2008 United States Senate election in Georgia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2008 United States Senate election in Georgia took place on November 4, 2008. The runoff election took place on December 2, 2008. Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss, first elected in 2002, sought re-election to his position as a United States senator from Georgia. He was challenged by Democratic nominee Jim Martin and Libertarian nominee Allen Buckley. After a runoff election on December 2, Chambliss was elected.[1][2]
.svg)
| |||||||||||||||||
November 4, 2008 (first round)
December 2, 2008 (runoff) | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Chambliss: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Martin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The runoff was necessary as neither Chambliss nor Martin, the two major party candidates, had won a majority of the vote in the first round. Early voting hours were set by county, and started November 17 or November 18. Prior to the runoff, advanced polls were open from November 24 to the 26th.[3] Since the election was a runoff, only those voters who registered in time for the general election could cast ballots. It was the second Senate runoff election to be held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, following a runoff in 1992.
As of 2026, this remains the only time in history that a Republican has won re-election to Georgia's Class 2 Senate seat, and the first time that a Republican has also won re-election into a second successful full term in office.[a]
Republican primary
Candidates
- Saxby Chambliss, incumbent U.S. Senator
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Saxby Chambliss (incumbent) | 392,902 | 100.0% | ||
| Turnout | 392,928 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic primary
The general primary was held July 15, 2008.[5] A run-off between the top two Democratic contenders was held on August 5, in which Jim Martin defeated Vernon Jones.[6]
Candidates
- Jim Martin, former State Representative and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2006
- Vernon Jones, businessman, DeKalb County chief executive officer and former State Representative
- Dale Cardwell, TV journalist[7]
- Rand Knight, businessman
- Josh Lanier, Vietnam War veteran and former aide to U.S. Senator Herman Talmadge
Polling
| Source | Date | Cardwell | Jones | Knight | Lanier | Martin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic Vision (R)[8] | May 9–11, 2008 | 20% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 15% |
| Insider Advantage[9] | May 12, 2008 | 14% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 3% |
| Mellman Group (D)[10] | May 29, 2008 | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 21% |
| Strategic Vision (R)[8] | June 27–29, 2008 | 22% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 17% |
| Insider Advantage[9] | July 8–9, 2008 | 11% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 31% |
Initial results
Results[11] for the first round showed that since Vernon Jones did not win a majority of the vote, a runoff was held between him and Martin. Martin subsequently won the runoff.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Vernon Jones | 199,026 | 40.4% | |
| Democratic | Jim Martin | 169,635 | 34.4% | |
| Democratic | Dale Cardwell | 79,181 | 16.1% | |
| Democratic | Rand Knight | 25,667 | 5.2% | |
| Democratic | Josh Lanier | 19,717 | 4.0% | |
| Total votes | 493,226 | 100.0% | ||
Run off results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Martin | 191,061 | 59.9% | +25.5% | |
| Democratic | Vernon Jones | 127,993 | 40.1% | −0.3% | |
| Total votes | 319,054 | 100.0% | |||
General election
Candidates
Democratic
Jim Martin, a former State Representative, former State Human Resources Commissioner, Vietnam War veteran, and 2006 nominee for lieutenant governor, challenged Chambliss for his seat. He made his support for PeachCare and other social services a signature issue in the campaign.[12]
Libertarian
Allen Buckley - Attorney, accountant, 2004 Senate nominee, and 2006 nominee for lieutenant governor. He was eliminated in the general election, but his endorsement was sought by both the Martin and Chambliss campaigns.[citation needed]
Republican
Sen. Saxby Chambliss running for re-election for the first time, is a member of the Republican Party. He was elected to the House of Representatives in 1994 and had only one serious election challenge while in the House.[13][14][15][16] He maintained high ratings from conservative interest groups such as the National Rifle Association of America, and the National Right to Life Committee,[17] and correspondingly low marks from liberal interest groups such as the NAACP and ACLU.[17] He sponsored legislation while in the Senate to replace the income tax with a national sales tax.[18]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Tossup | October 23, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[20] | Tossup | October 31, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[21] | Lean R | November 2, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[22] | Tossup | November 2, 2008 |
Polling
Chambliss vs. Martin
| Source | Date | Chambliss (R) | Martin (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | June 26, 2008 | 52% | 39% |
| Strategic Vision[24] | June 29, 2008 | 57% | 28% |
| Rasmussen Reports[25] | July 21, 2008 | 51% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | August 14, 2008 | 50% | 44% |
| Survey USA[26] | September 14–16, 2008 | 53% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | September 16, 2008 | 50% | 43% |
