems to be more than enough states to discuss, excluding war related change of regime. There is are obviously articles on war as well as the aftermath of war, but I don't know how well they deal with this political aspect?.

Perhaps you didn't see the explanation here. Check out the references section, where there is an explanatory quote from a History Today article.

Re your comment, 'a failed state will surely eventually collapse'. NO. a failed state is one that has collapsed, and then remains without an organized government, and lacks basic amenities like education, defence, police, civil service, legal system. Why must I spell these things out to you? It's explained in the article, and to be frank, I'm not here to provide free coaching in politics.

Thanks for clarifying. This is what Wikipedia is about. I will try and add this clarification to the lede. Rwood128 (talk) 13:41, 7 November 2017 (UTC)

Leaders

The relationship of this section, "Leaders", to the topic is not clear. The topic is supposed to be: "the complete failure of a mode of governance", not the failure of leadership. Rwood128 (talk) 17:34, 5 November 2017 (UTC)

Some simple analogies. Car crash; the police look for driver error. Train crash; ditto. Plane crash; they look for pilot error. In politics, the man in charge at the time of collapse holds the reins and is responsible. restoring this section. Crawiki (talk)

Reply: Surely a separate section is not needed, as discussion of actual countries now exist, Crawiki? Rwood128 (talk) 12:26, 7 November 2017 (UTC)


In the case of Hitler, the two are inseparable. The fuhrer was the state, and the state was the fuhrer. His word was law. He devised the 'mode of governance. See, eg Sebastian Haffner, The meaning of Hitler.

To some extent, same reasoning applies to Saddam, Musso and Milo

Perhaps I should add this explanation to the text. Crawiki (talk) 07:51, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Thanks for making this clearer. Hitler, however, wasn't "the mode of governance". As stated elsewhere I think that it would be better to concentrate on states that collapsed on there own rather than countries defeated in war. If you disagree this can be dealt with in the article by clearly distinguishing different kinds of state collapse and revising the definition given in the lede. I favour a more narrow definition simply because there have been so many wars. The Czar Nicholas II might be a good example of poor leadership, when discussing the Russian Revolution of November 1917. There should not, however, be a separate section on leaders. This kind of section suggests a avoidance of the main topic–discussion of actual states that have collapsed. Rwood128 (talk) 11:27, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Who decides on the mode of governance, if not the leaders, past or present? Crawiki (talk)

Examples section

The examples section seems problematic in two ways, firstly the format would be better in text rather than the present 'categories', which look ominously like WP:OR, secondly, whatever format is employed, claims need to be reffed. I cannot personally see how a " Negotiated surrender of power" such as RSA, constitutes 'state collapse', if it does, I would like to know how. Pincrete (talk) 19:20, 5 November 2017 (UTC)

I have quickly added some examples of significant state collapse to illustrate what was missing from the article. Obviously all the examples now mentioned in the article cannot be developed to this extent and it would probably be helpful to reduce the number even mentioned–this is just an encyclopaedia article not a history book. Rwood128 (talk) 13:29, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Psychological aspects

Crawiki–or anyone–can you think of a new heading that better sums up the section "Psychological aspects". Rwood128 (talk) 12:22, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

User:Rwood128 am unable to spend time on this until tomorrow morning, GMT Crawiki (talk)

Crawiki I merged the section with "Potential for instability". Hope that's acceptable? Rwood128 (talk) 22:42, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Current unstable governments

Some of the better examples, such as the European Union should be developed fully to give a fuller context.Rwood128 (talk) 17:46, 6 November 2017 (UTC)

Regeneration

It is not entirely clear what some of the comments here have to do with collapsed states, or the prevention of collapse by regeneration. Clarification is needed–that is a fuller discussion. In Romania, for example, did the military coup try and regenerate communist ideology? Isn't Romania now in the E.U., and therefore another example of a collapsed state? Rwood128 (talk) 00:43, 7 November 2017 (UTC)

No, communism died with Ceausescu. Yes, Romania joined the EU. No, Romania is not collapsing noew, nor is the EU. Crawiki (talk)

So there was regime change, state collapse that is, rather than regeneration? Can, you–Crawiki–clarify, because you appear to be contradicting yourself.

Romania is an example where regeneration was present for a very short time only. The military soon handed over power to a civilian government. This -frequient changes of government- happens a lot when states collapse. Eg French revolution, the monarchy collapsed vand was replaced by the Girondins, then Robespierre, then the Directory, then Napoleon. Crawiki (talk) 09:35, 18 December 2017 (UTC)

Societal collapse

British India

New Sub-headings

WP:OR and specifially WP:SYNTHESIS

Donald Przebowski

Diacritics and subscripts

Italics

Immortal

Block quotes

Paragraphs

Somalia & Chad

Governance

German Empire

WP:SYNTH/WP:OR

GOCE

US 'at risk of collapse'

False source used within the article

Allegedly...

Merger discussion at Failed state

"Recent speculative predictions of state collapse"

‚Order Final Solution‘

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