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2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

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The 2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 7, 2006, for representation of Vermont's at-large congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from January 3, 2007, to January 3, 2009.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district

 2004
November 7, 2006
2008 
 
Nominee Peter Welch Martha Rainville
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 139,815 117,023
Percentage 53.22% 44.54%

Welch:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Rainville:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Trudell:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

Close

Incumbent Congressman Bernie Sanders, an independent member of Congress who caucused with the Democrats, did not seek a ninth term in the House, instead running successfully for the United States Senate.

To replace Congressman Sanders, Democrat Peter Welch defeated Republican Martha Rainville by a somewhat narrow margin (just under 10%) in staunchly-liberal Vermont. As of 2022, this is the last federal election in which a Republican received more than a third of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Peter Welch 34,706 97.11
Democratic Write-ins 1,033 2.89
Total votes 35,739 100.00
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Martha Rainville 26,199 71.31
Republican Mark Shepard 10,285 27.99
Republican Write-ins 258 0.70
Total votes 36,742 100.00
Close

Third-party and independent candidates

Declined

General election

Polling

More information Source, Date ...
Source Date Peter
Welch (D)
Martha
Rainville (R)
Jane
Newton (LU)
Research 2000[5] October 23–24, 2006 51% 41%
Greenburg Quinlan[6] October 8–9, 2006 52% 41%
Research 2000[7] September 18–19, 2006 45% 39%
American Research Group[8] September 14, 2006 48% 45% 2%
American Research Group[8] July 27, 2006 41% 42%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Lean D (flip) November 6, 2006
Rothenberg[10] Likely D (flip) November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Likely D (flip) November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[12] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2006
CQ Politics[13] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2006
Close

Results

County Flips:
More information Party, Candidate ...
Vermont's at-large congressional district election, 2006[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Peter Welch 139,815 53.22%
Republican Martha Rainville 117,023 44.54%
Independent Dennis Morrisseau 1,390 0.53%
Independent Jerry Trudell 1,013 0.39%
Green Bruce R. Marshall 994 0.38%
Independent Keith Stern 963 0.37%
Liberty Union Jane Newton 721 0.27%
Independent Chris Karr 599 0.23%
Write-ins 208 0.08%
Total votes 262,726 100.00
Democratic gain from Independent
Close

By county

More information County, Peter Welch Democratic ...
County[15] Peter Welch
Democratic
Martha Rainville
Republican
All others Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Addison 8,784 53.7% 7,252 44.4% 313 2.0% 1,532 9.3% 16,349
Bennington 7,915 55.3% 5,412 37.8% 997 6.0% 2,503 17.5% 14,324
Caledonia 5,400 44.3% 6,502 53.4% 275 2.2% -1,102 -9.1% 12,177
Chittenden 36,965 55.7% 28,630 43.1% 800 1.3% 8,335 12.6% 66,395
Essex 970 38.2% 1,466 57.8% 100 3.9% -496 -19.6% 2,536
Franklin 7,388 41.9% 10,018 56.9% 210 1.2% -2,630 -15.0% 17,616
Grand Isle 1,644 44.6% 2,005 54.4% 37 1.0% -361 -9.8% 3,686
Lamoille 5,565 53.1% 4,726 45.1% 182 1.7% 839 8.0% 10,473
Orange 6,452 51.8% 5,767 46.3% 232 1.9% 685 5.5% 12,451
Orleans 4,665 44.9% 5,520 53.2% 200 1.9% -855 -8.3% 10,385
Rutland 12,245 47.8% 12,847 50.2% 518 2.0% -602 -2.4% 25,610
Washington 15,223 55.8% 11,582 42.5% 462 1.7% 3,641 13.3% 27,267
Windham 11,778 63.6% 5,806 31.4% 922 5.0% 5,972 32.2% 18,506
Windsor 14,821 59.4% 9,490 38.0% 640 2.5% 5,331 21.4% 24,951
Totals139,81553.2%117,02344.5%5,8882.2%22,7928.7%262,726
Close

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

References

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