2010 United States Senate election in Idaho
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike Crapo won re-election to a third term.
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November 2, 2010
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 County results Crapo: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Crapo
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Sullivan
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Republican primary
Candidates
- Mike Crapo, incumbent U.S. senator
- Skip Davis
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Crapo (incumbent) | 127,332 | 79.3% | |
| Republican | Skip Davis | 33,150 | 20.7% | |
| Total votes | 160,482 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
- William Bryk[2]
- Tom Sullivan, merchant banker
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Sullivan | 18,340 | 74.7% | |
| Democratic | William Bryk | 6,227 | 25.3% | |
| Total votes | 24,567 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Candidates
- Randy Lynn Bergquist (Constitution) (PVS)
- Mike Crapo (R)
- Tom Sullivan (D) (campaign site, PVS, FEC, OTI)
Campaign
Sullivan, a heavy underdog, criticized Crapo for being in Washington for too long, saying, "Senator Crapo has been in Congress for 18 years. The country is struggling, and I think it's time to make a change." Crapo emphasized his conservative record in Washington.[3]
Debates
- October 1 on Idaho Public Television[4]
- October 20 on KTVB
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[5] | Solid R | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[6] | Safe R | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[7] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[9] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Mike Crapo (R) |
Tom Sullivan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | May 11, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 66% | 22% | 2% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 15, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 64% | 27% | 3% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 63% | 24% | 6% | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon (report) | October 20–22, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 64% | 20% | 5% | 11% |
Fundraising
| Candidate (Party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash On Hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Crapo (R) | $3,349,827 | $2,105,646 | $3,153,345 | $0 |
| Tom Sullivan (D) | $79,626 | $80,707 | $926 | $38,393 |
| Randy Lynn Bergquist (C) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[10] | ||||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Crapo (incumbent) | 319,953 | 71.17% | −28.01% | |
| Democratic | Tom Sullivan | 112,057 | 24.93% | +24.11% | |
| Constitution | Randy Bergquist | 17,429 | 3.88% | +3.88% | |
| Write-in | 91 | 0.02% | +0.02% | ||
| Majority | 207,896 | 46.24% | −52.12% | ||
| Total votes | 449,530 | 100.00% | -10.8% | ||
| Republican hold | |||||