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reserve requirements

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/gendoc2002en.pdf

The single monetary policy in the euro area: General documentation on Eurosystem monetary policy instruments and procedures

The daily reserve holding of an institution is calculated as the end-of-day

In the United Kingdom, money is endogenous - Mervyn King in 1994

But what did he mean by that?

From about 1991 a remarkable consensus had emerged within developed economies about the optimum design of monetary policy methods. Simplifying somewhat, we could say that the early 1980s saw the final demise of attempts to control the quantities of money (and/or credit) by any direct method[1]

This did not happen all at once.

In 1994 Mervyn King then Chief Economist at the Bank of England said[2] 'One of the most contentious issues in assessing the role of money is the direction of causation between money and demand. Textbooks assume that money is exogenous. It is sometimes dropped by helicopters, as in Friedman’s analysis of a ‘pure’ monetary expansion, or its supply is altered by open-market operations. In the United Kingdom, money is endogenous - the Bank [of England] supplies base money on demand at its prevailing interest rate, and broad money is created by the banking system'.

One of the reasons money is endogenous is because banks create credit[3][4] rather than lending existing money. Therefore if the central bank in turn has a policy of supplying money on demand at a price, then the broad money supply can keep rising. However, the creation of central bank money actually happened after money creation by the commercial banks (King 1994 Page 264). King continues, 'Therefore the endogeneity of money has caused great confusion, and led some critics to argue that money is unimportant. This is a serious mistake' (King 1994, Page 264).

Charles Goodhart, an economist and formerly an advisor at the Bank of England and a former monetary policy committee member, worked for many years to encourage a different approach to money supply analysis and said the base money multiplier model was 'such an incomplete way of describing the process of the determination of the stock of money that it amounts to misinstruction'[5] Ten years later he said[6] ‘Almost all those who have worked in a [central bank] believe that this view is totally mistaken; in particular, it ignores the implications of several of the crucial institutional features of a modern commercial banking system....’

13 years after Mervyn Kings observations on 'contentious issues' between Exogenous and Endogenous money, Deputy governor Paul Tucker was able to say[7] ”When, ten years ago, Mervyn King delivered a lecture...., he reviewed ideas on the monetary transmission mechanism....... and the role of money (and credit). These days most such accounts.....begin with a simple assertion that the central bank sets the short-term nominal interest rate. And they go on to explain how, given sticky wages and prices, that enables the central bank to shift the short-term real interest rate in a way that either restrains or stimulates aggregate demand. Notice no mention of money here. On this view of the world and, in particular, given this way of implementing monetary policy, money – both narrow and broad – is largely endogenous. The central bank simply supplies whatever amount of base money is demanded by the economy at the prevailing level of interest rates.'

Therefore many Central bankers and monetary economists now believe money creation in banking systems is endogenously created and deposit multiplication by the text book money multiplier is an unsatisfactory teaching tool[8] and explanation of the what really happens.

Note however, it is clear that loans create money and a money multiplier exists related to lending. The issue being addressed however is that money creation is chaotic and cannot be modeled using simple mechanical views of lending only created from existing deposits because banks essentially do not loan out deposits, but rather create credit and then manage the liabilities this creates for them. (Tucker 2007).

However notwithstanding all of the above, dispite the apparent consensus at the BOE and other central banks, twenty five years after the switch to short-term interest rates, macroeconomic instruction at the textbook level still requires students to learn that monetary policy consists (solely) of exogenously imposed changes in the money stock which transmits itself to changes in demand (and then possibly output but more usually the price level) by some version of ‘real balance effects’. This is wholly at odds with our everyday knowledge of the policy instrument and with what central banks widely believe is the transmission of monetary policy effects (Howells P et al 2006 page 3).

stuff being worked on

Charles Goodhart said in 2007, "[When the] Central Bank sets interest rates, as is the generality, the money stock is a dependent, endogenous variable. This is exactly what the heterodox, Post- Keynesians, from Kaldor, through Vicky Chick, and on through Basil Moore and Randy Wray, have been correctly claiming for decades, and I have been in their party on this." [9]

Bank lending

The economic literature on the ‘bank lending’ channel of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism explores the conditions under which a tightening of monetary policy causes the terms on bank lending to tighten over and above the increase in risk-free short-term real rates. The literature has typically assumed

  • (i) that a monetary policy tightening is effected by the central bank withdrawing reserves from the system (or slowing the pace of reserves injection);
  • (ii) that banks are required to hold a proportion of transactions deposits in reserves, so that reduced reserves provision entails slower deposit growth; and
  • (iii) that they do not have unrestricted access to liabilities that are not subject to reserves requirements, and so cannot fill the gap left by slower deposit growth and must, instead, slow loan growth, which they do by tightening credit conditions.

The first two steps seem archaic. The BOE effect monetary policy changes by controlling the price not the quantity of central bank money in the system; and, in the UK, banks choose their own reserves targets rather than having them determined by a balance sheet ratio of some kind. (Tucker[10], Paul. 2007.12.03 pages 6-7)

Where does this leave base Money, the starting point for much traditional monetary analysis? The BOE explain that banks, in the short run, lever up their balance sheets and expand credit at will - there liabilities are money and because transactions balances and so the means of exchange in our payments system, the moneyness of bank deposits lies at the core of credit intermediation. Subject only but crucially to confidence in their soundness, banks extend credit by simply increasing the borrowing customer’s current account, which can be paid away to wherever the borrower wants by the bank ‘writing a cheque on itself’. That is, banks extend credit by creating money. This ‘money creation’ process is constrained: by their need to manage the liquidity risk – from the withdrawal of deposits and the drawdown of backup lines – to which it exposes them. 15 Adequate capital and liquidity, including for stressed circumstances, are the essential ingredients for maintaining confidence. (Tucker, Paul. 2007.12.03 pages 9-10). [11]

reserve requirements

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/gendoc2002en.pdf

The single monetary policy in the euro area: General documentation on Eurosystem monetary policy instruments and procedures

The daily reserve holding of an institution is calculated as the end-of-day

loan drives deposits

References

Alternative views

References

comparing the two models

Comparing lending models

Joining Talks Request Sent

Neutral Mediator helps Wonderful people, obviously not hostile, and difficult andrewedwardjudd solve problem.

modern banking practices

payments systems

monetary targeting abandoned

alternate view

Alternative views

FRB definition revisited

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