| Survey USA[27] | September 29, 2008 | 46% | 44% |
| Research 2000[28] | September 29 – October 1, 2008 | 45% | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | October 7, 2008 | 50% | 44% |
| Insider Advantage[29] | October 9, 2008 | 45% | 45% |
| Survey USA[30] | October 12, 2008 | 46% | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | October 22, 2008 | 47% | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | October 30, 2008 | 48% | 43% |
| Survey USA[31] | November 2, 2008 | 48% | 44% |
| Public Policy Polling[32] | November 2, 2008 | 48% | 46% |
Chambliss vs. Jones (Hypothetical)
| Source | Date | Chambliss (R) | Jones (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[25] | July 21, 2008 | 59% | 29% |
| Strategic Vision[24] | June 29, 2008 | 57% | 27% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | June 26, 2008 | 57% | 30% |
| Strategic Vision[33] | December 12, 2007 | 57% | 27% |
| Rasmussen Report[34] | November 13, 2007 | 55% | 32% |
| Rasmussen Report[34] | September 23, 2007 | 53% | 28% |
| Strategic Vision[35] | June 24, 2007 | 55% | 31% |
| Rasmussen Report[34] | September 23, 2007 | 53% | 28% |
| Strategic Vision[35] | June 24, 2007 | 55% | 31% |
| Insider Advantage[36] | May 23, 2007 | 48% | 31% |
| Strategic Vision[37] | April 7, 2007 | 57% | 29% |
Results
As no candidate reached a majority on November 4, a runoff election was held on December 2, which Chambliss won.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Saxby Chambliss (Incumbent) | 1,867,097 | 49.76% | −3.01% | |
| Democratic | Jim Martin | 1,757,393 | 46.83% | +0.93% | |
| Libertarian | Allen Buckley | 127,923 | 3.41% | +2.08% | |
| Socialist Workers | Eleanor Garcia (write-in) | 43 | 0.00% | n/a | |
| Independent | William Salomone, Jr. (write-in) | 29 | 0.00% | n/a | |
| Majority | 109,704 | 2.93% | −3.95% | ||
| Turnout | 3,752,577 | ||||
Runoff election
Candidates
- Chambliss (R)
- Martin (D)
Campaign
Both qualifying candidates' runoff campaigns began in earnest on November 10, when election returns made it clear that a runoff would be required. With an election date of December 2, candidates were given only 3 weeks for additional campaigning.
The Libertarian nominee did not endorse either candidate in the run-off, though both campaigns reportedly inquired about getting Buckley's endorsement.[40] Major political figures such as former President Bill Clinton, Republican Senator and 2008 presidential nominee John McCain and his former running mate Sarah Palin campaigned in Georgia,[41] because of the election's potential to determine whether the Democratic Party could block filibusters in the United States Senate. Historically, run-off elections in Georgia have had significantly lower turnout than have general elections.[42]
Chambliss's campaign verified that former Republican presidential candidates John McCain and Mike Huckabee would be campaigning in Georgia on the Senator's behalf, and former Democratic Governor and former U.S. Senator Zell Miller endorsed Chambliss. Former President Bill Clinton campaigned on Martin's behalf. Sarah Palin campaigned for the Chambliss campaign on December 1, the eve of the run-off election.[43] President-elect Barack Obama had also been invited by the Democratic campaign but decided against making a stop.[44]
The results of the runoff election were of particular interest to both parties.[45] Subsequent to the November 4 general elections, Democrats had captured 58 seats in the Senate, two shy of a filibuster-proof supermajority. The result of Georgia's runoff election, as well as the results of an extremely close race and recount in Minnesota, would determine whether or not the required majority of 60 seats would be met.[46] Although the Democratic nominee lost the runoff, the party would still obtain a supermajority after Pennsylvania Senator Arlen Specter switched from the Republican party to the Democratic party in April 2009 and Democrat Al Franken won in Minnesota after several recounts in June 2009.[citation needed]
Polling
| Source | Date | Chambliss (R) | Martin (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[47] | November 18, 2008 | 50% | 46% |
| Public Policy Polling[48] | November 23, 2008 | 52% | 46% |
| Public Policy Polling[49] | November 30, 2008 | 53% | 46% |
Results
Douglas, Rockdale, Newton, McIntosh, Merriwether, Chattahoochee, Webster, and Marion counties were won by Chambliss in the runoff, after he lost them in the general. Additionally, Mitchell County went from tied to Chambliss, and Early County switched from Chambliss to Martin.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Saxby Chambliss (Incumbent) | 1,228,033 | 57.44% | N/A | |
| Democratic | Jim Martin | 909,923 | 42.56% | N/A | |
| Majority | 318,110 | 14.88% | |||
| Turnout | 2,137,956 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Ben Hill (Largest city: Fitzgerald)
- Brooks (Largest city: Quitman)
- Decatur (Largest city: Bainbridge)
- Elbert (Largest city: Elberton)
- Grady (Largest city: Cairo)
- Marion (Largest city: Buena Vista)
- Seminole (Largest city: Donalsonville)
- Taylor (Largest city: Butler)
- Chattahoochee (largest municipality: Cusseta)
- McIntosh (largest municipality: Darien)
- Meriwether (largest municipality: Manchester)
- Mitchell (largest municipality: Camilla)
- Hart (Largest city: Hartwell)
- Long (Largest city: Ludowici)
- Wilkes (Largest city: Washington)
- Webster (largest town: Preston)
See also
Notes
- Paul Coverdell was re-elected for a second term in 1998, but died on July 18, 2000 from a cerebral hemorrhage in the second year of that term.